Mississippi State Bulldogs betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

March Madness: Michigan State vs. Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Michigan State vs. Mississippi State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks and predictions.

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The Michigan State Spartans (19-14) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-13) clash in an NCAA Tournament West Region, 1st-round game in Charlotte. Tip-off from Spectrum Center is set for 12:15 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook ‘s lines around the Michigan State vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Michigan State last played Friday, falling to No. 3-ranked Purdue 67-62 — covering as an 8½-point underdog). An MSU defense tied for the Big Ten lead at 65.9 points allowed per game has led the way for the Spartans. But the Michigan State offense has sputtered of late. The Spartans have shot just 41.1% from the field in going 2-5 since Feb. 20.

Mississippi State last played Saturday, losing to No. 7 Auburn 73-66. MSU was an 8-point underdog, and the against-the-spread win marked the Bulldogs’ third in a row. Mississippi State got to the line 27 times against Auburn; the Bulldogs rank in the top-60 in the nation in free-throw frequency.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Michigan State vs. Mississippi State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:49 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Michigan State -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mississippi State +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State -1.5 (-105) | Mississippi State +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 130.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Michigan State vs. Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan State 69, Mississippi State 68

Moneyline

PASS. Better value can be found against the number.

Against the spread

Mississippi State is 9-0 ATS on neutral hardwood and 15-10 ATS against winning teams.

Michigan State often gets pushed into taking iffy shots, and the Spartans figure to be at a disadvantage in rebounding and free-throw looks. The Bulldogs have been overall inconsistent at times, but they are elite in defending the perimeter (holding opponents to a 29.4% mark from 3-point range).

The Spartans will try to grind down the pace in this game, and that figures to grind down an overall Bulldog edge. Consider a partial-unit play on MISSISSIPPI STATE +1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

The play here is relatively strong, and it’s a zag against the zig of where the public has settled this total. The defenses and expected slow pace are driving the low-scoring narrative. But look for the Bulldogs to get plenty of 2nd-chance points and free throws, and look for the Spartans to have more than a few transition buckets off turnovers.

Look for a total in the 135-140 range. BACK OVER 130.5 (-110).

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SEC Tournament: Mississippi State vs. Auburn odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Mississippi State vs. Auburn odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12) battle the No. 12 Auburn Tigers (25-7) Saturday in the semifinals of the Southeastern Conference Tournament. Tip from Bridgestone Arena in Nashville is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mississippi State vs. Tennessee odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The 9th-seeded Bulldogs upset top seed Tennessee 73-56 in the quarterfinals Friday, covering as 9.5-point underdogs while the Under (142.5) cashed. Freshman G Josh Hubbard and senior F Cameron Matthews each scored 18 points in the dominant victory.

The Bulldogs have not been to the SEC Tournament title game since 2010.

The 4th-seeded Tigers extended their win streak to 4 games with a dismantling of the No. 5 South Carolina Gamecocks 86-55 Friday in the quarterfinals. They easily covered as 7.5-point favorites, and the Under (144) cashed. First-team All-SEC F Johni Broome had his 12th double-double of the season with 18 points and 10 rebounds.

Auburn is looking to win the SEC Tournament title for the 1st time since 2019.

These teams split the season series 1-1, with each side defending its home court. Mississippi State won outright as a 3-point underdog 64-58 Jan. 27, while the Tigers covered as an 11-point favorite with a 78-63 victory March 2. The Under hit in both games.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Mississippi State vs. Auburn odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mississippi State +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Auburn -360 (bet $360 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mississippi State +7.5 (-104) | Auburn -7.5 (-118)
Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mississippi State vs. Auburn picks and predictions

Prediction

Auburn 73, Mississippi State 68

Moneyline

PASS.

You should avoid betting more than 3.5 units on Auburn (-360) to win back 1; it’s just never a good bet. Look to the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET AUBURN -7.5 (-118).

I’m probably making a mistake going against the Bulldogs once again, but I feel like they have to run out of gas soon. They have played terrific over their 1st 2 games of the tournament, and the win over Tennessee Friday may have earned them an at-large bid to the NCAA tournament.

Auburn made short work of the Gamecocks Friday, getting out to a 20-point lead by halftime. The Tigers had 15 players log minutes in Friday’s game, which gave their starters a chance to be rested for this semifinals matchup.

