Lorenzo’s Locks Week 9: Bengals, Patriots and Cardinals all primed to cover the spread

Coming off a 3-0 Week 8, Lorenzo Reyes is back with another round of his favorite NFL bets against the spread.

Lorenzo Reyes is riding with two road favorites in Week 9 while locking in the Bengals at home. After going 3-0 on his Week 8 picks, Reyes is closing in on a hot streak.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Bills are multi-score favorites over Jaguars in Week 9

#Bills are multi-score favorites over #Jaguars in Week 9:

The Buffalo Bills were near two-touchdown favorites against the Miami Dolphins in Week 8 coming out of their bye.

The Dolphins entered, and left, that contest with one win on the year.

The Bills will hope the Jacksonville Jaguars do the same, as the 1-7 Jags host Buffalo in Week 9.

Regardless, Buffalo (5-2) facing another one win team, has made the Bills another huge, two-TD favorite in a game this season.

Buffalo opens as a 14-point favorite ahead of facing the Jaguars on Sunday. That line comes to us via Tipico Sportsbook  (access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list).

Aside from their starkly different records, the spread comes as little surprise because of how last weekend went.

As referenced, the Bills won, 26-11 over the Dolphins.

Miami only slightly outscored the Jaguars.

Out in Seattle, the Seahawks thrashed the Jags, 31-7. Jacksonville mustered up a late score to prevent the shutout… but that’s not going to matter much to sportsbooks.

Along with the spread, the over/under for Bills-Jaguars lists at 48.5. The moneyline sits at Buffalo (-1100) and Jaguars (+700).

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Lorenzo’s Locks: Titans, Cowboys and Giants lead Week 8 picks

Lorezno explains why he’s grabbing the Giants over the Chiefs are on his bet slip in Week 8

Lorenzo Reyes is back for Week 8 and explaining why in a matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and New York Giants, he’s rolling with the NFC East club to cover the spread. The Tennessee Titans and Dallas Cowboys look equally ready to tackle the spread.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Texas slight underdogs on the road against No. 16 Baylor

For just the second time this season, Texas has opened as an underdog.

After taking a week off with a bye, Texas is set to face off against their third consecutive ranked opponent in No. 16 Baylor. Traveling just north to Waco, Saturday’s result is a huge one for Steve Sarkisian.

Win and everything from the previous three weeks somewhat goes away. The best way to fix problems is by winning. As crazy as it may sound, a Big 12 championship game appearance is still possible.

Lose and things could get pretty ugly, pretty quickly. An 8-4 season was not out of the equation coming into the year but was seen as the worst possible scenario. Baylor winning would present that as the best-case scenario.

Unluckily, Tipico Sportsbook sees Baylor as the favorite. Texas has opened as an underdog for just the second time this season at 2.5 points.

Just like their record on the field, Texas is 4-3 against the spread so far this season.

Check out the full game odds for this season here:

Line: Baylor -2.5

Over/Under: 61.5

Money Line: Baylor -155 Texas +125

All Betting Lines are Courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook

You can watch Texas face off against No. 16 Baylor at 11 a.m. CST on ABC.

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Bills open as big favorites over Dolphins after bye

#Bills open as big favorites over #Dolphins after bye:

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Fresh and coming off of their bye week, the Buffalo Bills open as big favorites over their next opponent, the Miami Dolphins.

The Bills (4-2) have opened as large as a 13.5-point favorite in the spread against the Dolphins (1-6) next week. That line comes to us via Tipico Sportsbook  (access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list).

Buffalo being favored so heavily comes as little surprise.

Miami hasn’t won a game after topping the New England Patriots in their season opener. The Dolphins have lost six in a row.

In addition, the Bills did already steamroll the Dolphins this season and in Miami. In Week 2, Buffalo won 35-0.

Heading into their first meeting, the Bills were only three-point favorites and… more than covered that spread.

