Tag: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies odds predictions pick betting line spread

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (20-22) and Philadelphia Phillies (31-14) begin a 3-game series Friday with 1st pitch from Citizens Bank Park slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-1

The Nationals dropped their series finale against the Chicago White Sox 2-0 on Wednesday. They were shut out the final 2-games of this series in Chicago against a team that allows nearly 5 runs per game. Washington got a solid starting performance from LHP Patrick Corbin, who allowed 2 ER over 5 2/3 IP. The Nats have lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Philadelphia had its 3-game win streak snapped by the New York Mets on Thursday, 6-5 in 11 innings. 2B Bryson Stott pushed the game to extra innings with a game tying RBI single in the bottom of the 9th. Phillies closer LHP Jose Alvarado took the loss after allowing an RBI single to DH J.D. Martinez, who scored the winning run on a wild pitch. The Phillies are 1-1 during their current 9-game homestand.

Nationals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Jake Irvin vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Irvin (2-3, 3.55 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 45 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-2 loss at the Boston Red Sox Saturday
  • Last start vs Phillies: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-2 loss at home on April 6

Wheeler (4-3, 2.53 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 53 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 7-6 road loss against the Miami Marlins Sunday
  • 2023 vs. Nationals: 2-1, 7.48 ERA, 21 2/3 IP, 29 H, 18 ER, 2 BB, 20 K in 4 starts

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Nationals at Phillies odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday 11:51 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Phillies -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+104) | Phillies -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 1

Moneyline.

PASS.

The Nationals are struggling at the plate and I see that continuing on Friday night in Philadelphia against Wheeler. I like the Phillies (-270), but I’m not going to bet nearly 3 units to win 1 back. I’ll save my wager for the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-125).

Philadelphia has the best record in baseball and for good reason, they are a really good team. Their lineup is stacked top to bottom and they are 20-6 against right-handed pitching this season. They already got a good look at Irvin and put up 4 ER against him.

The Nationals have scored 0 runs in their last 19 innings. Prior to his struggles against the Marlins in his last start, Wheeler had allowed just 1 ER over his 4 previous starts (25 1/3 IP).

The Phillies run differential on the season is +70, so they aren’t just beating teams, they are throttling them. Philadelphia has won 15 of their last 20 games.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

I really wanted to like the Over in this game since the Phillies have been Over in 6 of their last 7 games, but the Nationals lineup just has no pop. They have been Under in 5 of their last 6 games and were shut out in their last 2 games by a team with the 2nd-worst record in baseball. The last 4 meetings between these 2 teams the Under cashed.

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (50-65) and Philadelphia Phillies (63-52) wrap up their 4-game series at Citizens Bank Park Thursday. First pitch is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 5-4

The Nationals lost 7-0 Wednesday and were held hitless for the first time since moving from Montreal. Washington slipped to 4-2 during its 7-game road trip. The Nats have been outscored 65-33 by the Phillies over the season series.

Philadelphia won for the 7th time in their last 10 games behind a no-hitter from RHP Michael Lorenzen Wednesday. It was the first Phillies no-hitter since Cole Hamels tossed one in 2015. Phili is 32-22 on the season at Citizens Bank Park.

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Nationals at Phillies projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Corbin (7-11, 5.03 ERA) will make his 24th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 132 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 6-3 road victory vs. Cincinnati Reds Friday
  • 2023 away splits: 4-4, 5.31 ERA (62 2/3 IP, 37 ER), .271 OBA in 11 starts
  • First start vs. Phillies in 2023
  • 2022 vs. Phillies: 0-4, 11.74 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 20 ER) in 4 starts

Nola (9-8, 4.58 ERA) will make his 24th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 143 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 7-5 home loss vs. Kansas City Royals Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 4-3, 3.75 ERA (57 2/3 IP, 24 ER), .210 OBA in 9 starts
  • First start vs. Nationals in 2023
  • 2022 vs. Nationals: 1-1, 1.52 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 4 ER) in 4 starts

Nationals at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Phillies -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Phillies -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Nationals 2

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Phillies (-250) are likely to win this game and that’s why they are such heavy favorites, but this price tag makes the risk not worth the reward.

I will say that I don’t hate the idea of putting half a unit on the Nationals (+200) simply for the value because Philly only leads the season series 5-4. I’m not predicting that outcome, but we have seen odder things happen.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-125).

