Tag: Super Bowl Props

BetFTW Run It Back Prop: Bet on the opening kickoff of Super Bowl 56

BetFTW’s official Super Bowl bet, “The Run It Back” prop, is now live on Tipico. Come get (what should be) an easy win when the Rams and Bengals kickoff Super Bowl 56

Here at BetFTW, we’ve spent the last week combing through every prop bet imaginable for Super Bowl 56.

From “Will there be a Super Bowl Scorigami” (Yes, -200 at Tipico) to the “LSU Special” (Odell Beckham Jr., Ja’Marr Chase and Joe Burrow all score a touchdown +2600), there was no shortage of options that whet our appetite.

Yet there weren’t any props available for one of the most spectacular and jaw-dropping moments of every Super Bowl: the opening kickoff.

Each year, the opening kickoff dazzles thanks to the flashes from thousands of cameras, a jet-engine like roar from the crowd and the grasp of anxiety when toe meets leather. How could we not want to bet on it?

So, the BetFTW team called up our friends at Tipico to ensure we could bet on the very first football play of Super Bowl 56. The result: The BetFTW Run It Back Special:

Now live on Tipico with boosted odds, we’re betting that the opening kickoff will be returned. Not returned for a touchdown or returned for any specific number of yards, either. As long as the receiving team doesn’t settle for a touchback, we all win.

Tipico boosted the odds from +125 to +150 after our suggestion and we’re all over this one.

Consider a few factors here:

  • The last Super Bowl opening kickoff to go for a touchback was in 2017
  • Super Bowl 56 is being held at SoFi Stadium, where the roof should limit any potential impact from the weather
  • The touchback rate for both kickers (the Rams’ Matt Gay and the Bengals’ Evan McPherson) hovers around 62 percent
  • There’s not a kick returner in the NFL who doesn’t dream of their own Devin Hester moment

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7HN_d09Ivd8

For the record, Tipico is offering the opening kickoff returned for a touchdown at +5200.

We’re only concerned about the kickoff not going for a touchback. It’s a straightforward concept: get an easy win right as the game starts to lift our spirits and create some positive vibes.

Besides, what kind of monster roots for a touchback back anyways?

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Super Bowl 54 Prop Bets: Which team will score 10 points first?

Will the Kansas City Chiefs or San Francisco 49ers score 10 points first in the 2020 Super Bowl? We analyze the best bet around this Super Bowl prop bet

Super Bowl 54 is here and BetMGM Sportsbook has plenty of Super Bowl prop bets for your consideration. Among them is: Which team – San Francisco 49ers or Kansas City Chiefs – will score 10 points first in the 2020 Super Bowl?

The race to hit 10 points is a difficult one for a couple of big reasons – both involving Kansas City.

The gang at BetMGM Sportsbook has San Francisco as a very solid -106 to be the first team to score 10 points, with the Chiefs at -110. There is a reason.

In both of their postseason games, the Chiefs fell behind big early – 14-0 in less than five minutes to the Houston Texans and 10-0 to the Tennessee Titans in slightly more than nine minutes.

Those were both a deep departure from how the Chiefs played in 2019.

The last time during the regular season that Kansas City didn’t win the race to 10 points was in late October against the Green Bay Packers when Chiefs QB Matt Moore was the starting quarterback – a span of eight games. The last time a Patrick Mahomes-led offense took the field and didn’t win the race to 10 was in late September – ironically to the Detroit Lions – which is the span of 11 games.

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Do you go with the recent or the time-honored?

What may be the tie-breaker is that we can likely feel safe in the fact that San Francisco is going to get the ball first.

In their two playoff games, the Chiefs (as would be expected with coin flips) won one and lost one. They lost the flip against Houston and the Texans opted to take the ball and scored a touchdown on a 54-yard passing play. Against Tennessee, the Chiefs won the toss and deferred. Tennessee marched the ball down the field before stalling and scored a field goal.

Also see:

This bet reeks of opportunity. If the 49ers win the toss, they’re going to take the ball and try to make Mahomes wait even longer than he has to for the elongated pregame show. You never hand the ball to a high-octane offense with a full tank. You grind their defense for 12 plays and seven minutes and come away with points.

If Kansas City wins, chances are they will defer with the idea that the Niners will run twice and put Jimmy Garoppolo in a 3rd-and-something situation – potentially getting the ball back quickly and having the advantage of an opening second-half drive after a 45-minute preparatory halftime.

