While there is uncertainty surrounding the upcoming 2020 NBA Draft, NCAA prospects have started to make announcements about their future.
While there is uncertainty surrounding the upcoming 2020 NBA Draft, NCAA prospects have started to make announcements about their future.
Some prospects mentioned below are simply testing the waters while others have both feet fully emerged with their focus set on the pros. Based on all of the reporting thus far, however, we have compiled the status of several of the top prospects in the nation.
We will continue to update this post with more information as news develops and more players announce what their decision for the future looks like in all of the chaos following the cancelation of the 2020 NCAA postseason.
Anthony Edwards, Georgia
Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Wing, 6-foot-5, 18 years old
Under head coach Tom Crean, the University of Georgia freshman had become a revelation in transition offense. Edwards ranked among the top five nationally in total scoring on these plays, per Synergy, averaging 5.7 points per game. He looked his best when his shot attempts come closer to the rim, aided by his 6-foot-9 wingspan. Farther from the basket, meanwhile, more than half of his 3-pointers were unassisted. This showed he is capable of creating his own shot. Edwards, however, was shooting just 30.3% from beyond the arc on the season.Still, the reason to like him as a top-three pick is more about flashes of greatness, which was evidenced when he averaged 21.8 points per game in February.
Auburn Tigers freshman wing Isaac Okoro will reportedly test the waters and declare for the 2020 NBA Draft, pending feedback from teams.
Auburn Tigers freshman wing Isaac Okoro will reportedly test the waters and declare for the 2020 NBA Draft, pending feedback from teams.
Okoro is nineteen years old and averaged 12.9 points with 4.4 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game during his freshman campaign in the SEC. He also averaged 1.01 points per possession on offense, per Synergy, which finished 86th percentile among all NCAA players. His offensive rating (112.8) ranked second-best among all of the freshmen in his conference.
He was named Second-Team All-SEC as well as All-Freshman Team and All-Defensive Team. The accolades may help improve his draft stock despite the shortened season.
Bruce Pearl says Isaac Okoro is making himself eligible for the NBA draft. If Okoro is able to go through the process and is told he's a lottery pick, Pearl will advise him to leave Auburn.
Auburn head coach Bruce Pearl told reporters on Friday evening that if Okoro learns he is projected as one of the first fourteen names selected in the upcoming NBA Draft, he should keep his name in consideration (via Rivals):
“Pearl and Auburn were told by NBA scouts for most of the 2019-20 season that Okoro will be a lottery pick. The defensive specialist who also averaged 13 points per game with the Tigers was at one point — and still is, in a few mock drafts — considered a top-5 pick. Pearl said if Okoro receives that same feedback whenever and however the draft process is carried out, the coach will tell him he should take advantage of it and become an NBA player.”
Okoro had developed a reputation for winning, as his high school team went undefeated en route to a state title when he was a senior. As mentioned by Pearl, after winning all fifteen of their first games to start the season, Okoro began gaining momentum as one of the top prospects in the upcoming draft class.
The former Top-40 recruit saw his first college basketball season end on a sour note, unfortunately, with Auburn dropping two of the final games that Okoro played before the abrupt conclusion.
Even though he is one of the most impressive athletes in this class, aspects of his game that require more work and attention were exposed for concern. For example, the prospect connected on approximately six field goals per game. However, only 19.2 percent of those attempts were from beyond five feet of the basket.
Credit: Synergy Sports Tech
It is worth noting that when Okoro had been given the opportunity to score as the ballhandler in transition or when cutting to the basket, he was remarkably efficient. For example, his two-point percentage (60.2 percent) ranked sixth-best among all freshmen who recorded as many attempts in 2019-20. But just 16.0 percent of those attempts were jumpers, per Hoop-Math.com,
That makes sense as the freshman averaged just 0.73 points per possession when shooting off the catch in a set offense, per Synergy, which ranked 19th percentile. He was just 11-for-45 (24.4 percent) on these looks, showcasing a lack of touch as a shooter.
That being said, there are plenty of other prospects who did not have much of a jump shot coming out of college who turned out to be productive players in the NBA.
By the way, Auburn SF Isaac Okoro’s top player comparison on KenPom now is… a freshman Kawhi Leonard.
Kawhi Leonard, who has shot 38.1 percent from three-point range during his career, connected on just 20.5 percent of his attempts from beyond the arc as a freshman.
More recently, Charlotte Hornets forward PJ Washington has proven another example of someone who drastically improved his jumper. Washington made just 23.8 percent of his field goals from downtown as a freshman in the SEC for the Kentucky Wildcats. But as an NBA rookie, he is now shooting 37.4 percent from three.
Most mock drafts and big boards have Okoro falling somewhere between No. 3 overall and No. 17 overall. Our latest big board at Rookie Wire projects his stock at No. 9 overall.
There are going to be a handful of front offices who will be eager to select Okoro and pair him with a shooting coach the way the San Antonio Spurs once did with Leonard and Chip Engelland. One of those teams will likely have a lottery pick and it will be hard to convince them that there are more enticing prospects than Okoro.
With the near conclusion of the 2019-20 NCAA Men’s Basketball Regular Season, it is worth taking another look at the 2020 NBA Draft prospects.
With the conclusion of the 2019-20 NCAA men’s basketball regular season fast approaching, it’s worth taking another look at the 2020 NBA Draft prospects.
While quite a bit will change on big boards and mock drafts following the conference tournaments and March Madness, some of the top players have already convinced NBA teams that they deserve serious consideration when the draft rolls around on June 25, 2020.
Others still have plenty of time to improve their draft stock on the floor and in workouts and interviews. For what it is worth, former top prospects coming into their freshman campaigns who could go back to school for their sophomore campaigns (for example, Florida’s Scottie Lewis and Duke’s Wendell Moore) were not included on this list.
