SEC Predictions, Schedule, Game Previews, Lines, TV: Week 5

SEC college football predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, and how to watch for Week 5 of the season.

SEC college football predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, and how to watch for Week 5 of the season.


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Results So Far
SU: 38-10, ATS: 24-24, Point Total: 26-19-1

Week 5 College Football Expert Picks

Saturday, October 2

Arkansas at Georgia

12:00, ESPN
Line: Georgia -18.5, o/u: 48.5

Tennessee at Missouri

12:00, SEC Network
Line: Missouri -3, o/u: 65

Ole Miss at Alabama

3:30, CBS
Line: Alabama -14.5, o/u: 79.5

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Troy at South Carolina

3:30, SEC Network
Line: South Carolina -7, o/u: 42.5

Florida at Kentucky

6:00, ESPN
Line: Florida -8.5, o/u: 55

Texas A&M at Mississippi State

7:00, SEC Network
Line: Texas A&M -7, o/u: 46

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UConn at Vanderbilt

7:30, ESPNU
Line: Vanderbilt -14.5, o/u: 51.5

Auburn at LSU

9:00, ESPN
Line: LSU -3.5, o/u: 54.5

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New York Jets vs Denver Prediction, Game Preview

New York Jets vs Denver prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26

New York Jets vs Denver prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26


New York Jets vs Denver How To Watch

Date: Sunday, September 26
Game Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO
How To Watch: CBS
Record: New York Jets (0-2), Denver (2-0)
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New York Jets vs Denver Game Preview


Why New York Jets Will Win

Last week showed there’s just enough of a running game to potentially rely on if Zach Wilson is struggling.

The passing game wasn’t bad in the opener against Carolina, but Wilson started making big things happen last week against New England and started making mistakes throwing four picks.

He won’t take as many chances this week, but no matter what, the Jets have to keep feeding the backs that combined for most of the 152 yards on the ground. Start by running, but …

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Why Denver Will Win

It’s asking a lot to expect Wilson to be perfect. The interceptions are going to come.

He’s a rookie in his third game – this is going to be a tough ride on a team that had the second overall pick for a reason.

Denver hasn’t been able to run all that well, but Teddy Bridgewater has been solid, Courtland Sutton blew up last week as part of a nice group of receivers – even if Jerry Jeudy is out – and as long as the turnovers aren’t there to give the Jets easy points, all should be fine.

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What’s Going To Happen

Denver will get one big run, and that will be enough to open things up a bit late in the first half.

Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon will start the game trying to take over, and then Bridgewater will be sharp enough to not make the big mistakes to give the Jets easy points.

There won’t be any need to take a whole lot of chances. Denver will score in the first quarter, take a decent lead, and then hold serve the rest of the way.

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New York Jets vs Denver Prediction, Line

Denver 26, New York Jets 13
Line: Denver -10, o/u: 41.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5

Must See Rating: 2

5: 30th anniversary of Nevermind
1: The Applebee’s shake song

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Indianapolis vs Tennessee Prediction, Game Preview

Indianapolis vs Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26

Indianapolis vs Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26


Indianapolis vs Tennessee How To Watch

Date: Sunday, September 26
Game Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
How To Watch: CBS
Record: Indianapolis (0-2), Tennessee (1-1)
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Indianapolis vs Tennessee Game Preview


Why Indianapolis Will Win

The Jonathan Taylor thing is about to explode soon.

He’s getting the carries, and he’s had some chances in the red zone, but he hasn’t been able to bust out and take over games behind a great offensive front. This is the game to give it a shot.

Tennessee allowed over four yards per carry against Seattle – along with the great game from Russell Wilson – and this week the Colts have to take over right away.

After dealing with Wilson and Matthew Stafford, the Colt secondary could use a bit of a break. Tennessee will want to run, but …

Why Tennessee Will Win

Ryan Tannehill went off for 347 yards last week against Seattle. That was lost because Derrick Henry went Derrick Henry.

The Colt run defense was fine against the Rams, but Seattle was able to rumble in Week 1. It’s asking for way too much for Henry to pound out 182 yards and thee scores again – and the Titans certainly don’t want to get him 35 carries again this early in the season – but it’s possible.

As long as the Titan offense is balanced again, the Colts likely won’t be able to keep up because …

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What’s Going To Happen

Carson Wentz is hurting after banging up both of his ankles. Again, Indianapolis will want to get Taylor and the running game going to take the pressure off the passing attack, and that should work for stretches against the mediocre Titan D.

At home, though, the Tennessee offense will be good for the second week in a row with Tannehill coming up with a nice performance after Henry gets slowed down early.

