The San Francisco 49ers player props may seem obvious, but we pick the best bets to make for Garoppolo, Kittle, Bosa, Buckner, and Mostert.
Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
The Super Bowl is the last gasp to bet on football — outside of the XFL — and this is the time with most bets possible. People love player props — and books like them too since fans usually lose money on them — and we’ve already taken a look at some Chiefs’ play props. Now it’s time for the Niners.
Jimmy Garoppolo passing yards
Over – Under 238.5
Let’s get this out of the way, expect this game to be more high scoring than we think it’s going to be. Both teams had top-five NFL offenses by almost any metric. The Niners were able to push around the Vikings on the ground. They absolutely ran over the Packers. The Chiefs should be the same . . . right?
Garoppolo averaged 10 yards more — 248 yards — than the total number. The Chiefs will be eight in the box early on in the game. They just stopped Derrick Henry when he was on a rampage. The Niners will have to pass the ball in this game at some point, even if it’s just to keep up with the Chiefs’ high scoring offense. Yes, Garoppolo hasn’t had to pass the ball in the first two games, but this one is different. George Kittle hasn’t been unleashed this playoff. We are taking the over with Jimmy G. Speaking of Kittle . . .
The Super Bowl is the last gasp to bet on football – outside of the XFL – and this is the time with most bets possible. People love player props – and books like them too since fans usually lose money on them – and we have a few to review for the …
The Super Bowl is the last gasp to bet on football — outside of the XFL — and this is the time with most bets possible. People love player props — and books like them too since fans usually lose money on them — and we have a few to review for the Chiefs. Take a look.
Looking at prop bets centered around San Francisco 49ers WR Deebo Samuel’s receptions and receiving yards in the 2020 Super Bowl.
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There is no juicier sporting event to bet on than the 2020 Super Bowl. Aside from picking the San Francisco 49ers or Kansas City Chiefs to win, a sharp can win money via player prop betting. Let’s analyze, and pick, BetMGM‘s Super Bowl prop betting odds and lines for 49ers WR Deebo Samuel’s receptions and receiving yards projections.
Don’t sleep on the Chiefs pass defense. They have given up the fewest catches and receiving yards to wide receivers this season. Kansas City has allowed the eighth-fewest passing yards and, according to Football Outsiders, the Chiefs have the sixth-best pass defense by their DVOA metric.
The biggest thing keeping Samuel away from going Over on his receptions props could be the 49ers themselves. Positive game script for San Francisco is them bludgeoning the Chiefs defense with the run. Plus, the 49ers’ most dynamic pass-catcher is TE George Kittle. Acquiring WR Emmanuel Sanders at the trade deadline before Week 8 added yet another option for QB Jimmy Garoppolo. In the 15 games in which Samuel has played this season, he has caught five or more balls in only five games. His 68.9% catch rate ranks 68th in the NFL but Samuel’s 5.29 targets per game ranks 85th.
BetMGM has factored in these things before making their line, hence the Under 4.5 catches is juiced to -143. The math says this prop goes Under so swallow the vig and BET DEEBO SAMUEL UNDER 4.5 CATCHES (-143).
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Deebo Samuel’s Super Bowl LIV receiving yards: 56.5
(Photo credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)
It’s almost guaranteed head coaches Kyle Shanahan and Andy Reid will dial-up exquisite shot plays. They’ve been doing it all year. Both have the play design and personnel to throw the kitchen sink at each other.
The Chiefs’ secondary has played well all season long but their best player is All-Pro safety Tyrann Mathieu, and it makes sense if his main assignments are Kittle and the 49ers’ vaunted ground game. San Francisco is tied with the New England Patriots for the fourth-most pass plays of 20-plus yards, and Samuel had 18 of those in his 15 regular season and postseason games played. So, between the 49ers’ powerful rushing attack and the explosive Kittle, expect Garoppolo to take some shots downfield against one-on-one coverage to his wideouts. BET DEEBO SAMUEL OVER 56.5 RECEIVING YARDS (+100).
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Analyzing the 2020 Super Bowl prop bets, and looking at the betting odds and lines around Kansas City Chiefs RB Damien Williams.
