Tag: Washington Nationals betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (49-63) and Philadelphia Phillies (61-51) open a 4-game set at Citizens Bank Park Monday. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 3-3

The Nationals have been playing their best baseball of the season, winning 4 games in a row and 5 of their last 6. Washington is 6-4, 12-8 and 16-14 over its last 10, 20 and 30 games, respectively. There is still very little chance of a playoff run, but the Nats are going to make it tough in the spoiler role.

The Phillies took 2 of 3 from the Kansas City Royals over the weekend. Philadelphia is 11-9 and 17-13 over its last 20 and 30 games, respectively. The Phils are still 10 1/2 games back of the Atlanta Braves, but they hold the top NL Wild Card spot.

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Nationals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

Williams (5-6, 4.72 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 108 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 2 K July 30 against New York Mets
  • Last 5 starts vs. Phillies: 1-2, 5.48 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 17 K in 23 IP

Suarez (2-5, 4.01 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 85 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 3 K Tuesday against Miami Marlins
  • Last 5 starts vs. Nats: 4-1, 4.80 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 22 K in 30 IP

Nationals at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Phillies -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-105) | Phillies -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The Nats’ 5 wins in their last 6 games have come against the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers — 2 teams in position for October. They have also made it tough on Philly this year.

However, I just can’t bring myself to the point of taking their ML in this one as they are 17-24 against left-handed starters and 10-19 within the division.

I’ll PASS and look to the spread.

Run line/Against the spread

The spread has a lot of momentum. Washington is 63-49 ATS on the season, which is crazy for a team 14 games under .500. The Nats are also 38-18 ATS on the road. The Phils are 17-34 on the RL at home. These same starters faced off on July 2, and the Nats won 5-4.

Take the NATIONALS +1.5 (-105) as my favorite bet in the game.

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Over/Under

The Nats have been winning via run prevention. Over the last 6-game stretch, they allowed 3 or fewer runs 5 times and won them all. They are also 2-8 O/U over the last 10, and the Phils are 6-4. The Over is 6-3-1 O/U over the last 10 between the teams, but it has been back-and-forth this season at 3-2-1.

There were 9 runs the last time these pitchers met, and I’m going to LEAN UNDER 9.5 (+100).

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Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (59-54) welcome the Washington Nationals (48-63) to Great American Ball Park Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 4-2

The Nationals took down the Reds 7-3 Saturday and won the series opener 6-3 in 10 innings Friday. Washington is 26-29 on the road this season and is 23 1/2 games behind the Atlanta Braves in the NL East.

The Reds are just 3-7 over their last 10 games and have fallen 1 1/2 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. Cincinnati is 28-28 at home this season and had swept Washington in a 4-game set from July 3-6.

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Nationals at Reds projected starters

RHP Jake Irving vs. RHP Lyon Richardson

Irving (3-5, 4.86 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 79 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 5-3 home victory vs. Milwaukee Brewers Monday
  • Home stats: 2-4, 4.83 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 32 ER) in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Reds: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 3-2 loss on July 3

Richardson makes his 1st career start. He is 0-2 with a 1.86 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 through 58 IP across 19 starts for A-Dayton, AA-Chattanooga and AAA-Louisville.

  • 2nd round draft pick in 2018
  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 5 K for AAA-Louisville on July 28

Nationals at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Reds -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-135) | Reds -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Nationals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Nationals 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nationals will get to face Richardson, a rising prospect. While they should be able to hang close, the run line presents better value. Cincinnati (-160) has struggled lately, so backing it at that price doesn’t make much sense.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-135).

The unknown regarding how Richardson will perform in his MLB is a cause for concern. The Reds have allowed 5 or more runs in 6 straight games, giving up 54 runs in that span.

The Reds are just 13-14 on the run line as a favorite while Washington is 60-45 as an underdog. The Nationals are also 27-20 on the run line following a win. Take NATIONALS +1.5 (-135).

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 11 (-115).

Washington is 52-55-4 O/U this season, and it has gone Under in 8 of its last 10 games. The Nationals are 0-3 O/U in their last 3 games as well. They are 0-5 O/U in their last 5 games with a double-digit line.

The Reds are 0-3 O/U over their last 3 games and 3-5 O/U over their last 8. Take UNDER 10.5 (+100).

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Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (59-53) welcome the Washington Nationals (47-63) to Great American Ball Park Saturday. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 4-1.

The Reds swept the Nationals from July 3-July 6 in 4-game series. Cincinnati lost 6-3 Friday, though. It is now 28-27 at home and 4-6 over its last 10.

