Category: UFC MMA Betting Tips

Best UFC 300 Betting Promos & Bonuses | Grab $3800 in MMA Offers for Pereira-Hill Title Fight

The best UFC 300 betting promos deliver bonus bets, huge first-bet offers and more for new customers. Register right now and bet today on Pereira-Hill title odds!

We may earn a fee if you make a purchase through one of the links in this article. The USA Today Network newsroom and editorial staff were not involved in the creation of this content.

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Nobody puts on a show like UFC — especially when it comes time for a milestone event like Saturday night’s UFC 300 extravaganza at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Enhance your enjoyment of this epic 13-fight card by taking advantage of the best UFC 300 betting promos from the leading online sportsbooks. You can bulk up your betting bankroll with thousands of dollars in bonus bets, first-bet offers and more.

The main event is a showdown between light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira and No. 1 challenger Jamahal Hill, but that’s not the only bout with a title belt on the line. Women’s strawweight champ Zhang Weili will scrap with leading challenger Yan Xiaonan, who’s also from China.

We handicap all the big matches, but first we review all of the best UFC 300 betting promos and bonuses for new customers. Create an account using one or more the premier sports betting apps and get welcome offers from all of the top UFC betting sites before you lock in your first bets.

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Best UFC 300 Betting Promos & Bonuses – Top Welcome Offers at UFC Betting Sites

UFC 300 Betting Promos UFC 300 Betting Promo Codes UFC 300 Betting Bonuses
📱 BetMGM Bonus Code ✔️ SBWIRE 🤑 Up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Loses
📱 Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code ✔️ SBWIRE1000 🤑 First-Bet Offer Up to $1,000 on Caesars
📱 bet365 Bonus Code ✔️ SBKWIRE 🤑 Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets or First Bet Safety Net up to $1000
📱 DraftKings Promo Code ✔️ CLICK HERE 🤑 Bet $5, Get $150 Instantly
📱 FanDuel Promo Code ✔️ CLICK HERE 🤑 Bet $5, Get $150, Win or Lose

Note: Bettors in the Tar Heel State can now access special North Carolina sportsbook promos as North Carolina sports betting launched in March. 

BetMGM Bonus Code SBWIRE for UFC 300 Betting

Some of the best UFC 300 betting promos have big limits for protected first bets, like the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE and its first-bet offer up to $1,500.

If your first bet of at least $10 settles as a loss, you’ll get a bonus-bet refund, up to $1,500. For first-bet losses of $50 or more, you’ll get five bonus bets — each valued at 20 percent of your original wager. If your first bet was for less than $50, then you’ll get one bonus bet equivalent to your original wager. You’ll have seven days to use your bonus bets.

To turn any bonus bet into cash with the best UFC 300 betting promos, you just need to fulfill BetMGM’s 1X playthrough requirement. A bonus bet needs to win just one time for you to collect the profit in cash.

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UFC 300 Betting – Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code SBWIRE1000

If you’re seeking high betting limits and first-bet protection from the best UFC 300 betting promos, then launch a new account with the Caesars Sportsbook promo code SBWIRE1000 and seize a first bet up to $1,000 on Caesars.

If you lose your first bet of at least $10, you’ll get a bonus bet back, and the promo offer covers up to $1,000. You get 14 days to play this credit.

Because Caesars Sportsbook, like all the best UFC 300 betting promos included in this review, features a 1X playthrough requirement, your bet credit needs to win just once for you to pocket the profit in cash.

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bet365 Bonus Code SBKWIRE for UFC 300 Betting

The bet365 welcome offer gives new customers a choice. Among sportsbook promo codes, it’s one of the leading UFC 300 betting promos. When you set up an account with the bet365 bonus code SBKWIRE, you get to choose between a First Bet Safety Net up to $1,000 or get $150 in bonus bets with a $5 opening wager. Sorry, but you have to select just one of these introductory offers.

