Top NCAA freshmen big men to watch without James Wiseman in the mix

The NCAA took a big hit by losing top NBA prospect James Wiseman but other young centers have shown they deserve more recognition as well.

The NCAA took a big hit by losing top NBA prospect James Wiseman but other young centers have shown they deserve more recognition as well.

With Wiseman no longer in the picture, these are the top freshmen big men who will likely hear their name called during the 2020 NBA draft. If you’re favorite team is looking for a young frontcourt player, it is worth getting to know these prospects.

Isaiah Stewart, Washington

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Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 14 

Stewart was recently named Mr. Basketball USA and was also the Naismith Prep Player of the Year. He was considered the No. 3 overall recruit in the nation and the second-highest-rated big man behind Wiseman. As a freshman, he’s scored 19.2 points and grabbed 8.8 rebounds per game. The big man is coming off a three-game stretch in which he averaged 24.0 points and 12.0 rebounds and won USBWA Freshman of the Week. He is shooting 10-for-11 (90.9 percent) when rolling to the basket in the pick-and-roll, per Synergy Sports, which speaks to his potential fit in an NBA-style offense. While he is a little bit undersized at 6-foot-9, Stewart reportedly has an impressive 7-foot-4 wingspan that will help as a rim protector at the next level.

Onyeka Okongwu, USC

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Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 16

Arguably no player in college basketball has improved his NBA draft stock as much as USC freshman Onyeka Okongwu, who is putting up 17.7 points and 9.0 rebounds with 3.2 blocks per game. Perhaps the only reason why he was flying under the radar before the season is that he was surprisingly not one of the players included in the celebratory high-school events like the McDonald’s All-American game. With his strong play on both sides of the ball, Okongwu has proven that he belongs near the top of the draft. He is averaging 1.18 points per possession in non-transition sets, per Synergy, which ranks in the 97th percentile among all NCAA players. He leads all freshmen in dunks (27) so far this season and is a constant lob threat near the rim. The big is shooting 68-for-85 (77.6 percent) within five feet of the basket, which ranks third-best among freshmen with at least 25 attempts in this zone. Okongwu also has a nice shooting touch, connecting on more than 70.0 percent of his free throws. As a defender, his block percentage (12.0 percent) ranks second-best among freshmen. By all marks, he looks the part of a lottery selection.

Vernon Carey, Duke 

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Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 18 

Before the season, Carey was the No. 6 overall recruit in the nation and the top player to commit to Duke. He is now one of the best college basketball players in the country, bragging the second-best Player of the Year rating on KenPom.com behind 18.6 points and 9.3 rebounds per game. Carey leads all NCAA players in fouls drawn per 40 minutes (8.7) and is attempting 7.3 free throws per game. He also ranks Top 10 among all college basketball players in defensive rebound percentage (30.3 percent) so far this season. His block percentage (8.7 percent) is Top 10 among freshmen, showcasing his potential as a defender as well. There is a lot to like about Carey, who is a very well-rounded prospect and elite NCAA contributor.

Zeke Nnaji, Arizona

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Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 20 

Unlike the other players included on this list, the 6-foot-11 center was not considered one of the top prospects in the country heading into the season. He was a four-star commit who was receiving less hype and publicity than Arizona teammates Nico Mannion and Josh Green. But he has played his way into first-round consideration, averaging 16.5 points and 7.8 rebounds per game. Most impressive: he is a perfect 11-for-11 in a transition offense, via Synergy, ranking in the 99th percentile thus far. The Wildcats are scoring 124.3 points per 100 possessions with Nnaji on the court, which gives him an offensive rating that ranks Top 10 among freshmen. Most evaluators consider him a Top-25 pick, per The Athletic’s Sam Vecenie.

N’Faly Dante, Oregon 

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Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 46  

Oregon Ducks big man N’Faly Dante was considered the fourth-best center in the country among all recruits heading into the season. However, he was ruled ineligible to start the season because the NCAA missed his clearance date. But sometimes when one door shuts (e.g. Wiseman leaving Memphis), another one opens (e.g. N’Faly Dante making his college debut). The big man put up 11 points while shooting 5-for-8 (62.5 percent) off the bench in his first game for Oregon. There is still a lot for him to prove once he finds a rhythm, though he has shown hot streaks before. He averaged 15.3 points and 9.8 rebounds on the AAU circuit and led his high school team to the GEICO Nationals. Most notable, though, is he was measured with a wingspan of 7-foot-5.5 and a standing reach of 9-foot-5 when he attended the Nike Hoops Summit earlier this year.

Trayce Jackson-Davis, Indiana 

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Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: 91

Indiana Hoosiers freshman Trayce Jackson-Davis has been one of the most productive players in the country so far this season, averaging 15.0 points and 8.0 rebounds per game. While he was not considered a sure-fire one-and-done prospect, it is possible that he has played his way into the 2020 NBA Draft. He is averaging 1.23 points per possession, per Synergy, which ranks the 98th percentile this season. He has been one of the most prolific cutters in the NCAA, averaging 5.1 points per game on this play type. trails just three players in college basketball. Partially because of this, Jackson-Davis has recorded more dunks (21) than all freshmen besides Okongwu. His free throw rate (77.1 percent) ranks Top 10 among freshmen as well. Overall, his offensive rating (134.6) ranks as the second-best in the Big Ten Conference. Meanwhile, his block percentage (8.7 percent) is sixth-best in the conference. Even without a jump shot, he will be worth a flier in the second-round if he decides to enter the draft.

