Tiger Woods Picks and Predictions

Tiger Woods: 2024 Masters prop bet picks and predictions

Analyzing Tiger Woods’ odds and prop bets for the 2024 Masters with PGA Tour picks and predictions.

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Tiger Woods doesn’t tee it up very often anymore, but with a lifetime invite to the Masters, he’ll once again be in the field at Augusta National this week. Woods, a 5-time Masters champion, has the longest odds of his career to win this year but an outright wager isn’t the only way to bet on the Big Cat.

There are a bunch of prop bets available on the market this week, from Woods to make the cut to a top-40 finish. Considering he can play Augusta National with his eyes closed, it’s never a bad idea to bet Woods in some form or fashion when he heads to Georgia.

Below, we break down Tiger Woods’ 2024 Masters odds and prop bets and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

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Tiger Woods’ Masters odds and predictions

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:18 a.m. ET.

To win (+12500)

Woods hasn’t won since the 2019 ZOZO Championship, which came 6 months after his Masters win. He hardly plays due to his various injuries, primarily his leg ailment, and when he does, it’s difficult for him to finish all 4 rounds. Other than sentimental reasons and a desire to cheer for a fun story, betting Woods to win anything right now isn’t a worthwhile wager, especially at Augusta.

Top-5 finish (+2200)

The overall level of talent in golf has never been stronger than it is right now, making it incredibly challenging to even finish top 5 in any tournament. Woods has his work cut out for him, even if his swing is on. Walking around Augusta isn’t easy with all of the hills and sloping terrain.

Top-10 finish (+900)

Woods has 14 top-10s in 25 trips to Augusta, but only one since 2015, which was his win in 2019. PASS on this bet.

Top-20 finish (+350)

Woods was once automatic for a top-20 spot at the Masters, finishing there in 7 consecutive appearances from 2005-2011 and 17 times in his career. It’s still not worth betting him for a top-20 finish at this number, though. PASS.

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More Tiger Woods odds and predictions

Will Tiger Woods make the cut? Yes +100 | No -135

Here’s where the real value is. Woods has made the cut in the Masters 24 times in 25 attempts, with the lone exception being 1996 before his win a year later. He’s made the cut in 23 consecutive years and will be trying to set the record with 24 straight made cuts at Augusta. With a line of +100, it’s easy to get behind Woods to play the weekend again.

Top former winner group (+3500)

Woods has the 9th-best odds in this market, which is predictably led by Scottie Scheffler at +110. There are too many players still in their prime who are former winners to make this a good bet for Woods – players such as Jon Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama, Jordan Spieth and even Dustin Johnson.

Top American finisher (+8000)

This is similar to betting Woods to win outright, except without players such as Rory McIlroy, Rahm, Matsuyama and others. PASS.

Tiger Woods’ Masters first-round odds

Leader +6600 (bet $100 to win $6,600)
Top 5 +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)
Top 10 +600 (bet $100 to win $600)
To make 4 or more birdies/eagles -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
To shoot 72 or lower +115 (bet $100 to win $115)

It’s a bit safer to bet Woods’ 1st-round market than the full-tournament lines because there’s always a chance he either A) withdraws or B) runs out of steam on the weekend and falls down the leaderboard like he did in 2022.

I really like his odds to make at least 4 birdies/eagles in the 1st round with how favorable the 4 par-5s are at Augusta. He had 4 birdies in Round 1 in 2020 and 3 each in 2021 and 2022. Even when he shot an opening 74 last year, he had 3 birdies.

I’d feel better about him shooting 72 or lower in Round 1 if the odds were a bit longer, but that’s also a bet to consider.

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Tiger Woods: 2023 Masters prop bet picks and predictions

Analyzing Tiger Woods’ odds and prop bets for the 2023 Masters with PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Tiger Woods will be teeing it up at the 87th Masters for the 25th time in his career, seeking to win his 6th green jacket. This is only his 2nd competitive round of the 2023 season after playing in the Genesis Invitational, a tournament he hosts at Riviera Country Club in os Angeles.

