NFL Expert Picks, Predictions, Lines: Week 14

NFL expert picks and predictions for Week 14 from College Football News, highlighted by Buffalo at Tampa Bay, LA Rams at Arizona, and Kansas City at LA Chargers

NFL expert picks, predictions, lines for Week 14 highlighted by Buffalo at Tampa Bay, LA Rams at Arizona, and Kansas City at LA Chargers


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* next to the pick means the team will win, but not cover.
Click on each game for the game preview and CFN Prediction

NFL Schedule & Game Previews
Bowl Schedule & Predictions

Pittsburgh at Minnesota

8:20, FOX/NFL Network
Line: Minnesota -3, o/u: 43.5

Jeff Feyerer, CFN: Minnesota
Pete Fiutak, CFN: Minnesota
Phil Harrison, BuckeyesWire.com: Pittsburgh
Jeremy Mauss, MWwire.com: Minnesota
Zac Neel, DucksWire.com: Pittsburgh
Tyler Nettuno, GatorsWire.com: Pittsburgh
Big Game Ben Niewoehner, CFN: Minnesota
Nick Shepkowski, FightingIrishWire.com: Pittsburgh
Scott Steehn, WinnersandWhiners.com: Minnesota
Joe Vitale, UGAWire.com: Minnesota
Clucko the Chicken, CFN: Minnesota
CONSENSUS PICK: Minnesota

Week 14 NFL Expert Picks
Pitt at Minn | Baltimore at Cleveland 
Jax at Tenn | Las Vegas at KC 
New Orleans at Jets | Dallas at Wash 
Atlanta at Carolina | Seattle at Houston 
Detroit at Denver | NY Giants at Chargers
SF at Cincinnati | Buffalo at TB
Chicago at GB | LA Rams at Arizona
Results So Far | NFL Schedule Predictions

NEXT: Baltimore at Cleveland Expert Picks, Predictions

Las Vegas vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, Game Preview

Las Vegas vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3

Las Vegas vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3


Las Vegas vs Los Angeles Chargers How To Watch

Date: Monday, October 4
Game Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Las Vegas (3-0), Los Angeles Chargers (2-1)
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Las Vegas vs Los Angeles Chargers Game Preview


Why Las Vegas Will Win

Derek Carr and the passing game have been on fire.

That’s partly because they’ve been in shootouts, but they led the NFL in passing coming into this week – with Carr going over 350 yards in each of the first three games – but in a perfect world for this coaching staff, the running game takes over.

The Chargers have been solid overall to start the year, but the run defense is the worst in the NFL allowing 170 yards per game and a whopping 5.8 yards per carry. With Josh Jacobs hurting, Peyton Barber has shown he could handle the work.

Today’s Best Bet to Lock in Now

Why Los Angeles Chargers Will Win

Los Angeles needs to get the running game going.

Justin Herbert might be the signature star, and Mike Williams is one of the hottest receivers in the game, but the Raiders can and will give up yards against anyone who gives it a shot.

Pittsburgh was stuffed, but Baltimore and Miami were able to run well against a D giving up close to five yards per carry. The Chargers haven’t used its backs enough – Austin Ekeler only has 35 carries in three games – but this is the game to do it.

What’s Going To Happen

It’s the big national spotlight for Herbert and a Charger team that’s starting to figure it all out under the new staff after losing tight game after tight game last year.

Both quarterbacks will go off in a high-powered back-and-forth shootout. Herbert will come though late, PK Tristan Vizcaino will get past his extra point problems and hit a few key kicks late, and the D will hold on as Carr gets one last shot to pull out yet another tight win.

Week 4 NFL Expert Picks

Las Vegas vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, Line

Los Angeles Chargers 30, Las Vegas Raiders 26
Line: Los Angeles Chargers -3, o/u: 51.5
ATS Confidence out of 5:

Must See Rating: 4.5

5: College football overtime format
1: NFL overtime format

 

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Bowl Projections | Rankings

College Football Roundup Week 5: What It All Means, Winners, Losers, Overrated, Underrated

College football Week 5 roundup with the 5 things that matter, winners and losers, and overrated and underrated parts of the weekend.

College football Week 5 roundup with the 5 things that matter, winners and losers, overrated and underrated parts of the weekend, and what it all means.