If you pick the First Bet Safety Net, then you’ll get matching bonus bets back if your opening wager is a loss, up to $1,000. The refund will be as site credit that you can break into as many bonus bets as you want. If you go with the $150 in bonus bets, place a $5 first bet and you’ll receive $150 in bonus bets regardless of whether your first bet wins or loses. The $150 can also be broken up however you want.

With both of these great UFC 300 betting promos, you get seven days to play your bonus bets. Any bonus bet must win just one time for you to claim the profit in cash.

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UFC 300 Betting with DraftKings Promo Code

Remember, you can sign up for as many of these UFC 300 betting promos as you want. Speaking of these welcome offers, when you register for a new account with the DraftKings promo code, you’re rewarded with $150 in bonus bets once you make a $5 first bet.

As soon as you place that $5 first bet — and it can be on UFC 300 or any other event that attracts your interest — then DraftKings will send you six $25 bonus bets immediately.

Any time one of your bonus bets wins with one of the best UFC 300 betting promos, you win the profit in cash.

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FanDuel Promo Code for UFC 300 Betting

FanDuel has tweaked its intro deal just in time to make it one of the best UFC 300 betting promos. When you start an account with the FanDuel promo code and place a $5 first bet, you’ll be rewarded with $150 in bonus bets regardless of how that first bet fares.

Yes, it’s this simple. Just plunk down your $5 first bet on UFC or anything else you find at FanDuel. Once you do, FanDuel sends you $150 in site credit that will arrive within 72 hours.

You’ll have seven days to use the $150. Better yet, FanDuel allows you to split up that $150 any way you want. Make as many (or as few) bets as you like. Each time a bonus bet wins with one of the best UFC 300 betting promos, you win the profit in cash.

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Best UFC 300 Betting Promos | Handicapping the UFC 300 Main Card So You Can Bet Now

Most of the 13 premier fights that make up Saturday night’s UFC 300 card appear to be tossups. Use the best UFC 300 betting promos and bonuses to take advantage of the betting lines that dot this great lineup of bouts. If you’re just learning how to bet on UFC, these welcome offers are perfect.

The top fight is the light heavyweight title bout between champion Alex Pereira (9-2-0) and the No. 1 challenger, Jamahal Hill (12-1-0). Both men have virtually identical builds — right down to their leg reach — and it’s important to remember Hill used to have the light heavyweight belt and didn’t lose it in the ring.

Hill ruptured his Achilles last summer playing basketball, so he gave up the belt in July. Pereira swooped in and claimed it in November with a second-round KO of Jiri Prochazka. Pereira ranks No. 4 in UFC’s pound-for-pound rankings — and expect him to need all of that toughness to hold off Hill in what should be an explosive fight from start to finish.

The women’s strawweight championship bout isn’t expected to be as taut. Zhang Weili is an overwhelming favorite to defend her title against Yan Xiaonan.

Elsewhere on the main card, former Penn State wrestling great Bo Nickal is expected to crush Cody Brundage in middleweight action — but the other two fights look like excellent matchups. Fourth-ranked lightweight Arman Tsarukyan (21-3-0) is a moderate favorite to handle No. 1 challenger Charles Oliveira (34-9-0). Tsarukyan, who’s seven years younger, has been dominant in his last three fights.

And then there’s the fight that has attracted a ton of attention. Second-ranked featherweight Max Holloway (25-7-0) has changed classes and moved up to take on second-ranked lightweight Justin Gaethje (25-4-0). Gaethje is the betting favorite, but this isn’t the first time Holloway has jumped to lightweight to take on another great fighter.

If you’re ready to bet on any or all of these fights, then you owe it to yourself to capitalize on one or more of the best UFC 300 betting promos. If you are new and still adjusting to how to bet on sports, you should register for one or sign up for them all and start betting today!

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UFC Fight Night 240: Morgan Charriere vs. Chepe Mariscal odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 240 odds between Morgan Charriere vs. Chepe Mariscal, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Morgan Charriere and Chepe Mariscal meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 240 (also known as UFC on ESPN+ 98 and UFC Vegas 90) at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 240: Charriere vs. Mariscal odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 3 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 6 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Records: Charriere (19-9-1) | Mariscal (15-6-0)

Charriere made his UFC debut with a Round 1 KO/TKO win over Manolo Zecchini in the Gane-Spivac Fight Night in early Sept. 2023. He has 3 consecutive KO/TKO wins in his past 3 pro bouts, and he has won 4 straight fights across all levels.

