2020 aggregate NBA mock draft 4.0: Evaluating the rising upperclassmen

Somehow already past the midpoint of the college basketball season, the 2020 NBA Draft is starting to shape up with far more clear rankings.

Somehow already past the midpoint of the college basketball season, the 2020 NBA draft is starting to shape up with far more clear rankings.

As always, we examine the most trusted analysts to give us the best idea of a consensus for what the upcoming draft class will look like in June. The latest 2020 NBA mock drafts from experts at ESPNCBS SportsSI.comBleacher ReportNBADraft.netThe Athletic and USA Today Sports Media Group’s Rookie Wire were used for these rankings.

The top four players (Anthony Edwards, LaMelo Ball, James Wiseman and Cole Anthony) have remained the exact same despite none of the latter three players being active for various different reasons.

Meanwhile, Iowa State sophomore point guard Tyrese Haliburton entered the Top 5 and replaced 19-year-old Israeli prospect Deni Avdija – who has not seen much playing time in the Euroleague.

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Included below are brief scouting reports for senior guards who have improved their draft stock the most since our last update. These players listed are all four-year NCAA players who could be ready to make the jump to the NBA like Josh Hart and Malcolm Brogdon did in their respective classes.

MARKUS HOWARD, MARQUETTE

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 46

One of the most important things to know about Marquette senior Markus Howard is that despite the fact he has four years of collegiate experience, he is just 20 years old. Few teams operate their offense through one player quite like Golden Eagles do with Howard, who has taken 42.5 percent of their total field goal attempts. Fortunately, the guard brags one of the most efficient and prolific jump shots among all NCAA players. Howard operates well when he is shooting off the catch and off the dribble, which will make him a good fit for almost any offense in the NBA. He is currently averaging 28.4 points per game while shooting 42.5 percent on three-pointers. Similarly, no guard in college has been fouled more often than Howard has thus far. He should be a lock win Big East Player of the Year and should be a strong contender for the National Player of the Year, too. As a pro, he can likely become a spark-plug scoring option off the bench. His draft stock has improved from No. 68 up to No. 46 month-over-month.

PAYTON PRITCHARD, OREGON

(Photo by Steve Dykes/Getty Images)

Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 47

Oregon senior guard Payton Pritchard was a Top-50 recruit coming into the Pac-12 back in 2016. He attended West Linn High School, where he was able to lead his squad to four consecutive state titles. That accomplishment was an especially impressive feat considering the program had only won the OSAA Boys Basketball Championship once before and it was way back in 1997. He has since played for the Ducks in the Final Four (2017) and also won MVP of the Pac-12 Tournament last season. He is currently averaging 19.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 5.8 assists with 1.7 steals per game. His assist rate (32.7 percent) is Top 20 among seniors and he has connected on 40.7 percent of his three-pointers. Now more than halfway through the season, he is the heavy favorite to win Pac-12 Player of the Year and could be a sleeper for National Player of the Year as well. He has leaped from No. 96 in December all the way to No. 47 now in January.

SKYLAR MAYS, LSU

Bryan Lynn-USA TODAY Sports

Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 57

During his senior year of high school, Skylar Mays was actually teammates with Howard at Findlay Prep. Also on the roster was 2019 first-rounder PJ Washington and Toronto Raptors two-way wing Oshae Brissett. For what it is worth, their roster also had current college basketball standouts Tristan Clark (Baylor) and Lamine Diane (CSUN). Their team has already sent tons of prospects into the NBA and Mays could very well be the next in line. He is a potential 3-and-D threat, averaging 1.4 three-pointers and 2.1 steals per game for the LSU Tigers as an NCAA senior. Meanwhile, LSU’s adjusted offensive rating (116.6) ranks Top 5 in college basketball. Along with Reggie Perry (Mississippi State) as well as Kerry Blackshear Jr. (Florida), Mays has a strong candidacy to win SEC Player of the Year. He has jumped from No. 90 last month to No. 57 this month.

