2024 Valspar Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2024 Valspar Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The last leg of the Florida swing, the 2024 Valspar Championship, takes place this week at the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort in Palm Harbor, Fla. It’s not a signature event like the last 2 tournaments were, both won by Scottie Scheffler, but it still features a strong field led by Xander Schauffele.

Below, we look at the 2024 Valspar Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Schauffele is the betting favorite at Innisbrook, coming in with very short odds of +750. Sam Burns, a 2-time champion of this event, is 2nd with odds of +1100, followed by Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas at +1400. Defending champion Taylor Moore is +6000 to win in back-to-back years.

The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook is 7,340 yards (par 71) and has yielded a winning score between 7-under and 17-under each year since 2010. The finish at Innisbrook is far from easy, with the final 3 holes being dubbed the “Snake Pit.” It’s a pair of par 4s (16 and 18), with a 200-plus-yard par 3 (17) in the middle, yielding a scoring average over par each year in that 3-hole stretch.

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Valspar Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:12 p.m. ET.

Sungjae Im (+2200)

Im hit a rough patch this season where he didn’t finish better than 44th in 5 straight events, but he seems to have found something in the last 2 weeks. He finished 18th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and T-31 at the Players Championship, and he comes to Innisbrook where he’s come in 4th and 29th in 2 career starts.

Nick Taylor (+3300)

Taylor just missed out on a top-25 finish at the Players due to a 3rd-round 76, coming in 26th after shooting 66 and 68 in the 1st 2 rounds. He has 3 top-25s and a win already this season, including a T-12 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Taylor finished 10th here last year.

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Valspar Championship picks – Contenders

Doug Ghim (+4500)

It’s been 2 months since Ghim finished outside the top 20. That’s hard to believe, but it’s true. He’s finished between 8th and 16th in each of his last 5 starts and now ranks 4th in total strokes gained this season. At +4500, he’s a bargain.

Keith Mitchell (+4000)

Mitchell has only played here twice and he made the cut both times, finishing 11th back in 2017. He’s 7-for-8 in cuts made this season and has finished in the top 25 four times already, ranking 33rd in total strokes gained – a very respectable number for Cashmere Keith.

Valspar Championship picks – Long shots

K.H. Lee (+12500)

Lee finished 21st here in 2021 and 19th last year, which are the only 2 official starts he’s made in this event (WD in 2020). He’s been hot and cold this season, finishing in the top 30 three times and missing the cut in his 4 other starts, but that’s the type of player you want to target as a long shot.

Matt NeSmith (+12500)

NeSmith has only played this event twice but his record is good. He came in 21st in 2021 and 3rd in 2022 before skipping it last year. He may have found his game at the Players, where he finished T-26 on Sunday, so he could head into Innisbrook with some momentum.

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We may earn a fee if you make a purchase through one of the links in this article. The USA Today Network newsroom and editorial staff were not involved in the creation of this content.

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2024 Players Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2024 Players Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The PGA Tour heads home to Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla., this week for an event that’s considered the 5th major: The 2024 Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass. The next signature event on the schedule features all of the tour’s top players – including 2023 champion Scottie Scheffler, who’s coming off a win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational on Sunday. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning.

Below, we look at the 2024 Players Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scheffler is the odds-on favorite to win again this week, coming in at +550. The next-closest player is Rory McIlroy, who won here in 2019, with odds of +1400. Everyone else in the field is at least +2000 to win the Players this week. Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas, Viktor Hovland and Will Zalatoris are among the other top contenders at Sawgrass.

TPC Sawgrass tests every aspect of a player’s game, though it’s very much about precision and accuracy off the tee because there are so many difficult approaches into greens due to the winding layout of the holes. It’s a par 72 and will play at 7,275 yards, with narrow fairways and par 5s that offer great eagle and birdie opportunities. The winning score since has been between -10 and -18, with Scheffler winning at 17-under.

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Players Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Will Zalatoris (+2500)

Zalatoris is all the way back. He’s left little doubt about that in his last 2 starts, finishing 2nd at the Genesis Invitational and 4th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational – both signature events, too. He finished 73rd here last year after finishing 26th and 21st in his previous 2 starts at Sawgrass. With his ball striking, and his improved accuracy off the tee, he’s a legit threat to win this week.

