Germany vs. Italy UEFA Nations League odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Germany vs. Italy odds and lines, with UEFA Nations League picks and predictions.

Germany (0 wins, 0 losses, 3 draws) welcomes Italy (1-0-2) to Borussia-Park in Mönchengladbach Monday. Kickoff for the 4th of 6 group stage games is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Germany vs. Italy odds and lines, and make our best UEFA Nations League bets, picks and predictions.

The 2 global soccer powerhouses will highlight just a handful of premier games in this round of the group stage. The teams played to a 1-1 draw June 4.

Wildly enough, every one of Germany’s 3 group stage matches has resulted in a 1-1 draw. Italy, the No. 6 team in FIFA’s rankings, has drawn twice — 1-1 against Germany and 0-0 against England. They beat Hungary 2-1.

Having made global news when they were bounced from World Cup qualifying, this will be the top training ground for a new wave of Italian talent. They’re led by 25-year-old Roma M Lorenzo Pellegrini, who has 2 of the team’s 3 goals in the UEFA Nations League.

As for Germany, FIFA’s 12th-ranked team, they’re going to be a big-time contender in the 2022 Qatar World Cup. A combination of M Thomas Müller and F Kai Havertz lead the attack while GK Manuel Neuer anchors the backline.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

Germany vs. Italy odds, lines, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:12 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Germany -133 (bet $133 to win $100) | Italy +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Draw +280
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

[tipico]

Prediction

Germany 1, Italy 0

Money line (ML)

BET GERMANY -133.

Germany has an extremely talented side with many big-name European talents taking the pitch. While Germany didn’t come out on top against Italy in the 1st meeting, it did have double the shots on target and also had 68% of the possession in that battle.

Most of the time, a team with those splits will win, and with this match in Germany, the home side should have the edge.

While they did play on Saturday, Man City M İlkay Gündoğan and Muller both didn’t start, so they should be rested enough to play the bulk of the game against Italy.

Italy has just 11 shots on target through 3 games. Given their lack of consistent attempts, I’d back Germany to come out on top as they should have in the 1st matchup.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-117).

Italy has seen 5 goals netted between it and its opponent. Germany can barely top that with 6. The only game between the 2 teams that would have gone over this total is Italy’s 2-1 win over Austria.

As noted as well, Italy hasn’t had a powerful attack. They do not have a player in the Nations League that has more than 10 goals. It’s an extremely inexperienced side.

Germany has only scored 3 goals in 3 games, so their attack hasn’t erupted like many expected. Germany has had 11 shots on target in 28 attempts, so they have struggled to put it on the frame.

Both teams have had issues in the Nations League, and I expect their current form to yield a low-scoring affair.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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France vs. Croatia UEFA Nations League odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s France vs. Croatia odds and lines, with UEFA Nations League picks and predictions.

France (0 wins, 1 loss, 2 draws) welcomes Croatia (1-1-1) to Stade de France in Paris Monday. Kickoff for the 4th of 6 group stage games is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the France  vs. Croatia odds and lines, and make our best UEFA Nations League bets, picks and predictions.

The 2 global soccer powerhouses will highlight just a handful of premier games in this round of the group stage. Surprisingly, both teams sit 3rd and 4th in League A Group 1 play.

France has just 2 points while Croatia is tied with Austria at 4 points. Croatia has a minus-2 goal differential though while Austria’s is 2. Denmark leads the group with 6 points.

Croatia is led by superstar M Luka Modrić who is coming off a Champions League title with Real Madrid. Croatia’s problem has been scoring, having totaled just 2 goals in 3 games.

Croatia, ranked 16th in the world by FIFA, has already qualified for the 2022 Qatar World Cup. No. 3 France has also qualified and is among the favorites to win the tournament.

France is led by Atletico Madrid F Antoine Griezmann and Real Madrid F Karim Benzema. PSG F Kylian Mbappe is also one of the team’s top players. They’ve drawn Austria and Croatia 1-1 while losing to Denmark 2-1.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

France vs. Croatia odds, lines, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:48 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: France -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Croatia +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Draw +330
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

[tipico]

Prediction

France 2, Croatia 0

Money line (ML)

LEAN FRANCE (-200).

France is the far superior side, and they’ll be at home. My concern here is the value on France at -200. They haven’t looked great despite playing several of their top-tier players.

