Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) and Buffalo Bills (4-3) meet for Thursday Night Football in Week 8 at Highmark Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Buccaneers vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Buccaneers are coming off a disappointing 16-13 setback at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa against the division rival Atlanta Falcons. The offense has had a power outage in the past 2 games, totaling just 19 points across the past 2 losses, spoiling a tremendous defensive effort.

Tampa has allowed just 18.0 PPG in the past 2 games, and the Bucs are allowing just 17.4 PPG overall, cashing the Under in 5 of 6 outings to date.

The Bills will also be happy to get back in action with a quick turnaround. Buffalo was stunned 29-25 on the road against a bad New England Patriots team. The Bills have dropped 2 of the past 3 games overall, while failing to cash against the spread (ATS) in 3 in a row. The offense has dropped off significantly, averaging just 19.7 PPG in the past 3 games after going for 41.0 PPG in the previous 3 contests.

Tampa hasn’t faced an AFC opponent so far this season. Buffalo is 2-0 straight up (SU) and ATS against the NFC in 2023.

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Buccaneers at Bills odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:33 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Bills -405 (bet $405 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers +8.5 (-110) | Bills -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Buccaneers at Bills key injuries

Buccaneers

  • OG Matt Feiler (knee) out
  • WR Chris Godwin (neck) questionable
  • QB Baker Mayfield (knee) questionable
  • S Kaevon Merriweather (ankle) out
  • DT Vita Vea (groin) questionable

Bills

  • TE Dawson Knox (wrist) out
  • LB Von Miller (knee) available
  • TE Quintin Morris (ankle) out
  • DT Ed Oliver (toe) questionable
  • DT Jordan Phillips (back) available
  • LB Baylon Spector (hamstring) out

Buccaneers at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 23, Buccaneers 18

Moneyline

The Bills (-405) will cost you more than 4 times your potential return, and that’s risky business. Yes, Buffalo will be angry after a stunning loss against 1 of the worst teams in the NFL last weekend. However, the Bills offense, which has been struggling lately, faces a stiff test against one of the better defenses in the NFC.

PASS, and focus on the spread instead.

Against the spread

The BUCCANEERS +8.5 (-110) were my initial lean, but Mayfield was limited in practice. If he is ruled out, and backup QB Blaine Gabbert is entrusted with the start, then it’s all-in on the Bills -8.5 (-110). The line is likely to shift dramatically, too. Mayfield could very well be a game-time decision, as he tests his knee in pregame warmups, so be careful.

Over/Under

UNDER 42.5 (-105) is worth playing lightly, but again, be careful.

The Bills defense was dinged for 29 points by a shaky Patriots defense, so even the Bucs could get loose for some points here. That’s not expected, however. And the Bills offense has really had its issues lately, and that isn’t likely to be ironed out on a short week against a very good defensive unit.

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Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Buffalo Bills (4-2) visit the New England Patriots (1-5) on Sunday. Kick from Gillette Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bills vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Bills skidded past the Giants 14-9 last week on Sunday Night Football while failing to cover as 15-point home favorites. QB Josh Allen went 19 of 30 for 169 yards with 2 touchdowns and an interception. His top receiver was WR Stefon Diggs who hauled in 10 receptions for 100 yards while being targeted 16 times. No other Bills receiver had more than 2 receptions and only 2 other receivers had more than a single target.

Last week, the Patriots fell 21-17 to the Raiders while failing to cover as 3-point road underdogs. QB Mac Jones went 24 of 33 for 200 yards and an interception in the loss. Both New England TDs came on the ground with RB Rhamondre Stevenson and RB Ezekiel Elliot each finding the endzone.

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Bills at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:58 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bills -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | Patriots +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bills -7.5 (-110) | Patriots +7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 40 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Patriots key injuries

Bills

  • CB Kaiir Elam (ankle) questionable
  • RB Damien Harris (concussion) out
  • DT Ed Oliver (toe) out

Patriots

  • David Andrews (ankle) available
  • Trent Brown (chest) available
  • Kyle Dugger (foot) questionable
  • DT Davon Godchaux (ankle) questionable
  • TE Hunter Henry (ankle) questionable
  • CB Jonathan Jones (knee) questionable
  • Mike Onwenu (ankle) questionable
  • Riley Reiff (knee) out
  • WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (concussion) questionable
  • Cole Strange (knee) questionable
  • LB Josh Uche (knee, foot) out

Bills at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 27, Patriots 10

Moneyline

PASS.

