The best NFL player prop bets of Week 4

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

This week we make our picks on a group of underachievers – stars who haven’t blown up as expected this year along with guys who have been career underachievers for the most part.

The Week 4 picks include a pair of draft-inflated quarterbacks fighting for their NFL lives as starters, two of the top three running backs in most fantasy drafts, and a sneaky wide receiver pick who has consistently blown up against his Week 4 opponent.

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5 best NFL player prop bets for Week 3

Five prop bets for Week 3 to add some cash to your wallet.

Week 3 is going to be a statement weekend in a lot of the NFL divisional races, and the players selected for this weeks player prop bets are going to have a significant role in whether their teams rise up or drop down in that effort.

We will look at one quarterback, two running backs, a wide receiver and a tight end – all of whom will be critical to the outcome of their respective games.

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The 5 best NFL player prop bets for Week 2

Five player prop bets that will take you to the pay window.

In Week 1 we had a good look at all 32 teams and what their squads look like – both their strengths and their weaknesses. In some instances, what we saw in Week 1 wasn’t representative of what we can expect over the course of the full season – teams like the Green Bay Packers, Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals.

For most teams, what we saw is what we can likely expect – good and bad – going forward, so with more information to go on, we can base decisions on a track record from this season and, in the case of divisional games with a lot of history, a head-to-head track record.

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The 5 best NFL player prop bets for Week 1

The five smartest player prop wagers of Week 1.

You never really know what you’re going to see making Week 1 prop bets. Teams are as healthy as they’re going to be all season and expectations are high for every fanbase.

It gets easier to make prop bets during the season when injuries create defensive vacuums that are exploited. We will see similar to what Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp did last year – the numbers had to keep getting higher to the point where if you wanted to take the Over. Kupp would need nine catches for 105 yards, and I cashed on him consistently.

For Week 1, we take four players who have never played a down for their current team and one mainstay. Get the popcorn ready.

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NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Super Bowl Picks

Five favorable player prop bets to make before Super Bowl LVI.

We’ve been doing prop bets all year. When it comes to the Super Bowl, the rest of the world is catching up to us, although we won’t waste your time on whether the opening coin toss will be heads or tails or what color Gatorade gets poured on the winning coach.

We’ve picked five player props we like because the numbers are viewed as too high or too low based on what could be expected, including taking the Under on a pair of receivers who have done very well by me because I was ahead of the curve on taking the Over time after time.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Thursday, Feb. 10 at 8:10 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook

Chief of Staff

The career trajectory of Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford is one that sadly has played out many times in NFL lore – a first overall pick who went to a bad organization and never achieved the success in the NFL that he enjoyed in college. Stafford is one of those guys. While he posted Hall of Fame-worthy statistics in Detroit, he likely wouldn’t be considered a Hall of Famer because he never won a chip. If he adds that resume-builder Sunday, his HOF stock will climb exponentially. He has an interesting prop bet for his Over/Under on touchdown passes (2.5 at +140 Over, -185 Under). I think the Rams are going to score 30 or more points against the Bengals. That will effectively require four touchdowns if they score 31. Stafford will be allowed to have his moment if that happens, and even if the team is at the 1- or 2-yard line, they may still throw. Take the Over (+140).

The Thrill of the Chase

Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase has been a guy I’ve loved all season, because the Over/Under took too long to catch up with him. When it did, he became a matchup play who consistently cashed in on the Under. He has topped 100 yards in two of his three postseason games, but he wasn’t under the direct opposition of Jalen Ramsey – another veteran in search of a title ring. The Rams are likely going to have Ramsey follow Chase throughout the game. He has a solid Over/Under number (80.5 yards at -114 for both). Against most top cornerbacks, that would be enough. Not against Ramsey. Joe Burrow is going to be under pressure all night and will have to make quick decisions. That doesn’t end well when Ramsey is peeking in the backfield. Chase is capable of huge things, but Burrow will make business decisions and look the other way. Take the Under (-114).

