North Carolina at Notre Dame college basketball odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s North Carolina Tar Heels at Notre Dame Fighting Irish sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball picks.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (10-15, 3-11 ACC) travel north to meet the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (15-10, 6-8 ACC) in a Monday night ACC clash at Purcell Pavillion at the Joyce Center for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the North Carolina-Notre Dame odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.

North Carolina at Notre Dame: Three things you need to know

1. The Fighting Irish are coming off back to back losses to Duke (94-60) and Virginia (50-49 in overtime) and look to right the ship on their home hardwood where they average 79.9 points per game. The Tar Heels head into this game on a five-game losing skid. UNC has trailed throughout four of those five losses.

2. Seniors G Brandon Robinson being out with an ankle injury hurts North Carolina. Robinson has been UNC’s primary threat from 3-point range where he’s a 35% shooter. The fourth-year letterman has averaged a career-high 13.1 PPG in 16 starts this season. The Tar Heels have shot just 26.2% from 3-point-land over their last 11 games.

3. UND is coming off its worst two back-to-back shooting games this season. The Irish shot a combined 34.7% from the field over losses to Duke and Virginia. Over three home games from Jan. 29-Feb. 5, Notre Dame shot 45.6% from the floor and a robust 37.7% from distance.


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North Carolina at Notre Dame: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Notre Dame 76, North Carolina 71

Moneyline (ML)

Notre Dame (-175) is expected to win this Monday home game over North Carolina (+145). We’ll PASS on the moneyline with better value available on the spread.

Against the Spread (ATS)

The Fighting Irish are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games. The home teams is 7-2 ATS over the last nine games of the UNC-UND series.

Look for the Fighting Irish to take good care of the basketball. A low-turnover game will mitigate a UNC edge on the boards, making UND a solid play to win by a couple scores. BACK NOTRE DAME (-2.5, -129) to win by at least 3 points.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over is 7-2-1 across Notre Dame’s last 10 games. The Under is 3-13 over North Carolina’s last 16 road tilts.

The number here is a respectable one, and we’ll PASS on the projected total of 147.5 (Over: -110, Under: -110).

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