The No. 25 UCF Knights (6-2, 3-1 AAC) will travel to take on the Memphis Tigers (4-4, 2-3) on Saturday at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UCF vs. Memphis odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
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The Knights beat Cincinnati 25-21 last week, covering as 2.5-point favorites at home. UCF is hoping that QB John Rhys Plumlee can suit up on Saturday as he has been productive for Central Florida this season with 1,883 passing yards and 11 TDs while rushing for 532 yards and 7 TDs.
The Tigers are on a 3-game losing streak entering Saturday’s AAC game following a 38-28 loss to Tulane 2 weeks ago where they failed to cover as 7-point underdogs. Memphis has gotten solid play from QB Seth Henigan as he’s thrown for 2,236 yards and 15 TDs and rushed for 220 yards 3 TDs.
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UCF at Memphis odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): UCF -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Memphis +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
- Against the spread (ATS): UCF -3.0 (-115) | Memphis +3.0 (-107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 59.0 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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UCF at Memphis picks and predictions
Prediction
UCF 38, Memphis 28
Moneyline
The current odds for UCF to win on Saturday are at a point where I’ll PASS on taking it straight up. Meanwhile, they’re at a point where I’m comfortable including the Knights to win in a parlay.
Against the spread
UCF -3.0 (-115) is the ideal wager in this game, even if Plumlee isn’t active for the Knights. QB Mikey Keene performed well in relief of Plumlee last week against Cincinnati with 176 passing yards on 15 completions.
The Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over/Under
We’ve seen plenty of high-scoring games between UCF and Memphis, which is why I’m going with OVER 59.0 (-110) on Saturday. The Knights average 35.8 points per game while the Tigers are posting 34.6 points per game.
Memphis has hit the Over in 8 of its last 9 games overall and the Over has hit in 5 of its last 6 conference games.
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