Bend It Like Beckham

Rams WR Odell Beckham saw his career almost come to an end when he was released at midseason by the Cleveland Browns. In eight regular season games with the Rams, he had more than 40 receiving yards just twice. In the postseason, his receiving yardage numbers have been 54-69-114. He has a achievable Over/Under for receiving yards (65.5 yards at -114 Over, -114 Under). What makes Beckham interesting is the number of times in the last two games the Rams have started a drive with a bubble screen to Beckham four times – an indication they want him involved in the passing game early. With all the attention Cooper Kupp is going to receive, OBJ is going to be singled up a lot, and he has the skills to do damage. … Another veteran with a solid resume who needs a Super Bowl win to pad it. Take the Over (-114).

No Average Joe

There are times when a really low number is an attractive prop bet, because the conventional wisdom is overwhelmingly one-sided. Such is the case for Bengals QB Joe Burrow. He has a peewee number for rushing yards (12.5 yards at -114 for both the Over and Under). The rationale is simple. He has played 19 games and has hit 13 or more yards just three times. Easy, right? Not so fast, my friend. Burrow was up against a Kansas City Chiefs defense that brings the heat but drops the back seven. The Rams blitz a lot. All that is necessary is one blitz to get picked up with five receivers running downfield routes and Burrow will see nothing but open spaces. It only takes one play to hit a number this small, and he proved against the Chiefs that he is willing to run when he needs a first down. Take the Over (-114).

Feeling Cooped Up

There is no player I went to the pay window with more often than Rams WR Cooper Kupp. In September, he was a godsend because those setting the lines weren’t comfortable projecting 100 yards. I was. They are now. But, they have reached a tipping point that makes me sad. He has arguably the most astronomical reception number ever assigned (8.5 receptions at -103 Over, -125 Under). If it was 7.5, I would have strongly considered taking the Over. This is Cincy’s first Super Bowl in forever, and the coaching staff likely has a “5 Keys to Victory” sheet. No. 1 or 2 is likely “Stop Cooper Kupp.” For the same reason I think OBJ will hit his Over, expecting constant double coverage and Kupp still having nine receptions to pay off the Over is just asking too much. He’s been good to me on the Over all season for receptions and/or yardage, but the number has gotten just too high. Take the Under (-125).

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NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Championship Week

Five pro bets that should hit during the NFL Conference Championships.

We’re down to the NFL’s Final Four, which includes three teams that won on the road with walk-off field goals in the Divisional Round. With the Super Bowl at stake, we take a prop bet for each team (one gets two) as two teams prepare to have their Super Bowl dream come true.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Friday, Jan. 28 at 6:20 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook

No Average Joe

Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon doesn’t get the same amount of credit that teammates Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase get for the success of the Cincinnati offense, but in many ways, Mixon is the straw that stirs the drink. In the Bengals offense, Mixon has been critical to controlling game flow and keeping pressure off Burrow. If Mixon struggles, Burrow has to pass too often and his weak O-line is exposed. Mixon’s Over/Under is very reasonable (15.5 rushing attempts at -106 Over, -122 Under). If the Bengals are going to win, it will require a heavy dose of Mixon to keep the Chiefs’ potent offense on the sideline. Take the Over (-106).

What the Helaire’s Going On Out There?

Kansas City Chiefs running Clyde Edwards-Helaire came back last week after missing three games and, while he only had seven carries, he broke off one big run to finish with 60 rushing yards. The problem is that during his injury, Jerick McKinnon has been an explosive replacement and has earned the opportunity to be the primary back – both as a runner and receiver. CEH has a modest Over/Under (37.5 rushing yards at -115 Over, -112 Under). But, the question facing Andy Reid is whether to cut into the time with the guy who has the hot hand (McKinnon). If the Chiefs are ahead and trying to grind down the clock, go with the team’s best between-the-tackles power runner (Darrel Williams). If Edwards-Helaire ends up with only seven carries again this week, he will need to pop another big run to hit that number. He may not get the opportunities he needs. Take the Under (-115).

Kelce Grammar

Among the prop bets available to bettors is the straightforward questions, “Is Player X going to score a touchdown?” It’s pretty simple. He does or he doesn’t. Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has a fairly reasonable number to score (-125 for an anytime touchdown). Kelce has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five games, and the Chiefs design packages specifically to get him the ball near the goal line. If the expectation of a high-scoring game happens, it would be hard to imagine the Chiefs scoring three or four touchdowns and Kelce not getting his piece of the pie. Kelce scores (-125).

