Washington Nationals at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (30-47) and Seattle Mariners (37-39) open a 3-game set Monday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Mariners won last season’s series 3-1

The Nationals won 8-3 as +184 underdogs at the San Diego Padres Sunday, taking the series 2-1. Washington is 5-15 in its last 20 contests and is 5th in the NL East, 20 games behind the division-leading Atlanta Braves.

The Mariners lost 3-2 as -115 favorites at the Baltimore Orioles Sunday, dropping the series 2-1. Seattle has lost 4 of its last 6 contests and is 4th in the AL West, 9 1/2 games back of the division-leading Texas Rangers.

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Nationals at Mariners projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Williams (4-4, 4.14 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 76 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 3-0 win vs. St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday
  • Has won his last 2 decisions
  • First career start vs. Mariners

Castillo (4-6, 2.89 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 87 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 4-2 loss at New York Yankees Wednesday
  • Has lost his last 4 starts despite allowing just 9 ER over that span
  • Career vs. Nationals: 0-5, 4.81 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 32 H, 8 HR, 19 BB, 32 K in 6 starts

Nationals at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:36 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Mariners -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Mariners -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Nationals at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Nationals 2

Moneyline

Seattle (-250) should bounce back after losing 2 games in a row, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the ML when the Mariners should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Seattle has not lost 3 straight games since getting swept by the division-leading Rangers from June 2-4. Seven of the Mariners’ last 8 wins have been by multiple runs and it is unlikely that Castillo will lose a 5th straight start.

Washington has not won 3 straight games since May 2-4 and its last 6 losses have all been by 2 or more runs.

BET MARINERS -1.5 (-125).

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Over/Under

The Under is 4-1 in Washington’s last 5 games after scoring 5 or more runs in its previous contest and 4-1 in its last 5 interleague matchups.

The Under has hit in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams and should cash again Monday as Castillo bounces back after 4 straight losses.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (45-30) and the Washington Nationals (28-45) play a make-up game Thursday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 4-1

This is a make-up game from a contest postponed June 8 due to hazardous air quality conditions in the nation’s capital due to wildfires in Eastern Canada.

The Diamondbacks will gladly return to D.C., as Arizona had won the first 2 games in the series by a combined score of 16-7. Overall, the Snakes have won 4 of 5 games against the Nats this season, and Arizona has scored 6 or more runs in each of the last 4 outings.

The Nationals salvaged the final game of the 3-game set with the visiting St. Louis Cardinals, winning 3-0 on Wednesday afternoon as the Under (9) cashed. The win snapped a 5-game skid, and the Under is now 6-4 across the past 10 games, while going 3-2 in the past 5 contests at home.

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Diamondbacks at Nationals projected starters

LHP Tommy Henry vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Henry (3-1, 4.66 ERA) makes his 11th start and 12th overall appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 56 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 6-3 home win vs. the Cleveland Guardians Saturday
  • 2023 road splits: 2-0, 6.75 ERA (20 IP, 15 ER – 6 HR) with a .275 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts

Irvin (1-3, 5.25 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 36 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 5-2 home loss vs. the Miami Marlins Saturday
  • 2023 home splits: 0-2, 6.20 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 4 ER) with a .286 OBA in 2 starts

Diamondbacks at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105) | Nationals +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The DIAMONDBACKS (-150) are a decent play in this make-up contest, although the Nationals (+125) should be able to cobble together a little bit of offense against the southpaw Henry.

Arizona is 5-2 in the past 7 in Game 3 of a series, while going 19-7 in the past 26 against losing teams.

Washington is just 5-16 in the past 21 tries overall, and 1-4 in 5 meetings with Arizona this season. The Nats haven’t handled the twig well against southpaws, either, going 14-48 in the past 62 tries vs. LHP.

Run line/Against the spread

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-125) isn’t terribly expensive if you’re feeling the home side in this matinee affair.

There aren’t a lot of positive trends in Washington’s favor, but it is 5-2 in the past 7 tries when dropping the 1st 2 games in a series, and even though this is a make-up game, that sort of applies here. I still prefer Arizona straight up much better.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 9.5 (-105) is in play here, but not because of a great pitching matchup.