Mariscal picked up a 2nd-round KO/TKO last time out against Jack Jenkins at UFC 293, and he is 2-0 since making his UFC debut with a unanimous-decision win over Trevor Peek in June 2023. “Machine Gun” has won 5 consecutive bouts across all levels, including 4 KO/TKO victories.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 240: Charriere vs. Mariscal

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:50 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Charriere -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mariscal +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -175 | No +130)

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UFC Fight Night 240: Charriere vs. Mariscal picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

We get a fight between 2 young prospects looking to climb the rungs of the UFC ladder.

The 28-year-old Charriere (-120) has shown off tremendous punching power, dropping Zecchini in the 1st round of his UFC debut, while picking up 3 straight finishes inside the distance.

Mariscal (+100) has won 2 fights at the UFC level since his debut, with mixed results. He, too, is a punching machine, and this is going to be an entertaining bout.

If you don’t want to pick a winner in this rather evenly matched fight, playing KO/TKO/DQ (+175) for the “How Fight Will End” prop might be your best bet. If either of these knockout artists wins via KO/TKO/DQ, you win.

Over/Under (O/U)

In addition, NO (+130): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a strong value at plus-money with 2 young fighters who have plenty of KO/TKO wins under their collective belts.

These fighters are likely to take the 1st 5 minutes to feel each other out. We should see the action pick up in Round 2, however, and we’re unlikely to see the judges get involved.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC Fight Night 240: Alexander Hernandez vs. Damon Jackson odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 240 odds between Alexander Hernandez and Damon Jackson, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Alexander Hernandez and Damon Jackson meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 240 (also known as UFC on ESPN+ 98 and UFC Vegas 90) at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 240: Hernandez vs. Jackson odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 3 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 6 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Records: Hernandez (14-7-0) | Jackson (22-6-1)

Hernandez was on the losing end of a unanimous decision in a Fight Night in early October last time out. Prior to that, he defeated Jim Miller via unanimous decision in Feb. 2023. He has dropped 3 of the past 4 bouts, and 2 of those losses finished inside the distance, with a KO/TKO setback at UFC 282 to Billy Quarantillo, and a submission loss to Renato Moicano at UFC 271.

Jackson has suffered consecutive losses, falling to Quarantillo via UD last time out in early August, and he was knocked out in Round 2 against Dan Ige in Jan. 2023. His last victory came in 69 seconds in a KO/TKO win over Pat Sabatini in mid-Sept. 2022.

Hernandez holds a 1-inch reach advantage, and the favorite has a 4.63-to-3.02 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Jackson is better on the ground, holding a 2.44-to-1.20 takedown average advantage and 34.69% takedown accuracy percentage. He also has a strong 1.58-to-0.13 submission average advantage.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 240: Hernandez vs. Jackson

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:30 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Hernandez -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Jackson +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -160 | Under +120)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +175 | No -250)

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UFC Fight Night 240: Hernandez vs. Jackson picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Hernandez (-210), a.k.a. “The Great Ape”, is looking to get back on track after dropping 3 of the past 4 bouts. He has lost in every way imaginable, via decision, via KO/TKO and via submission in the 4-bout span since Feb. 2022. His only win came via unanimous decision against Miller in Feb. 2023.

As such, it’s hard to roll the dice and risk more than 2 times your potential return on a fighter like that. However, Jackson (+170) cannot be trusted, as he has dropped the past 2 bouts, and most of his wins have come against tomato cans.

The best play is to take HERNANDEZ ON POINTS (+350) for a chance to more than triple up. He went the distance in his past 2, and Jackson went the distance last time out. This is too good of a value to pass up.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-160) is a little on the pricey side, but given the recent history of these 2 fighters, it should be a slam-dunk play.

