MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line

Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Cubs (17-10) and Boston Red Sox (15-13) wrap up a 3-game series at Fenway Park Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Cubs, who were -113 favorites, lost 17-0 in the 2nd game of the series Saturday with the Over (9) hitting in Boston. The loss snapped a 4-game winning streak for Chicago.

CF Ceddanne Rafaela finished with a HR and 7 RBIs for the Red Sox, who cashed as +104 underdogs. RF Tyler O’Neill also homered, helping Boston win for just the 2nd time in 5 games.

Cubs at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Hayden Wesneski vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Wesneski (2-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start and 3rd appearance. He has a 0.16 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 4.3 K/9 in 6 1/3 IP.

Last outing: Win, 2 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in relief appearance of 3-1 home victory vs. Houston Astros Thursday
Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 win at St. Louis Cardinals July 28, 2023
2023 stats: 3-5, 4.63 ERA (89 1/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.28 WHIP in 11 starts and 23 relief appearances
Has never faced Boston

Houck (3-2, 1.65 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 32 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 4-1 loss at Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
2024 home stats: 1-1, 2.45 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.02 WHIP in 2 starts
Career vs. Cubs: 0-0, 4.50 ERA (2 IP, 1 ER), 1.50 WHIP in 2 relief appearances

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Cubs at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:57 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cubs +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cubs at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Cubs 3

Moneyline

It’s unlikely that Boston’s offense will be able to maintain Saturday’s level of production; however, Houck will probably have a better start than Wesneski. Houck has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 4 of 5 starts, while Wesneski hasn’t even pitched more than 4 innings since June 28, 2023.

The Red Sox, who were 15th in runs per game at 4.33 entering Saturday, can’t be trusted to keep scoring runs over the course of a full game, but Houck is a good bet to keep them in position to at least win the 1st 5 innings.

BET RED SOX 1ST 5 INNINGS (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

Boston has struggled to win back-to-back games recently — let alone by multiple runs. The Cubs are also a bit too expensive to cover +1.5 at -175.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Over has hit in the 1st 2 games of this series, but between Boston’s offense regressing toward the mean and Houck likely limiting Chicago to 2 or fewer runs, we should see a lower-scoring game Sunday. While it is a small sample size, Wesneski also hasn’t given up a run yet in 6 1/3 innings.

BET UNDER 9 (-105).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (12-16) close out their 3-game road series against the Seattle Mariners (15-12) Sunday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-0

The Diamondbacks lost their 3rd straight game and for the 4th time in their last 5 on Saturday, falling 3-1 to the Mariners. It was the 3rd straight game they scored only 1 run.

The Mariners have won 3 in a row and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. They have held opponents to 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9.

Diamondbacks at Mariners projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Pfaadt (1-1, 4.97 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 29 IP.

Last start: No decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-3 road loss to St. Louis on Monday
Arizona has lost his last 4 starts

Gilbert (2-0, 1.87 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.80 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 4-0 road win over Texas in Tuesday
Has allowed 1 run or less in 4 of 5 starts

Diamondbacks at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:41 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mariners -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175) | Mariners -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Diamondbacks 2

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks have scored 3 runs in 3 games and are 1-10 in games in which they score 3 or fewer runs.

Opponents have scored more than 3 runs only once in Gilbert’s 5 starts. Seattle has won 8 of the 10 games and have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 11 of their last 12 games.

Betting Seattle on the moneyline isn’t a bad bet, but there is more money to be made on the run line.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Eleven of Seattle’s last 12 wins have been by at least 2 runs while the Diamondbacks’ last 7 losses and 10 of their last 11 losses have been by multiple runs.

BET MARINER -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

Each of the first 2 games of the series had totals of 7 or fewer runs.

Seattle’s last 5 games and 9 of their last 10 have not reached 8 total runs and 4 of Gilbert’s 5 starts have not reached 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (18-10) and San Diego Padres (14-16) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-0

The Phillies opened the series with a 9-3 win on Friday as a slight underdog (+110), while the Over (7.5) came through. In Saturday’s game, Philadelphia also cashed as a ‘dog (+100), winning 5-1, while the Under (7.5) connected.

Philadelphia has won 7 of the past 8 meetings since July 15, 2023, with the Over going 7-3 across the past 10 in the series.