Either way, the 49ers are likely to have the ball first and will have one more opportunity to score twice before the Chiefs until one of them does.

Take San Francisco (-106).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl 2020: First Half Money Line

Analyzing 2020 Super Bowl prop betting odds and lines for the first half money line between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.

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The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs meet at Super Bowl LIV on Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the betting odds and lines at BetMGM to see which side will be leading after the first half.

Super Bowl LIV first half money line

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:45 p.m. ET.

Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.

People say that championships are decided in the second half but, leaving out the three first-half ties, the team with the lead going into halftime has a 38-12 record in the Super Bowl.

Throughout the season, the Chiefs have been a better first-half team:  Kansas City has a +7.9 point differential compared to San Francisco’s +5.4 point differential. The Chiefs have a higher first-half possession share percentage at 49.5% versus 49ers’ 49.1%. Powered by offensive eruptions, the Chiefs have jumped out to a lead in the first half in three of their last four postseason games, scoring 21, 28 and 24 in those games. Also, the Chiefs have led going into halftime in 13 games, while the 49ers have led in 11 games after the first half.

Also see:

However, where I give the 49ers the edge, is their ability to play balanced football and the Chiefs’ struggles against the ground game. Granted they did well against Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry in the AFC title game—giving up just 69 rushing yards on 19 attempts. However, they were 23rd in rushing yards allowed per game, 29th in yards per rush and the 29th-most efficient rush defense plus had the 28th ranked defensive line in adjusted line yards, according to FootballOutsiders.com.

Furthermore, I’m going to take a glass half empty approach to factoring the Chiefs’ postseason first-half leads into this handicap. While they’ve held the lead in three of their past four playoff games, the Chiefs have also fallen behind by double-digits in three of those first halves. Their defense is ranked 28th in first quarter points allowed, and the 49ers are ranked third in first quarter points scored. San Francisco’s second-ranked defense in points allowed in the second quarter (actually tied for second with the Chiefs) should help rein in the Chiefs trademark second quarter onslaught. So basically the 49ers should be able to jump out to an early lead and utilize the run game to hold that lead.

BET 49ERS (-106) ON THE FIRST HALF MONEY LINE. 

Want action on this game or prop bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 Super Bowl Prop Betting: 49ers-Chiefs first half totals

Analyzing 2020 Super Bowl prop betting odds and lines for the first half point total between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.

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The public has been leaning to the Over for Sunday’s Super Bowl LIV at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are expected to light up the scoreboard, with a projected points total for the game set at 54.5 at BetMGM. As far as the first-half total is concerned, that’s currently sitting at 26.5, so jump on it if you’re expecting a high-scoring affair, too. It’s very favorable at less than half of the full-game projection.

During the regular season, the 49ers registered 15.7 points per game in the first half, while yielding 8.4 points. They have logged 18.0 points across the past three games before halftime, while allowing just 3.3 points defensively.

For the Chiefs, they allowed just 10.4 first-half points during the regular season, although they have coughed up 16.0 points in the previous three outings. Offensively, QB Patrick Mahomes and company rolled up 17.6 points per game in the first half during the regular season, topping the charts in the NFL. That includes an impressive 19.7 points per game in the past three outings.

2020 Super Bowl first half total odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12 p.m. ET.

Line Over Under
24.5 -134 +110
25.5 -129 +105
26.5 -115 -106
27.5 +105 -129
28.5 +120 -154

New to sports betting? A $10 bet at -115 would return a profit of $8.70, while a $10 bet at +110 would generate a profit of $11.

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How the 49ers and Chiefs have fared so far

Looking to the first half of the NFC Championship Game, the 49ers fired out to a 27-0 lead over the visiting Green Bay Packers. RB Raheem Mostert led the charge, rolling up three rushing touchdowns (36 yards, 9, 18), but you can expect the Chiefs defense to key on him and try and shut his production down like they did for the most part against Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry in the AFC Championship Game.

Prior to that game, the 49ers threw up 14 points in the first half while allowing 10 points to the Minnesota Vikings in the NFC Divisional Round. It’s fair to say the Chiefs have a higher-octane offense than either of those teams, particularly in the pass game, so it will be an interesting first 30 minutes.

Also see:

For the Chiefs, it was all offense and not much defense in the first half of their two postseason games so far. Remember, they fell behind against the Houston Texans by a 24-0 margin before rattling off 41 unanswered points, including 28 to close out the first half for a gaudy total of 52 points in the first 30 minutes. In the AFC Championship Game the first-half total also cashed, as the Chiefs again fell behind 17-7 before posting the final 14 points to take a 21-17 lead into the break.