Washington, which sits last in the NL East, is 25-29 on the road. It has won 6 of its last 10. It won 2 of 3 against the Milwaukee Brewers earlier in the week.

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Nationals at Reds projected starters

RHP Joan Adon vs. LHP Andrew Abbott

Adon (0-0, 5.40 ERA) makes his 3rd appearance and 1st start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 5 IP.

  • Went 3-5 with a 4.62 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.2 K/9 in 17 starts at Triple-A Rochester
  • 1 career start vs. Reds: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K June 2, 2022

Abbott (6-2, 2.35 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 65 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 6-5 win at the Chicago Cubs July 31
  • 2023 home stats: 2-1, 1.60 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 6 ER) in 5 starts

Nationals at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Reds -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-105) | Reds -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Nationals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Reds should be able to bounce back and has performed well with Abbott on the mound this season. They have struggled at home though and are not worth any play at (-225).

Similarly, the Nats haven’t performed at a high level for most of the season and will have the inferior pitcher on the mound. Avoid backing the Nats at (+185) as well.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS -1.5 (-115).

The Reds are the 5th-best team in the majors on the run line after a loss, posting a 31-21 run line record.

Cincinnati is also 9-2 with Abbott on the mound and has won 5 of those 11 starts by 2 or more. Washington is 59-45 as a run line underdog, which ranks in the bottom half of the league in covering as an underdog.

Couple the Reds’ success after a loss and their success with Abbott, and take REDS -1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 10.5 (-105).

After giving up 36 runs in 2 games to the Cubs, the Reds have gone Under in 2 straight and are 4-9 O/U over their last 13 games. They have gone Under in 3 of Abbott’s last 4 starts.

The Nationals are 52-54-4 O/U on the season and have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games and in 8 of their last 10. Washington is just 20-25-1 O/U following a win.

Take UNDER 10.5 (-105).

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Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (57-49) and Washington Nationals (44-62) open a 3-game series Monday in the District of Columbia. First pitch at Nationals Park is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; the Brewers and Nats split 6 games in 2022

Milwaukee was a robust 12-4 on the road from June 23-July 20, but the Brewers opened a current road trip with 3 straight defeats at the hands of the Atlanta Braves over the weekend. Brewers pitching, which clocked a 3.11 ERA over the 12-4 stretch, was touched up for 29 runs in the losses to Atlanta.

The Nationals dropped 3 of 4 games against the Mets in New York over the weekend. Washington is 7-1 with a high-contact .870 OPS over its last 8 home games.

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Brewers at Nationals projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Burnes (9-6, 3.46 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 127 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 6 K in a 4-3 loss to the Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
  • 2023 Road stats: 5-3, 3.00 in 69 IP (2.59 ERA, 0.92 WHIP on the road since 2021)
  • Has never faced Washington as a starter
  • Has registered an 0.90 ERA and 0.55 WHIP over 20 IP across his last 3 starts

Irvin (3-5, 4.96 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has notched a 1.43 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 74 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 2 BB, 7 K in a 5-4 win vs. Colorado Rockies Wednesday
  • 2023 Home stats: 2-4, 4.97 ERA in 54 1/3 IP
  • Has never faced Milwaukee as a starter
  • Highest 2 single-game pitch counts (111 and 105) have come in the rookie’s last 2 starts

Brewers at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Brewers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Nationals +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Nationals 4

Moneyline

Both teams are in the fade category, the Brewers a bit more than the Nationals but not to the degree where some value can be sighted.

Both starters have a bit of bet-against lean to them as well, so the Total looks to be where money can be made in this one. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. No lean on either side.

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Over/Under

Burnes has benefited from a .238 batting average on balls in play. His normalized (expected) ERA is near 4.00 in some measures. Irvin is coming off the 2 games with high pitch counts, is backed by a bottom-10 bullpen, and has been allowing a lot of hard and barreled contact over recent starts.

Mix in the recent home-park exploits of the Nats, and BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-115).

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Washington Nationals at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (43-59) and New York Mets (47-54) begin a 4-game series in the Big Apple on Thursday. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Mets and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nationals lead 4-3

The Nationals won 5 games on their 6-game homestand, including a 5-4 victory over the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday. They outscored opponents 38-24 over that span. Washington is 9-16 against the NL East this season.

The Mets lost to the New York Yankees 3-1 Wednesday, finishing 2-3 on a 5-game road trip. The Mets are 23-22 at Citi Field.