Justin Thomas (+2200)

Simply making the cut year after year at TPC Sawgrass is difficult, but Thomas has made it look easy. He’s never missed the cut in 9 starts at the Players Championship, winning it in 2021. His last 2 starts here have been underwhelming (33rd, 60th), but he finished 11th in 2018 and 13th in 2016. Thomas seems to have fully turned the corner after a poor 2023 season and has gotten off to a great start this season.

Max Homa (+2800)

Homa has only played this event 3 times, all since 2021, but he’s gotten better each year. After missing the cut in 2021, he finished 13th in 2022 and then 6th last year. Even after shooting 1-over on Sunday at Bay Hill, he finished T-8, continuing what’s been a solid start to the year.

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Players Championship picks – Contenders

Russell Henley (+4500)

Henley weathered the tough conditions well at Bay Hill last week, finishing T-4. It was his 2nd top-5 finish this season and he now heads to Sawgrass where he’s finished in the top 25 four times in 11 tries. In the last 2 years, he’s come in 13th and 19th. His accuracy off the tee fits this course extremely well, requiring players to be in proper position in the fairways in order to have clear angles to the greens.

Corey Conners (+5500)

Conners hasn’t had any impressively high finishes yet this season, but he’s also only come in outside the top 33 once all year, with 2 top 25s in 7 starts. In 4 trips to TPC Sawgrass (excluding 2020 when it was canceled), Conners has finished in the top 25 once, which was a solo 7th in 2021. He also tied for 26th in 2022. This is a ball-striker’s course and Conners is one of the best on tour.

Brian Harman (+6600)

Harman was in the lead at a few different moments at the Arnold Palmer Invitational but a 3rd-round 77 doomed him. Still, he finished T-12 and continued his made-cuts streak, playing the weekend in all of his 6 starts this season. He knows how to handle windy conditions and has made the cut 9 of 12 times at TPC Sawgrass, including each of the last 4 years when there’s been increased volatility and unpredictability.

Players Championship picks – Long shots

Adam Hadwin (+9000)

Hadwin already has 3 top 25s and 2 top 10s this season, but he’s also missed 2 cuts. That shouldn’t scare anyone off from betting him at this number, though. He’s finished T-29, T-9 and T-13 in his last 3 starts at TPC Sawgrass, so his course history is good.

Erik van Rooyen (+10000)

van Rooyen is quietly having a very impressive season, posting 6 top-25s in 8 starts thus far, including a T-8 in Mexico and T-2 at the Cognizant Classic. Even in a loaded field last week, he finished T-25, never shooting more than 1-over par in 4 rounds. In his Players Championship debut last year, he finished T-13. At +10000, he’s an enticing long shot to consider.

Matthieu Pavon (+12500)

Pavon has made the cut in all 6 starts this season, winning the Farmers Insurance Open, finishing 3rd at Pebble Beach and T-7 at the Sony Open. A player with the season he’s having should not be +12500 to win at Sawgrass, even if he’s never played the Players before.

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We may earn a fee if you make a purchase through one of the links in this article. The USA Today Network newsroom and editorial staff were not involved in the creation of this content.

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📱 DraftKings North Carolina Promo Code  CLICK HERE
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2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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Bay Hill Club and Lodge will once again play host to the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational this week, a Signature Event on the PGA Tour schedule. The 1st round from Orlando, Fla., begins on Thursday morning.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scottie Scheffler is the highest-ranked player in this week’s Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, also coming in as the betting favorite (+650) to win at Bay Hill. Nine of the top 10 players in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings are in the field, with the only exception being Jon Rahm, who now plays on LIV. Last year’s champion, Kurt Kitayama, is ranked 111th.

Bay Hill is a par 72 and plays at 7,466 yards. It plays much longer than the listed yardage because water comes into play on several holes, with forced layups to take away the advantages of being a longer hitter. As one of the tougher non-major courses on tour, the winning score has been between 4-under and 12-under par in the last 5 years.

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Arnold Palmer Invitational – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 3:10 p.m. ET.

