NFL Week 13 best bets: Picking the winners, the spread and the total

Check out Jess Root’s betting picks for the 12 games left on the NFL schedule in Week 13.

The NFL has 12 games left on the schedule in Week 13 as the calendar officially moved to December. The Seattle Seahawks lost to the Dallas Cowboys but did cover the 9.5-point spread on Thursday night.

Are you looking for some NFL picks to help you with your betting decisions in Week 13?

Below are my picks for every remaining NFL game of the week for the moneyline, spread and total.

Listen to the latest from Cards Wire’s Jess Root on his podcast, Rise Up, See Red. Subscribe on Apple podcasts or Spotify.

 

2023 Shriners Children’s Open odds, course history and picks to win

Aberg has finished T-10 and T-2 in his last two starts.

The PGA Tour is back in Las Vegas this week for the 2023 Shriners Children’s Open at TPC Summerlin.

The defending champion Tom Kim returns to Sin City hoping to go back-to-back. Since finishing tied for 20th at the Tour Championship, Kim has finished T-18 at the BMW PGA Championship and T-6 at the French Open on the DP World Tour.

He’s joined in the field by European Ryder Cupper Ludvig Aberg — T-2 at the Sanderson Farms Championship last week — Si Woo Kim, Cam Davis, J.T. Poston and Chicken Open winner Luke List.

This week’s winner will earn $1.512 million and 500 FedEx Cup points.

Golf course

TPC Summerlin | Par 71 | 7,255 yards

2022 Shriners Children's Open
Patrick Cantlay putts on the 16th green during the final round of the 2022 Shriners Children’s Open at TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas. (Photo: Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)

Course history

Betting preview

Which position will Chargers select with their first pick in 2023 NFL draft?

Find out which direction oddsmakers think the Chargers will go with their first-round selection.

We are hours away from NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell announcing who will be the newest member of the Chargers. Who will it be, though?

While fans are amid their final debates on who Los Angeles should draft, oddsmakers have created some NFL futures bets that show which position is favored to be their first selection.

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, wide receiver has the highest odds to be the first position taken at -210.

Tight end is second at +250, followed by defensive lineman/edge (+700), running back (+800), cornerback (+1000), offensive lineman (+2200), safety (+2500), linebacker (+2500) and quarterback (+15000).

L.A. has a significant need for speed at the wideout. They have been linked to USC’s Jordan Addison, Boston College’s Zay Flowers, TCU’s Quentin Johnston and Tennessee’s Jalin Hyatt throughout the pre-draft process.

If Georgia’s Nolan Smith, Iowa’s Lukas Van Ness or Clemson’s Myles Murphy were to slide, it could be tempting for the Bolts to snag one of them.

Texas RB Bijan Robinson and the Chargers have been connected and I could see them being in consideration for their pick, that’s if he slides or they trade up.

Cornerback can be a sneaky bet because Brandon Staley is always looking to add to the position room and with there being uncertainty surrounding J.C. Jackson’s return from his injury last season.

If I were making a bet, I would place money on tight end, specifically with the Chargers taking Notre Dame’s Michael Mayer.

Only time will tell.

We asked ChatGPT to predict the outcomes of college bowl games and things got weird

Is Texas back? Is the Mayo bath good? Who wins the CFP? We asked ChatGPT to predict all the answers.

The second ChatGPT went viral, the obvious question for bettors was how to best use this to beat the sportsbook.

The answer is also pretty obvious: It can’t. At least not yet.

Among the listed limitations of the truly impressive artificial intelligence app are three that any bettor thinking of using it should be weary of:

  1. May occasionally generate incorrect information
  2. May occasionally produce harmful instructions or biased content
  3. Limited knowledge of world and events after 2021

Any one of those would be bad enough. All three are a recipe for disaster….right? Maybe we should just find out anyways. And while we’re at it, let’s ask the bot some of bowl season’s biggest questions.

Surely nothing can go wrong!

Early NFL bettors tragically hammered the under on the Bills’ snowpocalypse game that will now be played in a dome

Unpredictable Buffalo weather made for some really unfortunate bets.

All week the NFL world has waited to hear what the league planned to do about the massive snowstorm threatening Bills-Browns in Buffalo on Sunday with reportedly six feet of snow. In anticipation of the calamitous weather, many bettors hammered the under, expecting both offenses to struggle to move the ball in the Western New York conditions.

Uh, about that.

Given the potentially dangerous situation the Buffalo snow presented to anyone trying to travel to the game (both teams, stadium workers, fans in attendance, etc.), in addition to the chaotic on-field conditions for players — the NFL officially announced Bills-Browns will now be played at the domed Ford Field on Sunday in Detroit. It probably isn’t the best news for many submitting early bets on this affair:

According to Action Network, 77 percent of all bets and 79 percent of the money wagered on the point total backed the under with the expectation the game would be held in Buffalo.

Oof, let’s unpack the ramifications and how some of the major sportsbooks are reacting.

