New England Patriots betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 2

New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New England Patriots (0-1) visit the Green Bay Packers (1-0) in Week 2 of the NFL preseason. Kickoff from Lambeau Field is at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Patriots vs. Packers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots dropped their preseason opener to the Houston Texans 20-9 on Aug. 10 as their starters rested. QB/WR Malik Cunningham was one of the few bright spots for New England’s offense, scoring the lone touchdown on a 9-yard run with just under 2 minutes remaining. The Pats signed veteran RB Ezekiel Elliott mid-week and he joined the team for joint practices with the Packers, although whether he will suit up Saturday is uncertain.

The Packers beat the Cincinnati Bengals 36-19 last Friday as they got their preseason underway. QB Jordan Love played 2 series and completed 7-of-10 passes for 46 yards with a 9-yard TD pass to WR Romeo Doubs. QB Sean Clifford completed 20-of-26 passes for 208 yards with 1 TD and 2 INTs. He is expected to see plenty of action in the preseason as he vies to be the only other active QB on the 53-man roster.

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Patriots at Packers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:46 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Packers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +2.5 (-110) | Packers -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 37 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Packers picks and predictions

Prediction

Packers 21, Patriots 17

Moneyline

We may see some action from the Patriots starters this week, and having QB Mac Jones and company on the field may lead to a slightly better performance than the listless one we saw against the Texans in their opener. However, if the starters appear at all it is likely to be brief and not enough to overcome the Packers.

Green Bay’s starters moved the ball well in its opener and the backups had some moments when they really shined. We may see slightly extended action from Love and the rest of the Packers starters, but even if they only play a couple of series this team showed it can get it done.

Split the play here and go with a half unit on the PACKERS (-145) and a half unit against the spread.

Against the spread

I’d place my other half unit on the PACKERS -2.5 (-110). The value here is slightly more compelling than the moneyline but uncertainty concerning starters for both teams makes it difficult to go all in on any wager.

The Pats trailed by at least 4 points from early in the 2nd quarter in their preseason opener and still have things to work out as the offense adapts to new schemes under coordinator Bill O’Brien. We might get a slightly better performance Saturday, but it’s unlikely to be a complete 180-degree turn.

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Over/Under

With concerns about how much of the field the starters will see and a prediction that this game will come down near the number, it’s better to PASS on the total and let things fall as they may.

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Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Houston Texans at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Houston Texans and New England Patriots meet Thursday to open Week 1 of the NFL preseason. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is set for 7 p.m. ET (NFL Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Texans vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Texans finished the 2022 season with a 3-13-1 record. With the 2nd overall pick in the NFL Draft, they selected QB C.J. Stroud out of Ohio State in a move that guarantees they won’t need to stand by 2022 signal-caller QB Davis Mills for long. Houston also made a splash by giving up a truckload of future draft capital for the 3rd overall selection to select LB Will Anderson Jr., out of Alabama.

Other new faces include TE Dalton Schultz (who joined as a free agent from the Dallas Cowboys), OL Shaq Mason (who joined via trade from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers) and perhaps most importantly, DeMeco Ryans, who joins from the San Francisco 49ers to be the team’s new head coach.

The Patriots wrapped up 2022 with an 8-9 record, winning just 2 of their final 7 games and falling short of the postseason. New England made numerous offseason moves to bolster its offense after finishing the season with one of the least-efficient units in the league, signing TE Mike Gesicki (Miami Dolphins) and WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (Kansas City Chiefs), and hiring former Houston head coach Bill O’Brien to serve as offensive coordinator.

This will mark just the 2nd time these teams have met in the preseason.

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Texans at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Houston -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Patriots +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
Against the spread (ATS): Houston -3.5 (-110) | Patriots +3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 36.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texans at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Texans 21, Patriots 17

Moneyline

While wagering on the preseason can be fun, and we’re all excited football is back, it’s important to not get carried away with large bets because preseason football can be a menace to handicap. Coaches are often tight-lipped about their plans for who will play and how much, often giving lesser-known players additional playing time to showcase their skills while simultaneously keeping starters and key players safe from injury.