Against Austria, France had more than double the shots on goal and had more than double the shots against Denmark, who beat them 2-1. Even Croatia played them well but only drew by a penalty kick.

France has the favorite to win the Ballon d’Or in Benzema and also one of the best defensive mids in the world in Chelsea’s N’Golo Kanté. The team is deep and has a plethora of top European talent.

Considering Croatia has only scored 2 goals in 3 games, I expect those struggles to continue while France, given the pace of Mbappe and Benzema should be enough to get on the board enough to take home 3 points.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+100).

Both teams have struggled to produce. Also, both sides are 1-2 O/U so far in the nations league. Croatia held Denmark, who scored 2 on France, to just 1 shot on goal in the road side’s most recent matchup.

France has allowed 4 goals but also has limited opponents shot on target.

There were 10 shots on target in the first matchup between these 2 teams. The possessions were split 48% Croatia to 52% France, so it was a well-paced battle.

With how the teams have played so far in the group stage, the Under 2.5 (+100) is the best bet in this game.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Switzerland vs. Portugal odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Switzerland vs. Portugal odds and lines, with UEFA Nations League picks and predictions.

Switzerland (0 wins, 3 losses, 0 draws) welcomes Portland (2-0-1) to Stade de Genève in Geneva, Switzerland Sunday. Kickoff for the 4th of 6 group stage games is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Switzerland vs. Portugal odds and lines, and make our best UEFA Nations League bets, picks and predictions.

The 2 global soccer powerhouses will highlight just a handful of premier games in this round of the group stage.

While Switzerland was among those teams in Pot 2 for the 2022 World Cup draw, they’ve struggled immensely in a group that also has Spain and the Czech Republic. Switzerland sits 14th in the world per FIFA men’s rankings.

Portugal comes in ranked 8th, led by Manchester United star F Cristiano Ronaldo, who netted 2 goals as Portugal beat Switzerland 4-0 at home on June 5.

The Ronaldo-led side is sitting atop League A Group 2 with 7 goals for and 1 goal against in 3 games. They drew Spain 1-1 and blanked the Czech Republic 2-0.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

Switzerland vs. Portugal odds, lines, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Switzerland +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Portugal +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Draw +245
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

[tipico]

Prediction

Portugal 2, Switzerland 1

Money line (ML)

LEAN PORTUGAL (+115).

It might be a relatively easy prediction, but Portugal has looked too good to bet against here. While Ronaldo is important, their team is far from just a one-man show.

They have an experienced backline led by D Pepe, who has 127 caps. Both Ronaldo on the attack and M João Moutinho have 3 digits worth of caps as well.

They also have an up-and-coming star F in 25-year-old Liverpool F Diogo Jota. Combine it all, and it’s a roster one wouldn’t want to bet against.

Also, Switzerland has looked awful so far in the nations league, allowing 7 goals and scoring just 1. They have an aging midfield with 30-year-old M Xherdan Shaqiri and 29-year-old Granit Xhaka.

The home-field advantage helps bring the value for Portugal, and I’ll take that.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-110).

Both sides have played in 3 games so far in the nations league and those games have totaled 8 goals each, so they’re hovering around a 3-goal per-game average.

Portugal has won 4-0 against Switzerland already and has 17 shots on goal through their 3 games.

As for Switzerland, while they haven’t scored, they did have 7 shots on goal against the Czech Republic yet just 1 goal. They’ve gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of 3 games.

Given Portugal’s dominant attackers, I’ll take the over in this battle.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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England vs. Italy odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s England vs. Italy odds and lines, with Champions League picks and predictions.

England (0 wins, 1 loss, 1 draw) welcomes Italy (1-1-0) to Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton, England Saturday. Kickoff for the 3rd of 6 group stage games is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the England vs. Italy odds and lines, and make our best UEFA Nations League bets, picks and predictions.

The two global soccer powerhouses will highlight just a handful of premier games in the 3rd round of the group stage. Italy failed to qualify for the 2022 Qatar World Cup but still sits 6th on FIFA’s men’s rankings.

Italy is led by M Nicolò Barella, who scored the winning goal against Hungary in a 2-1 Tuesday. Italy drew Germany 1-1 in its 1st game (June 4).

England sit 5th in the world and will play in a group with Iran, USA, and Wales in the November World Cup.

