Houston at UCF odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston at UCF odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 1 Houston Cougars (26-3, 13-3 Big 12) face off against the UCF Knights (15-13, 6-10) Wednesday. Tip-off from Addition Financial Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+/Big 12 Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Houston vs. UCF odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Houston squeaked away with an 87-85 win over the Oklahoma Sooners Saturday, failing to cover as a 7-point road underdog. The Cougars shot 56.7% from the field and 52.6% (10 of 19) from long range, but they did give up 85 points and were outrebounded 27-22. It was Houston’s 7th consecutive victory and their 12th win in the last 13 games.

UCF suffered a 60-52 home loss to the No. 6 Iowa State Cyclones Saturday, while failing to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. Central Florida made just 1 of 19 3-pointers for an abysmal 5.3% from long range and it committed 22 turnovers. Saturday’s loss ended a 2-game win streak for the Knights, who are 2-5 in their last 7 games and 3-7 in their last 10.

In their 1st regular-season meeting, Houston beat a visiting UCF squad 57-42 Jan. 20, but the Knights covered as 17.5-point road underdogs while the Under (127.5) hit.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Houston at UCF odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:44 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Houston -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | UCF +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Houston -8.5 (-108) | UCF +8.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 130.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Houston at UCF picks and predictions

Prediction

Houston 68, UCF 61

Moneyline

PASS.

Houston (-375) has been a dominant 9-1 in its last 10 matchups vs. UCF and Houston is the much better and hotter team headed into this matchup. However, the Cougars are not worth the risk of backing as such big favorites. Bet on the spread and/or O/U instead.

Against the spread

LEAN UCF +8.5 (-112).

UCF has covered the spread in 2 of its last 3 outings and is 2-1 ATS in its last 3 matchups vs. Houston. The Knights have also been the better team ATS this season, being 16-12 while the Cougars are 13-14-2 ATS.

This is only a lean because Houston is still 7-3 ATS in its last 10 matchups vs. UCF.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 130.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 3 of UCF’s last 4 games and is 2-0 in the Knights’ last 2 home games. The Under has also hit in 3 of the last 5 Houston-UCF matchups. The Under has been a safer play for both teams this season, being 16-13 for Houston and 15-13 for UCF.

This is only a lean because the Over has been safer for Houston lately — 4-1 in the last 5 contests.

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UCF at Oklahoma odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UCF at Oklahoma odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The UCF Knights (3-3, 0-3 Big 12) take on the No. 7 Oklahoma Sooners (6-0, 3-0) in Week 8 of the college football season on Saturday. Kickoff at Memorial Stadium is scheduled for noon ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UCF vs. Oklahoma odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Knights were blown out 51-22 by Kansas in Week 6 as 1.5-point road favorites. The Over of 64.5 easily cleared and UCF has lost 3 consecutive games to conference opponents.

The Sooners covered as 4-point underdogs in their 34-30 road victory over No. 8 Texas in Week 6. The Over of 61.5 was achieved in that game and Oklahoma is now the No. 7 ranked team in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered  by USA TODAY Sports.

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UCF at Oklahoma odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:59 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): UCF +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Oklahoma -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UCF +17.5 (-105) | Oklahoma -17.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 67.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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UCF at Oklahoma picks and predictions

Prediction

Oklahoma 45, UCF 24

Moneyline

The Sooners are massive favorites in this Big 12 showdown, but just AVOID the moneyline in this game. Taking any team straight up at -1100 odds is not worth the risk in any circumstance.

Against the spread

OKLAHOMA -17.5 (-115) is the play in this contest as coach Brent Venables has the Sooners looking like one of the best teams in the nation. The Sooners are coming off a bye week and QB Dillon Gabriel has been playing lights out with 1,878 passing yards, 16 passing TD, and only 2 INTs. QB John Rhys Plumlee is expected back for UCF after missing most of the past 4 games with a leg injury..

Oklahoma is 6-0 ATS this season. Meanwhile, the Knights have failed to cover the spread in any of their 1st 3 matchups against Big 12 opponents.

Over/Under

The Sooners are going to do plenty of the heavy lifting themselves in this one, making the OVER 67.5 (-115) an intriguing wager. Oklahoma is averaging 45.2 points per game (4th in the nation) and UCF is producing a solid 34.7 points per game (28th in the nation).