Here are FanDuel’s rules for a situation like this:

Champions Classic 2022: Best bets for Kentucky vs. Michigan State, Kansas vs. Duke

Live odds, props and picks for the unofficial kick off to college basketball season.

Men’s college basketball may have officially started last week, but the season kicks off in earnest with the Champions Classic on Tuesday night.

The annual primetime event pits four of the top programs in college basketball against each other in rotating cities across the United States. No. 4 Kentucky vs. Michigan State will kick things off at 7 p.m. ET live from Indianapolis followed by No. 6 Kansas vs. No. 7 Duke after a brief intermission—during which the latest College Football Playoff rankings will be revealed.

The Kansas-Duke game will look a little bit different than casual fans are used to. Jon Scheyer has taken over for the recently retired Mike Krzyzewski on the Blue Devils’ sideline while assistant coach Norm Roberts will be handling duties for KU head coach Bill Self while he finishes up a a school-imposed four-game suspension related to a 2017 infractions case.

Yet the star power on the court won’t be lacking. Multiple five-star recruits, McDonalds All-Americans and NBA draft lottery prospects will take the floor, as per usual.

You’ll want to remember the names Dereck Lively II, Dariq Whitehead, Cason Wallace, Tyrese Proctor, Gradey Dick, Chris Livingston, Kevin McCullar and, of course, Oscar Tshiebwe as they’ll be impossible to avoid this season.

It’s a fantastic night for college basketball bettors. Let’s get into it.

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There’s a silly amount of money being wagered on the Colts to beat the Raiders in Week 10

Sometimes you place a bet with logic. Sometimes you place a bet based purely on vibes.

There might not be a bigger mess of a team in the NFL right now than the Indianapolis Colts—though, I will admit, the competition for that title is fierce.

The team has no definitive quarterback, it’s star running back has been injured/unproductive for most of the year and, after cleaning house on the sidelines, former offensive lineman Jeff Saturday has been tabbed to lead the club in the interim despite minimal sideline experience under even the most generous definition. Which is to say nothing of an entire organization of more qualified options at Indianapolis’ disposal.

So naturally there’s big money being wagered on the Colts to defeat the Raiders straight up this weekend.

According to Action Network, 84 percent of the handle on the moneyline is on the Colts (+185) despite Indianapolis only getting 14 percent of all ML bets. At BetMGM the trend holds true. The Colts are getting 68 percent of all ML bets and 65 percent of the money wagered.

It’s certainly a choice.

On the one hand, the Colts have been outscored 228-185 this season and have just one road win (12-9 over the Broncos on a truly awful Thursday Night in Week 5). On the other hand, the new coach in Indiana had this to say about his first opponent right before he accepted the Colts job:

The Raiders (-4.5) are still seeing 63 percent of all bets to cover the spread as well as 78 percent of the money wagered there—which isn’t exactly good news for sportsbooks, either.

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Zach Wilson’s dad had the most wholesome message about his son playing Aaron Rodgers

“Sometimes dreams do come true.”

For a second-year quarterback like Zach Wilson, he’s potentially only at the beginning of a career full of milestones and awe-inspiring moments. That doesn’t mean his parents — and rightfully so — won’t revel in every step of such a journey.

On Sunday, before Wilson’s Jets got set to take on Aaron Rodgers’ Packers (-7.5), Wilson’s dad shared a touching message on Twitter about his son realizing his “dream.” The matchup with the four-time MVP Rodgers — who a 23-year-old Wilson apparently grew up watching — is what inspired the wholesome reaction/reflection from Mike Wilson.

If you’re a parent and you read this message — you can undoubtedly relate to the obvious pride oozing out of it:

Oh, man. Is someone cutting onions? Please cut that out.

Mike Wilson will probably be beaming with pride all day as he watches his son try to beat a living NFL legend. And I don’t blame him.

The Bears’ plan for Justin Fields is starting to pay off, but there are two huge problems holding him back

It’s obvious Fields is starting to get “it.” But he still needs more help.

All offseason, the discussion surrounding the Bears wasn’t a healthy one. Regarding one specific and crucial player, the questions seemed to build on top of themselves.

Did the new-look Bears do enough to help Justin Fields? Can Justin Fields be special enough to elevate the rebuilding Bears despite an objectively terrible supporting cast? Will leaning on changes in potential quality coaching be enough to get Fields to blossom in his second year?

Now, in-season, the main question has changed: Have the Bears failed Justin Fields?

Five games into the 2022 campaign — with the Bears sitting at 2-3 and Fields learning the ropes of a new offense while showing the occasional flash of brilliance — this conversation still looms large over Chicago’s best player. Especially as it gets set to take on the Commanders (-1) on Thursday Night Football.

That’s because there are still two huge problems when it comes to developing Fields: the Bears’ offensive line and receiving corps.

