New England Patriots betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 3

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indianapolis Colts (3-4-1) hope to end a 2-game losing streak Sunday as they face the New England Patriots (4-4) on the road in Week 9. Kickoff at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro is at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Colts vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Colts lost last week 17-16 to the Washington Commanders as 3-point favorites. QB Sam Ehlinger started and passed for 201 yards without an interception, but the Commanders rallied from a 16-7 deficit with 10 points in the 4th quarter to win the game.

The Patriots beat the New York Jets 22-17 last week, covering the 3-point spread. They only had 288 yards of offense but the defense had 3 interceptions. Kicker Nick Folk made 4 field goals in the game.

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Colts at Patriots odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:08 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Colts +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Patriots -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Colts +5.5 (-112) | Patriots -5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 40 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Colts at Patriots key injuries

Colts

CB Tony Brown (hamstring) out
OL Dennis Kelly (calf, ankle) questionable
QB Matt Ryan (shoulder) out
LB Grant Stuard (pectoral) out
RB Jonathan Taylor (ankle) out

Patriots

C David Andrews (concussion) out
DL Christian Barmore (knee) questionable
OT Marcus Cannon (concussion) out
S Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
RB Damien Harris (illness) questionable
CB Jack Jones (illness) questionable
WR DeVante Parker (knee) out
RB Pierre Strong Jr. (hamstring) questionable
LB Josh Uche (hamstring) questionable
DE Deatrich Wise Jr. (ankle) questionable

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Colts at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 20, Colts 17

Moneyline

The Patriots are still not doing great offensively, but they face a Colts team without their top running back and with Ehlinger at quarterback. The Pats have won 3 of their last 4 games and have not allowed more than 17 points in the last month.

The Colts have 6 games with fewer than 20 points.

There is too much for them to overcome, but betting the Pats to win outright is too expensive.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Pats average only 17.2 points per game with Mac Jones starting at quarterback.

However, as noted, the Colts have 6 games scoring fewer than 20 points.

Indy is No. 7 in points allowed, giving up only 19.6 per game.

It should be a low-scoring, close game that the Pats control.

BET COLTS +5.5 (-112).

Over/Under

No Taylor means an offensive struggle for the Colts and the Pats’ scoring average with Jones starting has been noted. Don’t expect a lot of points.

BET UNDER 40 (-110).

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New England Patriots at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at New York Jets odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (3-4) and New York Jets (5-2) play a Week 8 game Sunday at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Patriots vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots are the only team in the AFC East Division with a losing record. New England is coming off a stunning 33-14 loss to the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football, failing to cover as a 6.5-point favorite. The Pats are still 3-1 ATS across their last 4 outings and have cashed the Over in 4 of their previous 5.

The Jets racked up a 4th straight win and cover last week, topping the Denver Broncos on the road 16-9, covering as 2-point favorites. The victory came with a huge price tag, however, as rookie RB Breece Hall suffered a season-ending knee injury. New York won and covered its only division game this season, topping Miami 40-17 as a 3-point underdog in Week 5.

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Patriots at Jets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:42 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Jets +117 (bet $100 to win $117)
Against the spread: Patriots -2.5 (-120) | Jets +2.5 (-101)
Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Patriots at Jets key injuries

Patriots

WR Nelson Agholor (hamstring) questionable
C David Andrews (concussion) out
DL Christian Barmore (knee) out
S Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
CB Jonathan Jones (ankle) questionable
CB Adrian Phillips (shoulder) questionable
OL Isaiah Wynn (shoulder) questionable

Jets

OL Duane Brown (shoulder) questionable
WR Corey Davis (knee) out
DL Jermaine Johnson (ankle) questionable

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Patriots at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Jets 24, Patriots 22

Moneyline

The JETS (+117) have the winning record and are 2nd in the AFC East, yet get no respect from the books.

Yes, they lost Hall, and that’s deflating, especially for a young team just starting to find their way. But the team did go out and grab RB James Robinson in a trade from the Jacksonville Jaguars, and he is a serviceable back if he is 100 percent healthy.

Against the spread

The sharps hopped in on the Patriots early, when they opened as 1-point favorites. The JETS +2.5 (-101) is the play, as the public has joined the sharps, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see the public continue to hammer New England, pushing this to a flat 3.