Note that statistics are pulled from Synergy Sports Tech, Bart-Torvik.com, KenPom.com, RealGM or Sports-Reference.
1. LaMelo Ball, USA
(Photo by Anthony Au-Yeung/Getty Images)
Guard, 6-foot-7, 18 years old
The main reason to believe in Ball as the top player in the 2020 NBA Draft is because of his ridiculously high upside. With his unique size, he can put up a triple-double on any given night. Even when Ball was playing against much older professional competition in Australia’s NBL, Ball nearly averaged a triple-double per 36 minutes. Meanwhile, his defensive stats were also much better than expected, and his basketball instincts are strong. It is difficult to find an accurate read on Ball, given how many different teams he has played for in recent years. However, there should be enough to like about him for a team to select him with one of the first few picks.
2. Onyeka Okongwu, USC
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Big, 6-foot-9, 19 years old
While he’s a bit undersized at 6-9, he can play bigger than his height, given his 7-foot-2 wingspan. For example, his block percentage (10.0%) ranks among the top five of all freshmen this season. He is more celebrated for his defensive ability, but the offense is there, too. Okongwu is averaging 1.14 points per possession as an offensive finisher, per Synergy, which ranks in the 98th percentile among all NCAA players. Put it all together, and the USC big man currently has the best box plus-minus in college basketball. Even if there might not be as much star potential as a player such as Georgia’s Anthony Edwards, he feels much closer to a sure thing in the NBA.
3. Anthony Edwards, Georgia
Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Wing, 6-foot-5, 18 years old
Under head coach Tom Crean, the University of Georgia freshman has been a revelation in transition offense. Edwards ranks among the top five nationally in total scoring on these plays, per Synergy, averaging 5.7 points per game. He looks his best when his shot attempts come closer to the rim, especially considering his 6-foot-9 wingspan. Farther from the basket, meanwhile, more than half of his 3-pointers have been unassisted. This shows he is capable of creating his own shot. Edwards, however, is shooting just 30.3% from beyond the arc on the season. But the reason to like him as a top-three pick is more about flashes of greatness, and he is averaging 21.8 points per game in February.
4. Tyrese Haliburton, Iowa State
Reese Strickland-USA TODAY Sports
Guard, 6-foot-5, 20 years old
Haliburton is a skinny, lengthy guard measured with a 7-foot wingspan though and 170-pound frame. But most important is his valuable 3-and-D skill set. Before his injury, his 3-point percentage (41.9%) and steal percentage (3.8%) were both among the best in the NCAA. As a distributor and lead ballhandler, despite an unusually low usage rate, his assist rate still ranks in the top 10 among all underclassmen at high-major programs. Haliburton has been productive enough to suggest he can take over as the starting point guard in the NBA as soon as next season. There may be a low ceiling, but there is also a very high floor.
5. Killian Hayes, Ratiopharm Ulm
Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports
Guard, 6-foot-5, 18 years old
Much like Ball, there is a lot to like about Hayes due to his size and overall upside. He can be a lead ballhandler and has been measured with a 6-foot-7 wingspan. Hayes led France to the silver medal in 2018 at the U17 World Cup, averaging 21.4 points and 4.4 assists with 3.6 steals per 36 minutes. He is shooting 39.0% from beyond the arc in Eurocup action and has been able to produce well as a scorer as he has grown into a bigger role.
Somehow already past the midpoint of the college basketball season, the 2020 NBA Draft is starting to shape up with far more clear rankings.
Somehow already past the midpoint of the college basketball season, the 2020 NBA draft is starting to shape up with far more clear rankings.
As always, we examine the most trusted analysts to give us the best idea of a consensus for what the upcoming draft class will look like in June. The latest 2020 NBA mock drafts from experts at ESPN, CBS Sports, SI.com, Bleacher Report, NBADraft.net, The Athletic and USA Today Sports Media Group’s Rookie Wire were used for these rankings.
The top four players (Anthony Edwards, LaMelo Ball, James Wiseman and Cole Anthony) have remained the exact same despite none of the latter three players being active for various different reasons.
Meanwhile, Iowa State sophomore point guard Tyrese Haliburton entered the Top 5 and replaced 19-year-old Israeli prospect Deni Avdija – who has not seen much playing time in the Euroleague.
Included below are brief scouting reports for senior guards who have improved their draft stock the most since our last update. These players listed are all four-year NCAA players who could be ready to make the jump to the NBA like Josh Hart and Malcolm Brogdon did in their respective classes.
MARKUS HOWARD, MARQUETTE
Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 46
One of the most important things to know about Marquette senior Markus Howard is that despite the fact he has four years of collegiate experience, he is just 20 years old. Few teams operate their offense through one player quite like Golden Eagles do with Howard, who has taken 42.5 percent of their total field goal attempts. Fortunately, the guard brags one of the most efficient and prolific jump shots among all NCAA players. Howard operates well when he is shooting off the catch and off the dribble, which will make him a good fit for almost any offense in the NBA. He is currently averaging 28.4 points per game while shooting 42.5 percent on three-pointers. Similarly, no guard in college has been fouled more often than Howard has thus far. He should be a lock win Big East Player of the Year and should be a strong contender for the National Player of the Year, too. As a pro, he can likely become a spark-plug scoring option off the bench. His draft stock has improved from No. 68 up to No. 46 month-over-month.