If you’re playing the first-half total, the OVER 26.5 (-115) is the most intriguing total on the board. It’s fair to say we’ll see at least three touchdowns, and PKs Robbie Gould and Harrison Butker are very dependable, while also kicking in fair weather in South Florida.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 Super Bowl Prop Bets: How many rushing yards for 49ers RB Raheem Mostert?

Analyzing 2020 Super Bowl prop bets centered around San Francisco 49ers RB Raheem Mostert’s rushing yards.

Among the many prop bets available for those wishing to place a wager on Super Bowl LIV this Sunday are player props. How many yards will certain players gain? How many touchdowns? Will they score touchdowns?

Here we look at San Francisco 49ers RB Raheem Mostert and the number of rushing yards he will gain against the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2020 Super Bowl.

Raheem Mostert’s 2020 Super Bowl rushing yards

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Yards Over Under
60.5 -182 +150
100.5 +370 -500

Mostert had a career-high 220 rushing yards in the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. It was the second-highest single-game playoff rushing total in NFL history.

How will he follow it up in Super Bowl LIV?

Raheem Mostert’s history

Mostert has only two career games with more than 100 yards and plays in an offense that uses running backs by committee. His rushing output against the Packers was in large part because he had more opportunities as a result of Tevin Coleman dislocating his shoulder and the 49ers holding a large lead from start to finish.

Mostert gained fewer than 60 rushing yards in each of his previous two games.

Excluding the 29 carries he received against the Packers, he averaged 9.3 rushing attempts per game this season. He averaged 5.6 yards per attempt, so using the average, he would be on track for about 52 yards.

Also see:

The Chiefs’ run defense in recent weeks

Kansas City has allowed only 93.5 rushing yards per game over itslast eight contests. The Chiefs have allowed only three individual backs to exceed 60 yards in that time frame — Melvin Ingram, Josh Jacobs and Derrick Henry, all of whom are considered among the most talented feature backs in the league.

Mostert is not a feature back in the 49ers offense.

How will the game go?

Whether or not Mostert gets enough carries to get to 60.5 or 100.5 will depend on a couple of things — his effectiveness and whether the game is close.

The Chiefs can put up points in a hurry. If they build a lead of more than one score, it will be hard for the 49ers to keep running the ball. If the game is close throughout, Mostert can do it. Coleman might play but won’t be 100%. Mostert will get most of the carries, while Coleman and Matt Breida will be complementary pieces.

Our best bet

Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.

The easy bet is to go UNDER 100.5 yards at -500, but it won’t win enough money to be worth the while. A $10 bet will gain only $2 in profit. Mostert’s history and the Chiefs’ play suggest he will not get over 100.

Less certain is whether to go Over or Under the 60.5 yards.

It will come down to this: If you believe the Chiefs will mostly be in control of the game and the 49ers will have to play catchup, take the UNDER 60.5 (+150), which gives you the best value. Every $10 wagered wins $15. This is where I would place my wager.

If you believe the game will be highly competitive and neither team will pull away, take the Over 60.5 (-182). Every $10 wagered will earn a profit $5.49.

If you believe the 49ers will control the game like they did against the Packers in the NFC title game, go big and bet Over 100.5 (+370) and go for a huge payout of $37 for every $10 wagered.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 Super Bowl Prop Betting: First quarter points total

How many points will be scored in the first quarter of the 2020 Super Bowl? Analyzing the 49ers-Chiefs betting odds and lines, with picks.

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Super Bowl LIV is expected to be a pretty high-scoring affair, as the San Francisco 49ers meet up with the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The projected points total for the game currently sits at 54.5 at BetMGM. The Chiefs are projected to score 28 points, while the implied total for the 49ers is 26.5 points.

But what about the first quarter of the game? It is typically the lower-scoring quarter, and the total for the first 15 minutes will typically fall below one-fourth of the game total. Let’s take a look at the betting options, and dig into some numbers to see which side would be best to take for the first quarter points total of Super Bowl LIV.

Super Bowl LIV first quarter total odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET.

Line Over Under
7.5 -175 +145
9.5 -167 +135
10.5 +105 -125
11.5 +105 -125

As you can see, the two teams are expected to combine for about 10 points in the first 15 minutes of action. Note that the payouts for the Over/Under 10.5 total are the same as the 11.5 total. While it’s highly unlikely the first quarter ends with exactly 11 points scored, we might as well take the extra point we’re being given. Therefore, use 10.5 if taking the Over, and 11.5 if betting the Under.

