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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (65-75) and Atlanta Braves (91-48) begin a 3-game series at Truist Park Friday. First pitch is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Pirates hit the road after taking 2 of 3 at home against the Milwaukee Brewers. In splitting their 4-games against the Braves this season, both teams have scored 25 runs. Pittsburgh is 10-10 against the NL East on the season.

Atlanta lost 2 of 3 to the St. Louis to began their 6-game homestand. They nearly allowed 10 runs per game in that series. The Braves are 45-24 at Truist Park this season and have scored the 2nd-most runs per game at home (5.87).

Pirates at Braves projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Bryce Elder

Keller (11-8, 3.93 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 169 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 4-2 win at St. Louis Cardinals last Friday
  • Last start vs. Braves: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 8-6 home loss on Aug. 8
  • 2023 road stats: 5-5, 4.62 ERA (87 2/3 IP, 45 ER), .262 OBA in 15 starts

Elder (11-4, 3.42 ERA) will make his 29th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 173 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 4-2 loss at the Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday
  • Only start vs. Pirates: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-5 road loss on Aug. 10
  • 2023 home stats: 6-1, 3.02 ERA (80 1/3 IP, 27 ER), .232 opponent batting average (OBA) in 14 starts

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Pirates at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Braves -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-105) | Braves -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I believe the Braves get the victory but not enough to put down more than 2 units to win 1 back. Atlanta is in a bit of a lull especially after losing at series at home to 1 of the worst teams in baseball. Just let this bet go and look toward the total in this game.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Again, as stated, I am just not as confident as usual when it comes to the Braves at home. I’ll stay away from this and look to the total.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).

This will be a tight low-scoring affair. The Pirates have their All-Star pitcher on the mound and while his results have been very mixed on the road, I believe he keeps this struggling offense in check. Keller has allowed more than 3 ER just once in his last 7 starts.

Elder has had a fantastic 1st full season up with the big club. After a bit of a mid-season slump, it seems like he has righted the ship allowing more than 1 ER in just one of his last 4 starts.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-27) and Atlanta Braves (22-24) cap off a four-game set Sunday at 1:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP JT Brubaker is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 3-3 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9 in 44 IP over 8.

Brubaker was roughed up in his last (May 18 at St. Louis: 5 runs in 5 2/3 IP), but he went into that start with a fine 2.58 ERA. Control has been a bit of an issue of late. Brubaker has walked 7 batters in his last 16 2/3 IP.

LHP Max Fried is the projected starter for the Braves. He is 1-2 with a 5.46 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 10.3 K/9, and 3.5 BB/9 in 28 IP over 6 starts.

Fried exited the last game due to cramping in his left hand, but he is expected IL stint in April; he has since logged a 1.59 ERA in 17 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+100) |  Pirates +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Braves 5, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

Highlighted by a 20-1 victory on Friday, the Braves have taken the first two games of this series. The Pirates lost Friday and Saturday and are 1-5 in their last six games and 6-16 in their last 22.

A price of 170-plus would make for more confidence in the play, but PITTSBURGH +165 is the lean here. Underlying batted-ball analytics indicate that Brubaker has been good enough to warrant a go, and there is enough gray area in Fried’s fitness and enough bullpen leverage on the Pirates side to warrant a play on the underdog.

The Pirates are 4-2 over their last six road-park get-away days.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PIRATES +1.5 (-120) should be a slight lean for bettors who want a bit of “Pittsburgh-is-a-bad-team” insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

Looking at Statcast numbers and some batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures in key situations, both sides are undercooked a bit with their offensive numbers.

The weather forecast calls for temps in the high-80s and an outward breeze (which figures to impact Fried’s fly-ball stuff more than Brubaker’s ground-ball stuff).

BACK THE OVER 8 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-26) and Atlanta Braves (21-24) play the second of a four-game set Saturday at Truist Park with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Mitch Keller is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 2-5 with a 7.16 ERA, 1.81 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 5.5 BB/9 over 32 2/3 IP through 8 starts.

Keller actually hasn’t been horrible this season, and he keeps the ball in the park. He has served up just four home runs across his 32 2/3 innings.

However, he also has issued 13 walks with just 19 strikeouts, including at least two free passes in each of his past four outings.

RHP Bryse Wilson is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 5.5 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 over 18 IP through 4 starts.

Wilson will be recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett to face the Bucs. He allowed two earned runs, six hits and no walks with five strikeouts across six innings in a no-decision against the Toronto Blue Jays May 11, his last appearance in the majors.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-115) | Braves -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 9 (Over -120 | Under +100)

Prediction

Braves 7, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

The Braves (-200) certainly found their hitting shoes on Friday, rolling up 20 runs, including two grand slams and seven total homers, rebounding with authority after a series-opening loss Thursday.

But Atlanta has just been too erratic this season to lay two times your potential return. AVOID, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BRAVES -1.5 (-105) are much more affordable on the run line at near even money. Hopefully, they didn’t blow all of their runs in Friday’s 20-run outburst.

Atlanta should get plenty of base runners against the walk-happy Keller, but Wilson coming up from the farm is a concern.

He was good last time out and is working for a more permanent role with Huascar Ynoa (hand) on the injured list, so perhaps Wilson shows out.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-120) flexed a little muscle on Friday night, dropping a 20-burger on the Bucs.

Pittsburgh’s offense should be much better against Wilson, who has allowed north of five runs in his four showings in the majors to date.

And the Braves will certainly be able to touch up Keller, so double digits in total runs should easily be within reach.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (17-25) will visit the Atlanta Braves (20-23) to kick off a four-game series Thursday. First pitch from Truist Park will be at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates at Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Wil Crowe is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 0-2 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 in 20 2/3 IP over 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.

The Pirates have lost three straight games started by Crowe, though he’s pitched at least five innings and allowed three or fewer runs in each of those appearances.

In his last time out against the Giants, Crowe struck out five batters across five innings and allowed three runs on six hits.

LHP Drew Smyly is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 2-2 with a 5.23 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 31 IP over 6 starts.

In his last two starts, Smyly has pitched 12 innings and allowed just one earned run with eight strikeouts and eight hits. The Braves won both games over the Milwaukee Brewers and Washington Nationals.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Braves -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-130) | Braves -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Braves 6, Pirates 3

Money line (ML)

The Braves are slight favorites at -185 despite dropping six of their last 10 games, including three of their last four. Smyly seems to have found a groove, though and has helped the Braves win his last two starts.

I like the BRAVES (-180) to win at home tonight with the lefty on the hill against a Pirates team that has scored more than three runs only twice in their last seven games.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Pirates are 19-23 ATS this season and both teams are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games. I like the BRAVES -1.5 (+105) to cover the spread at home. They’ll tag Crowe for 4-5 runs and keep a sputtering Pittsburgh offense in check.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has gone Under in each of Crowe’s last four starts, but in six of the last seven meetings between these teams, it’s gone Over the projected line.

Neither pitcher has performed particularly well this season, which I think will help push the line OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Cameron DaSilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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