Rory McIlroy (+200)

It’s easy to fade McIlroy after seeing the way he hit his wedges last week at PGA National, but Bay Hill fits him perfectly. There will be an abundance of long-iron shots and his prowess off the tee makes him a good fit. I’m just not sure he’s got everything firing well enough to win right now, so take him for a top-5.

Viktor Hovland (+275)

Hovland has finished 10th and 2nd in his last 2 starts here, proving to be a great fit for Bay Hill with his elite ball striking. He’s skipped the last 2 tournaments and should be well-rested for this event.

Arnold Palmer Invitational – Top-10 picks

Cameron Young (+220)

Young is trending up after notching 2 top-10 finishes in his last 3 starts. He also has some strong course history here, finishing 10th and 13th in his 2 career starts. Don’t be the least bit surprised if he wins this week, though much of that depends on his putter cooperating.

Ludvig Aberg (+160)

Bay Hill favors elite ball strikers, which Aberg certainly is. He’s excellent from 200 yards out, ranking 29th on tour from that distance and he leads in proximity from 150-175 yards. In his debut as an amateur last year, he finished 24th and gained 1.11 strokes on the field.

Jordan Spieth (+160)

Spieth was disqualified in his last start at the Genesis Invitational, but he was playing well prior to that fluky incident. He’s finished 4th in each of his last 2 starts here and finished 6th at the WM Phoenix Open, his last full start of the season.

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Max Homa (+188)

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Arnold Palmer Invitational – Top-20 picks

Matt Fitzpatrick (+100)

In 8 starts here, Fitzpatrick has finished 15th or better 6 times and has 4 top-10s. He’s made the cut in 7 of 8 tries and has become a horse for Bay Hill over his career. Despite his underwhelming finishes this season, he’s a good pick this week.

Sungjae Im (+160)

Im has not played well lately, finishing 44th or worse in each of his last 5 starts. Bay Hill could be the venue that gets him headed in the right direction again, though. He’s never finished worse than 21st in 5 career starts here and has two 3rd-place finishes to go with it.

Keegan Bradley (+140)

Bradley never misses this event and in the last 3 years, he’s played particularly well here. He’s finished 10th, 11th and 10th in those 3 starts, so he feels like a very good value at +140 in a field that features just 70 players.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+220)
  • Corey Conners (+140)

Arnold Palmer Invitational – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Jason Day (+105) vs. Tommy Fleetwood (-135)

Fleetwood is playing well right now, but he shouldn’t be this heavily favored over Day, who has finished in the top 10 in each of his last 2 starts this season and came in 10th last year. Take the underdog at plus money.

Viktor Hovland (-110) vs. Xander Schauffele (-110)

Hovland has a better track record at this event than Schauffele, who has only played twice in the last 4 years and finished outside the top 20 both times.

Arnold Palmer Invitational – Top Australian

Jason Day (+188)

Adam Scott (+225), Min Woo Lee (+225) and Cam Davis (+500) are the only other Australians in the field, but Day is the best value of the bunch at +188. He’s got the best track record here and is playing well at the moment, coming off back-to-back top-10s.

Arnold Palmer Invitational – First-round leader

Cameron Young (+2800)

Young has a good chance to carry over the momentum built at PGA National to Bay Hill. Last year, he shot 67 in the opening round and was tied for 2nd. In 2022, he shot a respectable opening-round 70, too.

Keegan Bradley (+5000)

Bradley has opened with a 69 or better in 3 of his last 5 starts here, including a 68 to put him just 3 shots off the lead last year. In 2019, he was tied for 2nd after shooting 67.

More expert prop bet predictions

Will there be a hole in one? No (-160)

Bay Hill features some of the toughest par 3s on tour. All of them are at least 199 yards long, with 3 of them being at least 215 yards. Pair that with a limited field and there will be fewer opportunities for aces. It’s not fun, but “no” is the better side.

Winning margin: 1 shot (+225)

In each of the last 4 years, the winning margin has been exactly 1 shot. And in 2019, it was 2 strokes, which is still a close finish. Bet this trend to continue at +225.

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2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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After a Monday finish at the Cognizant Classic, it’ll be a quick turnaround for players also teeing it up in the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational, the 1st of 2 consecutive Signature Events on the PGA Tour calendar. One of the premier tournaments on the schedule, the Arnold Palmer Invitational returns to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Fla., for another star-studded week.

