Tag: New England Patriots betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Arizona Cardinals at New England Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Arizona Cardinals at New England Patriots Week 12 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Arizona Cardinals (6-4) visit the New England Patriots (4-6) Sunday of Week 12 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Cardinals-Patriots betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Cardinals at Patriots: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Patriots +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals -1.5 (-110) | Patriots +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cardinals at Patriots: Game notes

  • New England is winless against the NFC this season.
  • The Cardinals are No. 2 in the league in total offense and rushing yards per game and No. 8 in scoring.
  • The Patriots are only 27th in scoring.
  • Cardinals QB Kyler Murray has passed for 2,644 yards with 19 touchdowns and eight interceptions, while rushing for 619 yards and 10 touchdowns, leading the league with a 6.7-yard per-rush average.
  • Patriots QB Cam Newton has only four touchdown passes to seven interceptions this season, but he has nine rushing touchdowns.

Cardinals at Patriots: Key injuries

Cardinals

  • TE Darrell Daniels (ankle) out
  • WR Larry Fitzgerald (COVID-19) out
  • DE Josh Mauro (hamstring) out
  • OL Justin Murray (hand) questionable
  • QB Kyler Murray (shoulder) probable
  • WR Trent Sherfield (COVID-19 list) out
  • S Jalen Thompson (ankle) out

Patriots

  • LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (groin) questionable
  • DL Adam Butler (shoulder) questionable
  • RB Rex Burkhead (knee) out
  • S Kyle Dugger (toe) questionable
  • PK Nick Folk (back) questionable
  • CB Stephon Gilmore (knee) questionable
  • DL Lawrence Guy (shoulder, elbow, knee) questionable
  • WR N’Keal Harry (shoulder) questionable
  • TE Ryan Izzo (hamstring, hand) questionable
  • G Shaq Mason (calf) questionable
  • OL Joe Thuney (ankle) questionable
  • OL Isaiah Wynn (knee) doubtful

Cardinals at Patriots: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Cardinals 30, Patriots 23

Money line (?)

The Cardinals have no problem moving the football and scoring points offensively. There is no individual matchup where the Patriots really have an advantage. New England will be able to have some success running the ball, but if Arizona builds a lead, the Pats will have to rely on the passing game. The Cardinals, coming off a disappointing loss against the Seahawks, are extra rested. Take the CARDINALS -125.

Against the spread (?)

Arizona is 5-5 ATS this season and New England is 4-6 ATS. But a 1.5-point spread is too small to go with the Pats if you think the Cardinals will win outright. You can’t reasonably predict a one-point win. Take the CARDINALS -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (?)

The total is low for a Cardinals game, even though they are 3-7 O/U this season. The total in their games has gone Over in three of their last four contests. The Cardinals have been consistently hitting 30 points and I expect nothing less. Take OVER 49.5 (-110).

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New England Patriots at Houston Texans odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the New England Patriots at Houston Texans Week 11 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Houston Texans (2-7) host the New England Patriots (4-5) Sunday at NRG Stadium in a matchup of two of the most disappointing teams in the AFC. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Patriots-Texans betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Patriots at Texans: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Patriots -132 (bet $132 to win $100) | Texans +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Patriots -1.5 (-110) | Texans +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Texans: Game notes

  • Both the Patriots and Texans made the playoffs last season. The Texans advanced to the Divisional Round, while the Patriots were knocked out in the wild-card round.
  • They both lost star power this offseason with the Texans trading WR DeAndre Hopkins to the Arizona Cardinals and QB Tom Brady leaving the Pats for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers via free agency.
  • The two teams are well outside the 2020 playoff picture as a result. The Patriots rank just 27th in the league with 21.0 points scored per game. The Texans are 25th with 22.2 PPG scored.
  • Houston isn’t significantly better defensively, while ranked 26th with 28.0 PPG allowed. The Patriots surrender an average of 23.4 PPG to rank 10th in the NFL.
  • New England has won back-to-back games for the first time all season after snapping a four-game losing streak. The Pats beat the New York Jets 30-27 and followed it with a more impressive 23-17 upset of the Baltimore Ravens in primetime.
  • The Texans’ two victories have come against the AFC South rival Jacksonville Jaguars by scores of 30-14 and 27-25. They lost 10-7 at the Cleveland Browns in a bad weather game last week.
  • Texans QB Deshaun Watson comes in as the better of the two passers in this game. He has 2,539 yards and 18 touchdowns against 5 interceptions. Patriots QB Cam Newton has just 1,535 yards and 3 TDs against 7 INTs, but he has rushed for 335 yards and 9 scores.