It is shocking to see that Nola has not started against the Nationals in any of their 9 games this season but he has probably been licking his chops after owning Washington in 2022.

Corbin has just one career win against Philadelphia over 9 starts. When you look at the heart of the Phillies lineup; OF Bryce Harper, C J.T. Realmuto, 3B Alec Bohm and DH Kyle Schwarber all have over a .289 batting average and .400 OBP.  Philadelphia is also 18-16 against lefties this season.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-105).

This may be a little bit of a risk being that these two teams have been at 9 total runs or more in 6 of their 9 matchups.

Nola will handle this Nationals lineup who has averaged just over 3 1/2 runs per game against Philadelphia.

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (49-63) and the Philadelphia Phillies (61-51) open a 4-game series Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch in Game 1 of Tuesday’s doubleheader is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 3-3

These teams were expected to open the 4-game set Monday, but Mother Nature had other plans. Monday’s postponed game is being made up as part of a doubleheader Tuesday.

Washington played with a little ‘Natitude’ over the weekend, sweeping a 3-game set from the Cincinnati Reds. The Nats have won 5 of the past 6 games overall, but Washington is still 14 games under .500 overall. The Under has cashed in 4 straight, and 6 of the past 7 outings.

Philadelphia took 2 of 3 games from the suddenly pesky Kansas City Royals at home over the weekend, and the Phillies are 5-2 across the past 7 games overall. Totally opposite of the Nats, the Over has cashed in 3 in a row, and 4 of the past 5 games for the Phils.

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Nationals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Williams (5-6, 4.72 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 108 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 5-2 road loss vs. New York Mets on July 30
  • 2023 road splits: 3-3, 5.02 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 32 ER – 14 HR), .305 opponent batting average (OBA) in 12 starts

Wheeler (8-5, 3.71 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 131 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 9-8 road loss in 12 innings vs. the Miami Marlins Wednesday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-2, 4.03 ERA (60 1/3 IP, 27 ER – 7 HR), .226 OBA in 10 starts

Nationals at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Phillies -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+115) | Phillies -1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The Phillies (-275) will cost you nearly 3 times your potential return, and that’s just way too much risk for not enough reward.

Plus, Philadelphia has had a difficult time with the Nationals (+220) this season, and Washington is playing pretty good ball lately, too.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

If things go according to plan, the PHILLIES -1.5 (-140) should be able to cover the run line in Game 1.

Williams has been very giving this season, coughing up 14 homers in 57 1/3 IP across 12 road outings. That’s bad news when playing in a bandbox like Citizens Bank Park. Expect the Philadelphia offense to come alive, especially with a wind blowing from left field to right field at 13-16 mph.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (+100) is the lean, and remember the wind situation. Left-handed batters could see some wind-aided homers against the pitchers, especially Williams.

The Over is 6-2-1 in the past 9 meetings in this series and is 4-1 in Philadelphia’s last 5 games overall.

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (49-63) and Philadelphia Phillies (61-51) open a 4-game set at Citizens Bank Park Monday. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 3-3

The Nationals have been playing their best baseball of the season, winning 4 games in a row and 5 of their last 6. Washington is 6-4, 12-8 and 16-14 over its last 10, 20 and 30 games, respectively. There is still very little chance of a playoff run, but the Nats are going to make it tough in the spoiler role.

The Phillies took 2 of 3 from the Kansas City Royals over the weekend. Philadelphia is 11-9 and 17-13 over its last 20 and 30 games, respectively. The Phils are still 10 1/2 games back of the Atlanta Braves, but they hold the top NL Wild Card spot.

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Nationals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

Williams (5-6, 4.72 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 108 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 2 K July 30 against New York Mets
  • Last 5 starts vs. Phillies: 1-2, 5.48 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 17 K in 23 IP

Suarez (2-5, 4.01 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 85 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 3 K Tuesday against Miami Marlins
  • Last 5 starts vs. Nats: 4-1, 4.80 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 22 K in 30 IP

Nationals at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Phillies -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-105) | Phillies -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The Nats’ 5 wins in their last 6 games have come against the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers — 2 teams in position for October. They have also made it tough on Philly this year.

However, I just can’t bring myself to the point of taking their ML in this one as they are 17-24 against left-handed starters and 10-19 within the division.

I’ll PASS and look to the spread.