Below, we look at the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

The best players in the sport will take on Bay Hill this week, including World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and 2018 champion Rory McIlroy. Scheffler is the betting favorite at +650, followed by McIlroy (+1000). Patrick Cantlay, Viktor Hovland and Xander Schauffele are all tied for the 3rd-best odds at +1400. The defending champion, Kurt Kitayama, is +6600 to win this week and go back-to-back.

Bay Hill is a par 72 and plays at 7,466 yards, always ranking as one of the most difficult courses on tour. In the last 4 years, the winning score has only been better than 9-under par once, which was when Bryson DeChambeau won at 11-under par in 2021.

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Arnold Palmer Invitational – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:12 p.m. ET.

Cameron Young (+2800)

Young seems to be on the verge of his 1st PGA Tour victory, finishing T-3 at the Cognizant Classic on Monday. It was his 2nd top-10 in his last 3 starts, finishing T-16 or better in all 3 of his last 3 tournaments. He’s only played this tournament twice but he finished 13th and 10th in the last 2 years. A terrific ball-striker, Young is a perfect fit for this course.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+2800)

Fitzpatrick started the Cognizant Classic with a double-bogey on his 2nd hole but followed it up with an eagle on the 3rd. He finished T-21 thanks to a strong putting week, and he still ranked 43rd in SG: approach. Fitz has played this event every year since 2016 and has missed the cut only once, finishing 27th or better in the other 7 years with 4 top-10s and 6 top-15s.

Jordan Spieth (+1800)

The last time we saw Spieth, he was disqualified from the Genesis Invitational for signing for the wrong score. He was playing well at the time and already has 2 top-6 finishes this season. In his 2 starts at this event, he finished 4th each time (2021 and 2023), so he’s navigated Bay Hill well in recent years.

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Arnold Palmer Invitational picks – Contenders

Corey Conners (+6600)

Bay Hill is a ball-striker’s course, and that’s exactly what Conners is. Though he hasn’t cracked the top 20 yet this season, he ranks 22nd on tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green. Now is the time to buy Conners, who has finished 21st, 11th and 3rd in his past 3 starts at the API.

Keegan Bradley (+5500)

Bradley must love this event because he’s played it 12 times since 2011, making the cut 11 times with 4 top-10s and 5 top-25s. In the last 3 years, he’s finished T-10, T-11 and T-10, so he seems to have figured out the secret to Bay Hill. Before missing the cut at Riviera, he finished 11th at Pebble Beach and lost in a playoff at the Sony Open.

Sungjae Im (+6600)

It’s shocking to see Im’s odds this long, especially at an event he frequently plays. Since 2019, these are his finishes at Bay Hill: 3rd, 3rd, 21st, 20th and 21st. He missed the cut at PGA National last week and hasn’t finished better than T-44 since the American Express, which is the reason for his long odds, but he’s a horse for this course and could get back on track here.

Arnold Palmer Invitational picks – Long shots

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+8000)

Bezuidenhout should’ve made the cut at the Cognizant Classic, but he finished 5-over in his last 7 holes to miss it by 1 shot. Heartbreaking. He’s playing better than these odds indicate and would have shorter odds if not for that back-9 collapse on Friday. He missed the cut here last year, but finished 20th, 7th and 18th in the previously 3 years.

Brian Harman (+10000)

While Bay Hill is nothing like a links course, it could feature similar wind to what players deal with in The Open. He missed the cut in the last 3 years but he also finished inside the top 20 here 3 times in the past.

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2023 World Wide Technology Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The PGA Tour is in Mexico this week for the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship, a tournament that’s being held at El Cardonal at Diamante. It’s the 1st time a course designed by Tiger Woods will host a PGA Tour event as the world gets a look at this spectacular venue in Cabo San Lucas.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Ludvig Aberg, who is No. 10 in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, has the best odds to win this week, coming in at +900. Cameron Young has the 2nd-best odds at +1200, followed by Sahith Theegala at +1600. Young is No. 18 in Golfweek’s rankings, with Theegala checking in at No. 20.

El Cardonal Golf Course is 7,452 yards long and plays as a par 72 with massively wide fairways and large greens. Positioning within the fairways will be essential if players want to attack pins, though. Wind is likely to play a factor, too, with the course being right on the Pacific Ocean.

