Saint Mary’s Gaels – Syndication Server

2024 March Madness: Final Four long shots worthy of NCAA Tournament futures bet

Beat the Sportsbook: Here are the best 4 long-shot predictions and picks to make the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament.

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If its the Big Dance, and if we’re looking for a fairytale-comes-true return on investment then its a Cinderella we want.

Below, we look at 4 teams with decent value and their NCAA Tournament Final Four futures odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s (OR FanDuel Sportsbook’s) and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

For this analysis, we’ll stay away from the top 20% of teams listed in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll and the top 25% seeds (top 4 each region) in the tournament brackets. We’ll look for teams whose chances of reaching the Final Four may not be a slam dunk, but they will have relative value compared to the risk. We’ll track down 4 teams at diverse price points, but value is value.

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Final Four long-shot predictions

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:37 p.m. ET.

Wisconsin Badgers (+1400)

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Wisconsin (22-13) — the 5-seed in the South Region — lost to Illinois in the Big Ten Tournament championship game, but the Badgers led that contest by 9 points inside the 15-minute mark. UW was undone by Illinois going 26 of 30 at the free-throw line.

Wisconsin beat No. 3-ranked Purdue in a Saturday Big Ten semifinal, and the Badgers had played the Boilermakers tough in an earlier loss. Top South Region seeds Houston (No. 1) and Marquette (No. 2) may end up with some injury or injury-return continuity issues, and No. 3 Kentucky needs its potent offense to click to avoid upsets. So, the Badgers have a path.

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San Diego State Aztecs (+2000)

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The Aztecs (24-10) — the No. 5 in the East — are just 6-4 over their last 10 games, but they have the defense (39% field-goal accuracy allowed over those 10 games) and court skills to make for profit leverage at this price point. SDSU’s Jaedon LeDee is a power forward with possible late 1st-round NBA talent, and he could be a difference maker in a lot of key minutes — and games — as the East Region rolls toward crowning its Final Four entrant.

Alongside LeDee, a 6-foot-9, 240-poinder averaging 21.1 points and 8.4 rebounds, San Diego State sports a veteran lineup. The Aztecs get their 1st 2 potential games in their own time zone (games in Spokane).

The futures market had shorter overall futures odds on SDSU a couple weeks ago, and they fit as a decent value when trying to find a play from back in the pack.

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McNeese State Cowboys (+8000)

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The Cowboys (30-3) are tabbed as the No. 12 seed in the Midwest. Their path lays out with decent matchups, and they are a dangerous 3-point shooting team (39.4%) playing at a slower-than-average pace. That is often the formula for Cinderella runs in March.

McNeese State may have some trouble forcing enough less-than-optimum mid-range looks, but if it can catch an opponent or 2 having off-kilter shooting games it has a legitimate shot at making a run. The Cowboys create a lot of near-proximity and quality perimeter looks when they’re on offense.

Saint Mary’s Gaels (+1400)

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West No. 5-seed Saint Mary’s (26-7) has filed just 1 loss in 2024. The West Coast Conference champs are 18-1 — knocking down triples at a 39.9% clip along the way — over their last 19 games.

Ranked as the KenPom No. 20, they too can slow down a game and drain 3s. The Gaels also excel on defense (KenPom 3rd in defensive efficiency). SMC’s pace could be problematic for speed demons like Alabama or North Carolina, which could well be 2nd- and 3rd-round matchups.

Saint Mary’s has won tourney games each of the last 2 years and may be poised to takes things a step or 2 farther.

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College Sports Wire: Men’s hoops / Women’s hoops / High School

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March Madness 2023: Best bets (VCU!) in the West Region

Kansas isn’t the only good bet in this region.

The West Region of the men’s NCAA tournament bracket is incredibly strong on each opposite end.

Between 1-seed Kansas and 2-seed UCLA, it’ll be hard to resist going chalk up to the regional final.

But while the other teams in this region may be a step below the top seeds, they’re mostly all in the same relative ballpark as each other. I sorted through the madness to find some good bets throughout the region.