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Indianapolis vs Tennessee Prediction, Line

Tennessee 27, Indianapolis 23
Line: Tennessee -5.5, o/u: 47.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 3

5: 30th anniversary of Nevermind
1: The Applebee’s shake song

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Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Prediction, Game Preview

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26


Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City How To Watch

Date: Sunday, September 26
Game Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
How To Watch: CBS
Record: Los Angeles Chargers (1-1), Kansas City (1-1)
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Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Game Preview


Why Los Angeles Will Win

The passing game is humming.

Justin Herbert has been great, his receiving corps has been terrific, and the Chargers are showing the firepower to keep up the pace once this starts to get into a shootout.

There’s no holding down Patrick Mahomes and company, but the Charger secondary did a nice job of keeping the Dallas passing game to midrange plays without too much happening deep. But this is about Herbert and the LA O.

The Chargers won’t run like Baltimore did, but they have to at least give it a shot – KC got run over by Cleveland, too. Of course …

Why Kansas City Will Win

The Chargers don’t have the running game the Browns and Ravens do.

The Chief defense hasn’t exactly been a rock so far, but it’s taking the ball away just enough to matter with two in each of the first two games.

The linebacking corps has been okay – all things considered – Tyrann Mathieu has almost certainly locked up an All-Pro spot already, and …

You know what’s coming.

The Chargers aren’t generating enough pressure yet. Mahomes is going to get time to work.

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What’s Going To Happen

The two amazing young quarterbacks are about to put on a show, but there will be a whole lot of stalls until things heat up late.

Herbert will spread the ball around well – Keenan Allen is about to go off – and will have a few chances late to pull this out, but the Kansas City defense will come up with the big play and takeaway when it absolutely needs it.

The Chief D will be the one to break serve in the second half.

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Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Prediction, Line

Kansas City 30, Los Angeles Chargers 26
Line: Kansas City -7, o/u: 54.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 4

5: 30th anniversary of Nevermind
1: The Applebee’s shake song

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New Orleans vs New England Prediction, Game Preview

New Orleans vs New England prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26

New Orleans vs New England prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26


New Orleans vs New England How To Watch

Date: Sunday, September 26
Game Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
How To Watch: FOX
Record: New Orleans (1-1), New England (1-1)
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New Orleans vs New England Game Preview


Why New Orleans Will Win

Which New Orleans team will show up?

The narrative of the Week 1 blowout over Green Bay was all on the other side – the Packers were weird and lost; the Saints weren’t great and won.

It flipped last week with several Saint coaches out in the covid protocol, and Carolina took advantage. This week, the New Orleans running game has to get going against a New England run D that got gouged last week by the Jets.

Establish Alvin Kamara early, let Jameis Winston settle in, let the terrific run D take over from there.

Don’t expect the Patriots to average four yards per carry, meaning this is on Mac Jones to pull this off.

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Why New England Will Win

Which Jameis will show up?

He hit the open throws against a strangely lifeless Green Bay defense in Week 1, and last week he didn’t get any help or any time in a miserable performance.

Yeah, the Patriots gave up too many rushing yards to the Jets, but they also owned Zach Wilson with four picks and settled in from there.

This game is about grinding it down and controlling the clock.

New England might not be explosive, but it’s been great on third downs and it should be able to hold on the ball longer than the 28 minutes of last week. It’ll have no interest in making this a shootout, and …

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What’s Going To Happen

New England won’t have enough offense when it needs to as New Orleans regresses to the mean – or plays up to it.

It’ll be a controlled, efficient effort from the Saint offense, the defense will get to Mac Jones and won’t allow much on the ground, and it’ll be a solid win. It won’t be spectacular, but after last week New Orleans will take it.

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New Orleans vs New England Prediction, Line

New Orleans 24, New England 17
Line: New England -3, o/u: 47.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 4

Must See Rating: 3

5: 30th anniversary of Nevermind
1: The Applebee’s shake song

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Atlanta vs New York Giants Prediction, Game Preview

Atlanta vs New York Giants prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26

Atlanta vs New York Giants prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26


Atlanta vs New York Giants How To Watch

Date: Sunday, September 26
Game Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
How To Watch: FOX
Record: Atlanta (0-2), New York Giants (0-2)
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Atlanta vs New York Giants Game Preview


Why Atlanta Will Win

Is the 2021 NFL season going to matter or not, Atlanta?

