Pittsburgh Pirates betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (15-8) and Pittsburgh Pirates (13-12) meet for the finale of a 4-game series on Thursday. First pitch from PNC Park is slated for 12:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

Milwaukee lost the 1st two games of this series (4-2 and 2-1) and then rebounded with a 3-2 triumph Wednesday. The Brewers are 5-2 across their last 7 games despite scoring 3 runs or less 6 times.

The Pirate offense has a similar stretch going: Pittsburgh has scored 2 runs or less in 7 of its last 8 games.

Brewers at Pirates projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Mitch Keller

Peralta (2-0, 1.90 ERA) is lined up for his 5th start. He has registered a 0.76 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 in 23 2/3 IP.

Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 2-1 win at St. Louis Cardinals Friday
Career vs. Pirates: 2-1, 3.18 ERA (73 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 52 H, 24 BB, 86 K
Owns a 3.75 ERA across 150 career games

Keller (2-2, 4.80 ERA) is tabbed for his 6th start. He owns a 1.47 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 30 IP.

Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 4-2 loss vs. Boston Red Sox Saturday
Career vs. Brewers: 0-4, 6.23 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 36 H, 11 BB, 33 K

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Brewers at Pirates odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:01 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Pirates +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+138) | Pirates +1.5 (-166)
Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Brewers at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

PITTSBURGH (+102) is 5-2 across the last 7 series meetings.

Surface ERA numbers on both sides starters and bullpens diverge from expected figures in opposite ways, pointing to some value on the Pittsburgh side. And the career Peralta numbers against the Pirates are deceiving: per ESPN, current Pittsburgh bats own an aggregate .878 OPS against the veteran righty.

Keller owns a PNC ERA of 3.78 since 2022.

Peg the Pirates as a solid value in this matinee series finale. BACK THE PIRATES (+102).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better value on the ML.

Over/Under

The Over has been a lean all week but has so far gone 0-3. The Over 7 (-112) is just a slight lean in this one: the strongest play is the Pittsburgh ML side.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (14-8) and Pittsburgh Pirates (13-11) meet Wednesday in the 3rd contest of a 4-game series. First pitch from PNC Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-0

In Monday’s series opener, the Brewers put just 3 runners in scoring position in a 4-2 loss. On Tuesday, they managed just 3 hits. Milwaukee has filed 4 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 8 games.

Pittsburgh snapped a 6-game losing streak with Monday’s victory. Its offense has also been slowed of late: the Pirates have the same 7-of-8 stretch when it comes to plating 3 runs.

Brewers at Pirates projected starters

RHP Bryse Wilson vs. LHP Josh Fleming

Wilson (2-0, 3.29 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He has registered a 0.88 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 13 2/3 innings.

Made his last appearance Saturday, going 1 1/3 innings in relief; made his lone start this season April 17
Career vs. Pirates: 2-0, 2.40 ERA (15 IP, 4 ER), 15 H, 5 BB, 13 K in 2 starts and 3 relief appearances

Fleming (1-0, 1.74) is a member of the Pittsburgh bullpen being called on as an opener. He has logged a 1.06 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 10 1/3 innings.

Making his 1st start of the 2024 season; owns a 6.10 ERA over 22 career starts (vs. a 3.57 ERA as a reliever)
Last pitched Sunday, going 1 inning in relief
Has never faced Brewers before

Brewers at Pirates odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Brewers +102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Pirates -120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+160) | Pirates +1.5 (-194)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -102 | U: -120)

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Brewers at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 6, Brewers 4

Moneyline

PITTSBURGH (-120) is 5-1 across the last 6 series meetings.

This one is in the hands of the bullpens. Milwaukee’s (+102) 3.00 surface ERA ranks 7th in MLB; the Pirates’ 4.37 ERA ranks 21st. But the expected-ERA numbers, accounting for quality of contact, are very similar.

Peg the Buccaneers as being undervalued.

BACK THE PIRATES (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: better value on the ML.

Over/Under

The Over has been a lean all week but has so far gone 0-2. There are some clutch failings of late which are tamping down the batting numbers on both sides. The Pirates are 5 for their last 44 (.114) with runners in scoring position; the Brewers are 0 for 7 in this series.

A pitcher’s breeze is in Wednesday’s forecast, but the OVER 9 (-110) is still a lean.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (14-7) and Pittsburgh Pirates (12-11) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game a 4-game series. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 1-0

The Brewers put just 3 runners in scoring position in a 4-2 loss in Monday’s series lid-lifter. The loss snapped a 4-game winning streak.