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Super Bowl LIV features two very evenly matched teams with the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs squaring off Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The oddsmakers at BetMGM predict it to be a close battle with the Chiefs entering as 1.5-point favorites.
The 49ers boast a dominant ground game and defense, while the Chiefs have 2018 NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes and an offense that can light up a scoreboard in a hurry. One player who doesn’t get talked about much for Kansas City is RB Damien Williams.
That’s probably because he only started six games and rushed for 498 yards this season, not playing a significant role until the second half of the year. Entering Super Bowl LIV, he’s the Chiefs’ starter at running back.
Just how productive will he be against the 49ers defense, though? And should you bet on his rushing yards total for the game?
Damien Williams Super Bowl LIV rushing yards: 100.5
On the surface, it seems obvious to take the Under on that total. Williams has rushed for at least 100 yards only three times in his career and twice this season. In the playoffs, he has gained 92 yards on 29 carries.
When you look at the betting line, it’s not such an easy bet. The Over is +600, while the Under is -1000. In other words, a $10 bet on the Over will pay out $60, and a $10 wager on the Under will net you a whopping $1.
Risking $10 to win a buck doesn’t seem like smart business, especially with Williams’ speed. He had a 91-yard run this season, which was the longest in the NFL. he’s a big play waiting to happen, and although the 49ers allowed only two running backs to gain at least 100 yards against them this season, Williams is a firecracker.
Special sports betting line for the big game
Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.
New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.
It’ll be difficult for him to get enough opportunities to top the 100-yard mark. He has never received 20 carries in a single game in his career and only twice has he carried it more than 13 times. The Chiefs are clearly going to lean on their MVP quarterback, thus limiting the chances for Williams.
If the Chiefs want to attempt to negate the 49ers’ pass rush, utilizing draws and wide zone runs could help.
It’s not worth betting $10 to win $1. It’s certainly not worth laying down $100 to win $10 on the Under. You’re better off putting a wager on the OVER 100.5 (+600) and hoping Williams can find a crease and create a big play on the ground. He’s not going to get 20 carries, and in the two games in which he topped 100 rushing yards this season, he had a carry of 91 yards and 84 yards.
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Assessing the prop bets odds and lines for Kansas City Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill’s receiving yards in the 2020 Super Bowl against the 49ers.
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There will be no player on the field for the 2020 Super Bowl that is likely to garner more defensive attention than Kansas City Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill. Below, we’ll look at the Super Bowl LIV prop bet odds and lines centered around Tyreek Hill’s receiving yards.
Due to the Chiefs having plenty of offensive weapons, and their penchant for sharing the wealth, Hill has a manageable Over/Under number for his receiving yards in Super Bowl LIV at 74.5 yards (-112 for both the Over and the Under). It’s an achievable number, especially given Hill’s big-play ability, but there are some key factors making it more difficult to hit the Over than it may appear.
Special sports betting line for the big game
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Hill struggles in playoff football
The most obvious hurdle is Hill’s postseason track record. Over the last two seasons, Hill has played in four playoff games. In those games, his yardage totals have been 72, 42, 41 and 67, despite having eight receptions in one of the games and five in another. Dating back to Week 10, Hill hasn’t hit 75 yards in any of his last eight games. Defenses have made it a point to take him away from the offense and the opposition has succeeded for two months.
He won’t be the No. 1 option
Second, is that the San Francisco 49ers may have the best defensive front the Chiefs have faced all season. They’re five deep and come at you in waves. They don’t need to blitz to get pressure and they’re going to make it their mission to keep Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes contained in the pocket and getting rid of the ball faster than he would like. This could be great news for TE Travis Kelce and the secondary receivers, but not Hill. His strength is getting behind defenses and creating big plays. That doesn’t happen when Mahomes doesn’t have the luxury of four or five seconds to throw the ball.
Third, is that the 49ers are likely going to have CB Richard Sherman chasing Hill wherever he goes and, on the plays he doesn’t, they will double-cover Hill. Either way, it’s not good for Hill because, if Mahomes has the clock in his head ticking faster than real-time, he’s not going to take the chance of testing Sherman in tight coverage or throw into a bracket of defenders. He’s been forewarned about not throwing the risky passes that lose Super Bowls. He won’t have many big-play opportunities with Hill.
