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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-27) and Atlanta Braves (22-24) cap off a four-game set Sunday at 1:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP JT Brubaker is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 3-3 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9 in 44 IP over 8.

Brubaker was roughed up in his last (May 18 at St. Louis: 5 runs in 5 2/3 IP), but he went into that start with a fine 2.58 ERA. Control has been a bit of an issue of late. Brubaker has walked 7 batters in his last 16 2/3 IP.

LHP Max Fried is the projected starter for the Braves. He is 1-2 with a 5.46 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 10.3 K/9, and 3.5 BB/9 in 28 IP over 6 starts.

Fried exited the last game due to cramping in his left hand, but he is expected IL stint in April; he has since logged a 1.59 ERA in 17 IP.

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Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+100) |  Pirates +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Braves 5, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

Highlighted by a 20-1 victory on Friday, the Braves have taken the first two games of this series. The Pirates lost Friday and Saturday and are 1-5 in their last six games and 6-16 in their last 22.

A price of 170-plus would make for more confidence in the play, but PITTSBURGH +165 is the lean here. Underlying batted-ball analytics indicate that Brubaker has been good enough to warrant a go, and there is enough gray area in Fried’s fitness and enough bullpen leverage on the Pirates side to warrant a play on the underdog.

The Pirates are 4-2 over their last six road-park get-away days.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PIRATES +1.5 (-120) should be a slight lean for bettors who want a bit of “Pittsburgh-is-a-bad-team” insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

Looking at Statcast numbers and some batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures in key situations, both sides are undercooked a bit with their offensive numbers.

The weather forecast calls for temps in the high-80s and an outward breeze (which figures to impact Fried’s fly-ball stuff more than Brubaker’s ground-ball stuff).

BACK THE OVER 8 (-110).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-26) and Atlanta Braves (21-24) play the second of a four-game set Saturday at Truist Park with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Mitch Keller is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 2-5 with a 7.16 ERA, 1.81 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 5.5 BB/9 over 32 2/3 IP through 8 starts.

Keller actually hasn’t been horrible this season, and he keeps the ball in the park. He has served up just four home runs across his 32 2/3 innings.

However, he also has issued 13 walks with just 19 strikeouts, including at least two free passes in each of his past four outings.

RHP Bryse Wilson is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 5.5 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 over 18 IP through 4 starts.

Wilson will be recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett to face the Bucs. He allowed two earned runs, six hits and no walks with five strikeouts across six innings in a no-decision against the Toronto Blue Jays May 11, his last appearance in the majors.

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Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-115) | Braves -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 9 (Over -120 | Under +100)

Prediction

Braves 7, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

The Braves (-200) certainly found their hitting shoes on Friday, rolling up 20 runs, including two grand slams and seven total homers, rebounding with authority after a series-opening loss Thursday.

But Atlanta has just been too erratic this season to lay two times your potential return. AVOID, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BRAVES -1.5 (-105) are much more affordable on the run line at near even money. Hopefully, they didn’t blow all of their runs in Friday’s 20-run outburst.

Atlanta should get plenty of base runners against the walk-happy Keller, but Wilson coming up from the farm is a concern.

He was good last time out and is working for a more permanent role with Huascar Ynoa (hand) on the injured list, so perhaps Wilson shows out.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-120) flexed a little muscle on Friday night, dropping a 20-burger on the Bucs.

Pittsburgh’s offense should be much better against Wilson, who has allowed north of five runs in his four showings in the majors to date.

And the Braves will certainly be able to touch up Keller, so double digits in total runs should easily be within reach.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (17-25) will visit the Atlanta Braves (20-23) to kick off a four-game series Thursday. First pitch from Truist Park will be at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates at Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Wil Crowe is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 0-2 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 in 20 2/3 IP over 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.

The Pirates have lost three straight games started by Crowe, though he’s pitched at least five innings and allowed three or fewer runs in each of those appearances.

In his last time out against the Giants, Crowe struck out five batters across five innings and allowed three runs on six hits.

LHP Drew Smyly is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 2-2 with a 5.23 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 31 IP over 6 starts.

