Bowl Game Reaction: Boca Raton, Celebration, New Mexico, Independence

Quick reactions to the college football games: Boca Raton, Celebration, New Mexico, Independence Bowls

Bowl Game Reaction to the Boca Raton, Celebration, New Mexico, and Independence Bowls


Bowl Game Reaction: Boca Raton, Celebration, New Mexico, Independence

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CFN Predictions | 2021-2022 Bowl Schedule

Bowl Game Reactions  
– Boca Raton: WKU 59, App St 38
– Celebration, New Mexico, Independence to come

Boca Raton Bowl Reaction: WKU 59, Appalachian State 38

– Now THAT’S a bowl game. It started early, started fast, and it kept on rolling until Appalachian State punched itself out in the second half. 1,246 yards of total offense, 97 points, big play after big play. This was why we all do bowl season.

– Bailey Zappe was incredible. He threw for 422 yards and six scores with no picks, but he had a whole lot of help. Zappe was the signature star coming in from Houston Baptist – and he set the single season passing record and broke Joe Burrow’s touchdown pass record – but battery mate Jerreth Sterns had a whole lot to do with it, too. The star WR caught 13 passes for 184 yards and three scores.

– Appalachian State could never get control. For good and for mostly bad, it kept scoring too quickly. It needed to slow things down to a stop, but it got caught up in a firefight and couldn’t keep up. The running game did what it was supposed to do – 251 yards – but the team only had the ball for just over 31 minutes. The time of possession battle needed to be lopsided.

– No, WKU’s defense didn’t do a whole lot – it couldn’t tackle, it gave up over 600 yards, and it struggled – but the four turnovers made a difference. The pace of the game made Appalachian State press, and the mistakes followed.

COMING: Celebration Bowl, New Mexico Bowl, Independence Bowl

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CFN Predictions | 2021-2022 Bowl Schedule

WKU vs Appalachian State: RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Prediction, Game Preview

WKU vs Appalachian State: RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might or might not win.

WKU vs Appalachian State: RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, December 18


WKU vs Appalachian State: RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl How To Watch

Date: Saturday, December 18
Game Time: 11:00 am ET
Venue: FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
Network: ESPN, Live stream on ESPN+
Records: Appalachian State (10-3), WKU (8-5)

CFN Predictions | 2021-2022 Bowl Schedule

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WKU vs Appalachian State RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Preview

If you’re looking for defense, wait for one of the other five bowl games over the rest of the day. It’s an early morning Saturday game that should crank up the offense and big plays right away with two of the most interesting attacks in college football.

WKU had a stagnant attack last year, so head coach Tyson Helton imported the stars from the transfer portal to make his offense go from okay to amazing, leading the nation in passing offense and finishing No. 2 behind Ohio State in scoring. Star offensive coordinator Zach Kittley might be off to do the same thing at Texas Tech, but the WKU offense should still roll.

The O goes fast, fast, fast and scores in bunches, but there’s no controlling the clock and – as UTSA showed in its win in the Conference USA Championship – the Hilltopper defense isn’t exactly a brick wall. QB Bailey Zappe and company will have to bomb their way to a win.

Appalachian State lost the Sun Belt Championship, but the offense is balanced behind a great offensive line. Unlike WKU, the team has no problems controlling the clock and owning the pace. The only negative here for the Mountaineers is actually one of their biggest positives – the defense is built around stopping the run, and WKU doesn’t use the ground game.

Why WKU, Appalachian State Will Win
Prediction, What’s Going To Happen, History
RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Players To Know

NEXT: Why WKU Will Win, Why Appalachian State Will Win, RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl Prediction

5 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread: Championship Week

5 best predictions against the spread for college football’s Conference Championship Week. Which games appear to be the best bets against the spread?

5 best predictions for college football’s biggest regular season weekend – it’s Championship Week. What games appear to be the best bets and the best picks?