Run line/Against the spread

The spread has a lot of momentum. Washington is 63-49 ATS on the season, which is crazy for a team 14 games under .500. The Nats are also 38-18 ATS on the road. The Phils are 17-34 on the RL at home. These same starters faced off on July 2, and the Nats won 5-4.

Take the NATIONALS +1.5 (-105) as my favorite bet in the game.

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Over/Under

The Nats have been winning via run prevention. Over the last 6-game stretch, they allowed 3 or fewer runs 5 times and won them all. They are also 2-8 O/U over the last 10, and the Phils are 6-4. The Over is 6-3-1 O/U over the last 10 between the teams, but it has been back-and-forth this season at 3-2-1.

There were 9 runs the last time these pitchers met, and I’m going to LEAN UNDER 9.5 (+100).

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (36-72) face the Philadelphia Phillies (58-48) Saturday in the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is set for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Phillies lead 8-2

Washington has lost 3 games in a row and 7 of 10 as its nightmare season continues. RHP Josiah Gray was pounded for 4 homers as the Phillies rolled 7-2 Friday. Oddly enough, the Nats have more wins on the road this season at 19-32 as opposed to 17-40 at home. The key for them is getting to 5 runs as they’re 25-6 when they do.

The Phils got 8 strong innings from RHP Kyle Gibson Friday and have a rested bullpen. They are 8-2 over the last 10 games and have beaten up on the Nats at the same rate this year. Philadelphia is just 15-19 against the rest of the division. 1B Rhys Hoskins is 13-for-36 (.361) with 3 homers and 6 RBIs the last 10 games.

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Nationals at Phillies projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

Corbin (4-15, 6.57 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.77 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 109 2/3 IP.

  • Last 5 starts: 10.29 ERA and has allowed at least 4 ER in each outing.
  • Road: 1-8, 8.43 ERA, 2.00 WHIP and 7.9 K/9.

Suarez (7-5, 3.60 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 95 IP.

  • Last 3 starts: 0.00 ERA and 0.81 WHIP.
  • Struggles at home; 1-4 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.56 WHIP vs. 6-1, 2.87 ERA and 1.18 WHIP on road.

Nationals at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Nationals +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Phillies -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+100) | Phillies -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 6, Phillies 5

Money line

Corbin is having one of the worst seasons of any starter in recent memory. One might think that he’s 33 and washed up, but his velocity is the same it has been the last 5 years. His walk rate is high but the same as it was in 2019 with a 3.25 ERA. However, he has been severely unlucky with a .381 BABIP, which is the highest among starters with at least25 innings pitched.

Now that the trade deadline has passed, and the team isn’t trying to give him away, maybe he can settle in. Suarez isn’t good at home. This is a game the Phils could easily overlook. Give me the NATIONALS (+205) for a QUARTER UNIT.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Nats are 2-8 against the Phillies this season, but they have covered the run line in 5 of the 10 meetings and lost two more by exactly 2 runs. It has been competitive, and while OF Juan Soto and 1B Josh Bell are gone the Nats have still scored 16 runs in 4 games since the deadline. That’s 1 short of the aforementioned magic number of 5 runs. Take the NATIONALS +1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

The Over is probably the best and safest bet on this game with a starter whose ERA is 6.57 and a starter that tanks at home. The first 2 games of this series were a push at 9 runs, and the number has fallen to 8.5. Take the OVER 8.5 (-125) for a FULL UNIT.

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (36-71) and Philadelphia Phillies (57-48) meet Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET to continue a 4-game NL East series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 7-2. The Phillies took Friday’s series opener 5-4 in a rain-shortened 5-inning affair.

The Nationals batted just .163 with runners in scoring position over their previous 7 games before they were 4-of-10 in such situations Thursday as they collected 11 hits in 5 frames. However, Philadelphia hit a couple of key home runs and had a 4-run 3rd inning in earning its third 1-run victory over Washington.

The Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Three of those 7 wins have been by 1-run margins. That’s a bit of a flip of the script for Philadelphia which is just 13-16 in 1-run games this season.

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Nationals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Kyle Gibson

Gray (7-7, 4.59 ERA) has posted a 1.28 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 102 IP in 19 starts.

  • Owns a 3.86 ERA over 4 career starts against the Phillies.
  • Has notched a 6.75 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over his last 5 starts.
  • Has fared much better on the road with a 2.45 road ERA this season (3.09 career road ERA).

