Tag: Atlanta Braves betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (21-29) fell to the Atlanta Braves (25-26) on Monday and will look to bounce back Tuesday at 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Stephen Strasburg is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 1-2 with a 4.43 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 5.3 BB/9 in 20 1/3 IP over four starts.

Strasburg has made two starts since returning from a shoulder strain, allowing 3 ER in 10 1/3 IP, with a 9/5 K/BB rate.

LHP Max Fried is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 35 IP over seven starts.

Fried got off to a rough start this season but has given up exactly 1 ER in each of his last four starts. He has faced the Nationals twice already with mixed results that add up to 6 ER in 7 IP with 9 strikeouts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Nationals at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:02 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-185) | home -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Braves 5, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The strikeouts and velocity for Strasburg are nowhere near his pre-2020 levels. Strasburg is also allowing a lot of hard contact for the second straight year, with a hard-hit rate of 47.3%.

Fried’s skills have slipped as well, and his recent success has been mainly due to an overcorrection on BABIP, from .513 in April to .230 in May.

But, Fried has the better offense supporting him and is facing a team that is 8-14 on the road this year.

Go with the BRAVES (-135) in this one.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Braves have won 14 games at home this season, with six of those coming by just a single run.

Odds are, this will be another pretty close game, and it is probably best to simply PASS on the total and look elsewhere for value.

Over/Under (O/U)

Atlanta has a 17-9-2 O/U record at home this season and this is a matchup of two big-name pitchers who aren’t at their best right now.

Furthermore, the Nationals rank eighth in wRC+ vs lefties, while the Braves are ninth in the category against right-handed pitching.

Neither team is likely to have a huge day, but both should do their part in pushing this total OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Atlanta Braves at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Braves at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (24-26) and New York Mets (25-20) wrap up a two-game series tonight on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2021 series: Mets lead 3-1

Friday’s opener was rained out and the Mets beat the Braves 13-2 Saturday behind a season-high 5 homers.

LHP Max Fried is the Braves’ projected starter for Sunday. He is 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA (35 IP, 18 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 7 starts this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 7-1 home victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on May 23
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-2, 2.73 ERA (56 IP, 17 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 9 starts and 5 relief appearances
  • 2021 vs. Mets: 0-1, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-1 home loss May 17

RHP Jacob deGrom is the Mets’ projected starter. He is 3-2 with a 0.80 ERA (45 IP, 4 ER), 0.60 WHIP, 14.8 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 7 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 9 K vs. Colorado Rockies on May 25 (Mets won 3-1)
  • Career vs. Braves: 8-7, 1.94 ERA (148 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 23 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Braves at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:21 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves +1.5 (-225) | Mets -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Mets 2, Braves 1

Money line (ML)

NEW YORK (-125) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Both starting pitchers are coming off solid outings, but a line like this on deGrom, the majors’ ERA leader, is too good pass up.

Plus, Atlanta is without LF Marcell Ozuna, who landed on the injured list Friday with two dislocated fingers. Ozuna led the NL with 18 homers last season. In off-the-field news, the two-time All-Star was arrested Saturday on charges of aggravated assault by strangulation and battery.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. Both clubs are under .500 ATS this season with the Braves owning the third-worst ATS record among all 30 MLB teams.

ATS records: Braves 19-31 | Mets 21-24

Over/Under (O/U)

Back UNDER 5.5 (+100) to WIN A HALF UNIT. Toss out deGrom’s first start of 2021, which went Over by a half run, and he’s 0-5-1 O/U for the season. Meanwhile, the Under is 4-2-1 in Fried’s starts, including 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts.

O/U records: Mets 18-23-2 | Braves 27-21-2

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 53-51-2 17-18-1 -1.66
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 156-137-3 66-60-1 +10.24
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Atlanta Braves at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Braves at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (24-26) and New York Mets (25-20) wrap up a two-game series tonight on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2021 series: Mets lead 3-1

Friday’s opener was rained out and the Mets beat the Braves 13-2 Saturday behind a season-high 5 homers.