Patriots at Texans: Key injuries

Patriots

  • CB Stephon Gilmore (knee) questionable
  • DL Lawrence Guy (shoulder, elbow, knee) questionable
  • RB Damien Harris (ankle, chest) questionable
  • WR N’Keal Harry (shoulder) questionable
  • G Shaq Mason (calf) questionable
  • TE Ryan Izzo (hamstring) questionable
  • LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (groin) questionable
  • DE Deatrich Wise (knee) questionable
  • G Joe Thuney (ankle) questionable
  • OT Isaiah Wynn (ankle) questionable

Texans

  • S Michael Thomas (shoulder) out
  • WR Kenny Stills (back) questionable
  • OT Laremy Tunsil (illness) questionable
  • OG Senio Kelemete (concussion) questionable

Patriots at Texans: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Texans 27, Patriots 20

Money line (?)

This is a textbook example of a “Patriots line”, whereby they’re favored simply because they’re the more popular team and will inherently receive a skewed share of the betting handle. The Texans are far more talented offensively, and injuries are making matters much worse for the Pats this week.

Patriots head coach Bill Belichick easily wins the coaching battle against Texans interim boss Romeo Crennel, but side with Watson and take the TEXANS (+110) to win outright as home underdogs.

Against the spread (?)

We can hedge our money line bet with a smaller sprinkle on the TEXANS +1.5 (-110) for 1 point of insurance in the event of a loss. They’ve been finding ways to lose games all season and are just 2-7 ATS so we’d be foolish to not play it safe whenever possible.

Over/Under (?)

Take the UNDER 48.5 (-110) on an already-low projection. The Patriots don’t have much more reliable backfield depth behind Harris (RB Sony Michel remains on IR) and will struggle to move the chains, even against the woeful Texans run defense, if he sits.

The New England defense is just good enough to keep the Texans from running away with it.

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Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots Week 10 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Baltimore Ravens (6-2) visit the New England Patriots (3-5) for the Week 10 Sunday Night Football game at 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Ravens-Patriots betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Ravens at Patriots: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Ravens -334 (bet $334 to win $100) | Patriots +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Ravens -7 (-110) | Patriots +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 43.5 (Over -110 | U: -110)

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Ravens at Patriots: Game notes

  • The Ravens rebounded from a 28-24 home loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 8 with a 24-10 road win at the Indianapolis Colts in Week 9. Baltimore has scored at least 20 points in an NFL-record 31 consecutive games. QB Lamar Jackson has completed 62.9% of his passes for 1,513 yards with 12 TDs vs. 4 INTs, while rushing for a team-high 469 yards with 3 scores. RB Gus Edwards is the Ravens’ top back with 328 rushing yards and 3 TDs, while WR Marquise Brown has a team-high 417 receiving yards with 2 TDs.
  • The Patriots snapped a four-game skid with a 30-27 come-from-behind victory at the New York Jets on Monday Night Football last week. QB Cam Newton has completed 68.1% of his passes for 1,417 yards with just 2 TDs vs. 7 picks, while running for 314 yards with a team-best 8 rushing TDs. RB Damien Harris has 350 rushing yards with 1 score, while WR Damiere Byrd leads the team with 337 receiving yards, but has been kept out of the end zone.
  • Baltimore’s defense leads the league with the least points allowed at 17.8 PPG.
  • The Ravens – behind Jackson and Edwards – also lead the NFL in rushing yards per game (170.1). This could spell trouble for the Pats, who yield 131.0 rushing YPG to rank 25th.
  • The Ravens are 4-4 ATS; the Patriots are 3-5.
  • The Ravens are 3-5 vs. the O/U, averaging 28.4 PPG.
  • The Patriots are 4-4 O/U, averaging 20.8 PPG.
  • Baltimore beat New England 37-20 last season to snap a 3-game skid in the series.

Ravens at Patriots: Key injuries

Ravens

  • DE Calais Campbell (calf) out
  • LB L.J. Fort (finger) questionable
  • RB Mark Ingram (ankle) questionable
  • LB Matthew Judon (calf) questionable
  • CB Jimmy Smith (ankle) doubtful

Patriots

  • LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (groin) questionable
  • S Cody Davis (calf) questionable
  • DB Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
  • PK Nick Folk (back) questionable
  • CB Stephon Gilmore (knee) questionable
  • DT Lawrence Guy (shoulder, elbow, knee) questionable
  • RB Damien Harris (ankle, chest) questionable
  • WR N’Keal Harry (concussion) questionable
  • TE Ryan Izzo (hamstring) questionable
  • CB Jonathan Jones (illness) questionable
  • OL Shaq Mason (calf) questionable
  • DE John Simon (elbow) questionable
  • OL Joe Thuney (ankle) questionable
  • DL Deatrich Wise Jr. (knee, hand) questionable
  • OL Isaiah Wynn (ankle) questionable

Ravens at Patriots: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Ravens 27, Patriots 13

Money line (?)

