Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (45-30) and the Washington Nationals (28-45) play a make-up game Thursday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 4-1

This is a make-up game from a contest postponed June 8 due to hazardous air quality conditions in the nation’s capital due to wildfires in Eastern Canada.

The Diamondbacks will gladly return to D.C., as Arizona had won the first 2 games in the series by a combined score of 16-7. Overall, the Snakes have won 4 of 5 games against the Nats this season, and Arizona has scored 6 or more runs in each of the last 4 outings.

The Nationals salvaged the final game of the 3-game set with the visiting St. Louis Cardinals, winning 3-0 on Wednesday afternoon as the Under (9) cashed. The win snapped a 5-game skid, and the Under is now 6-4 across the past 10 games, while going 3-2 in the past 5 contests at home.

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Diamondbacks at Nationals projected starters

LHP Tommy Henry vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Henry (3-1, 4.66 ERA) makes his 11th start and 12th overall appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 56 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 6-3 home win vs. the Cleveland Guardians Saturday
  • 2023 road splits: 2-0, 6.75 ERA (20 IP, 15 ER – 6 HR) with a .275 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts

Irvin (1-3, 5.25 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 36 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 5-2 home loss vs. the Miami Marlins Saturday
  • 2023 home splits: 0-2, 6.20 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 4 ER) with a .286 OBA in 2 starts

Diamondbacks at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105) | Nationals +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The DIAMONDBACKS (-150) are a decent play in this make-up contest, although the Nationals (+125) should be able to cobble together a little bit of offense against the southpaw Henry.

Arizona is 5-2 in the past 7 in Game 3 of a series, while going 19-7 in the past 26 against losing teams.

Washington is just 5-16 in the past 21 tries overall, and 1-4 in 5 meetings with Arizona this season. The Nats haven’t handled the twig well against southpaws, either, going 14-48 in the past 62 tries vs. LHP.

Run line/Against the spread

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-125) isn’t terribly expensive if you’re feeling the home side in this matinee affair.

There aren’t a lot of positive trends in Washington’s favor, but it is 5-2 in the past 7 tries when dropping the 1st 2 games in a series, and even though this is a make-up game, that sort of applies here. I still prefer Arizona straight up much better.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 9.5 (-105) is in play here, but not because of a great pitching matchup.

Both of these hurlers can give up runs, so do not expect to see a bunch of donuts on the board. However, like Wednesday’s game in D.C. between the Cards and Nats which had just 3 total runs, the wind will be blowing in from 9-12 mph into the face of the batters from center field. That will aid these shaky pitchers, at least keeping the ball in the yard for the most part.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (37-25) and the Washington Nationals (25-36) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-0

Games in New York and Philadelphia were canceled due to air quality concerns due to the Eastern Canadian wildfires, but these teams played on Tuesday and are expected to do so again Wednesday.

The NL West-leading Diamondbacks have enjoyed their visit to the nation’s capital, outscoring the Nationals 16-7 in a pair of victories. That includes a 6-2 win in Wednesday’s middle game against former D-Backs LHP Patrick Corbin.

The Nationals have dropped 4 in a row, and Washington has been outscored 31-12 during the ugly skid. The Nats are also 0-4 on the run line, losing each of the outings by at least 2 runs, including by 4 or more runs in the past 3 setbacks.

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Diamondbacks at Nationals projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Kelly (7-3, 2.80 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 70 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (2 solo HR), 3 BB, 8 K in a 3-2 home win vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks Friday
  • 2023 Road splits: 4-0, 1.63 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 5 ER – 1 HR) with 8 BB, 25 K and a .208 opponent batting average (OBA) in 5 starts

Gray (4-5, 3.09 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 67 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in an 8-7 home win vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Friday
  • 2023 Home splits: 2-2, 4.10 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 11 ER – 3 HR) with a .250 OBA in 7 starts

Diamondbacks at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105) | Nationals +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

The DIAMONDBACKS (-155) are worth a look on the moneyline.

Arizona has won the first 2 games in this series by at least 4 runs, easily cashing on the run line. Now, World Baseball Classic hero Kelly gets the ball looking to broom the Nats in their pad. He has been money on the road this season, winning all 4 of his decisions with a minuscule 1.63 ERA away from home.

Run line/Against the spread

The DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+105) are a strong play on the run line at plus money.

Arizona has been cruising through the first 2 games of the series and should complete the sweep with at least a 2 run margin Thursday.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-105) is worth a look in this getaway day game.

Kelly has tossed up plenty of donuts on the road, and he generally keeps the ball inside the park. Gray has allowed just north of 4 runs per every 9 innings at home, but he has been good at limiting the damage, too. Look for this total to go low, although it might be close when it comes down to the bullpens.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (4-8) seek a series split as they close out their 4-game road set against the Washington Nationals (6-8). First pitch is 4:05 p.m. at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Nationals lead the season series 2-1 after Arizona’s 11-2 win Wednesday.

The Diamondbacks had their bats come alive, pounding out 11 runs on 10 hits. They had only scored 22 total runs in their previous 11 games. It snapped a 3-game losing streak.

The Nationals fell to 3-4 at home with the loss, after taking both games of a doubleheader Tuesday.

Diamondbacks at Nationals: Projected starters

RHP Zach Davies vs. LHP Josh Rogers

Davies (0-1, 5.79 ERA) makes his third start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 4 BB and 4 K in 9 1/3 IP.