Oscar Tshiebwe, West Virginia 

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Aggregate Mock Draft Rank: NR 

West Virginia Mountaineers freshman Oscar Tshiebwe appeared at No. 72 overall on ESPN’s big board and No. 74 overall on The Athletic’s big board. Bleacher Report has him a bit higher, putting him at No. 42 overall. But his size alone could make him a potential first-rounder if he decides to enter the draft. During his time at the Nike Hoops Summit, his wingspan measured at over 7-foot-4. This has helped Tshiebwe secure the best offensive rebound percentage (20.5 percent) in the nation. He also ranks Top 20 in fouls drawn per 40 minutes (7.0) simply have no idea how to contain him without contact. Tshiebwe is averaging 1.53 PPP in transition offense, which ranks in the 96th percentile this season.

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2020 aggregate NBA mock draft 3.0: Michigan State players are climbing

After over a month of the college basketball season, we are starting to get a better picture of what the 2020 NBA Draft will look like.

After over a month of the college basketball season, we are starting to get a better picture of what the 2020 NBA draft will look like.

For example, Georgia Bulldogs freshman Anthony Edwards is beginning to separate himself as a near-consensus No. 1 overall pick. On the other side of the coin, though, several of the projected top selections (LaMelo Ball, James Wiseman, Cole Anthony and RJ Hampton) will miss extended time due to either injury or suspension.

In order to get a better read of the bigger picture, we collected opinions from the top experts and analysts that cover the draft. The latest 2020 NBA mock drafts from ESPNCBS SportsSI.comBleacher Report, NBADraft.net, The Athletic as well as USA Today Sports Media Group’s Rookie Wire were used for these rankings.

One of the most interesting takeaways is that the Michigan State Spartans have three players (Cassius Winston, Aaron Henry and Xavier Tillman) all trending up.

After making the Final Four in last year’s March Madness, the program was expected to take another leap forward for their 2019-20 campaign.

Despite three losses in their first 10 games, the Spartans still rank No. 15 overall this season. This can be attributed to the fact Michigan State currently has the third-best offense in college basketball, per KenPom.com.

They also have three of the most improved players since our last aggregate mock draft. The full list, and more on each of the MSU players moving up draft boards, is included below.

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Cassius Winston, Guard

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AMD Rank: 29

Since our last AMD, this has moved up 17 spots in our rankings.

Despite already being 21 years old, the 6-foot-1 guard currently has a first-round grade from ESPN as well as Sports Illustrated and CBS Sports.

Winston has been one of the best distributors since he began at MSU. 67.1 percent of all field goals for the Spartans have been assisted, which is the sixth-most among all teams so far this season. His career assist rate (44.1 percent) ranks No. 1 overall among all college players who have played at least 50 games since 2009-10, via Sports-Reference.

During his freshman season, he had the second-best assist rate (46.7 percent) in the NCAA. Then as a sophomore, his assist rate (43.5 percent) trailed only Trae Young for the best in college basketball. Last season, his assist mark (44.8 percent) ranked third-best and behind only Ja Morant among all who played for teams that made the tournament.

But he has also shown strength as one of the more accurate shooters in the NCAA.

Winston was 75-for-151 (49.7 percent) from beyond the arc in 2017-18. That helped him join the exclusive 50-40-90 club for field-goal percentage, three-point percentage and free-throw percentage. Even as a sophomore then, the guard was one of the few to have a membership with at least two three-point attempts per game.

There is some enough NBA readiness to show he can contribute right away for a winning team.

Aaron Henry, Wing

AMD Rank: 33

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Since our last AMD, this has moved up 26 spots in our rankings.

Henry was of the players who helped himself the most during the 2019 NCAA Tournament. Then a freshman, he put up 20 points with 6 rebounds and 6 assists during a victory over LSU.

While he has not yet taken the leap some expected as a sophomore, draft experts still have confidence in him as a prospect. His highest ranking right now comes from Jonathan Wasserman, who has him at No. 28 overall (via Bleacher Report):

“The eye test on Henry looks more convincing than the numbers. He isn’t a high-level creator, which limits him in Michigan State’s offense. But the 6’6″ guard is hitting open shots, capitalizing on driving lanes and making impact defensive plays. This late, teams will overlook Henry’s production for his fit.”

Perhaps the best news for the wing is that there is room for improvement. However, there have also been moments that show what Henry is capable of accomplishing at the next level.

This season, for example, the sophomore has been one of the most effective shooters off the catch. He is averaging 1.78 points per possession on catch-and-shoot attempts in a set offense, per Synergy Sports, which ranks in the 98th percentile.

Henry is also shooting 72.7 percent at the rim, which is an especially solid rate for a wing. Overall, he looks like someone capable of being a 3-and-D player in an NBA rotation.

Xavier Tillman, Big

AMD Rank: 50

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Since our last AMD, this has moved up 13 spots in our rankings.

Michigan State has always been a team that plays better with Tillman on the court. Last season, for example, the big actually had the third-best box plus-minus in the NCAA — trailing only Zion Williamson and Brandon Clarke.

Jeremy Woo recently helped contextualize what professional teams may like about the 6-foot-8 junior (via SI.com):

“Tillman specializes in doing the dirty work and has been a largely unheralded yet invaluable piece of the Spartans’ success dating back to last season. He’s not particularly tall for a center but has a chance to be a quality rotational big in the pros with what he adds defensively and on the glass. Tillman has worked on extending his shooting range, and if he ends up being able to shoot the three, he’ll have a fairly strong window of opportunity as a role player. A lot of the things he does as a screener and defender don’t show up in the box score, and while he’ll never be more than a fourth or fifth offensive option, he might be able to thrive in that capacity.”

His best trait so far this season has been his ability to cut to the basket. He is shooting 15-for-17 (88.2 percent) on these attempts, per Synergy.