Auburn has covered 3 of its last 4, while Mississippi State has covered in both of its games in this tournament thus far. This will be the end of the Bulldogs’ run in Nashville.

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Over/Under

PASS.

While these teams are 7-3 to the Over in the last 10 meetings, I don’t have a good feel either way. Auburn and Mississippi State are a combined 0-3 to the Under in the tournament thus far. There is no edge to be had here; I’m going to stay away.

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South Carolina at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s South Carolina at Mississippi State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-11, 8-9 SEC) welcome the No. 16 South Carolina Gamecocks (24-6, 12-5) to Humphrey Coliseum Saturday. Tip is set for 2:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the South Carolina vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The Bulldogs lost to the Texas A&M Aggies 75-69 Wednesday, failing to cover as 2.5-point road underdogs. They have lost 3 straight after a 5-game winning streak. Mississippi State has covered 4 of its last 8 and is 14-15-1 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

South Carolina is No. 16 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. It is coming off a 66-59 home loss to the No. 4 Tennessee Volunteers, closing as a 6-point home underdog. The Gamecocks have won 3 of their last 4 and covered in each victory. They are 21-9 ATS on the season.

South Carolina beat Mississippi State 68-62 at home Jan. 6, covering as a 2.5-point underdog.

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South Carolina at Mississippi State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): South Carolina +184 (bet $100 to win $184) | Mississippi State -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): South Carolina +5.5 (-112) | Mississippi State -5.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 132.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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South Carolina at Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

South Carolina 68, Mississippi State 66

Moneyline

LEAN SOUTH CAROLINA (+184).

The books still don’t believe in the Gamecocks. They were 4- and 6-point underdogs in their last 2 road games and won straight up by 13 and 2, respectively.

All 5 of South Carolina’s top scoring options shoot better than 40% from the field, while Mississippi State has 3 of its top 6 options shooting under 40%. The efficiency and consistency are there to back the Gamecocks in this one.

The Bulldogs have also lost and failed to cover in 3 straight, so they haven’t been playing well lately. Take SOUTH CAROLINA (+184).

Against the spread

PASS.

The value here should be on the plus-money Gamecocks to get the job done on the road.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 132.5 (-115).

The Bulldogs have scored at least 69 points in 7 of their last 8 games. They have allowed at least 75 in 3 straight as well. Mississippi State has gone Over in 3 of its last 4 games and is 15-15 O/U on the season.

South Carolina has notched at least 70 points in 3 of its last 4 games and has gone Over in 2 of its last 3 and 4 of its last 7. Considering the trends for both sides, take OVER 132.5 (-115).

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Alabama at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi State Bulldogs odds and lines, with expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Alabama Crimson Tide (3-1, 1-0 SEC) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-2, 0-2) are lined up for a Saturday night tussle in Starkville. Kick time at Davis Wade Stadium is slated for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Alabama at Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Alabama is No. 11 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The Crimson Tide lost to the Texas Longhorns on Sept. 9, but have bounced back with 2 wins since. That includes a 24-10 triumph over the Ole Miss Rebels last Saturday; UA covered a -6.5-point spread in that home win. The Tide allowed a total of 559 yards over their last 2 wins.

The Bulldogs lost at the South Carolina Gamecocks 37-30 last Saturday (ATS loss on a +6) and have dropped 2 in a row. Mississippi State outgained its hosts 519 yards to 432 but was undone by a 5-of-14 performance in converting 3rd downs. For the season, the Bulldogs have converted just 32.7% of their 3rd downs; that ranks 120th in the nation.

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Alabama at Mississippi State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:06 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Alabama -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | Mississippi State +450 (bet $100 to win $450)
Against the spread (ATS): Alabama -14.5 (-110) | Mississippi State +14.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Alabama at Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 38, Mississippi State 14

Moneyline

Juice drowning out true odds here: PASS.

Against the spread

Against the number, Alabama has taken 5 in a row in this series. That includes the Crimson Tide earning double-digit ATS margins at MSU in 2019 and 2021.

UA is going to continue to want to run the ball, and expect a few big plays in that department against this shaky Bulldogs defense that has been decent against the run, but against a couple of lackluster rushing teams. And Alabama should find success in the air against a pass defense that has been torched.

Look for an Alabama team adjusting to its quarterbacking and line play — and play-calling — to be more efficient in early downs and more consistent in cranking out value drives.