Let’s take a look at what the two teams have done so far this season during the first quarter.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet at -167 would return a profit of $5.99, while a $10 bet at +135 would generate a profit of $13.50.

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Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

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How the 49ers and Chiefs have fared so far

There have been plenty of points scored early on in both Chief playoff games, as they have trailed 10-7 and 21-0 at the end of quarter number one in their two AFC playoff games. However, more than 10 points were scored in just five of their 16 regular-season games, and they didn’t clear the mark in any of their final seven games.

During that stretch, the Chiefs averaged 5.1 points during the first quarter, while they held their opponents to just 10 points total (1.4 per game). In those seven games, seven points or less were scored in the first quarter five times, though it happened just one other time over the course of Kansas City’s season.

As for the 49ers, there have been more than 10 points scored in the first quarter in 8 of their 18 games (including playoffs), but just three times in their last 10 games. The strong San Francisco defense has held its opponents scoreless through 15 minutes an impressive eight times, including in the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers.

Using 7.5 points as the cutoff, the 49ers have landed Under that number just five times on the season. They have surrendered a total of just 73 points in the first quarter (4.1 per game).

Also see:

The Chiefs and 49ers have each played to 10 points or less in the first quarter in the majority of their games this season. For both teams, it has been a more common occurrence during the second half of the year. Therefore, UNDER 11.5 (-125) looks like a solid play here.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl LIV Prop Betting: First quarter moneyline

Should you make a moneyline bet on the San Francisco 49ers or Kansas City Chiefs to hold a lead after the first quarter of Super Bowl LIV?

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Two of the NFL’s best offenses will square off Sunday in Super Bowl LIV at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The San Francisco 49ers ranked second in points scored this season, while the Kansas City Chiefs were fifth. Below, we’ll look at which team can get off to the better start in Super Bowl LIV with our best bet for the first-quarter moneyline.

Super Bowl LIV First quarter moneyline odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET.

We all know how good these offenses are, but which team will come out of the gates hotter? According to BetMGM, the first quarter moneyline is -110 for both teams. In other words, the oddsmakers don’t favor either the Chiefs or 49ers to hold the lead after the first 15 minutes.

If you’re going to bet on the first quarter moneyline, though, which team should you take?

Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.

The Chiefs enter Super Bowl LIV as 1.5-point favorites against the spread, but as we saw in their first two playoff games, they’ve had to come from behind to earn their victories. Against the Houston Texans, they were down 24-0 early in the second quarter before mounting a huge comeback to win 51-31. The Tennessee Titans held a 10-point lead the following week, but Kansas City erased that deficit, too.

The 49ers, on the other hand, haven’t trailed once in these playoffs and were only tied once (after the opening score). They were tied 7-7 after one quarter against the Minnesota Vikings in the Divisional Round, and they led 7-0 after 15 minutes against the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship.

Our best bet: 49ers (-110)

(Photo Credit: Kirby Lee – USA TODAY Sports)

So, based on recent history, the 49ers would look like the wiser bet for the first quarter moneyline. They’ve been more in control than the Chiefs this postseason and there were only four games this season in which they trailed after the first quarter. The Chiefs trailed after the first quarter seven times.

Only three teams were better than the 49ers in the first quarter this season. Their scoring margin in the first 15 minutes was plus-40, scoring 106 points to their opponents’ 66. The Baltimore Ravens, New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers were the only teams better in that department.

The Chiefs, on the other hand, were 12th in first-quarter scoring margin (plus-10). They scored 90 first-quarter points but allowed 80 to their opponents, which was 11th-worst in the NFL.

So if you’re going to wager on the first quarter money line, the 49ers look like a solid bet. They may not put up a ton of points with their ground-and-pound attack, but it’ll take the Chiefs some time to get in a rhythm offensively.

Also see:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl LIV Prop Betting: How many passing yards for Jimmy Garoppolo?

Analyzing Super Bowl LIV prop bet odds, and looking at how many passing yards 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo will compile against the Chiefs.

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The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers meet in Super Bowl LIV Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Here at SportsbookWire, we have you covered for all your prop betting needs for the big game.

Forget the one-player, one-Over/Under stat total prop bets. Check out the board at BetMGM, and we find four different Super Bowl LIV passing yards totals and their respective odds for 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6 p.m. ET.