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Bad beat: BYU inexplicably fouled Saint Mary’s with a second left to blow the cover

BYU blew the backdoor cover.

Covering as 6.5-point underdogs shouldn’t have even been an option for BYU after trailing by as much as 26 points in their West Coast Conference Tournament semifinal game Monday against BYU.

But as the final seconds of the game winded down, Cougars bettors were somehow in the green after a monster second-half surge cut the deficit to three with about 30 seconds left. The incredible backdoor cover was secured!

And then it wasn’t.

Saint Mary’s scored four straight points from there, and it was the very last cover-blowing point that was most heart-breaking. With the game all but decided, a BYU player fouled Saint Mary’s with less than a second left.

BYU fouls Saint Mary’s (-6.5) with 0.9 seconds left.

The Gaels would win by 7 and get the cover 😅 pic.twitter.com/VfxAYzZ2Jl

— Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) March 7, 2023

That extra free throw made the difference.

Adding to the heartbreak for BYU bettors is the missed free throw that led to the rebound and foul. It was third straight miss from the line for Atiki Ally. Had he made just one of them, the foul at the end wouldn’t have mattered.

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Houston, UCLA lead USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll entering conference tournaments

Checking in on the USA TODAY Sports coaches poll ahead of Power Five conference tournaments.

For the third straight week, the Houston Cougars remain the country’s top-ranked team in the latest USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Cougars received 29 of 31 first-place votes in the latest poll.

UCLA comes in behind Houston at No. 2, with Purdue, Kansas, and Alabama rounding out the top five. The Bruins and Boilermakers both moved up two spots from No. 4 and No. 5, respectively, while the Jayhawks and Crimson Tide fell in this week’s ranking from No. 3 and No. 2.

Also coming in within the top 10 are Marquette, Texas, Gonzaga, Arizona, and Baylor.

This week’s biggest mover was the Duke Blue Devils, moving up nine spots from being unranked to No. 21 after wins over North Carolina State and North Carolina. Connecticut had the second biggest move up the rankings this week, moving from No. 18 to inside the top-15 at No. 14.

This week’s biggest losers are Tennessee and Providence. Tennessee fell five spots from No. 14 to No. 19, while Providence fell from No. 20 to outside the top-25; they’re currently the first team out of the top-25.

A look at the full Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports:

Rank	Team	Record	Points	Change
1	Houston	29-2	771	–
2	UCLA	27-4	740	+2
3	Purdue	26-5	673	+2
4	Kansas	25-6	666	-1
5	Alabama	24-5	657	-3
6	Marquette	25-6	636	–
7	Texas	23-8	571	–
8	Gonzaga	26-5	515	+2
9	Arizona	25-6	494	–
10	Baylor	22-9	440	-2
11	Virginia	23-6	419	+1
12	Kansas State	23-8	409	-1
13	Miami	24-6	381	+2
14	Connecticut	24-7	367	+4
15	Xavier	23-8	338	+2
16	Saint Mary’s	25-6	336	–
17	Indiana	21-10	280	-4
18	Texas A&M	23-8	251	+3
19	Tennessee	22-9	249	-5
20	San Diego State	24-6	205	-1
21	Duke	23-8	119	+9
22	Creighton	20-11	118	+1
23	TCU	20-11	111	-1
24	Kentucky	21-10	97	+3
25	Northwestern	21-10	31	+1

Schools Dropped Out

No. 20 Providence; No. 24 Maryland; No. 25 Pittsburgh.

Others Receiving Votes

Providence 30; Maryland 26; Florida Atlantic 25; Iowa State 24; Missouri 18; Oral Roberts 14; Michigan St. 14; Toledo 11; Pittsburgh 10; NC State 9; West Virginia 6; Utah St. 5; Virginia Tech 3; Iowa 3; Vanderbilt 2; Boise St. 1.