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Preview: Jazz visiting in search of season sweep vs. Dubs

The third-place Utah Jazz visit the last-place Warriors as they try for a season sweep of an injury-hobbled Golden State in their home arena.

The 10-35 Golden State Warriors take on the 30-13 Utah Jazz on Wednesday, January 22 at 7pm PT at Chase Center as the Jazz try to sweep the Warriors for the season after having won their last three meetings.

The third-place Jazz are trying to make up for a rough start to the season they were anticipated to be among the West’s title contenders, and are looking more the part of late having won their last two games and nine of their last 10 contests.

The Warriors have had an especially rough stretch of late, with an inverted nine of their last 10 games a loss, not that anyone is surprised given the state of the team in Steph Curry and Klay Thompson’s absence.

Forward Draymond Green (illness), forward Kevon Looney (abdomen), wing Glenn Robinson III (ankle) and shooting guard Jacob Evans all may miss the match with the Jazz as well.

Utah will be entirely healthy unless they choose to rest center Rudy Gobert, who rolled his ankle against the Indiana Pacers Jan. 20.

With Utah the clearly superior team in terms of health and available talent, the path to victory for the league-worst Warriors is mostly luck, and a little disrespect from their opponent and a dash of Alec Burks revenge game.

But outside of that unlikely combination of events, the Jazz should take this game fairly easily, reflected in an average spread of +8 for the Dubs by most online sportsbooks.

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Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (30-13) and Golden State Warriors (10-35) will do battle at the Chase Center in San Francisco at 10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Jazz-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.


Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.


Jazz at Warriors: Key injuries

Warriors

  • PG Stephen Curry (hand) out
  • SG Jacob Evans (concussion) questionable
  • PF Kevon Looney (abdominal) out
  • SF Glenn Robinson III (ankle) probable
  • SG Klay Thompson (knee) out

Jazz at Warriors: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Jazz 117, Warriors 102

Moneyline (ML)

The Jazz (-455) are just too expensive, as there is no way to justify risking more than four and a half times your potential investment. AVOID. There just isn’t enough value in backing Utah with a $10 bet returning a profit of only $2.20 with an outright victory. The Warriors are +340.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The JAZZ (-9.5, -106) have gotten PG Mike Conley Jr. back from injury, and he has been folded into the offense nicely. They’re second in the Northwest Division and they’re running like a finely tuned machine. The Warriors (+9.5, -115) … not so much. They’re banged up, and not playing well. It’s a far cry from the better part of the last decade where they have been championship caliber.

Utah is 5-1 ATS in the past seven as a favorite, and 7-2 ATS in the past nine on the road while cashing in 16 of the past 21 overall. Golden State has been better against the number lately, but is 2-7 ATS in the past nine meetings with Utah and 1-6 ATS in the past seven in the Bay Area against the Jazz.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 216.5 (-110) is the lean, although the trends are all over the board. I expect the Jazz to win this one rather handily, although it might not be until the final minute before this one inches across the line. I wouldn’t get too carried away betting the total in this one.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Denver has the best home-court advantage in the NBA; Brooklyn the worst

Any competitive advantage in an NBA season is important whether it is home cooking or the comfort and familiarity of your own locker room.

Any competitive advantage in an NBA season is important whether it is home cooking or the comfort and familiarity of your own locker room.

For this study, we subtracted the difference from the team winning percentage on the road from their winning percentage at home. This illustrates, in part, the impact of playing in their own city has had on franchises around the league. We looked at all games played since the Basketball Association of America merged with the NBA in 1946-47.

Note that all numbers included below for teams are based on their records when playing in their current cities. That means that Golden State Warriors accounts for San Francisco both now and in the 1960s (not Oakland) while the Nets are in Brooklyn (not New Jersey), the Grizzlies are in Memphis (not Vancouver), the Jazz are in Salt Lake City (not New Orleans), etc.