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Nationals at Mets projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Kodai Senga

Gray (7-8, 3.45 ERA) will make his 21st start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 112 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 10-1 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants Saturday
  • Last start vs Mets: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 9 K in a 5-0 road win on April 25
  • 2023 away splits: 4-4, 2.74 ERA (69 IP, 21 ER), .251 OBA in 12 starts

Senga (7-5, 3.27 ERA) will make his 19th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 99 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 5-4 victory at the Boston Red Sox Friday
  • Last start vs Nationals: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 7 K in a 4-1 road loss on April 26
  • 2023 home splits: 3-2, 2.50 ERA (50 1/3 IP, 14 ER), .177 OBA in 9 starts

Nationals at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +164 (bet $100 to win $164) | Mets -196 (bet $196 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-120) | Mets -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +104 | U: -128)

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Nationals at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

BET NATIONALS (+164)

Washington has played well against the Mets and have outscored them on the season. New York has not given any reason to think they should be this big of a favorite.

Gray shut down the Mets earlier this season. He has been the Nationals best starter, which is why he was the lone representative at this year’s mid-summer classic.

This is worth a full unit bet with those juicy plus odds.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

If you want to take the Nationals getting the run and a half, I’m not going to fight you, but I’d rather just take the moneyline with the better odds.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-128)

Gray has an under 3.00 ERA on the road and Senga has an under 3.00 ERA at Citi Field on the season. This game will stay under 10 runs with 2 quality pitchers starting.

These 2 teams have been under this total in 4 of their last 5 meetings.

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Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (37-56) and Chicago Cubs (43-49) open up a 3-game set at Wrigley Field Monday. First pitch is at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nationals lead 3-1

The Nats have played a bit better of late, though they’re 3-7 over the last 10. They have 9 wins in their last 20 games. SS CJ Abrams has came out of the All-Star break raking, going 6-for-13 (.462), with 3 extra-base hits and 2 steals.

The Cubs have been stuck in neutral, unable to string wins together. They’re 5-5 and 9-11 over the last 10 and 20 games, respectively, and have fallen 8 games out of the NL Central. This will be a big week in determining their course of action for the trade deadline with a 7-game homestand against the Nats and St. Louis Cardinals.

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Nationals at Cubs projected starters

LHP MacKenzie Gore vs. LHP Drew Smyly

Gore (4-7, 4.42 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 89 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 1 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 1 K – in a rain-shortened appearance against the Cincinnati Reds on July 6
  • 2 career starts vs. Cubs: 0-2, 7.00 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, 10 K in 9 IP

Smyly (7-6, 4.31 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 94 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 3 K against New York Yankees July 8
  • Last 5 starts vs. Nationals: 2-0, 3.04 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 20 K in 26 2/3 IP

Nationals at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Cubs -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-175) | Cubs -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Nationals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Nationals 3

Moneyline

The Cubs are much better against left-handed pitchers than the Nats. Chicago is 16-11 against southpaws, and the Nats are just 11-24. Add in that Smyly has given up just 9 ER in 26 2/3 innings over his last 5 starts against Washington, and we have a heavy lean to Chicago.

Gore had his worst start of the year two starts back, his last start was cut short due to rain, and the All-Star break came after. So he has really only pitched 4 innings in 3 weeks.

Take the CUBS (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

Half of the last 10 games between the sides have been decided by 1 run. I don’t trust the Nats enough to pay -175 for them to keep it close, though.

So one prop that has some traction is Smyly’s K’s. He has only struck out 5 batters once in his last 8 starts and only did it once in his last 5 against the Nationals. I’ll take DREW SMYLY UNDER 4.5 K’S (-135).

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Over/Under

The Over is 4-6 in this matchup over the last 10 games. We haven’t seen 8 runs in a contest between these clubs this year or in their last 5 meetings overall. The only worry that I have is that Smyly has given up 14 ER in 11 1/3 IP over his last 3 starts, and Gore could be rusty from throwing 4 innings in 3 weeks. There also could be a light breeze blowing out at Wrigley.

I’m going to PASS.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (48-39) and Washington Nationals (34-52) wrap up a 4-game set Thursday at Nationals Park. First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 3-0 after Wednesday’s 9-2 victory

The Reds have re-taken a 2-game lead in the NL Central with 3 straight wins in the nation’s capital. Cincinnati has won 4 in a row overall, and it has cut its run differential down to minus-8 on the season by outscoring Washington 20-8 in the first 3 games.