Gibson (6-4, 4.60 ERA) has clocked a 1.23 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 107 2/3 IP across 20 starts.

  • Last pitched on July 27 as he missed his scheduled start Tuesday while on the bereavement list.
  • Has allowed a .743 OPS overall in his career and a slightly worse .780 OPS when starting on 6-plus days of rest.
  • Owns an 8.79 ERA over his last 3 home starts.

Nationals at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Phillies -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-125) | Phillies -1.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 4, Phillies 3

Money line

Gray has pitched against tough competition of late and has been hurt by some inopportune home runs. His extreme fly-ball stuff makes for plenty of risk on a warm, humid, breeze-blowing-out night in Philadelphia.

However, that risk is adequately rewarded for a hurler who has fared well against these Phillies, a club swung around to its lesser platoon splits against righties.

TAKE WASHINGTON (+160).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS: not enough value in the outlay for the Washington side.

Over/Under

There is some baked-in Under edge in the batting-versus-expected numbers, and Gray adds to that. Two rested bullpens also come along for the ride.

BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (+100) on a partial-unit play.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Washington Nationals (36-70) and Philadelphia Phillies (56-48) meet Thursday at 7:05 p.m. ET to open a 4-game NL East series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 6-2

The Nationals are on the road after a 2-4 home stand. Washington has leveled off a bit since going 2-17 from June 29-July 23. The last-place club in the NL East is 5-5 over its last 10 games.

The Phillies are back at home after a 5-1 road trip against the Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves. Philadelphia is 35-19 (.648) with a 3.62 ERA since June 1. The Phils are 14-2 against Washington since July 29 last season.

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Nationals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Paolo Espino vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard

Espino (0-3, 3.78 ERA) has appeared in 29 games (9 starts) this season. He owns a 1.25 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 66 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: allowed 4 R on 7 H and 1 BB in 4 2/3 IP Saturday vs. St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Owns a 6.23 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over 26 IP across his last 6 games.
  • Owns a 6.65 ERA across his last 5 starts vs. Philadelphia.
  • Current Phillies bats own an aggregate .802 OPS against him.

Syndergaard (5-8, 3.83 ERA) is tabbed for his 16th start of the season. The new Philly hurler owns a 1.21 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 80 IP.

  • Was acquired from the Los Angeles Angels just before Tuesday’s trade deadline.
  • Has posted a 3.74 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 21 2/3 IP over his last 4 starts.
  • Has not pitched since July 25 at the Kansas City Royals.

Nationals at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Phillies -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-105) | Phillies -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Nationals 4

Money line

PASS: no value here.

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Run line/Against the spread

Espino is a fly-ball pitcher, and especially on a hot, humid-breeze-blowing-out night at Citizens, that spells an advantage for a Philadelphia attack that hits fly-ballers well.

The Syndergaard rest is a wildcard facet to this one, but the veteran righty has fared well on long rest throughout most of his career. An upgraded Philadelphia bullpen looks to be in decent shape heading into this contest.

TAKE PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

As bad as Washington has been, the club’s offense has been about average in road games (.700 OPS, 16th MLB).

Both starting pitchers have surface numbers buoyed by generous rates around the margins.

Consider a play on the Over 8.5 if the price gets to -125 or better, but PASS for now.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (30-54) and Philadelphia Phillies (43-39) close out a 3-game set Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. The NL East contest is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 5-2. The Phillies are 25-11 against Washington since 2020.

The Nationals had lost 6 straight games before downing the Phils 3-2 Wednesday. Washington’s offense has scuffled of late. The Nats have scored just 2.92 runs per game on a .670 OPS since June 22.

Philadelphia is 22-10 since June 1. In home games over that same span, Philly has banged out an .832 OPS.

Nationals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Joan Adon vs. LHP Bailey Falter

Adon (1-11, 6.97 ERA) is tabbed for his 14th start. He has a 1.75 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 60 2/3 IP.

  • Last MLB start was June 17. Sent to the minors for a planned break June 21. Made 1 start at Triple-A.
  • That June 17 start was vs. the Phillies: 5 IP, 4 R, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K.

Falter (0-2, 4.88 ERA) owns a 1.42 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 24 IP in 4 starts and 4 relief appearances.

  • Allowed 3 runs in 5 IP against Washington on June 17.
  • Logged a 5.61 ERA as a rookie in 2021.