College Football Week 5 Roundup

Week 5 Roundup 
CFN 1-130 Rankings | Bowl Projections
Week 5 scoreboard, all the predictions
Week 6 opening lines | AP | Coaches
Big Game Reaction: Cincinnati, Oregon, more

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– Cincinnati & BYU: One Really Big Thing
– SEC teams: Most Overrated Thing
– Hello, Kentucky: Most Underrated Thing
– Who’s No. 3? What It All Means, Week 5

Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews & @PeteFiutak

Winners & Losers From Week 5

Winner: Georgia pass defense

78.2. That’s the passer rating of the first five teams on the Georgia slate. The season isn’t halfway done, but by comparison, Northwestern was the only team last year to have a pass rating D under 100.

2011 Alabama was the last team to finish a season holding offenses to under 90, and no one has come close to that 83.7 mark over the last decade.

Clemson, UAB, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, and Arkansas have combined to hit 48% of their passes for 55 yards with one touchdown and seven picks against the Dawgs. Auburn is up next.

That’s one part of the state …

Loser: Georgia Southern pass defense

2016 Arizona State was the last team to finish a season allowing over 350 passing yards per game. Georgia Southern has a long way to go, but over the first five games it allowed an average of 351 per game with 18 touchdowns and four picks – all four interceptions were last week in the 59-33 win over Arkansas State.

Winner: Coastal Carolina

It’s not like there’s been a good team on the slate yet, but Coastal Carolina has kept the 2020 good vibes going by averaging 48 points per game in blowout after blowout.

Buffalo provided the one push – a 28-25 Chanticleer win – but everyone else has been hit by 49 points or more as the program is on a run of 17 straight regular season wins.

Loser: Wisconsin

The 1990 Badgers beat Ball State 24-7 in mid-September for their only win of the season. That was the last time the program started 1-3 until this season.

The blowout losses to Notre Dame and Michigan also mark the last back-to-back double-digit defeats since the 2009 team – that turned out to be terrific – dropped October dates to Ohio State and Iowa.

Winner: Accurate passers

14. That’s how many quarterbacks with at least 75 attempts are connecting on 70% or more of their throws. Coastal Carolina’s Grayson McCall leads the way at over 80%. Last year, seven QBs finished hitting the 70% mark, and as recently as 2017, just one passer even got past 68% for a season – Baker Mayfield finished completing 70% of his throws.

Loser: Missouri run defense

Mississippi State ran for 151 yards in the 2020 season finale win over Missouri, but that’s Mississippi State – it doesn’t run the ball. Before that, Georgia and Arkansas combined to run for well over 600 yards against the Tigers.

Tennessee ran for 458 yards in a 62-24 blowout in Columbia, marking the sixth time in the last eight games that Missouri allowed 275 rushing yards or more.

– Cincinnati & BYU: One Really Big Thing
– SEC teams: Most Overrated Thing
– Hello, Kentucky: Most Underrated Thing
– Who’s No. 3? What It All Means, Week 5

NEXT: The really big Week 5 thing was …

NFL Game Previews, Schedule, Predictions, Lines, How To Watch: Week 4

NFL predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, how to watch, and TV listings for Week 4 of the season

NFL predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, how to watch, and TV listings for Week 4 of the season.


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Click on each game for game preview & prediction

Results So Far
SU: 31-18, ATS: 27-22, Point Total: 30-19
Week 4 NFL Expert Picks

Thursday, September 30

Jacksonville at Cincinnati

Prediction: Cincinnati 30, Jacksonville 16
Line: Cincinnati -7.5, o/u: 4.5
Final Score: Cincinnati 24, Jacksonville 21

Sunday, October 3

Washington at Atlanta

1:00, FOX
Line: Washington -1.5, o/u: 48

Houston at Buffalo

1:00, CBS
Line: Buffalo -17.5, o/u: 47

Detroit at Chicago

1:00, FOX
Line: Chicago -3, o/u: 42

 Carolina at Dallas

1:00, FOX
Line: Dallas -4, o/u: 51.5

Indianapolis at Miami

1:00, CBS
Line: Miami -2.5, o/u: 42.5

Cleveland at Minnesota

1:00, FOX
Line: Cleveland -1, o/u: 51.5

New York Giants at New Orleans

1:00, FOX
Line: New Orleans -7, o/u: 41.5

Tennessee at New York Jets

1:00, CBS
Line: Tennessee -6, o/u: 44

Kansas City at Philadelphia

1:00, CBS
Line: Kansas City -6.5, o/u: 54.5

Arizona at Los Angeles Rams

4:05, FOX
Line: Los Angeles Rams -4, o/u: 54.5

Seattle at San Francisco

4:05, FOX
Line: San Francisco -2.5, o/u: 51.5

Baltimore at Denver

4:25, CBS
Line: Baltimore -1, o/u: 44

Pittsburgh at Green Bay

4:25, CBS
Line: Green Bay -6, o/u: 44.5

Tampa Bay at New England

8:20, NBC
Line: Tampa Bay -7, o/u: 49.5

Monday, October 4

Las Vegas at Los Angeles Chargers

8:15, ESPN
Line: Los Angeles -3, o/u: 52

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Week 3 NFL Expert Picks

Tampa Bay vs New England Prediction, Game Preview

Tampa Bay vs New England prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3