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Saint Mary’s (CA) vs UCLA NCAA Tournament Second Round odds, tips and betting trends

The No. 4 seed UCLA Bruins (27-7) and the No. 5 seed Saint Mary’s Gaels (26-7) square off in the NCAA Tournament second round, both looking to book a trip to the Sweet 16 of the East Regional Region bracket when they meet on Saturday at Moda Center, …

UCLA has an 18-15-1 record against the spread this season compared to Saint Mary’s (CA), who is 21-13-1 ATS. The Bruins have hit the over in 17 games, while Gaels games have gone over 17 times. The two teams score an average of 143.7 points per game, 17.2 more points than this matchup’s total. UCLA is 6-4-0 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 games, while Saint Mary’s (CA) has gone 6-3-1 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here’s what you need to know about Saturday’s college basketball action.

Saint Mary’s (CA) at UCLA odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

Spread: UCLA -3.5
Total: 126.5
Moneyline: UCLA -171, Saint Mary’s (CA) +144

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Saint Mary’s (CA) at UCLA odds, spread, & more

Moneyline

The Bruins have compiled a 26-4 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 86.7% of those games).
UCLA has a 25-3 record (winning 89.3% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -171 or shorter.
Based on this game’s moneyline, the Bruins’ implied win probability is 63.1%.

The Gaels have been underdogs in 11 games this season and won five (45.5%) of those contests.
Saint Mary’s (CA) has a record of 1-4 when set as an underdog of +144 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The implied probability of a win by the Gaels based on the moneyline is 41.0%.

Against the spread

The Bruins average 73.6 points per game, 13.3 more points than the 60.3 the Gaels give up.
When UCLA totals more than 60.3 points, it is 16-12-1 against the spread and 22-6 overall.
When Saint Mary’s (CA) allows fewer than 73.6 points, it is 18-8 against the spread and 24-3 overall.
The Gaels’ 70.1 points per game are 7.5 more points than the 62.6 the Bruins give up.
When it scores more than 62.6 points, Saint Mary’s (CA) is 14-6 against the spread and 20-1 overall.
UCLA has an ATS record of 15-7-1 and a 21-2 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 70.1 points.
The Bruins have totaled 376 more points than their opponents this season (11.0 per game on average), and the Gaels have scored 325 more points than their opponents (9.8 per game).

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Over/Under

The Bruins’ average implied point total this season is the same as their implied total in Saturday’s game (75.2 points).
This season, UCLA has put up more than 65 points 28 times.
The average implied point total on the season for the Gaels (69.8) is equal to the team’s implied total in this matchup.
So far this season, Saint Mary’s (CA) has put up more than 62 points in 27 games.

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How to watch UCLA vs. Saint Mary’s (CA)

Game Day: Saturday, March 19, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
Live Stream: Hulu

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Indiana vs Saint Mary’s (CA) NCAA Tournament First Round odds, tips and betting trends

The No. 5 Saint Mary’s Gaels (25-7) are 2.5-point favorites to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament when they meet the No. 12 Indiana Hoosiers (21-13) on Thursday, tipping off at 7:20 PM on TBS. Here’s everything you need to know about …

Saint Mary’s (CA) is 19-13-1 against the spread this season compared to Indiana’s 20-13-0 ATS record. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Gaels are 15-18-0 and the Hoosiers are 16-17-0. The teams score an average of 141.1 points per game, 14.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Saint Mary’s (CA) has a 4-5-1 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Indiana has gone 7-3-0 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 matches.

As college hoops play continues, prepare for the contest with everything you need to know before Thursday’s game.

Indiana at Saint Mary’s (CA) odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

Spread: Saint Mary’s (CA) -2.5
Total: 126.5
Moneyline: Saint Mary’s (CA) -145, Indiana +121

Indiana at Saint Mary’s (CA) odds, spread, & more

Moneyline

The Gaels are 20-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 90.9% of those games).
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -145 or shorter, Saint Mary’s (CA) has a record of 19-1 (95%).
The Gaels have a 59.2% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

This season, the Hoosiers have been the underdog 11 times and won three, or 27.3%, of those games.
This season, Indiana has won three of its nine games, or 33.3%, when it’s the underdog by at least +121 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 45.2% chance of a victory for the Hoosiers.