I was never a fan of the Bears’ conservative approach to developing Fields, just because I think it was asking a lot out of a 23-year-old with less than 20 professional starts to his name. I thought (and still think) new general manager Ryan Poles made a mistake not investing in more weapons for the Bears’ hopeful quarterback of the future. I thought (and still think) he did even worse not to find more competent players up front for one of the NFL’s worst offensive lines. There were plenty of options for help for Fields, including options that wouldn’t have sunk Chicago’s future mandate to clean the slate for a rebuild. Anyone who professed then, or still says otherwise, is hiding their head in the sand at Montrose Beach.

As someone who has followed, written about, and covered the bumbling Bears and all their quarterback follies for a very long time, I’m a firm believer in the egg coming before the chicken. What I mean by that is quarterbacks are as much a product of their situation as they are of their own ability. The stars always have a foundation to work from with their hometown team. Always. For example: Is the Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes anywhere close to the world-beater, face-of-the-league he is now if he doesn’t start his career with a Hall of Fame offensive mind (Andy Reid), a probable Hall of Fame tight end (Travis Kelce), and a probable Hall of Fame receiver (Tyreek Hill)? If Mahomes ends up in Chicago instead, we’re likely talking (and laughing) about him as we do about the unfortunate soul who took his place.

And the Bears, even with some of their many, many signal-callers probably not being cut out for the NFL anyway, have seemingly always been determined to throw their most important players under the bus.

In some shape or form over recent years, the Bears did, indeed, fail Mitchell Trubisky. He was polarizing and inconsistent, but they failed Jay Cutler, too. Heck, they even failed Rex Gross … no, sorry, I won’t go that far. But you get the point. I saw Chicago’s listless precedent for quarterback development, and the same bleak writing was on the wall for Fields — inarguably the top individual prospect at football’s premier position in the entire century-plus history of the NFL’s oldest franchise.

However, for all my concerns, I am starting to see the light. As cloudy as it still is, Chicago’s vision for Fields is becoming more apparent.

It’s a one-off performance, and he’ll have to build more consistency out of it, but Fields was the best player on the field in Minnesota last Sunday. He was decisive. He launched deep balls at Darnell Mooney and his other No. 4 and No. 5 receivers around complex coverages. He made timely plays with his legs, even if some of them, unfortunately, didn’t count. Despite the struggles of the supporting cast around him — and despite his team being down a seemingly insurmountable 21-3 at one point — Fields actually resembled a star quarterback rallying the troops.

After his alarming early-season problems, “it” started to click for a player many believe has the potential to be a face of the league in his own right.

The Bears simply had no business coming back against the Vikings, even to make matters somewhat interesting. But a player with Fields’ sheer talent, and his evident growing confidence in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy’s scheme, can flip such matchups on their head. If you’re optimistic about the Bears’ future, it should be front and center of your mind how a previously struggling Fields took over a road game down three scores. If you’re the Bears, that’s the kind of performance — even if the box score numbers don’t exactly “pop” off the page (208 yards passing, 47 yards rushing) — you’ll be hoping for the rest of the 2022 campaign.

That said, in the event Fields does start to turn in clutch outing after clutch outing over the next few months, he still needs more help. He still needs more legitimate playmakers outside of Mooney and Some Guys. He still needs an offensive line that doesn’t collapse every other play at the slightest hint of pass-rush pressure. The established great ones — like Mahomes — need other players to lift them up on occasion. No matter how much more comfort and growth he shows in the coming weeks, Fields will be no different.

The Bears can take solace in that they’ve probably found The Answer at quarterback — a gifted player like Fields that can shape an incredible future for them for the next decade or more. But their current long-term plan for him will mean absolutely nothing if Fields doesn’t get more help. And soon.

The pick: Bears 24, Commanders 17

Under the bright home lights, the Bears feel like an easy pick for me over the Commanders, as much as everyone around the league (rightfully) dreads this nationally-televised game. I think Fields lights up a poor Washington pass defense, and the Bears get another hopeful glimpse of what could soon be a fixture in downtown Chicago.

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The Maple Leafs started the season the way they ended every playoffs, by melting down

Usually, the Leafs choke in the playoffs, not the regular season!

At this point, a devastating Maple Leafs’ loss in some shape or form should probably be expected. With one of the more talented cores in the NHL, Toronto has basically made it a time-honored tradition to waste that talent come the spring when the playoffs roll around.

On Wednesday night, during their season opener against the Canadiens (+200), the Leafs pivoted somewhat and started the year with a meltdown.

In a back-and-forth battle, Toronto seemingly couldn’t shake Montreal, taking the lead twice and surrendering it … twice in the second period. When the closing stanza came around, the Canadiens took the advantage with a 3-2 lead before the Leafs would tie it up in the final few minutes.

It seemed like we’d be heading for overtime until a Josh Anderson shot found the back of the net, on new goal Matt Murray no less, with roughly 17 seconds on the clock:

How glorious and painful, at the same time, to lose to Montreal 4-3 in such a fashion. The Leafs couldn’t even contain themselves enough not to blow a potential win one game into their season. If this is how the Toronto 2022-2023 campaign begins, it might be another eventual agonizing year for the Leafs.