The Ravens (-334) are definitely going to win, but no respectable tout would suggest playing such a money line. I’ll PASS.

Against the spread (?)

The RAVENS –7 (-110) are the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Jackson and the Baltimore offense will have a field day running against the Patriots defense. Plus, the Pats are banged up with too many injuries.

Over/Under (?)

The UNDER 43.5 (-110) is worth a small play – half your usual wager. The Ravens’ running game will eat chunks of time off the clock. Plus, their defense should shut down the Patriots’ offense. If the number drops below 41, AVOID.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Johnny’s 2020 NFL record / Strongest plays 9-8-1 / 3-3-1
2019 NFL record / Strongest plays 17-10-1 / 7-4
2020 overall record (all sports) 140-104-3
Strongest plays (all sports) 69-39-1

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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New England Patriots at New York Jets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the New England Patriots at New York Jets Week 9 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The New England Patriots (2-5) visit the New York Jets (0-8) for the Week 9 Monday Night Football game at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff will be at 8:15 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Patriots-Jets betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Patriots at Jets: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Patriots -455 (bet $455 to win $100) | Jets +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Patriots -9.5 (-110) | Jets +9.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 40.5 (Over -115 | U: -106)

Special Monday Night Football Betting Promotion

Bet $1 on either the New England Patriots or New York Jets money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during their Week 9 Monday Night Football matchup.

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Patriots at Jets: Game notes

  • The Patriots enter on a four-game skid and have never lost five in a row under head coach Bill Belichick. The last time New England suffered a five-game losing streak was in 1995 under then-head coach Bill Parcells. The Pats almost won last week (as 4-point underdogs), but QB Cam Newton‘s red-zone fumble in the final minute thwarted a chance to tie or take the lead in a 24-21 loss at the Buffalo Bills.
  • The Jets, one loss away from their first 0-9 start in franchise history. QB Joe Flacco is expected to start in place of Sam Darnold, who is doubtful with an injury to his throwing shoulder. Head coach Adam Gase told reporters, “Unless something strange happens, Joe will be the starter.” Flacco, who has completed just 51.9% of his passes with 1 TD and 1 INT, started in Week 5 (30-10 loss to the Arizona Cardinals) and Week 6 (24-0 blanking at the Miami Dolphins) when Darnold was out with the same nagging injury.
  • The Patriots are 3-4 ATS, coming off last week’s cover vs. the Bills. The Jets are 1-7 ATS, covering as 9.5-point dogs in an 18-10 home loss to the Bills two weeks ago.
  • The Pats have won the last eight in the series, and are 16-2 in their last 18 vs. the Jets. New York’s last victory in the rivalry – if you can call it that – was back on Dec. 27, 2015, with a 26-20 overtime win.

Patriots at Jets: Key injuries

Patriots

  • LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (groin) questionable
  • PK Nick Folk (back) questionable
  • CB Stephon Gilmore (knee) questionable
  • DE Lawrence Guy (shoulder, elbow, knee) questionable
  • RB Damien Harris (ankle) questionable
  • WR N’Keal Harry (concussion) out
  • TE Ryan Izzo (hamstring) questionable
  • OL Shaq Mason (calf) questionable
  • DE John Simon (elbow) questionable
  • OL Joe Thuney (ankle) questionable
  • OL Isaiah Wynn (ankle) questionable
  • DL Deatrich Rise Jr. (knee, hand) questionable
  • CB Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
  • DL Carl Davis (concussion) questionable

Jets

  • LB Blake Cashman (hamstring) out
  • WR Jamison Crowder (groin) questionable
  • QB Sam Darnold (shoulder) doubtful
  • PK Sam Ficken (groin) doubtful
  • C Connor McGovern (knee) questionable
  • DE Quinnen Williams (hamstring) doubtful

Patriots at Jets: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Patriots 20, Jets 13

Money line (?)

PASS. The Patriots’ -455 is way too high of a price to even think about.

Against the spread (?)

As bad as the Jets are, the Pats aren’t much better and are hampered by injuries. Back the JETS +9.5 (-110) with a small wager – half your usual bet. They should be able keep it within 10 points.

Over/Under (?)

The UNDER 40.5 (-106) is the play. The Patriots, 3-4 vs. the O/U, average 19.4 points per game to rank 29th in the league. The Jets, 3-5 vs. the O/U, average 11.8 PPG to rank last.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Johnny’s 2020 NFL record / Strongest plays 4-7-1 / 2-3-1
2019 NFL record / Strongest plays 17-10-1 / 7-4
2020 overall record (all sports) 133-103-3
Strongest plays (all sports) 67-39-1

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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New England Patriots TD favorites at winless New York Jets in Week 9

The New England Patriots are the betting favorites in their Week 9 road game at the New York Jets on Monday Night Football.

