2020 Super Bowl Prop Betting: 49ers-Chiefs first half totals

Analyzing 2020 Super Bowl prop betting odds and lines for the first half point total between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.

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The public has been leaning to the Over for Sunday’s Super Bowl LIV at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are expected to light up the scoreboard, with a projected points total for the game set at 54.5 at BetMGM. As far as the first-half total is concerned, that’s currently sitting at 26.5, so jump on it if you’re expecting a high-scoring affair, too. It’s very favorable at less than half of the full-game projection.

During the regular season, the 49ers registered 15.7 points per game in the first half, while yielding 8.4 points. They have logged 18.0 points across the past three games before halftime, while allowing just 3.3 points defensively.

For the Chiefs, they allowed just 10.4 first-half points during the regular season, although they have coughed up 16.0 points in the previous three outings. Offensively, QB Patrick Mahomes and company rolled up 17.6 points per game in the first half during the regular season, topping the charts in the NFL. That includes an impressive 19.7 points per game in the past three outings.

2020 Super Bowl first half total odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12 p.m. ET.

Line Over Under
24.5 -134 +110
25.5 -129 +105
26.5 -115 -106
27.5 +105 -129
28.5 +120 -154

New to sports betting? A $10 bet at -115 would return a profit of $8.70, while a $10 bet at +110 would generate a profit of $11.


Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

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How the 49ers and Chiefs have fared so far

Looking to the first half of the NFC Championship Game, the 49ers fired out to a 27-0 lead over the visiting Green Bay Packers. RB Raheem Mostert led the charge, rolling up three rushing touchdowns (36 yards, 9, 18), but you can expect the Chiefs defense to key on him and try and shut his production down like they did for the most part against Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry in the AFC Championship Game.

Prior to that game, the 49ers threw up 14 points in the first half while allowing 10 points to the Minnesota Vikings in the NFC Divisional Round. It’s fair to say the Chiefs have a higher-octane offense than either of those teams, particularly in the pass game, so it will be an interesting first 30 minutes.

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For the Chiefs, it was all offense and not much defense in the first half of their two postseason games so far. Remember, they fell behind against the Houston Texans by a 24-0 margin before rattling off 41 unanswered points, including 28 to close out the first half for a gaudy total of 52 points in the first 30 minutes. In the AFC Championship Game the first-half total also cashed, as the Chiefs again fell behind 17-7 before posting the final 14 points to take a 21-17 lead into the break.

If you’re playing the first-half total, the OVER 26.5 (-115) is the most intriguing total on the board. It’s fair to say we’ll see at least three touchdowns, and PKs Robbie Gould and Harrison Butker are very dependable, while also kicking in fair weather in South Florida.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 Super Bowl Prop Betting: Conquer Deebo Samuel receiving props

Looking at prop bets centered around San Francisco 49ers WR Deebo Samuel’s receptions and receiving yards in the 2020 Super Bowl.

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There is no juicier sporting event to bet on than the 2020 Super Bowl. Aside from picking the San Francisco 49ers or Kansas City Chiefs to win, a sharp can win money via player prop betting. Let’s analyze, and pick, BetMGM‘s Super Bowl prop betting odds and lines for 49ers WR Deebo Samuel’s receptions and receiving yards projections.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:45 p.m. ET.

Deebo Samuel’s 2020 Super Bowl receptions: 4.5

Don’t sleep on the Chiefs pass defense. They have given up the fewest catches and receiving yards to wide receivers this season. Kansas City has allowed the eighth-fewest passing yards and, according to Football Outsiders, the Chiefs have the sixth-best pass defense by their DVOA metric.

The biggest thing keeping Samuel away from going Over on his receptions props could be the 49ers themselves. Positive game script for San Francisco is them bludgeoning the Chiefs defense with the run. Plus, the 49ers’ most dynamic pass-catcher is TE George Kittle. Acquiring WR Emmanuel Sanders at the trade deadline before Week 8 added yet another option for QB Jimmy Garoppolo. In the 15 games in which Samuel has played this season, he has caught five or more balls in only five games. His 68.9% catch rate ranks 68th in the NFL but Samuel’s 5.29 targets per game ranks 85th.

BetMGM has factored in these things before making their line, hence the Under 4.5 catches is juiced to -143. The math says this prop goes Under so swallow the vig and BET DEEBO SAMUEL UNDER 4.5 CATCHES (-143).


Special sports betting line for the big game

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Deebo Samuel’s Super Bowl LIV receiving yards: 56.5

(Photo credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

It’s almost guaranteed head coaches Kyle Shanahan and Andy Reid will dial-up exquisite shot plays. They’ve been doing it all year. Both have the play design and personnel to throw the kitchen sink at each other.