Tampa Bay vs New England prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3


Tampa Bay vs New England How To Watch

Date: Sunday, October 3
Game Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
How To Watch: NBC
Record: Tampa Bay (2-1), New England (1-2)
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Tampa Bay vs New England Game Preview


Why Tampa Bay Will Win

It might be as simple as this …

New England doesn’t have Tom Brady.

Mac Jones has been okay for a rookie, but he needs a whole lot of time and seasoning, and the running game isn’t good enough to help him out.

The Buccaneers aren’t getting anything out of the pass defense – partly because everyone is bombing away trying to keep up – but there’s nothing to get into a twist over considering how in command Brady is of the attack.

He’s leading the NFL in pass attempts, touchdown passes, and he’s second in yards. The Tampa Bay D that’s struggling faced Dak Prescott, Matt Ryan, and Matthew Stafford.

Mac isn’t there yet. A few early Tampa Bay scores will force him to press, but …

Week 5 College Football Expert Picks

Why New England Will Win

To give all possible credit to Bill Belichick and the coaching staff, it really is doing a whale of a job trying to figure out the right rhythm considering it’s going to have to live through a season of Jones being inconsistent.

The defense really is keeping the team in games. It held down Miami, destroyed Zach Wilson and the Jets, and it wasn’t bad a keeping the Saints relatively under wraps.

The pass defense has been fine, but the run D has been a bit of an issue. Tampa Bay might try to grind a bit – and it should considering the backs have been woefully underutilized, but …

Week 5 College Football Schedule, Predictions, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

This is obviously Brady’s moment.

He might not have Rob Gronkowski to throw to, but the game will be in TB12’s hands from the start. New England will throw a whole slew of things at him, but it won’t work as the Bucs really will use the ground game a wee bit more than normal.

Brady won’t go off and put up his normally crazy numbers, but he’ll be great in the red zone, and Jones and the Patriots won’t.

Week 4 NFL Expert Picks

Tampa Bay vs New England Prediction, Line

Tampa Bay 30, New England 20
Line: Tampa Bay -7, o/u: 49.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 5

5: College football overtime format
1: NFL overtime format

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Pittsburgh vs Green Bay Prediction, Game Preview

Pittsburgh vs Green Bay prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3

Pittsburgh vs Green Bay prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3


Pittsburgh vs Green Bay How To Watch

Date: Sunday, October 3
Game Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
How To Watch: CBS
Record: Pittsburgh (1-2), Green Bay (2-1)
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Pittsburgh vs Green Bay Game Preview


Why Pittsburgh Will Win

The Green Bay defense hasn’t exactly been a rock.

It gave up a late scoring drive to San Francisco, only to have Aaron Rodgers pull the game out of the fire. It gave up too many yards to Detroit, and it got lit up by Jameis Winston and his five touchdown passes.

Pittsburgh could use as many breaks as it can get.

There isn’t a steady Packer pass rush to worry about, everyone converts third downs without an issue, and this is the week to start hammering away with Najee Harris and the running game if possible. But …

Why Green Bay Will Win

The Pittsburgh offense isn’t going anywhere.

The receiving corps has been hit by injuries – Chase Claypool has a hamstring problem – the running game hasn’t been able to get Harris working, and the red zone problems of last year continue.

It sounds obvious, but it’s true. Against No. 12, you have to score whenever there’s a chance. The Packers will give the Steelers the shots, and they should come up empty more often than not.

It’s all from an offensive line that’s not quite as miserable as its reputation might suggest, but it’s hardly been a rock.

Week 5 College Football Scoreboard

What’s Going To Happen

The Steeler defense has been decent against the run, and the Packers – for all the fantasy fun Aaron Jones is providing – isn’t cranking up the yards on the ground.

Rodgers and Davante Adams will do what they do, but this will be one of those games that Roethlisberger starts to find a little of his old tough. He’ll spread it around, Harris will be an all-around weapon again, and this will turn into a big more of a shootout than the Packers would like …

Right up until Rodgers leads the way for another game-winning drive.