The Knights have given up an average of 43.7 points per game in their 3 conference games thus far. These teams are also a combined 9-3 to the Over this season.

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UCF at Boise State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UCF at Boise State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The UCF Knights (1-0) and the Boise State Broncos (0-1) meet Saturday at Albertsons Stadium in Boise. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UCF vs. Boise State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Knights weren’t very chivalrous against the Golden Flashes, as UCF belted Kent State at the Bounce House last weekend by a 56-6 margin, opening its Big 12 era in grand style. UCF managed 32 1st downs to just 15 for Kent State, while piling up a ridiculous 723 total yards of offense to just 239 for the Golden Flashes. If not for a minus-2 turnover ratio, the rout might’ve been worse.

Speaking of routs, Boise State was embarrassed 56-19 at Washington to open the season. The 56 points allowed were the most allowed by the Broncos since 2007 vs. Nevada, and the 37-point setback was the worst for Boise State since falling 63-23 to Louisiana Tech back in 1998.

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UCF at Boise State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:03 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): UCF -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Boise State +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UCF -3.5 (-110) | Boise State +3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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UCF at Boise State picks and predictions

Prediction

UCF 36, Boise State 28

Moneyline

UCF (-165) has joined the big time in a Power 5 conference, and it wants to prove it belongs. Going on the road and beating Boise State (+140) on the Smurf Turf would be another feather in its cap.

The Knights looked sharp last week against an overmatched opponent, while the Broncos knuckled under on the road against a good opponent. Look for both teams to return more to the mean, with UCF not routing anyone, and Boise State not being nearly as pathetic. Still, the secondary was a huge concern for the Broncos coming into the season, and that proved to be a huge difference last week. Look for the Knights to exploit that weakness even more.

Against the spread

UCF -3.5 (-110) is a good play on the road. While the jury is still out on the Knights, as we didn’t learn a lot playing against a portal-gutted Kent State team last week, it did what it had to do, and did it well.

Boise State +3.5 (-110) looked awful, and far from a conference favorite. If the secondary cannot be markedly better, it could be staring another long evening in the grill. Boise State was also minus-2 in turnover ratio, an area it needs to turn around in a hurry.

Over/Under

OVER 60.5 (-105) is a strong play, as the scoreboard will be lighting up frequently.

UCF rolled up some gaudy offensive numbers last week, and it should find very little resistance on the back end from Boise State. And the Broncos had some bright spots on offense last week, even if the game was rather lopsided. Boise State still had 402 total yards of offense, and 138 rushing yards to just 78 for UW. The Broncos will be able to put up points against the Knights.

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Kent State at UCF odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Kent State at UCF odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kent State Golden Flashes travel south from Ohio to Florida to take on the UCF Knights. Kickoff from the Bounce House is slated for 7 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Kent State vs. UCF odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Kent State might be one of the worst teams in college football this season. The Golden Flashes lost coach Sean Lewis, who was poached by Colorado coach Deion Sanders to become the Buffaloes offensive coordinator. Two other huge losses were QB Collin Schlee and WR Dante Cephas, who transferred to UCLA and Penn State, respectively.

The Golden Flashes will likely have a miserable time in Orlando against UCF in its season opener. There’s not much left on the Kent State roster, while UCF has made significant upgrades as it begins play as a Big 12 member.

This game, unfortunately, will not be close — as the odds predict.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Kent State at UCF odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook’s; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:41  p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kent State +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000) | UCF -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kent State +35.5 (-110) | UCF -35.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Kent State at UCF picks and predictions

Prediction

UCF 45, Kent State 7

Moneyline

Nothing to see here. Move along. PASS.

Against the spread

UCF -35.5 (-110) is the side to take in this matchup. Not only did Kent State lose its coach to an offensive coordinator job, more than half the team left as well. The Golden Flashes are going to struggle all season. Their O/U on wins is currently at 2.5 and this might feel a bit high after the drubbing they take in this game.

UCF will look to end its 1st game as a member of the Big 12 with a dominating win. A win here, and a big one, could help propel the Knights to a bowl berth.

Over/Under

UNDER 55.5 (-115) should be the side to play in Orlando.

Despite the Knights being able to score against Kent State, they will not have the favor returned to them.