Pittsburgh snapped a 6-game losing streak with Monday’s victory. The Bucs’ 4 runs Monday marked their most in a single game since April 14.

Brewers at Pirates projected starters

Undecided vs. LHP Bailey Falter

Today’s slot was ticketed for LHP Wade Miley, who recently went on the 15-day IL with an elbow issue. RHP Tobias Myers is a possibility for making this start. Myers is a 25-year-old who would be making his major-league debut.

Falter (1-1, 4.05 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has registered a 0.95 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 20 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 9-1 loss at New York Mets Wednesday
Career vs. Brewers: 0-0, 1.17 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
Owns a 4.70 ERA across 218 1/3 career innings

Brewers at Pirates odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Brewers -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Pirates -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+155) | Pirates +1.5 (-188)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Brewers at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

PITTSBURGH (-110) is 4-1 across the last 5 series meetings.

Milwaukee (-106) has scored 2 runs or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games. If Myers is tabbed for the start, that’s a hurler who owns a 5.63 ERA over his last 56 minor-league games.

Figure on the bullpens being much involved in this one and that the Pittsburgh side of that equation, while being the lesser unit, offers some hidden value.

BACK THE PIRATES (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: better value on the ML.

Over/Under

The total has gone Over in 10 of Milwaukee’s last 14 games. The total has gone Over in 8 of the Brewers’ last 10 games when playing on the road at Pittsburgh.

Strength-of-schedule wise, both clubs have faced tougher-than-average pitching. The Over is the likable side here. Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 8.5 (-105) and a fully-vested play if the price gets to even money.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (14-6) and Pittsburgh Pirates (11-11) open a 4-game series in Western Pennsylvania with 1st pitch in Monday’s lid-lifter set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Milwaukee won last year’s series 8-5

The Brewers head to Pittsburgh fresh off a 3-game sweep at the St. Louis Cardinals. Despite ranking 2nd in the league in scoring (5.89 runs per game), Milwaukee has scored 2 runs or less in 3 of its last 4 games. The Brewers won all 3 of those low-output contests and tote a 4-game win streak into this series.

Pittsburgh has also filed some low-scoring games of late, but the Pirates have been losing them. The Pirates lost 3 in a row to the Boston Red Sox over the weekend, plating just 4 runs along the way. Pittsburgh has scored just 1.50 RPH in going 0-6 since April 15.

Brewers at Pirates projected starters

RHP Joe Ross vs. RHP Jared Jones

Ross (1-1, 4.91 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 14 2/3 IP.

Last outing: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 7-3 loss vs. San Diego Padres last Monday
Career vs. Pirates: 1-1, 2.33 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 19 H, 3 BB, 24 K in 4 starts

Jones (1-2, 3.13 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He owns a 0.78 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 12.5 K/9 in 23 IP.

Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 3-1 loss at New York Mets Tuesday
The 22-year-old rookie is facing the Brewers for the 1st time
Has not filed a walk since his March 30 MLB debut and has posted 14-or-more swinging strikes in each start

Brewers at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Pirates -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (+190) | Pirates -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Brewers at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

Pittsburgh is 3-1 across the last 4 series meetings.

Pitching is the great equalizer, but streaks losing streaks are often tough to get into going against the grain.

Figure the PIRATES -130 being a small-value play; consider a partial unit for this wager.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better value on the ML.

Over/Under

The total has gone Over in 10 of Milwaukee’s last 13 games. The total has gone Over in 8 of the Brewers’ last 9 games when playing on the road at Pittsburgh.

Strength-of-schedule-wise, both clubs have faced tougher-than-average pitching.

Of late, the Pittsburgh offense has been hemmed in by poor clutch hitting performances. The Milwaukee bullpen has posted good early-season numbers but has been helped along by a .237 batting average on balls in play.

The weather forecast calls for an outward-blowing breeze, and there is moderate value on the OVER 7.5 (-118); that’s a price available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (10-10) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (11-8) on Friday with 1st pitch from PNC Park scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Pirates won all 3 games last season

Boston finished its series against the Cleveland Guardians on Thursday with a 5-4 home loss while failing to cover as a home favorite. After going down 5-1 in the, a 3-run 6th was not enough to overcome the deficit. LF Jarren Duran scored 2 runs and had 2 RBIs while RHP Cooper Criswell gave up 1 ER in 2 1/3 IP to pick up the loss.