PAYTON PRITCHARD, OREGON
(Photo by Steve Dykes/Getty Images)
Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 47
Oregon senior guard Payton Pritchard was a Top-50 recruit coming into the Pac-12 back in 2016. He attended West Linn High School, where he was able to lead his squad to four consecutive state titles. That accomplishment was an especially impressive feat considering the program had only won the OSAA Boys Basketball Championship once before and it was way back in 1997. He has since played for the Ducks in the Final Four (2017) and also won MVP of the Pac-12 Tournament last season. He is currently averaging 19.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 5.8 assists with 1.7 steals per game. His assist rate (32.7 percent) is Top 20 among seniors and he has connected on 40.7 percent of his three-pointers. Now more than halfway through the season, he is the heavy favorite to win Pac-12 Player of the Year and could be a sleeper for National Player of the Year as well. He has leaped from No. 96 in December all the way to No. 47 now in January.
SKYLAR MAYS, LSU
Bryan Lynn-USA TODAY Sports
Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 57
During his senior year of high school, Skylar Mays was actually teammates with Howard at Findlay Prep. Also on the roster was 2019 first-rounder PJ Washington and Toronto Raptors two-way wing Oshae Brissett. For what it is worth, their roster also had current college basketball standouts Tristan Clark (Baylor) and Lamine Diane (CSUN). Their team has already sent tons of prospects into the NBA and Mays could very well be the next in line. He is a potential 3-and-D threat, averaging 1.4 three-pointers and 2.1 steals per game for the LSU Tigers as an NCAA senior. Meanwhile, LSU’s adjusted offensive rating (116.6) ranks Top 5 in college basketball. Along with Reggie Perry (Mississippi State) as well as Kerry Blackshear Jr. (Florida), Mays has a strong candidacy to win SEC Player of the Year. He has jumped from No. 90 last month to No. 57 this month.
We are getting closer to a point in the NCAA and international seasons to get a better idea of what the 2020 NBA Draft class may look like.
We are getting closer to a point in the NCAA and international seasons to get a better idea of what the 2020 NBA Draft class may look like.
Midway through the campaign, it is nearly impossible to predict early entrant decisions. But as the board begins to materialize with a more clear indication of who could be a legitimate help to NBA teams next season, it is worth it to revisit a full mock draft factoring in where each team will be selecting.
Note that some highly-rated freshmen (e.g. Florida’s Scottie Lewis and Tre Mann, Florida State’s Patrick Williams, LSU’s Trendon Watford, Kentucky’s Kahlil Whitney as well as Duke’s Wendell Moore and Matthew Hurt) were not included because of their disappointing first-year campaigns. As such, they are likely to return to school for a sophomore season and improve their draft stock to where it once was.
Typically, selecting the best player available was the biggest factor though team fit was also carefully considered.
All stats are updated through January 14, 2020. The draft order is set via Tankathon on January 15, 2020.
1. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS: LaMelo Ball, Illawarra Hawks
(Photo by Anthony Au-Yeung/Getty Images)
Guard, 6-foot-7, 18 years old
This is a draft where the No. 1 pick might not be selected in that position in prior classes. While there may not be a unanimous selection at this point in the season like Zion Williamson was last season, the youngest Ball brother arguably has the highest ceiling of anyone in this class. He was nearly putting up a triple-double each appearance against professional basketball players in the NBL, scoring 17.1 points with 7.9 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game. He was not as accurate on his jumper as originally expected but he has also not a player who lacks confidence; expect him to keep shooting those and his three will develop over time. With his size and versatility on offense, he makes the most sense in the pole spot and his size would also allow him to guard bigger opponents, making him an option for nearly any team in the league even one as stacked as Golden State.
2. ATLANTA HAWKS: Anthony Edwards, Georgia
Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Wing, 6-foot-5, 18 years old
Under head coach Tom Crean, the Georgia freshman has been a standout prospect. He is averaging 18.7 points, 4.8 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game during his first collegiate season. But a lot of his output has been helped by his high usage rate. He is shooting just 28.1 percent on jump shots in a set offense, per Synergy, and is shooting just 24.6 percent off the dribble. He is also taking too many shots from deep midrange, shooting 25.8 percent on these looks. Fortunately, Edwards has been an above-average defender and is averaging 1.4 steals per game. The young star can stay in his hometown for this pick, too.
3. NEW YORK KNICKS: Killian Hayes, Ratiopharm Ulm
Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports
Guard, 6-foot-5, 18 years old
Hayes has exceptional court vision and instincts as well as a true point guard mentality to create opportunities for his teammates. He is averaging 17.2 points and 8.3 assists per 36 minutes while facing professional talent in the Euroleague. He is also capable of creating his own shot off the dribble and many of his own buckets have been unassisted. As noted by Bleacher Report draft expert Jonathan Wasserman, the prospect is shooting 153-of-178 (85.9 percent) on free throws since the start of his 2018-19 campaign. Hayes has a very natural shooting stroke and is someone whose hype should continue to grow.
4. CLEVELAND CAVALIERS: Onyeka Okongwu, USC
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Big, 6-foot-9, 19 years old
The player who has helped his draft stock the most is Okongwu, who is putting up 16.9 points and 8.7 rebounds per game. He has 32 dunks so far this season, which ranks sixth-best among all NCAA players and can be one of the more immediately impactful lob threats in the NBA. The big man is 13-for-18 (72.2 percent) when rolling to the basket in pick-and-roll sets, which shows how he can fit into a pro scheme. On the defensive end, his block percentage (10.7 percent) trails just one player in college basketball this year. He would play a fantastic two-man game with Darius Garland and he can help their frontcourt depth with the likely departure of Kevin Love.
