2021 Virginia Football Schedule: Analysis, Best and Worst Case Scenarios

Breaking down and analyzing the 2021 Virginia Cavaliers football schedule with the best and worst case scenarios.

Breaking down and analyzing the 2021 Virginia Cavaliers football schedule with the best and worst case scenarios.


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2021 Virginia Football Schedule

Full schedule analysis with best and worst scenarios below

Sept. 4 William & Mary

Sept. 11 Illinois

Sept. 18 at North Carolina

Sept. 24 Wake Forest

Sept. 30 at Miami

Oct. 9 at Louisville

Oct. 16 Duke

Oct. 23 Georgia Tech

Oct. 30 at BYU

Nov. 6 OPEN DATE

Nov. 13 Notre Dame

Nov. 20 at Pitt

Nov. 27 Virginia Tech

Dec. 4 ACC Championship (in Charlotte)

Games vs. The Atlantic: at Louisville, Wake Forest

Missed Teams From The Atlantic: Boston College, Clemson, Florida State, NC State, Syracuse

Virginia Cavaliers Football Schedule Analysis: There’s a warm up against William & Mary, and then it’s Game On with a fun home game against Illinois followed up by a run of three ACC road games in the first four. That includes a trip to North Carolina along with a weeknight game against Miami. However, there’s a payoff in the second half of the year with four home games in the final six.

There aren’t any real breaks, though. Going to BYU isn’t any sort of a break in late October, and having to play Notre Dame is a bear. At least that’s at home along with the rivalry date with Virginia Tech.

Virginia Cavaliers Football Schedule Best Case Scenario: 9-3. It’s a bear of a schedule, but the Cavaliers take care of home games against Illinois and Wake Forest to go along with huge performances against Notre Dame and Virginia Tech. There’s a loss on the road to North Carolina here, and one to Miami there, and there’s likely a defeat to either the Irish or Hokies, but the team fights on through.

Virginia Cavaliers Football Schedule Worst Case Scenario: 4-8. The schedule is a bear, and nothing goes quite right. A loss to Illinois is just the start, and it just gets uglier from there with problems on the road again North Carolina and Miami, and with a loss at Louisville putting the pressure on in the second half. The finishing kick is a disaster with losses in all of the final four games.

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Report: ACC opts for conference-only schedule this fall

The ACC is the second conference to decide for a conference-only schedule this fall.

Just hours after the Big Ten announced its move to eliminate non-conference games this fall the ACC has announced it will do the same.

This announcement comes a day after it was first reported that UNC had suspended workouts for at least a week due to a ‘cluster’ of COVID-19 cases. UNC tested 429 student athletes, coaches, and staff members and returned 37 positive cases.

Brett McMurphy of Stadium reported the news on Twitter Thursday afternoon.

The announcement allows the season kickoff to be postponed by at least one month to better ensure the safety and wellness of players and coaches.

Also mentioned is the ACC’s decision to assist Notre Dame with as many games as is needed.

How does this affect the SEC?

Notre Dame was scheduled to play Arkansas on September 12th.

UNC was scheduled to play Auburn on September 12th.

Virginia was scheduled to play Georgia on September 7th.

The SEC has not made any announcements regarding a conference only schedule yet. Brandon Marcello of 247Sports tweeted that he was on the phone with an SEC coach who was “shocked” by the announcement out of the Big Ten, and that was before Brett McMurphy released the ACC’s announcement.

College Football News Preview 2020: Virginia Cavaliers

College Football News Preview 2020: Previewing, predicting, and looking ahead to the Virginia Cavaliers season with what you need to know.

College Football News Preview 2020: Previewing, predicting, and looking ahead to the Virginia Cavaliers season with what you need to know.


Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews & @PeteFiutak

– What You Need To Know: Offense | Defense
Top Players | Key Players, Games, Stats
What Will Happen, Win Total Prediction
Schedule Analysis
– Virginia Previews 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015

2019 Record: 9-5 overall, 6-2 in ACC
Head Coach: Bronco Mendenhall, 5th year, 25-27
2019 CFN Final Opinion Ranking: 23
2019 CFN Final Season Formula Ranking: 31
2019 CFN Preview Ranking: 27

No one knows what’s going to happen to the 2020 college football season. We’ll take a general look at where each team stands – doing it without spring ball to go by – while crossing our fingers that we’ll all have some well-deserved fun this fall. Hoping you and yours are safe and healthy.

5. College Football News Preview 2020: Virginia Cavaliers Offense 3 Things To Know

1990. That was the last time a Virginia offense scored at the level of the 2019 attack. The offense might have finished eighth in the ACC, but it averaged over 32 points per game, led the conference in time of possession, and was second in third down conversions.

It did what a Bronco Mendenhall offense is supposed to do.

However, the guy who made it all go is gone. QB Bryce Perkins was the only passer – not Joe Burrow, not Jake Fromm – to hit the Florida defense for 300 passing yards, and he pulled off one of the greatest performances in ACC history in the win over Virginia Tech. Now the Cavaliers have to find another quarterback who can move the offense like Perkins could.

Sophomore Brennan Thompson has been in the system for a few years and served as the No. 2 guy last year, but in come Keytaon Thompson from Mississippi State to make a big, big push. Thompson has the size and the dual-threat abilities, but Perkins was a 65% passer last season. The sample size is limited, but Thompson only hit 48% of his throws at MSU.


CFN in 60 Video: Virginia Cavaliers Preview
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Perkins was the team’s leading rusher, but 5-9, 210-pound Wayne Taulapapa led the team with 12 rushing scores and was second with 473 yards. PK Kier was the third-leading back, but he’s no longer with the program. Mike Hollis averaged over five yards per carry with three scores, and coming from Indiana is Ronnie Walker, a good-sized transfer who should be an instant part of the rotation.

The receiving corps loses leading receiver Hasise Dubois and the dangerous Joe Reed, but Terrell Jana can become a No. 1 target. It’s a thin group in terms of experience, but speedy Tavares Kelly came up with 14 grabs, and Dorien Goddard is a dangerous 6-3, 220-pound redshirt freshman in the mix.

The stats don’t do the Virginia offensive line justice. There were problems in pass protection – Notre Dame seemed like it spent the whole second half jumping on Bryce Perkins’ head – overall it was a relatively effective group. Now, with all five starters expected to return, it needs to be more of a killer for the ground game and has to be tighter at keeping defenses out of the backfield.

NEXT: College Football News Preview 2020: Virginia Cavaliers Defense 3 Things To Know

A look ahead to the Georgia football season opener vs Virginia

The Georgia football season opener will feature a UGA vs UVA matchup in Atlanta. The Virginia Cavaliers have not played Georgia since 2000.

Georgia and Virginia have met 19 times in the history of the two programs, with the first meeting dating back to October 30, 1897, a game that UVA won 17-4.

More recently, Georgia and Virginia met three times between 1995-2000. The Bulldogs are currently on a two-game winning streak against the Cavaliers.

The programs are again meeting on Monday, September 7th at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta for their season openers.

Georgia is coming off of another SEC Championship appearance and has hopes of returning to the College Football Playoff, while Virginia is a team that represented its division in last year’s ACC Championship Game against Clemson.

Both teams played in big bowl games. Georgia beat Baylor in the Sugar Bowl and Virginia fell to Florida in the Orange Bowl by a score of 36-28.

For Virginia, there’s absolutely zero pressure to go out and win this game. Georgia’s going to be the one with a top-five ranking playing in its home-state with lofty expectations.

Virginia’s offense will look different than it did last year, losing quarterback Bryce Perkins and some other offensive starters. But nine of its top ten tacklers return on defense.

That’s similar to Georgia’s scenario, though. UGA lost a ton of talent on offense, including star quarterback Jake Fromm, running back D’Andre Swift and four starting offensive lineman.

