Iowa State at Kansas college basketball odds, picks and best bets

Analyzing Monday’s Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas Jayhawks sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks and tips.

The Iowa State Cyclones (11-14) head to Allen Fieldhouse to play the Kansas Jayhawks (22-3) at 9 p.m. ET. We analyze the Iowa State-Kansas odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.

Iowa State at Kansas: Three things you need to know

  1. Iowa State has beaten Kansas only once at Allen Fieldhouse since 2011. The Cyclones beat the Jayhawks 92-89 in overtime in 2017 but that Iowa State team won 24 games and earned an NCAA Tournament berth. This year’s team will need a miracle run in this year’s Big XII tournament to play in the tourney.
  2. Kansas won its 10th straight game by beating the Oklahoma Sooners 87-70 Saturday.
  3. The Cyclones are looking for back-to-back victories, after beating the Texas Longhorns 81-52 Saturday, for the first time since defeating Missouri-Kansas City and Seton Hall in consecutive games back in early December.

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Iowa State at Kansas: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Jayhawks 80, Iowa State 69

Moneyline (ML)

FORGET ABOUT A MONEYLINE WAGER in Iowa State-Kansas. Since 2015, Kansas (-2500) has the best home record (71-5) and the best record against Big XII conference opponent (75-19). The Jayhawks are also 66-5 as home favorites with a 14.5-point average margin of victory.

Iowa State (+1100) already took a 26-point whooping at home to Kansas Jan. 8, and the Jayhawks’ only home loss this season came to the No. 1 Baylor Bears by a 67-55 count Jan. 11.

Against the Spread (ATS)

TAKE IOWA STATE +16.5 (-115) at Kansas. Kansas hasn’t consistently met bookmakers’ expectations at home against bad teams this season. The Jayhawks are 3-7 against the spread against teams below .500.

Iowa State is a bad team, who has to be flying high off the beating it put on Texas Saturday. The Cyclones are 8-2 ATS over the last 10 meetings and the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. There’s a good chance Kansas is looking ahead to its Saturday game against Baylor and could sleep on a Cyclones team it crushed in the season’s first meeting.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 143.5 (+125) is the only play here for the total. The vig on the Under (-154) is too high and there are too many arguments for taking a plus-money Over. The Cyclones have a 13-11-1 Over/Under record thus far on the season and they have the highest percentage of Overs (53-37-2) in conference games since 2015. Furthermore, Iowa State ranks 239th in opponent field goal percentage, 311th in opponent 3-point % and 255th in opponent points per game, so the Jayhawks should have offensive success.

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