Where is the respect for what the Jets have done so far? It has won and covered 4 games in a row, and not only is it winning, but New York is doing it defensively. The Jets rank 9th in total yards allowed per game (314.7) and 10th in points allowed per game (19.6). It’s not quite the New York Sack Exchange days, but this defense is starting to cook.

Over/Under

OVER 39.5 (-115) is the way to go, especially if this number continues to remain well below 41 or so.

The Patriots have hit the Over in 4 of the past 5 games while scoring 24 or more points in 4 times along that span. The defense has also coughed up 27 or more points in 3 of those outings.

If it makes you feel better, the Over is 7-1 in the past 8 October games for New England and 6-2 for New York. The Over is also 21-10 in the past 31 for the Jets against losing teams.

More NFL Week 8 picks and predictions

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Chicago Bears at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Bears at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Bears (2-4) and New England Patriots (3-3) play on Monday Night Football at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Bears vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Bears were on prime-time TV last week too, stumbling in a 12-7 home loss to the Washington Commanders on Thursday Night Football. That’s 3 straight losses for Chicago, which is just 2-3-1 against the spread (ATS) with 4 Under results.

The Patriots lost QB Mac Jones to an ankle injury suffered in a loss to the Baltimore Ravens in Week 3. A week later at the Green Bay Packers, rookie QB Bailey Zappe was called on after backup QB Brian Hoyer, who started in place of Jones, was forced to leave with an injury. Zappe helped the Pats to overtime vs. the Pack before losing that one 27-24, but in his 2 starts against Detroit and Cleveland, the Zappe-led offense has amassed 67 total points in 2 wins.

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Bears at Patriots odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 8 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bears +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Patriots -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread: Bears +8.5 (-110) | Patriots -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bears at Patriots key injuries

Bears

None

Patriots

WR Nelson Agholor (hamstring) questionable
DL Christian Barmore (knee) questionable
WR Kendrick Bourne (toe) questionable
DL Lawrence Guy (shoulder) questionable
CB Jonathan Jones (ankle) questionable
QB Mac Jones (ankle) questionable
CB Jalen Mills (illness) questionable
OL Mike Onwenu (ankle) questionable
OL Isaiah Wynn (shoulder) questionable

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Bears at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 23, Bears 13

Moneyline

The Patriots (-400) are big favorites at home, but you cannot risk 4 times your potential return. It’s just nowhere near any value.

PASS.

Against the spread

NEW ENGLAND -8.5 (-110) is worth playing, although 8 and a hook for a favorite is not a pleasant line to bet. Still, the way the Patriots treated another NFC North team — the Detroit Lions — might make you feel better. The Pats hammered the Lions 29-0 in their most recent home game in Week 5.

Over/Under

UNDER 40.5 (-110) is a decent play, but go lightly. The Bears have scored 19 or fewer points in 4 of their 6 games overall, while the defense has yielded 20 or fewer points in 4 outings.

Lately, with Zappe at the helm, the offense has been a juggernaut, but that’s against the struggling Browns and Lions, too. Chicago has a legit D, so we’ll see if the good times continue to roll for the Pats, especially if Jones is able to suit up as their signal-caller instead of the rookie.

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New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (2-3) and the Cleveland Browns (2-3) meet Sunday at First Energy Stadium in Cleveland. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Patriots vs. Browns odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots snapped a 2-game slide in a big way, topping the previously high-octane Detroit Lions by a 29-0 count in Foxborough in Week 5. After opening the season 0-2-1 ATS, the Pats have covered 2 in a row.

The Browns have lost 3 games, including a 1-2 showing at home. Although, those 3 setbacks are by a combined 6 points. Cleveland needs to figure out how to close out one-score games. So far, 4 of the team’s 5 games have been decided by 3 or fewer points.

Also see: All Week 6 odds and lines

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Patriots at Browns odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:22 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +117 (bet $100 to win $117) | Browns -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +2.5 (-103) | Browns -2.5 (-117)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Patriots at Browns key injuries

Patriots

WR Nelson Agholor (hamstring) out
DL Christian Barmore (knee) questionable
DL Lawrence Guy (shoulder) questionable
RB Damien Harris (hamstring) questionable
CB Jonathan Jones (ankle) out
QB Mac Jones (ankle) questionable
LB Raekwon McMillan (thumb) questionable
WR Jakobi Meyers (knee) questionable
TE Jonnu Smith (ankle) questionable
LB Josh Uche (hamstring) out

Browns

DE Jadeveon Clowney (ankle, knee, elbow) out
CB Denzel Ward Jr. (concussion) out

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Patriots at Browns picks and predictions

Prediction

Browns 26, Patriots 20

Moneyline

The BROWNS (-140) are a decent play on the moneyline if you don’t feel like fiddling around with the spread.

