Pittsburgh Pirates odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-62) and San Diego Padres (67-53) conclude a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 5-0; won 2-1 Monday and 3-0 Tuesday

Pittsburgh has lost 11 times in their last 12 games after Tuesday’s shutout. It was the Pirates 5th consecutive loss to San Diego and they have been outscored 27-15. LF Bryan Reynolds was the only Pirate to have more than 1 hit.

Padres starter Michael King struck out 10 over 6 shutout innings. San Diego got a solo HR from LF David Peralta and 2 RBI from 3B Manny Machado. The Padres have won 9 of their last 10 games and try to sweep the Pirates for the 2nd time in August.

Pirates at Padres projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. LHP Martin Perez

Keller (10-6, 3.56 ERA) makes his 24th career start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 136 1/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 9-5 loss at the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday
2024 road splits: 5-4, 4.59 ERA (66 2/3 IP, 37 R (34 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 12 starts
Career vs. Padres: 2-2, 3.86 (21 IP, 9 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 4 starts

Perez (2-5, 4.78 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 96 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 6-2 win at the Miami Marlins Friday
2024 home splits: 1-2, 3.93 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 25 R (23 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 10 starts
Career vs. Pirates: 2-1, 4.00 (18 IP, 8 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 4.0 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Padres odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:44 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +118 (bet $100 to win $118) | Padres -138 (bet $138 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Pirates +1.5 (-188) | Padres -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Pirates 5

Moneyline

BET PADRES (-138).

All the momentum is with the Padres right now and I’m going to ride that on Wednesday afternoon. These are 2 teams going in opposite directions.

It seems like the wheels are coming off after the All-Star break for the Pirates; they are 8-15 since. The team’s ERA has jumped nearly 50 points. I do like Keller better than Perez in this matchup, but it’s hard to trust Pittsburgh’s lineup at this point.

San Diego is batting .284 as a team and their team ERA has dropped over a full point since the All-Star break. It’s hard to ignore that kind of improvement.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I don’t trust Perez enough to take the run line with the better odds, which is why I’ll stick with the moneyline.

Over/Under

PASS.

My lean would be to the Over because of this pitching matchup but the trends are just not giving me a good feeling. They’ve been Under in the 1st 2 games in this series, but they went over in 2 of their 3 games in their last series just a week ago. Both teams are 5-5 against the Over in their last 10 games as well. I’m just going to stay away from this bet.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (38-41) and Cincinnati Reds (37-42) conclude their 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 3-2

The Pirates bounced back after a tough 11-5 loss Monday to beat the Reds 9-5 Tuesday as +116 underdogs. LF Bryan Reynolds was the star offensively for Pittsburgh, extending the majors’ longest active hitting streak to 22 games after going 2-for-5 with a 2-run blast and 2 runs. 3B Jared Triolo also had a 2-run home run, while 2B Nick Gonzales went 3-for-4.

Reds ace Hunter Greene had his 5-game win streak snapped Tuesday, allowing 6 earned runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in 4 innings. Cincinnati received multi-hit performances from 2B Jonathan India, SS Elly De La Cruz and 1B Spencer Steer in the loss. The Reds are 0-3-1 in their last 4 series, so a win Wednesday would be a nice boost.

Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP Luis L. Ortiz vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Ortiz (3-2, 3.45 ERA) makes his 1st start and 22nd appearance. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 47 innings.

Last appearance: No-decision, 4 IP in relief, 6 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 10-3 loss at Tampa Bay Ray Friday
2024 road splits: 2-1, 2.70 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 11 relief appearances
Career vs. Reds: 0-0, 2.89 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 5 BB, 10 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

Ashcraft (4-3, 5.05 ERA) will make his 13th start, following a 3-week demotion to the minors. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 62 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 12-7 loss at Colorado Rockies June 5
2024 home splits: 3-1, 7.71 ERA (21 IP, 18 ER), 1.71 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 4 starts
Career vs. Pirates: 1-0, 2.89 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +106 (bet $100 to win $106) | Reds -124 (bet $124 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+158) | Reds +1.5 (-192)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 7, Reds 6

Moneyline.

PASS.