The bottom line with Hill is that he’s not a reception machine. He has more than five receptions in just four of 14 games he has played this season, but he’s projected for 5.5 in Super Bowl LIV.
Take the UNDER 74.5 (-112) on his receiving yards and the UNDER 5.5 (-143) on Hill’s receptions, as well.
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Looking at prop bets centered around San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle’s receptions and receiving yards in Super Bowl LIV.
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The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs will participate in Super Bowl LIV Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. For the 49ers to have success, they’re likely to need a big performance from TE George Kittle. Below, we’ll look at BetMGM‘s Super Bowl prop betting odds and lines for Kittle’s reception and yardage projections in the big game, and make our best bets for Super Bowl LIV.
Kittle’s reception total seems to have been set relatively conservatively, and it matches the projection for Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce. The two tight ends are the No. 1 option for their respective teams in the passing game.
Kittle has recorded a total of four receptions for 35 yards on just six targets through two playoff games. He, and QB Jimmy Garoppolo, have mainly stood by as head coach Kyle Shanahan has deployed a ground-based postseason attack. This wasn’t always the case, however, as Kittle caught at least six passes in 10 of his 14 regular-season games.
Special sports betting line for the big game
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Kittle totaled 85 receptions, 1,053 yards and five touchdowns on 107 targets in his abbreviated season.
I like the two-time Pro Bowler to get more involved as the Niners attempt to keep pace with the Chiefs in a game with a projected point total of 54.5. He’ll need to share the passing-game work with WRs Emmanuel Sanders, Deebo Samuel and Kendrick Bourne, especially if the Chiefs are able to build a significant lead at any point. Oh, and lets not forget Kittle has been playing with a torn labrum for the past two seasons! Give me the UNDER 5.5 (+100). The even-money returns makes it even more appealing.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on George Kittle to finish Super Bowl LIV with 5 or fewer receptions returns a profit of $10.
George Kittle’s Super Bowl LIV receiving yards: 70.5
(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)
Here, I’m going to take the OVER 70.5 (-112). It’s a solid hedge against our Under bet on receptions, and the even-money above makes the -112 juice on this selection easier to swallow.
There’s also a good chance of both bets cashing. Kittle is one of the most-dynamic tight ends in football. In 10 of his 14 regular-season games, he had at least one reception of 20-plus yards. His long on the season was 61 yards.
With the Chiefs favored in a high-scoring game, the projected game script lends itself to Kittle being likely to haul in a deep pass or break a long catch-and-run late in the game against a prevent defense from the Chiefs.
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Looking at prop bets centered around Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce’s receptions and receiving yards in Super Bowl LIV.
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Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce is expected to be one of the stars of Super Bowl LIV against the San Francisco 49ers Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Below, we’ll look at BetMGM‘s prop betting odds and lines for Kelce’s reception and yardage projections in the big game, and make our best bets for Super Bowl LIV.
After catching 10 of 12 targets for 134 yards and three touchdowns in the Chiefs’ 51-31 comeback victory over the Houston Texans in the Divisional Round, Kelce was held to three catches and 30 yards on four targets in the AFC Championship against the Tennessee Titans.
The five-time Pro Bowler totaled 97 receptions, 1,229 yards and five touchdowns in the regular season. He recorded more than five receptions on 10 occasions.
Special sports betting line for the big game
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Only four teams allowed fewer receptions per game to tight ends than the 49ers’ 4.1. Kelce will be heavily targeted by QB Patrick Mahomes and head coach Andy Reid as the Chiefs’ No. 1 option in the passing game, but the Niners do a great job of limiting yards after the catch.
I’d expect a drop in his efficiency after averaging 12.8 yards per reception in the regular season, but I’m taking the OVER 5.5 (-147) as Reid and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy scheme to keep him involved, especially on third downs and near the goal line.
Travis Kelce’s Super Bowl LIV receiving yards: 76.5
Photo Credit: Denny Medley – USA TODAY Sports
No team allowed fewer receiving yards per game to tight ends in the regular season than the 49ers. They surrendered just 34.5 yards per game to the position. Kelce topped this projection in each of his first four games of the regular season, but he did so just thrice more through the final 12 games and in only one of the Chiefs’ two playoff games.