This is an interesting game as Cleveland should be able to pound the ball on the ground against a New England rush defense that ranks in the bottom third of the league. The Browns are the top running team in the NFL, and that will be the difference here.

Against the spread

CLEVELAND -2.5 (-117) comes with a little risk as all but one of the Browns’ games have been decided by one score. Cleveland’s 29-17 Thursday night Week 3 win against the Pittsburgh Steelers would have been if not for “pitchy woo-woo” at the end that resulted in a meaningless TD with no time left on the clock.

Still, the Patriots are vulnerable to the run, and that’s the Browns’ strength. Plus, there are just too many injuries at key spots for the Pats.

Over/Under

OVER 43.5 (-108) is the lean here, although it might not cross the finish line until late in the fourth quarter. So, go lightly.

Again, the Browns will look to run, run and run some more. Usually that doesn’t lend itself to Over results as running games help take time off the clock for Unders to cash.

But despite a pass attack that ranks just 24th in the NFL, Cleveland ranks 6th in the league at 26.6 points per game, and its defense hasn’t stopped anybody.

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Detroit Lions at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Detroit Lions at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Lions (1-3) visit the New England Patriots (1-3) Sunday in Week 5. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Lions vs. Patriots, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Both teams are on 2-game slides after losing their openers and winning in Week 2.

The big news is the Patriots will start 3rd-string rookie QB Bailey Zappe. Starter Mac Jones is out with an ankle injury – suffered during a 37-26 home loss in Week 3 to the Baltimore Ravens – and backup Brian Hoyer is on IR with a concussion – sustained in last week’s 27-24 OT loss at the Green Bay Packers.

Zappe played most of the Packers game, entering on the Patriots’ 2nd series when Hoyer was hurt. In his unexpected NFL debut, the 4th-round 2022 draft pick out of Western Kentucky completed 10 of 15 passes for 99 yards with a TD and no picks as New England, the NFL’s biggest underdog of the week, covered a 10-point spread in the loss.

Detroit lost 48-45 at home to the Seattle Seahawks in Week 4, failing to cover the spread for the 1st time this season. The Lions, who were 3-point favorites, couldn’t stop the Seahawks offense, which never had to punt and finished with 555 yards, including 235 on the ground. Detroit did have more 1st downs (19-14) and more passing yards (375-320), but it could never get over the hump after falling into a 7-0 hole on Seattle’s opening drive.

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Lions at Patriots odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Lions +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Patriots -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Lions +3.5 (-120) | Patriots -3.5 (-101)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Lions at Patriots key injuries

Lions

C Evan Brown (ankle) questionable
WR DJ Chark (ankle) out
DL Charles Harris (groin) out
OL Jonah Jackson (finger) questionable
WR Josh Reynolds (ankle) questionable)
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (ankle) questionable
RB D’Andre Swift (shoulder, ankle) out

Patriots

S/KR Kyle Dugger (knee) questionable
DL Lawrence Guy (shoulder) out
QB Brian Hoyer (concussion) out
QB Mac Jones (ankle) doubtful
LB Raekwon McMillan (thumb) questionable
WR Jakobi Meyers (knee) questionable
CB Jalen Mills (hamstring) questionable
S Adrian Phillips (ribs) questionable
TE Jonnu Smith (ankle) doubtful
OL Isaiah Wynn (hip) questionable

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Lions at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Lions 31, Patriots 17

Moneyline

BET 0.25 UNITS ON DETROIT (+145).

The Lions haven’t won a road game since Week 13 of the 2020 season (at the Chicago Bears 34-30), but with the Patriots’ QB situation, Detroit has a distinct advantage Sunday.

While Zappe surprised many by keeping New England in last week’s game at Green Bay after Hoyer’s exit, the truth of the matter is the Packers are not that good.

Expect coach Dan Campbell to have the Lions more than ready for this game as they snap their road losing streak.

Against the spread

DETROIT +3.5 (-120) is the STRONGEST PLAY – usually 1½ times your usual wager, but let’s make it 1.25 TIMES since we’re playing a quarter unit on the ML.