However, if you must, the LEAN is with Pittsburgh (+106) mostly because of the plus odds. Both of these teams are playing very mediocre baseball. Neither team really stands out one way or the other. The Pirates are 5-5 in their last 10 games, while the Reds are 3-7.

Pittsburgh is starting a reliever in Ortiz on a getaway day and Cincinnati is putting Ashcraft back in the rotation after he was demoted a few weeks ago. I’m personally STAYING AWAY.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I don’t like the either team’s run line for the same reasons listed above. This one is tough to handicap for so many factors. The Pirates are 2 games under .500 on the road at 19-21; the Reds are 2 games under .500 at home at 20-22. There are just no trends to lean into with this game. AVOID.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (-114).

I love the total in this game for several reasons. Both starting pitchers struggled big time in their last outings. The first 2 games of this series have easily cashed Over tickets. Plus, the Over is 4-1 in Ashcraft’s last 5 starts.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (9-3) and Philadelphia Phillies (6-6) open a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Tied 3-3 last season

The Pirates had a 3-game win streak snapped Tuesday with a 5-3 home loss to Detroit. Pittsburgh’s closer RHP David Bednar blew his 3rd save opportunity in 4 tries, allowing 4 runs on 3 hits and a walk in the 9th. The Pirates are 6-1 on the road this season.

Philadelphia won the rubber match of their series in St Louis Wednesday 4-3. C J.T. Realmuto led the way offensively with 2 hits and 2 runs while RHP Aaron Nola pitched 6 innings of 2-run ball. The Phillies have dropped 4 of their 6 games at Citizens Bank Park this season.

Pirates at Phillies projected starters

RHP Jared Jones vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

The rookie Jones (1-1, 3.86 ERA) makes the 3rd start of his career. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 13.1 K/9 in 11 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 5-2 home loss to Baltimore Orioles Friday
First appearance vs. Phillies

Suarez (1-0, 4.09 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.73 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 11 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in a 5-2 victory at Washington Nationals Saturday
Career vs. Pirates: 2-0, 2.25 ERA (24 IP, 6 ER), 0.92 WHIP in 3 starts and 3 relief appearances
Last start vs. Pirates: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 4 K in Bucs’ 7-6 home victory Sept. 27, 2023

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Pirates at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Phillies -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-155) | Phillies -1.5 (+125)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Pirates at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Phillies 2

Moneyline

BET PIRATES (+125).

I’m all in on the Pirates Thursday. Pittsburgh has won 6 of their 7 games away from PNC Park this season. They have also owned southpaws, batting .284 with a perfect 5-0 record against lefties.

On the other side, the Phillies have struggled against right handers, batting just .208 on the season. They’ll have their work cut out for them against the 22-year-old Jones, who has 17 strikeouts in less than 11 2/3 innings.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m going to focus my bet on the moneyline because of the value in the +125 odds. They’re just too juicy to pass up.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Pirates will get their runs against the lefty Suarez, but this bet is more about the Phillies not being able to hit right handers. It’s almost astonishing that a lineup as talented as Philadelphia can’t get its act together when it comes to hitting righties.

The Under is 2-1 in the last 3 head-to-head meetings between these 2 clubs. The Phillies have been Under in 7 straight games, while Pittsburgh has been Under in 2 of its last 3.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates and Miami Marlins open their seasons with the 1st game of a 4-game set Thursday. First pitch from loanDepot park is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Marlins won 5-2 last season

The Pirates finished 2023 with a record of 76-86, a 14-game improvement from 2022 and their best finish since 2018. There’s excitement in Pittsburgh around the return of SS Oneil Cruz to the lineup after missing almost all of 2023. They bolstered their rotation with the addition of veteran left-handers Martin Perez and Marco Gonzales.

BetMGM Sportsbook has their win total Over/Under set at 75.5, which will be a challenge in their division.

The Marlins behind new manager Skip Schumaker surprised the baseball world by finishing over .500 for the 1st time in 13 seasons in 2023. That led to Skip winning the 2023 NL Manager of the Year. Miami made the playoffs as a Wild Card team but lost to the Philadelphia Phillies.

BetMGM Sportsbook has their win total Over/Under set at 77.5, which begs the question: Can the Marlins take another step forward in 2024?

Pirates at Marlins projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. LHP Jesus Luzardo

Keller (13-9, 4.21 ERA) made 32 starts in 2023. He had a 1.25 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 194 1/3 innings.