In addition, YES (+175): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? has a lot more risk than the above prop play, but it’s a decent value if you don’t want to declare a winner but still want some plus-money action in this main card event.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC Fight Night 240: Brendan Allen vs. Chris Curtis odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 240 odds between Brendan Allen vs. Chris Curtis, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round middleweight bout in the main event, Brendan Allen and Chris Curtis meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 240 (also known as UFC on ESPN+ 98 and UFC Vegas 90) at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 240: Allen vs. Curtis odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 3 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 6 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Records: Allen (23-5-0) | Curtis (31-10-0)

Allen has picked up 6 consecutive victories, with 5 coming via submission. That includes a 3rd-round win against Paul Craig last time out in mid-November in the main event. He also submitted Andre Muniz in a Fight Night main event in Feb. 2023 with another 3rd-round win.

Curtis picked up a split-decision win over Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC 297, bouncing back after a no-contest against Nassourdine Imavov at UFC 289. He has finished inside the distance just once in his past 5 fights, not including the Imavov bout.

Allen is 8 years younger than his counterpart, while Curtis has a slight half-inch reach advantage. Curtis also has a 5.96-to-3.87 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, although “All In” is much more accurate at 60.72% with those strikes, to 52.70% for Curtis.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 240: Allen vs. Curtis

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:20 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Allen -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Curtis +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -110 | Under -120)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +150 | No -210)

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UFC Fight Night 240: Allen vs. Curtis picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Allen (-225) will cost you a little more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s too risky on the 2-way line. Instead, let’s get a little more specific.

ALLEN BY SUBMISSION (+175) is the way to go, for a chance to nearly double up. He has been a submission machine since arriving at the UFC level, and really, all throughout his pro career. His go-to move is the rear-naked choke or the triangle choke while also scoring a win with a keylock.

Curtis (+180) will have to do everything in his power to avoid going to the canvas, or this thing will be over quickly.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 3.5 ROUNDS (-120) is priced right, and it’s a strong play. He is going to work hard to get Curtis up against the fence as quickly as possible.

Curtis has ended inside the distance just once in the past 5 fights, not including the no contest, but he hasn’t faced a powerful wrestling force of Allen’s caliber.

Look for Allen to get the job done, and don’t be surprised if we see a choke-out in Rounds 1 or 2.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 54: Erin Blanchfield vs. Manon Fiorot odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 54 odds between Erin Blanchfield vs. Manot Fiorot, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round women’s flyweight bout in the main event, Erin Blanchfield and Manon Fiorot meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 54 at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 54: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Blanchfield (12-1-0) | Fiorot (11-1-0)

This is an elite-level matchup, as Blanchfield and Fiorot have each combined for just 2 losses in 25 career bouts.

Blanchfield has won all 6 fights since arriving at the UFC level, with 3 unanimous-decision wins, including a UD over Taila Santos last time out in late August, while the other 3 wins are each via submission. That includes a win over Jessica Andrade in Feb. 2023 in her only other UFC main event.

Fiorot has logged 4 straight unanimous-decision wins, and she, too, is 6-0 since arriving at the UFC level. That includes a UD win over Rose Namajunas last time out in early September. This is her 1st-ever main event at the UFC level.

Blanchfield is 10 years younger than the challenger, while Fiorot holds a slight 6.05-to-5.58 significant strikes landed per minute. Blanchfield is much more accurate at 61.71% on those strikes, however, while Fiorot tends to flail around, with just a 41.76% accuracy percentage on those strikes.

In the ground game, Blanchfield holds a 2.86 takedown average, and a 1.19 submission average.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC on ESPN 54: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:10 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Blanchfield -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Fiorot +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +135)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -110 | No -120)

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UFC on ESPN 54: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Blanchfield (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little too expensive for a standalone wager. As part of a multi-fighter parlay, including Blanchfield can certainly be excused.

The younger fighter is much more accurate with her significant strikes, and she is better in the takedown game, too. Blanchfield also has the experience of a main event to tap into, while this will be Fiorot’s first 5-bout UFC event.