England is led by F Harry Kane but has struggled in Nations League play. Chelsea M Mason Mount and Manchester City F Raheem Sterling help highlight the elite English attack.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

England vs. Italy odds, lines, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: England -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Italy +330 (bet $100 to win $330) | Draw +230
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +122 | U: -150)

[tipico]

Prediction

Italy 1, England 1

Money line (ML)

LEAN DRAW (+230).

While I like the draw in this match, I also wouldn’t mind combining the draw and Italy to win at -122.

The home side is the far favorite, but England hasn’t played like it as of late. England lost to Hungary 1-0 by a penalty June 4 and only drew Germany 1-1 Tuesday because of a penalty.

England had fewer shots than Hungary and was out possessed by Germany 63% to 37%. England just hasn’t shown much despite being one of the better teams in the world.

Italy, on the other hand, doesn’t have a World Cup to play for. This is it. Italy has many young, up-and-coming prospects that have already started to show promise.

I expect Italy, as it has proven, to keep this game competitive.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-150).

This is by far the best bet in this match. It’s worth the extra bit of juice. England’s first 2 games saw scores of 1-0 and 1-1 – with 2 of the 3 goals being penalty kicks.

Italy’s first 2 games were 1-1 and 2-1, but the lone Hungary goal in the 2-1 loss to Italy was an own goal.

The Nations League games just haven’t been high scoring, and I wouldn’t bank that this one is either.

Also, as mentioned Italy has a young team and doesn’t have a player on its current roster that has more than 10 goals and no player has more than 50 caps.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Denmark vs. Croatia odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Denmark vs. Croatia odds and lines, with Champions League picks and predictions.

Denmark (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 draws) welcomes Croatia (0-1-1) to Parken Stadium in Copenhagen, Denmark Friday. Kickoff for the 3rd of 6 group stage games is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Denmark vs. Croatia odds and lines, and make our best UEFA Nations League bets, picks and predictions.

Denmark has had a highly impressive stretch of play so far in the Nations League. They beat France 2-1 and Austria 2-1 as well. Their opponents respectively rank 3rd and 34th in the world per FIFA.

Denmark sits 11th and has already qualified for the 2022 Qatar World Cup. Andreas Cornelius, who has 39 caps for the senior team, is leading the side in scoring with 2 of their 4 goals.

As for Croatia, the opposite can be said as they’ve uncharacteristically struggled. Croatia lost 3-0 to Austria as star M Luka Modrić, who plays for the Champions League-winning Real Madrid, subbed on in the second half.

Croatia was already down 3-0 at that point. Modric started in a 1-1 draw with France, the more impressive outing for Croatia. The road side will enter as a heavy underdog but does sit 16th in the world ranking.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

Denmark vs. Croatia odds, lines, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Denmark -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Croatia +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Draw +250
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

[tipico]

Prediction

Denmark 1, Croatia 1

Money line (ML)

LEAN DRAW +250.

Croatia didn’t play well against Austria, but they did put on a show against France, having as many shots on goal as the global’s 3rd-best side.

Modric makes that much of a difference. They drew France. Although Denmark defeated France, they had fewer shots on goal. Croatia advanced out of their group in the 2021 Euro 2020.

The Croatian midfield with Modric and Chelsea’s M Mateo Kovačić is no joke, and with Modric now rested after his club’s Champions League run, Croatia should be able to put up a fight.

Denmark has fewer players on top-tier European sides, and Leicester City D Jannik Vestergaard might be their most notable. He has helped to hold opponents to just 2 goals.

These teams have less splitting them apart than their spots on the table. I’ll take a DRAW +250 for a partial unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-130).

Denmark’s defense has allowed just 2 goals with Austria having just 1 shot on target yet they managed to put that one in the back of the net. France had just 1 goal as well.

Croatia gave up 3 to Austria then had a 1-1 draw with France.

Both sides have a solid midfield that should be able to control the game. Each, especially Denmark, has shown an ability to contain their opponents as well.

Four of Croatia’s 5 2021 matches against top-36 opponents went under 2.5 goals.  While Denmark is a strong scoring side, they’ve had 16 shots through the 2 games.

The UNDER 2.5 (-130) is my favorite bet in this battle.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Champions League final: Real Madrid vs. Liverpool odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Real Madrid vs. Liverpool odds and lines, with Champions League picks and predictions.

