Tipico favors Saints over Falcons and Rams over 49ers, putting New Orleans in the playoffs

Tipico Sportsbook favors the Saints over the Falcons and the Rams over the 49ers, which would put New Orleans in the playoffs:

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There’s only one way the New Orleans Saints will make the playoffs: they’ve got to beat the Atlanta Falcons and hope for a San Francisco 49ers loss to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 18. If that happens, the Saints will earn the seventh playoff seed in the NFC — and a first-round matchup with the second-seed Rams.

And both scenarios are in the cards at Tipico Sportsbook. Both the Saints and the Rams are favored by 4.5 points in the regular season finale. That would get New Orleans into the tournament with a real shot at advancing further, which is stunning given everything they’ve had to overcome this season.

The Saints-Falcons over/under was set at 39.5 as of 9 p.m. CT on Thursday morning, projecting a final score around New Orleans 22, Atlanta 17. That feels realistic given the low scoring output from both teams last week — the Saints beat the Carolina Panthers 18-10, while the Falcons only put up 15 points on the Buffalo Bills. This shouldn’t be a barnburner, especially if playmaking rookie tight end Kyle Pitts isn’t available for Atlanta due to a hamstring injury.

As for the Rams-49ers matchup: the over/under has been set at 44.5, which would suggest a final tally at Los Angeles 25, San Francisco 20. The Rams were held to just 10 points in their first game with the 49ers earlier this season, but San Francisco has only put up 10 and 23 points in Trey Lance’s first two starts. It can go either way, particularly if the rookie quarterback remains under center (as opposed to an injured Jimmy Garoppolo).

So odds are good, not great, that the Saints can reach the postseason. The tough road they’ve taken to get here has led to a situation where they don’t really control their own destiny. A win alone won’t be enough to get them there. But that’s the challenge. All the Saints can do now is focus on what they can control, which includes grinding the Falcons into a fine dust on Sunday. If they don’t get any help from L.A. and end up finishing the season with a winning record, well, that’s still worth championing. No other team could manage all the hurdles they’ve had to deal with and accomplish that.

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Dolphins now favored against Saints after COVID-19 issues worsen

The Saints are now home underdogs against the Dolphins at Tipico as their COVID-19 issues worsen:

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Yikes. The New Orleans Saints initially opened up as narrow home favorites against the Miami Dolphins in Week 16, but they’re now home underdogs after a dozen players entered COVID-19 protocols — including their top two quarterbacks. Tipico Sportsbook now has the Dolphins favored by 2.5 points at the Caesars Superdome, as of 11 a.m. CT on Friday, Dec. 24.

That represents a 6-point swing from the opening line, when the Saints were favored by 3.5. Take this new spread with the adjusted over/under of 37.5 (a slight drop in itself) and you’ve got an implied final score of Miami 21, New Orleans 17.

It’s hardly ideal, but that’s where the Saints are. Their offense has been nearly defanged with top weapons unavailable like wide receivers Michael Thomas (season-ending injury) and Deonte Harris (serving an NFL suspension), plus tight ends Adam Trautman and Juwan Johnson (both on the COVID-19 reserve list). The Saints don’t even have the threat of Taysom Hill as a runner to fall back on as he’s also entered COVID-19 protocols. The heightened pressure on Alvin Kamara is titanic.

Hopefully the Saints can find some answers to all the problems in front of them. They badly need a win to keep themselves in the playoff race, or at least to keep their heads above water after fighting back to .500.

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Saints open as 3.5-point favorites vs. Dolphins at Tipico Sportsbook

Saints open as 3.5-point favorites vs. Dolphins at Tipico Sportsbook

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Sunday night’s big New Orleans Saints win has sent a ripple effect around the NFL’s orbit, and it’s prompted some early lines to shift in the Week 16 betting odds. According to the oddsmakers at Tipico Sportsbook, the Saints are favored by about a field goal against the Miami Dolphins, as of Monday morning. Take that 3.5-point advantage with the over/under of 39.5 and you’ve got a suggested final score in the neighborhood of Saints 22, Dolphins 18.

It’s a bit of an odd projection, but let’s not kid ourselves. The Saints haven’t been kicking doors down on offense lately. Points have come at a premium for them and this matchup has all the hallmarks of a low-scoring evening. Miami has been averaging a modest 24.5 points per game during their six-week winning streak, and they haven’t seen a defense as stout as New Orleans.

But with that said, the Dolphins run a lot of read-option plays similar to what gave the Saints trouble in their loss to the Philadelphia Eagles not too long ago. New Orleans’ defense needs to be on top of their game if they’re going to meet expectations and get back to a winning record as the regular season draws to a close.

