Patriots Jets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New England Patriots at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at New York Jets odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (3-4) and New York Jets (5-2) play a Week 8 game Sunday at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Patriots vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots are the only team in the AFC East Division with a losing record. New England is coming off a stunning 33-14 loss to the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football, failing to cover as a 6.5-point favorite. The Pats are still 3-1 ATS across their last 4 outings and have cashed the Over in 4 of their previous 5.

The Jets racked up a 4th straight win and cover last week, topping the Denver Broncos on the road 16-9, covering as 2-point favorites. The victory came with a huge price tag, however, as rookie RB Breece Hall suffered a season-ending knee injury. New York won and covered its only division game this season, topping Miami 40-17 as a 3-point underdog in Week 5.

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Patriots at Jets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:42 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Jets +117 (bet $100 to win $117)
Against the spread: Patriots -2.5 (-120) | Jets +2.5 (-101)
Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Patriots at Jets key injuries

Patriots

WR Nelson Agholor (hamstring) questionable
C David Andrews (concussion) out
DL Christian Barmore (knee) out
S Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
CB Jonathan Jones (ankle) questionable
CB Adrian Phillips (shoulder) questionable
OL Isaiah Wynn (shoulder) questionable

Jets

OL Duane Brown (shoulder) questionable
WR Corey Davis (knee) out
DL Jermaine Johnson (ankle) questionable

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Patriots at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Jets 24, Patriots 22

Moneyline

The JETS (+117) have the winning record and are 2nd in the AFC East, yet get no respect from the books.

Yes, they lost Hall, and that’s deflating, especially for a young team just starting to find their way. But the team did go out and grab RB James Robinson in a trade from the Jacksonville Jaguars, and he is a serviceable back if he is 100 percent healthy.

Against the spread

The sharps hopped in on the Patriots early, when they opened as 1-point favorites. The JETS +2.5 (-101) is the play, as the public has joined the sharps, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see the public continue to hammer New England, pushing this to a flat 3.

Where is the respect for what the Jets have done so far? It has won and covered 4 games in a row, and not only is it winning, but New York is doing it defensively. The Jets rank 9th in total yards allowed per game (314.7) and 10th in points allowed per game (19.6). It’s not quite the New York Sack Exchange days, but this defense is starting to cook.

Over/Under

OVER 39.5 (-115) is the way to go, especially if this number continues to remain well below 41 or so.

The Patriots have hit the Over in 4 of the past 5 games while scoring 24 or more points in 4 times along that span. The defense has also coughed up 27 or more points in 3 of those outings.

If it makes you feel better, the Over is 7-1 in the past 8 October games for New England and 6-2 for New York. The Over is also 21-10 in the past 31 for the Jets against losing teams.

More NFL Week 8 picks and predictions

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New England Patriots at New York Jets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the New England Patriots at New York Jets Week 9 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The New England Patriots (2-5) visit the New York Jets (0-8) for the Week 9 Monday Night Football game at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff will be at 8:15 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Patriots-Jets betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Patriots at Jets: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 8:15 a.m. ET.

Money line: Patriots -455 (bet $455 to win $100) | Jets +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
Against the spread/ATS: Patriots -9.5 (-110) | Jets +9.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 40.5 (Over -115 | U: -106)

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Patriots at Jets: Game notes

The Patriots enter on a four-game skid and have never lost five in a row under head coach Bill Belichick. The last time New England suffered a five-game losing streak was in 1995 under then-head coach Bill Parcells. The Pats almost won last week (as 4-point underdogs), but QB Cam Newton‘s red-zone fumble in the final minute thwarted a chance to tie or take the lead in a 24-21 loss at the Buffalo Bills.
The Jets, one loss away from their first 0-9 start in franchise history. QB Joe Flacco is expected to start in place of Sam Darnold, who is doubtful with an injury to his throwing shoulder. Head coach Adam Gase told reporters, “Unless something strange happens, Joe will be the starter.” Flacco, who has completed just 51.9% of his passes with 1 TD and 1 INT, started in Week 5 (30-10 loss to the Arizona Cardinals) and Week 6 (24-0 blanking at the Miami Dolphins) when Darnold was out with the same nagging injury.
The Patriots are 3-4 ATS, coming off last week’s cover vs. the Bills. The Jets are 1-7 ATS, covering as 9.5-point dogs in an 18-10 home loss to the Bills two weeks ago.
The Pats have won the last eight in the series, and are 16-2 in their last 18 vs. the Jets. New York’s last victory in the rivalry – if you can call it that – was back on Dec. 27, 2015, with a 26-20 overtime win.

