New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (1-2) are on the road in Week 4 for a matchup against the Green Bay Packers (2-1). Kickoff is Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field (CBS) Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Patriots vs. Packers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots struggled offensively for the first 2 weeks of the season, scoring a combined 24 points. Last week, they scored 26 points and gained 447 yards of offense, but they also turned the ball over 4 times in a 37-26 loss in which QB Mac Jones was lost to an ankle injury. He threw 3 interceptions in the loss.

The Packers have won 2 games in a row after a season-opening 23-7 loss to the Vikings. QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown 2 touchdown passes in each of the last 2 weeks. Green Bay’s defense limited the Buccaneers to 285 total yards and kept them from scoring a game-tying 2-point conversion after they scored a touchdown with 14 seconds remaining in the Packers’ 14-12 win.

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Patriots at Packers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Patriots +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Packers -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +9.5 (-112) | Packers -9.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Patriots at Packers key injuries

Patriots

  • S Kyle Duggar (knee) questionable
  • DL Davon Godchaux (back) questionable
  • DL Lawrence Guy (shoulder) out
  • QB Mac Jones (ankle) out
  • WR Jakobi Meyers (knee) questionable
  • CB Jalen Mills (hamstring) questionable

Packers

  • CB Jaire Alexander (groin) questionable

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Patriots at Packers picks and predictions

Prediction

Packers 24, Patriots 13

Moneyline

The Patriots are starting an aging backup quarterback in Brian Hoyer on the road in Green Bay against one of the best quarterbacks in the league in Rodgers.

The Patriots have already had offensive struggles before losing Jones to injury and now face a defense that has allowed a total of 19 points over the last 2 games.

The Packers are overwhelming favorites, but the cost just isn’t worth the action here. PASS.

Against the spread

The Patriots have not yet covered the spread this season. The Packers are 2-1 ATS.

Even with Jones playing most of the game, the Pats still lost by 11 points last week.

The Packers were a league-best 7-2 ATS at home last season.

Baltimore put up 37 on New England last week. Green Bay should be able to get to the mid-20s, and with a limited offense to begin with being led by a 36-year-old Hoyer, the Pats aren’t going to score much.

Take the PACKERS -9.5 (-108).

Over/Under

The Packers have yet to have a game reach 40 total points. Their 3-week totals have been 30, 37 and 26.

The Patriots’ 3 games this season have had totals of 27, 31 and 63.

Could this game get out of hand with the Packers getting into the 30s? Yes, but what is more likely is they control the game early, get a lead and then lean on the running game to slow the game in the second half.

Take UNDER 40.5 (-120).

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