Below, we break down Tiger Woods’ 2023 Masters odds and prop bets and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Woods tied for 45th at the Genesis Invitational, which was his 1st tournament since the Open Championship last July. In the Masters last year, Woods made the cut and finished alone in 47th, shooting rounds of 71, 74, 78 and 78.

He’s made the cut in 23 of his 24 Masters appearances, with 14 top-10 finishes in his career at Augusta National. His last Masters win was in 2019 when he finished 13-under par to win by 1 shot over Brooks Koepka, Xander Schauffele and Dustin Johnson.

Follow the 2023 Masters leaderboard, news, groupings, course details and more from Golfweek and USA TODAY. Catch the tournament April 6-9.

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Tiger Woods’ Masters odds and predictions

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:53 a.m. ET.

To win (+6600)

Woods knows Augusta like the back of his hand and can pretty much navigate the course blindfolded. However, as impressive as his performance at the Genesis was, his leg injury is still a major hindrance.

I would PASS on taking Woods to win outright because everything needs to go right for that to happen. Augusta isn’t an easy course to walk and the colder, rainy conditions will make it even more difficult.

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Top-5 finish (+1100)

Outside of his win in 2019, Woods hasn’t finished in the top 5 at the Masters since 2013. He’s played well here in the past, of course, but his recent success just hasn’t been there at Augusta – with the exception of 2019, of course.

There are better wagers to make for Woods this week than a top-5 finish. At this point, you might as well take him to win instead. PASS.

Top-10 finish (+500)

We’re getting closer to a range where it’s more reasonable to take Woods. He has 2 top-10s in his last 6 Masters starts, but only 1 of those has come since 2015.

I would still PASS on his top-10 line at +500.

Top-20 finish (+175)

Woods finished 47th last year and that was with 2 rounds of 78 on the weekend. He was in contention before then after shooting 71 Thursday and 74 on Friday. He should be even healthier now and looked good at the Genesis, which gave him a little bit of a tune-up before the Masters. I would BET Woods to finish in the top 20 at +175.

Top-40 finish (-190)

There’s not much benefit to betting him to finish in the top 40 at this number. Woods is -190 to make the cut, which is the top 50 and ties. PASS on this line, but not because I don’t think he’ll finish outside the top 40.

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More Tiger Woods odds and predictions

Will Tiger Woods make the cut? Yes -190 | No +150

As previously mentioned, Woods has made the cut in 23 of his 24 Masters appearances. His lone missed cut came way back in 1996 in just his 2nd Masters start. The line is juiced, and understandably so, but I expect Woods to make the cut.

Top American finisher (+3300)

This is a loaded field when it comes to the Americans. Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele, Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas. The list goes on. Similar to the reason I don’t think I’d take Woods to win outright, there’s just too much competition for him to finish as the top American, too.

PASS on this bet.

Tiger Woods’ Masters first-round odds

Leader +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)
Top 5 +800 (bet $100 to win $800)
To shoot 72 or lower -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
To make an eagle +700 (bet $100 to win $700)
To go bogey-free +1800 (bet $100 to win $1,800)

Woods doesn’t often get off to blistering starts at the Masters, but he does usually break par. In his last 10 Masters starts, he’s shot 72 or better 8 times. He’s broken 72 in each of his last 3 Masters appearances in 2019, 2020 and 2022, shooting 70, 68 and 71 in those rounds, respectively.

I would BET Woods to shoot 72 or lower at -120, but I’m going to PASS on him to lead or end Round 1 in the top 5.

MORE 2023 MASTERS COVERAGE

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2023 Players Championship final-round odds, golfers to watch

Analyzing the golf odds entering the final round to win the 2023 Players Championship TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Verde, Fla.

Three rounds are in the book at the 2023 Players Championship and only 6 golfers are within 5 strokes of the lead. Below, we look at the 2023 Players Championship odds entering Sunday’s final round being played in Ponte Verde, Fla. Check back throughout the season for our PGA Tour picks, predictions and bets.

Scottie Scheffler, who opened at +1200 to win, is at 14-under-par 202 and will take a 2-stroke lead into Sunday’s final round at TPC Sawgrass (7,275 yards, par 72). Scheffler is the No. 3 player in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings.