In his last two starts, Smyly has pitched 12 innings and allowed just one earned run with eight strikeouts and eight hits. The Braves won both games over the Milwaukee Brewers and Washington Nationals.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Braves -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-130) | Braves -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Braves 6, Pirates 3

Money line (ML)

The Braves are slight favorites at -185 despite dropping six of their last 10 games, including three of their last four. Smyly seems to have found a groove, though and has helped the Braves win his last two starts.

I like the BRAVES (-180) to win at home tonight with the lefty on the hill against a Pirates team that has scored more than three runs only twice in their last seven games.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Pirates are 19-23 ATS this season and both teams are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games. I like the BRAVES -1.5 (+105) to cover the spread at home. They’ll tag Crowe for 4-5 runs and keep a sputtering Pittsburgh offense in check.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has gone Under in each of Crowe’s last four starts, but in six of the last seven meetings between these teams, it’s gone Over the projected line.

Neither pitcher has performed particularly well this season, which I think will help push the line OVER 8.5 (-120).

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (19-16) and Atlanta Braves (19-22) play Game 2 of a three-game set Tuesday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

The Mets took Monday’s opener 3-1 to snap a three-game slide as the Braves lost a second in a row and the fifth in their last seven games.

As of this publishing, the Mets had not named Tuesday’s starting pitcher and could go with an opener. Manager Luis Rojas said RHP Jordan Yamamoto and LHP Thomas Szapucki, both with Triple-A Syracuse, are options. Yamamoto has pitched in 20 major-league games but only 4 last season and 1 this year, while Szapucki would be making his MLB debut.

  • Yamamoto in 2021: 1-0, 3.38 ERA (2 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 0 BB and 1 K in 1 relief outing with the big-league club; 0-1, 4.70 ERA (7 2/3, 4 ER) 1.70 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 5.9 BB/9 in 2 Triple-A starts
  • Yamamoto career vs. Braves: 0-0, 12.46 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 2.08 WHIP, 10 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
  • Szapucki in 2021: 0-1, 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 11 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 2 Triple-A games (1 start and 1 relief outing)

LHP Tucker Davidson is projected to start for the Braves, marking his second-career MLB appearance. The rookie southpaw debuted last season and took a loss with 2 earned runs (7 total) allowed in his only start.

  • Last outing: Loss in MLB debut, 1 2/3 IP, 7 R, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 2 K, 53 pitches, in 8-2 home loss to Boston Red Sox Sept. 26, 2020
  • 2021 with Triple-A Gwinnett: 2-0, 0.64 ERA (14 IP, 1 ER), 0.71 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, 1.9 BB/9 in 2 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Mets at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Braves -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-160) | Braves -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Braves 5, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

ATLANTA (-145) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

The Mets won Monday, but they resemble a MASH unit. RF Michael Conforto and 2B Jeff McNeil landed on the 10-day injured list with hamstring injuries prior to the 3-1 victory, joining 3B J.D. Davis, OFs Brandon Nimmo and Albert Almora and RHPs Jacob deGrom, Carlos Carrasco and Noah Syndergaard.

OF Kevin Pillar is also out after suffering multiple nasal fractures when getting hit in the face by a pitch Monday night.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. I wouldn’t bet on the Mets with all their injuries and the Braves are one of the worst ATS teams this season.

ATS records: Mets 15-20 | Braves 15-26

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the play. I don’t see much offense coming out of the Mets lineup, which is depleted by injuries. Plus, they’re averaging only 3.49 runs per game, which ranks 29th in the majors.

O/U records: Mets 14-18-2 | Braves 22-18-1

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JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 42-45-2 12-15-1 -7.695
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 145-130-3 61-56-1 +5.855
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (17-16) visit the Atlanta Braves (17-17) for a three-game interleague set beginning Tuesday with a 7:20 p.m. ET first pitch at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Blue Jays LHP Robbie Ray makes his sixth start of the season at 1-1 and with a 3.14 ERA. He has a 1.15 WHIP and 9.1 K/9 against 2.8 BB/9.

  • Giving up a hard-hit rate of 48.7% and is seeing a staggering 20% of fly balls leave the yard but is stranding 93.5% of base runners.
  • Held the Braves to 2 earned runs over 6 2/3 innings April 30. He struck out 5 with no walks but 1 home run allowed.

