UFC Fight Night 210: Cory Sandhagen vs. Song Yadong odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 210 odds and lines between Cory Sandhagen vs. Song Yadong, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a bantamweight bout in the main event, Cory Sandhagen and Song Yadong meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 210 at UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC Fight Night 210: Sandhagen vs. Song odds, with expert picks and predictions.

The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at 4 p.m. ET and the main card at 7 p.m. ET.

The last time we saw Sandhagen, he was leaving the octagon at UFC 267 on the short end of a unanimous decision against Petr Yan, losing the interim welterweight championship bout. He is hungry to get back on track and get himself into position for a shot at the strap again.

The favorite Sandhagen takes the walk with a 3-inch advantage in both height and reach over his counterpart Song. He also holds a 6.42-to-4.92 significant strikes landed per minute advantage while landing 48.58% of those shots.

While Song is a little more accurate in takedowns at 42.86-to-33.33%, Sandhagen has a slight edge in submission average.

Song hasn’t needed a strong ground game lately, though. His last 2 fights have resulted in KO/TKO wins, including a 1st-round knockout of Marlon Moraes last time out in mid-March. While 4 of his last 6 bouts have gone the distance, as mentioned, his previous 2 have been stoppage wins.

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UFC Fight Night 210 Sandhagen vs. Song odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Sandhagen -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Song +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -180 | Under +130)

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UFC Fight Night 210 Sandhagen vs. Song picks and predictions

Records: Sandhagen (14-4-0) | Song (19-6-1)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Sandhagen (-200) is a good bet to outlast Song in this matchup, but risking 2 times your potential return in what should be a close fight is just too expensive.

Instead, let’s get a little more specific. SANDHAGEN BY POINTS (+107) is a much better play. He has the physical advantage and will be able to bounce in and out, using his reach advantage to keep Song away. Song has devastating punching ability, and he has 2 straight KO/TKO wins. Sandhagen will be working all night to keep him at a distance, picking and choosing his spots.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-180) is a bit of a steep price, but worth a look. Song has gone the distance in 4 of his past 6 bouts, while Sandhagen has needed the judges to determine a winner in each of his previous 2 outings. YES (-170): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is also not priced terribly out of line.

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UFC 279: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Kevin Holland odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 279 odds and lines between Khamzat Chimaev vs. Kevin Holland, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a catch weight bout on the main card, Khamzat Chimaev and Kevin Holland meet Saturday at UFC 279 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC 279: Chimaev vs. Holland odds, with expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ beginning at 6 p.m. ET, the prelims starting on ESPNews/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET, and the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Chimaev was expected to fight Nate Diaz in the main event, but he failed to make weight by an unbelievable 7.5 pounds, and the bout was scratched and rescheduled. He’ll now face Holland at catch weight.

Chimaev enters this fight with a 5-0 mark at the UFC level, including 4 stoppages. He had a unanimous-decision win over Gilbert Burns in his most recent appearance at UFC 273 in April. His previous 4 wins were 2 submission victories and a pair of KO/TKO wins.

Holland was matched out with Daniel Rodriguez previously, and it’s a bummer they won’t fight. They have had a lot of bad blood, and it would have been nice to see them hash it out in the octagon.

Holland has picked up victories in each of his last 2 fights, including a 2nd-round submission over Tim Means last time out in June. Eight of his last 11 bouts have finished inside the distance.

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UFC 279 Chimaev vs. Holland odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:14 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Chimaev -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Holland +370 (bet $100 to win $370)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -160 | Under +115)

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UFC 279 Chimaev vs. Holland picks and predictions

Records: Chimaev (11-0-0) | Holland (23-7-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

HOLLAND (+370) is a value play at this price. Chimaev has never lost, but it will be interesting to see how he bounces back after missing weight and getting dropped from the main event. He could come out with extra motivation, or he could be disinterested. I am banking on the latter.