5. WASHINGTON WIZARDS: RJ Hampton, New Zealand Breakers
(Photo by Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)
Guard, 6-foot-5, 19 years old
The Washington Wizards are far from being close to a winning franchise but they do have extraordinary talent on the wing with Bradley Beal. If they add to that by selecting Hampton, who can develop under the leadership of Beal, the fans can sell some hope to a franchise that has gotten a taste of it with the impressive play of Rui Hachimura during his rookie campaign thus far. Like Hachimura, however, Hampton will need some time to develop.
6. DETROIT PISTONS: Tyrese Haliburton, Iowa State
Reese Strickland-USA TODAY Sports
Guard, 6-foot-5, 20 years old
The Iowa State sophomore is one of the most polarizing prospects in recent memory. He is producing 16.6 points, 5.9 rebounds and 7.7 assists per game so far this season. The guard has been a solid shooter, connecting on 41.3 percent of his attempts from three-point range. His assist rate (39.1 percent) ranks Top 5 among all underclassmen in the NBA. Haliburton also fits the bill as perhaps the lengthiest guard in this draft class, measured with a 7-foot wingspan. As a defender, the guard is averaging 2.6 steals per game and his steal rate (4.0 percent) ranks third-best in the Big 12. He seems like a perfect point guard of the future for the rebuilding Pistons, who don’t have much of a direction.
7. CHICAGO BULLS: James Wiseman, USA
(Photo by Steve Dykes/Getty Images)
Big, 7-foot-1, 19 years old
The biggest reason why Wiseman is this high on draft boards is that he was the No. 1 overall player on RSCI, which combines all of the top high school rankings in the country. The other biggest factor is his massive size, notably his 7-foot-6 wingspan. While it will be hard to see what else he is able to add to his game while he is away from the NCAA following an incredibly brief stint with the Memphis Tigers, he can be an appealing development project. Much like Edwards in New York, the bright lights of Chicago would be an awesome way for Wiseman to start his professional career.
8. CHARLOTTE HORNETS: Isaac Okoro, Auburn
(Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)
Wing, 6-foot-6, 19 years old
The hyperathletic freshman wing has shown a nice mix of offensive and defensive upside for his undefeated Auburn team, averaging 13.2 points with 4.5 rebounds per game. His jump shot is still a work in progress but he is finishing well near the basket, connecting on 65-for-88 (73.9 percent) for looks within five feet of the basket. As a defender, he is elite guarding the perimeter and has also averaged 0.9 steals and 1.0 blocks per game. They need a strong defender alongside their young backcourt and after hitting well on the PJ Washington selection, this could be another fantastic pick.
9. NEW ORLEANS PELICANS: Obi Toppin, Dayton
Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Forward, 6-foot-9, 22 years old
The New Orleans Pelicans are going to be a team likely defined by Zion Williamson for years to come. Much like Williamson, Toppin is a high-flyer who currently leads the NCAA in dunks with 3.2 per game. But he won’t clog the paint from the dunker spot as he is averaging 2.6 three-point shot attempts per game. When determining potential fits for the Pelicans, it is worth considering their ability in transition offense because of their schemes. As such, it is important to note Toppin is 27-for-38 (71.1 percent) on these opportunities.
10. SACRAMENTO KINGS: Vernon Carey, Duke
Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports
Big, 6-foot-10, 18 years old
The Kings could continue their tradition of drafting big men from Duke by adding Carey to the mix. He would join Marvin Bagley and Harry Giles as former Blue Devils in the frontcourt for Sacramento. Carey has been an elite college basketball player, averaging 17.4 points and 8.6 rebounds per game. He leads all freshmen in defensive rebound percentage (28.0 percent), ranks Top 5 among freshmen in total dunks (24) and Top 10 in block percentage (7.8 percent) as well. If he eventually adds a more constant three-pointer to his arsenal, he could be a starter in the NBA very soon.
11. MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES: Nico Mannion, Arizona
(Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images)
Guard, 6-foot-3, 19 years old
Mannion is averaging 14.4 points and 6.3 assists per game, already an elite distributor at the NCAA level. He is a high-level scorer and passes well out of the pick-and-roll and his assist rate (36.5 percent) currently ranks as third-best among freshman so far this season. His assist-to-turnover ratio (2.3) is a good indication of his instincts. While he may be too young for a starting role next season, he is someone who projects in the first unit for a long time.
12. PHOENIX SUNS: Precious Achiuwa, Memphis
(Photo by Steve Dykes/Getty Images)
Forward, 6-foot-9, 19 years old
After the absence of Wiseman, the Memphis Tigers have turned to Achiuwa as the face of their team under Penny Hardaway. He has responded well and his defensive rebound percentage (25.4 percent) leads the American Athletic Conference. As a defender, his block percentage (7.4 percent) ranks third-best in the conference as well. He has turned it on as a scorer lately but he would not be leaned on as the primary option for a team with Devin Booker leading the charge.
13. PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS: Aleksej Pokusevski, Olympiacos B
Forward, 7-foot, 18 years old
One of the most fascinating, underrated prospects for the 2020 NBA Draft is currently playing in the Greek HEBA A2 league. With a 7-foot-3 wingspan, Pokusevski has the ability to play a bit bigger than his already impressive 7-foot frame. He is averaging 16.9 points, 11.4 rebounds, 4.2 assists and 2.4 three-pointers per 36 minutes. The Serbian-born prospect has also connected on 32.6 percent from three-point range. As a defender, his size has helped him secure 2.8 blocks per 36 minutes as well. Portland could play him in several different places but could provide his most value as a necessary help on the wing.