But he has also added value on the offensive glass and as a rim protector for Michigan State. His willingness and ability to make the most of time on the floor makes him a draftable professional prospect.

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2020 NBA Mock Draft: Where do injuries put LaMelo Ball and RJ Hampton?

Anthony Edwards is No. 1 overall. But have injuries impacted draft stock for LaMelo Ball or RJ Hampton? Plus: a full first-round mock draft.

 

2020 NBA Mock Draft: Where do injuries put LaMelo Ball and RJ Hampton?

Anthony Edwards is No. 1 overall. But have injuries impacted draft stock for LaMelo Ball or RJ Hampton? Plus: a full first-round mock draft.

Now over a month into the college basketball season, there have been enough games to make confident assessments of the upcoming draft class.

There is still quite some time until this list starts to solidify as some teams will soon begin their regular-season conference play, which offers a better picture of the talent pool in the NCAA this season.

While there are some players who will give us a better idea of their draft stock in the coming weeks, there are others we will still have to wait a bit longer. Unfortunately for the Memphis Tigers and basketball fans around the world, projected lottery pick James Wiseman will be out a dozen games with a suspension. Similarly in the NBL overseas, LaMelo Ball and RJ Hampton will miss extended time due to injury.

Regardless, the following is our best assessment of the players we think will become first-round picks based on what we have seen thus far. For our mock drafts in later editions, we will begin to factor in team fit as well.

1. Anthony Edwards, Georgia

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Anthony Edwards was an AAU star, averaging 21.0 points and 6.1 rebounds per game on the Under Armour Circuit. Since playing for Georgia, the 6-foot-5 point-forward is a high-usage guard with a respectable FG% from three-point range. More than half of his connections from downtown have been unassisted, showing that he is more than capable of creating his own shot. On the defensive end, the freshman currently leads his conference in steals per game (2.2) and has one of the best steal rates (4.3 percent) in the country.

2. LaMelo Ball, Illawarra Hawks

(Photo by Anthony Au-Yeung/Getty Images)

We asked Lonzo Wire co-editor Jacob Rude his thoughts on LaMelo Ball’s draft stock, especially after his recent injury. He told us: “Coming into the NBL season, there were countless questions surrounding LaMelo Ball. What is his position? Is he only a shooter? Can he impact the game in any way other than scoring? Can he defend? He’s answered every question and then some in a breakout season with Illawarra. He’s a lead guard in the NBA that can score at multiple levels — even if there are some adjustments that need to be made to his jumper — and can be a top-tier playmaker. His defense has steadily improved and he shares many of the same instincts that make his older brother Lonzo a disruptive defender. Also like Lonzo, his high-IQ separates him from the rest of the pack. No matter where he lands, he’ll put people in the seats and will provide a franchise with a cornerstone guard.”

3. Nico Mannion, Arizona

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18-year-old Arizona point guard Nico Mannion has already looked the part of a future starter in the NBA, averaging 15.3 points per game. The 6-foot-3 freshman is shooting 40.5 percent from downtown, where he has thrived on catch-and-shoot opportunities. He has the second-most assists per game (5.7) in the Pac-12 Conference and also ranks Top 5 in assist percentage (33.7 percent) among all freshmen. Mannion also has the third-most points over replacement per adjusted game among all freshmen, per BartTorvik.com.

4. James Wiseman, Memphis

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Memphis big man James Wiseman, who was the No. 1 overall recruit in the nation, was one of the most exciting prospects in the nation coming into the 2019-20 regular season. He put up 21 points with 6 rebounds and 2 blocks in the Jordan Brand Classic back in March. Then before he was hit with one of the more surprising suspensions in the history of recent college sports, the 7-foot-1 freshman averaged 19.7 points and 10.7 rebounds with 3.0 blocks per game. For any team looking for a post presence, it will be hard to find one who fits the bill more than Wiseman.

5. Cole Anthony, UNC

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There was a ton of hype around this University of North Carolina freshman heading into the season. Cole Anthony, the son of former NBA player Greg Anthony, was the No. 2 overall recruit on ESPN’s Top 100 ranking index. The guard led his team in scoring at both the Jordan Brand Classic and the Nike Hoop Summit, scoring 25 points in both of the games. He also earned All-Tournament honors at the 2018 U18 Americas Championship. Since playing for the Tar Heels, he is averaging 19.1 points per game. But so far, the biggest issue for Anthony is that he has actually missed more than half of his attempts (44.1 percent) at the rim.

6. Onyeka Okongwu, USC

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When he was teammates with Lonzo Ball and LaMelo Ball at Chino Hills High School, their team won the national title. But after the Ball brothers left, Onyeka Okongwu won two more state titles and dominated with 4.3 blocks per game during his final year in high school. Now, his block percentage (13.2 percent) ranks second-best among all freshmen this season. He also ranks third-best in total dunks (22)in the NCAA. For more on Okongwu, check out this feature from our own Ben Pfeifer, who writes: “Okongwu has made his case as the 2020 draft’s top center. More than any other big, he combines the physical tools to hold up at the five along with a projectable offensive skillset necessary to survive in the modern NBA.”

7. Deni Avdija, Maccabi Tel Aviv

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Deni Avdija made headlines when he averaged 18.4 points and 8.3 rebounds per game at the U20 Euro Championship A earlier this. He won MVP of the tournament and led Israel to the gold medal as well. The 6-foot-7 wing has a smaller role for Maccabi Tel Aviv but has been efficient in the opportunities he has been given, shooting 51.2 percent from the field. The 18-year-old has been a fixture at Basketball Without Borders camps and while it is hard to tell how he will be able to fit in the NBA, there is enough potential to get excited enough for a lottery selection.