Real Madrid faces Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League final Saturday. Kickoff from Stade de France in Paris is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Real Madrid vs. Liverpool odds and lines, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Real Madrid claimed a dramatic come-from-behind 3-1 home win over Manchester City in the second leg of it semifinal matchup May 4. Real rallied from a 1-0 deficit, scoring 3 goals after the 90th minute.

Real Madrid advanced behind a 6-5 aggregate victory over Man City, a club that finished the season atop the EPL table. Madrid is led by F Karim Benzema, who has scored 27 goals in 32 appearances.

Liverpool, which went 1-0-2 vs. Man City this season, beat Villarreal  5-2 on aggregate in its semifinal matchup against Villarreal. Liverpool has coasted through much of the knockout rounds.

The Reds are led by star F Mohamed Salah, who scored 23 goals in 35 appearances. Salah, F Sadio Mane (16 goals) and M Diogo Jota (15 goals) rank among the top-8 goal scorers in the EPL, making Liverpool the most lethal attacking side in the world.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

Real Madrid vs. Liverpool odds, lines, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2:32 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Real Madrid +245 (bet $100 to win $245) | Liverpool +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Draw +265
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -135 | U: +105)

[tipico]

Prediction

Liverpool 2, Real Madrid 1

Money line (ML)

BET LIVERPOOL (+105).

While Madrid did get opportunities, it didn’t score when Man City D Kyle Walker was on the field. All 6 of Real Madrid’s aggregate goals were when Walker, who missed the first leg, was sidelined.

Liverpool D Trent Alexander-Arnold has a similar pace. The 22-year-old  Alexander-Arnold, as Walker did, should be able to tame speedy Real Madrid’s 21-year-old F Vinicius Júnior.

Real lost one of each knockout-round, two-game series as well. It’s a side that depends on its attack, and Liverpool allowed just .68 goals in the EPL this season, playing against some of the world’s best competition.

Given Liverpool’s attack, scoring 2.47 goals per game in EPL action and 2.16 in UCL knockout stage action, and an ensuing ability to tame Junior and Benzema, I expect the talented EPL side to come out on top.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN OVER 2.5 (-135).

While I expect Liverpool to be able to limit Madrid, it will be difficult to keep Real scoreless for an entire 90-minute period. City realized that, giving up 2 goals in the last 10 minutes of the game.

Madrid averaged 2.11 goals per game, and played almost just as well on the road as at home this season. The -140 value just isn’t that great here which is why this is just a lean.

Both attacks are good enough to bet on. Liverpool is 3-3 O/U in knockout-round games at this 2.5 figure while Real is 5-1. Madrid should look to push the pace, and Liverpool will be able to keep up.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Real Madrid vs. Manchester City odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Real Madrid vs. Manchester Cit odds and lines, with Champions League picks and predictions.

Real Madrid welcomes Manchester City to the Santiago Bernabéu Wednesday for the second leg of the UEFA Champions League semifinal. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we preview the Real Madrid vs. Manchester City odds and lines, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Real Madrid blasted the EPL-best Man City defense for 3 goals in the first leg. However its defense, which is among the best in La Liga, allowed 4 goals, and it now trails by 1 in aggregate. Liverpool awaits the winner.

The first leg was an instant classic with City owning 60% of the possession. It ended with 16 shots and 6 on target compared to Real’s 11 shots and 5 on target.

Real is led by F Karim Benzema who has 26 goals in 29 starts. He had 2 goals including a penalty kick in the first leg. Madrid is 5-4 on aggregate in its 2 knockout stage home matches.

City is coming in off a 4-0 win over Leeds United last weekend, resolidifying its lead in the EPL. M Kevin De Bruyne is the key player for City and 1 of 3 with 10-plus goals on the season.

Real Madrid vs. Manchester City odds, lines, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Real Madrid +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Manchester City +112 (bet $100 to win $112) | Draw +290
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115| U: -145)

[tipico]

Prediction

Real Madrid 1, Manchester City 1

Money line (ML)

LEAN DRAW +290.

City played PSG twice in the group stage and took on Atletico Madrid in the quarterfinals. It lost to PSG 2-0 and also drew Atletico 0-0 on the road. In UEFA action, it hasn’t been as dominant away from Ethiad.