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Championship Week Predictions, Game Previews 
CFN Experts Picks: College
CFN Experts Picks: NFL 
Championship Week Schedule, Game Previews
Bowl Projections: Updated with New Bowl

Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews & @PeteFiutak

Results So Far ATS: 82-60-2

It’s all about the bowl games coming up next – those require an entirely different skillset – but first, we close out with college football’s Championship Week.

There are just 11 games – normally there are 70+ games to pick and choose from – but you don’t care. You just want the magic to happen.

So let’s do this. Be bold. Be brave. Be …

Eh, whatever. I promised five picks, here’s seven, but with a twist.

Thanks so much for being a part of this fun and amazing college football season.

Click on each game for the preview

5. Kent State vs Northern Illinois & Pitt vs Wake Forest point totals

LINE Kent State vs Northern Illinois 74.5, Pitt vs Wake Forest 71.5
Point Total Picks Over

I’m combining these two games together for one simple reason – it goes against everything I believe in.

If you’ve been with this piece all year, hopefully you did alright with the belief system of ALWAYS taking the under on a mid-70s point total, and go crazy if it’s in the high-70s or – if we’ve been good people who deserve something nice – in the 80s.

Too many things have to happen to get to over on a 70+. Bad weather, turnovers, a parachute not opening, it could be anything to keep two offenses from trading haymakers.

That’s why I’ll throw in a polite suggestion of under on the 73 in the Conference USA Championship between UTSA and WKU. Yeah, yeah, yeah they combined for 98 in the first meeting, but that Roadrunner defense will show up just enough to keep Bailey Zappe and friends from going off.

I won’t lie, the MAC Championship scares me because MAC Championships are weird.

They almost NEVER go according to any form or reason, one side always wets the bed and turns it over a gajillion times, and … this should be wild.

Kent State just doesn’t do defense against decent offenses. Forget that these two combined for 99 points in the first meeting, it’s indoors, the Golden Flash offense is going to be even quicker, and one of the two sides should take care of at least 50 of this by itself.

And the ACC Championship? Maybe it’s wishful thinking, but Wake Forest’s Sam Hartman and Pitt’s Kenny Pickett are about to put on a show.

Both defenses are coming off of oddly dominant performances, and Pitt hasn’t allowed more than 30 points in seven of its last nine games, but …

There’s no pressure. There’s no playoff spot on the line. These two are about to let it rip.

I’m doing the combined-pick thing again next, and then come the big calls …

CFN Championship Week Experts Picks: College

NEXT: College Football Pick Against The Spread No. 4 Georgia vs Alabama, Utah vs Oregon money lines

Conference USA Championship: WKU vs UTSA Prediction, Game Preview

Conference USA Championship: WKU vs UTSA prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win on Friday night.

Conference USA Championship: WKU vs UTSA prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, December 4


Conference USA Championship: WKU vs UTSA How To Watch

Date: Friday, December 3
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: WKU (8-4), UTSA (11-1)
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Conference USA Championship: WKU vs UTSA Game Preview


Why WKU Will Win

If you haven’t seen it yet, get ready to enjoy the Bailey Zappe experience.

WKU didn’t have an offense last year, and so it went out and got one from Houston Baptist. Head coach Tyson Helton went and hired away Zach Kittley from HBU to be his new offensive coordinator, and along came the star quarterback and big-time wide receiver.

And it all worked.

Jerreth Sterns caught 127 passes for 1,539 yards and 12 touchdowns, and Zappe bombed away for close to 5,000 yards with 52 touchdowns, nine picks, and three rushing scores for the No. 1 passing attack in college football.

The Hilltoppers are trending up, rolling through its last seven games after the 52-46 loss to UTSA, getting better, sharper, and defensively stronger. Helped by a 53-21 blowout of a Marshall team with a strong D, everything is clicking at the right time while UTSA just got rolled by an okay North Texas team 45-23.