8. Obi Toppin, Dayton

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Dayton big man Obi Toppin has been one of the most efficient, high-volume finishers in the NCAA. No team is dunking the ball more often than Dayton and Toppin had thirteen dunks in the first two games of the season alone and has the second-most in college basketball. As such, Toppin is shooting 84.6 percent at the rim. But he has also looked sharp from long-range, per Hoop-Math, shooting an efficient 41.7 percent. Overall, his effective field goal percentage ranks No. 15 in the nation. According to BartTorvik.com, he currently has the second-best Player of the Year rating in the NCAA.

9. Vernon Carey, Duke

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Duke freshman Vernon Carey Jr. was the No. 6 overall recruit in the country coming into the season. During his first college season, the big man already has the third-best player efficiency rating (37.2) in the NCAA and has been a double-double machine. When you watch him play, it is clear he is the best player on the floor. Defenders have been clueless with how to defend him and no one has been fouled more often (8.9 fouls drawn per 40 minutes) than Carey this season. On the other side of the ball, his defensive rebound percentage (30.3 percent) ranks No. 1 among freshmen. He can also lock his opponents down, too, recording seven blocks in the only Blue Devils loss of the season thus far.

10. Isaac Okoro, Auburn

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Auburn freshman forward Isaac Okoro is known as a defensive specialist, averaging 1.2 blocks for his AAU team at Nike EYBL and 1.6 steals per game for Team USA at the U17 World Cup. But in college, he has averaged 13.9 points per game. One of the more exciting elements of his game is that just 37.5 percent of his connections at the rim have been assisted which means he can create his own offense. He is shooting 73.2 percent on two-pointers, currently Top 20 among all NCAA players. Okoro finishes well in a transition offense, averaging 1.30 points per possession (85th percentile) this season, per Synergy Sports.

11. Tyrese Haliburton, Iowa State

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During the U19 World Cup, 6-foot-5 point guard Tyrese Haliburton made the All-Tournament Team. Arguably the most important thing to know about the Iowa State guard is that he manages an unreal assist-to-usage rate. He ranks Top 5 in assists per game (8.2) among all NCAA players despite a relatively low usage rate. The Cyclones have scored 13.2 points per game on his pick-and-roll possessions when including his passes, per Synergy, which has been the best mark in his conference. Defensively, he rarely fouls opponents, as he is committing just 1.0 per 40 minutes.

12. Killian Hayes, Ratiopharm Ulm

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Killian Hayes led France to win the gold medal at the 2017 U16 Euro Championship A, winning MVP of the tournament. He had 16.6 points, 7.0 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game during the competition. The following year at the U17 World Cup, he averaged 16.1 points per game. The 18-year-old, 6-foot-5 guard is currently averaging 12.5 points and 6.9 assists per game in Eurocup competition for his team in Germany.

13. RJ Hampton, New Zealand Breakers

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While 18-year-old RJ Hampton was one of the most heralded recruits in the nation as the Texas Gatorade Player of the Year, the 6-foot-5 guard took the path-less-traveled and went overseas rather than play college basketball. In his games overseas thus far, he has been relatively underwhelming with just 10.4 points per game — a far cry from the 24.6 points that he averaged for his AAU team while on the Under Armour circuit. Hampton will have to spend his next month recovering, reportedly missing the next four weeks of the season with a hip injury.

14. Josh Green, Arizona

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Arizona Wildcats freshman Josh Green went to IMG Academy for high school, the same program that produced 2018 first-rounder Anfernee Simons. The 6-foot-6 wing is averaging 1.8 steals per game for Arizona, which have turned into several fantastic highlights plays in the open court. He has scored 60 points in transition thus far, per Synergy, which ranks Top 10 among D1 players.

15. Theo Maledon, ASVEL

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Theo Maledon is just 18 years old but has been a fixture on the professional basketball scene since 2015-16. He helped lead France to the gold medal at the U16 Euro Championship A, scoring 14.6 points per game. During the Jordan Brand Classic game, Maledon put up 15 points with 4 rebounds as well as 4 assists. He has missed some time this year due to injury but with all of the promise he has already shown, there may be enough to consider him in the first half of the first round.

16. Paul Reed, DePaul

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While 20-year-old junior Paul Reed had been flying under-the-radar, he is destined to continue improving his draft stock as his stellar play continues for DePaul. Originally recruited as a 6-foot-5 wing, he now stands at 6-foot-10 who is leading his conference in rebounds for the second season in a row. That has helped him be remarkably efficient in transition, occasionally even as the ballhandler. DePaul has just one loss so far this season, in which he recorded 18 rebounds with five blocks and four steals. He currently ranks Top 20 in block percentage (12.4 percent), including an absurd eight blocks against Minnesota.

17. Precious Achiuwa, Memphis

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Precious Achiuwa, a 6-foot-9 forward, has been tasked with leading what was supposed to be a star-studded Memphis Tigers team that has been hit with the suspension of Wiseman. But under Penny Hardaway, the team is still 8-1 to start the season and is playing at one of the fastest-tempos in college. His defensive rebound percentage (23.2 percent) and block percentage (6.0) both rank in the Top 15 among all freshmen. Achiuwa has also drawn 7.2 fouls per 100 possessions, which ranks Top 25 in the NCAA. Unfortunately, he is shooting just 1-for-6 (16.7 percent) from three-point range.

