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Alabama’s statistical chances of making, winning CFP increase before SEC Championship, per FiveThirtyEight

After crunching the numbers, here are Alabama’s statistical chances of making and winning the CFP!

The Alabama Crimson Tide finished the regular season 11-1, with the lone loss to Texas A&M. Nick Saban and his team nearly went down to Auburn in the final game of the season, but won in a nail-biter that will be remembered for decades.

Now, Alabama will head to Atlanta to face the undefeated Georgia Bulldogs in the SEC Championship. The Crimson Tide are the underdogs in this matchup, which could determine whether or not the program can make the College Football Playoff and try to win national championship No. 19.

FiveThirtyEight, a data firm, reveals the updated statistical likelihood of Alabama making its way back into the playoffs to compete for national championship No. 19.

According to the numbers, Nick Saban and Alabama have a 39% chance to win the SEC title, a 63% chance to make the playoff and a 21% chance to win the national championship.

The numbers have slightly improved from the previous report last week.

Alabama will travel to Auburn to play in the Iron Bowl this Saturday for the final game of the regular season.

Roll Tide Wire will continue to cover the Crimson Tide as the team looks to make a run for another national title.

Contact/Follow us @RollTideWire on Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Alabama news, notes and opinion. You can also follow AJ Spurr on Twitter @SpurrFM.

Notre Dame’s updated road map to College Football Playoff

What do you think should need to happen to get Notre Dame in the College Football Playoff?

Notre Dame checked in sixth this week in the College Football Playoff rankings with two teams ahead of them set to play this weekend and another pair set to play next weekend. It seems like the Irish have a great shot at making the CFP for a third time in four seasons upon hearing that, right?

To quote Lee Corso, “Not so fast, my friend!”

Although those are the facts today, seemingly everything you hear appears to be hell-bent on a one-loss Big 12 champion (Oklahoma or Oklahoma State) moving past Notre Dame. The Irish will have to hope for whoever wins the Bedlam matchup this weekend to fall in next weekend’s Big 12 championship.

Here is the updated Notre Dame road map to the College Football Playoff after the week 12 CFP rankings were released with all percentages courtesy of the FiveThirtyEight college football tracker.

Slight changes to Alabama’s statistical chances of making CFP, according to FiveThirtyEight

One game remaining in the regular season, what are the Tide’s chances?

With the win over Arkansas at home, the Crimson Tide earned a matchup in Atlanta against Georgia for the SEC Championship, which will likely decide whether Alabama earns a spot in the 2021 College Football Playoff

FiveThirtyEight, a data firm, reveals the updated statistical likelihood of Alabama making its way back into the playoffs to compete for national championship No. 19.

According to the numbers, Nick Saban and Alabama have a 41% chance to win the SEC title, a 59% chance to make the playoff and a 19% chance to win the national championship.

The numbers have slightly improved from the previous report last week.

Alabama will travel to Auburn to play in the Iron Bowl this Saturday for the final game of the regular season.

Roll Tide Wire will continue to cover the Crimson Tide as the team looks to make a run for another national title.

Updated FiveThirtyEight Playoff predictions after third CFP Rankings release

The latest predictions and projections of who will make the College Football Playoff. Where is Ohio State according to FiveThirtyEight? #GoBucks

We’re getting down to the wire of the 2021 college football season, and once again, Ohio State is firmly in the mix. The Buckeyes are really the only team that’s been in contention down the stretch of each and every year the College Football Playoff has been in place. And so it is again.

But what are the Buckeyes’ chances of getting into all the fun? In fact, what are the other contenders’ odds of making the four teams that get to battle it out for national supremacy?

We have the same questions, so we keep tabs on the folks over at over FiveThirtyEight to see what their analytics say about every team that has a shot at the CFP. We kick the tires twice a week these days — once after the weekend’s games, and again after the CFP Rankings are unveiled midweek.