The last time the Dolphins played in Orchard Park, things were also a blowout affair . That final score line was 56-26.

Miami’s last win on the road against the Bills was in 2016.

Current Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen has only lost once in his career to the Dolphins as well. That came on the road in his rookie season in 2018.

Along with the spread, the over/ under for Bills vs. Dolphins opens at 49.5. The moneyline sits at Buffalo (-770) and Miami (+540).

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Saints open as road favorites for Week 7 at Seahawks

Tipico Sportsbook: Saints open as road favorites at Seahawks in Week 7

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The New Orleans Saints are trending in a very different direction from this week’s opponent, and that’s reflected in the opening line from Tipico Sportsbook. New Orleans is visiting the Seattle Seahawks for a Monday night game on Oct. 25 which the Saints are favored to win by 5.5 points — taken with the initial over/under of 44.5, that projects a final tally close to New Orleans 26, Seattle 20.

That would be the fourth-lowest scoring game of Week 7, behind only Broncos-Browns, Jets-Patriots, and Panthers-Giants. It would also be the lowest scoring output by the Saints in a victory this season; Jameis Winston has quarterbacked the Saints well enough to compete in nearly every game they’ve played, while Geno Smith is fresh off the heels of a frustrating overtime loss on Sunday night.

With a number of starters expected to return from injuries over the next few weeks, the offense should take several steps forward. Bolstering the offensive line with Erik McCoy and Terron Armstead while upgrading the receiving corps with Michael Thomas and Tre’Quan Smith will be huge. We’ll have to wait and see who makes their return this week as the injury report begins to update on Wednesday.

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Bettors got crushed by the Panthers and Raiders in Week 5

Sam Darnold came down from his incredible start to the year and busted plenty of tickets

The lovefest between NFL bettors and Carolina Panthers quarterback Sam Darnold may have reached its inevitable expiration on Sunday.

When the former New York Jets starter reverted back to his old ways with three interceptions in a 21-18 home loss, the betting public suffered as well. According to The Action Network, 69 percent of wagers placed on the spread took Panthers -3 while 57 percent of moneyline bettors grabbed Carolina -138 (bet $138 to win $100).

Both of those bets looked solid by halftime with the Panthers leading 15-6 and the Eagles’ offense unable to move the ball downfield. Then Philadelphia out-scored Carolina 15-3 over the final two frames with quarterback Jalen Hurts rushing for two touchdowns after driving his team to the red zone. The latter score left the Panthers trailing by three with 2:38 remaining in regulation—still plenty of time for Darnold to get Carolina in field goal range.

Instead he only managed one first down before a false start left him with first-and-20 at the Panthers’ 35-yard line. The ensuing play saw Darnold throw into double-coverage towards wideout Robby Anderson, only to be picked off Steven Nelson.

Darius Slay recorded the first two interceptions off Darnold on Sunday, so the quarterback may have been trying to avoid the star cornerback. He couldn’t avoid the same fate, however, and bettors will surely remember that going forward.

Those who bet the Las Vegas Raiders to cover -3.5 at home against the Chicago Bears can’t be feeling much better. While 54 percent of moneyline wagers landed on the Bears +240 (bet $100 to win $240), 69 percent of bets on the spread took Las Vegas -3.5.

The Bears won,  20-9, as Chicago rattled off back-to-back touchdown drives after the Raiders took an early 3-0 lead. Vegas quarterback Derek Carr completed 22 of 35 passes for 206 yards and an interception against a Bears defense that sacked him three times, deflected three passes and saw Khalil Mack rack up eight tackles against his former team.

Week 5 of the NFL season saw a number of betting favorites easily beat the spread with the likes of the Los Angeles Rams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Tennessee Titans each earning a stress-free win. Hopefully those who took the Panthers and Raiders were able to a cash in bigger tickets on those matchups.

Bills at Chiefs spread remains the same as game day nears

#Bills at #Chiefs spread remains the same as game day nears:

The Buffalo Bills entered Week 5 as a slight underdog to the Chiefs in Kansas City.