The Braves hadn’t named a starter by the time of publishing but RHP Bryse Wilson is expected to lead a bullpen day. He is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA, 1.92 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 over 12 IP spanning 3 starts.

  • Tossed 5 innings with 2 earned runs allowed in his first start of the season but went 4 and 3 innings in his last two starts and hasn’t thrown 70 pitches in a single outing this season.
  • The Braves bullpen combines for a 4.45 ERA and 4.40 xFIP over 127 1/3 innings of work.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Blue Jays at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Braves -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (+145) |  Braves +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Blue Jays 7, Braves 4

Money line (ML)

The BLUE JAYS (-110) are the play in this pick ’em.

Atlanta is 29th in baseball with a .557 team OPS against left-handed pitching and has struck out in 27.2% of plate appearances in the split.

Ray excelled against the Braves in the first head-to-head meeting this season and is a safe bet to pitch deeper into the game than Wilson.

Toronto is 10th in MLB with a .709 team OPS against right-handed pitching and strikes out in 22.7% of plate appearances.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+145) should also be backed to win by 2 or more runs for better value.

There’s worry in a Toronto bullpen ravaged by injuries but the Atlanta relief corps has struggled all season as well.

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the OVER 9 (-105) with the Blue Jays expected to get to Wilson early and both bullpens likely to give up some late runs.

Toronto played to the Over in five straight games while going 3-2 straight up in those outings.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (16-17) play the Philadelphia Phillies (18-16) Sunday for the rubber match of their three-game set at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta battled back from a 3-run deficit twice in its 8-7 extra-innings victory Saturday. The Braves were down 3-0 after the second inning but scored two in the bottom of the 9th to send it into extras.

Atlanta then rallied from three runs back entering the bottom of the 12th to win with a walk-off RBI single by RF Ehire Adrianza.

Season series: Phillies lead 5-3.

RHP Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies. He is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 7 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 6 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 10 K Tuesday vs. the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Career vs. Braves: 11-6 with a 3.03 ERA (130 2/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.15 WHIP and 8.1 K/9 in 21 starts.
    • vs. Braves on the current roster: 197 at-bats with a .254/.323/.447 slash line and 11 HR.

RHP Huascar Ynoa is the projected starter for the Braves. He is 3-1 with a 2.36 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 over 6 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Win in 7 IP with 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 4 K at the Washington Nationals Tuesday. Ynoa helped himself out and provided his own run support by hitting a grand slam.
  • Career vs. Phillies: 0-0 with a 2.45 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.09 WHIP and 4.9 K/9 over 1 start and 3 relief appearances.
    • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 18 at-bats with a .222/.333/.444 slash line.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Phillies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Braves -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Braves +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Phillies 4, Braves 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the PHILLIES (-110) for 1 unit because Philly has its ace on the mound against an Atlanta lineup that’ll be easier to navigate if OF Ronald Acuna Jr. misses tonight’s game due to a finger injury.

There’s a bit of noise in Ynoa’s basic pitching stats because Statcast grades Ynoa in the 22nd percentile of exit velocity and in the seventh percentile of hard-hit rate (50.6%).

A big reason for Ynoa’s sub-3.00 ERA is his fortunate .225 BABIP and 87.5% left-on-base rates.

Both bullpens are middle to bottom-10 units and while Atlanta has been a little more productive in the batter’s box this year, Nola has pitched well vs. Braves hitters.

Furthermore, there’s less noise in Nola’s numbers as Statcast grades Nola in the 74th percentile of hard-hit rate, 78th percentile of expected wOBA and 91st percentile in BB%.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because Ynoa has good stuff and should give his team a chance to win, Nola just has the edge and more importantly, the Phillies are 6-18 on the run line as road favorites since the start of last season.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) for a quarter unit since it has slightly reduced vig because all the Under action in the market has steamed this total down from the 8-run opener.

Both starters are strong and winds are blowing from left to right, which doesn’t aid the hitters, and we are getting the worst of the number.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (15-17) host the Philadelphia Phillies (18-15) Saturday at 7:20 p.m. ET in Truist Park for Game 2 of their three-game set. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves with MLB picks and predictions.