  • Over 200.5: -250; Under 200.5: +195
  • Over 238.5: -112; Under 238.5: -112
  • Over 300.5: +330; Under 300.5: -435
  • Over 350.5: +1000; Under 350.5: -2500

Of course, Jimmy G’s passing stats – or rather, the lack of them – have been a hot topic this postseason as he’s completed 17-of-27 passes for 208 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Those are two-game totals, mind you, as the Niners have employed a whopping 89-30 run-to-pass-play ratio, throwing the game back to the ground-and-pound 1970s.

With San Francisco ripping off 5.3 yards per rushing attempt and the opposing offenses of the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers mustering only 17 total points through the first three quarters, Garoppolo really hasn’t needed to throw in the postseason, so he hasn’t – plain and simple.

Special sports betting line for the big game

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The key question for us in deciding how to wager on this passing-yards prop is figuring out what’s likely to happen when the 49ers defense faces more of an offensive challenge than what it has received thus far in the postseason from Kirk Cousins and a less-than-vintage Aaron Rodgers.

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs ranked fifth in the league with an average of 28.2 points per game during the regular season. The Chiefs have gone on to score 86 more points in two AFC playoff wins. With the Chiefs favored by 1.5 points and the game’s point total sitting at 54.5 as of Tuesday, Kansas City’s implied point total Sunday is 28.

(Photo Credit: Kelley L Cox – USA TODAY Sports)

When the opposition has scored even 21 or more points this season (seven games), Garoppolo has averaged 35.1 passing attempts, 24 completions and 295.9 passing yards per outing. He has thrown for at least 248 yards in six of those seven contests (five wins and two losses), including all three of his 300-plus-yard games, and no fewer than 200 in any of them.

Flipping things around, the Niners’ implied point total Sunday is 26.5, and in the 10 games this season, including the two playoff contests, in which KC has surrendered at least 21 points, the Chiefs have allowed an average of 274.4 passing yards. Note this is the average from the opposing quarterbacks and not the team passing yards, which deducts the yardage lost on sacks.

So that brings us to … 

Our best bet: Jimmy Garoppolo Over 238.5 passing yards (-112)

The Niners figure to have a decent amount of success running against a KC defense, which ranked seventh-worst against the run (128.2 yards allowed) during the regular season, but has tightened up during the playoffs in allowing an average of 89.5 yards per contest.

Meanwhile, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes and Co. are going to put up points, and Garoppolo is going to have to air it out in an attempt to keep pace. Throwing for at least 239 yards would appear to be a strong bet – my quick and dirty projection has Jimmy G finishing with 285 or so – and if you’re feeling frisky, go for the middle by also banging the Under 300.5 yards, although you’ll have to lay a hefty -435 to do so.

Also see:

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Super Bowl LIV Prop Betting: What will be the first score of the game?

Analyzing Super Bowl LIV prop bets between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs. What will be the first score of the game?

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The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers meet in Super Bowl LIV Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Below, we look at what the first scoring play will be, based on the sports betting odds and lines at BetMGM for Super Bowl LIV.

Here at SportsbookWire, we have you covered for all your prop betting needs for the big game.

First scoring play, 6-way (including overtime)

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 5 p.m. ET.

  • 49ers field goal: +375
  • 49ers safety: +5000
  • 49ers touchdown: +200
  • Chiefs field goal: +330
  • Chiefs safety: +5500
  • Chiefs touchdown: +190
(Photo Credit: Cary Edmondson – USA TODAY Sports)

 With both teams averaging at least 29.8 points per game, including 6.7 (49ers) and 5.4 (Chiefs) points in the first quarter, predicting the likeliest first score might simply come down to whichever potent offense gets the ball first Sunday in South Beach.

So, on that premise, let us begin by examining each team’s opening offensive possession stats in the 18 contests each has played on the road to Miami (including the postseason):

  • The 49ers have scored points on 11 of 18 opening possessions, tallying seven touchdowns and four field goals. One other first drive ended in a turnover: A Jimmy Garoppolo interception in Week 3 against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • The Chiefs have scored on half of their 18 opening offensive drives, notching seven TDs and a pair of field goals. All were in games started by wunderkind QB Patrick Mahomes. Another one of Kansas City’s opening drives ended in a missed 36-yard field-goal attempt and another concluded with a Mahomes interception in Week 14 at the New England Patriots.

Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.