The New England Patriots (2-5) visit the winless New York Jets (0-8) for the Week 9 Monday Night Football game at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET. Here’s a look at the early betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Patriots dropped their fourth game in a row, falling at the Buffalo Bills 24-21 Sunday. QB Cam Newton was 15-for-25 passing for 174 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions, while he ran for 54 yards and a score on nine carries. His red-zone fumble – recovered by the Bills at the 13-yard line with 31 seconds left and the Pats trailing by three – sealed New England’s fate. The Pats covered as 4-point underdogs, and the game finished Over the line of 41. New England is 3-4 against the spread (ATS) and 3-4 vs. the Over/Under (O/U).

The Jets remain the NFL’s only winless team after a 35-9 loss at the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday. The Jets failed to cover the 19.5-point line and the game finished Under the projected total of 49 points. Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes threw 5 TDs (and 416 yards) for the Chiefs, while the Jets managed just three first-half field goals. New York finished with 221 total yards and QB Sam Darnold completed 18 of 30 passes for 133 yards with no TDs and no picks. The Jets are 0-8 for the first time since 1996 and have just one TD in their last three games. They are 5-3 ATS and 3-5 vs. the O/U.

Patriots at Jets betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Monday at 6:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Patriots -334 (bet $334 to win $100) / Jets +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Bet now
  • Against the spread: Patriots -7, -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Jets +7, -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 41.5, Over -106 (bet $106 to win $100) / Under -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Bet now

New to NFL betting?

At -334 odds, the Patriots have an implied win probability of 76.96% or 50/167 fractional odds. The Patriots must win by 8 or more points for a New England -7 (-115) ATS ticket to cash. A 7-point victory is a push, and you get your money back.

Place your legal, online NFL bets in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV at BetMGM. Risk-free first bet! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

The Jets’ +270 money line represents an implied win probability of 27.03% or 27/10 fractional odds. To cover the spread, New York must keep the game within 6 points in a loss or win outright.

Also see:

Get some action on this NFL game or others by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills Week 8 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The New England Patriots (2-4) are heading to Western New York this weekend to take on the Buffalo Bills (5-2). The Patriots are in desperate need of a win after losing three straight, and another loss would push the Bills further ahead in the AFC East. The game is slated for 1 p.m. ET from Bills Stadium. Below, we preview the Patriots-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Patriots at Bills betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Patriots +180 (bet $100, win $180) | Bills -213 (bet $213, win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Patriots +4 (-110) | Bills -4 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 40.5 (O: -115, U: -106)

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Patriots at Bills game notes

  • The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five games, while the Bills are 0-3 ATS in their last three.
  • The total has gone Over in five of the Bills’ seven games this season, but it has gone Under in each of the Patriots’ last three games.
  • The Patriots are 9-1 straight up against the Bills in their last 10 meetings, including a 6-3-1 ATS record.
  • New England ranks 29th in scoring and 23rd in yards per play. Buffalo is only 20th in scoring but averages 5.9 yards per play to rank 11th in NFL.
  • The Patriots defense has had the third-fewest plays run against it of any team in the NFL and ranks 12th in scoring defense.

Patriots at Bills key injuries

Patriots

  • WR N’Keal Harry (concussion) questionable
  • WR Julian Edelman (knee) out
  • CB Stephon Gilmore (knee) questionable

Bills

  • OT Cody Ford (knee) questionable
  • S Micah Hyde (concussion) questionable
  • CB Josh Norman (hamstring) questionable
  • DL Quinton Jefferson (knee) questionable

Patriots at Bills: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Bills 24, Patriots 17

Money line (?)

QB Josh Allen and the Bills offense have cooled off after a red-hot start. They’ve lost two of their last three badly to the Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs and barely beat the New York Jets in Week 7. The Bills are still the better team and New England is struggling even more than Buffalo. It’s hard to feel overly confident in this game, but I’m taking the BILLS (-213) in this pivotal AFC East tilt.

Against the spread (?)

The spread is set at 4 points in favor of the Bills at home. That was to be expected, especially after seeing how poorly the Patriots have played in their last three games. QB Cam Newton is struggling mightily, to the point where he was benched in favor of Jarrett Stidham against the San Francisco 49ers last week.

Take the BILLS -4 (-110) to win by at least 5 points.

Over/Under (?)

The Over/Under is set lower at only 40.5 points, which is partly because of how good these defenses are and partly due to the likelihood of rain and high winds impacting the game. Throwing the ball will be a challenge in 20-plus mph winds, which favors the Bills offense. It’ll be close to the projected total, but I’m going with the OVER 40.5 (-115).

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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