Pittsburgh lost 9-1 on Wednesday and was swept in a 3-game series by the New York Mets. C Henry Davis scored the team’s only run off a DH Bryan Reynolds RBI while LHP Bailey Falter allowed 2 ER in 5 innings and took the loss.

Red Sox at Pirates projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Quinn Priester

Bello (2-1, 3.92 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.18 BB/9 and 8.27 K/9 through 20.2 IP.

Red Sox are 3-1 in his 4 starts; Bello has allowed just 9 total ER
In his 3rd season with Boston, Bello is on pace to have the lowest ERA of his career

Priester makes his 1st start of the season.

Went 3-3 with a 7.74 ERA last season in 10 games, starting 8
Was 1-1 with a 6.49 ERA in 5 road games in 2023

Red Sox at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $120) | Pirates -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-200) | Pirates -1.5 (+160)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Red Sox at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Pirates 4

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+100).

The Red Sox face a Pirates pitcher who struggled in his time in the majors last season and will be seeing his 1st action of the season. The Pirates are 0-3 in their last 3 games and 2-6 in their last 8. While they return home on Friday, the Red Sox have had hot bats recently, scoring 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 6.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

While Boston is expected to win against an unproven pitcher, neither team has played to par of late. The value is better on Boston’s moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

Boston has hit the Over in 2 of its last 3 games and has scored 4 or more runs in 6 of its last 9. Pittsburgh has hit the Over in 3 of its last 4 games and has given up 6 or more runs in 2 of its last 3.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (11-6) and New York Mets (8-8) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 1-0

New York picked up the 6-3 win in Monday’s series opener while covering as a -119 home favorite. Pittsburgh scored 3 runs in the top of the 6th, but the Mets rallied with 3 runs in the bottom of the 6th and scored 3 more in the 8th.

Reliever Aroldis Chapman took the loss, allowing 3 ER, 1 H, and 1 BB with 2 K (one on a wild pitch) in 1/3 of an inning before being ejected. The Pirates have lost 2 of their last 3 games.

Pirates at Mets projected starters

RHP Jared Jones vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Jones (1-2, 4.00 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 12.5 K/9 in 18 IP.

Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 8 K in a 5-1 road loss vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
First career start vs. Mets

Quintana (1-1, 3.45 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 4 K in a 16-4 win over the Atlanta Braves Thursday
Career vs. Pittsburgh: 5-2, 3.33 ERA (73 IP, 27 ER), 75 H, 11 BB, 67 K across 14 starts

Pirates at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +112 (bet $100 to win $112) | Mets -132 (bet $132 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-225) | Mets -1.5 (+184)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Pirates 4

Moneyline

BET METS (-132).

New York has won the last 2 games against the Pirates in New York and the Mets are 6-1 overall in the last 7 meetings in the Big Apple. New York is 4-1 in its last 5 games while Pittsburgh is only 2-4 in its last 6.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like Pittsburgh +1.5 (-225) to cover here especially as the Pirates are 12-5 ATS this season while the Mets are only 8-8, but they are not worth the (-225) risk. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in 2 of New York’s last 3 games and in 6 of the last 9 games. For Pittsburgh, the Over has hit in back-to-back games. The Over has also each of the last 3 Pirates-Mets meetings, but be aware that the Under has gone 5-5 in the last 10 meetings and that the Under has hit in 4 of New York’s last 10 and 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 10.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (5-1) and Washington Nationals (2-3) meet Thursday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Washington picked up the 5-3 win over Pittsburgh in Wednesday’s game 2 of the series, covering as a +139 home underdogs. The Pirates scored first, plating 2 in the top of the 2nd inning, but the Nationals answered with a 4-run bottom half of the frame for a lead they never would relinquish. 1B Joey Gallo snapped an 0-for-12 streak to open the season with a 3-for-4 outing, including a solo homer in the 2nd.

The loss was Pittsburgh’s first of the season and ended a 5-game win streak. RHP Mitch Keller was credited with the loss, yielding 5 runs — 4 earned — in 5 1/3 innings. LF Jack Suwinski had 2 of the Pirates’ 4 hits, including a solo blast in the top of the 6th to cut the Bucs’ deficit to 4-3.

Pirates at Nationals projected starters

LHP Martin Perez vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Perez (0-0, 2.08 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He has a 2.08 WHIP, 6.2 BB/9 and 4.2 K/9 through 4 1/3 IP.