Ryans has already stated that Stroud will get the start, and he’s likely to see a few series at least, as the Texans try to sort out which direction they take to start the year. Mills is also likely to see meaningful playing time.

Patriots coach Bill Belichick has said his most inexperienced players will see the bulk of work Thursday, but it is hard to know how much faith to put in the notoriously tight-lipped coach. QB Mac Jones may not see the field at all as New England could trot out the trio of Bailey Zappe, Trace McSorley and Malik Cunningham under center.

I’m going to give a slight edge to HOUSTON (-165) as it is expected to stick with its starters deeper into the game and come away with the victory. Go with just a partial unit here — it is the preseason, after all — and shy away altogether if the line rises north of -180.

Against the spread

With too many variables concerning which units will be on the field and for how long, as well as questions about how efficient those units will be, it’s best just to shy away from either team doing enough to cover a 3.5-point spread.

PASS.

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Over/Under

There is enough experience on both sides of this game to give hope for it sneaking OVER 36.5 (-110). Stroud’s efficiency has yet to be seen, but when he gives way to Mills and QB Case Keenum, both have plenty of regular-season experience.

Whether Jones sees the field or not for the Patriots, Zappe and McSorley also have regular-season experience, and Zappe in particular has shown that he can get the job done. Cunningham was an electric college quarterback and should get plenty of opportunities to move the ball late in the game.

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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (8-8) visit the Buffalo Bills (12-5) with playoff aspirations on the line Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Patriots vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

After beating the Miami Dolphins 23-21 as 3-point home favorites New Year’s Day, the Patriots and QB Mac Jones are still alive for the playoffs, but they really need to win Sunday.

They’re in if they win. If they lose, they need the Jaguars to win Saturday night at home against the Titans and the Steelers to lose Sunday at home to the Browns.

Jones, who has only thrown 11 TDs this season (tied for 28th among QBs), will need to perform Sunday against an emotional Bills team coming off a devastating circumstance in Week 17. S Damar Hamlin collapsed after a play and needed CPR on the field in the 1st quarter at the Bengals on Monday Night Football, leading to the cancelation of the game.

The good news is that Hamlin has shown “substantial improvement” in his recovery at a Cincinnati hospital.

Meanwhile, QB Josh Allen and WR Stefon Diggs will try to spoil the Patriots’ playoff dreams as the Bills look to win in order to secure the AFC’s No. 2 seed.

When the Bills won at the Patriots 24-10 in their 1st meeting this season — in the Week 13 Thursday night game — Allen threw for 223 yards and 2 TDs and RB Devin Singletary rushed for 51 yards and a TD. Two weeks ago, RB James Cook had his best performance of the season, rushing for 99 yards and 1 TD on 11 carries in a 35-13 win at Chicago. The backfield combination of Singletary and Cook will be tough for the Patriots to handle.

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Patriots at Bills odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:21 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Bills -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +7.5 (-109) | Bills -7.5 (-111)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -109 | U: -111)

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Patriots at Bills key injuries

Patriots

CB Jonathan Jones (chest) questionable
WR Jakobi Meyers (shoulder) questionable
CB Jalen Mills (groin) out
TE Jonnu Smith (concussion) out

Bills

S Damar Hamlin out

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Patriots at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 27, Patriots 13

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no question that Buffalo (-380) is the better team. The Bills will be playing with a ton of emotion. There is no chance they lose, but the price is steep. Only include Buffalo (-380) in a parlay if you want to bet this matchup.

Against the spread

BUFFALO -7.5 (-111) is the way to bet this game.

Buffalo is 7-7-1 ATS this season. This includes the 24-10 victory as a 3.5-point favorite at New England Dec. 1.