However …

College Football Expert Picks, Championship Week

Why UTSA Will Win

OF COURSE UTSA wanted to beat North Texas. Of course it wanted to be 12-0 and come into the Conference USA championship on a roll.

But last week’s game didn’t exactly matter.

It’s not like UTSA is realistically pushing for a New Year’s Six game, and while 12-0 would’ve been nice, coming into this relatively healthy and not taxing the stars too much was more important.

At least that sounds like a good excuse considering how badly the Roadrunners were pasted, there were five penalties, the third down conversions weren’t there, and North Texas was fighting for a bowl game.

UTSA lost three fumbles after losing four all year and none in the previous five games. Let’s just say it wasn’t the most focused of efforts. The loss didn’t represent UTSA’s best work.

Normally, this is a rock-solid team that doesn’t make mistakes – it led Conference USA in fewest turnovers – and doesn’t get flagged enough to matter.

The defense gave up five touchdown passes and over 500 yards to Zappe in the first meeting, but QB Frank Harris – who had a case of the fumbles last week – threw for 349 yards and six touchdowns, and …

NFL Expert Picks, CFN Week 13

What’s Going To Happen

Sincere McCormick and the running game should be able to rumble again.

The Roadrunners will balance things out like they did in the first meeting, the defense will quickly bounce back from last week’s debacle, and in the end, it’ll come down to who makes more mistakes.

WKU will commit more penalties and likely won’t win the turnover battle. That should be just enough of a blink for UTSA to get by in what might be the most entertaining game of Championship Weekend.

College Football Schedule: Championship Week Predictions, Lines

Conference USA Championship: WKU vs UTSA Prediction, Lines

UTSA 37, WKU 34
Line: WKU -1.5, o/u: 72.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 4

5: The King’s Man
1: CMA Country Christmas

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Heisman Top Candidates: Who Wants To Win?

WKU vs Marshall Prediction, Game Preview

WKU vs Marshall prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

WKU vs Marshall prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 27


WKU vs Marshall How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 27
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, WV
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: WKU (7-4), Marshall (7-4)
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WKU vs Marshall Game Preview


Why WKU Will Win

Does Marshall have the defense to keep up with the red hot Bailey Zappe and WKU offense?

Not sure. The D hasn’t faced anyone who can throw the ball with any regularity other than East Carolina, and Holton Ahlers and company went for close to 400 yards in the Herd win.

UAB went for 250 a few weeks ago and won, and Charlotte went for 245 last week and lost.

Zappe gets out of bed with 300 passing yards already locked in, and he pushes for 400 just after breakfast.

Marshall has a problem against good running teams, but it’s about experience something new with this.

However …

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 13

Why Marshall Will Win

The WKU pass defense is a bit of a rumor.

Sort of like the Marshall season, WKU hasn’t faced a ton of teams that can throw, but the ones that could early on in the season went for 300 yards on a regular basis – and won.

Rice – not exactly the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of offense – cranked up 380 through the air in an attempt to keep up the pace.

Marshall has the offense to keep up with the balance to run well and with Grant Wells dangerous enough bomb away.

He chilled on the picks after a rough start – just three in the last five games, Marshall – again, against a slew of mediocre teams, but … – has the No. 1 pass defense in Conference USA, and …

NFL Expert Picks, CFN Week 12

What’s Going To Happen

Here we go. The winner gets UTSA for the Conference USA championship.

WKU does a lot of things right, but it hasn’t beat a truly good team with this attack.

It came close in battles with Army – that was a case of late points to make the 38-35 score look good – Indiana, UTSA, and to some extent, Michigan State, and lost.

The wins are all over the okay-to-lousy teams.

Marshall has the offense to keep up with Zappe, and it’s got just enough of a defense to hold serve.