The Phillies have won 3 straight, and 10 of the past 12 outings since April 15. The Under holds a slight 3-2-1 edge in the past 6 games.

The Padres have dropped 3 in a row, and they’ve allowed 8.0 runs per game (RPG) in the past 3 outings. San Diego pitching has allowed 5 or more runs in 3 games in a row, and in 6 of the past 9 outings.

Phillies at Padres projected starters

RHP Taijuan Walker vs. RHP Michael King

Walker (15-6, 4.38 ERA) made 31 starts in 2023. He had a 1.31 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 172 2/3 IP.

Making his 2024 debut after opening on the 15-day injured list due to a shoulder impingement
Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 4 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 4 BB, 3 K in 4-3 road loss vs. New York Mets on Sept. 30, 2023
2023 road splits: 8-4, 5.25 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 32 BB, 61 K in 84 IP across 15 starts

King (2-2, 4.11 ERA) makes his 6th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 30 2/3 IP

Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 6 R (4 ER), 8 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 5 K in 7-4 road loss vs. Colorado Rockies Tuesday
2024 home splits: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 2 H (1 HR), 7 BB, 6 K in a 13-4 home win vs. San Francisco Giants on March 31

Phillies at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:28 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-185) | Padres -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Padres 2

Moneyline

The PHILLIES (+110) are a strong play at plus-money behind Walker, who makes his season debut. Philadelphia has been cooking along, outscoring the opposition 19-4 in the current 3-game winning streak, and the Phils have won all 5 games against NL West Division foes so far this season.

The Padres (-135) have managed just 4 runs in the 1st 2 games of the series, and they’re averaging just 3.4 RPG in the past 10 outings.

Run line/Against the spread

The Phillies +1.5 (-185) are a little too costly on the run line as an underdog, as they’ll set you back nearly 2 times your potential return. That’s way too much risk for not enough reward.

AVOID, and just focus on the moneyline.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the lean, but roll with a half-unit wager at most.

The Under cashed in Saturday’s game, with just 6 total runs, and the total has gone low at a 6-4 clip in the past 10 games for the Padres.

The Phillies have allowed just 4 runs in the past 3 games, or 1.33 runs per outing.

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Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (8-19) and Colorado Rockies (7-20) wrap up a 2-game interleague series at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu in Mexico City. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 1-0

The Astros haven’t played anywhere close to their recent standards, but Houston picked up a 12-4 win in Mexico City against Colorado, as Yordan Alvarez swatted 2 of the team’s 3 homers. Houston (-205) cashed as the favorite with the Under (16.5) just coming in at most shops.

Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu sits at 7,349 feet about sea level, which is roughly more than 2,000 feet higher than Coors Field in Denver.

The Rockies have dropped 4 of the past 6 games, and they’re 3-10 in the past 13 outings. The Under and Over have alternated in each of the past 7 contests.

Astros vs. Rockies projected starters

LHP Framber Valdez vs. LHP Austin Gomber

Valdez (0-0, 2.19 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 12 1/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 7 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 2-1 home loss vs. Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday
2023 road splits: (8-3, 3.56 ERA) with a 1.21 WHIP, 37 BB, 93 K and .224 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 96 IP (15 starts)

Gomber (0-1, 4.32 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 25 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-1 home loss vs. San Diego Padres Monday
Career vs. Astros: (1-1, 4.50 ERA) with a 1.00 WHIP, 2 BB, 11 K in 2 starts across 12 IP

Astros vs. Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:17 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Rockies +170 (bet $100 to win $180)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (-155) | Rockies +1.5 (+120)
Over/Under (O/U): 16.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Astros vs. Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 10, Rockies 9

Moneyline

The Astros (-210) will set you back more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s much too big of a risk for a small return.

At this venue, anything can happen, as we’ll see several more homers at altitude.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The ROCKIES +1.5 (+120) are worth a look at plus-money catching the run and a half. This should be a wild series finale in Mexico City, with plenty of power on display on both sides.

Colorado is a respectable 5-6 on the run line as an underdog, including 3 outright victories as a heavy ‘dog.

While the Astros -1.5 (-155) won Saturday’s series opener, Houston had lost the past 5 outings, and it is just 1-3 in the past 4 games as a favorite on the run line.