2023 road stats: 6-6, 5.35 ERA (104 1/3 IP, 62 ER), .275 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 18 starts
2023 vs. Marlins: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 6-4 road loss June 22, 2023
Career vs. Marlins: 1-0, 2.66 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 7 ER) in 5 starts

Luzardo (10-10, 3.58 ERA) made 32 starts in 2023. He had a 1.22 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 178 2/3 innings.

2023 home stats: 5-4, 2.99 ERA (108 1/3 IP, 36 ER) in 19 starts
Career vs. Pirates: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 1 start, a 3-1 home loss June 23, 2023

Pirates at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Marlins -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-190) | Marlins -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pirates at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 4, Pirates 2

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Marlins (-135) to win on Opening Day, but I’d rather take the plus odds on the run line than eat the -135 juice on the moneyline.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARLINS -1.5 (+155).

Luzardo owned the Pirates in his 1st outing against them last season, striking out 9 over 7 innings of work. Pittsburgh struggled against left-handed pitchers in 2023, batting just .243 as a team.

Miami was a really good team at home last season, finishing 11 games over .500 at loanDepot park.

Keller was also was far better at home than he was on the road.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

These teams have gone under the total in 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matchups.

The Marlins finished 75-81-5 to the Over last season. That is due in large part to their stadium size. Only 167 home runs were hit at loanDepot park in 2023, the 5th-fewest in MLB.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (70-80) open a 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs (78-72) on Tuesday at Wrigley Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cubs lead 9-1

The Pirates defeated the New York Yankees 3-2 Sunday to snap a 2-game losing streak. Pittsburgh is 5-5 in its last 10 games and is 8 games back of Chicago for the final NL Wild Card spot with 12 games remaining.

The Cubs lost to the Arizona Diamondbacks 6-2 on Sunday, handing them their 5th consecutive loss. Chicago is currently tied with the Cincinnati Reds for the final NL Wild Card spot and is 6 games back of the NL Central-leading Milwaukee Brewers in the division.

Pirates at Cubs projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Javier Assad

The Pirates starting pitcher is unannounced at the time of publication.

Assad (3-3, 3.10 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 95 2/3 IP.

Last start: No decision, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 6-4 road loss vs. Colorado Rockies last Tuesday
2023 home stats: 0-3, 3.71 ERA (51 IP, 21 ER) in 4 starts and 12 relief appearances
Career vs. Pirates: 1-0, 3.27 ERA (11 IP, 4 ER) in 2 starts

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Pirates at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Cubs -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-160) | Cubs -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pirates at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 6, Pirates 4

Moneyline

Even with Chicago struggling recently, I’ll back the CUBS (-150) at home against the Pirates. The Cubs have won 9 of the first 10 meetings against their division rivals this season.

Run line/Against the spread

CUBS -1.5 (+135) has fantastic value as it has yet to be announced who will start for the Pirates on the mound. The Cubs have won by at least 2 runs in 8 of their 9 wins against the Pirates this season.

Chicago is also 41-34 at home compared to Pittsburgh producing a 32-40 record on the road this season.

Over/Under

With Assad making another start for the Cubs, and the Pirates likely rolling out a mediocre pitcher on Tuesday, OVER 9 (-105) is the play in this contest. The Over is 7-3 in the first 10 meetings between these teams this season.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (53-65) begin a 3-game series against the New York Mets (53-65) on Monday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

The Pirates split a doubleheader against the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday, winning 4-2 before losing the 2nd game 6-5 in the 10th inning. Pittsburgh has alternated wins and losses in its last 5 contests and is in 4th place in the NL Central, 11 1/2 games out of 1st.

The Mets squeaked out a 7-6 win over the Atlanta Braves on Sunday to snap a 3-game losing streak. New York remains in 4th place in the NL East and is 22 1/2 games behind dividion-leading Atlanta.