ATS records: Lions 3-1 | Patriots 1-2-1

Be warned: Detroit’s defense is not good. It ranks last in yards (444.8) and points (35.3) allowed per game.

But I don’t see New England’s offense being productive with a backup to the backup QB.

Offensively, Detroit leads the NFL in yards (436.8) and points (35.0) per game. The Patriots are 19th (341.3 YPG) and 23rd (18.5 PPG), respectively.

Defensively, the Patriots allow 346.8 yards (19th) and 24.5 points (24th) per game.

Over/Under

BACK OVER 45.5 (-112) for 0.75 UNITS.

O/U records: Lions 4-0 | Patriots 2-2

If the Patriots had a more experienced QB, this would have been the “strongest play.” The line likely would be higher with a better New England QB, but the offensive and defensive stats mentioned above speak for themselves.

Plus, the Over is 7-0 in the last 7 Patriots’ home games, while it is 6-0 in the Lions’ last 6 games overall.

The reason for doubt in not playing a full unit is the question marks revolving around New England’s offense with Zappe under center.

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New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (1-2) are on the road in Week 4 for a matchup against the Green Bay Packers (2-1). Kickoff is Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field (CBS) Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Patriots vs. Packers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots struggled offensively for the first 2 weeks of the season, scoring a combined 24 points. Last week, they scored 26 points and gained 447 yards of offense, but they also turned the ball over 4 times in a 37-26 loss in which QB Mac Jones was lost to an ankle injury. He threw 3 interceptions in the loss.

The Packers have won 2 games in a row after a season-opening 23-7 loss to the Vikings. QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown 2 touchdown passes in each of the last 2 weeks. Green Bay’s defense limited the Buccaneers to 285 total yards and kept them from scoring a game-tying 2-point conversion after they scored a touchdown with 14 seconds remaining in the Packers’ 14-12 win.

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Patriots at Packers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:25 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Packers -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +9.5 (-112) | Packers -9.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Patriots at Packers key injuries

Patriots

S Kyle Duggar (knee) questionable
DL Davon Godchaux (back) questionable
DL Lawrence Guy (shoulder) out
QB Mac Jones (ankle) out
WR Jakobi Meyers (knee) questionable
CB Jalen Mills (hamstring) questionable

Packers

CB Jaire Alexander (groin) questionable

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Patriots at Packers picks and predictions

Prediction

Packers 24, Patriots 13

Moneyline

The Patriots are starting an aging backup quarterback in Brian Hoyer on the road in Green Bay against one of the best quarterbacks in the league in Rodgers.

The Patriots have already had offensive struggles before losing Jones to injury and now face a defense that has allowed a total of 19 points over the last 2 games.

The Packers are overwhelming favorites, but the cost just isn’t worth the action here. PASS.

Against the spread

The Patriots have not yet covered the spread this season. The Packers are 2-1 ATS.

Even with Jones playing most of the game, the Pats still lost by 11 points last week.

The Packers were a league-best 7-2 ATS at home last season.

Baltimore put up 37 on New England last week. Green Bay should be able to get to the mid-20s, and with a limited offense to begin with being led by a 36-year-old Hoyer, the Pats aren’t going to score much.

Take the PACKERS -9.5 (-108).

Over/Under

The Packers have yet to have a game reach 40 total points. Their 3-week totals have been 30, 37 and 26.

The Patriots’ 3 games this season have had totals of 27, 31 and 63.

Could this game get out of hand with the Packers getting into the 30s? Yes, but what is more likely is they control the game early, get a lead and then lean on the running game to slow the game in the second half.

Take UNDER 40.5 (-120).

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Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Ravens (1-1) look to bounce back from a Week 2 collapse when they face the underwhelming New England Patriots (1-1) Sunday. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium will be at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Ravens vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Ravens come into this one after losing 42-38 to the Miami Dolphins last weekend. Baltimore led Miami 35-14 early in the 4th quarter but it allowed 21 unanswered points to tie the game and eventually lost on a 7-yard touchdown with 14 seconds left. The Ravens are now a half-game back of the Cleveland Browns in the AFC North following a Browns’ victory on Thursday Night Football.

The Patriots barely got by the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, beating them 17-14 on the road. New England had 376 yards compared to only 243 for Pittsburgh, but the Patriots struggled to put points on the board. QB Mac Jones has 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions through 2 weeks, totaling 465 yards through the air.