LHP Max Fried is the Braves’ projected starter for Sunday. He is 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA (35 IP, 18 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 7 starts this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 7-1 home victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on May 23
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-2, 2.73 ERA (56 IP, 17 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 9 starts and 5 relief appearances
  • 2021 vs. Mets: 0-1, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-1 home loss May 17

RHP Jacob deGrom is the Mets’ projected starter. He is 3-2 with a 0.80 ERA (45 IP, 4 ER), 0.60 WHIP, 14.8 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 7 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 9 K vs. Colorado Rockies on May 25 (Mets won 3-1)
  • Career vs. Braves: 8-7, 1.94 ERA (148 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 23 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Braves at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:21 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves +1.5 (-225) | Mets -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Mets 2, Braves 1

Money line (ML)

NEW YORK (-125) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Both starting pitchers are coming off solid outings, but a line like this on deGrom, the majors’ ERA leader, is too good pass up.

Plus, Atlanta is without LF Marcell Ozuna, who landed on the injured list Friday with two dislocated fingers. Ozuna led the NL with 18 homers last season. In off-the-field news, the two-time All-Star was arrested Saturday on charges of aggravated assault by strangulation and battery.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. Both clubs are under .500 ATS this season with the Braves owning the third-worst ATS record among all 30 MLB teams.

ATS records: Braves 19-31 | Mets 21-24

Over/Under (O/U)

Back UNDER 5.5 (+100) to WIN A HALF UNIT. Toss out deGrom’s first start of 2021, which went Over by a half run, and he’s 0-5-1 O/U for the season. Meanwhile, the Under is 4-2-1 in Fried’s starts, including 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts.

O/U records: Mets 18-23-2 | Braves 27-21-2

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 53-51-2 17-18-1 -1.66
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 156-137-3 66-60-1 +10.24
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Atlanta Braves at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Braves at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (24-25) travel to Flushing, Queens for a three-game set with NL East rival New York Mets (24-20) at Citi Field. First pitch of Game 1 is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta is 5-5 in the last 10 games, splitting a two-game miniseries at the Boston Red Sox following a 3-1 series win over the Pittsburgh Pirates and losing a three-game series with New York last week.

The NL East-leading Mets beat the Colorado Rockies in three straight to win their four-game series and are 6-4 in their last 10 games, which included the Rockies, Miami Marlins and Braves.

Season series: Mets 2-1.

RHP Ian Anderson makes his 10th start for the Braves. Anderson is 4-1 with a 2.82 ERA (51 IP, 16 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 20-1, in 6 IP with 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 6 K last Friday vs. Pirates.
  • Career vs. Mets: 0-1 with 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 BB and 8 K in one start.
    • vs. Mets on the current roster: 13 at-bats with a .000/.235/.000 slash line and 6/4 K/BB.

RHP Taijuan Walker is the projected starter for the Mets. Walker is 3-1 with a 2.05 ERA (44 IP, 10 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 across eight starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 3 IP with 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 2 K in New York’s 3-1 win over Atlanta May 17.
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA (15 IP, 3 ER), 0.67 WHIP and 7.2 K/9 over three starts.
    • vs. Braves on the current roster: 34 at-bats with a .235/.308/.412 slash line, 7/3 K/BB, 1 HR and 2 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Braves at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Mets +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +105)

Prediction

Braves 5, Mets 1

Money line (ML)

I’m willing to BET the BRAVES (-160) for 1 unit at such a large price point despite Atlanta’s up-and-down play this whole year because Anderson has good stuff, and New York’s lineup is in tatters.

For instance, Anderson was the No. 3 overall pick in the 2016 MLB Draft and grades in the 77th percentile of exit velocity and 65th percentile of whiff rate.

Also, in Anderson’s first career start against the Mets, he struck out eight batters and had a 2.33 FIP but gave up a 3-run home run to 2B Robinson Cano, who’s serving a suspension.

In fact, several key New York hitters are out of the lineup such as 1B Pete Alonso, 3B J.D. Davis, 2B Jeff McNeil, OF Brandon Nimmo and OF Michael Conforto.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the BRAVES -1.5 (+110) for a half unit as I wouldn’t hate betting Atlanta’s run line instead of the money line, but I prefer Braves outright because their bullpen 19th in WAR and 24th in xFIP.