Here we are now two days removed from the third release of the College Football Playoff Rankings, one in which Ohio State remained at No. 4, so we’re at it again.

Here is Ohio State and the other contenders’ chances of making the College Football Playoff as we sit here in Week 12 after the latest rankings reveal.

Alabama’s statistical chances of making CFP take big jump, according to FiveThirtyEight

Alabama’s chances have skyrocketed! Check out the full breakdown.

Alabama got the win over New Mexico State at home this past Saturday, but the remaining two games on the Crimson Tide’s schedule are what will make or break Nick Saban’s 2021 crew.

If all goes well for the Crimson Tide, a matchup in Atlanta against Georgia for the SEC Championship may be the deciding factor for Alabama’s playoff hopes.

FiveThirtyEight, a data firm, reveals the updated statistical likelihood of Alabama making their way back into the top-four to make the playoff and compete for national championship No. 19.

According to the numbers, Nick Saban and Alabama have a 41% chance to win the SEC title, a 58% chance to make the playoff and a 22% chance to win the national championship.

The numbers have slightly changed from the previous findings last week, all of which have improved.

Roll Tide Wire will continue to cover the Crimson Tide as they continue to play throughout the 2021 college football season.

Notre Dame’s updated path to the College Football Playoff

It might not be likely but you’re at least able to see a path now.

Oh, and Go @thebadgerswire! Huge Wisconsin fans here.

Notre Dame got through the their road test at Virginia without issue as they steamrolled the shorthanded Cavaliers, 28-3. It wasn’t the prettiest of showings but it worked as the Fighting Irish defense but on a display against freshman quarterback Jay Woolfolk.

Now Notre Dame will sit and wait to see where they check-in with the latest set of College Football rankings as the new ones will be released on Tuesday night.

As long as they don’t fall though (and why would they?) the Irish should be in as good of shape as they could possibly ask for at this point.

Here is our weekly Notre Dame road map to the College Football Playoff this week, courtesy of the prediction machine at FiveThirtyEight:

FiveThirtyEight CFP Predictor: Oregon Ducks now have 3rd best odds to make playoff

With two games left on the schedule, FiveThirtyEight gives Oregon the third-highest chance to make the College Football Playoff.

It seems that popular polling site FiveThirtyEight and the worldwide leader in sports, ESPN, need to sit down and have a meeting. The two don’t seem to agree on the overall odds for certain teams to get into the College Football Playoff.

After their victory over Washington State on Saturday night, FiveThirtyEight now gives the Oregon Ducks a 41% chance to make the CFP, taking into account their game against No. 24 Utah this weekend, and the potential that they will once again face the Utes a few weeks down the road in the Pac-12 Championship game. Oregon’s 41% chance is ranked as the third-highest percentage in the nation, according to FiveThirtyEight, tied with the Ohio State Buckeyes.

ESPN, on the other hand, gives the Ducks just a 5% chance to make the CFP according to their Playoff Predictor, which is the 9th highest odds in the nation.

Regardless of who you choose to side with, none of it will matter unless the Ducks can take care of business this weekend and continue to win down the road as they get closer to December. Unless that happens, none of this matters.

It all starts on Saturday night with Oregon traveling to Salt Lake City to take on the Utes. Kickoff is set for 4:30 PT on ABC.

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Slight shift in Alabama’s statistical chances to make & win CFP, according to FiveThirtyEight

What are Alabama’s mathematical chances of making & winning the CFP?

Alabama rises to No. 2 in the latest AP top-25 after narrowly defeating LSU in a rather unexpected nail-biter of a game in Tuscaloosa. Now, with three game remaining in the regular season, the one-loss Crimson Tide team looks to keep the top-four spot currently held in the College Football Playoff rankings.

FiveThirtyEight, a data firm, reveals the updated statistical likelihood of Alabama making their way back into the top-four to make the playoff and compete for national championship No. 19.