Over/Under

OVER 16.5 (-110) is a giant number, but now that the batters have had a full game under their belt, they’ll know what to expect. This game should see a few more runs than we saw in the series opener.

Colorado pitching has allowed 21 runs in the past 2 games, and at least 5 runs in 3 in a row, and 9 of the past 13 outings.

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New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (18-10) and Milwaukee Brewers (17-9) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Yankees blasted the Brewers 15-3 Saturday to level the series as slight favorites (-110). New York halted a 2-game losing streak. The Yanks have allowed 3 or more runs in 5 straight games, and the Over is on a 3-1 run.

The Brewers have allowed 26 runs in the past 3 games, although they only lost Saturday’s blowout against the Yankees. The Over is on a 3-0 run, as Milwaukee is good for 5.7 runs per game (RPG) in the past 3 outings while allowing 8.7 RPG.

Yankees at Brewers projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Tobias Myers

Stroman (2-1, 2.93 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 27 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 4-3 home victory vs. Oakland Athletics Tuesday
2024 road splits: 1-0, 1.59 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 4 BB, 6 K in 11 1/3 IP across 2 starts

Myers (0-1, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 1 earned run on 4 hits (1 HR) and 1 walk with 4 K’s in his MLB debut, a 2-1 loss at the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday.

2024 stats with Triple-A Nashville: 1-1, 1.62 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.08 WHIP in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
Making his first career home start

Yankees at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:26 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Brewers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+120) | Brewers +1.5 (-145)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-140) are worth a look as moderate favorites in the interleague series finale.

New York pounded the Brewers (+115) in Saturday’s outing, and it has won 6 of the past 10 outings. The offense has been sink or swim lately, going for 5 or more runs in 6 of the past 10 outings, but it has 1 or no runs in 3 of those games, too.

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers +1.5 (-145) aren’t a terrible play if you’d like a little bit of insurance and don’t like Milwaukee straight up. However, the only drawback is Myers. He is a bit of a wild card, as this is his first-ever home start and just his second career outing in the show. Facing the Yankees could be a mess, especially after they rolled up 15 runs Saturday.

AVOID, and just focus on the moneyline.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is the lean, but only play a half-unit at most.

The Over cashed in the first 2 games of the series, with an average of 15.5 RPG. Even if we have substantially fewer runs, the way things have gone, we shouldn’t have trouble getting to 9 combined runs.

The Over has hit in 3 in a row for Milwaukee, with 12 or more runs in each of the outings.

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St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (13-14) and New York Mets (13-13) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-0

The Cardinals picked up a 7-4 win Saturday as moderate -135 favorites with the Over (7.5) cashing. In Friday’s opener, St. Louis posted a 4-2 victory as a +110 underdog and the Under (7.5) hit.

St. Louis has won 3 in a row and 4 of the past 5. The Under holds a 4-2 edge in the past 6 contests overall, while the Under is 5-2 in the past 7 road outings for the Cardinals.

The Mets have dropped 5 of the past 6 games, while scoring 2 or fewer runs in 4 of those outings. The Under holds a slight 3-2 edge in the Mets’ past 5 outings. Despite the 2 losses in this series, New York is still 6-3 in the past 9 home games.

Cardinals at Mets projected starters

RHP Lance Lynn vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Lynn (1-0, 2.81 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 5-3 home victory vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Monday
2024 road splits: 1-0, 0.82 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 2 BB, 6 K in 11 IP across 2 starts

Quintana (1-2, 4.21 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-2 setback at San Francisco Giants Monday
2023 home splits: 0-1, 2.79 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 10 H, 1 HR, 5 BB, 8 K, .278 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 2 starts

Cardinals at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:11 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cardinals at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

The CARDINALS (-105) are a solid play as short underdogs in the series finale. St. Louis has been on a roll lately, sans for a 14-1 loss at home against Arizona Tuesday.

The Mets (-115) have dropped 5 of the past 6 games, while posting 2 or fewer runs in 4 of those outings.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets +1.5 (-190) will cost nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward, if you require insurance, and you just cannot bring yourself to play New York straight up in the series finale.

AVOID and focus on the moneyline.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 5 games for the Mets, with New York cobbling together 4 or fewer runs in 5 of the past 6 outings. While that sounds great for potential Unders, the pitching staff has coughed up 4 or more runs in 7 of the previous 8 contests.

