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New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New England Patriots (2-5) visit the Miami Dolphins (5-2) Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Patriots vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

New England pulled off a stunner last week, winning 29-25 as an 8.5-point road underdog at the Buffalo Bills. The win snapped a 3-game skid, which included a 21-17 loss at a mediocre Las Vegas Raiders team in Week 6. The Patriots only scored 6 points in the first 2 losses of the slide — 34-0 at home to the New Orleans Saints in Week 5 and 38-3 at the Dallas Cowboys in Week 4.

Miami is coming off a 31-17 loss at the Philadelphia Eagles. In what some were calling a Super Bowl LVIII preview, the Dolphins came up short as 3-point dogs. Trailing 24-17 in the 4th quarter, QB Tua Tagovailoa drove Miami to the Philly 24-yard line with 11:33 to go before getting picked off at the 1-yard line. The Eagles followed with a 13-play TD drive to seal it.

The Patriots and Dolphins met in Week 2 with Miami prevailing 24-17 in Foxborough. The Dolphins scored the first 10 points, led 17-3 at the half and held on for the win as a 1-point favorite with the Under (46) cashing.

Miami RB Raheem Mostert finished with 121 rushing yards and 2 TDs on 18 carries, while QB Tua Tagovailoa threw for 249 yards with a TD and a pick. The defense held New England to 88 rushing yards — RB Rhamondre Stevenson was the Patriots lead back (50 yards, 1 TD on 15 carries).

Mostert (ankle) is listed as questionable on Miami’s final injury report but is expected to play, while All-Pro CB Jalen Ramsey (knee) was activated off IR Saturday and is likely to play as long everything goes well in pregame workouts.

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Patriots at Dolphins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:08 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Dolphins -460 (bet $460 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +8.5 (-105) | Dolphins -8.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Patriots at Dolphins key injuries

Patriots

OL Calvin Anderson (illness) out
DL Christian Barmore (knee) questionable
OL Trent Brown (ankle/knee) questionable
DB Jonathan Jones (knee) questionable
OL Vederian Lowe (ankle) out
DL Deatrich Wise Jr. (shoulder) questionable

Dolphins

S Jevon Holland (concussion) out
CB Xavien Howard (groin) questionable
RB Raheem Mostert (ankle) questionable
CB Jalen Ramsey (knee) questionable
CB Cam Smith (foot) questionable

Patriots at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 35, Patriots 20

Moneyline

PASS.

Miami (-460) will win this game, but there’s no value in risking 4.6 times the potential profit. Focus on the spread and the Over/Under options below.

Against the spread

MIAMI -8.5 (-115) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

The Dolphins are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings with a 5-1 straight-up showing. Plus, Tagovailoa is 5-0 in his career against the Patriots and coach Bill Belichick.

For the season, Miami is 5-2 ATS overall and 3-0 ATS at home; New England is 2-5 ATS and 1-2 ATS on the road.

Excluding the upset victory vs. the Bills last week, the Patriots haven’t shown enough to make me believe they finally beat Tagovailoa and end the 0-6 ATS streak vs. the Dolphins

Over/Under

BET OVER 46.5 (-115).

Miami leads the NFL in scoring (34.3 points per game) and offensive yards per game (462.3). So, it’s no surprise the Dolphins lead the league in passing (300.0 YPG) and rushing (162.3 YPG).

New England’s defense ranks 24th in points allowed (25.3 PPG), while it’s middle of the pack in yards allowed — 100.7 rushing YPG (13th) and 210.6 passing YPG (12th).

Meanwhile, Miami’s defense is 27th in points allowed (26.7 PPG) and 20th in yards allowed (345.3).

Points shouldn’t be an issue Sunday.

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Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Buffalo Bills (4-2) visit the New England Patriots (1-5) on Sunday. Kick from Gillette Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bills vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Bills skidded past the Giants 14-9 last week on Sunday Night Football while failing to cover as 15-point home favorites. QB Josh Allen went 19 of 30 for 169 yards with 2 touchdowns and an interception. His top receiver was WR Stefon Diggs who hauled in 10 receptions for 100 yards while being targeted 16 times. No other Bills receiver had more than 2 receptions and only 2 other receivers had more than a single target.