BACK THE CRIMSON TIDE -14.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The side of the ball where Alabama has produced consistent results so far is on defense. And this total has dropped a couple of points — over a key number — during the week.

But Mississippi State’s Week 3 game against LSU figures as a decent comp here. Despite going 3 of 13 on 3rd downs, the Bulldogs still managed 14 points. And LSU got to 41 points without any garbage-time add-on or turnover dominance.

Zag, bettors! Zag! TAKE THE OVER 46.5 (-110).

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First look: Alabama at Mississippi State odds and lines

Looking at Saturday’s Alabama at Mississippi State college football odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The Alabama Crimson Tide (3-1, 1-0 SEC) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-2, 0-2) are lined up for a Saturday night tussle in Starkville. Kick time at Davis Wade Stadium is slated for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at Alabama vs. Mississippi State odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Also see: SportsbookWire’s college football picks and predictions.

Alabama is No. 11 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The Crimson Tide lost to the Texas Longhorns on Sept. 9; they have bounced back with 2 wins since. That includes a 24-10 triumph over the Ole Miss Rebels Saturday; UA covered a -6.5-point spread in that home win.

The Bulldogs lost at the South Carolina Gamecocks 37-30 Saturday (ATS loss on a +6) and have dropped 2 in a row. Mississippi State outgained its hosts 519 yards to 432 but was undone by a 5-of-14 performance in converting 3rd downs. For the season, the Bulldogs have converted just 32.7% of their 3rd downs; that ranks 120th in the nation.

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Alabama at Mississippi State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:32 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Off the board
Against the spread (ATS): Alabama -14.5 (-110) | Mississippi State +14.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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2023 betting stats

ML: Alabama 3-1 | Mississippi State 2-2
ATS: Alabama 2-2 | Mississippi State 1-3
O/U: Alabama 2-2 | Mississippi State 2-2

Alabama vs. Mississippi State head-to-head

Saturday’s contest will mark the 107th all-time meeting between the Tide and Bulldogs. Alabama leads the series 85-18-3; that includes 15 straight wins over MSU.

Against the number, UA is 7-1 since 2015. The Under is 8-2 since 2013 and has hit in each of the last 5 meetings.

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LSU at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s LSU at Mississippi State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LSU Tigers (1-1) visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-0) on Saturday. Kickoff from Davis Wade Stadium is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the LSU vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

After losing its opener in surprising fashion 45-24 to Florida State, LSU bounced back against Grambling State with a 72-10 victory. QB Jayden Daniels passed for 269 yards and 5 TDs while RB Logan Diggs had 15 carries for 115 yards and a TD and RB Kaleb Jackson had 11 carries for 62 yards and 2 TDs. Expect more of the same this week against the Bulldogs.

Mississippi State beat Southeastern Louisiana 48-7 in the opener and knocked off Arizona 31-24 in overtime last week. QB Will Rogers went 13 of 17 for 162 yards and 3 TDs. RB Jo’quavious Marks had 24 carries for 123 yards and a TD.

LSU is No. 14 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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LSU at Mississippi State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:41 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): LSU -375 (bet $375 to win 100) | Mississippi State +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
Against the spread (ATS): LSU -9.5 (-115) | Mississippi State -9.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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LSU at Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

LSU 38, Mississippi State 28

Moneyline

PASS.

While Mississippi State is playing at home, LSU should take this game with ease. But at -375 odds, there is very little profit to be made by backing the Tigers.

Against the spread

LEAN LSU -9.5 (-115).

While the Tigers had a rough start to the season, they had a tune-up game last week against Grambling. Their offense was firing on all cylinders while their defense only allow 10 points. Daniels and company are looking to show why they belong in the Top 10 again and a conference road victory is the 1st step to making that happen.

While the Bulldogs defense forced 5 turnovers last week, they allowed 17 2nd-half points which could prove fatal against the Tiger’s offense. The turnovers will not come as easy this week.

Over/Under

BET OVER 54.5 (-110).

Mississippi State has scored 48 and 31 points respectively in each of its first 2 games while LSU has scored 45 and 72 points. Both teams have showcased they are more than capable of finding the end zone and this game could turn into a shootout real quick. Expect points early and often in this matchup.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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First look: LSU at Mississippi State odds and lines

Looking at Saturday’s LSU at Mississippi State college football odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-0) welcome the No. 14 LSU Tigers (1-1) to Davis Wade Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we look at LSU vs. Mississippi State odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Also see: SportsbookWire’s college football picks and predictions.