14. SAN ANTONIO SPURS: Josh Green, Arizona
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Wing, 6-foot-6, 19 years old
The Arizona freshman was a fantastic scorer on the AAU circuit playing for West Coast Elite, averaging 20.2 points per game. This season, he has put up 12.9 points per game for the Wildcats. Green has also grabbed 5.1 rebounds per game, which has allowed him to be an interesting option operating as the ball handler in a transition offense. Green is currently averaging 1.35 points per possession on these opportunities, per Synergy, which ranks in the 95th percentile. He also has a 6-foot-10 wingspan, which will help him a lot on the defensive side of the ball.
After over a month of the college basketball season, we are starting to get a better picture of what the 2020 NBA Draft will look like.
After over a month of the college basketball season, we are starting to get a better picture of what the 2020 NBA draft will look like.
For example, Georgia Bulldogs freshman Anthony Edwards is beginning to separate himself as a near-consensus No. 1 overall pick. On the other side of the coin, though, several of the projected top selections (LaMelo Ball, James Wiseman, Cole Anthony and RJ Hampton) will miss extended time due to either injury or suspension.
In order to get a better read of the bigger picture, we collected opinions from the top experts and analysts that cover the draft. The latest 2020 NBA mock drafts from ESPN, CBS Sports, SI.com, Bleacher Report, NBADraft.net, The Athletic as well as USA Today Sports Media Group’s Rookie Wire were used for these rankings.
Cassius Winston, Aaron Henry, Xavier Tillman in top-45 of The Athletic's NBA Draft Big Board https://t.co/LFrVsMcvZD
One of the most interesting takeaways is that the Michigan State Spartans have three players (Cassius Winston, Aaron Henry and Xavier Tillman) all trending up.
After making the Final Four in last year’s March Madness, the program was expected to take another leap forward for their 2019-20 campaign.
Despite three losses in their first 10 games, the Spartans still rank No. 15 overall this season. This can be attributed to the fact Michigan State currently has the third-best offense in college basketball, per KenPom.com.
They also have three of the most improved players since our last aggregate mock draft. The full list, and more on each of the MSU players moving up draft boards, is included below.
Since our last AMD, this has moved up 17 spots in our rankings.
Despite already being 21 years old, the 6-foot-1 guard currently has a first-round grade from ESPN as well as Sports Illustrated and CBS Sports.
Winston has been one of the best distributors since he began at MSU. 67.1 percent of all field goals for the Spartans have been assisted, which is the sixth-most among all teams so far this season. His career assist rate (44.1 percent) ranks No. 1 overall among all college players who have played at least 50 games since 2009-10, via Sports-Reference.
With 7 assists today vs Rutgers, Cassius Winston now has the 2nd-most career assists (770) in Big Ten History, passing Illinois’ Bruce Douglas.
Winston is now just 46 assists behind Mateen Cleaves for the conference career record (816). pic.twitter.com/BLzMQGjpzx
During his freshman season, he had the second-best assist rate (46.7 percent) in the NCAA. Then as a sophomore, his assist rate (43.5 percent) trailed only Trae Young for the best in college basketball. Last season, his assist mark (44.8 percent) ranked third-best and behind only Ja Morant among all who played for teams that made the tournament.
But he has also shown strength as one of the more accurate shooters in the NCAA.
Winston was 75-for-151 (49.7 percent) from beyond the arc in 2017-18. That helped him join the exclusive 50-40-90 club for field-goal percentage, three-point percentage and free-throw percentage. Even as a sophomore then, the guard was one of the few to have a membership with at least two three-point attempts per game.
There is some enough NBA readiness to show he can contribute right away for a winning team.
Aaron Henry, Wing
AMD Rank: 33
Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Since our last AMD, this has moved up 26 spots in our rankings.
Henry was of the players who helped himself the most during the 2019 NCAA Tournament. Then a freshman, he put up 20 points with 6 rebounds and 6 assists during a victory over LSU.
While he has not yet taken the leap some expected as a sophomore, draft experts still have confidence in him as a prospect. His highest ranking right now comes from Jonathan Wasserman, who has him at No. 28 overall (via Bleacher Report):
“The eye test on Henry looks more convincing than the numbers. He isn’t a high-level creator, which limits him in Michigan State’s offense. But the 6’6″ guard is hitting open shots, capitalizing on driving lanes and making impact defensive plays. This late, teams will overlook Henry’s production for his fit.”
Perhaps the best news for the wing is that there is room for improvement. However, there have also been moments that show what Henry is capable of accomplishing at the next level.
This season, for example, the sophomore has been one of the most effective shooters off the catch. He is averaging 1.78 points per possession on catch-and-shoot attempts in a set offense, per Synergy Sports, which ranks in the 98th percentile.
Henry is also shooting 72.7 percent at the rim, which is an especially solid rate for a wing. Overall, he looks like someone capable of being a 3-and-D player in an NBA rotation.
Xavier Tillman, Big
AMD Rank: 50
Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports
Since our last AMD, this has moved up 13 spots in our rankings.
Michigan State has always been a team that plays better with Tillman on the court. Last season, for example, the big actually had the third-best box plus-minus in the NCAA — trailing only Zion Williamson and Brandon Clarke.
Jeremy Woo recently helped contextualize what professional teams may like about the 6-foot-8 junior (via SI.com):
“Tillman specializes in doing the dirty work and has been a largely unheralded yet invaluable piece of the Spartans’ success dating back to last season. He’s not particularly tall for a center but has a chance to be a quality rotational big in the pros with what he adds defensively and on the glass. Tillman has worked on extending his shooting range, and if he ends up being able to shoot the three, he’ll have a fairly strong window of opportunity as a role player. A lot of the things he does as a screener and defender don’t show up in the box score, and while he’ll never be more than a fourth or fifth offensive option, he might be able to thrive in that capacity.”
His best trait so far this season has been his ability to cut to the basket. He is shooting 15-for-17 (88.2 percent) on these attempts, per Synergy.