Last week, the Patriots fell 21-17 to the Raiders while failing to cover as 3-point road underdogs. QB Mac Jones went 24 of 33 for 200 yards and an interception in the loss. Both New England TDs came on the ground with RB Rhamondre Stevenson and RB Ezekiel Elliot each finding the endzone.

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Bills at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:58 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bills -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | Patriots +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
Against the spread (ATS): Bills -7.5 (-110) | Patriots +7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 40 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Patriots key injuries

Bills

CB Kaiir Elam (ankle) questionable
RB Damien Harris (concussion) out
DT Ed Oliver (toe) out

Patriots

C David Andrews (ankle) available
T Trent Brown (chest) available
S Kyle Dugger (foot) questionable
DT Davon Godchaux (ankle) questionable
TE Hunter Henry (ankle) questionable
CB Jonathan Jones (knee) questionable
G Mike Onwenu (ankle) questionable
T Riley Reiff (knee) out
WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (concussion) questionable
G Cole Strange (knee) questionable
LB Josh Uche (knee, foot) out

Bills at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 27, Patriots 10

Moneyline

PASS.

The Bills are so much better than the Patriots that the outcome of the game shouldn’t be a consideration. However, at -375, the Bills aren’t worth a play. Don’t put them in your moneyline parlays either.

Against the spread

BET BILLS -7.5 (-110).

The Bills have been favored in all 6 games so far this season, and they are 0-2 against the spread (ATS) when a double-digit favorite. But, when they are a favorite of 3-9.5, they are 3-1 ATS. The Bills offense scored 38, 37, and 48 in back-to-back weeks before going for 20 in Week 5 and 14 in Week 6. This offense should bounce back.

The opposite can be said of the Pats, who have scored 20 points over the last 3 weeks. There’s no reason to have confidence they can get going here. They are 1-5 ATS and 0-4 ATS as an underdog.

Back BILLS -7.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 40 (-110).

The Pats have gone Under in 5 straight games and have scored more than 17 just once this season. They have gone Under in 2 games in which they allowed 34 or more points, so even if the Bills offense bounces back, the total may not top 40.

The Bills are 2-4 O/U and have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games. They have had a total of Under 45 or lower in 3 games, all of which went Under. Take UNDER 40 (-110).

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New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New England Patriots (1-4) will face the Las Vegas Raiders (2-3) in Week 6 Sunday at Allegiant Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Patriots vs. Raiders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots were defeated 34-0 by the New Orleans Saints as 1.5-point home favorites in Week 5, and the Under of 39 hit. New England has been outscored 72-3 in its last 2 games.

The Raiders covered as 2-point home favorites in their 17-13 victory over the Green Bay Packers in Week 5 where the Under of 44.5 connected. Las Vegas snapped a 3-game losing streak with its win over Green Bay.

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Patriots at Raiders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sautrday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Raiders -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +3 (-115) | Raiders -3 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Raiders key injuries

Patriots

DT Christian Barmore (knee) questionable
OT Trent Brown (chest) questionable
S Kyle Dugger (foot) questionable
DT Gavon Godchaux (ankle) questionable
CB Jonathan Jones (ankle) questionable
LB Matt Judon (elbow) out
G Mike Onwenu (ankle) questionable
OT Riley Reiff (knee) out
WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (concussion) out
G Cole Strange (knee) out

Raiders

CB Jakorian Bennett (shoulder) questionable
OT Justin Herron (concussion) out
CB Nate Hobbs (ankle) out

Patriots at Raiders picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 20, Raiders 17

Moneyline

It has been a complete mess for New England in recent weeks, but I’ll back the PATRIOTS (+125) on the road against the Raiders. Coach Bill Belichick is going up against one of his former assistants in coach Josh McDaniels, and he’ll want to quiet the noise with everyone criticizing him amid recent blowout defeats.

The Patriots have been better on the road this season, producing a 1-1 record as the visitors compared to a 0-3 record at home.

Against the spread

Considering that I have New England winning outright, PATRIOTS +3 (-115) is the ideal bet on the spread in this matchup. The Patriots have been ravaged by injuries on defense, but Belichick can still scheme up a defense that can force QB Jimmy Garoppolo into making mistakes.

The Raiders are allowing an EPA per play of 0.058 (27th in the NFL) on the defensive side of the ball, so QB Mac Jones and the Patriots could see better results on offense this week. Garoppolo also leads the NFL with 7 interceptions thrown.