Sunday will be a mirror of that game as Buffalo will be able to pass on the Patriots, who are missing much of their secondary to injuries. Not only will the Bills win, but they will do so emphatically.

Over/Under

UNDER 43.5 (-111) is the correct side.

The Under is 10-5 in Buffalo games this season, while the Under is 7-9 in New England games.

With TE Jonnu Smith out with an injury and WRs DeVante Parker and Jakobi Meyers ailing, the Patriots only have RB Rhamondre Stevenson as a healthy weapon on offense. Buffalo’s defense will be able to swallow him up and limit New England’s ability to score.

While Buffalo is healthy on offense, it will not have an offensive explosion, helping the Under cash. Allen will do enough to win and cover the 7-point spread, but doing enough to get to the total, something the Bills have been routinely unable to do, might be asking too much.

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Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Dolphins (8-7) and New England Patriots (7-8) are both fighting for their playoff lives this week as they square off at Gillette Stadium in Week 17. Kickoff on Sunday will be at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Dolphins vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins are stumbling into the final weeks of the season, losing each of their last 4 games after starting the year 8-3. The playoffs are still within reach, however. If the Dolphins win their last 2 games, they’ll clinch a playoff berth, which is the simplest scenario for this team entering Week 17. The offense has been inconsistent at best, scoring between 17 and 29 points during their 4-game losing streak; Miami ranks 9th in total points (365) this season.

The Patriots are in even worse shape than the Dolphins, sitting at 7-8, but they can also get into the playoffs by simply winning their final 2 games of the season. They’ve dropped 4 of their last 5 games, with their only win during that stretch coming against the Arizona Cardinals. Three of their last 4 losses have come by 7 points or fewer, so they’ve kept things close.

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Dolphins at Patriots odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:25 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Patriots -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +2.5 (-110) | Patriots -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Dolphins at Patriots key injuries

Dolphins

OT Terron Armstead (toe, pec, knee, hip) questionable
OLB Bradley Chubb (ankle, hand) questionable
OT Eric Fisher (calf) questionable
CB Xavien Howard (knee) questionable
OT Brandon Shell (shoulder) probable
QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) out

Patriots

TE Hunter Henry (knee) questionable
CB Jack Jones (knee) out
CB Marcus Jones (concussion) out
CB Jonathan Jones (chest) questionable
CB Jalen Mills (groin) questionable
WR DeVante Parker (concussion) out
TE Jonnu Smith (concussion) out
RB Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) probable
WR Tyquan Thornton (knee) questionable

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Dolphins at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 20, Dolphins 16

Moneyline

Tagovailoa’s absence from this game makes it even tougher to pick because the Dolphins will instead have QB Teddy Bridgewater under center. Even though he’s an experienced player who’s started 64 games in his career, he threw 3 INTs in 2 games this season, both of which were losses by Miami.

As unimpressive as the Patriots’ offense has been this year, this is the type of game Bill Belichick wins with solid coaching. I’ll take the PATRIOTS (-145) to win outright at home against their division rivals.

Against the spread

The Patriots likely wouldn’t be favored if Tagovailoa were playing in this one, but with Tua out, New England looks like the better team, especially at home in December.

The Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against the Dolphins at home, which is a trend I think continues this week. Bet the PATRIOTS -2.5 (-110) to cover at Gillette.

Over/Under

These are inconsistent offenses led by underwhelming quarterbacks. The Patriots defense is one of the best in the league, however, and should give Bridgewater a lot of trouble if the coverage can hold up despite some starters likely missing from the secondary.

While the Dolphins’ defense has allowed the 6th-most points in the league, QB Mac Jones is having a rough year and won’t lead many touchdown drives. Bet the UNDER 41 (-112).

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Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The red-hot Cincinnati Bengals (10-4) head to Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Mass., to take on the New England Patriots (7-7) Saturday at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bengals vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Joe Burrow and the Bengals have won 6 straight games and are 1 game ahead of the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North and 1 game behind the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. The Bengals, who beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34-23 as 3.5-point favorites last week, host the Bills in Week 17.