Holland has a 6-inch reach advantage which he’ll use to keep the undefeated Swedish fighter at a distance. Chimaev is a whirling dervish, posting 7.89 significant strikes landed per minute. Holland doesn’t want any of that, but he will want to keep the fight upright. Chimaev is a tremendous wrestler who has a 2.69 submission average.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-160) is a little on the expensive side, but it’s a good play. If Holland is to survive, he will need to outpoint Chimaev, keeping the fight upright and off the mat. I think that the big upset comes here, and Holland will do enough to wow the judges, going well beyond the middle of Round 2.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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UFC 279: Nate Diaz vs. Tony Ferguson odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 279 odds and lines between Nate Diaz vs. Tony Ferguson, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a welterweight bout in the main event, Nate Diaz and Tony Ferguson meet Saturday at UFC 279 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson odds, with expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ beginning at 6 p.m. ET, the prelims starting on ESPNews/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET, and the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Diaz was originally scheduled to face Khamzat Chimaev, but the latter missed weight and the opponent changed.

Diaz enters just 1-3 across his last 4 fights, with 3 of those bouts going the distance. He had a unanimous-decision loss to Leon Edwards, the current welterweight champion, last time out at UFC 263 in mid-June 2021.

Ferguson moves from the lightweight division to welterweight for this fight. He was supposed to face Li Jingliang, but now he is matched up with Diaz instead. Ferguson has dropped the past 4 fights, but losses to Justin Gaethje, Charles Oliveira, Beneil Dariush and Michael Chandler are anything but embarrassing.

Ferguson’s last victory came at UFC 238 against Donald Cerrone, a win via TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage back in early June of 2019.

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UFC 279 Diaz vs. Ferguson odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Diaz +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Ferguson -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -140 | Under +102)

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UFC 279 Diaz vs. Ferguson picks and predictions

Records: Diaz (21-13-0) | Ferguson (26-7-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

FERGUSON (-135) was originally a moderate underdog for his first scheduled fight against Li, but after the shakeup, he now finds himself as a slight favorite.

Ferguson is in need of a victory, and the 38-year-old should get just that against Diaz in his return to the welterweight division. He has a slight lead in significant strikes landed per minute, and he is much more accurate on takedowns, too, posting a 42.86% mark in the category.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-140) is a decent play in his main event. Ferguson has gone the distance in 2 of his last 3 fights, while Diaz has needed the help of the judges to determine a winner in 3 of his last 4 outings. Diaz has also had just 2 stoppages in the past 7 fights. Look for this one to go the distance.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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UFC Fight Night 209: Robert Whittaker vs. Marvin Vettori odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 209 odds and lines between Robert Whittaker vs. Marvin Vettori, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout on the main card, Robert Whittaker and Marvin Vettori meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 209 at Accor Arena in Paris, France. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 209 Whittaker vs. Vettori odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at noon ET and the main card at 3 p.m. ET.

Whittaker suffered a unanimous-decision (UD) loss to Israel Adesanya last time out in a title fight at UFC 271 in February. It was his 4th consecutive fight to be decided by the judges, and he has just 1 finish across his last 7 outings dating back to his title win at UFC 213.

Vettori bounced back from a UD championship bout loss to Adesanya at UFC 263 in June 2021 with a UD win over Paulo Costa last time out in the main event in late October.

Vettori, the southpaw, has a half-inch read advantage, while Whittaker has a slight 4.45-to-4.35 lead in the significant strikes per minute category. The Italian is a little more accurate with a 53.38% significant strike accuracy percentage, and he is a better fighter on the ground.

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UFC Fight Night 209 Whittaker vs. Vettori odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Whittaker -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Vettori +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -340 | Under +220)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -290 | No +200)

[tipico]

UFC 209 Whittaker vs. Vettori picks and predictions

Records: Whittaker (24-6-0) | Vettori (18-5-1)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Whittaker (-210) has been very deliberate, going the distance in each of his previous 4 fights. He should be able to get the victory, bouncing back after a loss to The Last Stylebender. The odds are just a little steeper than my personal money line limit.

WHITTAKER BY POINTS (-116) is a tremendous value, and it is a good play as long as he can keep the fight upright and avoid Vettori and his wrestling skills.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-290): Fight to go the distance is not a recommended play, as it will cost you nearly 3 times your potential return. Over 2.5 Rounds (-340) is an even worse play.