The Chiefs’ secondary has played well all season long but their best player is All-Pro safety Tyrann Mathieu, and it makes sense if his main assignments are Kittle and the 49ers’ vaunted ground game. San Francisco is tied with the New England Patriots for the fourth-most pass plays of 20-plus yards, and Samuel had 18 of those in his 15 regular season and postseason games played. So, between the 49ers’ powerful rushing attack and the explosive Kittle, expect Garoppolo to take some shots downfield against one-on-one coverage to his wideouts. BET DEEBO SAMUEL OVER 56.5 RECEIVING YARDS (+100).

Also see:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 Super Bowl Prop Betting: First quarter points total

How many points will be scored in the first quarter of the 2020 Super Bowl? Analyzing the 49ers-Chiefs betting odds and lines, with picks.

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Super Bowl LIV is expected to be a pretty high-scoring affair, as the San Francisco 49ers meet up with the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The projected points total for the game currently sits at 54.5 at BetMGM. The Chiefs are projected to score 28 points, while the implied total for the 49ers is 26.5 points.

But what about the first quarter of the game? It is typically the lower-scoring quarter, and the total for the first 15 minutes will typically fall below one-fourth of the game total. Let’s take a look at the betting options, and dig into some numbers to see which side would be best to take for the first quarter points total of Super Bowl LIV.

Super Bowl LIV first quarter total odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET.

Line Over Under
7.5 -175 +145
9.5 -167 +135
10.5 +105 -125
11.5 +105 -125

As you can see, the two teams are expected to combine for about 10 points in the first 15 minutes of action. Note that the payouts for the Over/Under 10.5 total are the same as the 11.5 total. While it’s highly unlikely the first quarter ends with exactly 11 points scored, we might as well take the extra point we’re being given. Therefore, use 10.5 if taking the Over, and 11.5 if betting the Under.

Let’s take a look at what the two teams have done so far this season during the first quarter.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet at -167 would return a profit of $5.99, while a $10 bet at +135 would generate a profit of $13.50.


Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.


How the 49ers and Chiefs have fared so far

There have been plenty of points scored early on in both Chief playoff games, as they have trailed 10-7 and 21-0 at the end of quarter number one in their two AFC playoff games. However, more than 10 points were scored in just five of their 16 regular-season games, and they didn’t clear the mark in any of their final seven games.

During that stretch, the Chiefs averaged 5.1 points during the first quarter, while they held their opponents to just 10 points total (1.4 per game). In those seven games, seven points or less were scored in the first quarter five times, though it happened just one other time over the course of Kansas City’s season.

As for the 49ers, there have been more than 10 points scored in the first quarter in 8 of their 18 games (including playoffs), but just three times in their last 10 games. The strong San Francisco defense has held its opponents scoreless through 15 minutes an impressive eight times, including in the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers.

Using 7.5 points as the cutoff, the 49ers have landed Under that number just five times on the season. They have surrendered a total of just 73 points in the first quarter (4.1 per game).

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The Chiefs and 49ers have each played to 10 points or less in the first quarter in the majority of their games this season. For both teams, it has been a more common occurrence during the second half of the year. Therefore, UNDER 11.5 (-125) looks like a solid play here.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 Super Bowl Prop Betting Odds: Race to 20 points

Looking at prop bets for Super Bowl LIV, and betting between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs to be the first to 20 points.

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The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are in the final days of their two weeks or preparation for Super Bowl LIV in Miami, and kickoff will come Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET.

A big factor in deciding which team will come out on top will be which side is able to better handle the added nerves of all the extra attention during the 2020 Super Bowl. Below, we analyze the betting odds and lines at BetMGM to see which side will win the race to 20 points.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Super Bowl LIV race to 20 points: 49ers (+110)

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

As with most of the scoring props for Super Bowl LIV, the Niners are modest underdogs. This, despite the fact they got off to the better start in each of their two NFC playoff games, and they’ve scored a total of 64 postseason points with just 30 allowed.

The Niners have given up 20 or more points in 10 of their 18 regular-season and playoff games thus far. The defense will face one of its toughest tests yet in the Chiefs. The offense has been held below 20 points just twice all year, and the Chiefs have allowed at least 20 points in three straight games dating back to Week 17.

With the Chiefs favored by 1.5 points and the Over/Under set at 54.5 points, the 49ers’ implied team total is 26.5 points, while the Chiefs are projected to score 28 points. With both sides expected to reach the mark, chase the plus-money and back the 49ERS (+110) to get to 20 points first.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the 49ers to win the race to 20 points returns a profit of $11.


Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.


Super Bowl LIV race to 20 points: Chiefs (-106)

The Chiefs fell behind 21-0 after the first quarter against the Houston Texans in the Divisional Round. They then gave up 17 first-half points in the AFC Championship against the Tennessee Titans, before clawing back to take a 21-17 lead into the half and going on to win 35-24.

I don’t like the Chiefs as favorites on this bet. The 20 team points is still a low enough number each side is projected to hit at some point in the game. The Chiefs aren’t worth a wager given their recent history of slow starts on both sides of the ball. PASS.