But he has also added value on the offensive glass and as a rim protector for Michigan State. His willingness and ability to make the most of time on the floor makes him a draftable professional prospect.
Anthony Edwards is No. 1 overall. But have injuries impacted draft stock for LaMelo Ball or RJ Hampton? Plus: a full first-round mock draft.
Now over a month into the college basketball season, there have been enough games to make confident assessments of the upcoming draft class.
There is still quite some time until this list starts to solidify as some teams will soon begin their regular-season conference play, which offers a better picture of the talent pool in the NCAA this season.
While there are some players who will give us a better idea of their draft stock in the coming weeks, there are others we will still have to wait a bit longer. Unfortunately for the Memphis Tigers and basketball fans around the world, projected lottery pick James Wiseman will be out a dozen games with a suspension. Similarly in the NBL overseas, LaMelo Ball and RJ Hampton will miss extended time due to injury.
Regardless, the following is our best assessment of the players we think will become first-round picks based on what we have seen thus far. For our mock drafts in later editions, we will begin to factor in team fit as well.
1. Anthony Edwards, Georgia
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Anthony Edwards was an AAU star, averaging 21.0 points and 6.1 rebounds per game on the Under Armour Circuit. Since playing for Georgia, the 6-foot-5 point-forward is a high-usage guard with a respectable FG% from three-point range. More than half of his connections from downtown have been unassisted, showing that he is more than capable of creating his own shot. On the defensive end, the freshman currently leads his conference in steals per game (2.2) and has one of the best steal rates (4.3 percent) in the country.
2. LaMelo Ball, Illawarra Hawks
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We asked Lonzo Wire co-editor Jacob Rude his thoughts on LaMelo Ball’s draft stock, especially after his recent injury. He told us: “Coming into the NBL season, there were countless questions surrounding LaMelo Ball. What is his position? Is he only a shooter? Can he impact the game in any way other than scoring? Can he defend? He’s answered every question and then some in a breakout season with Illawarra. He’s a lead guard in the NBA that can score at multiple levels — even if there are some adjustments that need to be made to his jumper — and can be a top-tier playmaker. His defense has steadily improved and he shares many of the same instincts that make his older brother Lonzo a disruptive defender. Also like Lonzo, his high-IQ separates him from the rest of the pack. No matter where he lands, he’ll put people in the seats and will provide a franchise with a cornerstone guard.”
3. Nico Mannion, Arizona
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18-year-old Arizona point guard Nico Mannion has already looked the part of a future starter in the NBA, averaging 15.3 points per game. The 6-foot-3 freshman is shooting 40.5 percent from downtown, where he has thrived on catch-and-shoot opportunities. He has the second-most assists per game (5.7) in the Pac-12 Conference and also ranks Top 5 in assist percentage (33.7 percent) among all freshmen. Mannion also has the third-most points over replacement per adjusted game among all freshmen, per BartTorvik.com.
4. James Wiseman, Memphis
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Memphis big man James Wiseman, who was the No. 1 overall recruit in the nation, was one of the most exciting prospects in the nation coming into the 2019-20 regular season. He put up 21 points with 6 rebounds and 2 blocks in the Jordan Brand Classic back in March. Then before he was hit with one of the more surprising suspensions in the history of recent college sports, the 7-foot-1 freshman averaged 19.7 points and 10.7 rebounds with 3.0 blocks per game. For any team looking for a post presence, it will be hard to find one who fits the bill more than Wiseman.
5. Cole Anthony, UNC
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There was a ton of hype around this University of North Carolina freshman heading into the season. Cole Anthony, the son of former NBA player Greg Anthony, was the No. 2 overall recruit on ESPN’s Top 100 ranking index. The guard led his team in scoring at both the Jordan Brand Classic and the Nike Hoop Summit, scoring 25 points in both of the games. He also earned All-Tournament honors at the 2018 U18 Americas Championship. Since playing for the Tar Heels, he is averaging 19.1 points per game. But so far, the biggest issue for Anthony is that he has actually missed more than half of his attempts (44.1 percent) at the rim.
6. Onyeka Okongwu, USC
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When he was teammates with Lonzo Ball and LaMelo Ball at Chino Hills High School, their team won the national title. But after the Ball brothers left, Onyeka Okongwu won two more state titles and dominated with 4.3 blocks per game during his final year in high school. Now, his block percentage (13.2 percent) ranks second-best among all freshmen this season. He also ranks third-best in total dunks (22)in the NCAA. For more on Okongwu, check out this feature from our own Ben Pfeifer, who writes: “Okongwu has made his case as the 2020 draft’s top center. More than any other big, he combines the physical tools to hold up at the five along with a projectable offensive skillset necessary to survive in the modern NBA.”
7. Deni Avdija, Maccabi Tel Aviv
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Deni Avdija made headlines when he averaged 18.4 points and 8.3 rebounds per game at the U20 Euro Championship A earlier this. He won MVP of the tournament and led Israel to the gold medal as well. The 6-foot-7 wing has a smaller role for Maccabi Tel Aviv but has been efficient in the opportunities he has been given, shooting 51.2 percent from the field. The 18-year-old has been a fixture at Basketball Without Borders camps and while it is hard to tell how he will be able to fit in the NBA, there is enough potential to get excited enough for a lottery selection.
8. Obi Toppin, Dayton
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Dayton big man Obi Toppin has been one of the most efficient, high-volume finishers in the NCAA. No team is dunking the ball more often than Dayton and Toppin had thirteen dunks in the first two games of the season alone and has the second-most in college basketball. As such, Toppin is shooting 84.6 percent at the rim. But he has also looked sharp from long-range, per Hoop-Math, shooting an efficient 41.7 percent. Overall, his effective field goal percentage ranks No. 15 in the nation. According to BartTorvik.com, he currently has the second-best Player of the Year rating in the NCAA.