Green Akers

Los Angeles Rams RB Cam Akers has made a miraculous return from an Achilles injury suffered last summer and has taken over the run game in the postseason, which explains why his Over/Under is so high (17.5 rushing attempts at -105 Over, -123 Under). The Rams offense has force-fed Akers in their playoff run – 41 carries in two games. But, he has produced just 2.5 yards a carry, including just 48 yards on 24 carries last week when the Rams tried to milk a big lead vs. a tough run defense. Against a San Francisco 49ers team that has momentum and has beaten the Rams six straight times, running Akers too often if he keeps producing just a couple of yards won’t be tolerated for long if it leaves the offense in bad down-and-distance situations. Unless the Rams are up by 14 or more, this is a big number to try to hit. Take the Under (-123).

I’ll Buy a Vowel, Pat

There are some bets that you make based on the defense a team is facing. Such is the case for 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk. He isn’t viewed as a focus of the 49ers offense, but he will likely be on the field a lot in the overall plan to prevent Jimmy Garoppolo from screwing things up for the Niners. The Rams are going to be coming after Jimmy G and Juszczyk will likely be chipping defenders or pass blocking in the backfield. He has a minuscule Over/Under (1.5 receptions at +112 Over, -145 Under). He has two or more receptions in 10 of 19 games he has played, and Garoppolo knows that when he needs a check-down target, his man Kyle will be in the flat likely unguarded. It isn’t sexy pick, but one that should hit – despite the number saying it won’t. Take the Over (+112).

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NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Divisional Round

Five of our favorite NFL Divisional Round prop bets.

Not sure I’ve ever seen a Divisional Round week where such a strong case can be made that each of the road teams has a legitimate chance to win. While history tells us the home team should win three of these games (if not all four), they’re going to be competitive – nothing could be worse than last week’s blowouts.

Here are five players we’re convinced have a great chance of sending you to the playoff pay window.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Friday, Jan. 21 at 7:40 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook

Oh, Henry!

The Tennessee Titans found a way to lock down the No. 1 seed in the AFC without their most potent weapon, RB Derrick Henry. Now he’s back, and there’s going to be a lot of pregame debate about whether he’s the Henry that was a legitimate MVP candidate or a running back being forced back too soon with a foot injury – an RB killer. By his standards, he has a low Over/Under (80.5 rushing yards at -114 for both the Over and Under). The fact the Titans activated him lends itself to giving Henry a heavy workload. He’s the centerpiece of the offense, and the team has been built around him for a reason. Take the Over (-114).

Runnin’ with the Devil

The San Francisco 49ers have a big job ahead of them traveling to Green Bay. Their QB has a thumb problem on his throwing hand. In cold weather, it hurts much worse. The 49ers are likely to lean on RB Elijah Mitchell … again. Over his last six games, he has more than 20 carries in all of them. His Over/Under for rushing attempts is less than that (18.5 carries at -118 Over, -110 Under). The only way he doesn’t make it seven in a row with 20-plus carries is if the Packers blow out the Niners early, or he gets injured during the game. Take the Over (-118).

Brady’s Bunch

The deeper the Tampa Bay Buccaneers go in the playoffs, the more the injury to Chris Godwin and the release of Antonio Brown are going to stand out. QB Tom Brady has had absurd Over/Under numbers all season, and this week is no exception (290.5 passing yards at -114 for both). Brady has more than proved what he is capable of in the postseason and many see a shootout type of game. While I don’t disagree with that, if the Los Angeles Rams defense can effectively limit Mike Evans, Brady will need to complete 30 passes to hit that number with dink-and-dunk passes. The Bucs may win, but it shouldn’t be through an aerial attack. Take the Under (-114).

Swinging for a Single

Just as many who are projecting the Rams-Buccaneers game to be a passing festival, the same is true in the Buffalo Bills-Kansas City Chiefs matchup. In this case, I see that happening. Bills RB Devin Singletary is playing the best ball of his career of late, reflected in his Over/Under (15.5 rushing attempts at -105 Over, -123 Under). For a standard featured back, that’s not a lot, but for Singletary, that’s a pretty stiff number. If he struggles early, his carries will suffer. The Bills may just come out throwing and not look back. Zack Moss may get some looks. Too many factors are against it. Take the Under (-123).