The Patriots are coming off an excruciating 30-24 loss against the Las Vegas Raiders and this game is crucial to their playoff hopes.

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Bengals at Patriots odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:27 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bengals -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Patriots +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Against the spread (ATS): Bengals -3 (-112) | Patriots +3 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 42 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Bengals at Patriots key injuries

Bengals

CB Cam Taylor-Britt (shoulder) questionable
CB Jalen Davis (thumb) questionable
DE Sam Hubbard (calf) out
TE Hayden Hurst (calf) out

Patriots

RB Damien Harris (thigh) questionable
CB Jack Jones (knee) questionable
CB Jonathan Jones (chest) questionable
WR Jakobi Meyers (shoulder) questionable
CB Jalen Mills (groin) out
WR DeVante Parker (concussion) out
RB Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) questionable
WR Tyquan Thornton (knee) questionable

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Bengals at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Bengals 23, Patriots 14

Moneyline

PASS.

The spread in this game is only 3. The Bengals are the better team and should be able to cover that number. However, I would not want to wager -155 on the moneyline. It would make a nice addition to a multi-team parlay play though.

Against the spread

BET BENGALS -3 (-112).

Burrow is coming alive again in December. After falling behind by 17 points last Sunday, Burrow led the Bengals back with 31 points in the 2nd half.

WR Tee Higgins showed his abilities when WR Ja’Marr Chase missed time and now that Chase is back, the Bengals are dominating secondaries. The Bengals need this game to stay ahead of the Ravens in the AFC North and will not be looking ahead to the Bills — their next opponent — which is bad news for the Patriots. BENGALS -3 (-112) is my FAVORITE PLAY.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 42 (-110).

Even with the explosive nature of the Bengals offense, this game should be a bit lower scoring.

Weather is forecast to be freezing and windy which will mean far more rushing than in a normal Bengals game. They will still score. But not enough to get this game over. The Patriots are banged up in the backfield and this will make it difficult for them to put up a lot of points.

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New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (7-6) battle the Las Vegas Raiders (5-8) at Allegiant Stadium Sunday. Kickoff from Las Vegas is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Patriots vs. Raiders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots defeated the Arizona Cardinals 27-13 last week covering as 2-point road favorites. New England pushed its against-the-spread (ATS) record to 7-5-1 and has now covered 4 of its last 6 games. The Patriots’ defense ranks top 10 in total yards (312.6) and points allowed (18.4) per game.

The Raiders lost to the Baker Mayfield-led Los Angeles Rams last week, failing to cover as 6-point road favorites. That pushed their ATS record to just 6-7 — just 2-6 on the road and 3-2 at home. However, the Raiders have covered 3 of their last 4. Their offense ranks 9th in yards per game (361.9).

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Patriots at Raiders odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Raiders -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +2 (-110) | Raiders -2 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 45 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Raiders key injuries

Patriots

WR DeVante Parker (concussion) out
RB Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) questionable
CB Jalen Mills (groin) out
RB Damien Harris (thigh) out

Raiders

G Alex Bars (knee) out
DT Andrew Billings (fibula) questionable
RB Josh Jacobs (hand/quad) questionable

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Patriots at Raiders picks and predictions

Prediction

Raiders 24, Patriots 17

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Raiders here, and I would rather play the spread than the moneyline odds.

Against the spread

LEAN RAIDERS -2 (-110).

I would wait to see if Jacobs is active given how good he has been, but the Raiders have simply been far better at home than on the road. Also, until last week, the Raiders were rolling, taking down the Los Angeles Chargers and Seattle Seahawks in back-to-back weeks and covering both games. They also have a more dynamic offense with WR Davante Adams being a focal point of the Las Vegas attack.

With Stevenson questionable, the Patriots offense could struggle if he’s not 100%. They have scored just 73 points in their last 4 games and are just 1-2 ATS in their last 3.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 45 (-110).