Just stick with Whittaker on the 3-way line as the best play.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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UFC Fight Night 209: Ciryl Gane vs. Tai Tuivasa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 209 odds and lines between Ciryl Gane vs. Tai Tuivasa, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout in the main event, Ciryl Gane and Tai Tuivasa meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 209 at Accor Arena in Paris, France. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 209 Gane vs. Tuivasa odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at noon ET and the main card at 3 p.m. ET.

Gane, a.k.a. “Bon Gamin”, will fight in front of his countrymen in France for the first time at the UFC level. He is looking to rebound from a unanimous-decision loss at Francis Ngannou for the heavyweight belt at UFC 270 in January. That loss was in his first defense of the belt after taking the strap from Derrick Lewis via KO/TKO at UFC 265 in Aug. 2021.

Gane takes the walk to the octagon with a slight edge in significant strikes landed per minute at 4.83-to-4.54. He also stands 2 inches taller and holds a 6-inch reach advantage.

Tuivasa lost 3 fights from Dec. 2018 to Oct. 2019, but he has bounced back with 5 consecutive KO/TKO wins, including a 2nd-round KO of Derrick Lewis last time out at UFC 271 in February.

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UFC Fight Night 209 Gane vs. Tuivasa odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Gane -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Tuivasa +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -145 | Under +105)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -260)

[tipico]

UFC Fight Night 209 Gane vs. Tuivasa picks and predictions

Records: Gane (10-1-0) | Tuivasa (15-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Gane (-600) will fight with a little extra incentive in his homeland, and he will be feeding off the pro-Frenchmen crowd. Still, risking 6 times your potential return isn’t a recommended betting strategy. Let’s get a little more specific.

Gane has gone the distance in 3 of his last 4 fights and registered a pair of KO/TKO wins in the last 5 outings. He holds that huge reach advantage, so he’ll be able to keep Tuivasa at a distance, picking and choosing his spots. Gane is a great technical fighter, and he will be looking to wow the judges. Play GANE BY POINTS (+245) for the method of victory.

Over/Under (O/U)

Tuivasa has not ended up going very deep into fights lately, but Lewis and Augusto Sakai made him at least go into the 2nd round. With Gane, Tuivasa won’t be able to get next to him, as the Frenchman keeps him at a distance with that huge reach advantage. That will knock Tuivasa off his game a bit, and he won’t be able to get the finish.

YES (+180): FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE is a very attractive play in this main event.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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UFC 278: Jose Aldo vs. Merab Dvalishvili odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 278 odds and lines between Jose Aldo vs. Merab Dvalishvili, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a bantamweight bout on the main card, Jose Aldo and Merab Dvalishvili meet Saturday at UFC 278 at Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, Utah. Below, we analyze the UFC 278 Aldo vs. Dvalishvili odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+. The main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-per-view.

Aldo heads to the octagon with a 2-inch reach advantage. Dvalishvili, however, has a 4.26-to-3.61 edge in significant strikes landed per minute, while landing 60.21% of those strikes to just 49.91% for Aldo.

Aldo has picked up 3 straight unanimous-decision victories since losing in a 5th-round KO/TKO in a title fight against Petr Yan at UFC 251.

Dvalishvili has rattled off 7 straight wins since losing his first 2 bouts at the UFC level. In 6 of this fights, he ended up winning via unanimous decision, and he posted a 2nd-round KO/TKO win over Marlon Moraes at UFC 266 last time out.

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UFC 278 Aldo vs. Dvalishvili odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Aldo +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Dvalishvili -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -250 | Under +170)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -210 | No +150)

[tipico]

UFC 278 Aldo vs. Dvalishvili picks and predictions

Records: Aldo (31-7-0) | Dvalishvili (14-4-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

This has the potential to be the fight of the night, and it’s one of the most evenly matched bouts on the main card.