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Saints open up as 10.5-point road underdogs in Week 15 vs. Buccaneers

Saints open up as 10.5-point road underdogs in Week 15 vs. Buccaneers

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Tipico Sportsbook has released its opening lines for Week 15’s slate of NFL games, and they aren’t feeling optimistic about the New Orleans Saints. The oddsmakers at Tipico have the Buccaneers favored by 10.5 points at Raymond James Stadium.

Take that with the over/under of 46.5 points and you’ve got a suggested final score close to Buccaneers 29, Saints 18. That tracks with the low scoring outputs New Orleans has seen over the last month — they’ve averaged just 20.6 points per game in their last five contests. The Buccaneers offense is scoring 30 points per game across those same five weeks.

We’ll see if the Saints can repeat their 36-27 performance earlier this season. They may have put up 30 points against the New York Jets this week, powered by two Taysom Hill touchdown runs, but there’s a wide gulf between the New York defense and the Buccaneers unit the Saints will see this week.

New Orleans needs to continue getting healthy if they’re going to have a real shot at an upset. Getting All-Pro right tackle Ryan Ramczyk back in the lineup would do a lot to help. So would welcoming running back Mark Ingram and wide receiver Ty Montgomery back from the COVID-19 reserve list, to say nothing of standout defensive end Cameron Jordan. If more reinforcements are on the way this one might end up less lopsided than the betting lines forecast.

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Play our FREE Week 14 New Orleans Saints Challenge

Play our FREE Week 14 New Orleans Saints Challenge

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Tipico: Saints open as 5.5-point road favorites over Jets

Tipico: Saints open as 5.5-point road favorites over Jets

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Is this the week the 5-7 New Orleans Saints end their losing streak? With five consecutive losses behind them, they’re scheduled to fly up north for a game with the 3-9 New York Jets, and the oddsmakers at Tipico Sportsbook don’t expect it to be close. They’ve opened their Week 14 NFL odds by favoring the Saints on the road by a 5.5-point margin, with an over/under of 43.5. That suggests a final tally near Saints 25, Jets 19.

That feels like a tall order considering the Saints have been held to fewer than 25 points in four of their last five games. Between a flurry of injuries on offense and an unsure kicking situation, they’ve struggled to move the ball or seal the deal when they get into scoring position.

But if there’s a team they could find a comfortable win against, it’s probably the Jets. New York has had problems of its own with rookie quarterback Zach Wilson, who has looked out of his depth and thrown nearly twice as many interceptions (11) as touchdown passes (6). There’s been more to be inspired by from first-year head coach Robert Saleh’s defense, but it’s looking like more of a mismatch when New York has the ball. The Saints defense should be in for a good time, especially if sacks leader Marcus Davenport can return from his shoulder injury.

That’s the story of the offense, too. There are so many “if this, then that” factors with the injuries — knee issues have kept starting tackles Terron Armstead and Ryan Ramczyk sidelined, as well as star running back Alvin Kamara, the team’s best player. Hopefully the extra time off from New Orleans’ Thursday night game with the Dallas Cowboys last week can help everyone heal up and get back to work on Sunday against New York. A sixth consecutive loss to this weak of an opponent would be a serious nail in their season’s coffin.

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Tipico: Saints are home underdogs again vs. Cowboys in Week 13

Tipico: Saints are home underdogs again vs. Cowboys in Week 13

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Sports bettors haven’t been high on the New Orleans Saints through their four-game losing skid, and the tide doesn’t appear to be close to changing this week. The latest odds from Tipico Sportsbook have the visiting Dallas Cowboys favored to win on Thursday night by a 4.5-point margin — taken with the over/under of 47.5 and that’s a projected final score in the neighborhood of Cowboys 26, Saints 22.

That would at least be more entertaining than the 31-6 drubbing Saints fans were saddled with on Thanksgiving last week. If this team isn’t going to be any good, they should still try to make it a good time. Putting some points on the board would help.

The good news for Saints fans is that Dallas has lost three of their last four games, with the sole win coming in a 43-3 blowout over the Atlanta Falcons (so, hey, we can laugh about that). The Cowboys have been reeling for most of a month now between various injuries, COVID-19 absences, and bizarre coaching decisions. They’ve been prone to turnovers and are sloppy football with a ton of penalties going their way. It’s a winnable matchup for New Orleans.

But almost every game the Saints have lost this season looked winnable up to a certain point. Hopefully they’ve done a better job of self-scouting and getting healthy so that they can avoid their first five-game losing streak of the Sean Payton era.

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Rutgers slight underdog in season finale

both the Scarlet Knights and their opponents, the Maryland Terrapins, both come into the game with a 5-6 record. A win for either team results in them going bowling. 