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Ravens at Patriots odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Ravens -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Patriots +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
Against the spread (ATS): Ravens -2.5 (-120) | Patriots +2.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Ravens at Patriots key injuries

Ravens

RB J.K. Dobbins (knee) questionable
WR Devin Duvernay (concussion) questionable
CB Marlon Humphrey (groin) questionable
OL Ronnie Stanley (ankle) questionable

Patriots

S Kyle Dugger (knee) questionable
DL Davon Godchaux (back) questionable
WR Jakobi Meyers (knee) questionable
CB Jalen Mills (hamstring) questionable

[the_huddle]

Ravens at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Ravens 24, Patriots 17

Money line

This line almost feels too good to be true. The Patriots have looked shaky, particularly on offense, scoring just 24 points in 2 games against the Dolphins and Steelers. They barely beat Pittsburgh last week and got beat by 13 points by the Dolphins in their opener.

The Ravens easily beat the New York Jets in Week 1 and should’ve crushed the Dolphins but they blew a 21-point 4th-quarter lead.

I like the RAVENS (-145) a lot in this matchup.

Against the spread

The Ravens are only favored by 2.5 points, which feels like a low number and a reaction to Week 2’s results: a blown lead by Baltimore and a sloppy win by New England.

These teams have alternated ATS wins in each of their last 8 meetings, with the Patriots covering in their last matchup in 2020. Naturally, it’s the Ravens’ turn to cover.

Give me the RAVENS -2.5 (-120) to win by at least a field goal.

Over/Under

The total has gone Over in 4 of the last 5 games between these teams, but it went under in a 23-17 win by the Patriots in 2020. Bill Belichick typically knows how to limit an opponent’s best player, so QB Lamar Jackson could be held in check a bit.

I see a lower-scoring game. LEAN toward the UNDER 43.5 (-105).

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New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers odds, picks, and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New England Patriots (0-1) face the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET. (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Patriots vs. Steelers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Neither of these teams looked good in Week 1. The Patriots were unable to move the ball, or score on the Miami Dolphins while giving up 23 points. For the Steelers, they beat the Cincinnati Bengals, but they did not look good doing it.

QB Joe Burrow threw 4 INTs and lost a fumble for Cincinnati. Despite this, the Bengals still managed 165 more yards of total offense than the Steelers, who won because of Bengals mishaps in the kicking game as well.

This is not going to be fun game to watch. Even for fans of these 2 teams.

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Patriots at Steelers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2:23 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Patriots -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Steelers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots -2.5 (-108) | Steelers +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Patriots at Steelers key injuries

Patriots

QB Mac Jones (back) questionable
RB Pierre Strong (shoulder) questionable
CB Malcolm Butler (undisclosed) questionable

Steelers

OLB T.J. Watt (pec) out
RB Najee Harris (foot) questionable

[the_huddle]

Patriots at Steelers picks and predictions

Prediction

Steelers 17, Patriots 16

Money line

PASS. Too close for comfort in this game.

If you want to make a ML wager on either team, you are chancing a lot. Both teams looked bad in Week 1 and the chances of either team winning a snoozer is high.

Against the spread

LEAN with the hometown STEELERS +2.5 (-112). With 2 bad teams, the underdog is the safest wager.

Over/Under

The only way to play this game is UNDER 40.5 (-112).

Did you see these 2 teams last week? So, did I. Which is why I can not predict either to score many points.

The Patriots game went 9.5 points Under this number and the Steelers only went Over because they scored 16 points off 5 Burrow turnovers. TAKE UNDER 40.5 (-112) as my FAVORITE and ONLY PLAY in this one.

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New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Week 1 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots visit the Miami Dolphins Sunday. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Patriots vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots enter this season with playoff expectations. They’ll be led by 2021 first-round pick QB Mac Jones, who will be in his 2nd NFL season.

The Patriots added WR DeVante Parker this offseason along with 1st-round pick OL Cole Strange. They also should again have one of the best defenses in the NFL.

The Dolphins had a hectic offseason by trading for Chiefs superstar WR Tyreek Hill. He’s been complimentary of starting QB Tua Tagovailoa, who could be in a make-or-break season as well.

Miami also added starting RB Chase Edmonds, who is one of several talented backs on the Dolphins’ roster. They’ll be led by rookie coach Mike McDaniel, who was the 49ers’ offensive coordinator last season.