Super Bowl LIV race to 20 points: Neither (+1250)

One of the more profitable prop bets, a $10 bet on neither the 49ers nor Chiefs reaching 20 points in Super Bowl LIV fetches a profit of $125. Unless your betting strategy is to blindly chase the highest payouts (hey, it is for some), this warrants a PASS.

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Want action on this game or prop bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl 2020: How many receiving yards will George Kittle have?

Looking at prop bets centered around San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle’s receptions and receiving yards in Super Bowl LIV.

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The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs will participate in Super Bowl LIV Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. For the 49ers to have success, they’re likely to need a big performance from TE George Kittle. Below, we’ll look at BetMGM‘s Super Bowl prop betting odds and lines for Kittle’s reception and yardage projections in the big game, and make our best bets for Super Bowl LIV.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET.

George Kittle’s Super Bowl LIV receptions: 5.5

Kittle’s reception total seems to have been set relatively conservatively, and it matches the projection for Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce. The two tight ends are the No. 1 option for their respective teams in the passing game.

Kittle has recorded a total of four receptions for 35 yards on just six targets through two playoff games. He, and QB Jimmy Garoppolo, have mainly stood by as head coach Kyle Shanahan has deployed a ground-based postseason attack. This wasn’t always the case, however, as Kittle caught at least six passes in 10 of his 14 regular-season games.


Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.


Kittle totaled 85 receptions, 1,053 yards and five touchdowns on 107 targets in his abbreviated season.

I like the two-time Pro Bowler to get more involved as the Niners attempt to keep pace with the Chiefs in a game with a projected point total of 54.5. He’ll need to share the passing-game work with WRs Emmanuel SandersDeebo Samuel and Kendrick Bourne, especially if the Chiefs are able to build a significant lead at any point. Oh, and lets not forget Kittle has been playing with a torn labrum for the past two seasons! Give me the UNDER 5.5 (+100). The even-money returns makes it even more appealing.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on George Kittle to finish Super Bowl LIV with 5 or fewer receptions returns a profit of $10.

George Kittle’s Super Bowl LIV receiving yards: 70.5

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

Here, I’m going to take the OVER 70.5 (-112). It’s a solid hedge against our Under bet on receptions, and the even-money above makes the -112 juice on this selection easier to swallow.

There’s also a good chance of both bets cashing. Kittle is one of the most-dynamic tight ends in football. In 10 of his 14 regular-season games, he had at least one reception of 20-plus yards. His long on the season was 61 yards.

With the Chiefs favored in a high-scoring game, the projected game script lends itself to Kittle being likely to haul in a deep pass or break a long catch-and-run late in the game against a prevent defense from the Chiefs.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl LIV: How many receiving yards will Travis Kelce have?

Looking at prop bets centered around Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce’s receptions and receiving yards in Super Bowl LIV.

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Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce is expected to be one of the stars of Super Bowl LIV against the San Francisco 49ers Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Below, we’ll look at BetMGM‘s prop betting odds and lines for Kelce’s reception and yardage projections in the big game, and make our best bets for Super Bowl LIV.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:50 a.m. ET.

Travis Kelce’s Super Bowl LIV receptions: 5.5

After catching 10 of 12 targets for 134 yards and three touchdowns in the Chiefs’ 51-31 comeback victory over the Houston Texans in the Divisional Round, Kelce was held to three catches and 30 yards on four targets in the AFC Championship against the Tennessee Titans.

The five-time Pro Bowler totaled 97 receptions, 1,229 yards and five touchdowns in the regular season. He recorded more than five receptions on 10 occasions.


Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.


Only four teams allowed fewer receptions per game to tight ends than the 49ers’ 4.1. Kelce will be heavily targeted by QB Patrick Mahomes and head coach Andy Reid as the Chiefs’ No. 1 option in the passing game, but the Niners do a great job of limiting yards after the catch.

I’d expect a drop in his efficiency after averaging 12.8 yards per reception in the regular season, but I’m taking the OVER 5.5 (-147) as Reid and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy scheme to keep him involved, especially on third downs and near the goal line.

Travis Kelce’s Super Bowl LIV receiving yards: 76.5

Photo Credit: Denny Medley – USA TODAY Sports

No team allowed fewer receiving yards per game to tight ends in the regular season than the 49ers. They surrendered just 34.5 yards per game to the position. Kelce topped this projection in each of his first four games of the regular season, but he did so just thrice more through the final 12 games and in only one of the Chiefs’ two playoff games.

As mentioned above, I like Kelce to stay involved on key possessions and stay closer to the line of scrimmage. The Niners will wrap him up down the field and limit his yards after the catch. Take the UNDER 76.5 (-111) as Mahomes and his go-to target are forced more into more of a possession-based passing attack.

Also see:

Want action on this game or prop bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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