9. Vernon Carey, Duke
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Duke freshman Vernon Carey Jr. was the No. 6 overall recruit in the country coming into the season. During his first college season, the big man already has the third-best player efficiency rating (37.2) in the NCAA and has been a double-double machine. When you watch him play, it is clear he is the best player on the floor. Defenders have been clueless with how to defend him and no one has been fouled more often (8.9 fouls drawn per 40 minutes) than Carey this season. On the other side of the ball, his defensive rebound percentage (30.3 percent) ranks No. 1 among freshmen. He can also lock his opponents down, too, recording seven blocks in the only Blue Devils loss of the season thus far.
10. Isaac Okoro, Auburn
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Auburn freshman forward Isaac Okoro is known as a defensive specialist, averaging 1.2 blocks for his AAU team at Nike EYBL and 1.6 steals per game for Team USA at the U17 World Cup. But in college, he has averaged 13.9 points per game. One of the more exciting elements of his game is that just 37.5 percent of his connections at the rim have been assisted which means he can create his own offense. He is shooting 73.2 percent on two-pointers, currently Top 20 among all NCAA players. Okoro finishes well in a transition offense, averaging 1.30 points per possession (85th percentile) this season, per Synergy Sports.
11. Tyrese Haliburton, Iowa State
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During the U19 World Cup, 6-foot-5 point guard Tyrese Haliburton made the All-Tournament Team. Arguably the most important thing to know about the Iowa State guard is that he manages an unreal assist-to-usage rate. He ranks Top 5 in assists per game (8.2) among all NCAA players despite a relatively low usage rate. The Cyclones have scored 13.2 points per game on his pick-and-roll possessions when including his passes, per Synergy, which has been the best mark in his conference. Defensively, he rarely fouls opponents, as he is committing just 1.0 per 40 minutes.
12. Killian Hayes, Ratiopharm Ulm
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Killian Hayes led France to win the gold medal at the 2017 U16 Euro Championship A, winning MVP of the tournament. He had 16.6 points, 7.0 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game during the competition. The following year at the U17 World Cup, he averaged 16.1 points per game. The 18-year-old, 6-foot-5 guard is currently averaging 12.5 points and 6.9 assists per game in Eurocup competition for his team in Germany.
13. RJ Hampton, New Zealand Breakers
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While 18-year-old RJ Hampton was one of the most heralded recruits in the nation as the Texas Gatorade Player of the Year, the 6-foot-5 guard took the path-less-traveled and went overseas rather than play college basketball. In his games overseas thus far, he has been relatively underwhelming with just 10.4 points per game — a far cry from the 24.6 points that he averaged for his AAU team while on the Under Armour circuit. Hampton will have to spend his next month recovering, reportedly missing the next four weeks of the season with a hip injury.
14. Josh Green, Arizona
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Arizona Wildcats freshman Josh Green went to IMG Academy for high school, the same program that produced 2018 first-rounder Anfernee Simons. The 6-foot-6 wing is averaging 1.8 steals per game for Arizona, which have turned into several fantastic highlights plays in the open court. He has scored 60 points in transition thus far, per Synergy, which ranks Top 10 among D1 players.
15. Theo Maledon, ASVEL
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Theo Maledon is just 18 years old but has been a fixture on the professional basketball scene since 2015-16. He helped lead France to the gold medal at the U16 Euro Championship A, scoring 14.6 points per game. During the Jordan Brand Classic game, Maledon put up 15 points with 4 rebounds as well as 4 assists. He has missed some time this year due to injury but with all of the promise he has already shown, there may be enough to consider him in the first half of the first round.
16. Paul Reed, DePaul
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While 20-year-old junior Paul Reed had been flying under-the-radar, he is destined to continue improving his draft stock as his stellar play continues for DePaul. Originally recruited as a 6-foot-5 wing, he now stands at 6-foot-10 who is leading his conference in rebounds for the second season in a row. That has helped him be remarkably efficient in transition, occasionally even as the ballhandler. DePaul has just one loss so far this season, in which he recorded 18 rebounds with five blocks and four steals. He currently ranks Top 20 in block percentage (12.4 percent), including an absurd eight blocks against Minnesota.
17. Precious Achiuwa, Memphis
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Precious Achiuwa, a 6-foot-9 forward, has been tasked with leading what was supposed to be a star-studded Memphis Tigers team that has been hit with the suspension of Wiseman. But under Penny Hardaway, the team is still 8-1 to start the season and is playing at one of the fastest-tempos in college. His defensive rebound percentage (23.2 percent) and block percentage (6.0) both rank in the Top 15 among all freshmen. Achiuwa has also drawn 7.2 fouls per 100 possessions, which ranks Top 25 in the NCAA. Unfortunately, he is shooting just 1-for-6 (16.7 percent) from three-point range.
18. Aaron Nesmith, Vanderbilt
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Vanderbilt sophomore Aaron Nesmith is averaging 22.8 points per game in his first year playing for head coach Jerry Stackhouse. He is a three-point specialist, shooting 51.5 percent from downtown. His teammates have been fantastic at setting picks, where he has been tasked with shooting off the screen. The guard is currently averaging 1.58 points per possession on this play-type, per Synergy, the second-best (minimum: 15 possessions) among all D1 players. He is also scoring 6.1 points per game on these opportunities, ranking second-best as well.