Kent State managed to score 21 against Georgia in 2022. This is not the same team and not the same offense. Single-digit points are in store for the Golden Flashes. Even if UCF gets to 45, this is an Under. And with the new clock rules allowing 4 of 7 of Week 0 games to hit the Under, I will wager it happens again here.

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Houston at UCF odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston at UCF odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 3 Houston Cougars (18-2, 6-1 American) will take on the UCF Knights (13-6, 4-3) on Wednesday at Addition Financial Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Houston vs. UCF odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Cougars were upset by Temple 56-55 on Sunday despite being 19.5-point favorites at home. The loss snapped a 9-game win streak.

The Knights were defeated 85-72 by USF on Saturday and were unable to cover as 4.5-point favorites on the road. UCF is on a 2-game losing skid.

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Houston at UCF odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:18 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Houston -525 (bet $525 to win $100) | UCF +360 (bet $100 to win $360)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Houston -10.5 (-105) | UCF +10.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 126.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Houston at UCF picks and predictions

Prediction

Houston 67, UCF 55

Moneyline

PASS.

Even though Houston (-525) is expected to win, taking it to win straight up isn’t advised at the current odds.

Against the spread

HOUSTON -10.5 (-105) is where I’m leaning in this game. The Cougars are coming off a disappointing loss at home against an unranked Temple squad and I expect them to cruise to a victory Wednesday.

Houston is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record and 6-0 ATS in its last 6 road games overall. Meanwhile, UCF is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following a loss and 0-3-1 ATS in its last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record.

Over/Under

UNDER 126.5 (-105) is how I’m betting on the total with both teams looking to play better on the defensive end. UCF could be without one of its top scorers in G Darius Johnson and Houston allows the fewest points per game in the nation (53.4).

The Cougars are 10-1-1 to the Under in their last 12 games following a loss. The Knights are also 4-0 to the Under in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record.

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Military Bowl: UCF vs. Duke odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s UCF vs. Duke Military Bowl odds and lines, with expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The UCF Knights (9-4) and Duke Blue Devils (8-4) meet in the Military Bowl Wednesday at the Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Md. Kickoff is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UCF vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

UCF and Duke meet for the 1st time ever on the gridiron.

The Knights have alternated wins and losses in the past 6 bowl games, picking up a 29-17 win over Florida in the Gasparilla Bowl last season. UCF hasn’t faced an ACC opponent in a bowl game since losing 34-27 in the St. Petersburg Bowl to NC State on Dec. 26, 2014.

The transfer portal has been a big story ahead of some of these mid-tier bowl games, and UCF is not immune. LB Jeremiah Jean-Baptiste, second on the team with 37 total tackles with 5 passes defensed and a forced fumble, entered the portal.

The other notable player joining him is WR Ryan O’Keefe, who had a team-high 73 receptions for 725 yards and 5 TDs. The next best receiver, in terms of catches, was WR Javon Baker with 54 grabs.

The Knights split a pair of games against ACC teams in the regular season, losing 20-14 at home against Louisville, while stopping Georgia Tech 27-10. It went 0-2 ATS in 2 games vs. ACC with a pair of Under results.

The Blue Devils are on a 3-game bowl win streak, including its most recent postseason appearance in the 2018 Independence Bowl against Temple, another AAC school.

Duke finished the season with wins in 4 of the final 5 games overall, going 5-1 ATS in the final 6 outings. The Blue Devils won their only meeting against an AAC this season, routing Temple 30-0 in the opener on Sept. 2.

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UCF vs. Duke odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesdat at 9:21 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): UCF +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Duke -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UCF +3.5 (-113) | Duke -3.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 62 (O: -108 | U: -112)

UCF vs. Duke picks and predictions

Prediction

UCF 34, Duke 30

Moneyline

UCF (+145) is worth a shot as short ‘dogs in this game. The Knights lose O’Keefe to the portal, but still have plenty of weapons. This is an offense which rolled up 480.2 total yards per game, 11th in the nation, while rushing for 235.7 yards per game to finish 8th in the country.

Duke (-170) was solid against the rush, allowing just 120.3 yards per game, but the Blue Devils really struggled against the pass, allowing 262.3 yards per game, 109th overall.

Against the spread

UCF +3.5 (-113) is a strong play, especially at 3 and a hook. The Knights have shown an ability to bounce back, going 4-1 ATS in the last 5 following a straight-up loss, and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 following a non-cover.