It has remained that way, completely.

Earlier this week, the Bills were a three-point dog… and that has remained the same as of Saturday. That line comes to us via Tipico Sportsbook  (access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list).

In terms of a three-point edge, sportsbooks are essentially calling this game a bit of a toss up. Traditionally the home team is given an edge of around three points in the spread so if this was a neutral site game, it would be a pick ’em.

That’s the Chiefs next week, as the game will take place at Arrowhead Stadium.

The upcoming meeting also comes following a 2020 season which saw the Chiefs beat the Bills twice. The second of the two wins for Kansas City sent them to the Super Bowl via the AFC title game.

In both outings, KC looked to be the far superior team… but they’ve surprisingly lost two of their four games already this season. Through all of last season, the Chiefs only lost two games the entire year.

In addition to the spread not moving, the over/ under didn’t, either. That remains at 56.5.

So far in 2021, the Bills are 3-1 against the spread, according to Sportsbook Wire. On the flip side, the Chiefs have a 1-3 record ATS.

In terms of over/under, the Bills are 1-3 in hitting it. The Chiefs are 3-1.

The moneyline sits at Bills (+132) and Chiefs (-156).

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Oklahoma opens as favorites over Texas in Red River Shootout

Texas-Oklahoma always seems to be a close one!

Name a big-time rivalry in college football. Alabama-Auburn, Michigan-Ohio State, Florida-Georgia. The week leading into the game, most people say “throw out the record books, this game is close no matter what.” Most of the time, those people are lying. Plenty of blowouts happen on a yearly basis.

The Red River Shootout is different. The Red River Shootout actually does throw out the record books. The Red River Shootout is close no matter what.

Seven consecutive games at the Cotton Bowl have been decided by a touchdown or less. Texas’ last double-digit win came in 2008 during the famous 45-35 game. Oklahoma’s was in 2012 in a 63-21 drubbing.

We may not know who is going to win on Saturday, but there is an excellent chance it’s a nail-biter in the fourth quarter. Tipico Sportsbook agrees as well, only favoring the Sooners by 3.5. The overall record may not be the best, but Texas has covered in seven of the last 10 Red River Shootouts.

So who is the real winner?

Check out the full game odds for this season here:

Line: Oklahoma -3.5

Over/Under: 63.5

Money Line: Oklahoma -170 Texas +135

All Betting Lines are Courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook

Steve Sarkisian and Lincoln Riley will be facing off the first time in the Cotton Bowl for what should be an offensive showdown. 63.5 points may intrigue some people with two top 15 scoring offenses set to take the field.

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Oddsmakers favor Saints to stomp Giants in low-scoring Week 4 game

Tipico: Saints favored to stomp Giants in low-scoring Week 4 game

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Things look good for the New Orleans Saints in Week 4. After taking care of business on the road, they’re headed back to New Orleans for their true home opener at the Caesars Superdome against the New York Giants with a 2-1 record.

And things haven’t gone well for Big Blue. The Giants are one of two NFC teams still chasing their first win after the first three weeks (along with the Detroit Lions), but at least they can chalk up John Mara’s hamfisted no-taunting rule as a win. They aren’t beating anyone of the field, but at least they aren’t being laughed at about it between snaps anymore.

So what’s the scoring outlook on Sunday? Tipico Sportsbook has favored the Saints by 7.5 points with a very low over/under of 42.5 points — tying two other games for the week’s smallest output. It comes out to an implied final tally close to New Orleans 25, New York 17.

That feels generous for a Giants team that put up just 14 points on the Atlanta Falcons last week. Atlanta has the NFL’s third-worst scoring defense (94 points allowed in three games) and they still found ways to force five New York punts. Daniel Jones has an even greater challenge against the Saints’ third-best scoring defense (42 points allowed so far), so good luck to him.

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