Over/Under

UNDER 41.5 (-110) is how I’d wager on the total with both offenses in this game being inconsistent units. The Patriots are averaging a league-worst 11 points per game, while the Raiders are logging only 15.8 points per game (29th in the NFL).

Both of these teams are also 1-4 to the Over in the first 5 weeks of the season.

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New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New Orleans Saints (2-2) visit the New England Patriots (1-3) on Sunday. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Saints vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Last week, the Saints fell 26-9 to the Buccaneers failing to cover as 4.5-point home favorites. QB Derek Carr went 23-for-37 for 127 yards in a dismal offense performance. New Orleans’ defense struggled to maintain Bucs’ QB Baker Mayfield, who threw for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns while only being sacked 1 time.

New England had similar offensive difficulties in its 38-3 loss to Dallas as it failed to cover as a 6-point road underdog. QB Mac Jones went 12-for-21 for just 150 yards and 2 interceptions in the loss. The Patriots had only 53 yards on the ground with leading rusher RB Rhamondre Stevenson carrying the ball 14 times for 30 yards.

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Saints at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Saints -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Patriots -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Saints +1 (-115) | Patriots -1 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 39 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Saints at Patriots key injuries

Saints

CB Paulson Adebo (hamstring) questionable
QB Derek Carr (shoulder) questionable
G James Hurst (ankle) questionable
S Lonnie Johnson (hamstring) out
TE Juwan Johnson (calf) out
G Andrus Peat (concussion) questionable
T Landon Young (hip) out

Patriots

DT Christian Barmore (knee) questionable
T Trent Brown (chest) questionable
LB Trey Flowers (foot) questionable
DT Davon Godchaux (ankle) questionable
CB Christian Gonzalez (shoulder) out
CB Jonathan Jones (ankle) questionable
LB Matt Judon (elbow) out
OT Riley Reiff (knee) questionable
RB Rhamondre Stevenson (thigh) questionable
G Cole Strange (knee) questionable
CB Shaun Wade (shoulder) questionable

Saints at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Saints 16, Patriots 13

Moneyline

BET SAINTS -110.

While the odds are pretty similar between the moneyline and spread, there is more profit to be made on a moneyline bet for New Orleans in this game. Even though Carr is dealing with a lingering shoulder injury, the Saints’ offense has looked more put together as opposed that of Jones and the Pats.

The Patriots have struggled mightily this season, unable to stimulate a lot of offense including scoring just 13 combined points in the last 2 weeks. While the game may be close, expect the Saints to prevail.

Against the spread

PASS.

There is more profit to be made on a moneyline play for the Saints.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 39 (-110).

With 2 defensive-minded coaches and 2 offenses that have had their struggles putting points on the board, expect points to come at a premium in this matchup. The starting QBs, Carr and Jones, have combined for just 7 TDs this season and 6 interceptions. Unless either team far exceeds expectations, the Under is the reasonable play.

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First look: New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The New Orleans Saints (2-2) and New England Patriots (1-3) meet Sunday in a Week 5 contest in Foxboro. Kickoff at Gillette Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we look at Saints vs. Patriots odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Also see: SportsbookWire’s NFL picks and predictions.

New Orleans started its season 2-0, but the Saints have now lost 2 in a row. The 2nd of those losses came Sunday with New Orleans getting upset 26-9 at home as a 4.5-point favorite against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Patriots were shelled 38-3 by the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday as a 6-point underdog. The 35-point loss marked New England’s worst since a 45-7 loss at the New York Jets on Sept. 26, 1993.

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Saints at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:24 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Saints +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Patriots -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Saints +1.5 (-110) | Patriots -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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2023 betting stats

ML: Saints 2-2 | Patriots 1-3
ATS: Saints 0-3-1 | Patriots 1-3
O/U: Saints 0-4 | Patriots 1-3

Saints vs. Patriots head-to-head

New England has won 5 of the last 7 meetings and leads the all-time series 10-5. Since 2009, the Pats and Saints have played 4 games. Those contests have made for an ATS split, 2 Overs and 2 Unders.