19. Tyrese Maxey, Kentucky
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Tyrese Maxey, a 6-foot-3 guard, was a Top-10 recruit coming out of high school. He trailed only Cole Anthony and RJ Hampton as the top-rated combo guard prospects in the nation. He played for two AAU teams in Texas, averaging 24.4 points per game in the Nike 17U circuit. Maxey was 18-for-34 (52.9 percent) from three-point range playing for Houston Hoops. That prowess has not yet translated into his NCAA career, however, where he is only shooting 30.6 percent from beyond the arc.
20. Zeke Nnaji, Arizona
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Arizona freshman Zeke Nnaji is a 6-foot-11 freshman who is averaging 16.6 points per game. He is currently shooting 80.5 percent at the rim, connecting on 9-for-10 (90.0 percent) of his attempts when cutting to the basket. The big man has also drawn 6.1 fouls per 40 minutes, fifth-best in the Pac-12. When getting to the line, he is shooting an impressive rate (81.5 percent) on his free throw attempts for someone his size. While less heralded than his freshman teammates Mannion and Green, there is a lot to like about this Arizona team.
21. Isaiah Stewart, Washington
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Washington Huskies big man Isaiah Stewart recorded 17.6 points and 11.2 rebounds per game on the AAU circuit. He was also fantastic at the Jordan Brand Classic, scoring 16 points and 9 rebounds while shooting 2-for-2 from three-point range. He will need a resurgence in his jumper, shooting 0-for-5 from downtown at the University of Washington. While the Huskies have had a slow start to the year, he has already recorded 17 blocks this season, third-best in the Pac-12.
22. Jaden McDaniels, Washington
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Jaden McDaniels, whose older brother Jalen McDaniels was drafted by the Charlotte Hornets in the second round of the 2019 NBA Draft, was the No. 1 overall recruit at power forward coming into the season. His 6-foot-9 frame makes him an especially appealing prospect. As a freshman, he is averaging 15.0 points and 5.1 rebounds per game. But one red flag is that the forward currently leads the Pac-12 in turnovers (37).
23. Saddiq Bey, Villanova
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In the last three drafts, the Villanova Wildcats have put six players in the NBA — highlighted by four first-round picks. Many expect that trend to continue as they have two Top-20 recruits (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl and Bryan Antoine) on the roster. But the star of the show has been sophomore Saddiq Bey. Villanova has scored 114.6 points per 100 possession so far this season, the second-best offensive rating in the NCAA. But that rate has been even better (130.5) in the minutes that Bey has been on the court. He has hit 43.8 percent of his three-pointers and shoots incredibly well off the catch. He can also post-up smaller defenders and has surprisingly good playmaking in the pick-and-roll for someone who stands at 6-foot-8.
24. Cassius Stanley, Duke
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There are some serious shades of Zach LaVine in Cassius Stanley given his unique leaping and vertical ability. He is a high-flying wing who will get front office executives and fans alike excited with the dunks he is able to throw down. If he proves that his three-point shooting is no fluke and that Stanley is a legitimate option from long distance, there is little doubt he will have a role in the NBA as a 6-foot-6 wing.
25. Jahmi’us Ramsey, Texas Tech
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Texas Tech freshman Jahmi’us Ramsey is averaging 17.3 points per game, which has been an awesome start to his collegiate career. He is also shooting 46.4 percent from three-point range. The best news for Ramsey is that in a set offense, he is shooting 7-for-12 (58.3) on guarded attempts when shooting off the catch. Despite his 6-foot-4 frame, Ramsey has pulled down 5.8 rebounds per game. This has also helped him connect on five of his first seven attempts as the ballhandler in a transition offense.
26. Jordan Nwora, Louisville
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Louisville Cardinals junior Jordan Nwora has the best Player of the Year rating in the nation, per KenPom.com. He is shooting 42.1 percent from three-point range for Louisville so far this season. The junior is averaging 1.49 points per possession on spot-up possessions, via Synergy, which ranks in the 97th percentile among all players.
27. Devin Vassell, Florida State
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Since moving into the starting lineup as a sophomore, Florida State guard Devin Vassell has improved from 4.5 points per game last season to 12.4 points per game this season. The 6-foot-7 wing is shooting 44.8 percent from three-point range, including a perfect 3-for-3 from beyond the arc against the Indiana Hoosiers on December 3. Given his size and shooting ability, there is some real buzz about the FSU wing.
28. Jalen Smith, Maryland
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Maryland sophomore Jalen Smith is a prototypical center, averaging 13.5 points and 10.2 rebounds per game. The big man currently ranks Top 10 in defensive win-shares, averaging 9.6 blocks per 100 possessions and twice as many blocks per game as he did last season. He also has the second-best offensive rebound percentage (14.6) in the Big Ten. Under head coach Mark Turgeon, the Terrapins have sent Bruno Fernando (’19) and Alex Len (’13) into the NBA and Smith is clearly the next prospect in line.
29. Kaleb Wesson, Ohio State
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Based on the way the Ohio State Buckeyes are playing, they could be on the way to a Final Four appearance in both football and basketball this season. If such a rarity occurred, the hoops fans can give credit to junior big man Kaleb Wesson. The 6-foot-9 center is currently shooting 44.8 percent from three-point range and his jump shot ranks in the 93rd percentile among all players, per Synergy. He projects as a pick-and-pop option at the next level due to his no-dribble jumper in pick-and-roll sets.
30. Myles Powell, Seton Hall
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Seton Hall senior Myles Powell is a scoring machine who has averaged 22.9 points per game. The 6-foot-2 guard is also averaging 39.8 three-pointers per game and has been the most efficient, prolific NCAA player when shooting off screens. Overall, the senior ranks Top 10 in Player of the Year ratings on BartTorvik.com and No. 5 overall for POY ratings on KenPom.com.