Against the spread

The 69.8 points per game the Gaels put up are just 4.1 more points than the Hoosiers allow (65.7).
Saint Mary’s (CA) has a 14-6 record against the spread and a 20-1 record overall when putting up more than 65.7 points.
Indiana is 13-4 against the spread and 14-5 overall when allowing fewer than 69.8 points.
The Hoosiers score 10.8 more points per game (71.3) than the Gaels allow (60.5).
When it scores more than 60.5 points, Indiana is 15-9 against the spread and 18-8 overall.
Saint Mary’s (CA)’s record is 18-8 against the spread and 24-3 overall when it gives up fewer than 71.3 points.
The Gaels have put up a total of 296 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 9.3 per game), and the Hoosiers have out-scored opponents by 191 points on the season (5.6 more per game).

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Over/Under

The average implied total for the Gaels this season is 70.2 points, 5.2 more points than their implied total of 65 points in Thursday’s game.
So far this season, Saint Mary’s (CA) has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (65) 22 times.
The Hoosiers’ implied point total in this matchup (62 points) equals the team’s season average.
On the season, Indiana has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (62) 28 times.

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How to watch Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Indiana

Game Day: Thursday, March 17, 2022
Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
Live Stream: Hulu

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Saint Mary’s (CA) vs Gonzaga WCC Championship odds, tips and betting trends

The WCC championship will be decided Tuesday as the No. 1 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (25-3, 13-1 WCC) face off against the No. 2 Saint Mary’s Gaels (25-6, 12-3 WCC) at 9:00 PM. Gonzaga is listed as a 12.5-point favorite to win the contest and claim the …

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Gonzaga has compiled a 14-13-2 record against the spread this season, while Saint Mary’s (CA) is 19-12-1. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Bulldogs are 11-18-0 and the Gaels are 14-18-0. The teams average 157.8 points per game, 17.8 more points than this matchup’s total. Gonzaga is 4-5-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall in its last 10 contests, while Saint Mary’s (CA) has gone 5-4-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

Ahead of this matchup in WCC play, here is what you need to get ready for Tuesday’s college hoops action.

Saint Mary’s (CA) at Gonzaga odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

Spread: Gonzaga -12.5
Total: 140
Moneyline: Gonzaga -998, Saint Mary’s (CA) +628

Saint Mary’s (CA) at Gonzaga odds, spread, & more

Prediction

Gonzaga 75, Saint Mary’s (CA) 66

Moneyline

The Bulldogs are 26-3 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 89.7% of those games).
Gonzaga has played in 20 games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -998 or shorter and won each of them.
The Bulldogs have an implied moneyline win probability of 90.9% in this game.

This season, the Gaels have been the underdog 10 times and won five of those games.
Saint Mary’s (CA) has played as an underdog of +628 or more once this season and lost that game.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Gaels have a 13.7% chance to win.

Against the spread

The 88 points per game the Bulldogs put up are 28.2 more points than the Gaels allow (59.8).
When Gonzaga puts up more than 59.8 points, it is 13-9-2 against the spread and 24-2 overall.
Saint Mary’s (CA) is 18-10-1 against the spread and 24-6 overall when giving up fewer than 88 points.
The Gaels’ 69.8 points per game are only 4.6 more points than the 65.2 the Bulldogs allow.
Saint Mary’s (CA) is 14-6 against the spread and 20-1 overall when it scores more than 65.2 points.
Gonzaga is 8-9-1 against the spread and 18-1 overall when it allows fewer than 69.8 points.
The Bulldogs have totaled 639 more points than their opponents this season (22.8 per game on average), and the Gaels have scored 309 more points than their opponents (10 per game).

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Over/Under

The average implied total for the Bulldogs this season is 88.2 points, 12.2 more points than their implied total of 76 points in Tuesday’s game.
This season, Gonzaga has put up more than 76 points 25 times.
The average implied point total on the season for the Gaels (70) is six more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (64).
On the season, Saint Mary’s (CA) has scored more than 64 points in 21 games.