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Pirates at Mets projected starters

RHP Quinn Priester vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Priester (2-1, 8.75 ERA) makes his career 6th start. He has a 1.90 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 23 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 6-5 home loss to the Braves on Wednesday
Road stats: 1-0, 6.75 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 7 ER) in 2 starts
Rookie’s 1st career start vs. the Mets

Carrasco (3-6, 6.42 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 81 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 3-2 home loss to the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday
Home stats: 1-2, 7.82 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 31 ER) in 8 starts
Career vs. Pirates: 2-1, 2.96 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 9 ER) in 5 starts

Pirates at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:43 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-160) | Mets -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Pirates 5

Moneyline

Even with New York’s woes this season, I’ll back the METS (-135) at home in Monday’s matchup. The Mets are 29-27 at home, while the Pirates are 24-33 on the road this season.

Run line/Against the spread

PIRATES +1.5 (-160) is the play for the run line unless the odds are worse than -160. The Pirates have won 3 of Priester’s 1st 5 starts, and Carrasco will likely keep this game close at home.

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Over/Under

OVER 10.5 (-115) is how I’d bet on the run total. Priester and Carrasco have both given up at least 4 ER in 4 of their last 5 starts.

The Pirates are also 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games overall.

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Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves (70-40) will play the 2nd game of a 4-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (51-61) on Tuesday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 1-0

Braves 2B Ozzie Albies hit his 26th home run of the season in Monday’s series-opening 7-6 loss. Atlanta is on a 3-game losing skid, but it remains 10 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies atop the NL East.

The Pirates produced 6 earned runs on RHP Spencer Strider in Monday’s victory before the hard-throwing righty was pulled in the 3rd inning. Pittsburgh is 9 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central despite winning 2 games in a row.

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Braves at Pirates projected starters

RHP Yonny Chirinos vs. RHP Mitch Keller

Chirinos (5-4, 4.42 ERA) makes his 7th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 through 71 1/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 12-5 home win vs. Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
2023 road stats: 3-2, 2.95 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 13 ER) in 1 start and 8 relief appearances
First career vs. the Pirates

Keller (9-8, 4.35 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 138 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 14-1 road loss vs. Milwaukee Brewers Thursday
2023 home stats: 5-3, 3.57 ERA (63 IP, 25 ER) in 10 starts.
Career vs. Braves: 0-2, 10.03 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 13 ER) in 3 starts

Braves at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:41 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Pirates +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+100) | Pirates +1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Braves at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Pirates 4

Moneyline

I’ll side with the BRAVES (-160) on the road for Tuesday’s matchup even though Atlanta lost Monday’s series opener. The Braves won 8 straight meetings with the Pirates before losing on Monday, and Keller has lost 4 consecutive starts.

Run line/Against the spread

The BRAVES -1.5 (+100) are a great value as Atlanta looks to get back in the win column. The Braves have won by multiple runs in each of their last 11 wins.

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Over/Under

OVER 10 (-105) is the play in this game with Keller mightily struggling since the All-Star break. Keller has given up at least 6 earned runs in 3 of his last 4 starts.

The Braves are 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games overall, while the Pirates are 6-4 to the Over in their last 10 games.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (48-59) open a 4-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers (58-51) on Thursday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 5-1

The Pirates lost 6-3 to the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday, which ended a 3-game winning streak. Despite its recent success, Pittsburgh remains in 4th place in the NL Central, 9 1/2 games back of the division-leading Cincinnati Reds.

The Brewers were defeated 3-2 by the Washington Nationals Wednesday as they lost a 2nd straight series. Milwaukee has lost 7 of its last 10 games, but it remains only half a game back of the Reds in the NL Central.

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Pirates at Brewers projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Adrian Houser

Keller (9-7, 3.97 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 133 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 2-1 home loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies Friday
2023 road stats: 4-4, 4.33 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 34 ER) over 12 starts
Career vs. Brewers: 0-3, 4.62 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 13 ER) across 5 starts

Houser (3-3, 4.43 ERA) makes his 13th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 67 IP.

Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 10-7 road loss vs. Atlanta Braves Friday
2023 home stats: 1-1, 4.13 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 13 ER) in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance
Career vs. Pirates: 3-3, 4.05 ERA (53 1/3 IP, 24 ER) across 9 starts and 4 relief appearances

Pirates at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:58 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-185) | Brewers -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Pirates at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Pirates 3

Moneyline

I’ll side with the BREWERS (-135) in Thursday’s divisional bout despite that they’ve been struggling lately. The Brewers have won 7 of the last 10 meetings between these clubs, including 6 of the last 7.