18. Aaron Nesmith, Vanderbilt

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Vanderbilt sophomore Aaron Nesmith is averaging 22.8 points per game in his first year playing for head coach Jerry Stackhouse. He is a three-point specialist, shooting 51.5 percent from downtown. His teammates have been fantastic at setting picks, where he has been tasked with shooting off the screen. The guard is currently averaging 1.58 points per possession on this play-type, per Synergy, the second-best (minimum: 15 possessions) among all D1 players. He is also scoring 6.1 points per game on these opportunities, ranking second-best as well.

19. Tyrese Maxey, Kentucky

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Tyrese Maxey, a 6-foot-3 guard, was a Top-10 recruit coming out of high school. He trailed only Cole Anthony and RJ Hampton as the top-rated combo guard prospects in the nation. He played for two AAU teams in Texas, averaging 24.4 points per game in the Nike 17U circuit. Maxey was 18-for-34 (52.9 percent) from three-point range playing for Houston Hoops. That prowess has not yet translated into his NCAA career, however, where he is only shooting 30.6 percent from beyond the arc.

20. Zeke Nnaji, Arizona

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Arizona freshman Zeke Nnaji is a 6-foot-11 freshman who is averaging 16.6 points per game. He is currently shooting 80.5 percent at the rim, connecting on 9-for-10 (90.0 percent) of his attempts when cutting to the basket. The big man has also drawn 6.1 fouls per 40 minutes, fifth-best in the Pac-12. When getting to the line, he is shooting an impressive rate (81.5 percent) on his free throw attempts for someone his size. While less heralded than his freshman teammates Mannion and Green, there is a lot to like about this Arizona team.

21. Isaiah Stewart, Washington

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Washington Huskies big man Isaiah Stewart recorded 17.6 points and 11.2 rebounds per game on the AAU circuit. He was also fantastic at the Jordan Brand Classic, scoring 16 points and 9 rebounds while shooting 2-for-2 from three-point range. He will need a resurgence in his jumper, shooting 0-for-5 from downtown at the University of Washington. While the Huskies have had a slow start to the year, he has already recorded 17 blocks this season, third-best in the Pac-12.

22. Jaden McDaniels, Washington

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Jaden McDaniels, whose older brother Jalen McDaniels was drafted by the Charlotte Hornets in the second round of the 2019 NBA Draft, was the No. 1 overall recruit at power forward coming into the season. His 6-foot-9 frame makes him an especially appealing prospect. As a freshman, he is averaging 15.0 points and 5.1 rebounds per game. But one red flag is that the forward currently leads the Pac-12 in turnovers (37).

23. Saddiq Bey, Villanova

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In the last three drafts, the Villanova Wildcats have put six players in the NBA — highlighted by four first-round picks. Many expect that trend to continue as they have two Top-20 recruits (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl and Bryan Antoine) on the roster. But the star of the show has been sophomore Saddiq Bey. Villanova has scored 114.6 points per 100 possession so far this season, the second-best offensive rating in the NCAA. But that rate has been even better (130.5) in the minutes that Bey has been on the court. He has hit 43.8 percent of his three-pointers and shoots incredibly well off the catch. He can also post-up smaller defenders and has surprisingly good playmaking in the pick-and-roll for someone who stands at 6-foot-8.

24. Cassius Stanley, Duke

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There are some serious shades of Zach LaVine in Cassius Stanley given his unique leaping and vertical ability. He is a high-flying wing who will get front office executives and fans alike excited with the dunks he is able to throw down. If he proves that his three-point shooting is no fluke and that Stanley is a legitimate option from long distance, there is little doubt he will have a role in the NBA as a 6-foot-6 wing.

25. Jahmi’us Ramsey, Texas Tech

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Texas Tech freshman Jahmi’us Ramsey is averaging 17.3 points per game, which has been an awesome start to his collegiate career. He is also shooting 46.4 percent from three-point range. The best news for Ramsey is that in a set offense, he is shooting 7-for-12 (58.3) on guarded attempts when shooting off the catch. Despite his 6-foot-4 frame, Ramsey has pulled down 5.8 rebounds per game. This has also helped him connect on five of his first seven attempts as the ballhandler in a transition offense.

26. Jordan Nwora, Louisville

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Louisville Cardinals junior Jordan Nwora has the best Player of the Year rating in the nation, per KenPom.com. He is shooting 42.1 percent from three-point range for Louisville so far this season. The junior is averaging 1.49 points per possession on spot-up possessions, via Synergy, which ranks in the 97th percentile among all players.

27. Devin Vassell, Florida State

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Since moving into the starting lineup as a sophomore, Florida State guard Devin Vassell has improved from 4.5 points per game last season to 12.4 points per game this season. The 6-foot-7 wing is shooting 44.8 percent from three-point range, including a perfect 3-for-3 from beyond the arc against the Indiana Hoosiers on December 3. Given his size and shooting ability, there is some real buzz about the FSU wing.

28. Jalen Smith, Maryland

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Maryland sophomore Jalen Smith is a prototypical center, averaging 13.5 points and 10.2 rebounds per game. The big man currently ranks Top 10 in defensive win-shares, averaging 9.6 blocks per 100 possessions and twice as many blocks per game as he did last season. He also has the second-best offensive rebound percentage (14.6) in the Big Ten. Under head coach Mark Turgeon, the Terrapins have sent Bruno Fernando (’19) and Alex Len (’13) into the NBA and Smith is clearly the next prospect in line.

29. Kaleb Wesson, Ohio State

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Based on the way the Ohio State Buckeyes are playing, they could be on the way to a Final Four appearance in both football and basketball this season. If such a rarity occurred, the hoops fans can give credit to junior big man Kaleb Wesson. The 6-foot-9 center is currently shooting 44.8 percent from three-point range and his jump shot ranks in the 93rd percentile among all players, per Synergy. He projects as a pick-and-pop option at the next level due to his no-dribble jumper in pick-and-roll sets.