Overall, this research helps show how much better a team has historically played depending on the location of the game.

Perhaps the most obvious takeaway is that the two NBA cities with the highest elevations (Denver and Utah) both rank in the Top 3. In fact, the Nuggets have won nearly twice as many games when they have played at home compared to their road appearances.

Back in 2013, Neil Payne contextualized the geographical advantages for these games (via ESPN):

“One explanation for this phenomenon is that Denver and Salt Lake City are, at 5,883 feet and 4,227 feet, respectively, the two highest-altitude cities in the entire NBA by far. (Ranking third in elevation is Phoenix at a paltry 1,132 feet.) Certainly, this is a major factor – the relatively thin air at such high elevations causes the players’ bodies to have less oxygen available for circulation to their muscles, resulting in quicker fatigue. Denver and Utah players seem to acclimate to this, offering them a presumed advantage.”

The aforementioned advantage is so distinct that in 2015, the league made an effort to schedule the Nuggets as the first stop on a trip from the east or put a day of rest in between games for teams coming from the west.

Another interesting takeaway is that cities that are known for a more vibrant nightlife (Miami, Los Angeles and New York) all fall fairly low on this list. It is common to hear “Los Angeles nightlife is undefeated” or the “South Beach Flu” after the Heat or the Lakers win a game at home. But the win-loss totals indicate that visiting teams may not be as impacted as many thought.

For further proof, Sports Insights NBA expert Carl Sack told The Action Network’s Matt Moore in 2018 that his data also indicated a regression to the mean rather than anything particularly noteworthy about party cities.

One final note is that the teams that have played the fewest total games at home (Oklahoma City Thunder, Brooklyn Nets and Golden State Warriors) fared the worst for these rankings.

These three teams rank in the Bottom 4 for home games based on sheer volume and newness in their home arenas. Whether it’s based on earning loyalty from the fans or something deeper, it was particularly interesting to see some kind of correlation even if there is no causation.

HoopsHype’s Alberto de Roa contributed research to this report

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Indiana Pacers at Utah Jazz odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Indiana Pacers at Utah Jazz sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (28-15) and Utah Jazz (29-13) tangle at Vivant Smart Home Arena at 9 p.m. ET Monday. We analyze the Pacers-Jazz odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.


Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.


Pacers at Jazz: Key injuries

Pacers

  • SG Victor Oladipo (knee) out

Pacers at Jazz: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Jazz 113, Pacers 109

Moneyline (ML)

The Jazz (-303) will cost you more than three times your return on investment. That’s a crazy amount of your bankroll to risk in a battle of two contenders which really could go either way. PASS.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Jazz to win outright returns a profit of just $3.30.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The PACERS (+7.5, -115) are coming off an impressive 115-107 win over the mountains in Denver Sunday. It was Indiana’s fourth consecutive cover on the road, and it’s 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall. However, go lightly, as the Pacers are just 1-4 ATS in the past five when playing in the second end of a back-to-back set.

The Jazz (-7.5, -106) have covered six in a row at home, and they’re 10-2 ATS in the past 12 as a favorite. They’re 2-7 ATS in the past nine at home against teams with a winning home mark, and 1-5 ATS in the past six against the Pacers.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 214.5 (-115) is worth a roll of the dice, as the trends point to a higher-scoring game for both sides. The Over is 6-1 in the past seven on the road for the Pacers, and 7-2 in their past nine overall. The Over is 4-0 in the past four for the Jazz, and 9-3 in the past 12 as a home favorite while going 6-2 in the past eight against winning teams.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Pelicans vs. Clippers Preview: Inching up the Western Conference standings

The New Orleans Pelicans have another chance to move up the Western Conference standings on Saturday at home against the Clippers.

Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Clippers

When: Saturday, Jan. 18, 3:30 p.m ET

Where: Smoothie King Center

How to watch: ABC

For the first time since the 13-game losing streak earlier this season, the Pelicans are not in 14th position in the Western Conference. After Thursday’s win over Utah, the Pelicans moved ahead of the Timberwolves and Kings in the standings while still holding firm at four games back of the Grizzlies for the eighth seed.

But New Orleans’ task in moving forward up the standings will be a daunting one on Saturday. In the season’s first Saturday afternoon game, the Clippers visit the Smoothie King Center. An interesting side, L.A.’s second-best team this season are elite with Paul George and Kawhi Leonard, to no one’s surprise. But the two have hardly been available simultaneously as fluid movement of active players has shuffled the deck repeatedly for the Clippers.

George has missed time recently but has traveled with the Clippers to New Orleans. Should he be available, the Pelicans will have a very real problem in defending the two wings, particularly with Jrue Holiday still out.

But Brandon Ingram figures to create problems for the Clippers as well. His 49-point explosion on Thursday further put him on the radar this season as he mounts a growing All-Star resume. A match-up with Leonard on national television figures to be another big opportunity for the blossoming wing.

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Brandon Ingram is making the Pelicans one of the NBA’s most intriguing teams

Brandon Ingram’s quick progress gives the Pelicans’ one of the best young cores in the NBA.

As a sneaker lover, when I was younger I used to trade shoes with friend for a day or so — sometimes longer. It was just like your run of the mill NBA trade. “You give me this joint, I’ll give you that one, this one and this one when I come back to class tomorrow.”

Two of those that you get back are just throw-ins with the trade. They might be a bit beat. They probably stink a little bit, but they’re fixable. You can clean them. Once you do? Buddy, you’ve got a gem.

That gem is sudden Pelicans star Brandon Ingram. He’s the shoe that wasn’t the centerpiece of the trade. He wasn’t supposed to be special. You weren’t supposed to rely on him every day. Now, he’s your go-to guy. You’re not giving him back.

He proved that last night with a spectacular 49-point performance to end the Jazz’s 10-game winning streak, including this insane shot that should’ve been a game winner.

Oh, there was also that reverse dunk on RUDY GOBERT.

This dude is good now. He showed flashes in his time with the Lakers for a few season and then got caught up in the shadow of LeBron James. But now? He’s a legit star. He should be an All-Star this season.

That changes everything for the Pelicans.

The Pelicans have one of the NBA’s legit young cores now

Ingram coming on the scene changes everything for the Pelicans. Not only did they win the lottery and draft a potentially generational player in Zion Williamson, they also got an All-Star in return for Anthony Davis.

If you were ever going to trade away a superstar player, this is the exactly what you’d hope to get in return. They have already have a duo that will immediately be considered one of the best up-and-coming combos in the league. That’s a great place to start a rebuild.

Now, look, Williamson and Ingram are no Kevin Durant or Russell Westbrook just yet. They’re not even Luka Doncic-Kristaps Porzingis level right now. Williamson has yet to play and this is Ingram’s first good season.

But they’ve got time, and with time they can figure it out.

We’re already seeing results

Don’t look now, but the Pelicans have rebounded from the dreadful start to the season and are just 2.5 games back on the 8th seed. The playoffs are still in the realm of possibility for them.

They’ve won seven of their last 10 games and are in a great space. Derrick Favors is finally a healthy fixture in the lineup, Lonzo Ball is starting to cook and Ingram is going crazy.

Williamson is coming back to the lineup next week and Jrue Holiday shouldn’t take too long after him to return. They could finally have a fully healthy squad heading into the All-Star break. After that, anything can happen.

It looks like J.J Redick might be in luck. His 13 year playoff streak might live on after all.

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4-Point Play: The NBA Draft has no clear No. 1 … yet

On this week’s 4-Point Play, we discuss what turned the Jazz’s season around, Kyrie Irving’s post-game comment, and why the NBA Draft will be so interesting this year.