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New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New England Patriots (1-2) will travel South to face the Dallas Cowboys (2-1) in Week 4 Sunday at AT&T Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Patriots vs. Cowboys odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots covered the 2.5-point spread as road favorites in their 15-10 victory against the New York Jets in Week 3. The Under of 35.5 also hit in a game where QB Mac Jones and QB Zach Wilson combined for only 358 passing yards.

It was a surprising loss for the Cowboys in Week 3, failing to cover as 11-point road favorites in their 28-16 loss to the Arizona Cardinals. The Over of 43.5 cleared with the Cardinals doing most of the heavy lifting themselves.

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Patriots at Cowboys odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Cowboys -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +6.5 (-115) | Cowboys -6.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Cowboys key injuries

Patriots

DT Christian Barmore (knee) questionable
DT Davon Godchaux (ankle) questionable
CB Jonathan Jones (ankle) questionable
G Cole Strange (knee) questionable

Cowboys

C Tyler Biadasz (hamstring) questionable
G Zach Martin (ankle) questionable
OT Tyron Smith (knee) questionable

Patriots at Cowboys picks and predictions

Prediction

Cowboys 24, Patriots 20

Moneyline

Vegas seems to believe the Cowboys are in a perfect bounce-back spot at home against the Patriots in Week 4. Despite that being the case, I’ll PASS on the moneyline in this game for either team.

Against the spread

With the Patriots now having a watchable offense under new offensive coordinator Bill O’Brien, taking the PATRIOTS +6.5 (-115) to cover the spread is a wise choice. New England played the Miami Dolphins and the Philadelphia Eagles competitively before beating New York in Week 3.

In the 5 meetings the Patriots and Cowboys have had since 2007, New England has either won or kept the game within 7 points. That includes a 35-29 overtime loss to the Cowboys in 2021.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 43.5 (-110).

While the Cowboys are dealing with injuries along their offensive line, the Patriots are banged up in the interior of their defensive line. After losing to the Cardinals, RB Tony Pollard will be even more involved on the ground and should have more success.

Meanwhile, the loss of CB Trevon Diggs for the season hurts the Cowboys tremendously, allowing the Patriots to sustain more drives through the air. We saw Arizona put up 28 points on Dallas’ defense and the Cowboys are 2-1 to the Over to begin the season.

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New England Patriots at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Patriots at Jets odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New England Patriots (0-2) meet the New York Jets (1-1) on Sunday afternoon at MetLife Stadium. The AFC East rivals kick off the Week 3 game at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Patriots vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots are coming off a hard-fought 24-17 home loss last week against the Miami Dolphins as 2-point underdogs. The Patriots’ defense made significant halftime adjustments to hold the formidable Miami offense to only 1 score in the 2nd half. New England will look to keep that defensive momentum going, as they prepare to keep Jets QB Zach Wilson guessing.

New York is coming off an embarrassing 30-10 loss to the Cowboys as 8-point underdogs. The Jets defensive front led by Quinnen Williams will need to be felt by Patriots QB Mac Jones all afternoon. Jones looks to rebound after an up-and-down against Miami, where he threw for 231 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT.

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Patriots at Jets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:26 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Jets +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots -2.5 (-120) | Jets +2.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 36.0 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Jets key injuries

Patriots

G Michael Onwenu (ankle) questionable
G Cole Strange (knee) questionable

Jets

K Greg Zuerlein (groin) questionable
DL John Franklin-Myers (hip) questionable
T Duane Brown (shoulder/hip) questionable

Patriots at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 17, Jets 16

Moneyline

Although New England has beaten the Jets 14 games in a row and won 24 of the last 26 meeting between these AFC East rivals, these are obviously very different teams than in past years. Through 2 games, Jones leads the league in pass attempts, which won’t bode well for New England against this Jets defense. However Bill Belichick will be sure to mix in his back of tricks to keep the young offensive line of New York on their toes.

LEAN NEW ENGLAND (-150).

Against the spread

New York’s lackluster offense simply can’t be trusted here. At the same time, they do have various matchups they can take advantage of here. Aside from getting RB Breece Hall more touches, look for the Jets to get the ball to WR Garrett Wilson in space as much as possible. Meanwhile, the Jets CBs on the outside should prove to be a huge issue for the Patriots wideouts.

STAY AWAY.

