Tag: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies odds predictions pick betting line spread

Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (9-3) and Philadelphia Phillies (6-6) open a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Tied 3-3 last season

The Pirates had a 3-game win streak snapped Tuesday with a 5-3 home loss to Detroit. Pittsburgh’s closer RHP David Bednar blew his 3rd save opportunity in 4 tries, allowing 4 runs on 3 hits and a walk in the 9th. The Pirates are 6-1 on the road this season.

Philadelphia won the rubber match of their series in St Louis Wednesday 4-3. C J.T. Realmuto led the way offensively with 2 hits and 2 runs while RHP Aaron Nola pitched 6 innings of 2-run ball. The Phillies have dropped 4 of their 6 games at Citizens Bank Park this season.

Pirates at Phillies projected starters

RHP Jared Jones vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

The rookie Jones (1-1, 3.86 ERA) makes the 3rd start of his career. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 13.1 K/9 in 11 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 5-2 home loss to Baltimore Orioles Friday
  • First appearance vs. Phillies

Suarez (1-0, 4.09 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.73 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 11 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in a 5-2 victory at Washington Nationals Saturday
  • Career vs. Pirates: 2-0, 2.25 ERA (24 IP, 6 ER), 0.92 WHIP in 3 starts and 3 relief appearances
  • Last start vs. Pirates: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 4 K in Bucs’ 7-6 home victory Sept. 27, 2023

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Pirates at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Phillies -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-155) | Phillies -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Pirates at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Phillies 2

Moneyline

BET PIRATES (+125).

I’m all in on the Pirates Thursday. Pittsburgh has won 6 of their 7 games away from PNC Park this season. They have also owned southpaws, batting .284 with a perfect 5-0 record against lefties.

On the other side, the Phillies have struggled against right handers, batting just .208 on the season. They’ll have their work cut out for them against the 22-year-old Jones, who has 17 strikeouts in less than 11 2/3 innings.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m going to focus my bet on the moneyline because of the value in the +125 odds. They’re just too juicy to pass up.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Pirates will get their runs against the lefty Suarez, but this bet is more about the Phillies not being able to hit right handers. It’s almost astonishing that a lineup as talented as Philadelphia can’t get its act together when it comes to hitting righties.

The Under is 2-1 in the last 3 head-to-head meetings between these 2 clubs. The Phillies have been Under in 7 straight games, while Pittsburgh has been Under in 2 of its last 3.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (47-79) and Philadelphia Phillies (72-55) close out their 3-game intrastate series Sunday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 6-0

The Pirates have lost 7 straight games and 13 of their last 15. Pittsburgh has been outscored 97-46 across those 15 games.

The Phillies have won 6 outings in a row. Philadelphia is 14-4 in its last 18 home games.

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Pirates at Phillies projected starters

RHP Roansy Contreras vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard

Contreras (3-4, 3.86 ERA) has appeared in 14 games and made 11 starts. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 63 IP.

  • Coughed up 7 home runs in a 26 2/3-inning stretch from June 10-July 9, and was then sent to the minors. Has allowed 6 runs (1 HR) over 13 IP across 2 games since returning to the Pirates Aug. 17.
  • Has benefited from a .273 batting average on balls in play.

Syndergaard (8-8, 3.77 ERA) owns a 1.23 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 105 IP across 19 starts.

  • Owns a 2.70 ERA and 1.05 WHIP over his last 3 starts.
  • Figures to see a lot of lefty bats in the Pittsburgh lineup and that cuts into a problem area: has allowed a .737 OPS (with lesser strikeout and walk rates) against lefty bats.

Pirates at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:13 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Phillies -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (+110) | Phillies -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Pirates at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Pirates 3

Money line

PASS. The juice is drowning out any leverage on a Philadelphia lean.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Pirates have had so many non-competitive games of late. They have been within 2 runs of their opponent just once in their current 7-game losing streak.

A reasonable effort by the Philly ‘pen gets the home side clear by 3 runs with more than enough probability to warrant the risk.

BACK PHILADELPHIA ALTERNATE SPREAD -2.5 (+110).

Over/Under

Same calculation as Saturday’s game (which did hit the Under): There is some baked-in Under lean to the series, but the mound match-up — in this case, Contreras vs. Syndergaard — works against that. Not because they are bad pitchers but because the expectation of performance level is likely higher than it should be.