Week 4 NFL Expert Picks

Pittsburgh vs Green Bay Prediction, Line

Green Bay 27, Pittsburgh 24
Line: Green Bay -6, o/u: 44.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5

Must See Rating: 3.5

5: College football overtime format
1: NFL overtime format

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Baltimore vs Denver Prediction, Game Preview

Baltimore vs Denver prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3

Baltimore vs Denver prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3


Baltimore vs Denver How To Watch

Date: Sunday, October 3
Game Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO
How To Watch: CBS
Record: Baltimore (2-1), Denver (3-0)
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Baltimore vs Denver Game Preview


Why Baltimore Will Win

It’s the NFL so there’s no such thing as a soft 3-0, but …

Giants, Jaguars, Jets. Between the three of them you have as many wins this season as they do.

To Denver’s credit, it did what you’re supposed to against three bad teams and put them away with easy. However, it hasn’t seen anything like it’s about to get with the Baltimore offense.

There’s a passing game this year. Lamar Jackson has become every bit as fun – okay, almost – throwing the ball as he is when he takes off.

It doesn’t matter who’s in the backfield – Le’Veon Bell is about to get a turn – the running game is working. Baltimore is the best in the league on the ground, and Jackson is hitting the big plays down the field and in the red zone.

Why Denver Will Win

Just how healthy is Jackson? He always gets out there and produces, but every week there’s a new issue – this week it’s his back.

Denver hasn’t sold out yet to get behind the line – it hasn’t had to – but it’s generating enough pressure to at least be a bother for No. 8.

Offensively, Denver isn’t taking a whole slew of chances. Even so. Teddy Bridgewater and the passing game are coming up with the deep plays that aren’t being allowed on the other side.

Overall, though, it’s a deliberate team that’s getting production out of a variety of spots on offense. This week, though …

Week 5 College Football Scoreboard

What’s Going To Happen

The Baltimore style of play is going to be a problem.

The Raven defense will keep the Bronco running game from doing anything interesting. Denver will move the ball enough to get field goals, but it’ll stall too often – it won’t be able to take control of the game when it gets the chance.

For the first time all year, Denver will have to make a slew of big offensive plays late in the second half, and it won’t be able to.

Week 4 NFL Expert Picks

Baltimore vs Denver Prediction, Line

Baltimore 23, Denver 19
Line: Baltimore -1, o/u: 44
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 4

5: College football overtime format
1: NFL overtime format

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Seattle vs San Francisco Prediction, Game Preview

Seattle vs San Francisco prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3

Seattle vs San Francisco prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3


Seattle vs San Francisco How To Watch

Date: Sunday, October 3
Game Time: ET
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
How To Watch: CBS
Record: Seattle (1-2), San Francisco (2-1)
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Seattle vs San Francisco Game Preview


Why Seattle Will Win

So what’s missing? Why is Seattle a struggling 1-2 instead of a dominant 3-0 considering all of its offensive firepower?

The defense hasn’t had a whole lot of fun. Everyone’s throwing without a problem – the secondary allowed well over 300 yards in each of the last two games – and Derrick Henry ripped off a monster game in Week 2.

San Francisco doesn’t have enough healthy and productive backs to get the ground attack going, and the passing game is serviceable, but it’s not dangerous enough to worry about.

As long as the Seattle downfield passing game can take its shots without Russell Wilson having to rush, the production will be there.

The 49ers don’t take the ball away, and they give up rushing yards in chunks. Everything should be there for Seattle to use, but …

Week 5 College Football Expert Picks

Why San Francisco Will Win

The Seattle defense has been a disaster.

It’s dead last in the league in yards allowed, it’s getting killed in all phases, and it’s not taking the ball away enough to matter.

San Francisco might not be frightening offensively, but the whole thing is working with a crazy mix of things going on to keep things moving. Kyle Shanahan and the coaching staff are inventing ways to move the chains, but they might not have to be as creative as normal against this D.

However, get ready for more Trey Lance and his mobility, and watch out for Jimmy Garoppolo to be very, very deliberate and take the plays there are there. He’s not going to have to force anything – the O isn’t turning the ball over, and it won’t this week.

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What’s Going To Happen

Seattle will press and keep trying to crank up the big plays to overcome the drip, drip, drip of the 49er offense.

It won’t be as spectacular, but San Francisco will convert third down tries in bunches, it’ll control the clock, and it’ll score whenever it gets a chance on a decent drive – the O is fantastic in the red zone.