The Nationals had won 3 straight series coming into Monday’s game, but Washington is guaranteed of losing this series regardless of Thursday’s outcome. The Nats have struggled in the pitching department lately, allowing 43 runs across the past 5 games as the Over has gone 3-1-1.

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Reds at Nationals projected starters

LHP Brandon Williamson vs. LHP MacKenzie Gore

Williamson (1-2, 5.56 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 across 43 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 12-5 home loss vs. the San Diego Padres Saturday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-1, 5.82 ERA (17 IP, 11 ER – 2 HR) with a .266 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts

Gore (4-7, 4.48 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 88 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 19-4 road loss vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Saturday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-4, 4.75 ERA (36 IP, 19 ER – 7 HR) with a .303 OBA in 7 starts

Reds at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Nationals -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-190) | Nationals -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Reds at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 6, Reds 5

Moneyline

The NATIONALS (-120) are worth a look in the series finale as Washington looks to salvage at least one victory in the 4-game set.

The first-place Reds have looked good so far in this series, but Williamson has been quite erratic in his rookie season — especially on the road.

Cincinnati is just 7-15 in its last 22 road games against a left-handed starting pitcher and 3-10 in the past 13 in Game 4 of a series, too.

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds +1.5 (-190) are quite expensive if you’d like a little insurance, and just don’t trust Cincinnati to finish off the 4-game sweep. With 2 shaky left-handed starting pitchers, no lead is going to be safe early in the contest.

PASS.

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Over/Under

OVER 10 (-105) is the lean as both Williamson and Gore have been very giving this season.

The Over is 5-0 in the past 5 road games for the Reds against left-handed starting pitchers and is 9-3 in their past 12 games overall. The Over is also 5-1 in Cincinnati’s past 6 vs. the NL East.

The Over has cashed at a 3-0-1 clip for the Nats in the past 4 games following a loss and is 3-1-1 in their past 5 games overall while going 4-1 in the previous 5 in Game 4 of a series, too.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (47-39) and Washington Nationals (34-51) play the 3rd game of their 4-game set Wednesday night. First pitch from Nationals Park will be at 7:05 p.m. ET Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 2-0

The Reds are on a 3-game win streak, have won 6 of their last 7 and own a 1-game lead over the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. Despite having the 4th-worst team ERA in the league (4.94), the Reds are still 8 games above .500 thanks to the major’s 7th-best run total (429).

The Nationals dropped the first 2 games of this series and have lost 3 of their last 4 after winning 5 of 6. Last in the NL East, they rank 26th in both runs scored (350) and team ERA (4.77).

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Reds at Nationals projected starters

RHP Graham Ashcraft vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Ashcraft (3-6, 6.66 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 75 2/3 innings.

  • 10.38 ERA in June (4 starts), even after allowing just 1 run in 6 2/3 innings in last start, a no-decision, Reds home win vs. San Diego Padres Friday
  • Reds are 2-5 in his last 7 starts

Gray (6-6, 3.30 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 95 1/3 innings.

  • Allowed just 1 earned run in last 2 starts, spanning 11 1/3 innings
  • Pitched at least 5 innings in each of last 6 starts

Reds at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Nationals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+135) | Nationals +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Reds at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Nationals 3

Moneyline

The Reds have been excellent on the road, going 24-18 away from home this season. The Nationals, on the other hand, have been abysmal at home, for whatever reason, going 13-29 at Nationals Park.

Gray is the one who complicates this bet a little bit because he has pitched well for Washington, but the Reds are simply the better team and have outscored the Nationals 11-6 in the 1st 2 games of this series already.

BET REDS (-120) to win outright.

Run line/Against the spread

It’s a bit risky betting the Reds to cover the run line with Ashcraft on the bump, but he was solid in his last start, allowing just 1 earned run in 6 2/3 innings. The Nationals have struggled to keep games close when they are on the losing end, with 9 of their last 10 losses coming by at least 2 runs.

DIVVY UP 1.5 UNITS between the REDS MONEYLINE (-120) and the REDS SPREAD -1.5 (+135) however you see fit.

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Over/Under

The Over is 1-1 in this series so far but with Gray on the mound for Washington, he could limit the damage done by Cincinnati’s potent lineup. Plus, if Ashcraft pitches the way he did in his last outing, the Reds shouldn’t have much trouble keeping the Nationals in check.