The Bills are so much better than the Patriots that the outcome of the game shouldn’t be a consideration. However, at -375, the Bills aren’t worth a play. Don’t put them in your moneyline parlays either.

Against the spread

BET BILLS -7.5 (-110).

The Bills have been favored in all 6 games so far this season, and they are 0-2 against the spread (ATS) when a double-digit favorite. But, when they are a favorite of 3-9.5, they are 3-1 ATS. The Bills offense scored 38, 37, and 48 in back-to-back weeks before going for 20 in Week 5 and 14 in Week 6. This offense should bounce back.

The opposite can be said of the Pats, who have scored 20 points over the last 3 weeks. There’s no reason to have confidence they can get going here. They are 1-5 ATS and 0-4 ATS as an underdog.

Back BILLS -7.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 40 (-110).

The Pats have gone Under in 5 straight games and have scored more than 17 just once this season. They have gone Under in 2 games in which they allowed 34 or more points, so even if the Bills offense bounces back, the total may not top 40.

The Bills are 2-4 O/U and have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games. They have had a total of Under 45 or lower in 3 games, all of which went Under. Take UNDER 40 (-110).

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New York Giants at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Giants at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New York Giants (1-4) and Buffalo Bills (3-2) meet Sunday night at Highmark Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Giants failed to cover for the 5th straight game last week as they fell 31-16 to the Miami Dolphins. The Under squeaked by, partly due to the Giants’ continued futility on offense. The Giants are last in the NFL with 255.2 yards/game and 2nd-to-last with 12.4 points per game. QB Daniel Jones has already been ruled out, and Tyrod Taylor will be under center. Things could become brighter if RB Saquon Barkley is able to return from his high-ankle sprain.

The Bills, who were -5.5 favorites, were upended by the Jacksonville Jaguars 25-20 last week. The Under cashed as there were just 18 points scored in the first half in London. The Bills are 3-2 ATS on the season but 2-0 at home. WR Stefon Diggs is tied for the NFL lead with 5 touchdowns.

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Giants at Bills odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:29 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants +675 (bet $100 to win $675) | Bills -1110 (bet $1,110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Giants +14.5 (-105) | Bills -14.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Giants at Bills key injuries

Giants

  • RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) questionable
  • RB Gary Brightwell (ankle) questionable
  • DT D.J. Davidson (knee) questionable
  • QB Daniel Jones (neck) out
  • OG Shane Lemieux (groin)
  • LB Micah McFadden (ankle) questionable
  • OT Evan Neal (ankle) questionable
  • LB Azeez Ojulari (ankle) out
  • OT Matt Peart (shoulder) out
  • C John Michael Schmitz (shoulder) out
  • OT Andrew Thomas (hamstring) out
  • TE Darren Waller (groin) questionable

Bills

  • CB Dane Jackson (foot) questionable
  • TE Dalton Kincaid (concussion) questionable
  • TE Dawson Knox (wrist) questionable

Giants at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 27, Giants 10

Moneyline

The Bills come into this one 3rd in the league at 31.8 points per game, and the Giants are decimated by injuries. So this really shouldn’t be a contest. You’d have to have a few too many adult beverages to consider betting -1100 on the Bills, however.

Barkley is questionable, and if he suits up, it’s not unthinkable for the Giants to take a pseudo-home game. PASS on the ML, but I like STEFON DIGGS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 26.5 (-110). He has catches of 30+ yards in 3 straight games.

Against the spread

The Giants have failed to cover any game this season and have lost the last 3 games by an average of 18 points. Covering this 14.5-point spread is tempting against an inconsistent Bills team, but I just can’t do it until Barkley is ruled out.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Bills are 2-3 O/U this season, and 44 is a staggering number considering the Giants have averaged just 10.33 points per game the last 3 weeks. Buffalo would have to top 30 to hit an Over, and they have done that in their 3 wins and not in their 2 losses. I’ll stay conservative and LEAN UNDER 44 (-110).