As mentioned above, I like Kelce to stay involved on key possessions and stay closer to the line of scrimmage. The Niners will wrap him up down the field and limit his yards after the catch. Take the UNDER 76.5 (-111) as Mahomes and his go-to target are forced more into more of a possession-based passing attack.
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Looking at the best prop bet picks to score the a touchdown in Super Bowl LIV between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.
One of the most popular prop bets every year for the Super Bowl is picking which players will score a touchdown in the game. Over the years, there have been some surprising touchdown scorers, such as Malik Jackson, Gary Russell, Brandon LaFell, and, of course, L.J. Smith.
With Super Bowl LIV just a few days away, here are some of our favorite picks to score a touchdown on Sunday night:
Chiefs TE Travis Kelce (+105)
Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce. (Photo credit: Jay Biggerstaff – USA TODAY Sports)
The best bet to score a touchdown on Sunday has to be Chiefs’ tight end Travis Kelce, who has now scored five touchdowns in his last five playoff games. When the Chiefs get close to the end zone, they often will target their big tight end. Andy Reid will also draw up plays for Kelce as a wildcat runner, making him even more dangerous in the red zone. Consider him basically a lock to reach the end zone at least once against the 49ers.
Special sports betting line for the big game
Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.
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Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (+110)
Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill. (Photo credit Denny Medley – USA TODAY Sports)
While Tyreek Hill has yet to have a monster playoff game during his NFL career (no games with at least 90 yards receiving), Super Bowl LIV seems like the perfect opportunity for him to shine. In the last two seasons with Patrick Mahomes, Hill has scored 20 touchdowns in 28 contests. When Mahomes is looking to throw the ball deep, you can bet he is searching for Hill.
Given that 49ers have an older secondary, look for the Chiefs to attack them down the field and for Hill to have multiple chances at scoring a touchdown in the Super Bowl.
49ers TE George Kittle (+120)
San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle. (Photo credit: Stan Szeto – USA TODAY Sports)
Arguably the best non-quarterback in this game on Sunday is 49ers tight end George Kittle, who was named first-team All-Pro this season. While Kittle has never scored more than five touchdowns in a season, the team may need to rely on him to do some of the heavy lifting on offense in this game. Look for quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo to target his superstar tight end early and often during the Super Bowl.
49ers WR Deebo Samuel (+200)
San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel. (Photo credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)
Much like the Chiefs with Hill, the 49ers do everything in their power to make sure rookie receiver Deebo Samuel touches the ball plenty. He’s a dynamic player who is explosive with the ball in his hands. During the 2019 season, Samuel scored six touchdowns on just 71 offensive touches. If this game turns into a shootout like many people expect, look for Samuel to get quite a few looks inside the red zone.
Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman (+390)
Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Mecole Hardman. (Photo credit: Isaiah J. Downing – USA TODAY Sports)
If you are searching for better odds on a touchdown bet, look no further than the Chiefs’ Mecole Hardman, like Samuel a rookie tight end. His role in the offense continues to grow and he has already proven himself as a return threat. In the team’s two playoff games, he racked up 228 kickoff return yards. He has outstanding speed, and it wouldn’t be a surprise if the rookie took a jet sweep for a touchdown or caught a bomb from Mahomes at some point in the game. At nearly 4-1 odds, Hardman is a fun long-shot prop bet.
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Looking at the best prop bet picks to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIV between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.
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Super Bowl LIV is at the doorstep as the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs prepare to do battle at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. All week here at SportsbookWire we’ll be breaking down the most enticing prop bets for the big game at BetMGM. Below, we’re looking at which players from the 49ers and Chiefs are the best bets to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIV.
Six 49ers have lower odds than Bourne to score the game’s opening touchdown, including WRs Deebo Samuel (+1300) and Emmanuel Sanders (+1300), and TE George Kittle (+850). Kittle (19) and Samuel (8) each have more red-zone targets than Bourne, but he leads the team with five red-zone touchdowns off of just six targets.
Bourne scored the game’s opening touchdown against the Minnesota Vikings in the Divisional Round. If the Chiefs can stop the Niners near the goal line on their opening drive, Bourne will very much come into play.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Kendrick Bourne to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIV will return a profit of $180.