The play is going with BLANCHFIELD BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+200) for a chance to double up. She just does all of the little things better, and she’ll catch the eye of the judges to rack up points per round over the more inaccurate Fiorot.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 3.5 ROUNDS (-175) is a little expensive, but worth it. Fiorot has ended up going the distance in 4 straight fights, while Blanchfield is coming off a unanimous-decision win against Santos last time out.

YES (-110): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a strong play at near even-money. Fiorot has needed the help of the judges to decide a winner in 4 in a row, while Blanchfield has gone the distance in 4 of her past 7 pro bouts.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 54: Chris Weidman vs. Bruno Silva odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 54 odds between Chris Weidman vs. Bruno Silva, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round middleweight bout on the main card, Chris Weidman and Bruno Silva meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 54 at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 54: Weidman vs. Silva odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Weidman (15-7-0) | Silva (23-10-0)

The veteran Weidman has lost 7 of the past 9 fights since Dec. 12, 2015, including a unanimous-decision loss at UFC 292 last time out against Brad Tavares in mid-August. He has been knocked out 3 times in the past 5 outings, and his only victory in the 5-bout span is a unanimous-decision win over Omari Akhmedov in Aug. 2020.

Silv has lost back-to-back fights, too, while dropping 4 of the past 5 outings. However, looking at common opponents, he topped Tavares in a 1st-round KO/TKO last April for his only win in the 5-bout span.

Silva holds a 4.43-to-2.98 significant strikes landed per minute, and he is much more accurate on those strikes at 58.45%, while the veteran Weidman is just 51.85%. Weidman is 5 years older than Silva, while holding a 4-inch reach advantage.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC on ESPN 54: Weidman vs. Silva

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:45 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Weidman +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Silva -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -130 | Under +100)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -250)

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UFC on ESPN 54: Weidman vs. Silva picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Silva (-200) is a little on the pricey side, costing you 2 times your potential return. Neither of these fighters has been particularly hot lately, so that’s quite a bit to risk.

While Weidman (+165) has looked like a shell of his former self, he holds a 4-inch reach advantage, and he should be able to keep Silva at a distance. Getting more specific, taking SILVA BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (-115) is much more price friendly, and it’s a winning bet as long as Silva doesn’t win on points, or obviously if Weidman scores the upset.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-130) is a good bet, as Weidman should be able to hold off Silva until at least the middle of Round 2. That reach advantage shouldn’t be discounted, as he will be able to pull Silva in and out at his discretion.

No (-250): Will the fight go the distance? is a little on the pricey side, costing 2½ times your potential return. While it’s likely we get a finish, nothing has been guaranteed with these fighters lately. Weidman has ended up going the distance in 2 of the past 3 bouts while getting knocked out in 17 seconds at UFC 261 in between those decisions. Silva went the distance last time out, but had two Round 1 endings prior to that.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 54: Vicente Luque vs. Joaquin Buckley odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 54 odds between Vicente Luque vs. Joaquin Buckley, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round welterweight bout on the main card, Vicente Luque and Joaquin Buckley meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 54 at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 54: Luque vs. Buckley odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Luque (22-9-1) | Buckley (17-6-0)

Luque is coming off a unanimous-decision win over Rafael dos Anjos in mid-August in his most recent fight. That halted a 2-bout losing skid with a KO/TKO setback against Geoff Neal in Aug. 2022, and a UD loss to Belal Muhammad in the main event in mid-April of 2022.

Buckley ended up with a UD win over Alex Morono last time out in early October, and he had a 2nd-round KO/TKO against Andre Fialho prior to that. His last loss was a KO/TKO in the 2nd round against Chris Curtis at UFC 282. Buckley has picked up wins in 5 of the past 7 fights, going the distance 3 times.

The southpaw Buckley holds a slight half-inch reach advantage, while Luque has a 5.17-to-3.87 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. The favorite is way more accurate on those strikes, too, hitting 56.04%, while Buckley throws punches wildly, with just a 35.56% significant strikes accuracy percentage.