On this week’s 4-Point Play, we discuss what turned the Jazz’s season around, Kyrie Irving’s post-game comment, and why the NBA Draft will be so interesting this year.

Pelicans vs. Jazz Recap: The good, the bad and the Ball

The New Orleans Pelicans outlasted the Utah Jazz in overtime, 138-132, thanks to 49 points from Brandon Ingram in a career night.

The Pelicans outlasted the Utah Jazz and the referees again on Thursday, earning a 138-132 win with Brandon Ingram scoring a career-high 49 points.

The Good: Brandon Ingram vs. Donovan Mitchell

Fans were treated to one heck of a duel between two young stars on Thursday. Brandon Ingram set a career-high, the second time he’s done so this season, with 49 points. Donovan Mitchell matched him shot for shot the entire night, also finishing with 46.

The two traded baskets for much of the fourth quarter and overtime. After Mitchell hit seemingly every shot in the middle stages of the fourth quarter, Ingram took over down the stretch. His pull-up jumper with two-tenths of a second looked to be the game-winner. Instead, the game went to overtime (more on that later) and it just allowed Ingram to keep cooking. It was the finest performance yet in his breakout season.

It was one of the best Pelican games of the season. It was one of the best Pelican games in years.

Honorable mentions: Derrick Favors-Ingram two-man game, E’Twaun Moore’s clutch steal and score, Nickeil Walker-Alexander

The Bad: The referees

Another game against the Jazz, another terrible referee decision that decides the outcome of the game. After Ingram appeared to hit the game-winner with two-tenths of a second left on the clock, the Jazz were gifted a soft foul call at best.

Instead of a huge win from the Pelicans, the game went to overtime. The Pelicans hung on for the win but it was yet another growing example of the league getting it wrong and the Pelicans being the victim as a result.

Honorable mentions: Defense on Donovan Mitchell

The Ball: Poor shooting but impactful

Lonzo Ball struggled again shooting the ball on Thursday, going 2-for-12 from the field and 1-for-5 from three-point territory. But his impact was felt in other ways on the night. He finished with 13 assists, seven of those coming in little more than a period to open the night.

Defensively, Ball made some big plays down the stretch of regulation. With Donovan Mitchell sizzling, Ball took the assignment of defending him down the stretch. In the two possessions prior to the terrible in-bound foul call, Ball forced contested misses to give the Pelicans a chance at cutting into the deficit and then to take the lead.

Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (28-12) and New Orleans Pelicans (15-26) will tip it off at Smoothie King Center Thursday at 8 p.m. ET. We analyze the Jazz-Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.


Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.


Jazz at Pelicans: Key injuries

Jazz

  • PG Mike Conley (hamstring) out

Pelicans

  • PF Derrick Favors (hamstring) probable
  • PG Jrue Holiday (elbow) out
  • SF Brandon Ingram (knee) probable
  • SF Darius Miller (Achilles) out
  • C Jahlil Okafor (back) probable
  • SG JJ Redick (hamstring) questionable
  • SG Kenrich Williams (back) out
  • PF Zion Williamson (knee) out

Jazz at Pelicans: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Jazz 117, Pelicans 100

Moneyline (ML)

The Jazz (-200) are heavy favorites against the banged-up Pelicans (+165), who cannot be trusted at home. They have just too many injuries to trust at home. AVOID. There just isn’t enough value in backing Utah with a $10 bet returning a profit of only $5 with an outright victory.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The JAZZ (-5.5, +105) have been good to me on this road trip, as I’ve played them both in Washington (-6.5) in an 11-point win, and in Brooklyn (-3) in an 11-point win last time out. Let’s continue to go to that well and take advantage of the banged-up Pellies.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 224.5 (+100) is a good play, especially since it’s uncertain who will be ready to go for NOLA. If we have a shorthanded situation for the home team, and a potential blowout, that is usually good news for Under bettors. Routs, and close games with no fouling, are the friends of an Under bettor.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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