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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (37-25) and the Washington Nationals (25-36) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-0

Games in New York and Philadelphia were canceled due to air quality concerns due to the Eastern Canadian wildfires, but these teams played on Tuesday and are expected to do so again Wednesday.

The NL West-leading Diamondbacks have enjoyed their visit to the nation’s capital, outscoring the Nationals 16-7 in a pair of victories. That includes a 6-2 win in Wednesday’s middle game against former D-Backs LHP Patrick Corbin.

The Nationals have dropped 4 in a row, and Washington has been outscored 31-12 during the ugly skid. The Nats are also 0-4 on the run line, losing each of the outings by at least 2 runs, including by 4 or more runs in the past 3 setbacks.

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Diamondbacks at Nationals projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Kelly (7-3, 2.80 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 70 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (2 solo HR), 3 BB, 8 K in a 3-2 home win vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks Friday
2023 Road splits: 4-0, 1.63 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 5 ER – 1 HR) with 8 BB, 25 K and a .208 opponent batting average (OBA) in 5 starts

Gray (4-5, 3.09 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 67 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in an 8-7 home win vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Friday
2023 Home splits: 2-2, 4.10 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 11 ER – 3 HR) with a .250 OBA in 7 starts

Diamondbacks at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:13 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105) | Nationals +1.5 (-130)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

The DIAMONDBACKS (-155) are worth a look on the moneyline.

Arizona has won the first 2 games in this series by at least 4 runs, easily cashing on the run line. Now, World Baseball Classic hero Kelly gets the ball looking to broom the Nats in their pad. He has been money on the road this season, winning all 4 of his decisions with a minuscule 1.63 ERA away from home.

Run line/Against the spread

The DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+105) are a strong play on the run line at plus money.

Arizona has been cruising through the first 2 games of the series and should complete the sweep with at least a 2 run margin Thursday.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-105) is worth a look in this getaway day game.

Kelly has tossed up plenty of donuts on the road, and he generally keeps the ball inside the park. Gray has allowed just north of 4 runs per every 9 innings at home, but he has been good at limiting the damage, too. Look for this total to go low, although it might be close when it comes down to the bullpens.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (35-25) open a 6-game road trip Tuesday with the first of 3 games against the Washington Nationals (25-34). First pitch from Nationals Park is at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1

The Diamondbacks lost the final 2 games of a homestand over the weekend to the Atlanta Braves after winning 6 straight games from May 28-June 2. Arizona is 10-5 in its last 15 games and is tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers for 1st place in the NL West.

The Nationals also lost the final 2 games of a series over the weekend, falling 4-2 Saturday and 11-3 Sunday to the Philadelphia Phillies after winning the opener Friday. Washington is 2-5 in its last 7 games and 7-11 in its last 18.

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Diamondbacks at Nationals projected starters

LHP Tommy Henry vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Henry (3-1, 3.73 ERA) makes his 8th start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 through 41 IP.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 6-0 win over the Colorado Rockies Wednesday
Has 3 quality starts in his last 5 outings

Irvin (1-3, 5.67 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 27 IP.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 9-3 loss at the Los Angeles Dodgers last Tuesday
Has an 8.82 ERA across 16 1/3 IP across his last 4 starts

Diamondbacks at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+100) | Nationals +1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 7, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 road games. Arizona is 5-2 in Henry’s starts this season.

The Nationals have dropped 4 of their last 6 at home and have lost Irvin’s last 4 starts.

The Diamondbacks have won 6 of their last 8 meeting against the Nationals. The moneyline isn’t a bad bet, but you have a better payout on the run line with trends that point toward the Diamondbacks covering.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Seven of the Diamoncbacks’ last 9 wins have been by 2 or more runs. They are 35-25 ATS on the season and 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games.

The Nationals are 36-23 ATS overall but only 15-16 ATS at home.

Eight of their last 9 losses have been by more than 1 run.

BET DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+100).

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Over/Under

Three of Henry’s last 4 starts have not reached 10 total runs.