Perez opened his 2024 campaign with a 7-2 win over the Miami Marlins Friday, allowing 1 ER on 6 H and 3 BB with 2 K
2023 road splits: 5-3, 5.18 ERA (73 IP, 42 ER), 26 BB, 43 K in 11 starts and 7 relief appearances
Career vs. Washington: 0-2, 7.80 ERA (15 IP, 13 ER), 21 H, 5 BB, 10 K across 3 starts and 1 relief appearance

Gray (0-1, 15.75 ERA) also makes his 2nd start. He has a 2.50 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 through 4 innings.

Gray opened his 2024 season with an 8-2 loss at the Cincinnati Reds March 28, allowing 7 ER on 8 H and 2 BB with 6 K
2023 home splits: 4-6, 5.49 ERA (59 IP, 36 ER), 62 H, 38 BB, 48 K in 12 starts
Career vs. Pittsburgh: 1-1, 4.15 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 11 H, 9 BB, 20 K in 3 starts

Pirates at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+125) | Nationals +1.5 (-150)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Pirates at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 7, Nationals 3

Moneyline

BET PIRATES (-135).

Pittsburgh has won 5 of its 6 games to start the season and is 4-1 in its last 5 matchups vs. the Nationals. The Pirates are also 4-2 in their last 6 matchups vs. the Nationals in D.C.

The Nationals have lost 2 of their last 3 games, and haven’t won back-to-back games since Sept. 19-20 of last season.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS..

Pittsburgh -1.5 (+125) should cover, but their odds are safer on the moneyline, especially with how impressive they’ve been to start the season.

I am also not a fan of doubling down on a team, backing them on the moneyline and the run line, but if you want to place a small wager here that’s fine. I’d recommend betting on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (+100).

The Over has hit in 5 of Pittsburgh’s 6 games, coming up short for the first time this season with Wednesday’s losing result. The Over is also 6-2 in its last 8 games dating back to last season.

For the Nationals, the Over is 4-1 to start their 2024 campaign. The Over has also hit in 2 of Pittsburgh’s last 3 wins vs. Washington.

This is only a lean because the Over and Under have been very even in recent meetings between these squads, going 5-5 in the last 10

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (1-0) and Miami Marlins (0-1) meet for the 2nd game of a 4-game series Friday with 1st pitch from loanDepot Park set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pittsburgh leads 1-0

The Pirates picked up a 6-5 win in 12 innings as +112 road underdogs Thursday to spoil Miami’s home opener. The Pirates scored 3 runs in the the 7th and 8th innings to tie the game at 5. Pittsburgh never led until 2B Jared Triolo hit an RBI single in the 12th.

LHP Jesus Luzardo started for the Marlins and allowed 2 H, 2 ER with 2 BB and 8 K in 5 IP. The Marlins scored 5 runs in the 1st 5 innings, but failed to score again and had only 1 hit after the 5th inning.

Pirates at Marlins projected starters

LHP Martín Pérez vs. LHP A.J. Puk

Perez (10-4, 4.45 ERA) made 20 starts and 15 relief appearances in 2023. He had a 1.40 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 141 2/3 IP as a member of the Texas Rangers.

2023 road splits: 5-3, 5.18 ERA (73 IP, 42 ER), 26 BB, 43 K in 11 road starts, 18 total road appearances
2023 vs. Miami: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (1 IP, 0 ER), 1 H, 1 K in 1 relief appearance, a 6-0 home win for the Rangers on Aug. 6
Career vs. Marlins: 1-1, 3.46 ERA (13 IP, 5 ER), 2 BB, 8 K through 2 starts and 1 relief appearance

Puk (7-5, 3.97 ERA) made 58 relief appearances in 2023. He had a 1.18 WHIP, 2.06 BB/9 and 12.4 K/9 in 56 2/3 IP.

2023 home splits: 4-3, 5.29 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 9 BB, 51 K across 34 relief appearances
2023 vs. Pirates: 1-1, 7.71 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 0 BB, 4 K in 4 relief appearances
Career vs. Pittsburgh: 8-6, 5.14 ERA (75 IP, 43 ER), 78 H, 97 K through 74 relief appearances

Pirates at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:34 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Marlins -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-200) | Marlins -1.5 (+165)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pirates at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 3, Pirates 2

Moneyline

BET MARLINS (-125).

Pittsburgh has not won back-to-back games in Miami since July of 2022, so I don’t expect the Pirates to pick up the win here. The favorite has also won 5 of the last 6 matchups between these squads.