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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2) and Buffalo Bills (3-1) meet Sunday at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Kickoff is set for 9:30 a.m. ET (NFL Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Jaguars vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Jacksonville will be playing its second game in a row in London after defeating Atlanta 23-7 as a 3-point favorite last Sunday. Jacksonville was the home team in the contest which took place at Wembley Stadium. It will be the designated road team against the Bills in this game.

The Bills are coming off 3 wins of at least 28 points. Their most recent was a 48-20 win as 3-point favorites over the Miami Dolphins last Sunday. The win put them in 1st place in the AFC East, heading into London.

After 4 turnovers in Week 1, QB Josh Allen has improved each week. This culminated last Sunday with 21-of-25 passing for 320 yards and 4 TDs. Allen has gotten into MVP form, and this has allowed the Bills to make easy work of recent opponents.

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Jaguars vs. Bills odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:12 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Jaguars +198 (bet $100 to win $198) | Bills -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Jaguars +5.5 (-110) | Bills -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Jaguars vs. Bills key injuries

Jaguars

  • WR Jamal Agnew (quad) questionable
  • CB Christian Braswell (hamstring) out
  • WR Zay Jones (knee) questionable
  • LB Devin Lloyd (thumb) out

Bills

  • OLB Von Miller (ACL) questionable
  • DE Greg Russo (foot) out
  • CB Tre’Davious White (Achilles) out

Jaguars vs. Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 31, Jaguars 2

Moneyline

PASS.

Neither side is worth making a wager on. Buffalo is too high at -240 and Jacksonville does not offer enough value at +198.

Against the spread

BET BUFFALO -5.5 (-110).

Buffalo has won its past 3 games by an average of 30 points. In this time, it has only allowed 33 points to its opponents while the offense has failed to score under 37 points.

WR Stefon Diggs and Allen have put any off-season strife behind them, and the connection in the pass game is as strong as ever.

While the injury to White is concerning, Jacksonville is dealing with several injuries at the WR position. This will make it difficult for the Jags to take advantage of the missing All-Pro.

Despite Jacksonville already having played in London and being there for a week, Buffalo is the better team. 5.5 points is not enough, and if the number stays below 7, Buffalo is the side.

Over/Under

BET OVER 48.5 (-110).

While many of the games played in London have gone Under, these games are normally played at Wembley Stadium — a grass field made specifically for soccer. This game will be played at the new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. A stadium built with input from the NFL to make it more conducive to NFL games. It has a field turf surface and in the 2 matchups it hosted in 2022, both games went Over.

With the offense of Buffalo averaging 41 points in the past 3 games, it could get this game to go Over by itself. But Jacksonville will score a bit as well. This total should be closer to 52. With it being so low, take OVER 48.5 (-110).

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Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Miami Dolphins (3-0) visit the Buffalo Bills (2-1) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dolphins vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins are coming off a 70-20 home rout as 6-point favorites vs. the Denver Broncos. After a game in which RBs De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert each finished with 4 TDs, Miami will find it more difficult going up against a stouter Buffalo defense.

Buffalo is on a 2-game win streak after losing its opener to the New York Jets on Monday night. The Bills are coming off a 37-3 “rocking chair” victory at the Washington Commanders as 5-point favorites.

This is the Bills’ 2nd home game — they beat the Las Vegas Raiders 38-10 as 7.5-point favorites in Week 2.

The Dolphins will be facing their 3rd road game of the young season. A season-opening 36-34 win as 3-point underdogs at the Los Angeles Chargers was followed by a 24-17 divisional win as 1-point favorites at New England.

Miami has proven it can win on the road thus far but hasn’t faced elite teams. The combined record of Miami’s first 3 opponents is just 2-7.

This is an important game for both teams and the NFL landscape. The Bills will be looking to show they’re still the dominant team in the AFC East, while the Dolphins hope to show it belongs among the best teams in the league.