Philadelphia drilled Atlanta 12-2 last night after chasing Braves starter Charlie Morton when the Phillies lineup went through the entire lineup, scoring six runs in just two outs in the 1st inning.

Season series: Phillies 5-2.

RHP Vince Velasquez is the projected starter for the Phillies. Velasquez is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.64 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 over 3 starts and 3 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-3, in 6 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 6 K Monday vs. the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Career vs. the Braves: 1-6 with a 4.83 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.59 WHIP and 10.9 K/9 over 12 starts and 2 relief appearances.
    • Vs. Braves on the current roster: 148 at-bats with a .304/.373/.486 slash line, 43/15 K/BB rate, 4 HR and 15 RBIs.

RHP Ian Anderson gets the nod for the Braves. Anderson is 2-1 with a 3.27 ERA (33 IP, 12 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 7-2, in 4 IP with 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 5 K at the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday.
  • Career vs. the Phillies: 0-0 with a 4.35 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.16 WHIP and 11.3 K/9 in 2 starts.
    • Vs. Phillies on the current roster: 41 at-bats with a .220/.273/.439 slash line, 16/3 K/BB rate, 3 HR and 5 RBIs.

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Phillies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Braves -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-135) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Braves 7, Phillies 5

Money line (ML)

PASS even though Atlanta’s the right side, and where I’m putting my money in the following section because based on recent performance the Braves (-175) for the game and -165 for the First 5 Innings is too pricey.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The story of Philadelphia’s 2020 season was the terribleness of its bullpen, but it has slightly improved. Philadelphia’s bullpen ERA and FIP are bottom-10 and Atlanta’s are top-10, but those stats can be misleading.

For instance, the Phillies’ relievers are top-10 in xFIP and SIERA, which are pitching-only ERA estimators, while the Braves’ relievers are bottom-10 in those metrics.

I say all this to lead into my point that I trust Atlanta could get an early lead given this starting pitching matchup, but I’m not very confident the Braves hold onto a lead.

Also, Atlanta’s lineup is top-6 in wOBA, wRC+, BB/K and ISO vs. right-handed pitching whereas Philadelphia’s lineup is in the bottom-third of the Majors in each of those categories.

BET the BRAVES -0.5 (-120) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (+105) alternate total for a quarter unit only since these teams have a combined 2-7 O/U record when these starters are on the mound, and I do not want to lay -120 with the regular total. However, the Over has cashed in four consecutive Phillies-Braves meetings, all in Atlanta.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (13-16) play the Washington Nationals (12-13) Wednesday in Game 2 of their three-game set at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta beat Washington 6-1 Tuesday thanks to an outstanding game by RHP Huascar Ynoa both on the mound and in the batter’s box.

Ynoa pitched 7 scoreless innings and hit a 6th inning grand slam to put the game out of reach.

Season series: Braves lead 3-1.

LHP Max Fried makes his fourth start for the Braves. He is 0-1 with an 11.45 ERA (11 IP, 14 ER), 2.55 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 3 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss in 4 IP with 7 ER on 9 H and 2 BB with 3 K in Atlanta’s 14-8 loss to the Miami Marlins April 13. Fried exited the loss with a right hamstring strain and this is his first start since.
  • Career vs. Nationals: 1-2 with a 6.48 ERA (25 IP, 18 ER), 1.72 WHIP and 9.4 K/9 across 6 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 49 at-bats with a .388/.456/.571 slash line and 2 HR.
    • Career at Washington’s ballpark: 0-1 with a 14.21 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 3.16 WHIP and 9.9 K/9 over 3 starts.

RHP Erick Fedde gets the start for the Nationals. Fedde is 2-2 with a 4.43 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 5 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 6 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 7 K in Washington’s 8-2 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday.
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-2 with a 14.06 ERA (16 IP, 25 ER), 3.00 WHIP and 7.3 K/9 across 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • vs. Braves on the current roster: 45 at-bats with a .378/.517/.622 slash line and 2 HR.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Braves at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Braves 9, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

GIMME the BRAVES (-135) for 1 unit because even though both projected starters haven’t looked good against their opponent, Fried has much better stuff than Fedde and Atlanta’s lineup is far more productive than Washington’s.