According to the numbers, Nick Saban and Alabama have a 36% chance to win the SEC title, a 53% chance to make the playoff and a 19% chance to win the national championship.

The numbers have slightly changed from the previous findings last week, with some showing higher chances, others showing lower.

Roll Tide Wire will continue to cover the Crimson Tide as they continue to play throughout the 2021 college football season.

Where’s Oklahoma in FiveThirtyEight’s latest College Football Playoff Projections?

Where do the Oklahoma Sooners stand in FiveThirtyEight’s latest College Football Playoff projections?

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Coming off an impressive performance against the Texas Tech Red Raiders, the 9-0 Oklahoma Sooners made it to their much-needed bye week with an unblemished record. With their most challenging three games to go starting this week with Baylor, the bye couldn’t have come at a better time. Refreshed, reenergized, and hopefully a little bit healthier, the Sooners should be primed and ready for the stretch run of the season.

However, not playing has its drawbacks as the college football world quickly forgets what you did. With a new slate of college football games to analyze, those on the bye week don’t get to benefit from the “what have you done for me lately” crowd.

Not playing has dropped Oklahoma’s chances of making the College Football Playoff from 50% last week to 45% this week. Again, they have the third-best odds to make the playoff behind Georgia and Alabama, coming in just ahead of Ohio State at 42%.

FiveThirtyEight, led by Nate Silver, uses statistical analysis for polling and predicting results. For years, ESPN has used its analysis to predict the College Football Playoff participants, college football predictions, and bowl games. On Monday, FiveThirtyEight released its College Football Playoff projections, and the Oklahoma Sooners come in with the third-best chance to make it.

With a win against the Baylor Bears this week, the Sooners would have a 55% chance to make the College Football Playoff. A loss would drop Oklahoma’s chances to 26%. According to their projections, they’ll be in the College Football Playoff if the Sooners win out.

The road ahead won’t be easy. Though Baylor’s coming off of an improbable loss to TCU, they’re a tough team that will give the Sooners a fight. Much like they did last year, and we can’t forget the performance Jalen Hurts had to put on to will the Sooners to victory the last time Oklahoma played in Waco.

After that, they’ll play host to Iowa State, which has been a tough matchup the last few years. Then they’ll finish the season with arguably the most formidable defense on their schedule in the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Bedlam has a chance to be a matchup of top 10 teams to close out the regular season.

Oklahoma controls its destiny. As long as they keep winning, they’ll be right where they want to in December and January. A loss, and they’ll need a lot of help along the way to reach the College Football Playoff.

Contact/Follow us @SoonersWire on Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Oklahoma news, notes, and opinions.

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FiveThirtyEight sees Oregon’s playoff chances soar after win over Washington

Oregon held a 23% chance to make the CFP last week, according to FiveThirtyEight. That number went way up after a win over the Huskies.

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The sheer fact that the College Football Playoff selection committee announced that the Oregon Ducks were ranked No. 4 in their playoff rankings a week ago came as a surprise to much of the nation. With it came the notion that the Ducks have a real shot at making it to the playoff at the end of the year.

Since those initial rankings came out, one of the top teams — Michigan State — lost, and the Ducks will likely move up after a solid win against rival Washington Huskies.

With the victory, FiveThirtyEight updated their playoff predictions, giving the Ducks an increased chance to get into the final four.

Oregon now sits with a 37% chance to make the playoff, according to FiveThirtyEight, which is up for just 23% a week ago. That percent chance is the fifth highest in the nation, behind Georgia, Alabama, Oklahoma, and Ohio State.

While all four of those teams have tough, top-10 rated games left on the schedule, the Ducks should reasonably be able to get out of the regular season without another mark on their record, with remaining games against Washington State, Utah, and Oregon State. Of course, all three of those games have the potential to bring trouble for Oregon, but they will enter each contest with a better roster, and a reasonable expectation for victory.

We will see if the playoff committee moves the Ducks up on Tuesday night when the official rankings are released for the second time.

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