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Santa Clara vs Saint Mary’s (CA) WCC Tournament odds, tips and betting trends

The No. 2 seed Saint Mary’s Gaels (24-6, 12-3 WCC) are favored by 5 points in the WCC Tournament against the No. 3 seed Santa Clara Broncos (21-10, 10-5 WCC) on Monday at Orleans Arena, tipping off at 11:30 PM. Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers …

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Both Saint Mary’s (CA) and Santa Clara are 19-11-1 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. A total of 13 out of the Gaels’ 31 games this season have gone over the point total, and 20 of the Broncos’ 31 games have gone over. The two teams average 147.9 points per game, 7.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Saint Mary’s (CA) has a 6-3-1 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over the last 10 contests. Santa Clara has gone 8-2-0 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 contests.

To prepare for this showdown in WCC play, here’s everything you need to get ready for Monday’s college hoops action.

Santa Clara at Saint Mary’s (CA) odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

Spread: Saint Mary’s (CA) -5
Total: 140.5

Santa Clara at Saint Mary’s (CA) odds, spread, & more

Prediction

Saint Mary’s (CA) 74, Santa Clara 66

Against the spread

The Gaels average 69.6 points per game, only 2.5 fewer points than the 72.1 the Broncos give up.
When Saint Mary’s (CA) scores more than 72.1 points, it is 9-2 against the spread and 12-0 overall.
When Santa Clara allows fewer than 69.6 points, it is 7-3 against the spread and 9-2 overall.
The Broncos average 18.9 more points per game (78.3) than the Gaels give up to opponents (59.4).
Santa Clara is 17-9-1 against the spread and 20-8 overall when it scores more than 59.4 points.
Saint Mary’s (CA)’s record is 18-10-1 against the spread and 24-6 overall when it gives up fewer than 78.3 points.
The Gaels have scored a total of 306 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 10.2 per game), and the Broncos have out-scored opponents by 193 points on the season (6.2 more per game).

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Over/Under

The Gaels have an average implied point total equal to their implied total in Monday’s game (73).
So far this season, Saint Mary’s (CA) has scored more than 73 points in a game 11 times.
The Broncos’ average implied point total on the season (76.7 points) is 8.7 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (68 points).
So far this season, Santa Clara has scored more than 68 points in 25 games.

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3 West Coast basketball games to watch before pivoting to Super Bowl 56 on Sunday

Tracking Saturday’s basketball games out west.

The West Coast gets to showcase why it’s the best coast this weekend.

Everyone’s attention will swing westward on Sunday for Super Bowl LVI, but Saturday night’s hoops will take the stage first. You’ll find some of the biggest names in the basketball world on the national stage from both college basketball and the NBA.

What’s on the menu for the night? Lots of things. There are cross-town rivalries in Los Angeles, superstar battles in the Bay Area and a top-25 showdown in the Pacific Northwest that should all make for a great Saturday night in the sports world.

Here’s the rundown on the matchups, with odds and lines from Tipico Sportsbook.

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Everything we know following Oregon 62-50 loss to Saint Mary’s

An awful first half was too much to overcome as the Ducks fell in the Maui Invitational semifinals to Saint Mary’s.

The Oregon Ducks’ offensive struggles continue to be something to watch this season.

It happened once again on Tuesday night, and by the time Oregon figured some things out on the offensive end, it was way too late.

Saint Mary’s built up a 16-point second-half lead at 42-26 with 13:55 left and that lead was just too much to overcome as the Ducks fell to the Gaels in the semifinals of the Maui Invitational.

The Ducks offensive woes killed them, especially in the first half as they mustered up just 15 first-half points. Oregon had 13 turnovers, but it seemed like a lot more as nearly every one was unforced.

Now Oregon will have to somehow figure out a game plan to defeat No. 12 Houston, who were upset by Wisconsin earlier in the day. The Ducks have a lot to clean up and not a lot of time to do it in as they’ll face the Cougars Wednesday morning at 11:30 a.m. PT.