Nationals at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:07 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Phillies -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-135) | Phillies -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Nationals 3

Money line

PASS. The wide gulf between these prices likely includes the true odds of an outright Philadelphia win.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Phils won Tuesday’s series opener 11-0 and each of the club’s last 6 victories has been by margins of 2 runs or more. The bullpen advantage is squarely with Phillies for reasons involving both talent and fatigue.

In day games following night games, Washington has lost 5 straight.

TAKE PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

TAKE THE UNDER 9.5 (-105). This play banks somewhat on the all-around pitching eclipsing its surface numbers. Add in some systemic gravity in Philly’s batting numbers (some luck in how hits have been clustered and in some high-leverage situations).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (29-54) and Philadelphia Phillies (43-38) continue into a 3-game set Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. The NL East contest is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 5-1. The Phillies are 25-10 against Washington since 2020.

The Nationals have lost 6 straight games. Washington was shut out 11-0 Tuesday and owns a subpar .676 OPS in its last 12 games. On the road, the Nats have compiled a mere .606 OPS in their last 9 games.

The Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games, and that’s part of a larger trend. Philadelphia is 22-9 with a .785 OPS since June 1. In home games over that same span, Philly has banged out an .847 OPS at home.

Nationals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Gray (6-5, 4.22 ERA) is tabbed for his 16th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 81 IP.

  • Clocked an ERA of 1.24 from May 29-June 25 but coughed up 6 runs in his last start Friday vs. the Miami Marlins.
  • Owns a 2.93 ERA in 67 2/3 career road innings.

Nola (5-5, 3.13 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 103 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Won 14-4 Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves, allowing 4 R, 7 H, 1 BB and 8 K in 7 IP.
  • Had a couple of rocky outings against the Nationals late last season, but dominated Washington in a June 18  start (8 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 0 BB and 8 K).

Nationals at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Phillies -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Phillies -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Nationals 4

Money line

PASS. Any profit to be had is washed away by the juice here.

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

The Phils won Tuesday’s series opener 11-0 and each of the club’s last 6 victories has been by margins of 2 runs or more.

The bullpen advantage is squarely with Phillies. Nola went 110 pitches in his last start, so figure that advantage being leveraged.

TAKE PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The last 14 meetings between these NL East foes has produced 12 Overs. And that’s the play in this game.

Washington’s offense puts up respectable numbers away from home (.725 OPS through Monday). On a warm night in Philly, TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (+100).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (29-53) and Philadelphia Phillies (42-38) swing into a 3-game set Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park. The series opener is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 4-1. The Phillies are 24-10 against Washington since 2020.

The Nationals have lost 5 straight games. Washington’s last 2 losses were in extra innings, and the club is 1-5 in such games this season.

The Phillies are 3-1 in their last 4 games. At home, Philadelphia is a robust 11-5 with an .829 OPS in its last 16 games. The Phils have scored 29 runs in their last 4 contests.

Nationals at Phillies projected starters

RHP Paolo Espino vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Espino (0-1, 2.80 ERA) will make his 5th start among 25 appearances overall. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 45 IP.

  • Entered the rotation June 12 and has given Washington 18 1/3 IP (8 ER) in 4 starts.
  • One of those 4 starts was against Philadelphia: A no-decision June 17 with 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB and 5 K in 5 IP.

Sanchez (0-1, 4.60 ERA) has appeared in 8 games and will make his 2nd start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.

  • Has pitched 2 2/3 nightmarish innings against Washington in the last 2 seasons, allowing 6 R on 5 H and 2 BB.
  • Pitched 12 2/3 IP as a rookie in 2021 with a 4.97 ERA.

Nationals at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:44 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Phillies -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-145) | Phillies -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Nationals 4

Money line

The Phils at home are a lean … but only up to -160. PASS.

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

Of Philadelphia’s last 5 losses, 4 have been by 2 runs or less. Of the Phils’ last 5 wins, all 5 have been by 2 runs or more.

The bullpen advantage is squarely with the off-Monday Phillies. TAKE PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under

The last 13 meetings between these NL East foes has produced 11 Overs. And that’s the play in this one.

Washington’s offense puts up respectable numbers away from home (.725 OPS). With a double-digit breeze blowing out to right-center in the forecast, TAKE THE OVER 9.5 (-107).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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