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World Wide Technology Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9:31 p.m. ET.

Ludvig Aberg (+200)

Aberg is the best player in the field and even if he doesn’t have his A-game in Mexico, he’s talented enough to finish in the top 5. With this being a course everyone is seeing for the 1st time on the PGA Tour circuit, his inexperience as a pro won’t be a disadvantage as it is in some other events.

Stephan Jaeger (+450)

Jaeger has 2 top-10s in 31 starts this season, with the most recent coming in July at the Rocket Mortgage Classic when he finished 9th. He hasn’t finished worse than 40th in his last 8 starts so Jaeger has been relatively consistent lately.

Sahith Theegala (+300)

Theegala notched his 1st PGA Tour win last month at the Fortinet Championship and followed it up with a T-19 at the Zozo Championship 2 weeks ago. He’s playing as well as anyone and now with the weight of a victory off his back, the floodgates might just open.

World Wide Technology Championship – Top-10 picks

Cameron Champ (+400)

Champ’s length will be an advantage this week, especially with no rough and very wide fairways throughout the course. He has 2 top-20s, including a T-9, in 2 of his last 3 starts this season so he’s building some momentum.

Beau Hossler (+220)

Hossler has 3 top-10s in his last 8 starts, with 2 of those coming in his last 2 starts alone. He’s a good bet to keep it going this week in Mexico after a strong start to the fall season.

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World Wide Technology Championship – Top-20 picks

Troy Merritt (+300)

Merritt is one of the long shots this week despite finishing in the top 10 twice in his last 3 starts. He only finished T-64th at the Shriners Children’s Open earlier this month but he showed good form in his 2 starts prior.

Henrik Norlander (+400)

Norlander almost nabbed his 1st career victory at the Sanderson Farms Championship earlier this month when he finished 2nd in a playoff, but even still, he has 6 top-25s this season.

Kelly Kraft (+400)

Kraft is trending in the right direction this fall, finishing 33rd, 25th, 16th and 23rd in his last 4 starts. At +400 with 4 straight top-35 finishes, he’s a good value this week.

World Wide Technology Championship – First-round leader

Stephan Jaeger (+3500)

Jaeger ranks 11th on the PGA Tour in 1st-round scoring average this season.

Justin Suh (+5000)

Suh is 19th in 1st-round scoring average this year and just finished 10th at the Zozo Championship recently.

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2023 World Wide Technology Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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After a week off, the PGA Tour is back with the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship at El Cardonal Golf Course in Mexico. It’s the 1st PGA Tour event to be held at a course designed by Tiger Woods.

Below, we look at the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Ludvig Aberg leads the field as the betting favorite this week, coming in with odds of +900 to win in Mexico. Cameron Young (+1400), Sahith Theegala (+1600) and Beau Hossler (+2200) are also teeing it up at El Cardonal Golf Course. Aberg is the highest-ranked player in the field coming in at No. 10 in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. Theegala is 20th.

El Cardonal Golf Course was Woods’ 1st course design and opened in 2014. It’s 7,452 yards long and plays as a par 72, with drastic elevation changes throughout the course. It features wide fairways and big greens, so players don’t have to be overly accurate off the tee.

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World Wide Technology Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:57 p.m. ET.

Ludvig Aberg (+900)

It’s a chalky pick, but Aberg is already at the point where it’s hard not to like him on any course against any field. This isn’t a loaded field by any means and he’s playing better than anyone teeing it up. In addition to winning the European Masters on the DP World Tour last month, he’s finished 14th, 2nd and 13th in his last 3 PGA Tour starts.

Stephan Jaeger (+2800)

Jaeger has finished T-45 and T-25 in his 2 starts this fall, but he ended the regular season strongly with a T-14 at the Wyndham Championship and a T-20 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship in August. He has 10 top-25s in 31 starts this season and he’ll look to keep that going this week.

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World Wide Technology Championship picks – Contenders

Cameron Champ (+5500)

Champ finished T-59 at the Zozo Championship 2 weeks ago but he came in 9th and 18th in his 2 prior starts. On a course like El Cardonal with wide fairways, his inaccuracy off the tee won’t be particularly penalizing like it is on narrower courses. And he has the power to really take advantage of some par 4s by giving himself wedges into greens.

