Highlighting 4 Kansas City Chiefs prop bet predictions for the 2025 Super Bowl against the Philadelphia Eagles.
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The Kansas City Chiefs (17-2) and the Philadelphia Eagles (17-3) meet Sunday for Super Bowl LIX at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX). I’ve analyzed BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds and tabbed the 4 best Chiefs Super Bowl prop bets — listed below — as part of SportsbookWire’s expert NFL picks and predictions for the biggest game of the year.
The Chiefs and Eagles meet for all of the marbles for the second time in the past 3 seasons, this time in New Orleans.
While we can’t exactly use the last meeting as a blueprint of what is going to happen this time around, as we have different personnel, schemes, etc., we can use it as a reference point for some of the guys who were around before. And, we certainly know what Chiefs players are capable of doing in the big game, as this is their third consecutive trip to the big game, and the fifth time we’re seeing the likes of QB Patrick Mahomes, TE Travis Kelce, etc. in the Super Bowl in just the past 6 years.
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Best Chiefs Super Bowl prop bets
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:53 p.m. ET.
QB Patrick Mahomes UNDER 253.5 passing yards (-118)
Mahomes threw for 245 yards in the AFC Championship Game against the Buffalo Bills, and he managed just 177 yards in the AFC Divisional Round against the Houston Texans.
Mahomes threw for 320 yards in his final regular-season appearance against the Pittsburgh Steelers, and he threw for 260 yards against the Texans in a Saturday game in late December.
This is a rather high number for Mahomes, though. The Chiefs don’t really wing the ball down the field for giant plays, but they move the ball down the field rather methodically on short to intermediate routes to plays like TE Travis Kelce, or dump-offs to the running backs, etc. Don’t expect huge passing totals from Mahomes.
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RB Kareem Hunt OVER 42.5 rushing yards (-140)
In this second tour with the team, Hunt has been instrumental in the run to the Super Bowl.
In the Wild Card round against the Texans, he posted 44 rushing yards with 5.5 yards per attempt, and he added 64 rushing yards in the AFC title game against the Bills, although his average per tote dipped to 3.8 yards apiece.
He appears to have the confidence of the coaching staff right now, and not RB Isiah Pacheco, who has been slow to re-gain effectiveness after a lengthy injury absence.
RB Kareem Hunt ANYTIME TD SCORER (+140)
As mentioned, Hunt appears to be the runner of choice for coach Andy Reid and the Kansas City offense in this postseason, not Pacheco.
Hunt was able to find the end zone in each of the team’s 2 playoff games, and he also scored in his final 2 regular-season appearances, so he is working on a 4-game streak with at least 1 TD run. At plus-money, he is a good bet as he attempts to extend that streak. And, remember, he last appeared in Kansas City during the 2018 season, so he will be playing in his first Super Bowl with the team, so look for Hunt to be overly energetic.
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TE Travis Kelce OVER 6.5 receptions (+120)
Kelce is like a comfortable, old blanket for Mahomes. When all else fails, he knows he has the tried-and-true option at his disposal. The 2 have been through a lot in this extended dynasty run, and when it matters most, that’s where the quarterback will look first.
Kelce was mostly non-existent in the AFC Championship Game, going for just 2 receptions and 19 yards, but he did roll up 7 receptions for 117 yards and a score against the Texans in the Divisional Round, which marked a season high for receiving yards and average yards per catch in a single game.
In last season’s Super Bowl, Kelce managed 9 receptions for 93 yards, although that game did go deep into overtime, too. Still, against the Eagles, he had 6 grabs for 81 yards and a score in Super Bowl LVII. In Super Bowl LV against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a losing effort, he went for 10 receptions and 133 yards.
Kelce has 31 receptions in 4 Super Bowl appearances, averaging nearly 8 catches for game. At plus-money, it’s a good value play.
BET OVER (+120).
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