College Football Schedule: Week 13 Predictions, Lines

WKU vs Marshall Prediction, Lines

Marshall 38, WKU 34
Line: Marshall -1.5, o/u: 74
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5

Must See Rating: 4.5

5: The Times and Life of Shawn Carter: Official Video of JAY-Z’s 2021 Rock Hall Induction
1: “Why don’t we have Thanksgiving food the rest of the year?”

Get a 2nd opinion on the Western Kentucky vs Marshall game from our friends at Winners and Whiners. Click here for their in-depth analysis and predictions on the side,total, 1st half, and exotics.

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Florida Atlantic at WKU Prediction, Game Preview

Florida Atlantic at WKU prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

Florida Atlantic at WKU prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 20


Florida Atlantic at WKU How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 20
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Houchens Industries LT Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, KY
How To Watch: Stadium
Record: Florida Atlantic (5-5), WKU (6-4)
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Florida Atlantic vs WKU Game Preview


Why Florida Atlantic Will Win

The Owls can still do this.

They need a lot of help, but there’s still a path to win the East and go to the Conference USA Championship, but it starts with a win here. More realistically, this is a chance to get bowl eligible.

The offense has stalled lately, but it has just enough of a passing game to potentially keep up. To win this, though, the defense has to come through against the high-powered WKU passing attack. The secondary is terrific at taking the ball away, the pass D overall has been outstanding on third downs, and this group can tackle.

On the flip side, WKU’s defense is awful on third downs, its own pass defense gives up a ton of yards, and …

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 12

Why WKU Will Win

Florida Atlantic is a nice fit for the Hilltoppers.

The Owls don’t control the clock – there won’t be a time of possession issue here for a WKU offense that keeps the ball for just 27 minutes a game. As good as the FAU defense has been, it doesn’t do much to get to the quarterback – Bailey Zappe should have plenty of time to do what it does.

On a five-game winning streak, the WKU offense has been able to win even when the O doesn’t crank up a bazillion yards. However, it’s getting to 500 yards of total offense on a regular basis and …
NFL Expert Picks: CFN Week 11

What’s Going To Happen

WKU wins the East if with a win. If it loses, the date with Marshall next week is for the division title if the Herd beat Charlotte on Saturday.

The turnaround will be complete.

From a team that didn’t do anything offensively last year to an appearance in the Conference USA title game, WKU will get there with a good day from the defense to go along with the offensive pop.

College Football Schedule: Week 12 Predictions, Lines

Florida Atlantic vs WKU Prediction, Lines

WKU 31, Florida Atlantic 20
Line: WKU -10.5, o/u: 64.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 3.5

5: Tummyache Soak
1: Adele 30

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WKU vs Rice Prediction, Game Preview

WKU vs Rice prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

WKU vs Rice prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 13


WKU vs Rice How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 13
Game Time: 2:00 ET
Venue: Rice Stadium, Houston, TX
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: WKU (5-4), Rice (3-6)
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WKU vs Rice Game Preview


Why WKU Will Win

The passing game continues to be devastating.

It didn’t even go ballistic against Middle Tennessee last week and the Hilltoppers were still able to win easily. On a four-game winning streak, they’re a win away from being bowl eligible all while still being in the mix for the Conference USA championship.

They win this and beat Marshall next week, and they’re the East champs.

Does Rice have the passing game to keep up the pace? Not even close. They’re throwing reasonably well, but the pass defense has been rocky and the defense isn’t calming down hard enough – it’s not taking the ball away and has a tough time against midrange passing attacks.

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 11

Why Rice Will Win

SLOWWWWWWWWWW.

No, Rice doesn’t have the defense to keep up with Bailey Zappe and the WKU offense, but it’s putting up over 200 passing yards pre game without a problem lately and balanced things out on the ground in last week’s loss at Charlotte.

To do this, though, the O has to have the ball for close to 40 minutes and get this into the fourth quarter close. Rice leads Conference USA in time of possession, and WKU is among the worst in the nation at controlling the clock.