  • Took the loss in his last outing, allowing 5 runs (4 earned) on 7 hits and a walk in 4 1/3 IP. He hasallowed 2 home runs.
  • Has 2-0 mark with a 1.26 ERA in 14 1/3 IP in 2 career starts at Nationals Park.

Rogers (1-1, 3.72 ERA) makes his third start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 4 BB and 5 K in 9 2/3 IP.

  • Making his first home start of the season after 2 on the road.
  • First appearance against the Diamondbacks.

Diamondbacks at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:57 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Nationals -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-180) | Nationals -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Diamondbacks at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 6, Diamondbacks 2

Money line

The Diamondbacks have not won consecutive games yet this season. Dating back to last season, they only had 14 winning streaks of more than 1 game. They were a league-worst 20-61 on the road last season and are 2-4 on the road so far this season.

While the Nationals have not been great this season, betting the Diamondbacks to win two games in a row is risky business.

Take NATIONALS (-130).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in every game this season and are 6-6 ATS so far. However, they have not covered the spread in more than 2 consecutive games.

The Nationals are 1-4 ATS as the favorites. Five of their 6 wins this season have been by at least 2 runs.

Take NATIONALS -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

Arizona had only scored 22 runs all season before Wednesday’s 11-run explosion. Perhaps this was the beginning of an offensive run, but it was only the second time all season they scored more than 4 runs. I wouldn’t count on them doing much offensively for a second straight game until they actually do it.

Arizona’s starters have pitched well recently.

Washington has only had 2 of their last 6 games go with more than 10 runs.

Take UNDER 9.5 (-135).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (3-8) face the Washington Nationals (6-7) for the third game of their four-game series in Washington. First pitch is 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Nationals swept a doubleheader Tuesday to take a 2-0 season series lead over the Diamondbacks.

The Diamondbacks have lost three contests in a row. They’ve been shut out in two of them and scored only 1 run in the other.

The Nationals have won two games in a row after having dropped three of their previous four outings.

Diamondbacks at Nationals: Projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Erick Fedde

Kelly (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his third start. He has given up 7 H and 4 BB with 13 K through 9 1/3 IP.

  • Arizona won 3-2 over the Houston Astros in his last outing. He allowed 3 hits and 2 walks with 0 runs scored in 5 1/3 innings.
  • Arizona won four Merrill starts in a row, and six of seven outings, during a one stretch last season.

Fedde (1-0, 3.60 ERA) makes his third start. He’s allowed 4 ER on 9 H and 4 BB with 11 K across 10 IP.

  • The Nationals have won both of Fedde’s starts this season.
  • He is 2-1 in three career starts versus the Diamondbacks with a 3.00 ERA over 18 IP.

Nationals at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Nationals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) | Nationals -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Diamondbacks at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 5, Diamondbacks 2

Money line

Arizona is really struggling. They have scored 1 run in their last 27 innings and have won one of five road games this season. The Nationals are 3-3 at home.

Kelly gives Arizona hope but unless they show they can hit, they’re really hard to bet.

Take the NATIONALS (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread

Arizona has been an underdog in every game they have played this season. They are 5-6 ATS.

The Nationals are 5-8 ATS this season and are favored for the fifth straight game, although those are the only games in which they have been favored. They have covered the spread once in those four previous games as favorites.

That said, early trends suggest betting against Arizona is the way to go.

Take NATIONALS -1.5 (+155).

Over/Under

The Diamondbacks have only had two games that would hit the Over on this number. The Nationals have only had six games with more than 8 runs.

I LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-125).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (4-8) and Washington Nationals (3-6) open a four-game series Thursday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. His combined 2020-21 line: 3-4 with a 3.92 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 over 41 1/3 IP spanning 7 starts.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starter for the Nationals. Over 2020 and 2021, Corbin is 2-8 with a 5.14 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 70 IP over 12 starts. This start will mark Corbin’s second of the season; the veteran southpaw started the 2021 campaign on the COVID-19 list.

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Diamondbacks at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Nationals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-130) | Nationals -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Diamondbacks 4

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks are 2-5 over their last seven games; they’ve coughed up 5.7 runs per game over that stretch. Arizona is 2-5 on the road this season and went just 9-21 (.300) away from Phoenix in 2020.

Washington has more to give on both sides of the runs/runs allowed equation, but the Nats are only a value up to -165. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Kelly is coming off a rough outing at Coors Field with 6 runs allowed over 6 innings. In this start, he draws a Nationals lineup which is certainly not cranked up yet but the right-hander’s short career includes troubles away from home with a road ERA of 5.25 on a .806 OPS allowed.

Corbin was banged around in his COVID-delayed debut. He walked three and was cuffed around by hard contact in yielding 6 runs over 4 1/3 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Look for a bounce in start No. 2. The Diamondbacks aren’t the Dodgers and in limited plate appearances, current Arizona bats own a .358 OPS against him.

The veteran lefty figures to be a couple clicks stronger in this turn. In the last couple of seasons, he has exhibited a strong rebound ability by logging fine starts after clunkers.

Peg WASHINGTON -1.5 (+110) as a solid play.

Over/Under (O/U)

The D-backs figure to be at their best against lefties. Some gravity in the Nats’ offensive numbers also makes for a lean toward a higher total score.

BACK THE OVER 8 (-115).

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