Pre-tournament favorite Rory McIlroy (+950 before the opening round) missed the cut after shooting 76-73. Defending champion Cameron Smith, who won at 13-under 275, is now in LIV Golf.

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2023 Players Championship – Final pairing

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:16 p.m. ET.

Scottie Scheffler (-220)

The 26-year-old pro vaulted into the lead with a 7-under 65 on Saturday after opening 68-69 and will try for his 6th career tour title and 2nd of the season after winning the WM Phoenix Open. Scheffler has 5 top-10 finishes in 8 starts this season and 41 in 117 career starts.

Min Woo Lee (+650)

The 24-year-old pro from Australia, who opened at +20000 to win, shot a 6-under 66 on Saturday to go with a 68-70 and will start 2 shots back. The No. 113 player in Golfweek’s rankings will try for his 1st career title in just his 24th PGA Tour start.

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2023 Players Championship – In the hunt

Before the final group tees off at 1:45 p.m. ET (1-6 p.m. NBC), here are 3 other players to watch as they try to chase down Scheffler.

Cam Davis (+3000): Golfweek’s No. 117 player starts 3rd, 4 shots back at 10-under after rounds of 69-70-67. He opened at +20000 to win.

Tommy Fleetwood (+3000): He starts tied for 4th place 5 shots back at 9-under after rounds of 72-70-65. Golfweek’s No. 24 opened at +7000.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+5000): He starts in tied for 4th at 9-under after rounds of 68-70-69. Golfweek’s No. 67 player opened at +20000.

2023 Players Championship – Props update

Before the tournament started, we mentioned a few prop bets worth considering a play on. Let’s take a look at 3 of them.

Sungjae Im (+650 to make top 5): Starts final round tied for 8th place at 8-under with rounds of 75-69-64. He’s now at +5000 to win it.

Viktor Hovland (+260 to make top 10): Starts final round tied for 14th place at 6-under with rounds of 69-71-70.

Jason Day (+135 to make top 20): Starts final round sharing 14th place at 6-under with 3 straight 70s. We also had him +270 to make the top 10.

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Tiger Woods: 2023 Genesis Invitational prop bet picks and predictions

Analyzing Tiger Woods’ odds and prop bets for the 2023 Genesis Invitational with PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Tiger Woods is back in action this week at the 2023 Genesis Invitational, a tournament he hosts in Los Angeles. It’s his 1st official PGA Tour event since the 2022 Open Championship last July and his first non-major since 2020.

Riviera Country Club will once again host this great event, which features a loaded field led by Jon Rahm, World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele. Woods is a long shot as he tries to knock off the rust, but there are multiple ways to bet on him this week – from taking him to win outright to a potential made cut.

Below, we break down Tiger Woods’ 2023 Genesis Invitational odds and prop bets and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

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Tiger Woods’ Genesis Invitational odds and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:44 p.m. ET.

To win (+10000)

Shockingly, Woods has never won this event. He’s played the tournament at Riviera 14 times in his career and has made the cut 10 times, but he’s never been crowned the champion.

I don’t see that changing this week. He’s not worth betting on to win because of all the competition he’s facing in L.A. this week, along with the fact that he admitted there’s some rust in his game right now.

Top-5 finish (+3000)

Even a top-5 finish at Riviera is unlikely to happen this week. The likes of Rahm, Scheffler, Thomas and McIlroy are all playing well right now, and they’re not the only stars in the field.

Even if only one of the top players finishes in the top 5, there are dozens of other players who are better suited to come in ahead of Woods, despite his course knowledge and extensive experience here.

Top-10 finish (+1200)

The last time Woods finished in the top 10 at this event was in 2004 when he came in 7th. Since then, he’s only played here 5 times, which included a WD, missed cut, 69th-place finish and 2 other top-20s.

As often as he’s played Riviera, it’s been a while since he was legitimately in contention.