The Falcons can’t score, can’t stop anyone from throwing, and they’re not forcing any big mistakes. The turnovers were bad against Tampa Bay, the lack of offensive production against Philadelphia was galling, and …

The team has playmakers. Matt Ryan is still a decent, respectable NFL starting quarterback – being kind here – and the young receivers should be there to hit a Giant secondary that couldn’t slow down Taylor Heineke and the Washington passing game when it mattered.

However …

Why New York Giants Will Win

Even with Saquon Barkley dabbling with his return to full playing time, the offense is working because Daniel Jones hasn’t been all that bad.

All of a sudden, the Giant receiving corps is growing into something solid, Jones is running well, and when Barkley is back to full-force, look out.

Again, Atlanta has the parts for the passing game, but they aren’t coming together thanks to an O line that’s not doing enough to give Ryan time and isn’t pounding for the ground game.

So …

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What’s Going To Happen

The Giants need to get off to a hot start.

This is a momentum game. If they can put up a quick touchdown and make the Falcons start to press right away, good things will happen – as in, Ryan will throw picks.

New York hasn’t been perfect, but it’s not screwing up enough to matter. It’ll have the offense, and Atlanta won’t.

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Atlanta vs New York Giants Prediction, Line

New York Giants 30, Atlanta 23
Line: New York Giants -3, o/u: 47.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2.5

5: 30th anniversary of Nevermind
1: The Applebee’s shake song

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Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Game Preview

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26


Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh How To Watch

Date: Sunday, September 26
Game Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
How To Watch: CBS
Record: Cincinnati (1-1), Pittsburgh (1-1)
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Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Game Preview


Why Cincinnati Will Win

How healthy is Ben Roethlisberger?

The answer to that is always negative, and then he plays. It’s the same this week – he’s a go with a pectoral injury – but he’s certainly not 100%.

The Bengals have to get Joe Burrow going again after throwing for just 179 yards with a slew of mistakes in the loss to Chicago. On the plus side, Cincinnati turned it over four times – with three picks from Burrow – and only lost by three. However, things aren’t about to get easier against the Pittsburgh D.

The defense was able to hold down the Chicago offense – allowing just 206 yards – and Pittsburgh still can’t get its running game to rock even with Najee Harris looking great so far.

Why Pittsburgh Will Win

Roethlisberger is fine.

He spread the ball around well in the weird loss to Las Vegas – coming off the weird win over Buffalo – and he just needs to keep things moving.

The Steelers aren’t going to run 40 times for over 150 yards or anything, but they can control the tempo by just hitting the midrange throws.

As long as the secondary tightens up after getting bombed on by the Raiders, the defense will rock with the Bengal running game bottled up. However …

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What’s Going To Happen

Will the Pittsburgh pass rush be there? The injuries and inconsistencies were a problem last week – TJ Watt is out – and Burrow should be able to push enough deep passes to make up for a whole slew of stalled drives.

The Steelers aren’t going to run wild – and Ja’Marr Chase will come up with a home run to keep the Bengals in the game – but they’ll get enough from Harris to go along with an efficient day from Roethlisberger to push through to a tough win.

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Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Line

Pittsburgh 24, Cincinnati 20
Line: Pittsburgh -3, o/u: 43
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3

5: 30th anniversary of Nevermind
1: The Applebee’s shake song

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Arizona vs Jacksonville Prediction, Game Preview

Arizona vs Jacksonville prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26

Arizona vs Jacksonville prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26


Arizona vs Jacksonville How To Watch

Date: Sunday, September 26
Game Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
How To Watch: FOX
Record: Arizona (2-0), Jacksonville (0-2)
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Arizona vs Jacksonville Game Preview


Why Arizona Will Win

Kyler Murray has been brilliant.

He was already amazing, but he’s trying to run less, using his good receiving corps more, and the weapons are all producing.

DeAndre Hopkins might be hurting, but Rondale Moore has been fun, AJ Green caught a touchdown pass, and Christian Kirk is turning into one of the league’s more dangerous deep threats.

Jacksonville doesn’t have the defense to hold on.

The offensive side showed it can crank up yards against Houston, but five turnovers in the first two games, little passing production against Denver, and two straight double-digit wins showed just how far there is to go.

Why Jacksonville Will Win

The passing game should be there.

It might not be consistent, and Trevor Lawrence will come up with a few too many misfires, but he’ll make up for his miserable day in Denver by throwing and throwing some more to keep up.

On the positive side, he’s spreading the ball around well, and now he needs help. A little bit of the pressure should be taken off with the ground game taking more of the load.

James Robinson and Carlos Hyde haven’t been able to break free, but Arizona got gouged last week by Dalvin Cook – the Jaguars have to give it a shot.

What’s Going To Happen

Jacksonville will come up with an interesting performance at home.