Hail to the Chief

There are always two players for the Chiefs that get bettors expecting huge games – WR Tyreek Hill and TE Travis Kelce. The Bills linebackers are decent, but not great. Kelce is great. Hill is likely to garner double-coverage on most plays. Kelce will likely be locked up one-on-one more times than not. Who will Patrick Mahomes choose? The star in single coverage. He has a pretty big number for a tight end (69.5 receiving yards at -116 Over, -111 Under) for a reason. He’s going to top it. Take the Over (-116).

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PLAY for FREE: The Huddle’s Prop Bet Challenge – Wild Card Weekend

Take part in TheHuddle’s free Wild Card Weekend player prop game; answer eight questions + tie breaker correctly for your shot at winning a gift card.

Roll into the NFL playoffs with it our free-to-play weekly NFL Prop Bet contest. Based around predicting player performances through the new Daily Ticket, powered by Tipico Sportsbook. Put your fantasy football knowledge at work for your chance to win by correctly predicting how players will do this weekend.

Answer eight questions below plus a tie breaker correctly for your chance at a $250 gift card.

Pick. Play. Win. Repeat. On Us.

You must be 21+ to enter. Terms and conditions apply, see website.

[chalkline game=”huddle-challenge”]

For additional free sports pick’em games to play, visit the game lobby at Daily Ticket.

NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Wild Card Weekend

Five NFL Wild Card Weekend prop bets to put some extra cash in your pocket.

The NFL field has been whittled down from 32 to 14 and the intensity ramps up the closer a team gets to the Super Bowl. We’ve picked five high-profile players from this week’s field and come up with reasons why we are convinced we’ll being heading the pay window with this Fab Five.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Friday, Jan. 14 at 7:10 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook

Mixon Things Up

There’s no doubt that Joe Mixon is the player who Cincinnati’s offense revolves around. However, he has a very interesting Over/Under for volume expectations (19.5 rushing attempts at -105 Over, -123 Under). To hit the Over, Mixon will need 20 carries – something he did just four times during the regular season and just twice since Week 3. It should be noted that one of those two over the last 15 games was a season-high 30 against the Raiders. But that was a game the Bengals jumped out to a huge lead and leaned on Mixon to keep it a huge lead. If the same situation happens, the Bengals will likely pull Mixon and let Samaje Perine or Chris Evans share the load. Mixon has come 17 or more carries in four of his last five games, but hasn’t hit 20 in any of them. It may get close, but Take the Under (-123).

Rob from the Rich

Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Rob Gronkowski has a huge reception Over/Under for a tight end (5.5 catches at -102 Over, -127 Under). The clear indication here is that he won’t get to six receptions. However, in the two games that the Bucs were without both Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown, Gronk caught seven passes in each game and had 252 receiving yards. He missed the first game against the Philadelphia Eagles, but you can bet without a couple of his top weapons, Tom Brady will be locked in off the snap on Gronk up the seam. Six catches is a high bar for a tight end, but this is the postseason and that is Brady and Gronk. Take the Over (-102).

Let’s Show Brandon!

Of all the players who have been spotlighted in the second-half run by the San Francisco 49ers, WR Brandon Aiyuk has been overlooked despite making a significant contribution. The 49ers needed to win their last two games to make the playoffs and Aiyuk was more productive (10-201) than either Deebo Samuel (7-158-1) or George Kittle (6-39). The Dallas Cowboys defense is going to pay inordinate attention to Samuel and Kittle, which will leave Aiyuk in single man coverage. His Over/Under is modest (49.5 receiving yards at -114 for both the Over and Under). It may only take three receptions to hit that number because the Cowboys give up a lot of downfield splash plays and their attention will be on George and Deebo. Take the Over (-114). 

