The San Diego State Aztecs (20-0, 9-0 Mountain West) travel to Fabulous Las Vegas to take on the UNLV Rebels (11-10, 6-2) in an MWC showdown Sunday at 4 p.m. ET at the Thomas & Mack Center.
We analyze the San Diego State-UNLV odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.
San Diego State at UNLV: Three things you need to know
1. The fourth-ranked Aztecs (USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll) have been great on both sides of the ball. SDSU has been especially stingy on defense, allowing few good looks from anywhere on the floor and being lock-down proficient on the glass.
2. Analytics peg San Diego State as being one of the best in the nation when playing on the road. But there is also a thread of inconsistency running throughout the Aztecs’ numbers at home and abroad. These swings have come on offense and defense and against teams up and down the rankings.
3. The site of this one is significant. Advanced stats reveal that the Rebels have among the nation’s biggest drop-offs in home-vs.-road efficiency. The Rebs have won six straight on their home hardwood.
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San Diego State at UNLV: Odds, betting lines and picks
UNLV 67, San Diego State 65
The spread and Over/Under look to be well-pegged by the betting public. But the UNLV side of the moneyline stands out here. UNLV +230 makes for decent value. The Rebels have offensive indicators pointed the right way, and the Aztecs are in a vulnerable spot. A comp for this one on the SDSU side is the Aztecs’ Jan. 14 at Fresno State, a non-cover of a 12.5-point spread and a contest that was played within one score mostly throughout. If you can see UNLV winning 3 of 10 meetings, the line here has value.
New to sports betting? A $10 moneyline play on UNLV would return a $23 profit.
Against the Spread (ATS)
In their six-game win streak at home, UNLV is 5-1 against the spread. The Runnin’ Rebels are 4-1 ATS over their last five games following a straight-up loss.
UNLV (+7.5 -134) line is a lean here. Shade this play as stronger than the O/U but weaker than the moneyline.
San Diego State has had nine games on each side of the O/U. The Over is 11-10 in UNLV’s 21 games. The Under is 4-1 in UNLV’s last five games as a home underdog, and it’s 5-2 in SDSU’s last seven as a road favorite. The UNDER (133.5 -115) is a lean here.
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