In the takedown game, Buckley has 1.51-to-1.04 advantage, although, again, Luque is more accurate at 60.87%, while Buckley has just a 36.67% takedown accuracy percentage.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC on ESPN 54: Luque vs. Buckley

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:35 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Luque -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Buckley +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +135)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +150 | No -210)

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UFC on ESPN 54: Luque vs. Buckley picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

LUQUE (-135) is just a little more polished. He is 32 years old, and he lands a lot more significant strikes per minute, and he does so with much greater accuracy. And in the takedown department, he is much more accurate there, too.

Luque has gone the distance in 2 of his past 3 fights, and Buckley has ended up going the distance in 3 of his past 5 full fights which weren’t ended via doctor’s stoppage. If the judges decide, Luque will win by a mile, as he just does all of the little things better to rack up points throughout the course of a fight.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-175) is a little on the pricey side, but it’s worth the risk. These 2 fighters should feel each other out in the 1st round, and it’s unlikely to be a quick finish. As mentioned above, these fighters have both ended up going the distance frequently lately.

YES (+150): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is also worth a look at plus-money, and LUQUE BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+500) on the 7-way line for a chance to multiply up by 5 times is worth a roll of the dice. That’s a tremendous value.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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UFC Fight Night 240: Karl Williams vs. Justin Tafa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 240 odds between Karl Williams vs. Justin Tafa, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round heavyweight bout on the main card, Karl Williams and Justin Tafa meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 240 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 98 and UFC Vegas 89 — at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 240: Williams vs. Tafa odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Williams (9-1-0) | Tafa (7-3-0)

Williams heads into this bout with 3 unanimous-decision wins in 3 fights since joining the UFC. He has 6 consecutive pro victories dating back to B2 Fighting Series 142: Kentucky in a championship bout against Jason Butcher Dec. 4, 2021. He lost via triangle choke/submission in that lone setback in 10 career bouts. He posted a UD win over veteran Chase Sherman last time out in mid-May.

Tafa is coming off a KO/TKO win in 82 seconds against Austen Lane at UFC 293, and he had 3 straight wins via KO/TKO, all in Round 1. He has picked up 4 wins in 7 bouts at the UFC level with one no contest.

Williams holds a 5-inch reach advantage against Tafa, so he’ll be able to pull the fighter in and out at his discretion. The southpaw Tafa has a 5.13-to-2.93 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, so it would behoove Williams to keep Tafa at a distance. Each fighter is nearly identical in accuracy, with Williams at 59.67% significant strike accuracy percentage, and Tafa at 59.09%.

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UFC Fight Night 240: Williams vs. Tafa odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Williams -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Tafa +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +135)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +130 | No -175)

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UFC Fight Night 240: Williams vs. Tafa picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Williams (-185) is just a little too pricey straight up on the 2-way line, although it wouldn’t be unacceptable to toss him into a multi-fighter, or multi-leg, parlay of some sort.

You just can’t risk nearly 2 times your potential return on a single bet, especially against a veteran like Tafa (+150).

Get a little more specific instead. WILLIAMS BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+150) is a much better play. He’ll be able to push and pull Tafa out due to his immense reach advantage, and Williams has won all 3 of his fights via decision at the UFC level. He has been in no hurry to get finishes.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-175) is a little on the pricey side, but it isn’t bad if you like to play it safe.

YES (+130): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a decent bet if you don’t want to necessarily declare a winner, but want a little action on this fight. Williams is methodical, and he hasn’t secured an early finish in 3 fights at the UFC level.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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UFC on ESPN 53: Amanda Ribas vs. Rose Namajunas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 53 odds between Amanda Ribas vs. Rose Namajunas, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round women’s flyweight bout in the main event, Amanda Ribas and Rose Namajunas meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 53 — also known as UFC Vegas 89 — at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 53: Ribas vs. Namajunas odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Ribas (12-4-0) | Namajunas (12-6-0)

Ribas rebounded from a KO/TKO loss to Maycee Barber in June 2023, picking up a 3rd-round KO/TKO against Luana Pinheiro in mid-November. After 3 straight decisions, she has finished inside the distance in the past 2 outings.