Patriots at Jets: Key injuries

Patriots

LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (groin) questionable
PK Nick Folk (back) questionable
CB Stephon Gilmore (knee) questionable
DE Lawrence Guy (shoulder, elbow, knee) questionable
RB Damien Harris (ankle) questionable
WR N’Keal Harry (concussion) out
TE Ryan Izzo (hamstring) questionable
OL Shaq Mason (calf) questionable
DE John Simon (elbow) questionable
OL Joe Thuney (ankle) questionable
OL Isaiah Wynn (ankle) questionable
DL Deatrich Rise Jr. (knee, hand) questionable
CB Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
DL Carl Davis (concussion) questionable

Jets

LB Blake Cashman (hamstring) out
WR Jamison Crowder (groin) questionable
QB Sam Darnold (shoulder) doubtful
PK Sam Ficken (groin) doubtful
C Connor McGovern (knee) questionable
DE Quinnen Williams (hamstring) doubtful

Patriots at Jets: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Patriots 20, Jets 13

Money line (?)

PASS. The Patriots’ -455 is way too high of a price to even think about.

Against the spread (?)

As bad as the Jets are, the Pats aren’t much better and are hampered by injuries. Back the JETS +9.5 (-110) with a small wager – half your usual bet. They should be able keep it within 10 points.

Over/Under (?)

The UNDER 40.5 (-106) is the play. The Patriots, 3-4 vs. the O/U, average 19.4 points per game to rank 29th in the league. The Jets, 3-5 vs. the O/U, average 11.8 PPG to rank last.

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Also see:

4 things to know about trade deadline acquisition WR Ford (Patriots Wire)
OC Loggains to remain play-caller for Week 9 (Jets Wire)

Johnny’s 2020 NFL record / Strongest plays	4-7-1 / 2-3-1
2019 NFL record / Strongest plays	17-10-1 / 7-4
2020 overall record (all sports)	133-103-3
Strongest plays (all sports)	67-39-1

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New England Patriots TD favorites at winless New York Jets in Week 9

The New England Patriots are the betting favorites in their Week 9 road game at the New York Jets on Monday Night Football.

The New England Patriots (2-5) visit the winless New York Jets (0-8) for the Week 9 Monday Night Football game at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET. Here’s a look at the early betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Patriots dropped their fourth game in a row, falling at the Buffalo Bills 24-21 Sunday. QB Cam Newton was 15-for-25 passing for 174 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions, while he ran for 54 yards and a score on nine carries. His red-zone fumble – recovered by the Bills at the 13-yard line with 31 seconds left and the Pats trailing by three – sealed New England’s fate. The Pats covered as 4-point underdogs, and the game finished Over the line of 41. New England is 3-4 against the spread (ATS) and 3-4 vs. the Over/Under (O/U).

The Jets remain the NFL’s only winless team after a 35-9 loss at the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday. The Jets failed to cover the 19.5-point line and the game finished Under the projected total of 49 points. Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes threw 5 TDs (and 416 yards) for the Chiefs, while the Jets managed just three first-half field goals. New York finished with 221 total yards and QB Sam Darnold completed 18 of 30 passes for 133 yards with no TDs and no picks. The Jets are 0-8 for the first time since 1996 and have just one TD in their last three games. They are 5-3 ATS and 3-5 vs. the O/U.

Patriots at Jets betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Monday at 6:40 a.m. ET.

Money line: Patriots -334 (bet $334 to win $100) / Jets +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Bet now
Against the spread: Patriots -7, -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Jets +7, -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Bet now
Total: 41.5, Over -106 (bet $106 to win $100) / Under -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Bet now

New to NFL betting?

At -334 odds, the Patriots have an implied win probability of 76.96% or 50/167 fractional odds. The Patriots must win by 8 or more points for a New England -7 (-115) ATS ticket to cash. A 7-point victory is a push, and you get your money back.

Place your legal, online NFL bets in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV at BetMGM. Risk-free first bet! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

The Jets’ +270 money line represents an implied win probability of 27.03% or 27/10 fractional odds. To cover the spread, New York must keep the game within 6 points in a loss or win outright.

Also see:

Belichick says Newton still ‘our quarterback’ (Patriots Wire)
Instant analysis: Offensive ineptitude runs rampant (Jets Wire)

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