Both of these hurlers can give up runs, so do not expect to see a bunch of donuts on the board. However, like Wednesday’s game in D.C. between the Cards and Nats which had just 3 total runs, the wind will be blowing in from 9-12 mph into the face of the batters from center field. That will aid these shaky pitchers, at least keeping the ball in the yard for the most part.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (29-43) open a 3-game series with the Washington Nationals (27-43) Monday. First pitch from Nationals Park is at 4:05 ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Cardinals won 4-3 last year

The Nationals had very little hope to start the year and are on pace to fall well short of 70 victories. Washington lost 4-2 to the Miami Marlins Sunday as Miami completed a 3-game sweep.

The Cardinals won the NL Central last year but find themselves at the bottom of the pack as we creep toward the halfway point of the season. The good news — if there is any — is their run differential is just -15, the 2nd-best mark in the division. St. Louis beat the New York Mets 8-7 Sunday to win the series 2-1 but has only won 4 of its last 10 games and could use a strong series against Washington to get a little spark going.

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Cardinals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Flaherty (3-5, 4.64 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 73 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 10 H, 3 B, 3 K in an 11-3 home loss to the San Fransisco Giants Tuesday
  • Has not given up a home run when ahead in the count this season

Gray (4-5, 3.19 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 79 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 road loss at the Houston Astros Wednesday
  • Has a .222 opponent batting average when the batter is ahead of the count

Cardinals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook;  access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+100) | Nationals +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 4, Cardinals 1

Moneyline

St. Louis has the 2nd worst win percentage in MLB as a road favorite this season, and it’s just 11-17 off a win — the 5th worst mark in the league. Considering that Washington has won 4 of its last 5 games against the NL Central, I see the value in taking the home team.

LEAN NATIONALS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

Since I am taking Washington to win I certainly like them against the spread with the run and a half of insurance. The Nationals 25-17 ATS after a loss while St. Louis is 12-16 ATS after a win.

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

St. Louis trends heavily toward the Under with a 62.2% hit rate (23-14-1) on the road. Pair that with Washington’s recent 5-1 Under record when the total is set between 9 and 10.5 runs, and I see another low-scoring game.

LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-105).

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Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (38-31) and Washington Nationals (27-40) open a 3-game set Friday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 3-0

The Marlins won 4-1 as +158 underdogs at the Seattle Mariners Wednesday and we predicted the moneyline and total correctly on that game. Miami avoided suffering a 3rd straight loss and is 5 games behind the Atlanta Braves for the lead in the NL East.

The Nationals won 4-1 as +174 underdogs at the Houston Astros Thursday. Washington has won just 2 of its last 10 games and is 5th in the NL East, 15 games back of the Braves.

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Marlins at Nationals projected starters

RHP Sandy Alcántara vs. RHP Trevor Williams

Alcántara (2-5, 4.75 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 83 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 5-1 win at Chicago White Sox Saturday
  • Has not recorded a loss in 4 straight starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 6-6, 3.21 ERA (84 IP, 30 ER), 67 H, 9 HR, 29 BB, 62 K in 13 starts

Williams (3-4, 4.11 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 65 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 6-2 win at Braves Sunday
  • Has lost 2 of his last 3 starts
  • Career vs. Marlins: 1-2, 3.75 ERA (36 IP, 15 ER), 35 H, 5 HR, 4 BB, 36 K in 5 starts and 5 relief appearances

Marlins at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+100) | Nationals +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 6, Nationals 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nationals haven’t won back-to-back games since May 31-June 2. Miami (-160) should win, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the ML when the Marlins should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARLINS -1.5 (+100).

Miami has won 9 of its last 12 games and 8 of those wins were by multiple runs. Washington is just 3-13 in its last 16 home games after a road trip of 7 or more days and 8 of its last 10 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Over is 5-2 in Miami’s last 7 road games vs. teams with a losing record.

The Over has hit in 9 of Washington’s last 13 at home and should cash again Friday as the Marlins bounce back offensively after only scoring 8 runs in a 3-game set vs. the Mariners.

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Washington Nationals at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (26-39) and Houston Astros (38-29) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Wednesday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 1-0

The Nationals lost 6-1 as +215 underdogs at the Astros Tuesday. Washington has lost 7 of 8 games and is in last place in the NL East.