30. Myles Powell, Seton Hall

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Seton Hall senior Myles Powell is a scoring machine who has averaged 22.9 points per game. The 6-foot-2 guard is also averaging 39.8 three-pointers per game and has been the most efficient, prolific NCAA player when shooting off screens. Overall, the senior ranks Top 10 in Player of the Year ratings on BartTorvik.com and No. 5 overall for POY ratings on KenPom.com.

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USC freshman Onyeka Okongwu is the 2020 NBA Draft’s top center

Throughout the beginning of his college career, Onyeka Okongwu has stood out. What makes him the top big in the 2020 NBA Draft class?

For a brief moment in time, Chino Hills was a basketball mecca. The California town with a population of 80,000 housed some of the nation’s most exciting basketball. In 2016, fans packed in to watch the best high school basketball team in the country dominate opponents on a nightly basis.

The Ball brothers — Lonzo, LiAngelo and LaMelo — headlined that 2016 juggernaut, dazzling crowds with virtuoso passes, busted ankles and Mariana-deep threes. Buttressing the paint was a freshman big from East Los Angeles by the name of Onyeka Okongwu.

Four years later, Okongwu is back in the spotlight, tearing up the hardwood a mere 40 miles away from his high school at USC. The 19th ranked recruit per RSCI, the freshman center has eviscerated his competition, emerging as one of the best big men in the country and earning my vote as the top big man in the 2020 NBA Draft, ahead of higher-ranked recruits like James Wiseman and Isaiah Stewart. Posting a per 100 line of 36 points, 18.1 rebounds, 5.8 blocks and 2.2 steals per game, a 65.3 true shooting percentage and 13.7 gBPM, he’s passed every test college basketball has tossed his way.

The center position in 2019 is an enigma. With the position becoming ever-more fungible, finding centers who shine in unique ways is more important than ever. While traditional rim-runner types still have value in this league, they aren’t difficult to find and are losing viability in high-leverage situations. Okongwu’s array of traits and skills inspire confidence for him as a serious value-add in the postseason. A physical specimen in the truest sense, Okongwu’s tools juxtaposed with his offensive arsenal project him as a good NBA player.

Beyond any level of nuance, one of the strongest predictors of NBA success is progress at the college level, especially paired with age. At 18 years old, Okongwu is producing like one of the best players in the country and in recent college basketball history.

The list of players since 2008 with college seasons of at least 10 gBPM, 65 TS%, 2 STL%, 5 BLK% and 20 dunks includes the following: Zion Williamson, Anthony Davis, Brandon Clarke, Udoka Azubuike, Xavier Tillman, Jordan Bell, DJ Stephens, Joel Embiid and Onyeka Okongwu. Though it is important to note Okongwu’s competition so far, he occupies the same company as some of the best college players ever, two of which are NBA stars and two more are ultra-promising rookies.

Notably, the only players in this group who hit those benchmarks in their freshmen seasons were Williamson, Davis and Embiid. It will be important to see whether Okongwu can sustain his level of production or something close to it but a spot on this list is noteworthy nonetheless.

Herculean in stature, Okongwu is a physical monster, not even considering his age. Standing 6-foot-9, 245 pounds with a seven-foot plus wingspan, Okongwu can play center at the NBA level despite his height. He annihilates his competition athletically; his frame combined with his powerful leaping, sturdy lower body and rare mobility is special.

Those tools fuel his elite defensive upside. We’ll begin with a highlight from the Orlando Invitational against Marquette in which nothing much happens, just a solid hedge and recover. This play encapsulates Okongwu’s freakish mobility and fluidity for a human of his size and strength. Okongwu moving around the floor is mesmerizing; he dances around the floor with speed and lightness of foot rarely seen among big men:

Comically large, Okongwu inundates smaller and less athletic opponents with his size alone. His length shuts down passing lanes without trying; he sticks his paws out and forces a turnover:

Okongwu’s primary allure on the defensive end is his projection as a high-level rim protector, with length, a springy vertical leap and acute help instincts protecting the rim. Sporting a 12.1% block rate, Okongwu blocks out the sun, swallowing any shot that approaches the rim. When ballhandlers pierce the lane, Okongwu springs into action, turning his hips, rising up and spiking the layup off of the glass:

Routinely guarding large swathes of the painted area, Okongwu’s sheer size has overwhelmed his competition. His timing hunting blocks and positioning in the paint are both impeccable; he steps up to help on the drive, flips around to face the ball and pins this shot:

His length pops off of the screen constantly; Markus Howard dribbles into a floater to combat the rim protection, but Okongwu doesn’t care and flicks his shot away from the rim:

Standing on two tree trunks, Okongwu is immovable in the post for most big men seeking buckets in his vicinity. That lower body strength helps him hold position and his length and vertical explosion clean up:

One of the more impressive facets of Okongwu’s defensive package is his discipline, verticality on contests and his aversion for fouls. Okongwu is fouling 4.9 times per 100 possessions, a staggeringly low number, especially for freshmen.