The Cardinals have hit the Under in 4 of the past 6 games, and the total has gone low at a 9-4 clip in the past 13 outings.

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Cleveland Guardians at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (19-8) and Atlanta Braves (18-7) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Sunday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Atlanta won Friday’s opener 6-2 as a heavy favorite (-267) as the Under (8.5) cashed, while Cleveland returned the favor Saturday for a 4-2 win in 11 innings as a moderate underdog (+146) with the Under (9) hitting.

The Guardians have alternated wins and losses in the past 5 games, going 3-2, while cashing the Under at a 3-1-1 clip. Cleveland is 7-2 in the past 9 games and is 11-4 on the road this season.

The Braves had a 4-game win streak halted with Saturday’s loss, but Atlanta was able to extend its Under streak to 5 straight outings. The Under is 9-2 in the past 11 outings, too.

Guardians at Braves projected starters

RHP Ben Lively vs. RHP Bryce Elder

Lively (0-1, 2.38 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.79 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 11 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 0 BB, 7 K in 4-1 home victory vs. Boston Red Sox Tuesday
2024 road splits: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-0 loss vs. Boston Red Sox April 17

Elder (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 6 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 3-0 home victory vs. Miami Marlins Monday
2023 home splits: 7-1, 3.61 ERA (94 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 82 H, 12 HR, 34 BB, 73 K, .235 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 17 starts

Guardians at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:36 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Braves -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-135) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The Braves (-175) will cost 1.75 times the potential return. That’s too expensive for a matchup between 2 top teams.

PASS and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The BRAVES -1.5 (+110) are worth a look in the series finale. Atlanta covered the run line in Friday’s series opener, winning 6-2. In 5 of the past 6 victories by the Braves, and 9 of the past 11 wins, Atlanta has ended up winning by 2 or more runs. So, if you like the Braves, you should like them to cover the run line, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 9 (+100) is a strong play at even-money in this interleague series finale.

The Under cashed in the first 2 games, with Atlanta averaging 4.0 runs per game (RPG), while Cleveland has mustered 3.0 RPG. Lively and Elder do not have a large sample size, but in their previous appearances, each pitcher has kept scores down. Look for another low-scoring game in this matinee action.

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Cincinnati Reds at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Reds at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (15-12) and Texas Rangers (14-14) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Globe Life Field is slated for 2:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Reds evened the series with an 8-4 victory behind a huge performance from 2B Jonathan India. He homered and drove in 4 runs on a 4-hit Saturday. Hard throwing RHP Hunter Greene held the Rangers to 1 hit over 7 scoreless to earn his 1st win of the season. Cincinnati also got a 2-run HR from CF Will Benson.

The loss dropped Texas to 2-3 on its 9-game road trip. RHP Michael Lorenzen got shelled, allowing 5 ER in 6 IP. The Rangers scored all 4 of their runs in the bottom of the 9th on a pinch-hit 2-run HR from 2B Davis Wendzel, a solo shot from SS Corey Seager and an RBI double from 3B Josh Smith. Texas is 7-8 at Globe Life Field this season.

Reds at Rangers projected starters

LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Dane Dunning

Abbott (1-2, 4.55 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 27 2/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 8-1 home victory vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
Has never faced the Rangers before

Dunning (2-2, 4.61 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 27 1/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 4-0 home loss vs. Seattle Mariners Tuesday
1 career relief appearance vs Reds: 10.80 ERA (1 1/3 IP, 2 ER)

Reds at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:46 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Reds +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Rangers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-185) | Rangers -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Reds at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Reds 3

Moneyline.

BET REDS (+105).

The defending World Champion Rangers have not been the same team at home this season. They finished 50-31 at Globe Life in 2023, but this year they are 7-8. Texas is 3-6 in day games on the season.

Cincinnati is throwing out lefty Abbott which has been a bugaboo for Texas, sporting a 2-4 record and batting .222 against southpaws. They Reds are also 7-4 in day games on the season.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m going to keep my wager to the moneyline in this one.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Rangers loss on Saturday was the 1st time they had gone Over this total in their last 5 games. The Reds are 2-4-1 against the Over in their last 7 games. It was also the 1st time these 2 teams went Over in their last 3 meetings.