The Raiders are 6-7 O/U while the Patriots are 5-8 O/U this season, but just 1-5 O/U in their last 6 games.

The Raiders have gone Under in their last 2 games, 3 of their last 4 and in 5 of their last 7. With Adams and Jacobs questionable, the teams’ offenses may not be at 100% either.

With the Patriots having a top-tier defense and the Raiders ranking 10th in opponents rushing yards per game (110.5), both teams should be able to limit what their opponent does best.

With that in mind, back the UNDER 45 (-110).

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New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The NFL’s Week 14 schedule wraps up with the New England Patriots (6-6) visiting the Arizona Cardinals (4-8) on Monday Night Football at 8:15 p.m. ET from State Farm Stadium (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Patriots vs. Cardinals odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots enter on a 2-game skid, most recently falling as 3.5-point home underdogs to the Buffalo Bills 24-10 in the Week 13 Thursday night game.

The Cardinals are coming off their bye week. They also are on a 2-game slide after suffering a 25-24 heartbreaking defeat on a last-minute TD and 2-point conversion by the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 12. At least the Cardinals covered the spread as 2.5-point dogs, but they are 1-4 straight up and 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games.

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Patriots at Cardinals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 7:42 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots -2.5 (-108) | Cardinals +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -111 | U: -109)

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Patriots at Cardinals key injuries

Patriots

OL Trent Brown (illness) questionable
OL Yodny Cajuste (back, calf) questionable
RB Damien Harris (thigh) doubtful
WR Jakobi Meyers (concussion) out
CB Jalen Mills (groin) out
OL Isaiah Wynn (foot) out

Cardinals

DL Zach Allen (illness) questionable
OL Rashaad Coward (chest) out
WR Rondale Moore (groin) out
CB Byron Murphy (back) out

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Patriots at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 24, Patriots 20

Moneyline

The Cardinals have only one win at home this season and only 1 win in their last 5 games. However, they did look competitive on offense for the first time in a while in their loss to the Chargers.

The Patriots are 7th-best in both yards and points allowed, giving up 311.8 yards and 18.8 points per game (PPG). However, they have been hot and cold. In their 6 wins, opponents score only 8.7 PPG. In their 6 losses, opponents have scored 29.0 PPG. They have not won a game with opponents scoring more than 17 points.

If the Cardinals are able to move the ball on offense like they did against the Chargers, they can win this game.

QB Kyler Murray’s mobility will wreak havoc on New England’s defense, which allowed Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields to rush for 82 yards and a touchdown.

I like the upset here. BET CARDINALS (+105).

Against the spread

The Patriots are 6-5-1 ATS, while the Cardinals are 6-6 ATS, covering the spread twice in losses.

The Cardinals also have covered the spread in 2 of their last 3 games.

All the reasons noted to convince you to bet the Cardinals on the moneyline are the same reasons why you should bet the Cardinals to cover the spread.

But if you are going to pick one or the other, the moneyline is better because of the positive line.

If you fear the possible 1-point loss like the Cardinals had in their last game, bet the spread, but I say go with the moneyline and PASS on the spread.

Over/Under

The Cardinals’ last 6 games have all had 44 or more total points.

Four of the Pats’ 6 losses had 44 or more points.

BET OVER 43.5 (-111).

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Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Buffalo Bills (8-3) travel to meet the New England Patriots (6-5) for Thursday Night Football in Week 13 at Gillette Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bills vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Bills search for a 2nd consecutive Thursday victory after they hung on for a 28-25 win against the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day. Buffalo has scored 23 or more points in 7 of its last 8 games.

The Under is 7-2 in the past 9 games overall for Buffalo, including 2-0 in the first 2 games against AFC East Division opponents.

The Patriots are coming off a 33-26 setback in Minnesota on Thanksgiving Night, snapping a 3-game win and cover streak. The Over cashed against the Vikings, snapping a 3-game Under run, too.