However, that daunting Atlanta lineup was underperforming through the first seven weeks of the season and is starting to round into form.

Over the past two weeks, the Braves hitters are fourth in both WAR and wRC+ and second in wRC+.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” UNDER 6.5 (+105) for a half unit because if this game is played it’ll be in crappy weather conditions, which I think favors the pitchers who’ve been solid against these respective lineups.

Furthermore, these teams have a combined 7-10 O/U when these starters are on the mound, Atlanta has played to the Under in six straight as a road favorite, and the Under in Braves-Mets is contrarian to a market where 71% of the money is with the Over, according to Pregame.com.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Braves at Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

Following their win on Tuesday night, the Atlanta Braves (24-24) will take on the Boston Red Sox (29-20) in Game 2 of the series on Wednesday night at Fenway Park. First pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Drew Smyly is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 2-2 with a 5.11 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 37 IP over 7 starts.

Smyly has allowed three or fewer runs in each of his last three starts, striking out 15 batters in his last 18 innings.

In 11 career games (nine starts) against the Red Sox, Smyly is 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 62 strikeouts in 57 1/3 innings.

RHP Nick Pivetta is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 5-0 with a 3.59 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 4.5 BB/9 in 47 2/3 IP over 9 starts.

Pivetta hasn’t factored into the decision in his last two starts, allowing four earned runs and two earned runs to the Toronto Blue Jays and Los Angeles Angels, respectively.

He does have 15 strikeouts in his last 11 innings and has only walked two batters in that span. Against the Braves in his career, Pivetta is 5-2 with a 4.74 ERA in 15 games (12 starts).

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves +1.5 (-185) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Braves 3

Money line (ML)

The Braves extended their winning streak to four games with a 3-1 win over the Red Sox on Tuesday night.

But, Boston now has Pivetta on the mound, who’s been the beneficiary of some great run support this year. In Pivetta’s starts, the Red Sox are 8-1 and have scored at least seven runs five times.

I like the RED SOX (-125) to win this one outright tonight.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

In their last 10 games, the Red Sox are now just 4-6 ATS. The Braves are marginally better at 6-4, with a perfect 3-0 ATS mark on the road in their last three.

I’d give a slight lean toward the Braves +1.5 (-185) but stick to the money line for the better upside.

Over/Under (O/U)

Atlanta has allowed one run in each of its last four games, while the Red Sox have allowed exactly three runs in three of their last four.

Smyly has a strong track record against Boston in his career and should be able to put together a quality start.

With the Over/Under set at 10.5 runs, I like the UNDER 10.5 (-115) tonight at Fenway.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (23-24) and Boston Red Sox (29-19) will open a brief two-game series Tuesday night at Fenway Park, with the first pitch coming at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Charlie Morton is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 45 IP over 9 starts.

In his last outing Morton pitched six innings of one-run ball against the Mets, allowing just two hits and striking out eight, but didn’t factor into the decision. He’s 0-1 in his last three starts and has a 6-1 career record against the Red Sox with an ERA of 4.01.

RHP Garrett Richards is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 4-2 with a 3.72 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 in 48 1/3 IP over 9 starts.

Richards has allowed two or fewer runs in four of his last five starts and is 4-0 in that stretch. He’s only made one career start against the Braves, going six innings and allowing no runs with 10 strikeouts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Braves 6, Red Sox 4

Money line (ML)

Both the Braves and Red Sox have been playing well lately, each winning four of their last five games. The Braves took three of four from the Pirates, outscoring Pittsburgh 33-3 in the final three games of the series. Their offense has been led by OF Ronald Acuna Jr., while the pitching staff more or less slowed down the Pirates and Mets.

I like the BRAVES (-115) to win this one outright on the road and extend their winning streak to four games.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Braves easily covered the spread in their last three games with three huge wins, but they’re only 18-29 against the spread this season. Boston, on the other hand, is 26-22 ATS, though only 5-5 in its last 10 games.