Irvin’s last 4 outings have all had 10 or more total runs.

Four of the Nationals’ last 5 games have had more than 10 runs.

BET OVER 10 (-105).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (3-8) face the Washington Nationals (6-7) for the third game of their four-game series in Washington. First pitch is 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Nationals swept a doubleheader Tuesday to take a 2-0 season series lead over the Diamondbacks.

The Diamondbacks have lost three contests in a row. They’ve been shut out in two of them and scored only 1 run in the other.

The Nationals have won two games in a row after having dropped three of their previous four outings.

Diamondbacks at Nationals: Projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Erick Fedde

Kelly (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his third start. He has given up 7 H and 4 BB with 13 K through 9 1/3 IP.

Arizona won 3-2 over the Houston Astros in his last outing. He allowed 3 hits and 2 walks with 0 runs scored in 5 1/3 innings.
Arizona won four Merrill starts in a row, and six of seven outings, during a one stretch last season.

Fedde (1-0, 3.60 ERA) makes his third start. He’s allowed 4 ER on 9 H and 4 BB with 11 K across 10 IP.

The Nationals have won both of Fedde’s starts this season.
He is 2-1 in three career starts versus the Diamondbacks with a 3.00 ERA over 18 IP.

Nationals at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Nationals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) | Nationals -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Diamondbacks at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 5, Diamondbacks 2

Money line

Arizona is really struggling. They have scored 1 run in their last 27 innings and have won one of five road games this season. The Nationals are 3-3 at home.

Kelly gives Arizona hope but unless they show they can hit, they’re really hard to bet.

Take the NATIONALS (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread

Arizona has been an underdog in every game they have played this season. They are 5-6 ATS.

The Nationals are 5-8 ATS this season and are favored for the fifth straight game, although those are the only games in which they have been favored. They have covered the spread once in those four previous games as favorites.

That said, early trends suggest betting against Arizona is the way to go.

Take NATIONALS -1.5 (+155).

Over/Under

The Diamondbacks have only had two games that would hit the Over on this number. The Nationals have only had six games with more than 8 runs.

I LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-125).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (4-8) and Washington Nationals (3-6) open a four-game series Thursday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. His combined 2020-21 line: 3-4 with a 3.92 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 over 41 1/3 IP spanning 7 starts.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starter for the Nationals. Over 2020 and 2021, Corbin is 2-8 with a 5.14 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 70 IP over 12 starts. This start will mark Corbin’s second of the season; the veteran southpaw started the 2021 campaign on the COVID-19 list.

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Diamondbacks at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

Money line: Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Nationals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-130) | Nationals -1.5 (+110)
Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Diamondbacks 4

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks are 2-5 over their last seven games; they’ve coughed up 5.7 runs per game over that stretch. Arizona is 2-5 on the road this season and went just 9-21 (.300) away from Phoenix in 2020.

Washington has more to give on both sides of the runs/runs allowed equation, but the Nats are only a value up to -165. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Kelly is coming off a rough outing at Coors Field with 6 runs allowed over 6 innings. In this start, he draws a Nationals lineup which is certainly not cranked up yet but the right-hander’s short career includes troubles away from home with a road ERA of 5.25 on a .806 OPS allowed.

Corbin was banged around in his COVID-delayed debut. He walked three and was cuffed around by hard contact in yielding 6 runs over 4 1/3 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Look for a bounce in start No. 2. The Diamondbacks aren’t the Dodgers and in limited plate appearances, current Arizona bats own a .358 OPS against him.

The veteran lefty figures to be a couple clicks stronger in this turn. In the last couple of seasons, he has exhibited a strong rebound ability by logging fine starts after clunkers.

Peg WASHINGTON -1.5 (+110) as a solid play.

Over/Under (O/U)

The D-backs figure to be at their best against lefties. Some gravity in the Nats’ offensive numbers also makes for a lean toward a higher total score.

BACK THE OVER 8 (-115).

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