The Astros closed as -239 home favorites in Tuesday’s win. The defending World Series champions have not won back-to-back contests since June 3 and sit 3.5 games behind the Texas Rangers for the lead in the AL West.

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Nationals at Astros projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Gray (4-5, 3.00 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 72 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 3-2 loss at Atlanta Braves Friday
  • Only career start vs. Astros: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 6-1 loss at home May 13, 2022

Valdez (6-5, 2.36 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 84 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in a 3-2 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Thursday
  • Only career start vs. Nationals: Win, 7 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K May 13, 2022

Nationals at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Astros -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+100) | Astros -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Nationals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Astros (-250) should win as big home favorites, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when Houston should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ASTROS -1.5 (-120).

Houston is 4-0 in its last 4 interleague games vs. teams with a losing record and its last 12 wins have been by multiple runs. Eight of Washington’s last 9 losses have been by 2 or more runs and the Nationals should struggle to keep it close with their disadvantage at starting pitcher.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

Houston has had no problems scoring runs against inferior competition lately as the Over is 4-1 in Houston’s last 5 games vs. teams with a losing record. These teams tend to play high-scoring games vs. each other in Houston, with the Over hitting in 5 of the last 6 meetings, and Wednesday’s matchup should be more of the same.

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Washington Nationals at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Houston Astros odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (26-38) and the Houston Astros (37-29) kick off a 3-game interleague series Tuesday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Astros won season series 2-1 in 2022

The Nationals scraped out a 6-2 win Sunday vs. the Atlanta Braves as +240 road underdogs after dropping the first 2 games of the weekend series. That victory halted a 6-game losing streak. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 for a Washington club that is averaging just 3.4 runs per game (RPG) across its last 7 outings.

The Astros found the sledding surprisingly tough at the Cleveland Guardians over the weekend, dropping 2 of 3 games. Houston was blanked 5-0 in Sunday’s series finale as the Under cashed for the 4th time in 6 games.

Washington has managed an 8-12 interleague record in 2023, while Houston is a much better 11-7 vs. NL teams.

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Nationals at Astros projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Hunter Brown

Corbin (4-6, 4.89 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 73 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 6-2 road loss vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
  • 2023 Road splits: 2-2, 5.72 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 18 ER – 7 HR) with a .298 OBA in 5 starts

Brown (5-3, 3.69 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 68 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H (2 HR), 3 BB, 5 K in a 5-1 road loss vs. the Toronto Blue Jays last Tuesday
  • 2023 Home splits: 1-2, 4.05 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 12 ER – 0 HR) with a .260 OBA in 5 starts

Nationals at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 4:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Astros -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Astros -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Nationals at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 8, Nationals 2

Moneyline

The Nationals (+200) are hot garbage, but you can’t back the Astros (-250) at this price. You would need to risk 2 1/2 times your potential return, and there is just no value there. It’s a terrible betting strategy to rely heavily on big favorites over the long term.

PASS, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The ASTROS -1.5 (-130) are a much better value on the run line.

Houston took 3 of 4 games from the Los Angeles Angels last time it was home while covering the run line as a favorite in each of the victories. The Astros went 4-3 on their last homestand and they won by 2 or more runs in each of the 4 victories.

If you like the Astros to win, you should also like them to cover the run line. As a favorite, Houston is 13-5 in the past 18 games, while going 12-6 on the run line in those contests.

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Over/Under

OVER 8 (-120) is the play when the southpaw Corbin is on the bump.

The Over is 6-6-1 in his 13 starts this season and is 2-2-1 in his 5 starts on the road. It’s mostly that the offense has failed to provide much support in the games where the total has gone low, and it’s not really had anything to do with his pitching. The 33-year-old has just 7 quality starts in 13 outings, and he has allowed at least 2 runs in every assignment while conceding 3 or more runs in each of the past 3 starts and 7 games overall. The lefty is very giving, take advantage.

In even worse news for Corbin, the Over is 7-3 in Houston’s past 10 starts against a left-handed starting pitcher, while going 4-1 in the past 5 against teams with a losing overall record. The Over is 11-5 in the past 16 series openers for the ‘Stros, too.

