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The 11th-seeded Arizona State Sun Devils (23-12) meet the No. 6 TCU Horned Frogs (21-12) Friday in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The West Region contest at Ball Arena in Denver will tip off at 10:05 p.m. ET (truTV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Arizona State vs. TCU odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Arizona State struggled down the stretch in the regular season, but the Sun Devils won a couple of Pac-12 Tournament games and then drubbed Nevada 98-73 in a First Four game Wednesday. After going 5-8 with some shooting woes from Jan. 19-March 4, ASU is 3-1 over its last 4 games.
Nationally ranked No. 23 TCU made its bones over the first half of the season. The Horned Frogs went 13-1 out of the gate but are just 8-11 since. TCU does do a decent job getting to the line and rebounding, and despite being a dreadful team from distance (30.6%, 331st), the Frogs have the better offense and are a slim favorite in this 11-6 matchup.
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Arizona State vs. TCU odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:17 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Arizona State +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | TCU -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Arizona State +5.5 (-110) | TCU -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Arizona State vs. TCU picks and predictions
Prediction
TCU 72, Arizona State 65
Moneyline
TCU is a lean here but only a profitable one up to about -225, and even then only for much bigger bankrolls.
PASS.
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Against the spread
The Sun Devils are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win.
Look for TCU to get its points in the paint, rebound its way to extended possessions and get more looks at the foul line. Look for that to add up into 3-possession territory.
Consider a partial-unit play on the HORNED FROGS -5.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The Under is 6-1 in ASU’s last 7 games after scoring more than 90 points in its previous game and 4-0 in TCU’s last 4 games against teams playing .600 ball.
Look for an above-average pace to this game but not a lot of bonus points from distance. Both defenses are efficient, and in the neutral venue with its different shooting background, the UNDER 142.5 (-115) is worth a partial-unit play.
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