The Georgian fighter DVALISHVILI (-140) is a great technical fighter, and he wowed the judges in 6 straight fights from Sept. 2018 to May 2021, winning by unanimous decision in each outing. He’ll do it again here against Aldo (+110). Take DVALISHVILI BY POINTS (+135) for an even better value.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-210): Fight to go the distance is too risky, as you must wager more than 2 times your potential return. Over 2.5 Rounds (-250) is an even worse play. Just stick with the method of victory and/or picking a winner on the 3-way line, and AVOID the Over/Under.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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UFC 278: Paulo Costa vs. Luke Rockhold odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 278 odds and lines between Paulo Costa vs. Luke Rockhold, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout on the main card, Paulo Costa and Luke Rockhold meet Saturday at UFC 278 at Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, Utah. Below, we analyze the UFC 278 Costa vs. Rockhold odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+. The main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-per-view.

Costa was dumped in Round 2 by KO/TKO against Israel Adesanya in a title bout at UFC 253, and he followed that up with a unanimous-decision loss to Marvin Vettori in the main event in October.

The 2 losses come on the heels of a 5-0 run to begin his UFC career, and 4 of those victories came via KO/TKO. He looks to get that mojo back in this one against the veteran Rockhold.

Rockhold lost in his light heavyweight debut against Jan Blachowicz July 6, 2019. That’s the last time we saw him in a competitive bout inside the octagon. He had announced his retirement but reversed course to give it one more shot at the welterweight level.

Costa made weight for UFC 278, which is huge after he missed weight by 25 pounds last time out against Vettori. He looks chiseled, and focused.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC 278 Costa vs. Rockhold odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Costa -370 (bet $370 to win $100) | Rockhold +265 (bet $100 to win $265)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -113 | Under -120)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +255 | No -400)

[tipico]

UFC 278 Costa vs. Rockhold picks and predictions

Records: Costa (13-2-0) | Rockhold (16-5-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Rockhold (+265) is back in the octagon for the first time in over 3 calendar years. There is concern about his conditioning and ability to go the distance considering the long layoff.

In addition, Costa (-370) looked chiseled at weigh-ins, and was vocal about his disdain for the USADA and their testing procedures. He looks to be focused more than ever, and ready to make a statement. However, risking nearly 4 times your potential return is not a good bet.

Instead, get specific. COSTA BY TKO/KO (-200) is still a little on the expensive side, but Rockhold has been knocked out in each of his past 2 fights, and he is likely to be fairly sluggish in this one.

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-380): Fight to go the distance will cost you nearly 4 times your return, and as we covered above, that’s not a good strategy.

Instead, play OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-113), and look for a Costa finish in the latter half of Round 2 or into Round 3. Rockhold might have had a long layoff, and a brief retirement, but he is a prideful fighter looking for one more moment in the sun. He won’t get rolled like last time out against Blachowicz.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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UFC 278: Kamaru Usman vs. Leon Edwards odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 278 odds and lines between Kamaru Usman vs. Leon Edwards, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a welterweight championship bout in the main event, Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards meet Saturday at UFC 278 at Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, Utah. Below, we analyze the UFC 278 Usman vs. Edwards odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+. The main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-per-view.

The champ Usman holds a 2-inch reach advantage, and he also has an impressive 4.66-to-2.62 advantage in the significant strikes landed per minute category. He is also well ahead in takedown average at 3.00-to-1.48, while he is also accurate with a 49.02% takedown percentage.

Edwards has clawed his way into title contention with a 9-0-1 record since his loss to Usman in their first bout back in Dec. 2015. He lost that night by unanimous decision.

The Briton has 7 wins via decision during the 9-0-1 run with 1 no-contest against Belal Muhammad, a KO/TKO win over Peter Sobotta in March 2018, and a submission win over Albert Tumenov at UFC 204 in Oct. 2016.

Edwards posted the impressive win via unanimous decision against Nate Diaz last time out at UFC 263.

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UFC 278 Usman vs. Edwards odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Usman -340 (bet $340 to win $100) | Edwards +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -170 | Under +122)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -180 | No +130)

[tipico]

UFC 278 Usman vs. Edwards picks and predictions

Records: Usman (20-1-0) | Edwards (19-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Usman (-360) is heavily favored to retain his welterweight strap. However, you cannot risk more than 3 1/2 times your potential winnings, so let’s get specific.

Usman has successfully defended his title 5 times, including 3 KO/TKO victories. The most recent knockout came in Round 2 at UFC 261 over Jorge Masvidal in April 2021. Edwards tends to hang around, going the distance in 4 of his past 5 fights, and he lost via UD to Usman in the first meeting.