Bottomless Pitt

Sometimes a number is set that you think should go one way. but it doesn’t … Such is the case for Pittsburgh Steelers WR Diontae Johnson. His Over/Under for receptions is high (6.5 receptions at -106 Over, -122 Under). In the 16 games he played this season, he caught seven or more passes in six games, and this game has all the makings of a 38-14 blowout that sees Ben Roethlisberger throwing 50 passes. However, as the weather has become colder late in the season, the Chiefs have become much more of a running/short-passing team willing to take a 14-play drive that eats eight minutes off the clock. Johnson is clearly capable of catching seven passes, but he may not get the opportunities he needs because the Steelers defense is on the field for 35-40 minutes. Take the Under (-122).

All Cooped Up

I’ve made more money on Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp than any other player. He has been seeing absurd Over/Under numbers for receiving yardage. There’s a reason for that. In 17 games this season, he topped 100 yards in 11 of them and had 92 or more in all but one game – the first meeting with the Arizona Cardinals. His Over/Under, as expected, is incredibly high for this week (106.5 receiving yards at -114 for both the Over and Under). Even in his worst statistical game of the season (5-64), Kupp was targeted 13 times. He was targeted 15 times in their second meeting and produced (13-123-1). That stat is telling. The Rams learned from the first game, when he caught just five of 13 thrown his way and changed it up – he caught 13 of 15 – mostly slant passes – the second time around. It’s hard to give away 106 yards, but this is Kupp. Take the Over (-114).

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NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Week 18

Five prop bets to close out the NFL regular season.

The final week of the regular season is upon us, and we have picked out five prop bets that can take you to the pay window. We’re spreading the wealth – picking one quarterback, one running back, two wide receivers and one tight end in hopes of hitting a payday in five different games on Sunday.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Friday, Jan. 7 at 7:15 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook

Diggstown

Buffalo Bills WR Stefon Diggs hasn’t had the lights-out season that he had in 2020, but his best game of the season came in his first meeting with the New York Jets, catching eight passes for 162 yards. It’s little surprising that his Over/Under is as low as it is (73.5 receiving yards at -114 for both the Over and Under). The Bills need to win this game to clinch the AFC East and not be a wild-card team on the road, so Josh Allen will be leaning on Diggs. If he does half well as the first matchup, he still hits. Take the Over (-114).

Jobsite Foreman

Few players have been more hit-and-miss recently than Tennessee Titans running back D’Onta Foreman. The Titans need a win to earn a first-round bye and will be getting Derrick Henry back. Foreman is playing lowly Houston but has a modest Over/Under (69.5 rushing yards at -114 for both). In the five games since the Titans last played Houston, Foreman has topped 100 yards three times. The Titans won’t take any chances to lock down the coveted top seed, and Foreman should have 20 carries or more as they get back into Henry mode. He should only need 15 to hit this number. Take the Over (-114).

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Law & Order

It’s been a long, painful rookie season for Jacksonville Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence, and it’s coming to an end. His Over/Under is very low (209.5 passing yards at -108 Over, -120 Under). But, it’s low for a reason. He hasn’t hit 210 yards in six of his last nine games. In his first meeting with the Colts, despite throwing 35 times, he had just 162 passing yards. There are better times ahead, but Lawrence will be happy to see this miserable season come to a close. Take the Under (-120).

Kittle in Bits

San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle is a big reason the 49ers have beaten the Los Angeles Rams five straight times. In his last seven games against the Rams, he has 98 or more yards in five of them and has just one game in which he didn’t blow out his Week 18 Over/Under (60.5 receiving yards at -112 Over, -115 Under). The Rams typically don’t put Jalen Ramsey in the slot — where he spent most of his time in the earlier meeting, dude to injuries. Kittle does his most damage from the inside, and the results have been impressive. The Niners need to win to get in, so expect to see Kittle targeted 10 times or more. If he catches half of those, he hits the point. Take the Over (-112).

Hollywood or Bust

The Baltimore Ravens have had a slew of injuries this season, so WR Marquise Brown hasn’t had the kind of season that was expected of him. He hasn’t hit 45 yards in any of the four games since Lamar Jackson went down, but the Pittsburgh Steelers are a risk-taking defense, and Brown will get some single coverage. His Over/Under is very low (45.5 receiving yards at -111 Over, -116 Under). The feeling is that he won’t hit the point, but he has had some good games against the Steelers, and it may only take one splash play plus a couple short receptions to hit this number. Take the Over (-111).

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).