NFL Expert Picks: CFN Week 10

What’s Going To Happen

The Hilltoppers will have a few more problems than it might like. Rice will be able to keep this relatively close for a while by grinding down the clock, but it’ll all burst open for a scoring stretch for a WKU attack that can’t be held down by this secondary.

College Football Schedule: Week 11 Predictions, Lines

WKU vs Rice Prediction, Lines

WKU 38, Rice 20
Line: WKU -18.5, o/u: 62.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 2

5: House of Gucci
1: Yellowstone

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10 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread: Week 11. Going West

What are the 10 best college football predictions against the spread? This week we go West for some of the more interesting predictions of the week.

What college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 11? This week we go West for some of the more interesting predictions of the week.


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Week 11 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
CFN Week 11 Experts Picks: College
CFN Week 10 Experts Picks: NFL 
Week 11 Schedule, Game Times, Game Previews
ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
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Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews & @PeteFiutak

Results So Far ATS: 62-48-1

After a rocky run it’s time for a road trip to shake things up a bit.

This week we go west for most of the 10 best predictions against the spread. There’s a reason for this – there are a TON of good-looking matchups – Nevada shouldn’t be an underdog against San Diego State and Utah State will probably beat San Jose State outright.

But first come the tried and true foundation selections.

While the picks have been up-and-down over the last few weeks – fewer games to choose from and less big spreads to exploit like there are in September – the overall record is still solid because of four core beliefs.

If you’ve been with the program, you know by now that …

1. Always go over on a point total in the mid-30s. Too many things can go right, unless it’s Army-Air Force, which once again proved to defy all laws of logic and reason.

2. Always go under on a point total in the mid-70s. Too many things can go wrong, like a torrential downpour late in the Pitt-North Carolina game.

3. Always take the underdog if it’s getting 45 points or more. Games can be blowouts without being brutal.

Over the long haul, if you stick with those three principles you should be okay – as long as you’re using good judgment, like going over on the Wednesday night Central Michigan-Kent State insanity.

Two of the three are foundations are represented this week, and there’s a fourth tried and true belief that – if you’ve been with this all year – has done you a big-time solid.

We kickoff our trip out west by making a stop at the fourth core belief for 2021. You ALWAYS go against …

Click on each game for the preview

10. Kansas at Texas

LINE Texas -31
ATS PICK Texas

Full disclosure – I wouldn’t come near this if it didn’t involve Kansas, but as the man said, you dance with the one that brung ya.

Oklahoma couldn’t get the job done against Kansas against the spread a few weeks ago, but that’s been it. 1-8 ATS – including not covering the +24 in a 35-10 loss to Kansas State last week – to continue an epic heater of a run going back to the beginning of last year.

Texas is a mess.

It completely lost its stuff ever since that fourth down run by Caleb Williams halfway through the loss to Oklahoma. However, as bad as things look, the five teams Texas has lost to – at Arkansas, Oklahoma (in Dallas), Oklahoma State, at Baylor, at Iowa State) are all terrific.

How many times as Kansas lost by more than 31? Three in the last seven games.

Whatever. It’s Kansas, there’s a spread, and we stay on the ride until it stops for good.

So that’s one of the staples. Another foundation pick …

CFN Week 11 Experts Picks: College

9. New Mexico State at Alabama

LINE Alabama -51.5
ATS PICK New Mexico State

Besides the gimmicky aspect of always taking the underdogs with a point spread this high, this actually isn’t a bad call.

Of course New Mexico State will get annihilated – it lost 62-10 to Bama back in early 2019, hence the number – but this version can actually score a little bit.

No, it’s not going to keep up, but all you’re looking for are 10-to-14 points, and the Aggies can do that.

Mercer got 14 on this Tide team back in September. Southern Miss got rolled 63-14. Neither one of those games pushed past the 51.5, and New Mexico State is better.

As always with these picks, think of it this way – you’re walking into the stadium up 51-0. It can be a total wipeout – like 63-14 – and you’re fine.