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Dolphins at Bills odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:23 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +126 (bet $100 to win $126) | Bills -148 (bet $148 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins  +3 (-115) | Bills -3 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dolphins at Bills key injuries

Dolphins

  • OL Terron Armstead (back, ankle, knee) questionable
  • SS DeShon Elliott (ankle, groin) questionable
  • LB Jaelan Phillips (oblique) out
  • C Connor Williams (groin) questionable

Bills

  • S Jordan Poyer (knee) out

Dolphins at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 27, Dolphins 21

Moneyline

BUFFALO (-148) is the safer wager to make here.

The Dolphins will finally play a good team in the Bills. We have yet to figure out how good Miami really is. This will be a good barometer to judge.

Playing at home, the Bills will look to assert their dominance over their AFC East Division rivals after the Dolphins just put up 70 on the hapless Broncos.

Backing the Bills -3 (-105) is a better wager, but if you want the safety of not worrying about having to win by at least 3 points, the ML of -148 is not outrageous for Buffalo and would make a good addition to a small parlay.

Against the spread

BUFFALO -3 (-105)  is my play.

Sure, Miami is coming off the impressive 70-point outing, but it came against a lackluster Denver — which yielded 35 points in a 2-point loss to the Commanders in Week 2.

The Dolphins offensive line has been playing better than expected. However, with C Connor Williams and LT Terron Armstead listed on the injury report, the Bills pass rush could be able to harass Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa throughout the day.

While Miami has the offense to compete, the Dolphins defense — with CB Jalen Ramsey (knee) out and CB Xavien Howard aging — will find it challenging to slow down a Bills offense led by QB Josh Allen and WR Stefon Diggs.

Buffalo laying -3 (105) is a surprising number after seeing what Miami did to Denver last week, but it doesn’t scare me away from making this wager. BACK BUFFALO -3 (-105.)

Over/Under

UNDER 53.5 (-115) is the way to go.

The last time a team scored 70 or more points was the 1966 Washington team. In the following game, it won at the Dallas Cowboys 34-31. It also came following a bye week, something the Dolphins don’t have the benefit of.

Buffalo has only allowed 13 points in the past 2 games — 10 to the Las Vegas Raiders and 3 to the Commanders. While Miami’s offense provides a much bigger threat, the Bills defense will slow the Dolphins enough to keep this UNDER 53.5 (-115).

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First look: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The Miami Dolphins (3-0) and Buffalo Bills (2-1) meet Sunday in a 1 p.m. ET (CBS) kickoff at Highmark Stadium. Below, we look at Dolphins vs. Bills odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Also see: SportsbookWire’s NFL picks and predictions.

On Sunday, Miami became the 1st team to score 70 points in a single game since 1966. The Dolphins covered a -6 line and cruised to a 70-20 win over the Denver Broncos. Miami is now 3-0 to start a season for the 2nd year in a row.

The Bills covered a -3 line in a 37-3 triumph at the Washington Commanders Sunday. Buffalo now returns home, where it has gone 10-1 across its last 11 regular-season games. An efficient Bills offense — one ranked 4th in the NFL at 5.0 yards per rush and 3rd in pass accuracy with a 72.7% mark — has managed 75 points over the last 2 weeks.

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Dolphins at Bills odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dolphins +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Bills -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +2.5 (-105) | Bills -2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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2023 betting stats

  • ML: Dolphins 3-0 | Bills 2-1
  • ATS: Dolphins 3-0 | Bills 2-1
  • O/U: Dolphins 2-1 | Bills 1-2

Dolphins vs. Bills head-to-head

In 114 regular-season games, the Dolphins lead 61–52–1. But the Bills have won 9 of the last 10 meetings and 7 in a row played in Buffalo.

The public has had this meeting ironed out in recent years. Since 2018, the Dolphins are 5-4-1 ATS. The Under is 3-1 across the last 4 meetings.

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Buffalo Bills at Washington Commanders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Buffalo Bills at Washington Commanders odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Buffalo Bills (1-1) are on the road in Week 3 to face the Washington Commanders (2-0). They play Sunday afternoon at FedExField with a 1 p.m. ET kickoff (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bills vs. Commanders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Bills, after losing their season opener 22-16 in overtime at the New York Jets, bounced back with a blowout 38-10 win over the Las Vegas Raiders, covering the 7.5-point spread as home favorites last Sunday.