Fedde’s numbers against this Braves lineup are shockingly bad and Washington’s bullpen is a bottom-3 unit in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB%.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS despite my projected score because the payout of Braves -1.5 (+120) isn’t big enough.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (+100) alternate line for a half unit mostly based on the numbers of the starting pitchers against their respective opponent. Washington’s lineup is also top-3 in wOBA, wRC+ and OPS against left-handed pitching.

Also, the Braves and Nationals are 10-3-1 O/U in their last 14 meetings and the Over cashed in five of their past seven games in Washington.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (10-12) and Atlanta Braves (10-12) meet up for the second game of their four-game set Tuesday at 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trevor Williams is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 2-1 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 3.7 BB/9 in 19 1/3 IP over four starts. A 50 percent ground-ball rate has helped Williams limit the opposition to one home run so far on the season. He faced the Braves once already in 2020 when he allowed just 1 ER in 5 IP while recording 4 strikeouts in a 13-4 victory at Wrigley Field April 17.

RHP Ian Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 4.5 BB/9 in 22 IP over four starts. Anderson shut out the New York Yankees for 6 2/3 IP in his most recent outing, a 4-1 road victory Wednesday. He has struggled with his control lately, though, walking 4 in each of his last two outings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cubs at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:53 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs +1.5 (-140) | Braves -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Braves 6, Cubs 4

Money line (ML)

BRAVES (-160) is the way to go. Williams has been serviceable for the Cubs to this point, allowing 2 ER or fewer in three of four starts. But he isn’t working very deep into games, is giving up a lot of hard contact, and let’s not forget, he put up a 5.60 ERA across 37 starts the previous two seasons.

The Braves have the pitching edge in this one, and they get the benefit of playing at home. Look for them to come out on top against the Cubs for the fourth time in five tries this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Braves have won five games at home this season, with four of those games each decided by a single run. This looks like a line to PASS on.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Atlanta bats came to life Monday after they had scored a total of just 10 runs in their previous five games. Look for the Braves to put up more runs against Williams Tuesday.

On the other side, Anderson hasn’t been quite as effective as he was during his 10 starts (including playoffs) in 2020. The Cubs should hold up their end as well, keeping the game close and pushing the total OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (10-11) and Atlanta Braves (9-12) get a four-game series underway Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zach Davies is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. Davis is 1-2 with a 8.80 ERA, 2.09 WHIP, 5.9 K/9 and 6.5 BB/9 through 15 1/3 IP over 4 starts. The veteran right-hander lasted fewer than 5 frames in three of his four starts. He went 4 innings against these Braves in a home loss April 16.

RHP Charlie Morton is the projected starter for the Braves. He is 1-1 with a 3.91 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 23 IP over 4 starts. In his last start (Tuesday) he limited the New York Yankees to 1 run over 6 innings. Morton has exhibited a would-be career-high 13.8% swinging-strike rate through his four turns and he has fanned 15 batters over his last 12 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cubs at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Braves -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs +1.5 (-125) | Braves -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Braves 6, Cubs 3

Money line (ML)

The Cubs offense had started to turn things around before being shut down by the Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff Saturday and Sunday. Chicago had a mere .561 OPS through April 14; that figure is up to .703 now but with the benefit of three big games that saw the Cubs total 44 runs on 11 home runs.

Chicago struggles against righty pitching and Atlanta is at its best against right-handers. In this equation, Morton is the sharper of the two righties these clubs will see at the outset.

Look for a bounce from a Braves offense that was shut out in both ends of a home doubleheader against the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday but leverage the run line. The current straight-up tag is too rich.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BACK THE BRAVES -1.5 (+105). Atlanta’s early-season offensive numbers have been undercooked by a low batting average on balls in play in the team’s high-leverage situations.

Peg the offense as being undervalued and Morton as being much the better option on the mound.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS.

There is just a sliver of a lean on the Over 8.5 (-105), but there are enough mixed trend and analytic signals to grind the lean down to no-go territory.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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