Defensively, including the playoffs, San Francisco is giving up an average of 18.8 points per contest, including an average of 4.1 in the first quarter. Kansas City is allowing 20.2 points, with 6.2 coming in the opening quarter.

Breaking it down even further, here’s how each of the Big Game combatants fared on their opening defensive possessions through 18 games:

  • The 49ers have permitted points on only six of their opponents’ first drives (four TDs and two field goals). Two other opposing team opening possessions ended in a fumble and a missed field goal.
  • The Chiefs, meanwhile, have surrendered 10 scores (six TDs and four field goals) on opening drives, including one of each in the playoffs. Three other first drives by foes ended in turnovers, with the KC defense recovering two fumbles and picking off a pass.

Our best bet: 49ers TD (+200)

Despite the 49ers’ superior numbers across the board, as just detailed, and Kansas City’s sluggish starts during the postseason, which have resulted in double-digit second-quarter deficits in each game, the Chiefs are slight favorites to put up the first score Sunday.

Wagers on a 49ers TD or field goal as the first score of Super Bowl LIV will return more than their Kansas City counterparts and, again referencing the probabilities based on this season’s early in-game performances, we’ll go with head coach Kyle Shanahan scripting up an early TD drive for the 49ers as the likeliest first score of Super Bowl LIV.

Also see:

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Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl LIV Prop Betting: Which team will score first?

Analyzing the sports betting odds and chance of the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs to record the first score of Super Bowl LIV.

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The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers meet in Super Bowl LIV Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Below, we look at which team is most likely to score first, based on the sports betting odds and lines at BetMGM for Super Bowl LIV.

Here at SportsbookWire, we have you covered for all your prop betting needs for the big game.

Which team will record the first score of Super Bowl LIV? (Including overtime, conversions do not count)

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 4:40 p.m. ET.

With both the 49ers (-106) and Chiefs (-115) averaging at least 28 points per contest to rank among the league’s top-five scoring offenses during the regular season, and the game’s Over/Under total being set at 54.5, we’d best start right from the beginning.

Both the 49ers and Chiefs rank among the league’s best in terms of first-quarter scoring, with San Francisco averaging 6.7 points (third overall, including the postseason) and Kansas City averaging 5.4 first-quarter points per game (10th).

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Getting even more specific, the 49ers and Chiefs also ranked among the league’s best in terms of first-drive scores during the regular season. The Niners scoring on 10 of their 16 opening possessions (six touchdowns and four field goals). The Chiefs scored on nine of 16 opening drives (seven TDs and two field goals). The 49ers scored a first-quarter TD in each of their two NFC playoff games, with one coming on the opening possession. The Chiefs have scored a total of seven first-quarter points in their two playoff contests with no opening-possession points.

Defensively, both Big Game combatants owned top-10 scoring defenses during the regular season. The Chiefs allowed 19.3 points per game to rank a shade higher than the Niners (19.4). During the playoffs, Kansas City is allowing an average of 25.5 points while the boys from the Bay Area have limited foes to 15 points per outing.

(Photo Credit: Cary Edmondson – USA TODAY Sports)

In the first quarter this season (including the playoffs), the Niners are allowing 4.1 points per contest (11th-fewest in the league) while the Chiefs are surrendering 6.2 (28th). In its two playoff contests, the Chiefs have been outscored 31-7 in the first quarter while San Francisco owns a 14-7 advantage.

On opening defensive possessions, the Chiefs have surrendered scores in 10 of 18 games, allowing six TDs and four field goals. The Niners, meanwhile, have given up points on only six of 18 opening possessions (four TDs and two FGs) for the opposing offense.

Our best bet: 49ers (-106)

Going by the just-digested numbers, we have to give the edge to the Niners, who not only have been more productive offensively early in games – a nod to some strong opening scripts by head coach Kyle Shanahan, arguably the game’s best play-caller – but they have been stingier defensively as well, particularly in the postseason. The Chiefs have dug themselves early-double-digit deficits in each of their two contests.

Strangely, though, Kansas City is the slight favorite here, with bettors having to pay a little more juice when siding with the formidable offensive duo of QB Patrick Mahomes and head coach Andy Reid.

Everything considered, however, it’s not wise to wager too much either way on this prop as the winning side may simply be determined by the coin toss and which team takes possession first.

Still, if you must have action here, play the percentages and give the nod to the Niners striking first on the scoreboard in South Beach.

Also see:

Want action on this game or prop bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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