City is the better team, but Madrid showed some talent and pace in the first leg. They were still out-possessed. It’ll be tough for them to control this game, but after Leg 1, they proved they can at least compete.

In La Liga action, which is no comparison to EPL’s level, Real has lost just once in 17 games. Madrid is a strong side at home and should put up a fight, and the draw possesses the best value on the money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 3.5 (-145).

The teams combined for 7 goals in the first leg and it was not expected. They scored 7 goals on 11 combined shots on target. That’s a rarity.

It doesn’t help that they combined for just 4.1 expected goals. I gave out the under in the first leg, and I’ll go back to it here. City’s defense has given up just 21 goals in 34 games.

In all other knockout stage games (4 in total), City held its opponents scoreless. Madrid is the best offense they’ll face, but their defense, which should have D Kyle Walker active, will be better prepared.

Madrid has also allowed just .85 goals per game. With City a possession-heavy club behind its dominant midfield, it should be able to keep the ball and work it, especially up on aggregate.

Take the UNDER 3.5 (-145).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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UEFA Champions League: Villarreal vs. Liverpool odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Villarreal vs. Liverpool odds and lines, with Champions League picks and predictions.

Villarreal welcomes Liverpool to El Madrigal Tuesday for the second leg of their UEFA Champions League semifinal. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Villarreal vs. Liverpool odds and lines, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Villarreal lost 2-0 in the first leg. Liverpool was able to get a strong win, dominating for most of the game.

Led by F Mohamed Salah, Liverpool totaled 19 shots, putting just 5 on goal. Its defense, which has allowed the second-fewest goals in EPL play, held Villarreal without a shot on goal. Liverpool had 73% of possession.

Liverpool got to this point by beating Inter 2-1 on aggregate and Benfica 6-4. The EPL’s second-place team averages 2.53 goals per game and allows 0.65 per game.

Villarreal sits 7th on the La Liga table and is also led by a rock-solid defense. It averages 1.59 goals per game while giving up 0.97. Offensively, Villarreal is led by 25-year-old F Arnaut Groeneveld.

Villarreal vs. Liverpool odds, lines, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:12 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Villarreal +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Liverpool -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Draw +310
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -155 | U: +122)

[tipico]

Prediction

Liverpool 1, Villarreal 1

Money line (ML)

LEAN to the DRAW +310.

There’s absolutely no doubt that Liverpool is the more talented team. However, it hasn’t played well when up in a 2-game series and on the road for the second leg.

It was up 2-0 on Inter and lost 1-0. It was up 3-1 on Benfica and drew 3-3. As for Villarreal, it has 2 league losses at home in 17 games.

Sure, Liverpool is a different beast, but it may be looking to possession more than usual which could weaken its desire to push ahead for a winning goal.

Villarreal drew Bayern Munich 1-1 and beat Juventus 3-0 at home. It hasn’t played well in league play on the road, but it has been terrific at home in both UEFA action and La Liga action.

I expect that to continue Tuesday as well. I’d rather play the draw than the Villarreal money line, though as I do expect Liverpool to keep the energy and poise high.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 2.5 (+122).

We gave this out for Leg 1 at +120, and it connected with the Liverpool 2-0 win.

I again expect Liverpool’s top-tier defense, led by D Virgil van Djik, one of the world’s best defenders, to limit Villarreal. Although Villarreal is better at home, it had zero shots on goal in the first leg.

I do not expect them to score at will despite being better at home. Also, Liverpool has had 3 of its 5 Group Stage games go under 3 goals. At plus-money value, I like the Under here.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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UEFA Champions League: Liverpool vs. Villarreal odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Liverpool vs. Villarreal odds and lines, with Champions League picks and predictions.

Liverpool welcomes Villarreal to Anfield Wednesday for the first leg of its UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Liverpool vs. Villarreal odds and lines, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Liverpool and Villarreal will try to live up to the same excitement as the other Champions League semifinal first leg, won by Manchester City 4-3 over Real Madrid.

Villarreal has knocked out both Juventus and Bayern Munich. It beat Bayern 2-1 on aggregate and Juventus 4-2 on aggregate.

Villarreal sits 7th on the La Liga table and is led by its defense which allows just .94 goals per game. It is led in scoring by 25-year-old Dutch F Arnaut Groeneveld, who has 10 goals in 23 league matches played.

Liverpool leads the EPL in scoring behind the league-leading F Mohamed Salah, who has 22 goals in 31 matches.