After the Bulldogs annihilated the Southeastern Louisiana Lions 48-7 in the season-opener, they beat Arizona 31-24 in overtime on Saturday. QB Will Rogers threw for 162 yards and 3 TDs on 17 attempts and RB Jo’quavious Marks rushed for 123 yards and a score. The Bulldogs did receive some votes to be a top-25 team, but are still on the outside looking in.

LSU is No. 14 in the USA TODAY Sports U.S. LBM Coaches Poll. The Tigers lost as a top-5 team in the opener 45-24 to the Florida State Seminoles despite QB Jayden Daniels’ 347 passing yards and 1 TD. The Tigers got an easier matchup in Week 2 against the Grambling State Tigers, beating them 72-10 as Daniels tossed 5 TD passes.

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LSU at Mississippi State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Off the board
Against the spread (ATS): LSU -9.5 (-115) | Mississippi State +9.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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2023 betting stats

ML: LSU 1-1 | Mississippi State 2-0
ATS: LSU 1-1 | Mississippi State 1-1
O/U: LSU 2-0 | Mississippi State 0-2

LSU at Mississippi State head-to-head

Both teams are in the SEC West and they have a long history against each other.

Both starting QBs are back from a season ago. In that game at Tiger Stadium, both programs were top-25 sides. Rogers went for 214 yards, a TD and an INT. Daniels had 210 yards and a TD as LSU won 31-16.

The Tigers have won the majority of the time, leading the Bulldogs 77-46-3. LSU won 14 straight games from 2000 to 2013. Since then, the Tigers are 6-3 against the Bulldogs.

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March Madness: Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 11-seed Pittsburgh Panthers (22-11) face off against the 11-seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12) in a First Four game in the NCAA Tournament on Tuesday. Tip from UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio, is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET (truTV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Pittsburgh was destroyed by Duke 96-69 on Thursday in the quarterfinal round of the ACC Tournament, failing to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. The Panthers went 6-4 in their last 10 games straight up and against the spread (ATS) and are 22-10-1 ATS this season.

Mississippi State was trounced by Alabama 72-49 on Friday in the quarterfinal round of the SEC Tournament, failing to cover as 8-point underdogs. It went 6-4 in its last 10 games. In that span, the Bulldogs were 5-5 ATS and are 16-16-1 ATS this season.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:28 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pittsburgh +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mississippi State -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pittsburgh +1.5 (-108) | Mississippi State -1.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

Pittsburgh 71, Mississippi State 65

Moneyline

BET PITTSBURGH +100.

Mississippi State’s offense is ranked 307th in the nation at 66.4 points per game and 292nd in field goal percentage at(42.3%). Pittsburgh’a defense is ranked 159th allowing 69.7 points per game and 71st in opponent field goal percentage (41.9%).

Expect the Panthers’ defense to overwhelm the Bulldogs’ offense, which only scored 49 points in its last outing.

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Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline odds present more value on a play on the Panthers in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET OVER 133.5 (-105).

The Over is 8-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 10 games and 7-3 in Mississippi State’s last 10 pointing toward the offensive hot streaks both teams have been on recently.

For the Panthers, the Over is 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games and 6-1 in their last 7 overall. For the Bulldogs, the Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following an outright loss and 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.

Bet on points. Bet OVER 133.5 (-105).

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SEC Tournament: Mississippi State vs. Alabama odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Mississippi State vs. Alabama SEC Tournament odds and lines, with expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-11) take on the No. 5 Alabama Crimson Tide (26-5) in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals in Nashville on Friday at 1 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mississippi State vs. Alabama odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

Despite losing the final game of the regular season 67-61 to Texas A&M, Alabama still finished a great season as the top seed in the SEC tournament. It also has an inside track at a top seed in March Madness if it can take care of business this weekend.

After defeating the Bulldogs 78-67 on the road Dec. 28 as a 1-point favorite, the Crimson Tide had a more difficult time at home Jan. 25 winning 66-63 game after coming in favored by 12 points.