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Patriots at Dolphins odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Patriots +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Dolphins -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +3.5 (-115) | Dolphins -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Patriots at Dolphins key injuries

Patriots

WR Jakobi Meyers (knee) questionable
OT Isaiah Wynn (back) questionable

Dolphins

DT Raekwon Davis (knee) questionable

[the_huddle]

Patriots at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 21, Patriots 17

Money line

PASS.

Miami is at home with a much-improved offense. I like the Patriots to cover, but I think it will be close enough to where I’d feel more comfortable taking the points.

Against the spread

LEAN PATRIOTS +3.5 (-115).

While the Dolphins have a more talented roster with Edmonds and Hill as their primary weapons, the Patriots should be the more composed and well-coached side.

Bill Belichick is one of the best in the business and will have Jones and company prepared. The loss of CB J.C. Jackson (now with the Lions) and OL Ted Karras (Bengals) could hurt the team some.

Nonetheless, New England added a few new weapons and should make this competitive. The Patriots only lost 5 games last season by more than 3 points.

The Dolphins beat the Patriots in both head-to-head games last season: 17-16 at New England in Week 1 and 33-24 in Miami in Week 18.

In Dolphins’ 9-point victory, they had 2 defensive touchdowns. Take out the small luck factor, and the Patriots would’ve been within 3 in both matchups.

In a divisional matchup, I’d back this being competitive and within a field-goal difference.

Over/Under

UNDER 45.5 (-105) is the BET I LIKE MOST in this battle.

With Xavien Howard and Byron Jones, the Dolphins have one of the best cornerback duos in the NFL.

The Patriots were a run-heavy side last season and should look to take the air out of the ball. New England had the 8th-fewest pass attempts last season. With several talented backs, its style should remain unchanged.

For Miami, this will be the 1st game with a new coach, new receiver and new running back all around a quarterback that isn’t necessarily proven to be a top-10 talent.

There could be a learning curve with all the new pieces having not had much time together. I’d back a Belichick-led defense, which will be able to limit Miami’s weapons and keep this game under 46 points.

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Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (0-1) welcome the Carolina Panthers (1-0) to Gillette Stadium Friday. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Panthers vs. Patriots odds, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Patriots didn’t give 2nd-year QB Mac Jones any plays in their opening preseason loss to the New York Giants. After ending the 1st quarter up 7-3, the Patriots eventually lost 23-21.

The combination of Jones, QB Bailey Zappe and QB Brian Hoyer will be what New England goes with in Week 1. Fans may get a better glimpse at the running back committee they’re destined to use as well.

The Panthers, who have a quarterback competition on their hands, beat the Washington Commanders. RB Christian McCaffrey did not play.

In the 23-21 victory last week, QB Baker Mayfield and QB Sam Darnold both got a series with the former going 4-for-7 for 45 yards and the latter going 2-for-3 for 16 yards and a touchdown. A report Thursday said Mayfield would be named the starter for Week 1.

Panthers at Patriots odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2:44 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Panthers +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Patriots -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +3.5 (-130) | Patriots -3.5 (+105)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

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Panthers at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Panthers 24, Patriots 20

Money line

BET PANTHERS (+115).

The Panthers have been in a heated quarterback battle, and I wouldn’t be shocked if they opted to play Darnold and Mayfield for the entirety of the first half. On the other hand, Jones may be too valuable to give multiple series to.

Even the Patriots backfield, which is a 3-headed monster, should see limited time.

The Panthers played well in the first quarter against Washington, jumping out to a 10-0 lead while the Giants beat the Patriots at Gillette and took a 10-7 lead into the half.

Carolina has more figuring out to do with its first string than New England, and in turn, I think it’ll want to see what it is working with. Against Washington, its top players thrived, and I expect the same on Friday evening.

Against the spread

PASS.

If you feel more comfortable playing Carolina +3.5, then by all means go that route, but I would suggest the plus-money play on the money line instead given the value.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 40.5 (-103).

Both teams went over this amount in their first preseason matchup with both teams totaling 44 points on identical 23-21 scores.

The Panthers are expected to name Mayfield their starter, which could mean more time on the field for Darnold. Similarly, fans should get to see Jones in action. The stars should be able to aid the scoring.

Given the scuffle that went on in a joint practice, the teams should be primed to give a little added effort which could also help the game keep a high pace. Nonetheless, betting NFL overs was a solid option in Week 1 and that should keep up as the preseason progresses.

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