Over/Under

The weather forecast calls for rain all day in East Rutherford, N.J. Look for this to be a tight defensive matchup, and with the Jets hitting the Under in 13 of their last 17, the UNDER 36 (-110) has to be play the play here.

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Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Week 2 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Miami Dolphins (1-0) travel to meet the New England Patriots (0-1) for Sunday Night Football at Gillette Stadium. Kickoff for the Week 2 matchup is 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dolphins vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa fired out of the chute last week in Miami’s 36-34 win over the Los Angeles Chargers, as he passed for 466 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT. WR Tyreek Hill went bonkers with 11 grabs for 215 yards and 2 TDs on 15 targets. The Fins were able to roll up 536 total yards of offense in the road victory.

The Patriots weren’t as fortunate, falling 25-20 at home against the visiting Philadelphia Eagles as 3.5-point underdogs. New England showed some fight as it slipped behind 16-0 after the 1st Quarter, outscoring Philly 14-0 in the 2nd Quarter to make things interesting. The 2nd Half went in favor of the defending NFC champs, however.

The home team won both matchups last season, with the Pats squeaking out a 23-21 win in Foxborough on New Year’s Day. Miami has won 4 of the past 5 meetings and has gone 5-0 against the spread (ATS) during the 5-game run. The Under has outpaced the Over 4-2 in the past 6 in the series.

As far as the weather is concerned, Hurricane Lee dealt a glancing blow to the New England area in the early part of the weekend. The weather pulled out of the area Saturday, and it should be partly cloudy with just a slight breeze and temperatures in the upper 60s for kickoff.

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Dolphins at Patriots odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dolphins -154 (bet $154 to win $100) | Patriots +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins -2.5 (-120) | Patriots +2.5 (-102)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dolphins at Patriots key injuries

Dolphins

OL Terron Armstead (ankle, back, knee) questionable
S Elijah Campbell (knee) questionable
LB Jaelan Phillips (back) questionable

Patriots

C David Andrews (hamstring) questionable
OL Trent Brown (concussion) questionable
DB Jonathan Jones (ankle) questionable
OL Mike Onwenu (ankle) questionable
WR DeVante Parker (knee) questionable
OL Sidy Sow (concussion) questionable
OL Cole Strange (knee) questionable

Dolphins at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 25, Dolphins 23

Moneyline

The PATRIOTS (+130) are a solid play as short ‘dogs at home. It seems that everybody and their mother is picking the Dolphins to win this game, and it’s generally a good rule of thumb never to side with the public, especially when the percentage of wagers one way is rather decisive.

However, it’s more than just the public side. Head coach Bill Belichick will do everything in his power to throw a blanket on Hill, challenging the Dolphins pass game to beat his team. Fortunately for Miami, it has WR Jaylen Waddle, who should see an uptick in targets and production as a result. Hill certainly won’t get blanked, but he won’t go off like last week, either.

Against the spread

PATRIOTS +2.5 (-102) is the lean, although they’re a much more attractive play straight up on the moneyline.

You’re going against the public in siding with the home side, and you’re going against a 5-0 ATS trend in favor of the Dolphins in the past 5 meetings. However, I like New England at home and Belichick is certain to have his defense swarming against Miami’s air raid attack.

Over/Under

OVER 46.5 (-110) is the lean, but go lightly.

The Dolphins and Chargers combined for 70 points in Los Angeles and New England cashed the Over (43.5) against Philadelphia on its home field in Week 1. Weather won’t be a factor, so look for the passing game to be somewhat effective on both sides.

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Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots Week 1 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Philadelphia Eagles and the New England Patriots open their 2023 NFL regular seasons at the Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass., on Sunday. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Eagles vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The defending NFC champion Eagles went 5-0 straight-up (SU) against the AFC in the 2022 regular season, while ending up 3-2 against the spread (ATS) in those outings. Of course, Philly lost and failed to cover in the Super Bowl vs. the Kansas City Chiefs, too.

The Patriots went 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS in 5 games against the NFC last season, while the Over held a 3-2 edge in those outings.

QB Mac Jones reportedly had a good training camp and preseason, and he’ll match up against another player who spent time at the University of Alabama, QB Jalen Hurts. The two were teammates from 2017-19 in Tuscaloosa.