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Cleveland Guardians at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Guardians at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (18-8) and Atlanta Braves (18-6) play the middle contest of a 3-game interleague series Saturday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0; Atlanta won 6-2 as a heavy favorite (-250) in Friday’s opener as the Under (8.5) hung on

The Guardians have the best winning percentage in the AL at .692, and the Braves have the best record in the majors at 18-6 with a winning percentage of .750.

Cleveland has dropped 2 of the past 3 outings after a 5-game win streak and wins in 8 of the previous 9 contests. The Under cashed on Friday, but the Over had been 5-1-1 in the previous 7 outings.

The Braves have won 4 straight games and 10 of the past 11 outings dating back to April 14. The Under has cashed in each of the past 4 contests, while the total has gone low 8 of the past 10 outings. Atlanta has cashed on the run line in 7 of the past 10 games as a favorite.

Guardians at Braves projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Bibee (2-0, 4.44 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 24 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 8 K in 6-2 home victory vs. Oakland Athletics Sunday
2023 road splits: 1-0, 3.14 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 16 H (2 HR), 7 BB, 16 K, .276 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 3 starts

Morton (2-0, 4.70 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 23 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-2 home victory vs. Texas Rangers April 20
2024 home splits: 1-0, 4.63 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 9 H (1 HR), 7 BB, 8 K, .214 OBA in 2 starts

Guardians at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:55 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Braves -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-135) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Guardians at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Guardians 5

Moneyline

The Braves (-175) will cost you at least 2 times your potential return, which is just a little too much risk for a standalone wager. My personal limit for a straight-up ML play is -175, and even that’s a little risky. As part of a multi-team parlay playing Atlanta straight up is OK.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-135) are a decent play catching a run and a half.

Cleveland has fared well on the road this season, going 10-4, although one of those losses did come in the series opener. Bibee has slightly better splits than Morton, so the scales are tipped slightly in Cleveland’s favor as far as the starting pitching is concerned.

Over/Under

OVER 9 (-105) is the lean, but play a half-unit at most.

The Under cashed in Friday’s opener, but the total has gone high at a 5-2-1 clip in the past 8 games for Cleveland.

While Atlanta has cashed the Under in 4 in a row, the Over is 2-2 in 4 interleague home games.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (12-15) and Seattle Mariners (14-12) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at T-Mobile Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0

The Diamondbacks, who were -124 favorites, lost 6-1 in the series opener Friday with the Under (7.5) hitting in Seattle. Arizona has lost back-to-back games and 7 of 11.

RF Mitch Haniger hit a grand slam in the 6th inning for the Mariners, who cashed as +115 underdogs. Seattle has won 2 straight games and 8 of 10.

Diamondbacks at Mariners projected starters

RHP Slade Cecconi vs. RHP George Kirby

Cecconi (1-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. The rookie allowed 2 earned runs on 2 hits and 0 walks with 3 K’s in 5 1/3 innings in his season debut, a 5-3 road victory over the San Francisco Giants Sunday.

Career road stats: 1-0, 3.63 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.98 WHIP in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
Has never faced Seattle before

Kirby (2-2, 5.33 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 25 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-1 loss in 10 innings at Colorado Rockies Sunday
2024 home stats: 2-1, 5.51 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.16 WHIP in 3 starts
Has never faced Arizona before

Diamondbacks at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mariners -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) | Mariners -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -130)

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Diamondbacks at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Diamondbacks 2

Moneyline

The Mariners (-155) will likely win, but I prefer taking the plus odds on their run line.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

While the Mariners have won 8 of their last 10 games straight up, they’ve also been blowing teams out. Ten of their last 11 victories have been by multiple runs, while Arizona’s last 6 losses have all been by 2 or more.

Kirby has allowed 2 or fewer runs in back-to-back starts. He should be able to keep the struggling Diamondbacks in check for 5+ innings while the Seattle offense goes to work against Arizona’s rookie starter.

BET MARINERS -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under

While Kirby has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 3 of his 5 starts this season, I do worry about Seattle’s offense putting up a lot of runs early against Ross. Arizona has scored a total of just 2 runs over its last 2 games, so I would lean Under in this spot; however, 7.5 is a little low for my liking.

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-130).

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