Keeping with the weekly foundations, the over.

CFN Week 10 Experts Picks: NFL

8. Minnesota at Iowa

LINE 37 Point Total
ATS PICK Over

Last week in the exact same spot I said the exact same thing.

Too many things can go right with a low 37 point total, like one team can get the job done all by itself.

Last week here at the 8: Wisconsin 52, Rutgers 3.

Minnesota scored 41 against Northwestern. Before that it scored 34 against Maryland and put up 31 on Nebraska on the way to hitting the 30-point mark six times so far.

The problem is Iowa.

This team just doesn’t score. Something is wrong if you’re beating Northwestern 17-12, and yes, I demanded you go over on the low point total against Wisconsin. Both teams sort of decided they were done early in the fourth of a 27-7 Badger win.

It’s a point total of 37, and it’ll probably drop.

Before going west, two ACC games.

NEXT: College Football Pick Against The Spread No. 7: Notre Dame at Virginia

Middle Tennessee vs WKU Prediction, Game Preview

Middle Tennessee vs WKU prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

Middle Tennessee vs WKU prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 6


Middle Tennessee vs WKU How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 6
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Houchens Industries LT Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, KY
How To Watch: Stadium
Record: Middle Tennessee (4-4), WKU (4-4)
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Middle Tennessee vs WKU Game Preview


Why Middle Tennessee Will Win

The WKU offense is amazing, Middle Tennessee is without its quarterback, and there are several issues with the running game and on the offensive line and …

No. 1 in the nation in turnover margin, No. 1 in the nation in takeaways.

How has the team with so many problems been able to win three of its last four games? Five takeaways against Southern Miss. Three against UConn. Six against Marshall, and 17 in all over the last four games.

The Blue Raider pass defense hasn’t been all that bad, but …

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 10

Why WKU Will Win

The Bailey Zappe thing has worked.

The WKU quarterback is hitting 72% of his passes for over 3,400 yards and 33 touchdowns with just six picks for a passing game that hit 365 yards or more in every game.

Meanwhile, the Middle Tennessee success has been great, but beating UConn and Southern Miss isn’t any big deal. Now it’s about to deal with a Hilltopper defense that’s been solid over the last few weeks and now just has to hold serve because …

NFL Expert Picks, CFN Week 9

What’s Going To Happen

Blue Raider starting QB Chase Cunningham is out for the season with a leg injury.

There won’t be a whole lot happening through the air from the Blue Raiders, but likely new starter Mike DeLiello can move. The running game will come up with close to 200 yards, the defense will do its part to come up with a few takeaways, and it’ll be just enough to keep this from getting ugly.

WKU will win, but Middle Tennessee will have its moments.

College Football Schedule: Week 10 Predictions, Lines

Middle Tennessee vs WKU Prediction, Lines

WKU 37, Middle Tennessee 26
Line: WKU -17.5, o/u: 67
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5

Must See Rating: 2

5: Belfast
1: Ghostbusters: Afterlife

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10 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread: Week 10. Righting The Wrong

10 best college football predictions against the spread for Week 10, with a whole lot of big calls after an epic weekend of craziness in the betting world.

What college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 10? After one of the wildest weekends ever, we’re righting the wrong.


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I’m a professional.

I’ve seen it all, done even more, and I know well enough that when a pick goes the wrong way, you have a short memory, brush it off, and move on.

Last week was something … different.

I was already mad that the over didn’t come in my absolute lock of Wisconsin-Iowa at 36.5 – it stalled at 34 when both teams basically quit with 13 minutes to play and had a TON of chances to score.

Fine. It happens.

So Oregon and Cincinnati didn’t play like teams that really want to make big national statements against bad teams. Okay, no big deal.

That didn’t bother me, but Wyoming and San Jose State was going absolutely nowhere – until the Cowboys scored in the final moments to hit the over on the 41.

