The No. 7 Texas Longhorns (22-7, 11-5 Big-12) look to finish the season on a high note against the No. 22 TCU Horned Frogs (19-10, 8-8) in Fort Worth on Wednesday at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Texas vs. TCU odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
Despite its lofty ranking, Texas has been a different team on the road this season with a 4-5 record. This will be a rematch of a game which the Longhorns won 79-75 in Austin on Jan. 11. TCU did cover as 6.5-point road underdogs as the 141.5 Over hit.
Texas is coming off an 81-72 loss at Baylor on Saturday, failing to cover as 4.5-point road underdogs while TCU won at Texas Tech 83-82 on Saturday.
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Texas at TCU odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texas +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | TCU -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texas +2.5 (-105) | TCU -2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 149.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Texas at TCU picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas 77, TCU 75
Moneyline
TEXAS +130.
Texas needs a win at TCU to have a chance to play for a share of the conference title against Kansas on Saturday. While the Longhorns have struggled on the road, TCU has been beatable at home and has 4 home losses.
Coming in after an 81-72 loss at Baylor, Texas will be ready to compete in this game. And by compete, I mean win. And +130 is excellent value here.
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Against the spread
PASS.
Texas has been a good team at recovering after a loss. It has covered the spread in 6 of its last 7 following a straight up loss and 4 of 5 after an ATS loss.
With this line only being 2.5 and with Texas being the underdog, the likelihood of Texas covering but not winning is slim. I like the Longhorns to win and so I would rather save the juice and wager them on the moneyline.
Over/Under
OVER 149.5 (-115).
Texas is 4-0 to the Over in its last 4 Wednesday games while TCU is 4-1 to the Over in its last 5 against a team with a winning record.
The 1st meeting this season went Over the 141.5 total and also would have gone Over the 149.5 total offered here.
Both teams can score and are looking to get ready for March. This will be a fast paced Big-12 game and both teams could get to 80 in this matchup. The 149.5 line is high, but not high enough to make me shy away from taking the Over.
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