All of Duke’s -3.5 (-107) ATS trends are very strong, so go lightly. Still, UCF has a potent offense which is going to have the Blue Devils with their hands full.

Over/Under

OVER 62 (-108) is a solid play.

The Over went 4-1 in the final 5 games overall for UCF, while going 8-0 in the previous 8 contests played on field turf.

Duke has cashed the Over in 5 of the last 6 neutral-site affairs, while going 6-1 in the past 7 December appearances. The Blue Devils have also cashed the Over in each of the previous 6 bowl showings.

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AAC Championship: UCF at Tulane odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UCF at Tulane AAC Championship odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 23 UCF Knights (9-3, 6-2 AAC) and No. 18 Tulane Green Wave (10-2, 7-1) meet for the American Athletic Conference Championship on Saturday.  Kickoff at Yulman Stadium in New Orleans is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (ABC).  Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UCF vs. Tulane odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Central Florida scuffled on the road against South Florida last Saturday, but the Knights beat the underdog Bulls 46-39 on a TD scored in the final minute of play, although they came up well short of covering the 19.5-point spread. Central Florida, No. 22 in the College Football Playoff rankings, is 4-1 in its last 5 games, and that stretch includes a 38-31 win at Tulane Nov. 12.

The Green Wave, tabbed 18th by the CFP committee, beat then-No. 21 Cincinnati 27-24 Saturday. Tulane was favored by 1 point in a game that saw the 2 sides equally divvy up points in the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th quarters. RB Tyjae Spears had 181 rushing yards and 2 TDs and has rushed for 120 or more yards in 6 straight games and rolled up 1,177 rushing yards this season.

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UCF at Tulane odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:13 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: UCF +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Tulane -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UCF +3.5 (-108) | Tulane -3.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 57 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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UCF at Tulane picks and predictions

Prediction

Tulane 28, UCF 27

Moneyline

The KNIGHTS (+155) beat Tulane last month and are a lean at these outright prices, but pass if the line gets any cheaper.

Against the spread

The Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. In this series, the underdog has won 4 in a row ATS.

The 1-point-underdog Knights jumped out to a 24-7 lead in their Nov. conquest of Tulane. For the game, UCF outgained the Green Wave 468 yards to 391. On offense, the Knights do a good job staying on schedule, while Tulane is a bit more reliant on big plays.

Central Florida also boasts an impactful defensive line and does well to create havoc at all three levels. UCF has the AAC’s top red-zone defense: the Knights allowed TDs on just 44% of visits in the regular season. That figures as a key against a Tulane offense that has been efficient in punching in drives.

The back-to-back ATS losses against back-to-back ATS wins is an interesting, and lately, profitable angle.

UCF +3.5 (-108) is worth a partial-unit play and go in with the rest if a +4 becomes available.

Over/Under

Rain is in the forecast and this meeting would seem destined for more of a mid-range score than the last one.

TAKE THE UNDER 57 (-112) as a partial-unit play.

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Navy at UCF odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Navy at UCF odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Navy Midshipmen (3-7, 3-4 AAC) meet the No. 18 UCF Knights (8-2, 5-1) Saturday at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando. Kickoff is scheduled for 11 a.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Navy vs. UCF odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Midshipmen, who were 17-point underdogs, put up quite the fight in a neutral-site battle against rival and then-No. 25 Notre Dame last Saturday, falling 35-32 in Baltimore. Navy covered the spread for the 2nd game in a row and 6th time in the past 8 games. The Over is 5-1 in the Middies’ past 6.

The Knights, ranked No. 20 in the College Football Playoff rankings, are vying for a spot in the AAC Championship Game. UCF is tied with Cincinnati for 2nd place in the league standings, but it holds the tiebreaker with a head-to-head win Oct. 29.

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Navy at UCF odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:44 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Navy +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | UCF -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Navy +15.5 (-109) | UCF -15.5 (-111)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -109 | U: -111)

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Navy at UCF picks and predictions

Prediction

UCF 34, Navy 17

Moneyline

UCF (-800) will cost 8 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk.

Navy isn’t likely to put up as much fight as last week as this isn’t as much of a rivalry game. Plus, the Middies are no longer bowl eligible, so it’s unlikely they’ll be terribly motivated here.

PASS.