Week 4 NFL Expert Picks

Seattle vs San Francisco Prediction, Line

San Francisco 34, Seattle 30
Line: San Francisco -2.5, o/u: 51.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 4

5: College football overtime format
1: NFL overtime format

 

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Arizona vs Los Angeles Rams Prediction, Game Preview

Arizona vs Los Angeles Rams prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3

Arizona vs Los Angeles Rams prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3


Arizona vs Los Angeles Rams How To Watch

Date: Sunday, October 3
Game Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
How To Watch: FOX
Record: Arizona (3-0), Los Angeles Rams (3-0)
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Arizona vs Los Angeles Rams Game Preview


Why Arizona Will Win

As unstoppable as the Ram offense has been so far. Arizona is second in the NFL in yards, it’s among the league’s most balanced teams, and it’s one of the few teams with the firepower to keep up in a shootout.

The Rams have yet to face a mobile quarterback, and now it gets a red hot Kyler Murray whose receiving corps is making big play after big play – the O is averaging nine yards per throw – to go along with a running game that got a little help out of James Conner last week against Jacksonville.

The D might not be amazing, but it forced four takeaways last week, came up with three against Tennessee, and it’s giving Murray a slew of breaks to work with.

Why Los Angeles Rams Will Win

No one’s running an attack better than Matthew Stafford is.

The Ram passing game is efficient, it leads the league in downfield plays, and it has the hottest receiver in the game in Cooper Kupp making key grab after key grab.

As the line goes, 9 like 10, the two should blow up against a Cardinal secondary that’s taking the ball away, but is also giving up too many big plays.

As fun as the attack has been, this might be the game to start running a bit. Minnesota and Jacksonville were able to grind it out at times on the Cardinals, and this week it could be up to Sony Michel to calm things down a bit with the two passing games trying to go off.

Week 5 College Football Scoreboard

What’s Going To Happen

Arizona isn’t exactly a shaky 3-0, but it should’ve lost to Minnesota, and it got the Jacksonville free space last week. The Rams are 3-0, and it hasn’t even cranked up the defense yet.

The line was able to its part against the Tampa Bay ground attack last week, and this week it’ll keep Murray in the pocket more than he might like.

The Rams will be a bit more balanced than normal as it all sets up for Stafford to hit two big throws to open it up.

Week 4 NFL Expert Picks

Arizona vs Los Angeles Rams Prediction, Line

Los Angeles Rams 34, Arizona 27
Line: Los Angeles Rams -4, o/u: 54.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 4

Must See Rating: 5

5: College football overtime format
1: NFL overtime format

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Kansas City at Philadelphia Prediction, Game Preview

Kansas City vs Philadelphia prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3

Kansas City vs Philadelphia prediction, game preview, how to watch: Sunday, October 3


Kansas City vs Philadelphia How To Watch

Date: Sunday, October 3
Game Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
How To Watch: CBS
Record: Kansas City (0-0), Philadelphia (0-0)
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Kansas City vs Philadelphia Game Preview


Why Kansas City Will Win

It might seem like it’s panic time after two straight losses, but the offense is still working just fine. It’s still among the best in the NFL, it’s still the most explosive, and it still making enough big plays to make everyone press.

There are plenty of problems – more on that in a moment – but the passing game should work against an Eagle secondary that finally got pressed last week against Dallas. Now it’s up to the Chief ground game that showed up against the Chargers last week with close to 200 yards to rise up and produce from the start.

It’s been a short week for the Eagles after playing Monday night, but …

Week 5 College Football Expert Picks

Why Philadelphia Will Win

The Eagles are even more desperate than the Chiefs are.

Kansas City will be fine as the long season rolls on – there’s more of a tweak needed than an overhaul. Philly needs a big game from the start out of Jalen Hurts, the running game has to help more than it did against Dallas, and the defense can’t let the team get down fast.

It starts with finally forcing takeaways – there’s been just one so far – and Kansas City might oblige after giving it up six time in the last two games.

The Chief defense is getting roasted, and this week it starts on the ground. Cleveland and Baltimore were able to run at will, and now it’s up to Hurts to do his part.

Week 5 College Football Schedule, Predictions, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Between Andy Reid’s health issues, Kansas City playing too unfocused, and with the pressure of the possibility of the first three-game losing streak with Patrick Mahomes as the starter, there’s a whole lot of urgency.

It’s going to show from the start as Kansas City doesn’t ease into the game like it has over the first few weeks. It gets up fast, Mahomes doesn’t get cheeky – he takes the throws that are there – and this becomes a strong, balanced effort to overcome a monster day from Hurts.

Week 4 NFL Expert Picks

Kansas City vs Philadelphia Prediction, Line

Kansas City 34, Philadelphia 27
Line: Kansas City -6.5, o/u: 54.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3

5: College football overtime format
1: NFL overtime format

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