With an offense that ranks 314th in the nation at 66.4 points per game, the Bulldogs use a top-10 defense at 60.4 PPG to hold teams down. Against an Alabama team which ranks 7th in scoring (82.8 PPG), Mississippi State will need to do this once again to pull off an upset in Nashville.

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Mississippi State at Alabama odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mississippi State +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Alabama -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mississippi State +7.5 (-105) | Alabama -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Mississippi State vs. Alabama picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 77, Mississippi State 67

Moneyline

PASS.

Alabama is the far superior team in this game. The Tide, behind potential player-of-the-year candidate Brandon Miller, are on track for a No. 1 seed and have their sights set on the 1st Final Four in school history.

Mississippi State has a good defense. But the offense will not be able to compete with Alabama. But at -340, Alabama is not a bet worth making straight.

Against the spread

ALABAMA -7.5 (-110).

With the offense of Alabama, which ranks 7^th at 82.8 points being the best unit on the floor, the Crimson Tide will be able to force the Bulldogs to play a fast pace. Something the Bulldogs are uncomfortable doing.

This level of uncomfortable play will be enough to make the Mississippi State defense, which ranks 10^th, to falter and make mistakes.

After starting off close, the game will become more lopsided in the second half as Alabama begins to use its 3-point shooting and rebounding t pull away from Mississippi State. -7.5 for Alabama is the side to wager on.

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Against the spread

OVER 137.5 (-115).

It may not go Over by a lot, but the Alabama offense will get this game Over the total by games end.

Despite having the 10th-ranked scoring defense, the last 4 Mississippi State games have gone Over. The Bulldogs have also gone Over in 4 of their last 5 games following a win.

For the Tide, the Over has hit in 4 straight neutral site games and they have also gone Over the total in 4 of 5 overall.

Unless this game gets to overtime, I do not see a 90-point showing from either team. But I expect Alabama getting to 75. And this will be enough to get this game Over the 137.5 total.

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TCU at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s TCU at Mississippi State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 11 TCU Horned Frogs (16-4) battle the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-8) Saturday. Tip from Humphrey Coliseum is set for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the TCU vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

This will likely be the only time these teams face each other this season as they take part in the Big 12/SEC Challenge.

TCU is coming into this battle off a 79-52 win over Oklahoma Tuesday, covering as a 5-point home favorite. The Horned Frogs are 7-2-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10. They are a strong 12-7-1 ATS on the season. While strong on both sides of the ball, their key strength is in their defense, ranking 50th in the nation in opponents’ points per game (64.3).

Mississippi State, on the other hand, lost to No. 2 Alabama 66-63 Wednesday, covering as a 12-point road underdog. The Bulldogs are 8-11-1 ATS on the season and are 3-7 ATS on their last 10. Mississippi State’s strength is defense, ranking 13th in nation in opponents’ field goal percentage (38.9%).

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TCU at Mississippi State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): TCU -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mississippi State +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): TCU -2.5 (-105) | Mississippi State +2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 131.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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TCU at Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

TCU 68, Mississippi State 62

Moneyline

PASS.

TCU is the more proven side, and I would prefer to play it on the spread here.

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Against the spread

BET TCU -2.5 (-105).

The Horned Frogs have been impressive on the road despite a 3-2 straight-up record. They are 4-1 ATS on the road and have wins over Kansas, Baylor and Utah.

Mississippi State, on the other hand, is 8-3 straight up at home but has lost 5 in a row and is 1-8 over the last 9 games. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games as well.

Given their incompetence at home against conference opponents and the Horned Frogs’ road play, back TCU -2.5 (-105) to get the job done.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 131.5 (-110).

TCU might be 11-9 O/U this season, but it has gone Under in 3-straight games. It held Oklahoma to 52 in its last game Jan. 24 and held Kansas to 60 on Jan. 21.

The Horned Frogs have a tenacious defense, ranking top 50 in opponents’ points per game (64.3), opponents’ field goal percentage (40.5%) and opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage (29.5%).

The Bulldogs are 6-14 O/U this season and have gone Under in 4 of their last 6 games. They haven’t scored over 65 points in a game this calendar year yet. So they may struggle to score on TCU. With a top-15 defense in terms of opponents’ points per game (58.7) and opponents’ field goal percentage, the Bulldogs also thrive on that side of the court.

Considering both teams’ strengths, back the UNDER 131.5 (-110).

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