USMAN (-115) BY POINTS is the way to go here. Edwards won’t go quietly into the night as 10 of his past 12 fights have ended up going the distance.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (-180): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is a little on the expensive side, but it’s a good play based upon Edwards’ history. The first meeting also ended up needing the judges to decide a winner. OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-170) might be the better play, however, as it is cheaper, and allows for a little wiggle room in the event of a late finish.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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UFC on ESPN 41: Nate Landwehr vs. David Onama odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 41 odds and lines between Nate Landwehr vs. David Onama, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a featherweight bout on the main card, Nate Landwehr and David Onama meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 41 at Pechanga Arena in San Diego, Calif. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 41 Landwehr vs. Onama odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The card can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 4 p.m. ET and the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET.

Landwehr has alternated wins and losses across his last 4 fights since making his UFC debut. He had a submission win over Ludovit Klein last time out in mid-October, and he also has a unanimous-decision victory over Darren Elkins to his ledger. He was knocked out in the 1st round in each of his losses by both Julian Erosa and Herbert Burns.

Onama has bounced back with a pair of wins over Garrett Armfield and Gabriel Benitez after losing his UFC debut against Mason Jones in late Oct. 2021. Both of his victories have finished inside the distance.

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UFC on ESPN 41 Landwehr vs. Onama odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Landwehr +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Onama -370 (bet $370 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -165 | Under +120)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +165 | No -240)

[tipico]

UFC on ESPN 41 Landwehr vs. Onama picks and predictions

Records: Landwehr (15-4-0) | Onama (10-1-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Onama (-370) will cost you over three and a half times your potential return, and that’s risky business, even against an inconsistent fighter such as Landwehr.

Onama, the Glory MMA & Fitness fighter hailing from Uganda, has a 2-inch reach advantage and holds a 1.09-to-0.54 takedown average. However, when he gets the victory, I am expecting it to come via knockout as Landwehr has been very susceptible to those. ONAMA BY TKO/KO (+110) is a much better play at plus money.

Over/Under (O/U)

Landwehr’s 2 losses at the UFC level have not only been via knockout but he has been dropped in the 1st round in each of the outings. As such, take a flier on UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS (+115) at plus money.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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UFC on ESPN 41: Marlon Vera vs. Dominick Cruz odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 41 odds and lines between Marlon Vera vs. Dominick Cruz, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a bantamweight bout in the main event, Marlon Vera and Dominick Cruz meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 41 at Pechanga Arena in San Diego, Calif. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 41 Vera vs. Cruz odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The card can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 4 p.m. ET and the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET.

Vera aims for his 4th consecutive victory. He posted a unanimous-decision (UD) win against Rob Font in a fight night main event in late April. Three of his last 4 outings have gone to the judges to decide a victor.

Cruz posted a UD victory against Pedro Munhoz at UFC 269 in December, and he has gone the distance in 5 of his last 6 bouts. He is aiming to get back in the championship picture and post a 3rd straight win since suffering a KO/TKO defeat in Round 2 against Henry Cejudo in a title fight at UFC 249 in May 2020.

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UFC on ESPN 41 Vera vs. Cruz odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:09 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Vera -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Cruz +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -180 | Under +130)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -170 | No +122)

[tipico]

UFC on ESPN 41 Vera vs. Cruz picks and predictions

Records: Vera (19-7-1) | Cruz (24-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Vera (-240) takes the walk to the octagon searching for his 4th consecutive win. However, 2 of his last 3 victories have gone to the judges, so it’s a risky wager.

However, he does have a 2.5-inch reach advantage and holds a 4.33-to-3.82 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. In addition, the favorite has a 1.13 submission average to just 0.05 for Cruz.

For the method of victory, look to VERA BY POINTS (+150) for a much better value. Cruz has also gone the distance in 5 of his past 6 outings, so it’s a good bet.

Over/Under (O/U)

In addition to playing Vera by points, look to YES (-170): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE, which is a strong play. Both of these fighters have struggled to tick off stoppages. You can expect the judges to decide the winner here.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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