Mix in a warm afternoon at Citizens and the fact that one offense seems to be doing all the lifting. PASS on the full game total. However, PHILLIES OVER 5.5 (+100) might be a consideration for some bettors looking to leverage the Contreras fade and strong Philly offense.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (47-78) and Philadelphia Phillies (71-55) continue a 3-game set Saturday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is slated for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 5-0

The Pirates have lost 6 straight games and 12 of their last 14. Pittsburgh has been outscored 91-46 across that span.

The Phillies have won 5 in a row. Philadelphia took Friday’s opener 7-4 and is 13-4 in its last 16 games at Citizens. The Phils have logged a robust .856 OPS over those 17 games.

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Pirates at Phillies projected starters

RHP Tyler Beede vs. RHP Kyle Gibson

Beede (1-3, 4.13 ERA) has appeared in 27 games, making 4 starts. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 through 52 1/3 IP.

  • A middle-relief swingman who tends to struggle in second and third times through an order. Has averaged 59.8 pitches per start over his last 4.
  • Owns a 5.06 ERA, 1.52 WHIP over 54 career games

Gibson (8-5, 4.30 ERA) is tabbed for his 25th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 132 IP.

  • Faced the Pirates twice last season and allowed 6 runs on 8 hits and 4 BB in 12 2/3 IP
  • Scuffled in his 1st start of the 2nd half but has logged a 2.97 ERA in 30 1/3 IP since

Pirates at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Phillies -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +2.5 (-130) | Phillies +2.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Pirates at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Pirates 3

Money line

There is, of course, a lot of juice here. It takes a sizable enough bankroll to make a bet like this, which we don’t advise. PASS.

It is worth considering PHILLIES OVER 4.5 TOTAL RUNS (-190) for a small wager.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Pirates have had so many non-competitive games of late. A reasonable effort by Gibson and the Philly pen gets the home nine clear by 3 with more than enough probability to warrant the leap of faith

BACK PHILADELPHIA -2.5 (+105).

Over/Under

There is some baked-in Under lean to the series, but this mound match-up — and the price here — take the air out of the profitability of an Under 9.5.

PASS. Consider circling back on the Under if the tag gets to -120.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (47-77) and Philadelphia Phillies (70-55) open a 3-game set Friday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch in the opener is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 4-0

The Pirates have lost 5 straight games and 11 of their last 13. The Bucs have been doubled up 84-42 on the scoreboard in those 13 games, the last 8 of which were at home. Pittsburgh is 3-14 in its last 17 games on the road.

The Phillies are coming off a 4-game sweep at home of the Cincinnati Reds. Philadelphia is 12-4 in its last 16 games at Citizens. The Phils have logged a robust .863 OPS over those 16 games.

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Pirates at Phillies projected starters

RHP Bryse Wilson vs. LHP Bailey Falter

Wilson (2-7, 5.74 ERA) owns a 1.44 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 78 1/3 IP in 17 games (14 starts).

  • Has a 6.68 ERA on the road
  • Has a 3.96 ERA in his last 7 starts

Falter (1-3, 4.40 ERA) has logged a 1.29 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 45 IP in 12 games (8 starts).

  • Has allowed 3 runs in his last 12 IP, including a July 29 start against Pittsburgh allowing 2 R in 6 IP
  • Made 2 starts in the minors in between his last 2 outings for the Phillies

Pirates at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:23 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Phillies -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (+105) | Phillies -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Pirates at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Pirates 3

Money line

Not much interest in the sides here. Neither has as much lean as the Under. But NIX THE ML ACTION due to the extra juice.

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Run line/Against the spread

Pittsburgh has struggled in road openers, and the Pirates have had enough non-competitive games of late to add to the ammunition here.

Consider a partial-unit play on PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (-130).

Over/Under

This is not one of the more attractive games on the Friday schedue, and its because of this starting pitching match-up. There is, however, enough baked in pull toward lesser offensive totals for both sides: factors like situational “luck,”  quality of contact vs. production, etc.

Falter does not have much of that in his line, but the UNDER 8.5 (+100) does still have a bit of leverage.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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