He’s fouling less than recent one-and-done bigs Jaxson Hayes (8.6), Jaren Jackson (8.6), Mo Bamba (5.0), Wendell Carter (6.0), Karl-Anthony Towns (8.8) and Joel Embiid (8.9). His ability to elevate and contest vertically is the cherry on top of his rim protection:

The ground Okongwu can engulf in a flash makes him a threat to erase shots ostensibly out of his vicinity. He surprises shooters unprepared to deal with his speed and length, sprinting out to knock this three off of its trajectory:

Okongwu’s ballerina feet and hip mobility aid him as a perimeter defender and make him legitimately switchable, an ultra-rare trait for a center. Watch and marvel as the behemoth Okongwu flips his hips, slides with the attacker, slips under the screen and calmly blocks his shot:

Graceful on the perimeter and domineering in the paint, Okongwu’s ultra-fluid feet and slippery hips allow him to routinely stick with penetrating wings and even some guards. When his speed isn’t enough, his stride length and wingspan are excellent corrective tools:

Aside from the occasional motor inconsistency, Okongwu’s positioning defending the pick and roll is just about average. With his violent hedges, Okongwu can overextend himself, sliding himself out of position, too far up to contain the drive. He stops a tad too high here and is blown by:

On the offensive end, Okongwu’s physical tools are the foundation for his offensive prosperity thus far in his college career. He’s too strong, mobile and explosive for many of his opponents. With real estate above the rim, Okongwu is a monster lob threats as a roll man on cuts. Though he isn’t a high volume roller (9.2% of his possessions come on the roll), his athleticism projects him well in that role in the NBA:

Adding to Okongwu’s potential as a roll man is his hands. Okongwu snares passes anywhere in his vicinity, holding onto balls in traffic and snagging dishes and converting layups:

As a scorer, Okongwu’s primary method of attack is out of the post. He’s obliterating defenders down low, placing in the 96th percentile on post-ups, shooting 77.6% at the rim with 20 dunks. Okongwu is one of two players this season with 20 dunks so far, only trailing the human Everest, Udoka Azubuike. Assuming he plays 30 games, which is conservative, he is on pace for 66 dunks, a feat only 56 players since 2008 have accomplished.

Aside from pure physical dominance, Okongwu sports elite touch and a deadly jump hook, floating in shots around the rim. Heavy pressure doesn’t deter Okongwu as he finishes tough shots through contact. He’s ambidextrous as a finisher, scoring comfortably with both hands:

Okongwu’s post scoring holds some value in an NBA context, but it is diminished in a league favoring pace and space. The important points to glean from his interior scoring are his finishing ambidexterity and, more importantly, his wizard touch. Touch and free throw percentage — he’s shooting a solid 76.5% — are the two strongest predictors of future shooting development.

Given Okongwu’s absurd displays of touch, it is difficult to envision a scenario where he doesn’t extend his range to the 3-point line and shoot at a fairly high clip on good volume. He’s already comfortable out to 20 feet or so:

Okongwu’s rebounding is another plus on his profile; he’s posting a 22 defensive rebound percentage and a 13.3 offensive rebounding percentage. He traps shots ricocheting off of the glass in his awaiting arms, keeping possessions alive:

The darkest blemish on Okongwu’s offensive game is his passing feel and the overall quality of his decisions. With a below-average 0.5 assist-turnover ratio, he is in score-first mode all of the time, which works out more than it doesn’t due to his tools and touch. Often times Okongwu will miss passes like this (granted this lob would require an advanced decision, but it’s makeable), but he draws the foul anyways

However, there are times when he needs to pass out of the post or make a pass he misses. There are obvious lanes to kick out to shooters on many of his trips to the hole, but Okongwu has tunnel vision and misses them often:

He has some warts handling double teams. When Okongwu can’t overwhelm two defenders, his decision making isn’t great, he falls into the double here and loses the ball:

As smart people like the Stepien’s Ross Homan have pointed out, Okongwu possesses some passing feel suggesting more playmaking upside than he’s shown. The film backs up this claim. In certain instances, Okongwu will flash glimmers of passing acumen which often doesn’t materialize into anything, like this post skip:

Or this pass to a cutting Agbonkpolo from a faceup position:

One situation where Okongwu does well as a passer is on high-low reads. USC plays two bigs on the floor for many of their minutes and Okongwu has improved finding bigs sealing on the inside:

The optimal decision here is to pass out to Utomi, exploiting the dig, but Okongwu’s inner daredevil shines through here. With the weak side defender facing half-court, Okongwu feathers a pass away from and over him, throwing the shooter open on a pristine feed:

Through the first nine games of his college career, Onyeka Okongwu has made his case as the 2020 draft’s top center. More than any other big, he combines the physical tools to hold up at the five along with a projectable offensive skillset necessary to survive in the modern NBA.

It will be interesting to see how Okongwu fares against conference opponents. For the moment, though, Okongwu looks like the best big in the class and a lottery pick.

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NCAA players who are significantly improving their NBA draft stock

After approximately one month of the college basketball, a number of players have already begun to help their NBA draft stock.

After approximately one month of the college season, there are several players who have already improved their NBA draft stock.

Every year, there are players who are not rated highly on preseason NBA draft big boards but end up making a name for themselves with their play on the court. Last season, for example, few spoke about Murray State guard Ja Morant prior to the season, but ended up becoming the No. 2 overall pick.

Based on their performances thus far, here are some players who are helping themselves and who should be monitored as the season continues.

Tyrese Haliburton, Iowa State

Iowa State guard Tyrese Haliburton led Team USA to the gold medal at the 2019 U19 World Cup and he also earned All-Tournament honors at the event.

His assist-to-turnover ratio during those games was 6.9-to-one and he led the team in both two-point and three-point field goal percentage. He has continued that productivity with Iowa State, and he ranks second in the country in assists per game (8.9) so far this season.

Jonathan Tjarks recently wrote about why Haliburton might be the best-kept secret in college basketball due to an unusually low usage rate (via The Ringer):

“Haliburton is the poster child for the type of player who might have slipped through the cracks a generation ago. The advanced numbers tell a very different story about him than his relatively pedestrian traditional stats. Calling him undervalued only scratches the surface. He might have been one of the most valuable players in the country last season. The analytical model developed by ESPN’s Kevin Pelton rated Haliburton as the no. 6 prospect in college basketball last season, and the no. 2 prospect this year, behind only UNC freshman Cole Anthony.”