Joel Dahmen (+5500)

Dahmen has been having a good fall season, finishing 13th at the Sanderson Farms Championship and 7th at the Shriners Children’s Open earlier this month. He had a bad week at the Zozo Championship, finishing tied for 59th, but Dahmen is playing better now than he was earlier this season.

World Wide Technology Championship picks – Long shots

Troy Merritt (+9000)

Merritt finished T-7 at the Fortinet and T-9 at the Sanderson Farms Championship before hitting a rut at the Shriners Children’s Open where he came in 64th. It’s still be a good fall season against some weaker fields, and he could keep that going in Mexico.

Henrik Norlander (+10000)

Norlander lost in a playoff at the Sanderson Farms Championship earlier this month before coming in 35th at the Shriners Children’s Open a week later. He was struggling prior to those finishes but he had 2 top-25s last fall, including a T-15 at this tournament in 2022.

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WNBA Finals Game 4: Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty Game 4 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty meet Wednesday for Game 4 of their WNBA Finals best-of-5 playoff matchup. Tipoff from Barclays Center in Brooklyn is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Liberty Game 4 odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

WNBA Finals series: Aces lead 2-1

The Aces had a chance to eliminate the Liberty in Game 3, but New York stayed alive with an 87-73 victory as a 1.5-point underdog. Las Vegas is now 0-2 against the spread (ATS) in 2 road playoff games, with the Under cashing in each of those outings. Las Vegas is averaging just 69.5 points per game (PPG) in those 2 road playoff games, too.

The big news is that the Aces will be missing 2 starters for Game 4. Aces G Chelsea Gray, the 2022 WNBA Finals MVP, and C Kiah Stokes are both out with foot injuries.

Gray, who is averaging 15.0 points, 5.0 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game in the Finals, exited Game 3 with her injury in the 4th quarter. Stokes, who had 9 rebounds in Game 3 and is averaging 2.7 points and 6.7 rebounds in the Finals, isn’t sure when she hurt her foot. She is averaging 2.8 points and 7.9 rebound in the postseason.

The Liberty snapped an 0-3 ATS skid in Game 3, and the Under (172) cashed Sunday to snap a 5-0 Over run. New York is still 2-6 ATS in the past 8 games overall. The Liberty have scored 84 or more points in 4 of 5 home games in these playoffs.

Game 4: Aces at Liberty odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:06 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Aces +194 (bet $100 to win $194) | Liberty -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Aces +5.5 (-104) | Liberty -5.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 169.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Game 4: Aces at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 83, Liberty 80

Moneyline

The ACES (+194) were favorites in Game 3, and they ended up laying an egg as the Liberty extended their season. Now, the shoe is on the other foot, and Las Vegas is a giant value as a moderate underdog.

The line has moved in the Liberty’s favor with the injuries to the Aces’ Gray and Stokes, and many expect the home team to cruise in this one.

I’m predicting Las Vegas will thwart the doubters and successfully defend last season’s title with a win Wednesday.

Behind star F A’ja Wilson (20.3 PPG, 11.3 RPG in the Finals) and G’s Kelsey Plum (26.0 PPG, 3.7 assists per game) and Jackie Young (19.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 4.3 APG), the Aces pull this off.

Yes, the Aces have struggled in the postseason on the road, going just 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS. But they’re also a high-octane offense, and they’ll get the bounce-back in Game 4, hoisting the trophy once again.

Against the spread

If you can’t bring yourself to play the Aces on the moneyline to win straight up, at least play LAS VEGAS +5.5 (-104) to keep it within 3 buckets.

There is risk as the Aces are 1-6 ATS in the past 7 road games. However, the Liberty are just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 home outings. Las Vegas is 19-8 ATS in the past 27 meetings, too.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 169.5 (-114) is worth playing in Game 4. The intensity will be ratcheted up to an all-time high, and it’s a good idea to buck most of the trends.

The Over has cashed in 10 of the past 14 in the series, while cashing in 4 of the past 5 in New York. But that lone Under was in Game 3.