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The last week of the regular season for the Big Ten is upon us. For Rutgers, they enter the week with qualifying for a bowl game on the line. In fact, both the Scarlet Knights and their opponents, the Maryland Terrapins, both come into the game with a 5-6 record. A win for either team results in them going bowling.

Rutgers is at home in the contest, but the Terps come to town as a 1.5-point favorite according to Tipico Sportsbook. Maryland has had a similar season to Rutgers. They started the season 4-0 (Rutgers started 3-0) before dropping three straight. They rebounded to win another game before dropping all three games in a gauntlet stretch versus Penn State, Michigan State, and Michigan. Both teams only Big Ten victories this season came against Illinois and Indiana.

Looking at the USA TODAY 1-130 re-rank, both teams had similar up-and-down movement all season. The Terrapins currently sit at No. 77, whereas the Scarlet Knights came in at No. 80. The final regular season game will determine Big Ten results, 1-130 standing, and obviously their bowl game eligibility as well.

In the latest update from the analytical arm of ESPN, the ESPN FPI gives Rutgers a 66.7% chance of walking away from Piscataway with a victory – their largest number this season. The OU total was set at 53 – also the highest total for any Rutgers game this season.

When looking at records against the spread, it heavily favors the Scarlet Knights. They are 6-5 ATS for the season. The Terrapins are 3-8 ATS on the season and have lost the last seven. Straight up, Maryland has fallen apart as well losing six of the last seven. Their one win was an unimpressive three-point escape against Indiana. With that being said, the fact that Maryland enters the game as a road favorite is not a good sign for Rutgers fans.

The point total has almost been a gimme when betting on the Scarlet Knights given their low offensive point total. Five of the last six games for Rutgers has gone under. In five of those games, Rutgers has scored 20 points or less. On the other side, Maryland has seen six games go over this season. Even with that being the case, taking the over in a Rutgers game does not seem like the smart move.

All Betting Lines are Courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook

  • Money line: Maryland -125 (bet $125 to win $100) Rutgers +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Against the spread (ATS):  Maryland -1.5 (-115) Rutgers +1.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -110 U: -110)

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Bills favored more heavily after Saints injury issues worsen

Tipico NFL odds: Bills favored more heavily after Saints injury issues worsen

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A series of injuries to the New Orleans Saints offense have impacted this week’s NFL odds from Tipico Sportsbook, which now favors the visiting Buffalo Bills by 6.5 points over the undermanned Saints on Thursday night. That’s a full 2-point swing away from where the opening line was set, which had the Saints as 4.5-point underdogs in New Orleans.

Taken with the over/under (45.5) and you’ve got a proposed final tally in the neighborhood of Bills 26, Saints 20. That’s hardly encouraging, but there’s plenty to feel discouraged about with the Saints these days. Their offense has been eroded by more and more injuries and their defense has taken a step back from its early-season success.

And it’s tough to see how the Saints can put many points on the board without Alvin Kamara, Ryan Ramczyk, Adam Trautman, and Michael Thomas, to say nothing of the step down from Jameis Winston to Trevor Siemian and Taysom Hill. Maybe New Orleans can pull off an upset, but they’ve got a tough out ahead of them.

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Saints open as home underdogs for prime-time Bills game on Thanksgiving

Tipico Sportsbook: Saints open as home underdogs for prime-time Bills game on Thanksgiving

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Tipico Sportsbook released its opening lines for Week 12’s games, and they aren’t favoring the New Orleans Saints to snap their three-game losing streak. The Saints are 4.5-point underdogs at home with the Buffalo Bills visiting the Caesars Superdome on Thanksgiving night. Take that with the over/under (46.5) and there’s an implied final total of Buffalo 26, New Orleans 21.

That would line up with the Saints’ recent history, in which they’ve really struggled to put points on the board until the opposing team has the game in hand. New Orleans has scored 53 of their 75 points over the last three games in the fourth quarter once their opponents stopped taking them seriously.

They can’t risk that approach against a good — but vulnerable — Bills team. Trevor Siemian imploded under pressure against the Philadelphia Eagles, but he played well enough to keep the Saints competitive in his first two starts. It became a different story once his supporting cast was whittled down by injuries to Alvin Kamara, Taysom Hill, Terron Armstead, and Ryan Ramczyk.

If just two of those players can return by Thursday the offense should get back on schedule — or as close as they’re getting at this point in the season. But the defense needs to be on top of their game against Josh Allen and his loaded receiving corps. It’s tough to see a path to victory if they give up as many points to Buffalo as they did Philadelphia. The offense just doesn’t have enough firepower to keep up.

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