The guard was being projected as a Top 20 pick before the season, but now he is getting buzz as a lottery pick. He currently ranks No. 10 overall on ESPN’s Top 100 big board for the 2020 NBA Draft.

Jordan Nwora, Louisville

Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

Behind the strong play of junior Jordan Nwora, Louisville is undefeated through seven games and has the second-best Pomeroy Rating in the NCAA.

Coming off a season in which he won the ACC’s Most Improved Player award, the 6-foot-7 wing has been one of the best players in college basketball this year. For example, Nwora is currently No. 1 overall in Kenpom Player of the Year Standings.

Here is what Sam Vecenie wrote about Nwora in a recent mock draft (via The Athletic):

“He’s an elite catch-and-shoot guy with smooth mechanics and a lightning-quick release. The big leap last year came in attacking closeouts, though, where Nwora is now capable of getting into the teeth of the defense and using his underrated leaping ability to finish.”

Last season, we listed Nwora as one of the top prospects to return to school after withdrawing from the 2019 NBA Draft.

While he ranked No. 45 overall in our aggregate mock draft last season and as a late first-rounder in our first two editions of the 2020 AMD, now he may resemble a Top-20 pick. In fact, Kyle Boone of CBS Sports recently put him at No. 18 overall.

Obi Toppin, Dayton

(Photo by Darryl Oumi/Getty Images)

If you want to know why Dayton ranks No. 9 in the recent Top 25 from CBS Sports, look no further than the production from sophomore Obi Toppin.

Jonathan Wasserman recently wrote about why Toppin projects as a lottery pick in the 2020 NBA Draft (via Bleacher Report):

“No opponent has had an answer for Toppin so far. Georgia and Virginia Tech looked helpless in Maui. He’s returned a more decisive scorer and passer from the post and a confident three-point shooter. Between his power and athleticism, back-to-the-basket game and projectable jump shot, Toppin has quickly developed into one of the draft’s most convincing offensive big men.”

According to Barttovik.com, the forward has had the best season of anyone in college basketball thus far. He also leads all players in their advanced measurement for points over replacement, adjusted per games played at their usage rate.

Most impressive is that Toppin is shooting 88.9 percent at the rim, per Hoop-Math. But he has also made more than half of his jump shots from two-point or three-point range, which have accounted for about a third of his attempts.

During the first aggregate mock draft we did back in July, Toppin ranked at No. 56 overall. Now, both ESPN and Bleacher Report have him as a lottery talent on their big boards.

Onyeka Okongwu, USC

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Onyeka Okongwu is a former high school teammate of Lonzo Ball, LiAngelo Ball and LaMelo Ball at Chino Hills. Their team won 60 consecutive games when he was a freshman, including the national title.

But even after the brothers all left the school, Okongwu ended up as a three-time state champion and two-time California Mr. Basketball. As a senior, the big man was able to record 4.3 blocks per game.

Ricky O’Donnell explained why the 18-year-old is a prospect well worth watching (via SB Nation):

“Okongwu has perhaps been the biggest early-season revelation for NBA scouts so far. The USC center is long and strong at 6’9, 245 pounds, with a quick second jump, impressive agility, and refined rim-protecting instincts… Okongwu has an obvious fit in the NBA as a bouncy dive man who dunks everything on offense and can block shots and rebound on defense.”

During his collegiate debut for USC, he nearly put up a triple-double but with blocks (he had eight) instead of assists. Later last month, he scored 33 points in a game against Pepperdine.

These types of performances have helped Okongwu catapult to No. 6 overall in Wasserman’s recent mock draft for Bleacher Report.

Zeke Nnaji, Arizona

Jacob Snow-USA TODAY Sports

While fellow Wildcats freshmen Nico Mannion and Josh Green have received more attention, 6-foot-11 forward Zeke Nnaji has quickly become one of the biggest surprises in college basketball.

Jeremy Woo noted that Nnaji’s draft stock has “skyrocketed” since his NCAA debut (via Sports Illustrated):

“Nnaji brings a great blend of mobility on both sides of the ball, can hit a midrange shot, and has been able to alter shots thus far with his activity, despite a lack of plus length. He’s produced due in large part to his competitive motor and being opportunistic around the ball, playing physically and proving a tricky matchup.”

He is averaging 18.6 points per game including a dominant 26-point, 11-rebound performance on November 14 in which he did not miss a single attempt from the floor.

Nnaji is producing 1.37 points per possession on offense during the regular season, which currently ranks second-best among all D1 players (minimum: 50 possessions) thus far.

Honorable Mentions

Aaron Henry, Michigan State — He is averaging more points per possession on catch-and-shoot attempts than anyone else in the NCAA.

Aaron Nesmith, Vanderbilt — The 6-foot-6 wing is averaging 23.7 points with 4.9 three-pointers per game, shooting 54.0 percent from beyond the arc.

Myles Powell, Seton Hall — The senior guard currently ranks Top 10 in points produced among all college basketball players.

Cassius Stanley, Duke — Before his recent injury, the freshman had been one of the most electrifying prospects due to his insane leaping ability.

Markus Howard, Marquette — After scoring 91 points in his last two games, he ranks second in Player of the Year Standings for both Kenpom and Barttokiv.com.

Other names to know: Paul Reed (DePaul), Devin Vassell (Florida State), Trevelin Queen (New Mexico State), Desmond Bane (TCU), Kaleb Wesson (Ohio State)

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