Murray and the offense will come up with a third quarter run to all but put the game away, but the Jaguars will start to click a little better. It’s a work in progress, but if there’s such a thing as a good loss, this will be it.

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Arizona vs Jacksonville Prediction, Line

Arizona 34, Jacksonville 26
Line: Arizona -7.5, o/u: 51.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2

5: 30th anniversary of Nevermind
1: The Applebee’s shake song

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Miami vs Las Vegas Prediction, Game Preview

Miami vs Las Vegas prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26

Miami vs Las Vegas prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26


Miami vs Las Vegas How To Watch

Date: Sunday, September 26
Game Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
How To Watch: CBS
Record: Miami (1-1), Las Vegas (2-0)
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Miami vs Las Vegas Game Preview


Why Miami Will Win

The Raiders might not have a running game.

Josh Jacobs can’t get past a slew of issues, and now he has an ankle problem. The ground game only finished with 52 yards in the win over Pittsburgh, and it’s not going to do a whole lot more this week.

The Dolphins have the receivers to potentially keep up – Will Fuller is finally back in the mix to go along with rookie Jaylen Waddle – and even though he’s not going to be consistent, Jacoby Brissett is a veteran who can step in an make the O go with Tua Tagovailoa out for a few weeks.

However …

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Why Las Vegas Will Win

It’s Jacoby Brissett. The Miami offense was struggling to begin with, and now it has to try growing and improving over the next few weeks without Tagovailoa.

Okay after a scare last week, Derek Carr should be able to bomb away on a Dolphin secondary that allowed close to 270 yards to Mac Jones in the win over the Patriots and allowed a few too many big plays against Buffalo.

The Raiders look like the Francis is supposed to – the O is bombing away for a league-high 782 yards over the first two weeks. Las Vegas has the ability to get back in the game with its offense. It’s questionable whether or not Miami can do the same if needed.

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What’s Going To Happen

Brissett will be fine, but there isn’t a whole lot happening with the Miami running game to help out the quarterback.

Both teams have bangs and bruises, but Miami isn’t going to keep up and won’t overcome a few key turnovers.

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Miami vs Las Vegas Prediction, Line

Las Vegas 26, Miami 20
Line: Las Vegas -4, o/u: 44
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 3

5: 30th anniversary of Nevermind
1: The Applebee’s shake song

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Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles Rams Prediction, Game Preview

Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles Rams prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26

Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles Rams prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, September 26


Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles Rams How To Watch

Date: Sunday, September 26
Game Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
How To Watch: FOX
Record: Tampa Bay (2-0), Los Angeles Rams (2-0)
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Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles Rams Game Preview


Why Tampa Bay Will Win

That’s how a defending Super Bowl champion with everyone back is supposed to play – at least offensively.

The Buccaneers have been a whole lot of fun in their two wins.

Tom Brady is the MVP if the season ended after two games – nine touchdown passes isn’t bad – the offensive line is giving him time, and Mr. Gronkowski looks like his old unstoppable self inside the 20.

No one’s running on the defensive front – just 115 yards allowed in the first two games – and Sony Michel probably won’t be the instant star this week like a whole lot of fantasy owners would like.

But as good as Tampa Bay as been …

Why Los Angeles Rams Will Win

The Rams lead the NFL in yards per attempt. This Matthew Stafford thing seems to be working just fine.

Whether it was Cooper Kupp running through a Chicago D with a slew of missed assignments, or … Cooper Kupp hammering Indianapolis for 163 yards, the offense is working. Stafford is getting plenty of time and he’s not missing his deep shots.

The timing overall isn’t quite there yet, but the O is able to hit the home runs when needed. And then there’s the other side …

The Ram D hasn’t cranked it up quite yet.

Aaron Donald and company have ben fine – he was much better last week against the Colts than he was against the Bears – but the Rams are 2-0 and they haven’t even played their best ball yet.

Tampa Bay should bring that out of this defense.

What’s Going To Happen

Brady and Stafford will get the headlines, but watch out for the two defensive lines to take over for long stretches.

The two star quarterbacks will get the ball out of their hands quickly enough to avoid taking too many shots, but this probably won’t be the offensive shootout everyone wants …

Until the second half.

This is going to build up over the first three quarters, and then the offenses are going to be brilliant with each one stepping up.

The Rams get out on a walk-off field goal in a satisfying thriller.

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Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles Rams Prediction, Line

Los Angeles 26, Tampa Bay 24
Line: Tampa Bay -1.5, o/u: 55.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1

Must See Rating: 5

5: 30th anniversary of Nevermind
1: The Applebee’s shake song

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