I wouldn’t wager much on the Braves to cover the spread, but a slight lean to ATLANTA -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under (O/U)

In the Red Sox’s last five games, the total has gone Over four times. Despite scoring just six runs in their last two games, Boston has one of the most potent lineups in baseball, as do the Braves.

With the power that both teams possess, I like the OVER 9.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Cameron DaSilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-27) and Atlanta Braves (22-24) cap off a four-game set Sunday at 1:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP JT Brubaker is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 3-3 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9 in 44 IP over 8.

Brubaker was roughed up in his last (May 18 at St. Louis: 5 runs in 5 2/3 IP), but he went into that start with a fine 2.58 ERA. Control has been a bit of an issue of late. Brubaker has walked 7 batters in his last 16 2/3 IP.

LHP Max Fried is the projected starter for the Braves. He is 1-2 with a 5.46 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 10.3 K/9, and 3.5 BB/9 in 28 IP over 6 starts.

Fried exited the last game due to cramping in his left hand, but he is expected IL stint in April; he has since logged a 1.59 ERA in 17 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+100) |  Pirates +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Braves 5, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

Highlighted by a 20-1 victory on Friday, the Braves have taken the first two games of this series. The Pirates lost Friday and Saturday and are 1-5 in their last six games and 6-16 in their last 22.

A price of 170-plus would make for more confidence in the play, but PITTSBURGH +165 is the lean here. Underlying batted-ball analytics indicate that Brubaker has been good enough to warrant a go, and there is enough gray area in Fried’s fitness and enough bullpen leverage on the Pirates side to warrant a play on the underdog.

The Pirates are 4-2 over their last six road-park get-away days.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PIRATES +1.5 (-120) should be a slight lean for bettors who want a bit of “Pittsburgh-is-a-bad-team” insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

Looking at Statcast numbers and some batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures in key situations, both sides are undercooked a bit with their offensive numbers.

The weather forecast calls for temps in the high-80s and an outward breeze (which figures to impact Fried’s fly-ball stuff more than Brubaker’s ground-ball stuff).

BACK THE OVER 8 (-110).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-26) and Atlanta Braves (21-24) play the second of a four-game set Saturday at Truist Park with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Mitch Keller is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 2-5 with a 7.16 ERA, 1.81 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 5.5 BB/9 over 32 2/3 IP through 8 starts.

Keller actually hasn’t been horrible this season, and he keeps the ball in the park. He has served up just four home runs across his 32 2/3 innings.

However, he also has issued 13 walks with just 19 strikeouts, including at least two free passes in each of his past four outings.

RHP Bryse Wilson is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 5.5 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 over 18 IP through 4 starts.

Wilson will be recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett to face the Bucs. He allowed two earned runs, six hits and no walks with five strikeouts across six innings in a no-decision against the Toronto Blue Jays May 11, his last appearance in the majors.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-115) | Braves -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 9 (Over -120 | Under +100)

Prediction

Braves 7, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

The Braves (-200) certainly found their hitting shoes on Friday, rolling up 20 runs, including two grand slams and seven total homers, rebounding with authority after a series-opening loss Thursday.

But Atlanta has just been too erratic this season to lay two times your potential return. AVOID, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BRAVES -1.5 (-105) are much more affordable on the run line at near even money. Hopefully, they didn’t blow all of their runs in Friday’s 20-run outburst.

Atlanta should get plenty of base runners against the walk-happy Keller, but Wilson coming up from the farm is a concern.

He was good last time out and is working for a more permanent role with Huascar Ynoa (hand) on the injured list, so perhaps Wilson shows out.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-120) flexed a little muscle on Friday night, dropping a 20-burger on the Bucs.

Pittsburgh’s offense should be much better against Wilson, who has allowed north of five runs in his four showings in the majors to date.

And the Braves will certainly be able to touch up Keller, so double digits in total runs should easily be within reach.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (17-25) will visit the Atlanta Braves (20-23) to kick off a four-game series Thursday. First pitch from Truist Park will be at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates at Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Wil Crowe is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 0-2 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 in 20 2/3 IP over 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.