BET UNDER 9.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (45-39) and the Washington Nationals (34-49) begin a 4-game set Monday at Nationals Park. First pitch is set for 6:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting in 2023; Nationals won 4-3 in 2022

The Reds are tied for 1st place in the NL Central with the Milwaukee Brewers heading into the new week. Cincinnati took 2 of 3 games from San Diego at Great American Ball Park over the weekend, including a 4-3 victory Sunday, and the Red Legs have picked up 16 wins in their past 20 games dating back to June 10.

The Nationals took 2 of 3 games from the division-rival Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend in the City of Brotherly Love, including a 5-4 win in the finale on Sunday. Washington has shown some “Natitude” lately, winning 6 of its last 8 games.

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Reds at Nationals projected starters

RHP Luke Weaver vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Weaver (1-2, 6.96 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 across 64 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in an 11-7 road win vs. the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
  • 2023 road splits: 0-2, 6.11 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 24 ER – 5 HR) with a .322 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts

Irvin (1-4, 4.72 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 47 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 7-4 road win vs. the Seattle Mariners Tuesday
  • 2023 home splits: 0-3, 5.28 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 18 ER) with a .248 OBA in 7 starts

Reds at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 6, Reds 5

Moneyline

The NATIONALS (+105) are a solid play as home ‘dogs, although this will be a nail-biter with a lot of runs and likely plenty of lead changes.

Both starting pitchers in this matchup are very shaky, so no lead will be safe. Washington should be able to keep its positive momentum going against Weaver, who has easily been the weakest link in the Cincinnati rotation.

Run line/Against the spread

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-145) aren’t priced out of line if you just can’t pick Washington straight up and would prefer a little insurance instead.

The Nats are just 28-64 in the past 92 home games — just a .304 winning percentage — but they’ve won 4 of the past 5 games overall and have toppled Cincinnati 27 times in their last 39 meetings in D.C.

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Over/Under

OVER 10 (-115) is a solid play as Weaver and Irvin have been extremely giving. Weaver has a 6.11 ERA and .322 OBA across 35 1/3 innings across 7 road starts and Irvin has a 5.28 ERA across 30 2/3 innings in 7 home outings.

Those numbers suggest we should see plenty of offense, and additionally, batters will be aided by a 7-10 mph wind blowing out to the right-center field power alley.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Washington Nationals at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (31-48) and Seattle Mariners (38-40) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Wednesday at T-Mobile Park (ESPN+). First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Series tied 1-1 after Washington’s 7-4 win in 11 innings Tuesday night

The Nationals have won 3 of their past 4 games — their best stretch since also going 3-1 in 4 games from May 24-27. Washington has scored 4 or more runs in 3 straight games, but it has not scored 4 or more runs in 4 straight games since an 8-game run from May 19-27.

The Mariners have dropped 3 of their past 4 games and are 5-7 in their last 12 outings overall. The Over has cashed in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 games, with the M’s averaging 6.8 runs scored per game (RPG) while allowing 3.8 RPG during the stretch.

The Mariners slipped to 14-14 in interleague play with Tuesday’s loss. Seattle is still 22-18 at home while posting a plus-25 run differential overall. The Nationals are 10-15 vs. AL, and they’re 18-21 on the road with a minus-65 run differential.

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Nationals at Mariners projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Corbin (4-9, 5.32 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 across 89 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 13-3 road loss vs. the San Diego Padres Friday
  • 2023 road splits: 2-4, 6.34 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 27 ER – 11 HR) with a .296 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts

Gilbert (5-4, 4.07 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 across 86 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 13-1 road win vs. the Baltimore Orioles Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-3, 4.00 ERA (36 IP, 16 ER – 7 HR) with a .209 OBA in 6 starts

Nationals at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Mariners -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Mariners -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The Mariners (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.

While Corbin is horrific, especially on the road, AVOID Seattle, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS -1.5 (-130) are a much better play on the run line.

The Nationals have not only lost Corbin’s past 4 starts, but they’ve lost each of them by 2 runs or more, with 3 of the 4 setbacks by 4 or more runs.

Seattle is 11-9 in the past 20 games as a favorite, but it’s just 2-5 on the run line in the previous 7 when favored, so be careful. But, the play is more against the erratic Corbin and the Nats than it is on the M’s.

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Over/Under

The OVER 8 (-115) is the best play on the board, and it’s possible the Mariners come close to taking care of it on their own.

While the Under is 8-7-1 in Corbin’s 16 starts overall this season, it’s a lack of runs on the Nationals’ part, and not so much anything Corbin is doing. The Nats have coughed up 45 runs in the southpaw’s previous 6 assignments.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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