New England has posted 2 wins in 3 games against AFC East foes this season, while also going 2-1 ATS. The Under is 3-0 inside the division for the Pats, too.

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Bills at Patriots odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:57 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bills -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Patriots +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
Against the spread: Bills -3.5 (-109) | Patriots +3.5 (-111)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Patriots key injuries

Bills

OL Dion Dawkins (ankle) out
LB Von Miller (knee) out

Patriots

C David Andrews (thigh) questionable
OL Yodny Cajuste (calf) questionable
RB Damien Harris (thigh) out
CB Marcus Jones (ankle) questionable
WR Jakobi Meyers (shoulder) questionable
CB Jalen Mills (groin) questionable
WR DeVante Parker (groin) questionable
FS Jabrill Peppers (illness) questionable
OL Isaiah Wynn (foot) out

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Bills at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 23, Patriots 18

Moneyline

The Bills (-190) are just slightly over my personal money line limit for a singular play.

The Patriots (+160) are a tempting play due to their impressive defense that allows just 307.8 total yards per game (4th) and just 18.4 points per game (6th).

This is an especially tough game for the Pats, however, facing a Buffalo offense that has posted 415.9 total yards per game (2nd), 279.2 passing yards per game (3rd) and 28.1 PPG (2nd).

PASS, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

Play the BILLS -3.5 (-109) lightly, laying the 3 and a hook. Buffalo is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 road games, but it’s 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 games inside the AFC East.

Buffalo is also 3-0-1 ATS in the past 4 trips to Foxboro while going 5-2-1 ATS in the past 8 meetings overall. The road team is 19-7-2 ATS in the past 28 meetings in this series, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 43.5 (-110) is the play in this primetime matchup.

We’ll have temperatures around freezing and winds 9-12 mph, but nothing either of these northern teams can’t handle. In fact, each team might find the weather rather balmy.

However, the defenses are driving the train for this Under play. The Under is 6-0 in the past 6 road games for the Bills, while going 4-1 in their last 5 against teams with winning records. The Under is also 4-0 in the past 4 Thursday appearances for the Bills — including last week against the Lions.

The Patriots have hit the Under in 5 of the past 7 against AFC foes while going 4-1 to the Under in their past 5 games following a straight-up loss.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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New England Patriots at Minnesota Vikings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New England Patriots at Minnesota Vikings odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (6-4) face the Minnesota Vikingss (8-2) as Minnesota hosts a Thanksgiving game for the 1st time in its history. Thursday’s kick at US Bank Stadium is 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Patriots vs. Vikings and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Both teams are coming off unusual games that made history.

The Patriots and Jets didn’t score an offensive touchdown and it took an 84-yard punt return touchdown by rookie Marcus Jones with 5 seconds left to give the Patriots an improbable 10-3 win over New York.

On the flip side, the Vikings suffered their worst home defeat in 60 years in a 40-3 humbling by the Dallas Cowboys that has Minnesota’s postseason stock sinking like a rock despite an 8-2 record and the current No. 2 playoff seed in the NFC.

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Patriots at Vikings odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:27 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Vikings -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +3 (-117) | Vikings -3 (-103)
Over/Under (O/U): 42 (O: -111 | U: -109)

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Patriots at Vikings key injuries

Patriots

C David Andrews (thigh) questionable
WR DeVante Parker (knee) questionable
G Isaiah Wynn (foot) out

Vikings

CB Andrew Booth Jr. (knee) out
OT Christian Darrisaw (concussion) out
DT Dalvin Tomlinson (calf) questionable

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Patriots at Vikings picks and predictions

Prediction

Vikings 23, Patriots 17

Moneyline

PASS

The only way this bet makes sense is if you believe the Patriots will win. I do not, so I’ll look for better return on Minnesota laying a field goal.

Against the spread

VIKING -3 (103)

The Vikings have specialized in finding ways to win close games and this game has all the looks of falling into that category.