The Pirates have lost three straight games started by Crowe, though he’s pitched at least five innings and allowed three or fewer runs in each of those appearances.

In his last time out against the Giants, Crowe struck out five batters across five innings and allowed three runs on six hits.

LHP Drew Smyly is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 2-2 with a 5.23 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 31 IP over 6 starts.

In his last two starts, Smyly has pitched 12 innings and allowed just one earned run with eight strikeouts and eight hits. The Braves won both games over the Milwaukee Brewers and Washington Nationals.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Braves -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-130) | Braves -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Braves 6, Pirates 3

Money line (ML)

The Braves are slight favorites at -185 despite dropping six of their last 10 games, including three of their last four. Smyly seems to have found a groove, though and has helped the Braves win his last two starts.

I like the BRAVES (-180) to win at home tonight with the lefty on the hill against a Pirates team that has scored more than three runs only twice in their last seven games.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Pirates are 19-23 ATS this season and both teams are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games. I like the BRAVES -1.5 (+105) to cover the spread at home. They’ll tag Crowe for 4-5 runs and keep a sputtering Pittsburgh offense in check.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has gone Under in each of Crowe’s last four starts, but in six of the last seven meetings between these teams, it’s gone Over the projected line.

Neither pitcher has performed particularly well this season, which I think will help push the line OVER 8.5 (-120).

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (19-16) and Atlanta Braves (19-22) play Game 2 of a three-game set Tuesday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

The Mets took Monday’s opener 3-1 to snap a three-game slide as the Braves lost a second in a row and the fifth in their last seven games.

As of this publishing, the Mets had not named Tuesday’s starting pitcher and could go with an opener. Manager Luis Rojas said RHP Jordan Yamamoto and LHP Thomas Szapucki, both with Triple-A Syracuse, are options. Yamamoto has pitched in 20 major-league games but only 4 last season and 1 this year, while Szapucki would be making his MLB debut.

  • Yamamoto in 2021: 1-0, 3.38 ERA (2 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 0 BB and 1 K in 1 relief outing with the big-league club; 0-1, 4.70 ERA (7 2/3, 4 ER) 1.70 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 5.9 BB/9 in 2 Triple-A starts
  • Yamamoto career vs. Braves: 0-0, 12.46 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 2.08 WHIP, 10 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
  • Szapucki in 2021: 0-1, 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 11 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 2 Triple-A games (1 start and 1 relief outing)

LHP Tucker Davidson is projected to start for the Braves, marking his second-career MLB appearance. The rookie southpaw debuted last season and took a loss with 2 earned runs (7 total) allowed in his only start.

  • Last outing: Loss in MLB debut, 1 2/3 IP, 7 R, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 2 K, 53 pitches, in 8-2 home loss to Boston Red Sox Sept. 26, 2020
  • 2021 with Triple-A Gwinnett: 2-0, 0.64 ERA (14 IP, 1 ER), 0.71 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, 1.9 BB/9 in 2 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Mets at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Braves -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-160) | Braves -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Braves 5, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

ATLANTA (-145) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

The Mets won Monday, but they resemble a MASH unit. RF Michael Conforto and 2B Jeff McNeil landed on the 10-day injured list with hamstring injuries prior to the 3-1 victory, joining 3B J.D. Davis, OFs Brandon Nimmo and Albert Almora and RHPs Jacob deGrom, Carlos Carrasco and Noah Syndergaard.

OF Kevin Pillar is also out after suffering multiple nasal fractures when getting hit in the face by a pitch Monday night.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. I wouldn’t bet on the Mets with all their injuries and the Braves are one of the worst ATS teams this season.

ATS records: Mets 15-20 | Braves 15-26

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the play. I don’t see much offense coming out of the Mets lineup, which is depleted by injuries. Plus, they’re averaging only 3.49 runs per game, which ranks 29th in the majors.

O/U records: Mets 14-18-2 | Braves 22-18-1

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JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 42-45-2 12-15-1 -7.695
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 145-130-3 61-56-1 +5.855
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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