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2023 Zozo Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 Zozo Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The PGA Tour is in Japan this week for the 2023 Zozo Championship, which for the 4th time since it joined the tour circuit in 2019 is being hosted by Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club. Keegan Bradley will look to defend his title in this 78-player, no-cut event.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Zozo Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Xander Schauffele is the biggest name in the field and the favorite (+700) to win this week. He also comes in as the 2nd-ranked player in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, behind only Scottie Scheffler, who isn’t playing in Japan. Collin Morikawa will be teeing it up and he’s Golfweek’s 14th-ranked player with Sungjae Im coming in at No. 22.

Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club is a shorter course, playing only 7,079 yards as a par 70. It features 5 par 3s and only 3 par 5s, so there aren’t as many scoring opportunities as a traditional par 72 layout with 4 par 4s.

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Zozo Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:16 a.m. ET.

Hideki Matsuyama (+300)

Matsuyama has played really well here in 2 of his 3 starts, winning in 2021 and finishing 2nd in 2019. He came in 40th last year but there’s no reason to believe he can’t finish near the top of the leaderboard again in this limited field. He’s gained 30.4 total strokes here in 3 rounds, which is the best of any player in the field, according to Ron Klos.

Sahith Theegala (+320)

Theegala finished 5th in his debut here last year, so he didn’t take long to get acclimated to this tree-lined course. Coming off his win at the Fortinet Championship last month, Theegala is riding some momentum into Japan.

Cameron Champ (+600)

Let’s take a chance on Champ in this no-cut event, where he finished 8th in his debut last year. In his last 2 starts this season, he’s finished 9th and 18th and at 1 point led the Shriners Children’s Open last week after firing rounds of 63 and 67 the 1st 2 days, followed by a 65 on Sunday.

Zozo Championship – Top-10 picks

Keegan Bradley (+175)

Bradley is the defending champion and should probably have shorter odds because of it. He’s finished 13th, 7th and 1st in his 3 starts here, putting together the best average finish of anyone in the field who’s played here at least twice.

Eric Cole (+220)

Cole has been in excellent form recently, finishing 3rd and 4th in 2 of his last 3 starts. Though he’s never played here before, his game is suited for any course, especially one that doesn’t require a ton of length off the tee.

Cam Davis (+160)

Let’s keep riding the Cam Davis train. He has 5 top-10 finishes in his last 6 starts, including a T-7 at the Shriners just last week. In his lone start here last year, he finished T-29, but he’s a good bet to finish in the top 10 with the way he’s been playing.

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Zozo Championship – Top-20 picks

Emiliano Grillo (+150)

Grillo came in 4th at the Zozo Championship last year, which was his 3rd start here after finishing 30th and 73rd the previous 2 years. He has 2 top-10s in his last 4 starts this season, though he has missed the cut in his 2 most recent events.

Mackenzie Hughes (+275)

Hughes is absolutely worth a play this week. He finished 4th here in 2021 before coming in 23rd last year, and though he only has 1 top-30 in his last 5 starts, this course seems to fit his game.

Tom Hoge (+188)

Hoge has 2 missed cuts in his last 5 starts but in the 3 events where he did make the cut, he finished 21st, 14th and 13th, so it’s been a mixed bag. At the Zozo Championship, he’s come in 17th and 9th in just 2 starts.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Hayden Buckley (+280)
  • Sam Ryder (+200)

Zozo Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Keegan Bradley (+105) vs. Min Woo Lee (-130)

Going with Bradley again here at plus-money against Lee, who’s never played this event before. It’s surprising to see Bradley as the underdog, having played here 3 times in the last 4 years, so he’s a great value.

Zozo Championship – Top American

Keegan Bradley (+1200)

As much as I like Morikawa and his ball-striking, as well as Rickie Fowler, Bradley’s track record in this event is too good to pass up at multiple spots.

Zozo Championship – First-round leader

Adam Schenk (+4000)

Schenk is a sneaky pick to be the 1st-round leader, shooting 65 in Round 1 last year and 67 in 2021, putting him near the top of the leaderboard after the 1st round in both starts.

Hideki Matsuyama (+2500)

Matsuyama shot 64 to open his tournament in 2021 and 65 in 2019, which was 1 stroke off the pace after the 1st round in both years.

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