This is a risky bet as it is hard for me to trust Puk, who is making his 1st career start after 142 games in relief, over a seasoned starting pitcher like Perez. However, Pittsburgh used a lot of its bullpen in Thursday’s win, so I like Miami to get the win here.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like Pittsburgh to cover here as a +1.5 (-200) road underdog, especially because I expect the Marlins to have trouble hitting against Perez and I have questions about Puk for Miami, but the Pirates are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8 (-115).

The Under has also hit in 5 of the last 7 Pittsburgh-Miami matchups overall and is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in Miami. The Under is also 3-1 in Miami’s last 4 wins vs. Pittsburgh. For Miami, the Under is 5-1-1 in its last 7 dating back to last season.

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Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (75-85) welcome the Miami Marlins (83-76) to PNC Park Saturday. First pitch is set for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 4-1

The Marlins beat the Pirates 4-3 Friday as -138 favorites to kick off the 3-game series. They could clinch an NL Wild Card spot with another win Saturday. Miami has won 4 of its last 5 and is 37-41 on the road this season.

The Pirates have been eliminated from postseason play for some time. Pittsburgh is 38-41 at home and is 5-5 over its last 10 games despite winning just once in its last 5 outings.

Marlins at Pirates projected starters

RHP JT Chargois vs. RHP Quinn Priester

Chargois (1-0, 3.67 ERA) makes his 5th start and 45th appearance. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 40 2/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 2 BB, 0 K in 16-1 home loss vs. Milwaukee Brewers on Sept. 22
2023 road stats: 1-0, 5.71 ERA in 17 1/3 IP over 1 starts and 20 relief appearances

Priester (3-2, 7.86 ERA) makes his 8th start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 44 2/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 5 BB, 4 K in 4-2 road loss vs. Cincinnati Reds Sunday
2023 home stats: 2-1, 9.82 ERA in 18 1/3 IP over 3 starts and 4 relief appearances

Marlins at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:52 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Marlins -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Pirates +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+105) | Pirates +1.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 6, Pirates 5

Moneyline

PASS.

The value on the moneyline isn’t great.

The Marlins are set to pitch a bullpen game, and they were destroyed when they tried the last time Chargois started.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PIRATES +1.5 (-125).

Five of the Pirates’ last 6 games have ended within a run, and they closed as moneyline underdogs in each of those, meaning even in 3 of the 4 losses they would’ve covered.

Pittsburgh is 83-76 against the spread (ATS) and has covered 5 of its last 6. Miami is just 8-11 ATS as a road favorite. Considering the trends, expect a close game and take PIRATES +1.5 (-125).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-105).

The Pirates are 85-69-5 O/U this season and have gone Over in 5 of their last 9 games. Pittsburgh covers the Over at the 5th-highest rate in MLB. The Marlins are 74-79-5 O/U this season and are 4-2-1 O/U in their last 7 games.

Neither team is starting a strong pitcher either which should result in extra runs being scored.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Miami Marlins (82-76) and Pittsburgh Pirates (75-84) meet Friday as they open a 3-game series. First pitch at PNC Park is slated for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 3-1

Miami scuffled in July and August, but is surging at the right time. Since Aug. 31, the Fish are 16-9. They head into the weekend a half-game ahead of the Chicago Cubs for the 3rd-and-final NL Wild Card berth.

The Pirates have also rallied over recent weeks. Pittsburgh is just 1-3 over its last 4 games but is a solid 17-11since Aug. 28.

Marlins at Pirates projected starters

RHP Edward Cabrera vs. RHP Quinn Priester (not confirmed)

Cabrera (7-7, 4.22 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 96 innings across 19 starts and 2 relief appearances.

Last start: Win, 5 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 5 K in 6-1 home win vs. Milwaukee Brewers Sunday
2023 road stats: 0-7, 6.04 ERA in 47 2/3 IP
Went 4 innings, allowing 3 R (0 ER) in his lone start against the Pirates (Sept. 18, 2021)
Has also spent time at Triple-A this season, but has been with the Marlins since Sept. 6 (1.89 ERA in 19 IP)

Priester (3-2, 7.86 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 44 2/3 innings across 9 games (7 starts).

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 5 BB, 4 K in 4-2 loss at Cincinnati Reds Sunday
The rookie has pitched 108 innings at Triple-A this season (4.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP).
Has not faced Miami

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Marlins at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines updated at 3:27 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Marlins -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Pirates +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+140) | Pirates +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 4, Pirates 3

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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