The Patriots offense doesn’t have game-breaking stars, but a collection of role players who do their job at a high level. Minnesota has more star talent on both sides of the ball capable of making the big play that tilts a game in their favor.

Both teams saw their offenses exposed last week so one or both needs to prove that last week was an outlier and not what to expect moving forward.

Over/Under

UNDER 42 (-109)

This bet is a combination of a couple of things. The Patriots have allowed 17 or fewer points in 5 of their last 6 games. Their defense has remained strong despite an offense that runs hot and cold.

The Vikings have been in many more high-scoring games, but the Patriots will force their secondary players to do more because a specialty of Bill Belichick is to take away a team’s most dynamic offense player, which for the Vikings is wide receiver Justin Jefferson.

The loss of Darrisaw will hurt Minnesota’s offense, but the Patriots will be without Wynn and possibly Andrews on their O-line, which should play to the advantage of defenses. It may take a defensive or special teams touchdown to go Over so take the Under 42 (-109).

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New York Jets at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Jets at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Jets (6-3) visit a familiar foe in the AFC East rival New England Patriots (5-4) Sunday. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Jets vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Both teams are coming off byes.

The Jets’ last game was a huge 20-17 divisional win as 11-point home underdogs vs. the Bills Nov. 6. The defense picked off Josh Allen — once the MVP favorite — twice. With what is arguably one of the top-cornerback duos in the league in rookie Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner and D.J. Reed, the Jets defense has been playing phenomenally. The offensive attack was well balanced against the Bills with QB Zach Wilson throwing for 154 yards and 1 TD and RB Michael Carter rushing for 76 yards and 1 TD.

The Patriots’ last game was a 26-3 blowout of the Colts as 5-point home favorites Nov. 6. The defense played great and the offense did just enough. With 1 touchdown on offense, a pick 6 on defense and 4 Nick Folk field goals, the Patriots were able to do enough to beat a solid Colts defense. What worried many Patriots fans after the game was the inability of the offense to score touchdowns, but they are forgetting that the Colts have a great defense despite their 4-5-1 record — they rank 4th in least amount of yards per game allowed with 307.0.

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Jets at Patriots odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:44 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Jets +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Patriots -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jets +3.5 (-117) | Patriots -3.5 (-103)
Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Jets at Patriots key injuries

Jets

WR Corey Davis (knee) out
RB Breece Hall (knee) out — injured reserve
OL Nate Herbig (shin) questionable
DL Sheldon Rankins (elbow) out

Patriots

P Jake Bailey (back) out — IR
DL Christian Barmore (knee) out — IR
LB Anfernee Jennings (shoulder) questionable
WR DeVante Parker (knee) questionable

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Jets at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 17, Jets 14

Moneyline

BET PATRIOTS (-180).

The Jets are the hotter and better team, but they won’t get the win here. The Patriots have won 13 in a row vs. the Jets and expect them to make it 14 straight, while making the AFC East Divisional race even more interesting.

Neither team is great, but both are very solid. This game will come down to which second-year QB makes the bigger mistake, which will be the Jets’ Wilson.

Against the spread

LEAN JETS +3.5 (-117).

The Jets have been too good and too hot to not expect them to cover the spread. There is a very real chance the Jets outright win this game, but I’m predicting New York loses at most by field goal. Wilson is prone to making mistakes and the Jets will need to lean on the run game. If they can get a little bit from the pass game and a lot from the run game, they’ll be OK in this one.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 38.5 (-112).

These two defenses are too good for me to advise you to bet the Over. The Jets corners will force Patriots QB Mac Jones to make mistakes and it will not be easy for the Pats to get those big chunk plays down the field.

Expect this to be a slow, defensive, slog of a game that will come down to the end. This will not be a high-scoring contest and both of these teams are coming off a bye week and will be well rested.

Want action on this NFL game or any other matchups? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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