Liverpool knocked out Benfica 6-4 on aggregate in the quarterfinals and Inter 2-1 on aggregate in the Round of 16. It sits second in the EPL, having scored the most goals (85) and allowed the second-fewest (22).

Liverpool vs. Villarreal odds, lines, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:32 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Liverpool -280 (bet $290 to win $100) | Villarreal +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Draw +420
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -150 | U: +120)

[tipico]

Prediction

Liverpool 2, Villarreal 0

Money line (ML)

PASS.

Liverpool is the heavy favorite in this battle, and rightfully so.

I wouldn’t bet on them at -280, but I certainly wouldn’t bet against them either. Typically, I then look at the “both teams to score” odds, and you can get both teams to not score at -135, a price I don’t find much value in.

I’d prefer to play the total here.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 2.5 (+120).

Villarreal has proven during its Champions League run that it is capable defensively.

In league play, it’s continued that trend. Against Bayern Munich, one of the best-attacking teams in the world, it allowed 1 goal through  2 games.

It drew Real Madrid, who City allowed 3 goals to Tuesday, 0-0 in both league matches and also drew Chelsea 1-1 through 120 before losing in penalty kicks. Its defense is sound and should be able to limit Liverpool.

The same can be said of the home side as Liverpool has allowed .67 goals per game in league play. Against Inter and Atletico Madrid, arguably the two  best teams is has played in the Champions League, the Under 2.5 was 3-1.

This match should be a bit more slow paced for Liverpool than it was against Benfica, and for the value, I like the Under.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

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UEFA Champions League: Manchester City vs. Real Madrid odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Manchester City vs. Real Madrid odds and lines, with Champions League picks and predictions.

In the first of a two-leg UEFA Champions League semifinal, Manchester City will welcome Real Madrid to Etihad Stadium Tuesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Manchester City vs. Real Madrid odds and lines, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Manchester City comes in with confidence as it hosts the La Liga-leading Real. City has won 2 straight games by at least 3 goals, over Brighton 3-0 and Watford 5-1.

City is backed by arguably the best midfield in the world, Kevin de Bruyne. Unlike PSG, who Real knocked out earlier in the tournament, City is going to want to possess. It leads the EPL in touches by more than 1,500.

Real will be tasked with slowing down the EPL-leading City. Madrid averages 2.09 goals per game in league play, and its strength comes defensively, allowing just .88. City averages 2.42 goals per match in league play and has allowed only 21 goals in 33 matches.

Real beat Paris Saint-Germain 3-2 in their 2 matches and then Chelsea 5-4. It’s had by far the most impressive journey to the final four. Madrid is led by F Karim Benzema, who has scored 25 goals in 29 matches.

Manchester City vs. Real Madrid odds, lines, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Manchester City -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Real Madrid +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Draw +360
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -155| U: +122)

[tipico]

Prediction

Manchester City 1, Real Madrid 0

Money line (ML)

PASS.

Manchester City is the better side, and in EPL action it is 13-2-2 at home. Real is 13-2-2 on the road in La Liga, a lesser competitive league.

With how Real has played other top teams, betting on City to win at -200 is not smart. A draw at +360 has value, but I’d rather look elsewhere to bet on this highly anticipated battle.

One other bet I like is BOTH TEAMS NOT TO SCORE at -105.

I love this because of the pace City plays with. They’ll kick it around, work it to the middle and attack with accuracy and poise.

However, it’s their possession that kills. Athletico Madrid didn’t score in 2 games and had just 1.1 expected goals through both. City hasn’t allowed a single goal through 4 knockout-stage games.

Also, Real had 9 shots on goal through 2 games against Chelsea, scoring 5 of them. That 5-to-9 ratio isn’t sustainable. It allowed 12 shots on goal through those 2 games and has allowed the second-fewest goals allowed in La Liga.

This should be a defensive-heavy battle.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 2.5 (+122).

Considering the above analysis, I also like the Under here. City is going to want to keep this game slow as its both the first leg and at home. Three of City’s 4 knockout-stage games have had under 1.5 goals scored.

While that’s a risky proposition, one can take under 1.5 at +320.

Real is 3-3 O/U the 2.5 in matches against Round of 16 opponents. Given how the more dominant side is going to want to play, expect the Under to be the better play.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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