Top-20 finish (+480)

Woods hasn’t finished in the top 20 in any event since January of 2020 when he tied for 9th at the Farmers Insurance Open, a full 3 years ago. He’s only played 6 official events in the last 2 seasons, with his best finish being a tie for 38th at the 2020 Masters.

It’s hard to bet on him to even crack the top 20 without knowing the state of his game.

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More Tiger Woods odds and predictions

Top American finisher (+5000)

There are a lot of great American players in the field this week, including Scheffler, Thomas, Schauffele, Tony Finau, Collin Morikawa, Max Homa, Patrick Cantlay and Jordan Spieth. There’s a decent chance an American will win the Genesis so you might as well take Woods to win outright if you’re going to bet him at all.

Tiger Woods’ Genesis Invitational 1st-round odds

Leader +6000 (bet $100 to win $6,000)

It’s hard to imagine Woods being in his best form right out of the gate on Thursday when he tees it up with Thomas and McIlroy in the afternoon wave. He should find a rhythm in Round 2, but from walking a full 18 holes to really feeling comfortable, that’s unlikely to happen on Thursday afternoon.

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Tiger Woods: 2022 Open Championship prop bet picks and predictions

Analyzing Tiger Woods’ odds and prop bets for the 2022 Open Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Tiger Woods played the first 2 majors of the year before skipping the U.S. Open at The Country Club in Brookline, Mass. He’ll tee it up this week in the Open Championship, which is very likely to be his final official start of the season. Below, we break down Tiger Woods’ 2022 Open Championship odds and prop bets and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

The Old Course at St. Andrews is a course he’s won on, claiming the Open Championship in 2000 and 2005. So he knows how to make his way around this track, which is very flat and easy to walk. That gives him a chance to compete against all of the top players in the world, even if he is only playing a limited schedule.

Woods isn’t among the favorites to win, and understandably so. He withdrew in his last start at the PGA Championship and shot 78-78 on the weekend at the Masters, though he did make the cut in both tournaments. Woods has put a lot of time and effort into this championship, which could be his last time playing the Open at St. Andrews.

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Tiger Woods’ Open Championship odds and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 5:45 p.m. ET.

To win (+7000)

Woods probably has as good a chance to win this week as he did at Augusta. Take that as you will, but it’s a similar story. A course he’s won on multiple times, and one that requires course knowledge and smart shots instead of a bomb-and-gouge approach. I’ll sprinkle on Woods to win, just to have a rooting interest if he plays well. No one wants to miss out on that storyline.

Top-5 finish (+1500)

I’ll pass here after wagering a tiny bit on Woods to win. I just don’t see enough value to take him top-5 instead of to win.

Top-10 finish (+650)

He tied for 6th at the Open in 2018 before missing the cut a year later, and he didn’t play last year. It’s not a bad idea to sprinkle on this wager, too, because even though he might not win, a top-10 is fairly realistic.

Top-20 finish (+300)

A similar thought process as taking Woods for a top-10 finish. He’s probably not sharp enough to win, but a top-20? Why not? He won at St. Andrews in 2000 and 2005, and then tied for 23rd in 2010.

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More Tiger Woods’ odds and predictions

Will he make the cut? Yes -140 | No +110

This line has been moving quickly, going from -190 to -140 in a matter of hours. That’s good news because I think he will make the cut, just as he did in the first two majors of the year. And really, who’s going to bet against Tiger at St. Andrews?

Top former winner group (+1300)

The group of former winners is deep, from Rory McIlroy to Louis Oosthuizen, as well as Jordan Spieth, Shane Lowry and Collin Morikawa. All of them could win this week, and I think they all have sizable advantages over Woods this week.

Top American finisher (+3000)

I’ll pass here, knowing Morikawa, Spieth, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay and Scottie Scheffler could all be in contention. The same goes for Will Zalatoris and Justin Thomas. I’d rather just take Woods to win outright instead of being the top American.

Tiger Woods’ Open Championship first-round odds

Leader +7000 (bet $100 to win $7,000)
Top American +3000 (bet $100 to win $4,000)
Top 5 +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)
Top 10 +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
Top 20 +380 (bet $100 to win $380)

Tiger shot 71 in the first round of the Masters and 74 at the PGA Championship, so he didn’t exactly come out firing in those starts. The benefit of taking Woods’ first-round lines is that fatigue won’t set in like it could on the weekend.