Run line/Against the spread

BREWERS -1.5 (+150) is a fantastic value as Milwaukee is the superior team. Aside from his last 2 starts against the Braves, Houser has been solid this season despite not inducing many swings and misses.

On the other hand, Keller has been shaky on the mound for the Pirates since the All-Star break.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is the lean in this matchup with Keller’s recent woes and Houser’s inability to miss bats. Keller has given up a combined 18 earned runs and 6 home runs across 3 starts since the All-Star break.

The Brewers have plated at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 6 games, and the Over is 4-2 in the first 6 meetings between these clubs this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (55-47) begin a 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (45-57) on Friday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Phillies were 6-1 vs. the Pirates in 2022

The Phillies defeated the Baltimore Orioles 6-4 on Wednesday to give them 2 consecutive wins. Philadelphia is 10 games behind the Atlanta Braves for 1st place in the NL East, but is currently 1 of the 3 NL Wild-Card teams.

The Pirates beat the San Diego Padres 3-2 on Wednesday. Pittsburgh has alternated wins and losses in its last week and it sits in last place in the NL Central.

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Phillies at Pirates projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Mitch Keller

Wheeler (7-5, 3.88 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 118 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 1-0 road loss to the Cleveland Guardians on Saturday
2023 road stats: 5-3 in 10 starts with a 3.72 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 in 58 IP
Career stats vs. Pirates: 3-0 in 5 starts with a 2.30 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 9.8 K/9 in 31 1/3 IP

Keller (9-6, 4.01 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 128 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 7-5 road loss against the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday
2023 home stats: 5-2 in 9 starts with a 3.61 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 57 1/3 IP
Career vs. Phillies: 0-2 in 3 starts with a 7.80 ERA, 1.87 WHIP, and 7.8 K/9 in 15 IP

Phillies at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Phillies -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Pirates +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+105) | Pirates +1.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Phillies at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Pirates 3

Moneyline

With these teams having different outlooks on the playoffs, I’ll side with the PHILLIES (-160) on the road Friday. Philadelphia has won 27 of its last 42 games, and it has won 8 of the last 10 meetings overall.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILLIES -1.5 (+105) has solid value as the Pirates are looking to be sellers at the trade deadline. The Pirates have lost by multiple runs in 8 consecutive losses and Keller has struggled in recent starts.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the lean. Wheeler shouldn’t have much trouble shutting down a Pirates squad that owns the 4th-worst wOBA (.286) and wRC+ (77) against right-handed pitching since the start of July.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
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San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Francisco Giants (49-41) open a 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-49) on Friday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

The Giants defeated the Colorado Rockies 1-0 Sunday before the All-Star break. San Francisco has won its last 2 games and is only 2 1/2 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks for the lead in the NL West.

The Pirates snapped a 4-game losing skid in their last game before the break with a 4-2 road win over the Diamondbacks Sunday. After a strong start to the season, Pittsburgh is now 8 1/2 games back of the Cincinnati Reds in the NL Central race.

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Giants at Pirates projected starters

RHP Ross Stripling vs. LHP Rich Hill

Stripling (0-2, 6.37 ERA) makes his 8th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 41 IP.

Allowed multiple ER in 6 of his first 7 starts
Yet to pitch more than 5 innings in any appearance this season

Hill (7-9, 4.78 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 98 IP.

Has given up 3 ER or more in 5 consecutive starts.
May 29 at Giants: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K

Giants at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Giants -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+125) | Pirates +1.5 (-155)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Giants at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 6, Pirates 4

Moneyline

I’ll take the GIANTS (-130) on the road as they hope to kick off the 2nd half of the season with a win and start an improbable run to win the NL West. San Francisco is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings with Pittsburgh and is 16-7 in its last 23 road games overall.

Run line/Against the spread

BET GIANTS -1.5 (+125).

San Francisco to win by multiple runs presents solid value with Hill on the mound for the Pirates. In 6 of their last 7 wins against the Pirates, the Giants have won by at least 2 runs.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (-115) is how I’d play the run total with Stripling and Hill toeing the rubber. The Pirates have hit the Over in 6 of their last 7 home games and both of these pitchers have struggled to prevent runs in recent starts.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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