For both teams, we are asking the same question:

How will Georgia’s revamped offense do against Virginia’s experienced defense? 

How will Virginia’s revamped offense do against Georgia’s experienced, but also extremely talented defense?

Virginia did not play Wake Forest last season, so for many of these player it will be their first time facing Georgia QB Jamie Newman, a Wake Forest transfer. Expect them to bring pressure all night and try to make life difficult on Georgia’s offensive line, which will be starting a number of inexperienced players.

When Virginia has the rock, don’t expect it to be able to do much of anything. The Georgia defense is going to be just as, if not more ferocious than last year’s FBS-leading group.

Virginia’s running game ranked 12th in the ACC last season, and Georgia boasts the nation’s top run defense. At receiver, Virginia will be ok but if it can’t move the ball on the ground it’s going to be a long night for the Cavaliers.

Georgia hopes to end the season in the same stadium it starts it in, so look for the Dawgs to come out and make a statement, much like Alabama does when it plays these Power 5 programs in Arlington every few years.

Prediction: Georgia 38, Virginia 14

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2020 Georgia football schedule with predictions

A look at the 2020 Georgia football schedule with game-by-game predictions.

Here we take a look at Georgia’s 2020 football schedule with game-by-game predictions.

Georgia’s offense will look very different, with the departures of Jake Fromm, D’Andre Swift, Lawrence Cager, Andrew Thomas, Isaiah Wilson, Solomon Kindley and Cade Mays.

On the other hand, Georgia has recruited well to replace those guys, brought in Wake Forest transfer quarterback Jamie Newman, hired Todd Monken to run the offense and former Ole Miss head coach Matt Luke to coach the offensive line.

On defense, expect more of the same. Physical, sound football with a ton of players rotating in to keep each other fresh.

The schedule is by no means easy. A road trip to Tuscaloosa, games against Auburn and Tennessee and the annual meeting against Florida in Jacksonville will all present challenges.

Below is our game-by-game predictions for how Georgia’s season will unfold.

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Chargers select WR Joe Reed No. 151 overall

The Los Angeles Chargers add a wide receiver and return specialist in the fifth-round.

The Chargers selected former Virginia wide receiver Joe Reed with the No. 151 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.

Reed finished with 4,679 all-purpose yards in 50 career games, including 3,042 on kick returns, 1,465 receiving and 172 rushing in 50 games played (29 starts).

Reed was named First Team All-American kick returner and recipient of the Jet Award, given to the country’s top kick returner. He averaged 33.2 yards per return, while also amassing 77 yards for 679 yards as a wide receiver this season.

Reed is second all-time in the ACC for kick return yards (3,042) and third for kickoff return (28.7).

ESPN FPI projects outcome of every 2020 Georgia football game

ESPN FPI projected the outcome for every Georgia football game in 2020

The ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) has been updated to project the outcome of every Georgia football game in 2020.

First, what is the FPI?

ESPN defines it as a “measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.”

Related: 2020 Georgia football schedule – Game-by-game predictions

Before looking at the FPI’s game-by-game projections for next season, here’s a look at how the software thinks the Dawgs will do this season.

Projected win-loss: 10-2

Chance of winning out: 2.5%

Chance of winning conferenceL 23.6%

SOS rank: 37

Here’s the game-by-game projections:

Week 1: Georgia vs Virginia in Atlanta:

ESPN FPI’s percent chance to win: 95.3


Week 2: Georgia vs ETSU:

ESPN FPI’s percent chance to win: 99.9


Week 3: Georgia at Alabama:

ESPN FPI’s percent chance to win: 27.5


Week 4: ULM vs Georgia:

ESPN FPI’s percent chance to win: 99.2%


Week 5: Georgia vs Vandy:

ESPN FPI’s percent chance to win: 98.3


Week 6: Georgia vs Auburn:

ESPN FPI’s percent chance to win: 66.4


Week 7: Georgia at Missouri:

ESPN FPI’s percent chance to win: 90.2


Week 8: Bye week

ESPN FPI’s percent chance to win: N/A

Meet Joe Reed, Virginia’s all-purpose offensive weapon

Get to know one of the most versatile playmakers in the 2020 NFL Draft, Virginia’s Joe Reed

Some NFL teams would line Virginia receiver Joe Reed up out wide at the pro level; some would rush him out of the backfield. The Charlotte Court House, Virginia, product is game for anything. Heck, if teams want to use him at quarterback, safety, or on kick returns, he’s got experience doing that, too.

Reed leaves Virginia as a true do-it-all threat, with a team-high 77 receptions in 2019 (and seven touchdowns) and two kicks returned for touchdowns, tied for second-best in the FBS. Though he lit up the field at running back his senior year at Randolph-Henry High School (2,100 yards, 38 touchdowns), the Cavaliers astutely thought he’d be even better with the ball in his hands as a pass-catcher.

“Throughout my recruiting process, Virginia was the only camp I even attended. I always knew I wanted to go to Virginia,” Reed says by phone.

“I wanted to go to multiple camps a year and try out multiple positions, and let the coaches know they could put me in anywhere and also find myself and find out what I wanted to do. I committed to Virginia my sophomore year, and I had a fast recruiting process. When I got to Virginia, I was a receiver.”

Though Reed didn’t see much action on offense his freshman season with the Cavaliers, he made an immediate impact on special teams, returning 28 kicks for 678 yards total, a 25.1 average.

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The following season, Reed was an honorable mention All-ACC pick as a kick returner. His return average of 29.7 ranked eighth in the FBS, and his two kicks returned for touchdowns were tied for fifth. It was in this season the Cavaliers started to call his number more on offense; in 12 games, he tallied two touchdowns on 23 receptions and a rushing score on 21 carries.

In 2018, Reed was named third-team all-conference as a returner and set Cavaliers records for career kick-return yards and touchdowns. It was just a prequel to his senior campaign that would see him earn first-team All-ACC honors as an all-purpose player and return specialist.

When all was said and done, Reed, who graduated with a major in American Studies with a focus on pop culture, sports, and gender, and started a graduate program in Educational Psychology, finished his Cavaliers campaign as the all-time leader in multiple categories: kick return yards (3,042), kick returns (106), kick returns for touchdowns (five) and tied for longest return (100 yards).

He also holds the distinction of being the only player ever in the FBS to have more than 3,000 career kick return yards and a career return average exceeding 28 yards.

Now, Reed is ready to take everything he’s honed and package it up with a bow for the NFL team that calls his name at the draft later this month. He knows he will have to earn his keep on special teams, but more than an obligation, it’s a thrill.

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

“Kickoff returns and special teams in general is something I use to my advantage to help my team out,” Reed says.

“I have a unique combination of size, speed, vision, just being fearless when I have the ball. My biggest thing when I’m returning kicks is I just go. I love changing the game through special teams, even more so with returning the ball. I treat it just like I treat offense. I watch film; in practice I’m taking it seriously, I take extra reps after practice.”

It’s that extra, intangible element that should seal the deal for scouts after Reed’s impressive performance at the NFL combine in February, where he did better than expected with a 4.47 40-yard dash, 21 reps on the bench press, and a 38-inch vertical.

It ended up being a boon that Reed met his goals at the combine, as Virginia canceled its April 8 pro day due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Now, though Reed will take virtual meetings with teams, he has no further events at which to impress scouts before the NFL draft opens on April 23.

“I was pleased about the combine,” Reed says. “I’m the type of guy where I like to see the outcome of my sacrifices, the training I went through, the social life I put on hold, the meal plan, the sleep, all those sacrifices, I think my testing went really well and I was pleased with the outcome.”