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Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (25-38) and Atlanta Braves (40-24) wrap up a 3-game series on Sunday at Truist Park. First pitch is slated for 1:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 4-1

The Nationals lost 6-4 Saturday for their 6th straight defeat and 9th in their last 11 games. They’ve allowing opponents to score 6.6 runs per game during the current losing streak.

Atlanta won their 7th straight game Saturday behind HRs from Ronald Acuna Jr and Marcel Ozuna. The Braves have won 8 of their last 9 games. They are scoring nearly 7 runs per game in their current win streak.

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Nationals at Braves projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Bryce Elder

Williams (2-4, 4.15 ERA) will make his 13th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 60 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 11-3 home loss vs Philadelphia Phillies Sunday
  • Last start vs Braves: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 5-0 road loss on April 27, 2021

Elder (4-0, 2.26 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8 K/9 in 71 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 6-4 home victory vs New York Mets Tuesday
  • Last start vs Nationals: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 8-0 road victory on Sept. 26, 2022

Nationals at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Braves -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +2.5 (-135) | Braves -2.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Nationals 2

Moneyline

The Braves are a huge favorite and with good reason. They will likely win this game but the moneyline is not the play. You need to put down nearly 3 units to win 1, that’s not a smart bet. Look to the run line.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -2.5 (+115)

These are 2 teams going in opposite directions. The Braves will complete their 2nd straight sweep to finish the homestand 6-0. Williams has not won a game on the road since April 8th and owns a 4.55 road ERA.

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Over/Under

I would lean to the UNDER 9.5 (-105) because Elder has owned the Nationals. He threw 6-hit shutout against them last year and is  2-0 with a 1.77 ERA in 3 starts, allowing only 4 ER in 20 1/3 IP with 3 BB and 16 K’s.

Washington is averaging just 3 runs per game over their 6-game losing streak and are in the bottom 10 in MLB in runs scored per game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (25-36) and the Atlanta Braves (38-24) kick off a 3-game series Friday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-1

The Nationals got an unexpected day off Thursday due to poor air quality in the nation’s capital. That’s probably a good thing, as the Arizona Diamondbacks were putting it on the Nats, outscoring them 16-7 on Tuesday and Wednesday. Washington has dropped 4 in a row overall, and 7 of the past 9 contests.

The Braves posted a 3-game sweep of the division rival New York Mets to start the week, and Atlanta won 2 of 3 games against the aforementioned Diamondbacks prior to that. Atlanta currently resides in 1st place in the NL East, 3 1/2 games clear of the 2nd place Miami Marlins.

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Nationals at Braves projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP AJ Smith-Shawver

Gray (4-5, 3.09 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 67 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in an 8-7 home win vs. the Philadelphia Phillies last Friday
  • 2023 Road splits: 2-3, 2.43 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 11 ER – 3 HR) with a .250 OBA in 7 starts

Smith-Shawver (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st major league start, and 2nd overall appearance.

  • Last appearance (debut): 2 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 3 K in an 8-5 road win vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
  • 2023 Minor League stats (A+, AA, AAA): 2-1, 1.09 ERA (33 IP, 4 ER – 1 HR) with 12 BB and 45 K in 7 starts

Nationals at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-120) | Braves -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Nationals at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 4, Braves 3

Moneyline

The NATIONALS (+165) are worth a look as moderate underdogs in this road opener.

Washington is rested after getting a day off Thursday, and now it will be facing a rookie making his first major league start. You never know what you’re going to get in that kind of situation, even with a hotshot 20-year-old prospect phenom. While some could argue the Nats aren’t that much better than a minor-league team, this is still a huge step up in competition for Smith-Shawver.

Run line/Against the spread

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-120) are very affordable if you’d like a little insurance, and just can’t bring yourself to play Washington straight up.

While Washington is 1-5 in the past 6 trips to Atlanta, it is a respectable 4-4 on the run line as an underdog in the past 8 tries against the Braves, with 3 outright victories during the span.

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Over/Under

UNDER 10 (-115) is worth a look in this series opener.

While we do have the rookie on the hill, he had tremendous numbers in the minors. Can he bring it in his first major league start after impressing with a couple of scoreless innings of relief in his debut? Gray has also posted some solid numbers on the road.