Against the spread

UCF -15.5 (-111) is worth a play laying the points as the Knights look for a 4th consecutive cover. The Knights have covered all 3 of their home games inside the conference, too.

Surprisingly, Navy has covered all 4 of its road games this season, but again, after a 7th loss clinched a losing season and no bowl bid, the Middies are likely to be disinterested.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 52.5 (-111).

While the Over has cashed in 5 of the past 6 games for the Midshipmen, the Under is 6-2 in their past 8 road outings, while cashing at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 against teams with a winning record. For UCF, the Under has hit in 4 of the past 5 games at home.

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UCF at Tulane odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UCF at Tulane odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 21 UCF Knights (7-2, 4-1, AAC) visit the No. 17 Tulane Green Wave (8-1, 5-0) for a Saturday afternoon battle in New Orleans. Kickoff from Yulman Stadium will be at 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UCF vs. Tulane odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Central Florida was drubbed at ECU Oct. 22, but the 34-13 loss as a 5.5-point favorite has been followed by impressive wins over Cincinnati (25-21 Oct. 29) and Memphis (35-28 last Saturday). The Knights — tabbed 22nd in the College Football Playoff rankings — have piled up 6 wins in their last 7 games.

Tulane — No. 17 in the CFP rankings — is coming off its highest single-game rushing total since 2020. The Green Wave rolled to 357 yards in their 27-13 win at Tulsa last Saturday. TU covered a 6.5-point spread in running its ATS mark to 8-1. Its rushing total against Tulsa was 100 yards clear of what Tulane allowed overall: the Wave held Tulsa to 257 total yards.

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UCF at Tulane odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: UCF +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Tulane -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UCF +1.5 (-112) | Tulane -1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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UCF at Tulane picks and predictions

Prediction

UCF 28, Tulane 27

Moneyline

The way Central Florida runs the ball figures to loom large in this contest. Tulane has been terrific on defense this season but against an easier schedule than UCF’s.

The Green Wave defense has excelled in limiting explosive plays, but UCF’s bread-and-butter is its production in early downs. The Knights stay on schedule with their ground attack.

On defense, UCF has been stingy in the red zone.

KNIGHTS (+105) is worth a partial-unit play. A tag of +110 or better would make for more action.

Against the spread

UCF straight-up is solid, and the ATS play carries a premium price. AVOID.

Over/Under

PASS: Several respectable models peg this one for an Over, but an iffy weather forecast takes the air out of a potential Over bet.

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UCF at Memphis odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UCF at Memphis odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 25 UCF Knights (6-2, 3-1 AAC) will travel to take on the Memphis Tigers (4-4, 2-3) on Saturday at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UCF vs. Memphis odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesyof AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports.

The Knights beat Cincinnati 25-21 last week, covering as 2.5-point favorites at home. UCF is hoping that QB John Rhys Plumlee can suit up on Saturday as he has been productive for Central Florida this season with 1,883 passing yards and 11 TDs while rushing for 532 yards and 7 TDs.

The Tigers are on a 3-game losing streak entering Saturday’s AAC game  following a 38-28 loss to Tulane 2 weeks ago where they failed to cover as 7-point underdogs. Memphis has gotten solid play from QB Seth Henigan as he’s thrown for 2,236 yards and 15 TDs and rushed for 220 yards 3 TDs.

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UCF at Memphis odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): UCF -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Memphis +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UCF -3.0 (-115) | Memphis +3.0 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 59.0 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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UCF at Memphis picks and predictions

Prediction

UCF 38, Memphis 28

Moneyline

The current odds for UCF to win on Saturday are at a point where I’ll PASS on taking it straight up. Meanwhile, they’re at a point where I’m comfortable including the Knights to win in a parlay.

Against the spread

UCF -3.0 (-115) is the ideal wager in this game, even if Plumlee isn’t active for the Knights. QB Mikey Keene performed well in relief of Plumlee last week against Cincinnati with 176 passing yards on 15 completions.

The Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Over/Under

We’ve seen plenty of high-scoring games between UCF and Memphis, which is why I’m going with OVER 59.0 (-110) on Saturday. The Knights average 35.8 points per game while the Tigers are posting 34.6 points per game.

Memphis has hit the Over in 8 of its last 9 games overall and the Over has hit in 5 of its last 6 conference games.

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