Tag: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates odds predictions pick betting line spread

San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Francisco Giants (49-41) open a 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-49) on Friday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

The Giants defeated the Colorado Rockies 1-0 Sunday before the All-Star break. San Francisco has won its last 2 games and is only 2 1/2 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks for the lead in the NL West.

The Pirates snapped a 4-game losing skid in their last game before the break with a 4-2 road win over the Diamondbacks Sunday. After a strong start to the season, Pittsburgh is now 8 1/2 games back of the Cincinnati Reds in the NL Central race.

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Giants at Pirates projected starters

RHP Ross Stripling vs. LHP Rich Hill

Stripling (0-2, 6.37 ERA) makes his 8th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 41 IP.

  • Allowed multiple ER in 6 of his first 7 starts
  • Yet to pitch more than 5 innings in any appearance this season

Hill (7-9, 4.78 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 98 IP.

  • Has given up 3 ER or more in 5 consecutive starts.
  • May 29 at Giants: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K

Giants at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+125) | Pirates +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Giants at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 6, Pirates 4

Moneyline

I’ll take the GIANTS (-130) on the road as they hope to kick off the 2nd half of the season with a win and start an improbable run to win the NL West. San Francisco is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings with Pittsburgh and is 16-7 in its last 23 road games overall.

Run line/Against the spread

BET GIANTS -1.5 (+125).

San Francisco to win by multiple runs presents solid value with Hill on the mound for the Pirates. In 6 of their last 7 wins against the Pirates, the Giants have won by at least 2 runs.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (-115) is how I’d play the run total with Stripling and Hill toeing the rubber. The Pirates have hit the Over in 6 of their last 7 home games and both of these pitchers have struggled to prevent runs in recent starts.

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San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (35-27) open a 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (25-37) Friday at PNC Park. First pitch is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting. Pittsburgh took 4 of 7 from San Francisco last season.

The Giants hit the road after a 6-3 home stand. San Francisco is 3 games over-.500 (16-13) in 29 road games. Giants pitching has been dialed in of late and owns a tidy 2.81 ERA since May 25.

The Pirates are back at home after a 1-7 road trip. The Bucs beat the Cardinals Wednesday to snap a 9-game skid. During the 9 games, Pittsburgh batted just .190/.236/.309 (.545 OPS).

Giants at Pirates projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Zach Thompson

Rodon (5-4, 3.18 ERA) makes his 13th start of the 2022 campaign. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 65 IP.

  • Won Sunday start against the Los Angeles Dodgers with 6 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 3 BB and 8 K.
  • Has a 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts.

Thompson (3-4, 4.50 ERA) has posted a 1.36 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 12 games (11 starts) through 50 IP.

  • Notched a 3.24 ERA, 1.21 WHIP in 75 IP in 2021 rookie season with the Miami Marlins.
  • Made just 67 pitches in Saturday loss at the Atlanta Braves with 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H (2 HR), 1 BB and 4 K.

Giants at Pirates odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL): Giants -1.5 (-120) | Pirates +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Giants at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 5, Pirates 3

Money line

At 3.42 runs per game and 5.05 allowed, the Pirates are way out too far over their skis in having a .403 win percentage.

The Giants are the superior club offensively and on the mound (they do themselves no favors defensively). They are worthy of two-thirds attention in this spot. But the current tag offers no leverage: PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

TAKE SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 (-120).

Strength of schedule is an often overlooked aspect of MLB betting. The Giants have played the much tougher slate so far, especially in regard to quality of hitting faced. Rodon and a rested Giants bullpen — one that has pitched quite well on the road — make for some value here.

Over/Under

Subsurface numbers for San Francisco pitching and batting say Under. Pirates batting comparisons and the weather report (warm with an outward-blowing batter’s wind) say Over.

Call it a tie, and SIT THIS ONE OUT.

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San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (23-14) meet the Pittsburgh Pirates (15-22) Friday for the second game of a four-game set at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Pirates with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead 1-0 after Thursday’s 3-1 victory.

RHP Kevin Gausman gets the nod for the Giants. Gausman is 3-0 with a 1.97 ERA (45 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 over 7 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-1, in 6 IP with 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 7 K vs. the San Diego Padres Saturday.
  • Career vs. Pirates: 1-2 with a 5.97 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.47 WHIP and 7.3 K/9 over 6 starts and 2 relief appearances (last start was in 2019).
    • vs. Pirates on the current roster: 71 at-bats with a .254/.289/.408 slash line, 17/4 K/BB, 2 HR and 6 RBIs.

RHP Miguel Yajure is the projected starter for the Pirates. He dropped his first MLB start, while allowing 4 earned runs (2 home runs) on 4 hits and 2 walks with 4 strikeouts in Pittsburgh’s 5-2 loss at the Detroit Tigers April 21.

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Giants at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (-115) | Pirates +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Prediction

Pirates 5, Giants 4

Money line (ML)

PASS with a “lean” because Gausman hasn’t pitched well in PNC Park throughout his career, making Giants (-200) a no-go, but good teams beat up on the lowly Pirates (+165) and San Francisco is a good team.

For instance, Gausman is 1-2 with a 7.32 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.58 WHIP and 6.9 K/9 over 3 starts and 2 bullpen outings at PNC Park.

Also, since the beginning of last season, the Giants are 38-21 vs. teams with a losing record while the Pirates are 19-39 against teams with a winning record.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the PIRATES +1.5 (-105) for a half unit because Gausman hasn’t been sharp at PNC Park and the Giants -1.5 (-115) bullpen has been subpar this year.

San Francisco’s bullpen is 24th in xFIP, 20th in K-BB%, 26th in home runs per nine and second-to-last in WAR, so the backdoor is going to be open in the late innings.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 7.5 (-105) for a half unit because the Giants have a 4-2 O/U record in Gausman starts, partially due to San Francisco’s weak bullpen.

But, the Giants have several key bats that could be out of the lineup tonight such as 2B Donovan Solano, 1B Brandon Belt, and SS Brandon Crawford.

Also, Pittsburgh’s lineup is at the bottom of the league in several advanced hitting categories such as 26th in wRC+, wOBA and OPS and dead-last in hard-hit rate.

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