The Under is 7-2 in the previous 9 meetings in this series, while 7-3 in the past 10 games for the Nats following an off day. The Braves have hit the Under at a 5-2-1 clip in the past 8 games overall, too.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (37-25) and the Washington Nationals (25-36) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-0

Games in New York and Philadelphia were canceled due to air quality concerns due to the Eastern Canadian wildfires, but these teams played on Tuesday and are expected to do so again Wednesday.

The NL West-leading Diamondbacks have enjoyed their visit to the nation’s capital, outscoring the Nationals 16-7 in a pair of victories. That includes a 6-2 win in Wednesday’s middle game against former D-Backs LHP Patrick Corbin.

The Nationals have dropped 4 in a row, and Washington has been outscored 31-12 during the ugly skid. The Nats are also 0-4 on the run line, losing each of the outings by at least 2 runs, including by 4 or more runs in the past 3 setbacks.

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Diamondbacks at Nationals projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Kelly (7-3, 2.80 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 70 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (2 solo HR), 3 BB, 8 K in a 3-2 home win vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks Friday
  • 2023 Road splits: 4-0, 1.63 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 5 ER – 1 HR) with 8 BB, 25 K and a .208 opponent batting average (OBA) in 5 starts

Gray (4-5, 3.09 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 67 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in an 8-7 home win vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Friday
  • 2023 Home splits: 2-2, 4.10 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 11 ER – 3 HR) with a .250 OBA in 7 starts

Diamondbacks at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105) | Nationals +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

The DIAMONDBACKS (-155) are worth a look on the moneyline.

Arizona has won the first 2 games in this series by at least 4 runs, easily cashing on the run line. Now, World Baseball Classic hero Kelly gets the ball looking to broom the Nats in their pad. He has been money on the road this season, winning all 4 of his decisions with a minuscule 1.63 ERA away from home.

Run line/Against the spread

The DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+105) are a strong play on the run line at plus money.

Arizona has been cruising through the first 2 games of the series and should complete the sweep with at least a 2 run margin Thursday.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-105) is worth a look in this getaway day game.

Kelly has tossed up plenty of donuts on the road, and he generally keeps the ball inside the park. Gray has allowed just north of 4 runs per every 9 innings at home, but he has been good at limiting the damage, too. Look for this total to go low, although it might be close when it comes down to the bullpens.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (35-25) open a 6-game road trip Tuesday with the first of 3 games against the Washington Nationals (25-34). First pitch from Nationals Park is at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1

The Diamondbacks lost the final 2 games of a homestand over the weekend to the Atlanta Braves after winning 6 straight games from May 28-June 2. Arizona is 10-5 in its last 15 games and is tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers for 1st place in the NL West.

The Nationals also lost the final 2 games of a series over the weekend, falling 4-2 Saturday and 11-3 Sunday to the Philadelphia Phillies after winning the opener Friday. Washington is 2-5 in its last 7 games and 7-11 in its last 18.

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Diamondbacks at Nationals projected starters

LHP Tommy Henry vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Henry (3-1, 3.73 ERA) makes his 8th start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 through 41 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 6-0 win over the Colorado Rockies Wednesday
  • Has 3 quality starts in his last 5 outings

Irvin (1-3, 5.67 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 27 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 9-3 loss at the Los Angeles Dodgers last Tuesday
  • Has an 8.82 ERA across 16 1/3 IP across his last 4 starts

Diamondbacks at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+100) | Nationals +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 7, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 road games. Arizona is 5-2 in Henry’s starts this season.

The Nationals have dropped 4 of their last 6 at home and have lost Irvin’s last 4 starts.

The Diamondbacks have won 6 of their last 8 meeting against the Nationals. The moneyline isn’t a bad bet, but you have a better payout on the run line with trends that point toward the Diamondbacks covering.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Seven of the Diamoncbacks’ last 9 wins have been by 2 or more runs. They are 35-25 ATS on the season and 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games.

The Nationals are 36-23 ATS overall but only 15-16 ATS at home.

Eight of their last 9 losses have been by more than 1 run.

BET DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+100).

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Over/Under

Three of Henry’s last 4 starts have not reached 10 total runs.

Irvin’s last 4 outings have all had 10 or more total runs.

Four of the Nationals’ last 5 games have had more than 10 runs.

BET OVER 10 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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