Mecole Hardman, WR, Chiefs (+2200)
Hardman has nearly a 50-50 chance of being the first player to get his hands on the football in Super Bowl LIV as the primary kick returner of the Chiefs. He has a postseason long of a 58-yard kickoff return against the Houston Texans in the Divisional Round, and he had a 104-yard touchdown return in the regular season.
If he doesn’t get to the end zone on a return, he also had six receiving touchdowns this season and a long reception of 83 yards as a rookie. Only two Chiefs receivers had more receptions of 20-plus yards than his nine in the regular season.
Special sports betting line for the big game
Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.
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Jeff Wilson, RB, 49ers (+2500)
49ers RB Tevin Coleman (+1100) led the team with five red-zone rushing scores this season, but Wilson was right behind with four. Coleman is expected to play in Super Bowl LIV, but he’s battling through a dislocated shoulder suffered in the NFC Championship. Raheem Mostert is coming off a big four-touchdown game and Matt Breida should also get some more work behind Coleman, but Wilson is worth a small play in hopes of a goal-line plunge.
LeSean McCoy, RB, Chiefs (+4000)
McCoy hasn’t played since Week 15, but it’s hard to see head coach Andy Reid keeping his long-time running back out of the Super Bowl. Should he draw into the lineup, he’ll be fresh and motivated, and he led the Chiefs in both red-zone carries (18) and touchdowns (four) this season. He’s a nice hedge against the big-play threat of Hardman and a $10 bet fetches $400 in profit.
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Highlighting Friday’s best NBA player props with odds, analysis and picks.
If you’re dialed into the NBA regular season and do the homework, you can find some easy winners betting NBA player props. Lines are juiced up because BetMGM knows that the informed bettor has more of an advantage in these wagers compared to sides or totals.
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 4:40 p.m. ET.
Let’s build up our bankroll by betting these NBA player prop locks:
Jackson will maul the Pistons
(Photo credit: Gary A. Vasquez – USA TODAY Sports)
The Grizzlies-Pistons should be a get right game for Jaren Jackson, who’s scored below his season average of 17.7 points per game in three of his last four games.
Jackson has only played the Pistons once in his early career; but, man, it was an impressive performance. He scored 26 points on 8-11 shooting from the field, hitting both threes attempted, and added 10 boards. Based on this season’s results, the matchup bodes well for Jackson who is shooting .406 from 3-point land this season and the Pistons are ranked 27th in opponent’s 3-point %. In addition, Detroit gives up the sixth most points in the paint per game and the fourth most points per game to power forwards.
BET JAREN JACKSON OVER 16.5 (-125).
Domantas vs. Draymond
(Photo credit: David Berding – USA TODAY Sports)
Going against one of the NBA’s best big-man defenders in Domantas Sabonis will not be a welcomed sight for Draymond Green, who’s been struggling since the new year. Sabonis is having a better defensive season than Green; his 105 defensive rating, defensive rebounding percentage and defensive win shares are all higher than Green’s.
This month Green is averaging just 4.5 points, 5.8 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game. Pretty solid for your run of the mill role-player, but given Green’s contract, championship hardware and personal accolades, those numbers are slightly disappointing. The Pacers, as a team, is giving up the sixth fewest fantasy points per game to power forwards. Opposing starting power forwards have scored just 8.8 PPG in the the last six games against Indiana.
BET DRAYMOND GREEN UNDER 18.5 (-125) points, rebounds and assists.
Place a legal sports bet on these NBA prop bets or other games at BetMGM.
Lonzo will drop dimes against Denver
(Photo credit: Brad Penner – USA TODAY Sports)
Now that Zion Williamson is finally starting for the Pelicans, Lonzo Ball has more options to pass the ball. Ball has had seven or more assists in nine of his last 10 games, is averaging 9.1 assists per game in January and averages 6.6 APG in his career against the Nuggets.
Also, the Nuggets allow the most APG to point guards in the NBA and have given 8.4 APG against starting point guards in their last five games. Expect Ball to really control the tempo against a Nuggets backcourt that could be without starters Jamal Murray and Gary Harris Jr.
BET OVER LONZO BALL 6.5 ASSISTS (-125).
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