The Commanders are a surprising 2-0 to start the season, but their wins have come over the winless Arizona Cardinals and Denver Broncos. They beat the Broncos 35-33, covering the 3.5-point spread as road dogs last Sunday.

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Bills at Commanders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bills -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Commanders +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bills -6 (-110) | Commanders +6 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Commanders key injuries

Bills

  • DE Von Miller (knee) out

Commanders

  • TE Logan Thomas (concussion) out

Bills at Commanders picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 31, Commanders 17

Moneyline

The Commanders have 2 close wins over 2 winless teams so far.

The Bills bounced back from their season-opening loss to blow out the Raiders.

The Commanders have allowed 10 sacks through 2 games.

The Bills are one of the AFC’s title contenders. Washington, even with the 2-0 start, is still going to have to compete to stay out of last place in the NFC East.

The moneyline is just too pricey to go with the Bills.

PASS.

Against the spread

Both teams are 1-1 ATS thus far.

Washington’s defense allowed 33 points last week.

Of the 32 points the Bills have allowed through 2 games, 26 have been by opposing offenses.

BET BILLS -6 (-110).

Over/Under

Both teams saw their games hit the Over last week after their 1st games stayed Under the projected total.

The Bills figured things out offensively last week.

Based on last week, all the Commanders will need to do is hit double digits.

BET OVER 43 (-110).

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Las Vegas Raiders at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Las Vegas Raiders at Buffalo Bills Team odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Las Vegas Raiders (1-0) visit the Buffalo Bills (0-1) Sunday in Week 2 NFL action. Kickoff at Highmark Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Raiders vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Las Vegas surprised almost everyone with a 17-16 road victory over the Denver Broncos in Week 1. New QB Jimmy Garoppolo managed the game well throwing for 200 yards and 2 touchdowns and found a great connection with fellow new Raider WR Jakobi Meyers who caught 9 of 10 targets for 81 yards and 2 touchdowns. However, Meyers suffered a concussion late in the game and is out for Week 2.

The Raiders are likely hoping to get more from RB Josh Jacobs who led the league last season in rushing yards but was held to 48 yards on 19 carries in Week 1.

All eyes will be on the Bills to see if they can avoid a 0-2 start for the first time since 2018 after they were stunned 22-16 in overtime by the New York Jets in Week 1. QB Josh Allen threw 3 interceptions, was sacked 5 times and lost a fumble in the loss, although he did find top WR Stefon Diggs 10 times for 102 yards and a touchdown. Diggs was the only Buffalo receiver to have more than 32 yards in the game.

The last time these teams met was in Oct. 2020 in Las Vegas when Buffalo recorded a 30-23 victory as a 3-point favorite. The Raiders are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 6 against the Bills but have lost 2 in a row against the number in the series.

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Raiders at Bills odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Raiders +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Bills -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Raiders +8.5 (-110) | Bills -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Raiders at Bills key injuries

Raiders

  • DE Chandler Jones (persronal) out
  • WR Jakobi Meyers (concussion) out

Bills

  • None

Raiders at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 27, Raiders 23

Moneyline

PASS.

No win is guaranteed when it comes to the Bills after we saw them blow last week’s game against the Jets and there is no way I’m going to bet this Buffalo team -310 against a surprising Raiders squad even playing in the friendly confines of Highmark Stadium. Even if the Bills dominated in Week 1, I’d never put down 3 units to win 1, it’s just a bad bet.

Against the spread

BET RAIDERS +8.5 (-110).

I really like the Raiders getting points in this one. Las Vegas really impressed me on the road in Denver in Week 1 as QB Jimmy Garoppolo did exactly what he needed to do to get the job done and their defense kept Sean Payton’s new-look Broncos’ offense in check.

QB Josh Allen needs to play better and I’m not convinced he’ll be able to do that in just one week’s time. He has not been right since former offensive coordinator Brian Daboll left for the Giants’ head coaching job. While the offense is basically the same, the coaching is different under Ken Dorsey.

Over/Under

BET OVER 47 (-110).

Despite both of these teams going Under their game total in each of their last 2 games, I feel like this game could be a sneaky shootout.