And then there was the game that will live in infamy.

Everyone had a part of Clemson and Florida State one way or another.

The under on the 48 was supposed to be a rock, all was fine, and … well, you know what happened.

I literally had to take a walk around the block on that one.

But that’s the deal. This is the life we’ve chosen. The belief systems are sound, you don’t stray from what you know to be right, and that’s why these picks are all correct.

I think.

We deserve it after the Death Valley Disaster.

So how do we get over this? We start with a pick that I know in my heart is probably wrong, but …

Results So Far ATS: 58-42-1

Click on each game for the preview

10. Wake Forest at North Carolina

LINE 77 Point Total
ATS PICK Under

This pick is wrong, but a man is nothing without his principles.

When finalizing the picks in the game previews, I always go with the score before looking at the lines – I don’t want to be influenced one way or the other.

In this, we went with a shootout that goes just over the 77-point total. But if you’ve been with this piece all year, you know that over the long haul, if you do the same thing every time you will be up if …

You ALWAYS go under on a massive point total of 80 or more, and 77 is close enough.

Wake Forest games are wild, North Carolina has thrown a couple of 59 spots on the board, but – and there are no such things as jinxes or curses … I think – we’ve nailed this dead-cold this year when going with the unders on massive totals.

Like the under on Wake Forest-Duke last week, which came at 51 on the 71.5.

As always, if it’s wrong, then you’re paying for the entertainment of a wild game, and enjoy the show.

(Everyone, now take a deep breath, because we’re diving right back in and about to right a horrible, horrible wrong.)

If you have kids around, please don’t let them look at this NSFW pick …

CFN Week 10 Experts Picks: College

9. Clemson at Louisville

LINE 46.5 Point Total
ATS PICK Under

Yeah, this is an all-timer YOU OWE ME, WORLD of a chaser, but like Clemson -4, and if it’s not too soon for you – I still have leftover trays of meats and cheeses sent to me by close friends and acquaintances after the day of mourning – go back in on the point total.

We were right. We were ALL right.

Of course the under was the play last week on Florida State-Clemson.

OF COURSE it was.

It took an all-timer of a final play – brilliantly broken down by Scott and Steve on their Bad Beats segment – for us to lose that.

The pick didn’t come in. It doesn’t mean we were necessarily wrong, and the same belief still holds.

Clemson games are really, really, really low scoring. Take out that putrid late touchdown, and the Tigers scored 23 points or fewer in every FBS game.

The Louisville defense isn’t playing that poorly, and the offense only came up with 13 on NC State. It’s not likely to crank it up in the high 20s here.

While we’re purging all of last week’s pain and suffering by begging for more of it, let’s go with another before moving on to more mature picks for serious people.

Wisconsin, let’s go.

CFN Week 9 Experts Picks: NFL 

8. Wisconsin at Rutgers

LINE 37 Point Total
ATS PICK Over

It’s the SAME thing.

It took something catastrophic to lose the Florida State-Clemson point total, and it took something totally weird to get the Iowa-Wisconsin total wrong.

Just like you always go under on the massive point totals, you always go over on the puny ones. Too many things can go right, and in this, there’s one thing that might really make this work.

Wisconsin could hit the 37 all by itself.

The Badger offense is still awful, and it would be more than happy to get up 23-3 and sit on the ball for the last half hour of the game.

I know, three of the last four Wisconsin games haven’t hit 35, much less 38. I know, the last two Rutgers games made college football sad – and they didn’t get to 35, either.

Michigan State scored 31 on Rutgers. Ohio State got to 52.

Fiiiiiiiiiine, the under is the smart, sensible call considering how amazing the Badger D is, but all you’re asking for is 27-10 to get there, and anything else to go over.

Never let a point total of 37 go to waste.

Next, a point total that shouldn’t be right, and if it is, it’s not your fault …

NEXT: College Football Pick Against The Spread No. 7: UNLV at New Mexico