Namajunas lost a split-decision championship bout at UFC 274 to Carla Esparza in May 2022, and she was unable to rebound in her return Sept. 2023 at UFC Paris against Manon Fiorot. In fact, Namajunas suffered a broken hand in that fight.

Ribas has a slight 1-inch reach advantage while posting a 4.92-to-3.68 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. The Brazilian fighter is also a lot more accurate with those strikes, landing 52.80% to just 43.65% for “Thug” Namajunas.

Ribas holds a 1.99-to-1.49 takedown average, too, while posting a 0.80-to-0.55 submission average advantage, too.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC on ESPN 53: Ribas vs. Namajunas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:30 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Ribas +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Namajunas -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -125 | Under -105)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +130 | No -175)

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UFC on ESPN 53: Ribas vs. Namajunas picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

RIBAS (+165) is an attractive pick as the moderate underdog against Namajunas (-200), the former champ.

While Ribas has ended up with 3 losses in the past 6 fights, she holds some impressive advantages in all of the major categories. She lands more significant strikes, she is more accurate, and she does a good job on takedowns and submissions, too. That will go a long way to wowing the judges.

RIBAS ON POINTS (+450) for the chance to multiply up by 4½ times is quite an attractive play worth a roll of the dice.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (+130): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE? is a strong value at plus-money.

Ribas hasn’t gone the distance in the past 2 fights, although the most recent bout with Pinheiro was just 67 seconds short of going all the way. Prior to the past bouts, she had gone the distance 3 times while needing the help of the judges to determine a winner in 5 of the past 9 outings.

For Namajunas, she has gone the distance in 3 straight bouts, and 4 of the past 5 outings.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC Fight Night 239: Bryan Battle vs. Ange Loosa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 239 odds between Bryan Battle vs. Ange Loosa, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round welterweight bout on the main card, Bryan Battle and Ange Loosa meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 239 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 97 and UFC Vegas 88 — at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 239: Battle vs. Loosa odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 4 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Records: Battle (11-2-0) | Loosa (10-3-0)

Battle heads into this fight with 2 consecutive victories inside the distance, posting a 2nd-round submission win against AJ Fletcher last time out in late September. Prior to that, Battle made quick work of Gabe Green with a KO/TKO win in a mere 14 seconds. Since arriving at the UFC level, Battle has won 5 of his 6 fights, with 2 bouts going the distance.

Loosa has appeared in 3 fights at the UFC level, and he has won 2 in a row via unanimous-decision after losing his debut to Mounir Lazzez in April 2022, also via UD. In fact, the fighter from the Democratic Republic of Congo has ended up going the distance in each of his past 7 pro bouts. That streak includes a unanimous-decision loss to Jack Della Maddalena in Dana White’s Contender Series: Season 5, Week 3.

Battle enters the octagon with a 3-inch reach advantage, and while Loosa has landed 6.32 significant strikes per minute, Battle is more accurate with 58.28%. Battle is a little better on the ground, too, posting a 0.63-to-0.25 submission average.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 239: Battle vs. Loosa odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Battle -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Loosa +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -200 | Under +150)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -165 | No +120)

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UFC Fight Night 239: Battle vs. Loosa picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Battle (-190) is just a little too expensive to bet straight up, costing nearly 2 times your potential return. Instead, let’s get a little more specific.

Loosa (+160) has ended up going the distance in all 3 fights since arriving at the UFC level and each of his previous 7 pro bouts. As such, backing BATTLE BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+150) at plus-money is a much more attractive option than the more costly 2-way line.

Over/Under (O/U)

While Over 2.5 Rounds (-200) is a little on the pricey side, costing 2 times your potential return, backing YES (-165): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE? is not priced out of line.

Again, the last time we saw Loosa fight inside the distance was at the lower levels against Rustam Khasanov at Tech-Krep FC: International Caucasian Fight Championship way back in Oct. 2016.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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