The Raiders and Bills are 5-0-1 to the Over in their last 6 meetings dating back to Sept. 2008.

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Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Buffalo Bills make the trip down to East Rutherford, N.J., on Monday to take on the New York Jets in the final game of Week 1. Kickoff at MetLife Stadium is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. E.T. (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bills vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

New York has its sights set on the playoffs and beyond after making a huge splash in the offseason with multiple free agency signings. Aside from having last season’s offensive and defensive rookies of the year, the Jets traded for  legendary QB Aaron Rodgers and struck gold with the late free-agent addition of pro bowl RB Dalvin Cook to pair with dynamic Breece Hall in the backfield.

The Bills look to connect the dots with a comparable roster to the squad that’s led them to 3 consecutive AFC East crowns since 2020. An offense led by QB Josh Allen will continue to rely on his chemistry with premier WR Stefon Diggs. Buffalo will need to limit the giveaways and find that dynamic X-factor they can consistently rely on to push them over the top.

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Bills at Jets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 9:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bills -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Jets +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bills -1.5 (-110) | Jets +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Jets key injuries

Bills

  • LB Von Miller (knee) PUP-R

Jets

  • Breece Hall (knee) Questionable

Bills at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 27, Jets 20

Moneyline

The feeling around the Bills is they have all the pieces they need to win. Look for them to come out with a chip on their shoulder to start their 2023 campaign against the new-look Jets. WR Garrett Wilson and the rest of the Jets offense will do their best to avoid growing pains with Rodgers, but it’s quite inevitable. Look for the BILLS (-130) to force the Jets to play from behind all night.

Against the spread

BILLS -1.5 (-110) is a better play unless you think Buffalois only to win by a point. The Jets young, athletic defense led by DBs Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed, have extremely bright futures ahead of them, but expect to see them out on the field a bit more than they would like.

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Over/Under

Over 45.5 (-110) is probably the right play here. Look for Rodgers to salvage some nice stats once the Jets fall behind. However, one can never count out the Hall of Famer and the extent to which he has an impact on the overall game. But I would STAY AWAY.

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Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Buffalo Bills (1-1) visit the Windy City on Saturday to take on the Chicago Bears (1-1) in Week 3 preseason action. Kickoff from Soldier Field is at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bills vs. Bears odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Buffalo lost 27-15 in its Week 2 preseason game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers. It was a sloppy game from Buffalo all around as the Bills committed 13 penalties and backup QB Matt Barkley threw 3 INTs. QB Josh Allen and the starting offense played briefly, but were unable to put up any points. Allen went 7-for-10 for 64 yards.

Coach Sean McDermott said he plans to play the starters vs. Chicago, but that they won’t see extensive action.

Chicago lost 24-17 to the Indianapolis Colts in its 2nd preseason game. The Bears sat most of their starters in that game including starting QB Justin Fields, but  QBs Nathan Peterman and Tyson Agent were impressive in the time they saw vs. the Colts.

Coach Matt Eberflus has not yet committed to playing the starters vs. Buffalo, but all indications are that he will.

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Bills at Bears odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:06 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bills -145 (bet $145 to win $155) | Bears +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bills -2.5 (-110) | Bears +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 39 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bill at Bears picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 26, Bears 24

Moneyline

LEAN BILLS (-145).

I like the Bills to win here although they have looked sloppy in the preseason so far, even when the starters are in, so that does cause some concern. I also am not a huge fan of such a risky bet at (-145) in a game that feels like a toss-up to me. The Bills should be a decently safe lean, but if you don’t want to bet the juice then play the spread and/or O/U instead.

Against the spread

BET BEARS +2.5 (-110).

The Bears have gotten solid production from 2 of their backup QBs and I expect that to play a role in the 2nd half of this game, when the starters will likely be sitting. The Bills have been plagued by penalties, racking up 21 in their 2 preseason games, and Barkley looked bad vs. Pittsburgh. This is your best bet for this game.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 39 (-110). 

Both of these teams have proven that they can put up 20+ points, and even in their losses they were able to score 15+. If the starters do play significant time for both teams then I expect the over to be a very safe bet, and even with the backups in the Over should be safe here.

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