Top-20 is a decent value at +380, knowing it only takes one good round for that bet to cash.

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Tiger Woods: 2022 PGA Championship prop bet picks and predictions

Analyzing Tiger Woods’ odds and prop bets for the 2022 PGA Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Tiger Woods will be in the field for his second event — and second major — of the season this week, teeing it up at the 104th PGA Championship in Tulsa. It’s being held at Southern Hills, which is the same course Woods won the Wanamaker Trophy at in 2007.

Below, we break down Tiger Woods’ 2022 PGA Championship odds and prop bets and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Woods finished tied for 47th at the Masters, which was his first tournament in more than a year. He was actually in contention after the first 2 rounds, but he shot 78 on Saturday and on Sunday to fall way down the leaderboard. Still recovering from a severe leg injury suffered in a car crash, Woods has limited his tour schedule to select events.

Despite not being 100% recovered, the 15-time major champion could have a good week on a course he knows relatively well.

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Tiger Woods’ PGA Championship odds and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:14 p.m. ET.

To win (+7000)

I’m not ready to bet on Tiger to win a tournament – yet. I think he has a decent chance to make the cut, but beating the likes of Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth and the other top 100 players in the world probably isn’t going to happen right now.

Top-5 finish (+1500)

For all the same reasons I’m not betting on Woods to win, I’m also not willing to lay down a bet on him to come in the top 5. There are simply too many great players in this field and with only 1 event under his belt in the last 18 months, I’m going to wait until we see more from Tiger before taking him to come in the top 5.

Top-10 finish (+650)

We’re approaching a bettable range with Woods. The top 10 would still be a huge accomplishment for Tiger, and you can get a good return at +650, but it’ll take a near-perfect week for him to make that happen.

Top-20 finish (+300)

Now we’re talking. Woods was only +150 to come in the top 20 at the Masters, and now his odds have more than doubled after we saw him struggle to stay near the top of the leaderboard at Augusta. At +300, I’d be willing to make a small wager on him to finish in the top 20 on a course where he’s won.

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More Tiger Woods’ odds and predictions

Will Tiger Woods make the cut? Yes -150 | No +110

Yes. The top 70 and ties will make the cut after two rounds, so all Woods has to do is finish slightly better than the top half in the first 2 rounds. That’s very doable for him, and his odds imply he will make the cut. Even at -150, which are shorter odds than his Masters line of -110, I’m willing to take Woods to play the weekend.

Top former winner finisher (+1000)

(Others: Justin Thomas +230, Rory McIlroy +280, Collin Morikawa +330, Brooks Koepka +550, Jason Day +1000, Keegan Bradley +1000)

After Bradley, the list drops off to Padraig Harrington at +3000, so there are really only 6 other legitimate threats to beat Woods in this former winner group. I still don’t expect it to happen because Thomas, McIlory, Morikawa and Koepka are all legitimate contenders, but there’s decent value here if those others struggle.

Top American finisher (+4000)

With this group, you don’t have to worry about Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama, Cameron Smith, Viktor Hovland or McIlroy. Any of those players could win this week. But with how much talent there is in this American group – Thomas, Spieth, Xander Schauffele, Dustin Johnson, etc. … – I don’t see Woods beating them all.

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Tiger Woods’ PGA Championship first-round odds

Leader +6000 (bet $100 to win $6,000)
Top American +4000 (bet $100 to win $4,000)
Top 5 +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)
Top 10 +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
Top 20 +350 (bet $100 to win $350)

At the Masters, we didn’t really know what to expect from Woods on Thursday. Was he going to be rusty? Would his leg hold up for 18 holes at Augusta?

It turns out, the best way to play Woods was to take 1 of his first-round lines because once we got to Saturday and Sunday, fatigue seemed to set in based on his final 2 rounds. There’s good value with his top-20 line at +350, and you could even take him to come in the top 10 after Round 1; he was tied for 10th after the first round at Augusta.

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