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Eagles at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Eagles -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Patriots +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Eagles -4 (-110) | Patriots +4 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Eagles at Patriots key injuries

Eagles

No major injuries

Patriots

CB Jack Jones (hamstring) out
OG Mike Onwenu (ankle) questionable
WR DeVante Parker (knee) questionable
RB Rhamondre Stevenson (illness) questionable
OG Cole Strange (knee) questionable

Eagles at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Eagles 29, Patriots 15

Moneyline

The Eagles (-190) are a little on the expensive side for a singular bet. If you were to take Philadelphia as part of a multi-team parlay, it isn’t a bad idea to include it. However, just straight up, PASS, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

The EAGLES -4 (-110) are a popular play, and they’re worth playing even if the line were to go to -4.5 before kickoff.

The Patriots +4 (-110) might be without the downfield threat Parker, and Stevenson was a late addition to the injury report due to a stomach bug. He is expected to play, but perhaps new addition RB Ezekiel Elliott could see a few more touches.

Parker appears to be more in danger of sitting with his ailment. That would leave WRs Kendrick Bourne and JuJu Schuster-Smith to start, with rookie WRs Kayshon Boutte and Demario Douglas as the other options. In other words, that’s news for the Philly D.

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Over/Under

UNDER 44.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

Again, Stevenson might be gutting it out while under the weather, the receiving corps for the Patriots is shabby, and New England could struggle to score points. The Pats D is solid, and it could limit the Eagles somewhat. Toss in the fact that thunderstorms are in the forecast, with a 60% chance of precipitation through at least the 1st half, and it could be a sloppy, wet track, too.

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New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New England Patriots (1-1) visit the Tennessee Titans (1-1) Friday in the final week of the NFL preseason. Kickoff from Nassan Stadium is at 8:15 p.m. ET (NFL Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Patriots vs. Titans odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

New England picked up a 21-17 victory over the Green Bay Packers in an abbreviated preseason game on Saturday. The game ended with 10:29 remaining in the 4th quarter as Patriots CB Isaiah Bolden was carted off with an apparent head injury following a collision with a teammate. Bolden remained in the hospital overnight and was released Sunday morning; the team canceled joint practices with the Titans this week and headed home to regroup.

QB Mac Jones made his preseason debut, completing 6-of-9 passes for 52 yards. Newly acquired RB Ezekiel Elliott did not appear in the game; RB Rhamondre Stevenson ran with the starters, picking up 27 yards and a TD on 4 carries.

Tennessee also recorded a victory in its 2nd preseason game, knocking off the Minnesota Vikings 24-16 Saturday. QB Malik Willis played the complete game, connecting of 10-of-17 passes for 85 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT and adding 91 rushing yards on 11 carries. Rookie RB Tajae Spears finished with 57 yards on 7 carries while RB Julius Chestnut paced the backfield with 98 yards on 13 carries. Starters rested on both sides of the ball for both teams.

Patriots at Titans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Titans +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots -2 (-110) | Titans +2 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Titans picks and predictions

Prediction

Titans 20, Patriots 17

Moneyline

The Packers moved the ball efficiently on the ground against the Patriots in the 2nd week of the preseason, recording 119 yards and a TD on 29 carries. RBs Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon and Emanuel Wilson helped move the sticks comfortably.

The Titans’ primary offense focus is the ground game. Tennessee had 40 carries as a team last week, with Chestnut, Willis and Spears all averaging over 7 yards per carry. If the Titans prioritize the run as they did against the Vikings they should find success against the Patriots reserves.

New England is also likely to feature plenty of QBs Trace McSorley and Malik Cunningham. Either by design, or by the shortened game, neither played in the 2nd week of the preseason. However, neither looked particularly impressive in the preseason opener and could lead to stalled drives for the Patriots.

Given the unknowns of the preseason and the value that can be found with the home side, go with a PARTIAL UNIT PLAY ON TENNESSEE (+115).

Against the spread

There’s no need to get cute here with such a tight spread. The better value is with the underdog on the moneyline, and anything short of 3 and a hook worth of insurance isn’t worth any action. Focus on the moneyline and/or total instead.

PASS.

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Over/Under

I anticipate a slow game considering Tennessee’s penchant for running the ball and the likelihood of both sides struggling to be efficient in the passing game. A few turnovers should be in store on Friday, and that should be enough to keep this one UNDER 38.5 (-110).

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