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Reed’s combine training was, indeed, immersive. He spent weeks preparing at XPE Fort Lauderdale, working closely with agent Jon Perzley of Sportstars. After Virginia played in the Orange Bowl against Florida, Reed took about a week off to rest his body and regenerate with friends and family, and then it was off to work at XPE, where he overhauled everything from his diet to his conditioning to his sleep.

I started off with a meal plan that was tough at first. It didn’t taste the best, but within two or three weeks I felt a big difference in my body,” Reed says. A typical day would include gluten-free mini pancakes and two eggs for breakfast, a turkey burger on wheat with sweet potato fries for lunch, and grilled chicken, rice, and broccoli for dinner. 

“My only cheat day is Saturday,” Reed says, laughing. His cheat meal of choice? “I get a cheeseburger and fries, every time.” While in Fort Lauderdale, his go-to stop was BurgerFi.

In all, Reed reaped the benefits of his diet overhaul, gaining four pounds, decreasing his body fat, and getting stronger overall. His conditioning workouts, geared toward combine workouts like the 40 and vertical, were markedly different from college, where he lifted at a much heavier weight. The name of the game for combine training? Short-burst running and more reps at lower weight. 

“Another thing that I really had to dial in on was my sleep,” Reed adds. “I would try to get 10 to 11 hours of sleep every single night, turn my TV off, turn my phone off. That really helped my body, as well.”

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Perzley also helped Reed prepare for the whirlwind of NFL team interviews, setting up video chats with mock interviewers who asked him sample questions and gave him feedback on his performance.

Especially in isolation, there’s not much left for Reed to do now as he waits for the NFL draft to approach, except think about the ways he can contribute to a team next season. Over draft weekend, he’ll be in Charlottesville with his mom, dad, and brother. That was the plan even before the pandemic—Reed’s home is so remote that he doesn’t get cell service there, a somewhat crucial element during an entirely remote draft process—but with campus closed, the Reed family will now likely get a hotel suite.

Mom, who teaches kindergarten; Dad, who works security, and Reed’s brother “have been my biggest fans throughout these years,” he says.

“Whatever happens, I’ll be blessed either way.” He tries not to look at mock drafts or read too many projections; he’s confident there are enough teams with holes on their rosters he could fill. Reed touts his versatility in the slot, creating mismatches, motion, moving around, and running routes out of the backfield.

We discuss how the Super Bowl, in particular, with the way the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs use their pass-catching backs and offensive weapons, was a showcase for how NFL teams might use a player like Reed. “Just the way that they use their guys, I was looking at it and I was like, ‘That’s the type of player I think I can be at the next level,'” Reed says. 

“Whatever the coaches ask of me, I have the ability to go out there and do it and just not be a one-dimensional receiver.”

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Georgia football recruiting: 5-star RB TreVeyon Henderson sets commitment time

5-star Georgia football RB target Treveyon Henderson has announced his commitment time.

Georgia fans received some good news last week when five-star running back TreVeyon Henderson included the Bulldogs in his most recent cut.

Henderson cut his list of schools to nine: Georgia, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Texas, Ohio State, North Carolina, Penn State, Michigan and Oklahoma.

And now, it appears the 5-star ball carrier from Hopewell, Virginia is ready to commit.

On Thursday night, Henderson tweeted that he has made a decision, and then the following afternoon he posted that he will be committing at 7 p.m. on Friday.

Henderson ranks as the nation’s No. 17 overall prospect, No. 2 running back and No. 3 player in his state.

Ohio State is viewed as his leader, per the 247Sports Crystal Ball, which has 18 predictions going to the Buckeyes. Oklahoma and Virginia Tech are viewed as his other top choices.

The Buckeyes possess the nation’s top recruiting class for the 2021 cycle and recently landed a commitment from another elite running back, Georgia target Evan Pryor. If Ohio State lands both Pryor and Henderson in this class, that should secure the best 1-2 running back punch in 2021.

Henderson took a visit to Georgia in early February and holds over 40 offers.